Member-State Referendums and Constitutional Change: The Wider Implications for the EU Brigid Laffan Director 1 Date Treaty Yes No Turnout 10.05.72 Accession 83.1 16.9 70.9 26.05.87 SEA 69.9 30.1 44.1 18.06.92 TEU 69.1 30.9 57.3 22.05.98 Amsterdam 61.7 38.3 56.2 07.06.01 Nice 1 46.1 53.9 34.8 20.10.02 Nice 2 62.9 37.1 48.5 12.06.08 Lisbon 1 46.6 53.4 53.1 02.10.09 Lisbon 2 67.13 32.87 53.13 31.05.12 Fiscal Compact 60.29 39.71 50.6 2 Ireland • 9 Referendums/ largest number of all member states • 7 Yes/2 No • Bunreacht na hÉireann: Article 29.4.3° enabling the laws of the then European Communities entering into the Irish legal system (Third amendment of the constitution) 3 Ireland: A Referendum Country • 1987 the Supreme Court deliberated on Crotty v. An Taoiseach. – Crotty Judgement has had major effects – Crotty renders a constitutional amendment necessary in Ireland whenever the Government wishes the State to ratify a Treaty which in the view of the Irish courts would go beyond the ‘essential scope’ or ‘objectives’ of the existing Treaties 4 Implications For the Wider EU • Negotiations in the shadow of a referendum • Impact of Outcome (Yes/No) • A ‘No’ becomes a European Question • Response to a ‘No’ 5 In the Aftermath of a No • Outside-In Dynamic • Domestic Dynamics • Inside-out Dynamics • Inside-Out Dynamics 6 The New Deal • One Commissioner per Member State • Declaration on Workers’ Rights • Clarification on issues of domestic and specific interest 7 The Value of Direct Democracy • More Knowledge about the EU? • Ownership of decisions-deliberaton over a short time framework but intense • Consent of the People 8 9 10