New therapeutic and preventive medicines to fight the Ebola epidemic: December 2014 Status report 16 December 2014 Cumulative EVD cases and deaths Date of situation report Confirmed Probable Suspected Total Deaths Guinea 13-Dec 2,115 263 16 2,394 1,518 Liberia 9-Dec 2,946 1,801 3,050 7,797 3,290 Sierra Leone 13-Dec 6,638 79 1,556 8,273 2,033 11,699 2,143 4,622 18,464 6,841 Total 2| 3| Ebola epidemiological curve *Data represents confirmed cases in patient database and situation report **For Liberia, laboratory confirmed cases have been available at the country level since 03 November in the situation report Latest Sitrep 13 Dec - GN 09 Dec - LB 13 Dec - SL 4| Ebola epidemiological curve *Data represents confirmed cases in patient database and situation report **For Liberia, laboratory confirmed cases have been available at the country level since 03 November in the situation report Latest Sitrep 13 Dec - GN 09 Dec - LB 13 Dec - SL 5| Cumulative EVD infections in health-care workers, as of 16 December 2014 Country Guinea Liberia Sierra Leone All countries 6| Case definition Total Cases* Total Deaths 103 50 Probable 9 9 Suspected 0 0 Total 112 59 Confirmed 197 115 Probable 66 29 Suspected 101 39 Total 364 183 Confirmed 216 105 Probable 38 8 Suspected 57 21 Total 311 134 Confirmed 516 270 Probable 113 46 Suspected 158 60 Total 787 376 Confirmed Source: Patient database as of 15th December 2014 *Includes patients for which outcome data is unavailable 7| 8| Accelerating access to vaccines and therapeutics is a high priority In parallel… Development Testing Licensure Plan for use Accelerating access to Ebola vaccines From research to large scale use Dr Ana Maria Henao-Restrepo MD MSc Group Leader, Vaccine Phase 3 trials and early deployment Experimental Ebola therapeutics and Vaccines A comprehensive scale-up plan Key issues to consider A B Clinical trials and tech choice Regulation and safety C Supply demand D Vaccination strategies & Access E F Scale-up Enablers ▪ Is the vaccine safe and effective? ▪ Which of the technologies to be used? ▪ What is the Target Product Profile and implications? ▪ How can clinical trial programs be accelerated? Focus today ▪ What is the benefit-risk profile and can the Vx be used at population level? ▪ What are the post-licensure activities / surveillance / adverse events? ▪ What surveillance systems are in place? ▪ How can we mitigate supply risks and accelerate supply scale-up? ▪ What is the most likely supply map in short and long term? ▪ What are different supply scenarios (dosage, yield, scale-up)? ▪ What demand scenarios exist (age, geography, stockpile…)? ▪ What to do to ensure formulation is as suited to use as possible? ▪ What are vaccination strategies to use and why (e.g. ring-vaccination, cohorts, HCPs, high intensity areas, high risk countries)? ▪ What are different access scenarios? ▪ What is the recommended use for the initial vaccine stocks? ▪ Mechanism of vaccine administration in different populations? ▪ How to manage the cold chain and logistics of distribution? ▪ What are the main drivers of cost and how can they be controlled? ▪ Who can finance and how? ▪ How to best organize procurement? ▪ What is the right framework to think about liability? Plan Ebola vaccines currently under clinical evaluation rVSV-ZEBOV Recombinant vesicular stomatitis virus It aims to induce EVD-specific immune responses. Merck/NewLink Pharmaceuticals/Public Health Agency of Canada ChAd3-ZEBOV Chimpanzee adenovirus 3 It uses a chimpanzee adenovirus that does not grow, containing the gene for EVD surface protein. GSK/NIAID Kanapathipillai R et al. N Engl J Med 2014. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1412166 Ebola vaccines under Preclinical evaluation Adenovirus, lentivirus and influenza virus based Ebola candidates. Russian candidates (2015) HPIV-3 live attenuated Intranasal (two versions), NIAID (March/April 2015) Ebola recombinant nanoparticle with Matrix M adjuvant Novovax (1st quarter 2015) Oral adenovirus 5 Ebola vaccine Vaxart (1st quarter 2015) Ebola recombinant protein Protein Sciences (1st trimester 2015 ) Recombinant rabies virus Thomas Jefferson Univ. (2015) DNA expressing Ebola glycoprotein with electrophoration. Inovio (2015) Rabies Ebola gp inactivated, Intranasal, NIAID (2015) Alternate rVSV Ebola vaccine Profectus (mid- 2015) Description, developer (estimated date when clinical testing will start) Ad26/Ad35/MVA J&J/Crucell (Jan 2015) Jan 2015 June 2015 13 Dec 2015 Near-term development plan Nonclinical eval in NHPs GMP grade vaccine Phase 1 Phase 2a Phase 2b Safety and dose selection Large scale safety Preliminary efficacy Phase 3 Efficacy Sept-Nov 2014 1st Quarter 2015 Emergency use under informed consent Data collection Non-affected areas Large-scale vaccination Affected areas Ebola vaccines in clinical testingPhase 1 studies NIAID-USA Kilifi-Kenya 30 healthy adults Two dose schedule, Safety 40 healthy adults Dose-selection, Safety WRAIR-USA Lambarene-Gabon 30 healthy adults Dose-escalation, Safety 60 healthy adults Dose-selection, Safety Oxford-UK Monovalent 60 healthy adults Dose-escalation, Safety Lausanne-Suisse Monovalent 100 healthy adults Dose-escalation, Safety Geneva-Suisse VRC-USA Bivalent 20 healthy adults Dose-escalation, Safety CVD - Mali Monovalent 80 healthy adults Dose-escalation, Safety rVSV: Phase 1 trials ChAd3: Phase 1 trials Sept 2014 Oct 2014 100 healthy adults Dose-selection, Safety Hamburg-Germany 30 healthy adults Dose-selection, Safety Nov 2014 15 Ebola vaccines in clinical testing Plans for phase 2, 3 studies Guinea Consortium (rVSV and?or ChAd3) Ring Vaccination and FLWs Phase 2 multisite multicountry RCT Single common protocol Efficacy, Safety total of ?3000 including ?500 children, - other special populations? Sierra Leone CDC(rVSV-ChAd3) Stepped Wedged Efficacy, Safety Possible countries are Ghana, Mali, Cameroon, Nigeria, Senegal, Cote d’Ivoire Safety, Immunogenicity Liberia-Monrovia NIH- ChAd3 + rVSV RCTs 3 arm study Efficacy, Safety Jan- Feb 2015 Early results of vaccine efficacy 2nd Q 2015 16 Ebola Vaccines - Key milestones Preparation started of sites for Phase 3 studies in Ebola affected countries Agreed protocols (including Phase 3) trials across sites Initiation of Phase 1 trials for the two most advanced vaccines Start of Phase 3 trials in Ebola affected countries Early results of vaccine efficacy Initial safety and immunogenicity from Phase 1 trials available Sept - Oct 2015 Nov-Dec 2015 17 1st quarter 2015 2nd Q 2015 Whole blood and convalescent plasma WHO guideline (Sept 2014): There is consensus that the use of whole blood and convalescent blood serums needs to be considered as a matter of priority. Use of convalescent whole blood or plasma collected from patients who have recovered from Ebola virus disease for transfusion as an empirical treatment during outbreaks Identification of patients recovered from EVD as potential blood donors Informed consent and selection of donors Donor’s blood grouping and screening for transfusion-transmissible infections Blood collection and donor care Labelling, storage, and transportation of blood and plasma products to sites where transfusion is given Selection of EVD patients for this intervention Clinical transfusion process Data collection at the transfusion site Assessment of effectiveness of this empirical treatment http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/135591/1/WHO_HIS_SDS_2014.8_eng.pdf 18 | Blood Products Guinea Guinea/Belgium/UK/France Guinea/Belgium/UK/France Deploying imminently Deploying imminently Whole Blood Plasma Running Running Whole blood Plasma Running Planning Whole Blood Plasma To be deployed TBC (IgG?) Liberia Government US (Clin RM/BMFG) Sierra Leone Government Others Nigeria Clin RM Other Adjacent countries – strengthening preparedness: mtg end Feb Expatriated patients – receiving convalescent plasma 19 | Effective community engagement Draft WHO document on key considerations for effective community engagement in blood donation for compassionate use and clinical trials Document outlines a draft model and key considerations to enable national health authorities, blood transfusion services and trial investigators to effectively engage with communities to prepare EVD survivors and the communities for blood donation and the clinical trials Aims to help to ensure informed participation of survivors and communities and avoid the additional pressure and anxiety inappropriate and/or insufficient community engagement can place to already vulnerable groups. 20 | WHO Ebola Blood and Plasma Working Group Strengthening NBTS In-depth assessment of BTS conducted in affected countries The NBTS in affected countries have suffered from a decade of under resourcing; in staff recruitment, staff development, facility maintenance, effective consumables procurement, equipment provision and maintenance The services were unable to meet the nations’ needs prior to the outbreak - for this emergency the services are not in a position to support either the compassionate use or the clinical trials Substantial investment is needed to refresh and resource the services during the recovery phase Country specific plans for system strengthening are developed training needs are identified – meeting planned for mid-Jan 2015 21 | WHO Ebola Blood and Plasma Working Group Experimental therapies used to treat Ebola Prioritized for consideration based on the availability of NHP efficacy data with a filovirus challenge and justification for a human dose based on clinical data of the product or comparable products within that class. e: Adapted from the Washington Post, Oct 7, 2014 1- Targets the virus before it enters the cell Zmapp A cocktail of three monoclonal antibodies, which block or neutralises the virus by binding to or coating a different site on the covering or “envelope” of the virus Hyperimune globulin 4- Bolsters human cells Interferons - Induce an antiviral state in exposed cells and regulates the immune system Antibodies that can neutralize the different EVD strains. 5- Testing existing drugs approved for other purposes 3- Prevents virus from exiting host cells All drugs Screening all licensed drugs. 6- Whole blood transfusions and convalescent plasma 2- Interferes with viral production TKM 100802Ebola Target two essential viral genes to stop the Ebola from replicating. AVI 7537 Sarepta Molecules that bind viral RNA, blocking gene function. Favipiravir T705 Disrupts enzymes that the virus uses to make copies of himself. BCX4430 Biocryst Disrupts enzymes that the virus uses to make copies of himself. Brincidofovir Disrupts enzymes that the virus uses to make copies of himself. Therapeutics Zmapp (Mapp) siRNA/ AVI-7537 (Serepta) siRNA/ TKM-100802 (Tekmira) rNAPc2 (ARCA biopharma) BCX4430 (Biocryst) Favipirivir/T705 (Fuji/Toyama) Brincidofovir (Chimerix) Toremifene Inteferons Lamivudine (GSK) Amiodarone New Potential Interventions 23 | The ‘stuff’ that is being proposed to WHO for testing in the field… Vulture Gastric Fluid Silver suspensions Chamomile tea Micronutrients Ayurvedic oils Crystals Homeopathy Bath salts Magnets Electromagnetic waves 24 | Vitamins HIV therapies Root extracts Health System Building/Repair/Development Expert training Funding for development Equipment deployment Integrating development into trials Understanding the needs 25 | Diagnostics 17 tests under investigation (1 approved for procurement) Others being received 4 main purposes – – – – Identification/ Confirmation Field test Entry/Exit tests Detailed test for data gathering Need for standards/ standard testing 26 | Regulators: ICDRA recommendations to Member States Ensure there are emergency use regulatory pathways in place; Ensure there is rapid and proactive cooperation and collaboration between regulators, and also with WHO, to help accelerate development and evaluation of investigational treatments and vaccines; Drive innovative clinical trial design for situations like the current EVD emergency where traditional clinical trial designs may not be feasible. 27 | Regulators: ICDRA recommendations to WHO Rapidly provide scientific information on the potential therapies and vaccines for EVD, and ensure the information is regularly updated; Establish and lead a network of regulators globally to address the response to EVD Facilitate collaborations between regulators in countries where products are being developed and those in countries where the products will be evaluated and, if found safe, used 28 | Research Research fields include; Therapeutics, Diagnostics, Vaccines, Epidemiology, Virology and Behavioural dynamics Trans-disciplinary approach Better future response – Investigating what we could understand about disease immunopathogenesis, viral progression and viral shedding – This could benefit patient care, infection prevention and control and contact management – What can we learn about the behavioural dynamics – This could benefit every level of our intervention in country, with all actions being impacted 29 | In the field Rumours Interventions without evidential basis Community engagement (large and small scale) Awareness Safety 30 | “Any man's death diminishes me, Because I am involved in mankind” John Donne Back-up slides 31 | 8. Considerations on operational (non-vaccine) financial needs 32 Considerations on operational (non-vaccine) financial needs for roll out of vaccination strategies Typical campaign costs Special considerations Ebola vaccine Type of vaccination strategy Planning, management and coordination 33 Possible Ebola Vaccination Strategies Ring vaccination Mobile teams CommunityHCWs in ETCs based Ebola responders Target age groups: Adults older than 15 yo Target age groups: Children < 15 yo Similar to measles campaigns Contacts of Home-based Ebola patients care takers of Ebola patients Pregnant women People living with HIV Health care centre 34 Ebola vaccination campaigns Planning, management, and coordination Availability of data for decision making on an hour by hour basis to identify and manage issues and bring reinforcements High quality microplanning/preparatio n to identify target population, and to identify logistical and funding requirements Campaign “readiness dashboards” might be considered Before campaign Real time tracking and reporting of vaccination team supervision. Assessment of vaccine coverage Vaccine coverage monitoring Evaluation of lessons learned Coordination of data managers at district, regional, national levels Drafting guidelines for Ebola vaccination campaign management During campaign After campaign 35 Typical operational costs of other types of vaccination campaigns 5 5.0 4 3 2 3.0 3.0 2.0 1 0.6 0 0.2 Polio Medical volunteers travel house to house to identify and vaccinate children aged <5 years with oral polio vaccine Measles Trained health workers work at permanent, temporary or field posts to vaccinate children aged <5 years with injectable measles vaccine HPV Trained health workers travel to schools to vaccinate adolescent girls with injectable HPV vaccine 36 Operational costs of an Ebola vaccine campaign are likely to be higher than those of other campaigns Category Social mobilisation to explain target populations Training and supervision for a new “special” vaccine More human resource requirements may be needed Transport to access remote locations Immunisation session supplies for vaccine monitoring Other Special considerations for an Ebola vaccine campaign plan are pertinent Category Cold chain equipment/special logistics Security and crowd control Infection control programme and supplies Monitoring of Adverse Events Waste management Stockpiling challenges are more than financing and vaccine supply future outbreaks might involve other strains physical/behavioural interventions may continue to be the mainstay of outbreak control timing of outbreaks is somewhat unpredictable need international mechanism to manage stockpile 39 Oversight African Vaccine Regulators Forum (AVAREF): Review of IND application: Protocols, IB, Ethics and informant consent WHO Advisory Committee on Regulatory Emergency Authorization of unlicensed Ebola Vaccines: Review of GMP, evidence on safety and efficacy, programmatic suitability. Time limited authorization for use. WHO Ebola Vaccines Risk Assessment Group and WHO Global Advisory Committee on Vaccine Safety: Evaluation of safety data and opinion on potential risks and benefits Strategic and Technical Advisory Committee on Experimental Ebola Therapeutics and Vaccines (STAC-EE): Review of development plan, expert opinion on protocol design, and interpretation of data emerging from trials. Strategic Advisory Group of Experts: Review of evidence to inform policy considerations for large scale use, if appropriate 40 "The vaccine is not the magic bullet. But when ready, they may be a good part of the effort to turn the tide of this epidemic.” 41 Acknowledgements 42