The Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment Chapter 7 © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 The Spectrum of Political Ideology Toward FDI Radical View Pragmatic Nationalism Free Market Figure 7.1 © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-1 Radical View Marxist view is that MNE’s enslave less developed countries. Instrument of domination not development. Popular from WWII to the 1980s. Practiced by Eastern Europe, India, China, 3d World Countries. Ended with the collapse of Communism. Bad performance by those countries vs those with freer market approach © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-2 Free Market View Sees FDI as way to disperse production and flow of goods and services in the most efficient manner. Supported by Smith and Ricardo and ‘market imperfection’ explanations of FDI. However, all countries impose some restrictions on FDI. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-3 Pragmatic View Lies somewhere between radical and free market views. Gov’ts should maximize national benefits and minimize costs of FDI. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-4 Ideology and FDI Ideology Characteristics Host-Government Policy Implications Radical Marxist roots Views the MNE as an instrument of imperialist domination Prohibit FDI Nationalize subsidiaries of foreign-owned MNEs Free Market Classical economic roots (Smith) Views the MNE as an instrument for allocating production to most efficient locations No restrictions on FDI Pragmatic Nationalism Views FDI as having both benefits and costs Restrict FDI where costs outweigh benefits Bargain for greater benefits and fewer costs Aggressively court beneficial FDI by offering incentives Table 7.1 © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-5 Benefits of FDI to Host Countries Resource-transfer effects. Employment effect. Balance-of-payments effect. Economic growth. 7-6 © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 Resource-Transfer Effects Capital. Technology. Management. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-7 Employment Effects Brings jobs that otherwise would not be created. Direct: Hiring host-country citizens. Indirect: • Jobs created by local suppliers. • Jobs created by increased spending by employees of the multi-national enterprise. Questions remain on whether net jobs gained. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-8 Balance-of-Payments Effects Host country benefits from initial capital inflow when MNE establishes business. Host country records current account debit on repatriated earnings of MNE. Host country benefits if FDI substitutes for imports of goods and services. Host country benefits when MNE uses its foreign subsidiary to export to other countries. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-9 US Balance-of-Payments Accounts 1995 $Millions Current Account Export of goods, services and income Merchandise Services Income receipts on investments Imports of goods, services and income Merchandise Services Income payments on investments Unilateral transfers Balance of current account Credits Debits $969,189 575,940 210,590 182,659 $-1,082,268 -749,364 -142,230 -190,674 -35,075 -113,079 Capital Account Table 7.2 US assets abroad (net) US official reserve assets Other government assets US private assets Foreign assets in the US Foreign official assets Other foreign assets Balance on capital account Statistical discrepancy © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 -307,856 -9,742 -280 -297,834 424,462 109,757 314,705 116,606 31,548 7-10 Economic Growth Increased: productivity growth, product and process innovation, and greater economic growth, Stemming from increased competition of MNE’s investments. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-11 Host Country Problems With FDI Drives out local competitors. Can prevent the development of ‘local’ competitors. Profits brought home ‘hurts’ (debit) a host’s capital account. Parts imported for assembly hurt trade balance. Can affect sovereignty and national defense. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-12 Home Country FDI Benefits Improves balance of payments for inward flow of foreign earnings. Creates a demand for exports. Export demand can create jobs. Increased knowledge from operating in a foreign environment. Benefits the consumer through lower prices. Frees up employees and resources for higher value activities. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-13 Home Country Problems with FDI Negative effect on Balance of Payments Initial capital outflow. MNE uses foreign subsidiary to sell back to home market. MNE uses foreign subsidiary as a substitute for direct exports. Potential loss of jobs. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-14 How Do Countries Encourage FDI? Risk insurance.(Home) Elimination of double taxation. (Home) Tax incentives.(Host) Low interest rates. (Host) Stable government and stable policies. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-15 How Do Countries Discourage FDI? Limit capital outflows. (Home) Manipulate tax code to encourage domestic investment. (Home) Political restrictions on investing in certain countries. (Home) Ownership restraints. (Host) Performance requirements. (Host) © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-16 Cross-Border Mergers 300 250 200 150 $ Billions 100 © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 May-98 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 0 1980 50 7-17 The Nature of Negotiation Objective: reach an agreement that benefits both parties. In the international context, must: understand the influence of norms and value systems. Be sensitive to how these factors influence a company’s approach to negotiations. © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-18 The Context of Negotiation The four Cs Common Conflicting Interests Interests Negotiation Process Compromise © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 Criteria Figure 7.2 7-19 Determinants of Bargaining Power Bargaining Power of Firm High Low Firms time horizon Long Short Comparable alternatives open to firm Many Few Value placed by host government on investment High Low Table 7.3 © McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 7-20