Back to Basics, 2013 POPULATION HEALTH: Infectious Diseases and Outbreak Investigation N. Birkett, MD Epidemiology & Community Medicine Other resources available on Individual & Population Health web site 03/2013 1 78-5 Outbreak Management (1) • Physicians are crucial participants in the control of outbreaks of disease. • They must be able to • diagnose cases, • recognize outbreaks, • report these to public health authorities and • work with authorities to limit the spread of the outbreak. • A common example includes physicians working in nursing homes and being asked to assist in the control of an outbreak of influenza or diarrhoea. 03/2013 2 78-5 Outbreak Management (2) Key Objectives • Know the defining characteristics of an outbreak and how to recognize one when it occurs. • Demonstrate essential skills involved in controlling an outbreak and its impact on the public, in collaboration with public health authorities as appropriate. 03/2013 3 78-5 Outbreak Management (3) Enabling Objectives • Define an outbreak in terms of an excessive number of cases beyond that usually expected. • Describe and understand the main steps in outbreak management and prevention. • Demonstrate skills in effective outbreak management including infection control when the outbreak is due to an infectious agent. • Describe the different types of infection control practices and justify which type is most appropriately implemented for different outbreak conditions. • Demonstrate effective communication skills with patients and the community as a whole. • Describe appropriate approaches to prevent or reduce the risk of the outbreak recurring. 03/2013 4 Infectious Disease Summary • Terminology • Nature of diseases • Outbreaks/epidemics – Identification – Methods of control 03/2013 5 03/2013 6 Infections: Sources and agents (1) Foodborne • Botulism • Clostridium perfringens • Hepatitis A • Norovirus • Salmonellosis • Shigellosis • Staphylococcal disease • Trichinosis Water & Foodborne • Amebiasis • Cholera • Giardiasis • Legionellosis • E coli 03/2013 Person-to-person spread • Aseptic meningitis • Hepatitis B and C • Respiratory Infections (e.g., influenza) • Herpes simplex • Streptococcal disease • Tuberculosis • Leprosy 7 Infections: Sources and agents (2) Vaccine preventable • Chickenpox • Diphtheria, pertussis, tetanus • Hepatitis A and B • HPV • Influenza • Measles, mumps, rubella • Meningococcal • Pneumococcal • Poliomyelitis Sexually Transmitted • HIV/AIDS • Gonorrhea • Syphilis • Chlamydia trachomatis 03/2013 Arthropod Borne • Encephalitis (West Nile) • Lyme Disease • Malaria • Plague • Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever Zoonotic • Psittacosis • Q fever • Rabies • Hantavirus • West Nile Prions • Kuru • vCJD Fungal • Candidiasis • Coccidioidomycosis • Histoplasmosis 8 Terminology (1) • Infectivity – The ability of an agent to invade and multiply in a host (an infection). – Dose of organism required to establish infection in 50% of animals. • Pathogenicity – The ability of an agent to produce clinically apparent illness. • Pathogen – Infectious and non-infectious substances capable of producing tissue damage or initiating a process which can lead to a disease. 03/2013 9 Terminology (2) • Virulence – The proportion of clinical cases which produce severe disease and/or permanent sequelae. • Immunogenicity – The ability of an agent to produce specific immunity against the agent – Can be produced in general body or within specific sites such as the GI tract. – Determines the ability of an agent to re-infect the same host • e.g., measles vs. gonorrhea 03/2013 10 Terminology (3) • Reservoir – Living organisms or inanimate matter in which infectious agent normally lives and multiplies • Fomites (Vehicle) – Inanimate objects contaminated with infectious agent (not the reservoir). • E.g. toys in a daycare centre. • Vector – An animate source of an infectious agent. • The vector may be infected with the organism (e.g. mosquitoes and malaria) or just be a mechanical carrier (e.g. flies). • Usually insects or small mammals such as rodents. 03/2013 11 Terminology (4) • Zoonoses – Diseases transmitted to humans from animals (e.g. anthrax) • Carrier – An infected person without apparent clinical disease who remains infectious (e.g. Typhoid Mary) • Index Case – The first case to be diagnosed in an outbreak – Sometimes defined as the first case noticed in the outbreak • Contacts – People who have possibly been infected due to relevant contact with an infectious case 03/2013 12 Terminology (5) • Attack Rate – The probability that people will get ill from the disease. Usually applied in an outbreak situation. 03/2013 13 Terminology (6) • Secondary Attack Rate – Probability of infection in a closed group who are at risk but excluding the index case(s). Formula is: 03/2013 14 Terminology (7) • Case Fatality Rate (CFR) – The probability of death in people with an infection. 03/2013 15 03/2013 16 03/2013 17 03/2013 18 Pathogenic Mechanisms (1) • • • • • Direct Tissue Invasion (Group A Strep) Production of Toxins (Diphtheria) Allergic Host Reaction Resistant/latent infection (carriers) Enhancement of host susceptibility to drugs (e.g. Reye’s syndrome and ASA). • Immune Suppression 03/2013 19 Reservoirs (examples of transmission patterns) • Human Human Human • Animal Animal Human Animal Animal Vector Vector Human 03/2013 20 Mechanisms of Spread (1) Direct transmission • Touch (many URI’s, scabies) • Bite (rabies) • Kiss (mononucleosis) • Sexual contact (Chlamydia) • Droplet, over 5μ, spread 1-2 meters (resp. virus) • Soil (tetanus) • Transplacental (hepatitis B) 03/2013 Indirect transmission • Vehicle borne (inanimate) • fomites (e.g. toys) • Food • IV fluid • organism may or may not multiply • E. coli in hamburger • Vector borne (animate) • mechanical (e.g. soiled feet of insect) • biological (e.g. malaria) 21 Mechanisms of Spread (2) Airborne transmission • Droplet nuclei – – – – – tuberculosis measles varicella smallpox ? Influenza • Dust – anthrax 03/2013 22 Epidemics (1) • Epidemic – now often called an ‘outbreak’, especially if localized – the occurrence (in a community or region) of a disease/condition/behaviour clearly in excess of normal expectancy • Pandemic – an epidemic covering a very wide area and affecting a large proportion of the population (SIM web link) – Controversial definition • Consider H1N1 outbreak • Endemic – the occurrence of a disease/condition at a relatively constant level in a given setting, usually with on-going transmission 03/2013 23 Epidemics (2) • Conditions increasing likelihood of an epidemic – Agent conditions • Introduction of a new pathogen • Increased amount of a pathogen • Change in the virulence of a pathogen. – Population conditions • An adequate number of exposed and susceptible persons. – An effective means of transmission between the source of the pathogen and the susceptible person. 03/2013 24 Epidemics (3) • Incubation period and possible causal agents Time frame Examples Hours Food toxins Heavy metals Days Bacterial infections Salmonella / cholera Weeks Measles / mumps / Hep A Months Hep B / Rabies Years Kuru / cancer 03/2013 25 Epidemics (4) • Types of epidemics – Common source • Point source • Ongoing exposure • Need not be geographically localized – Propagated/progressive – Mixed • Epidemic curve • Spot maps • Note that epidemics can arise from behaviour as well as from traditional infectious sources. 03/2013 26 Epidemic Curves: point source (1) 03/2013 27 Epidemic Curves: propagated (2) 10 days 03/2013 28 Distribution of cases by onset of symptoms: point source type Number of cases 20 15 10 Maximum incubation period Average incubation period Minimum incubation period 5 0 03/2013 Exposure Units of Time 29 Distribution of cases by onset of symptoms Continuous Source type Number of cases 20 15 10 5 0 Exposure begins & continues 03/2013 Units of Time 30 03/2013 31 Factors Influencing Spread of Disease in a Population (1) • Period of infectivity in relationship to symptoms – Includes consideration of carrier states • Herd immunity • Type of spread – Direct – Indirect – Airborne • Transmission mechanics – Consider sexual vs. droplet spread 03/2013 32 Herd Immunity Develop disease Immune 03/2013 33 Epidemic Control (1) • Twin goals: – Minimize the impact to the affected community – Understand the cause and mode of transmission • Goals can conflict: – Need to take action in absence of full information – Need to collect full information base • Effective and clear communication with general public is essential – Designate one spokesperson – Regular press briefings – Lessons from the SARS outbreak 03/2013 34 Outbreak control measures (1) Isolation • separation of infectious persons or animals from others during the period of communicability – usually isolate for at least two incubation periods. Quarantine • restrictions on the activities of well people who (may) have been exposed to a communicable disease during its period of communicability. – active surveillance is an alternative – Quarantine for the longest usual incubation period • Often at least two incubation periods. – More controversial than isolation since it affects people who are not currently ill (and may never get ill). – we expect some who are quarantined to get sick 03/2013 35 Outbreak control measures (2) Immunization • passive or active • Passive can be more useful for acute outbreak control Chemoprophylaxis • Treat people with disease • Preventive use of antibiotics for people exposed – tuberculosis – meningococcal infection Harm Reduction (for long term outbreaks) • Focus on prevent adverse effects from harmful exposures – Needle exchange – Safe Injection sites 03/2013 36 Outbreak control measures (3) Reduce host susceptibility • Immunization (active and passive) • nutrition • improve living conditions and other social determinants of health Interrupt transmission of the agent • quarantine/isolation • case treatment • contract tracing • inspections • environmental clean-up • animal population control – rabies vaccination of wild animals – insect spraying – monitor for animal infections 03/2013 37 Outbreak control measures (4) Inactivate agent • water purification; chlorination Personal hygiene measures • hand hygiene (#1 strategy) • cough etiquette • protective clothing (masks, gowns) • avoid at risk situations Family/community measures • preventing sexual abuse of children leads to reduction in STIs • Needle exchange and related programmes. 03/2013 38 Surveillance (1) The continuing scrutiny of all aspects of occurrence and spread of disease that are pertinent to effective control • Reportable diseases. – legal obligation to report designated diseases to local public health department – list includes • AIDS • food poisoning • encephalitis • STIs • influenza • Lassa fever • SARS • plus many more 03/2013 39 Surveillance (2) The continuing scrutiny of all aspects of occurrence and spread of disease that are pertinent to effective control • • • • • • • • • Reportable diseases. Sentinel practices Animal/water surveys Environmental monitoring Mortality (vital statistics) Provincial laboratory tests Epidemic investigations Disease registries CIHI and related data. 03/2013 40 03/2013 41