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QUANTITATIVE METHODS

IN IB RESEARCH

Kaisu Puumalainen

Lappeenranta University of Technology

Tel. 05- 621 7238, 040-541 9831 kaisu.puumalainen@lut.fi

INTRODUCTION

After the course, you can…

 critically evaluate the research design and results of empirical studies

 design an international large-scale survey use databases to collect literature and data develop valid and reliable measures for abstract constructs

 recognize the main problems in cross-cultural studies understand the applicability of the most typical quantitative analysis methods

 use SAS software for analysing data write a master’s thesis based on quantitative empirical data

Timetable

15.2. introduction, research process, reporting

26.2. databases

15.3. research design

22.3. research design

29.3. international issues

9.4. assignment 1 DL

12.4. analysis methods

14.4. exam

19.4. introduction to SAS

26.4. analysis with SAS

7.5. assignment 2 DL

14.5. exam resit, if needed

Proposals & theses to review

Part I: review the two research proposals

– Write down a report of 2-5 pages

– You can do the report together with another student

A list of issues to be covered is on the following slide

– Structure the report e.g. as follows:

1.

Description and evaluation of proposal I

2.

Description and evaluation of proposal II

3.

Comparison of the two proposals

Part II: evaluation of the two theses

– Give grades 1-5 for each area and complement with max 1 page description of the strengths and weaknesses

DL 9.4.2010, return to kaisu.puumalainen@lut.fi

Review of the proposals

 Overall structure, are all relevant issues covered?

 Problem specification

 Empirical context of the study (country, industry, firm size), fit with problem?

 Research approach and data collection (method, sampling, informant)

 Operationalization of key concepts

 Analysis methods (choice, reporting)

 Biases, reliability and validity

 Formalities (references, writing, etc.)

Research proposal

4.

5.

1.

2.

3.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

11.

12.

Title

Background

The research problem and research objective(s)/question(s) (which further can be divided into sub objectives/questions)

Literature overview (What literature and studies are available of the subject? How this study is positioned to these research streams, and whether a research gap exists?)

Preliminary theoretical framework (What area(s) of business theory does the research topic belong to.)

Definitions (of special terminology used in the thesis)

Limitations and scope (what issues will be excluded and for what reason)

Method of research

Structure of the research

Tentative table of contents of the final report

Available source material

Tentative time table http://www.des.emory.edu/mfp/proposal.html

http://www.statpac.com/research-papers/research-proposal.htm

Evaluation of theses: areas to grade

Definition of the research problem

Positioning to existing research

Concepts, models, hypotheses& frameworks

Data collection

Analysis

Discussion, interpretation of results

Balanced structure of the report

Systematic and logic of the report

Thoroughness

Independence, criticality and effort

Reporting style

Readability

Evaluation of theses: scale

1 = weak

2 = mediocre

3 = satisfactory

4 = good

5 = excellent

Data collection and analysis exercise

 DL 7.5.

 Graded 0-5, forms 25% of final grade

 Pairwork

 Data collection starts on 26.2. and more detailed instructions will be given

REPORTING A QUANTITATIVE

STUDY

Reporting a quantitative study

 Structure of the report/article:

– Introduction

– Theoretical part (including framework + hypotheses)

– Methodology (sampling + data collection + measures + analysis)

– Results (descriptive + testing)

– Discussion (evaluation + implications)

– Conclusion (limitations + further research)

Introduction

 Relevance of the topic

– Practical reasons

– Academic interest

 Research gap and research questions

– Overall literature review

– It has not been done yet, why should it be done

 How are we going to fill the gap in this study

 Clearly articulate the study’s contributions

Literature search

 Article databases

– ABI, EBSCO, Elsevier, Emerald, JSTOR, Springer,

Wiley

– http://www.lut.fi/fi/library/databases works through

VPN

 Citation information

– ISI Web of Science, ISI JCR

– http://www.lut.fi/fi/library/databases works through

VPN

 Google Scholar

– http://scholar.google.fi/

Literature review

 Stand-alone and embedded reviews

 Literature search (leading journals, databases, reference lists, web of science for forward citations, conference proceedings, working papers, books, managerial journals)

 Start reading (find key articles, reviews, metaanalyses, date order, key author order)

 Create a concept matrix, tables

Literature review

 Analyze the literature

– History and origins of the topic

– Main concepts

– Key relationships of the concepts

– Research methods and applications

 Identify key contributions, strengths and deficiencies or inconsistencies

 Synthesize

– A research agenda

– A taxonomy

– An alternative model or conceptual framework

Articles on conducting a lit review

 Torraco, R.J. (2005) Writing integrative literature reviews: Guidelines and examples, Human Resource

Development Review , 4 (3):356-367

 Webster, J. & Watson, R.T. (2002) Analyzing the past to prepare for the future: Writing a literature review, MIS

Quarterly , 26 (2):13-23

 Rowley, J.& Slack, F. (2004) Conducting a literature review, Management Research News , 27 (6):31-39

 Gabbott, M. (2004) Undertaking a literature review in marketing, The Marketing Review , 4:411-429

Development of hypotheses

 Three sources:

– Theoretical explanation for ”why?” (must always be there)

– Past empirical findings (optional, from same or related fields)

– Practice or experience (optional)

Reporting the methodology 1

 sample:

– Population specifications, sampling frame, size

– Informant(s), method, process

 Data collection:

– Choice of data collection method, process, instrument development, pre-testing

– Response rate, representativeness

Example: data collection (1)

The empirical data used in this study is drawn from a dataset collected using a structured mail questionnaire. The survey was carried out in spring 2004. The initial population consisted of Finnish companies engaged in R&D from eight different industry categories: food, forestry, furniture, chemicals, metals, electronics, information and communications technology (ICT), and services.

The questionnaire was developed partly by using extant measurement scales, which were translated into

Finnish. The use of a back-translation procedure involving a native English speaker ensured that the meanings of the item statements were not altered. Seven-point Likert scales were mainly used to minimize executive response time and effort (Knight & Cavusgil 2004). Pretests for getting feedback regarding the clarity of the survey items were conducted with ten companies of varying size in different sectors.

Like numerous other researchers, we chose to rely on single key informants in our data collection. In order to maximize the data accuracy and reliability, we followed Huber and Power’s (1985) guidelines on how to get quality data from single informants. Entrepreneurial orientation is normally operationalized from the perspective of the CEO (Covin & Slevin 1989; Wiklund & Shepherd 2003), and CEOs are typically the most knowledgeable persons regarding their companies’ strategies and overall business situations (Zahra &

Covin 1995). Most of our respondents had titles such as chief executive officer, managing director, chief technology officer and R&D director, indicating a senior position in the firm.

Example: data collection (2)

A total of 1140 companies were identified from the Blue Book Database.

Of those, 881 were reached by telephone and were found eligible to answer questionnaire. Other firms were not reached in spite of numerous telephone calls, or were considered ineligible. Eligibility and the identity of the most suitable key informants were ascertained during the telephone conversation. Participation in the survey was solicited by means of incentives such as the offer of a summary report of the results, and by assuring confidentiality of the responses. Of the firms contacted by telephone, 200 refused to participate. The survey questionnaire, along with a preaddressed postage-paid return envelope and a cover letter describing the purpose of the research, was mailed to the 681 firms that agreed to participate. A reminder e-mail was sent to those who had not answered within two weeks.

Example: data collection (3)

A total of 299 responses were received, yielding a satisfactory effective response rate of

33.9% (299/881). Non-response bias was assessed on a number of variables (e.g., size, profitability, time of latest new product launch, international operation mode) by comparing early and late respondents, following the suggestions of Armstrong and Overton (1977).

There was no evidence of non-response bias, with the exception that the firm size of the early and late respondents differed slightly: it was larger in the late-respondent group when measured against the number of employees (the sample means for the early and late respondents were 140 and 205 employees, t= -2.50, d.f.=121, sig.=.014). We also compared the distribution of the number of employees in our data with the corresponding distribution of all Finnish companies with more than 50 employees, and found that in the categories between

100 and 999 employees, the proportions were equal. Four per cent of firms have more than

1000 employees (Statistics Finland 2004), as did 13% of our sample. This suggests that very large companies may be over-represented, and is in contrast with the comparison of early and late respondents implying that companies with large numbers of employees might be underrepresented. Furthermore, as there was no significant difference between the early and late respondents in terms of turnover, we concluded that our sample was not biased.

Example: data collection (4)

In order to minimize social desirability bias in the measurement of constructs, it was emphasized in the cover letter that there were no right or wrong answers, and that the responses would remain strictly confidential (Zahra & Covin 1995). The respondents were asked to recall the situation in their companies during the most recent three year period to avoid recollection errors.

The sample used in this paper includes 217 firms from manufacturing and service segments.

Seven different industry sectors were selected in aim to obtain a heterogeneous sample so as to increase the generalizability of the findings. Since we want to make distinction between individual and firm-level factors and in this study we aspire for capturing firm-level entrepreneurship and rather formal organizational renewal capabilities, the size class was restricted to firms with 50 employees or more. The upper cut-off 1000 employees was used to filter the largest firms out.

This was done because the measures used to assess hypothesized relationship between independent and dependent variables include questions concerning organizational changes and international performance during the last three years. It is presumable that due to the organizational inertia in very large firms the lag between organizational changes and enhanced performance is longer than in small firms. Thus, it is possible that to capture the impact of organizational changes on performance of very large firms, the time period should be longer than used in this survey. To avoid the possible bias in results, the largest firms were omitted from this study.

Reporting the methodology 2

 measures:

– Measure development, control variables

– validity and reliability

 analyses:

– What analysis methods were applied for testing the hypotheses

– Validation and generalizability?

– The choices and statistics to be reported vary by analysis method

Example: measurement (1)

Dependent variables: international performance

We agree with many other authors (e.g., Cavusgil & Zou 1994; Katsikeas et al. 2000) that international performance is a multidimensional construct that should be measured using a variety of indicators (for a thorough review of the measures used, see e.g., Zou & Stan 1998; Leonidou et al. 2002; Manolova &

Manev 2004). These indicators could be objective or subjective, absolute or relative, reflecting either the scale of international operations or success in them.

We measured the scale of international operations on two objective indicators: 1) international sales as a percentage of total sales, and 2) the number of countries in which the company operates. These are both among the most commonly used proxies in this context (Walters & Samiee 1990; Sullivan 1994; Robertson

& Chetty 2000; Autio et al 2000). In their review of 31 performance studies, Walters and Samiee (1990) found that 68% of them used the first and 13% the second measure. We also computed objective relative measures of the degree of internationalization by standardizing the international sales percentage and number of countries within each industry. These relative measures gave results that were identical to the absolute measures, and are thus not reported separately. We acknowledge that growth measures would be useful objective indicators of international performance as well. Autio et al. (2000) examined change in international sales as a percentage of total sales and growth in total sales, in order to understand the overall impact of growth in international sales.

The success of international operations was assessed in a subjective manner. The respondents were asked to indicate their level of satisfaction with their international activities during the previous three years on six different dimensions of performance, and as a whole. The average of these seven items was also used as an overall indicator (Cronbach alpha = .91).

Example: measurement (2)

Our reliance on self-reported data from single informants introduces the risk of common method variance. In order to obviate this risk, we followed the procedure suggested by Wiklund and Shepherd (2003) and computed the correlation coefficient with a self-reported profitability measure and an externally obtained one. We were able to find the return on investment

(ROI) figures of 68 respondent companies from Talouselämä and

Tietoviikko magazines, which are Finnish business magazines that collect and publish annual financial data from several industries. The correlation between the measures was .40 (p<.01). In fact, the results of previous research suggest that subjective measures of performance can accurately reflect objective measures (Lumpkin & Dess 2001).

Example: measurement (3)

Independent variables

Entrepreneurial orientation was conceptualized as consisting of the dimensions of innovativeness, proactiveness and risk-taking. The measure was adapted from Naman and Slevin (1993), and Wiklund (1998), which were based on measures developed in Covin and Slevin (1988) and Miller and Friesen (1982). Pretests were conducted, after which some original items were dropped and new ones generated on the basis of previous studies on firm-level entrepreneurship. The measure included nine items, which were assessed on a scale from one to seven (see Appendix). The three dimensions are closely related, so a composite measure was constructed as an average of all nine items, resulting in a reliability coefficient of .74, which is satisfactory according to the guidelines presented in Nunnally (1978).

Example: measurement (4)

Control variables

There are firm-specific and external factors that may affect a firm’s international performance, regardless of its strategic orientation (Lumpkin

& Dess 1996) or its renewal capability. We therefore controlled for firm size, experience in international operations, and environmental dynamism.

Firm size is normally operationalized as the number of employees and/or amount of annual sales. It is assumed to affect international performance positively, as a larger firm has a larger pool of resources to exploit and the possibility to achieve advantages of scale in its international operations. In order to avoid problems of multicollinearity in the hypothesis testing, we only used annual sales turnover (reported in million €) as an indicator of firm size. The sales were log-transformed to correct for positive skewness.

Reporting the results: descriptive

Graphics

– Bar, histogram

– pie

– Line and area

– scatter

Frequency tables

Descriptive statistics (in a table)

– N

– Mean, median

– Standard deviation, min, max

– Above statistics for non-transformed variables

– (Skewness, kurtosis)

– Correlation matrix (for transformed variables)

example

N of firms

% of firms

Food Forest Chem. Metal Electronics Service ICT Total

20 21 18 79 23 17 39 217

9 10 8 36 11 8 18 100

% international 55 85 83 75 91 53 35 68

Start year Mean 1938 1957 1957 1967 1971 1953 1970 1962 in industry S.D. 43.2 26.8 28.0 24.7

Sales M€

Mean 162.3 37.9 173.1 21.4 in 2003 S.D. 344.5 52.1 258.3 25.2

25.7

40.4

40.4

43.0

125.5

152.3

36.8

30.3

33.1

32.4

59.4

143.9

Employees Mean 231.4 183.0 333.6 122.8 200.2 247.6 189.3 185.8 in 2003 S.D. 224.6 175.1 254.4 75.8 167.3 224.3 132.2 166.6

example

Variable

1. Sales M€

2. Intnl. experience

3. Env. dynamism

4. Entr. orientation

5. Rec. cap. number

6. Rec. cap. success

7. Intnl. performance

8. % of sales intnl

9. # of countries

Minimum

Maximum

Mean

Std. Deviation

Cronbach α

1 2

.29

b

3

-.19

a

4

-.06 -.01 -.01 -.05 .02 .25

b

.08

5

-.04

6

.02

7

.19

a

8

.34

b

.18

b

.22

b

.28

b

.03

.19

b

.13

.26

b

.02

.04

9

.25

.24

b b

.03

.13

-.08 .03 -.01 .08

.21

a

.00 -.03

.45

b

.24

b

.50

b

2 1 1,14 2,33 0 1,86 2 0 0

1177 204 6,57 6,06 7 5 9,43 100 140

59 28 4,14 4,14 3,98 3,57 5,91 52,05 12,23

144 25 0,99 0,74 2,14 0,61 1,68 32,6 17,61 n.a. n.a. .75 .74 n.a. .79 .91 n.a. n.a.

Significance a p < .05, b p < .01

Reporting the results: testing

 Varies by analysis method

 Model fit statistics

 Test statistic (+ standard error) and significance level or confidence interval

 Mention that basic assumptions were checked for

 (Power of the tests)

 No software output as such

 Use tables!!

Example:

The hypotheses were tested by hierarchical linear regression analysis. In the base model, only the control variables (ln-transformed sales, lntransformed years of international experience and environmental dynamism) were entered into the regression model. The hypothesized independent variables (entrepreneurial orientation, number of reconfiguring activities, and success in reconfiguring activities) were then added in the second phase. The hypothesized effects would then be significant only if the increase in the coefficient of determination after the base model was large enough and the regression coefficients of the hypothesized variables in the effect model were statistically significant. The use of the hierarchical model thus directly shows the increase in predictive power that can be attributed to the hypothesized variables over and above the effects of the control variables. The results of the regression analyses are presented in Table 3.

Example:

Std. regression coefficients of independent variables

Dependent Model

Env. dyn.

Size

% of sales intnl

Base

Effect

.09

.09

.17

.17

.20

a

# of countries

Intnl. perf.,

Base .08

Effect .05 .20

b

Base .17

a mean of items Effect

.13

.05

.07

Satisfaction as a whole

Base .18

a

-.04

Capability development

Effect .15 -.02

Base .18

a

.10

Image development

Effect .12

Base .20

a

Effect .18

a

.12

.11

.12

Intnl exp.

.31

b

.20

a

RC number

RC succ.

.19

b

.10 .05 -.04 .07

a

.01

.21

.18

a

.24

b a

.21

a

.15 -.01 .22

a

.11

b

.11

EO

.21

a

-.03 .16 .10

Model fit

Adj.

R

2

.13

b

.31

b

.01 -.02 -.01 .11

b

.08

.05

a b

.05

a b

.03

.08 .23

a

.01 .16 .10

b

.04

a

.12

.09 .16 -.04 .11 .06

a

R

.08

2 change

.00

.08

b

.09

a b

.04

Market access

Profitability

Market share

Sales volume

Base .08

Effect .04

Base .25

b

Effect .22

a

Base .05

Effect .02

Base .05

Effect .02

.10

.11

-.11

-.10

.12

.13

.04

.05

.06

.03 .19

.22

a

.19

.21

.18

a a a

.23

a

.21

a

.14 -.04 .17

a

.21

a a

.00

-.03 .09 .02 .05

.07

b

.11

b

.07

a

-.07 .08 .12

b

.03

.12 .02 .11 .05

.06

a

.05

.03

Reporting the results: discussion and conclusions

Avoid numbers here, state clearly what the results mean

Bring up the results that were surprising, new or important

 Compare with earlier empirical studies, it is good to get some similar results, and something new

 If your results conflict with earlier ones, try to explain why

 Comment on the stability, generalizability and accuracy of the results

Limitations (e.g. Research design, sample, measures)

Further research (often arise from the limitations)

QUANT. GENERAL

Quantitative research process

5.

6.

7.

8.

1.

2.

3.

4.

9.

10.

Select topic

Literature review

Theoretical framework

Research questions

Theory and hypotheses

Research methodology

Conduct empirical data collection

Analysis and results

Discussion

Conclusions (limitations and further research)

Design of a quantitative study

 Define objectives, research questions and type of study

 Research approach

 Data collection methods (desk, field)

 Sampling

 Measurement and questionnaire design

 Analysis methods

 Timetables and costs

 What can go wrong?

Quantitative research process

phenomenon conceptualization concepts operationalization

Population definition variables measurement population sample Data matrix sampling Data collection analysis results

Concepts and variables

Phenomenon, concept: company innovativeness

Dimensions:

(1)

New product introductions, ”generation”

(2)

Implementation of new processes, ”adoption”

Variables:

(1)

(2)

(a) % of sales from products that were launched during the past three years, (b) how many new products were launched last year

(a) investments on new manufacturing technologies during the past three years, (b) number of process improvements implemented last year

Variables

Operational indicator of a concept numeric

Discrete or continuous

Levels of measurement

– Nominal

– Ordinal

Interval

Ratio scale

Data matrix

5 variables 6 observations

5

6

3

4 obs

1

2 name

Anne

Berit

Clas M

Daniel M

Emil

Frida

M

F sex

F

F

30

21

35

50 age

22

15

2

4

1

5

LikertA

3

4

Types of data matrices

 All have the same basic elements

– variable j (k is the number of variables) COLUMN

– Observation or case i (n is the number of cases) ROW

– The value of variable j for case i (k x n is the number of values)

CELL

 But there are three types of k x n data matrices

– Cross-sectional: the observations (rows) are independent

– Time series: the observations (rows) are consequtive time periods with equal intervals

– Panel: combination of cross-sectional and time series data. The cases are independent but the same variables are measured at several time periods, can be presented as wide or long

obs

3

4

1

2

5

6

Cross sectional data matrix

Firm name

Industry

Nokia Telec

Age

50

Lukoil Ener 25

Valio

Shell

Food

Ener

GM Car

Motorola telec

80

45

100

30

Empl

60

90

10

100

150

20

Time series data matrix

5

6

3

4 obs

1

2

Day Nokia OMX

1.1.2010 10.11

7900

2.1.2010 10.25

8000

3.1.2010 9.96

7550

4.1.2010 10.00

8011

5.1.2010 11.00

8321

8.1.2010 10.74

8205

Wide panel data matrix

obs

3

4

1

2

5

6

Firm name

Emp

2008

Nokia 60

Lukoil 90

Valio

Shell

10

100

GM 150

Motorola 20

9

99

130

22

Emp

2009

57

95

10

98

110

23

Emp

2010

55

95

Long panel data matrix

obs

3

4

1

2

5

6

Firm name

Year

Nokia 2008

Nokia 2009

Nokia 2010

Lukoil 2008

Lukoil 2009

Lukoil 2010

Emp

60

57

55

90

95

95

Types of research

 Exploratory, Descriptive, Explanatory, correlational, causal

 Predictive, Optimization

 Experimental, observational, ex post facto

 Desk, field, laboratory, simulation

 Cross-sectional, longitudinal, panel

 Business vs. academic

 Description usually not enough in thesis

WHY (NOT) A QUANTITATIVE STUDY?

 Philosophical background

– positivism, empiricism, attempt to explain phenomena

– objectivity, rationality, cumulative nature

– hypotheses, deductive approach

– If you cannot measure it, it isn’t there

 ”Anglo-american” way of thinking about scientific research

 Possibilities to get published (and cited)

 Theory testing and theory development

– no theory development without empirical testing

– an empirical study is not scientific without a theoretical basis

WHY (NOT) A QUANTITATIVE STUDY?

 Theory is built from concepts and their relationships

 A researcher has to identify, define, and operationalize the concepts

 Deductive approach: concept – measurement

– empirical results – feedback to theory

 Empirical studies are needed to test theories in varying contexts

Theory development and empirical research

1. Conceptualization ( innovativeness )

2. Theoretical hypothesis= proposed relationship between concepts

( innovativeness and cosmopoliteness are positively related )

3. Empirical hypothesis= proposed relationship between operational measures of the concepts ( early adoption of a product, travelling )

Theory development and empirical research

4.

5.

6.

Analysis -> support or rejection of empirical hypothesis

Cumulative evidence from empirical studies

-> generalizations, principles, laws

Theory develops or becomes more specific as cumulative empirical support is gained from varying contexts or anomalies are found

EXAMPLE: IDT

1. Empirical observations from several contexts: diffusion of an innovation has an S-shaped pattern

2. Theoretical explanation: it is a communication process within a social system

3. Adopters can be classified based on timing of adoption

4. Theoretical hypothesis states a relationship between concepts: cosmopoliteness has a positive effect on innovativeness

5. Empirical hypothesis states a relationship between the operational indicators (measures) of the concepts: those who travel more outside the system, adopt the innovation earlier

6. Testing with data from different contexts (innovations, social systems) by different scholars strengthens the theory and reveals the limits -> replications are important

7. Extension of the theory to other levels of analysis: organization, country

HYPOTHESES

Act as a guide to research design and report

Hypothesis vs. the null (H0)

Testable? (eg. networks hard to measure, TCE)

Simple? (2-3 concepts in one hypothesis)

Exact? (has an effect /positive effect/ U-shaped effect)

Trivial? New?

Well-reasoned? (analytical reasoning based on theory + earlier empirical results)

Descriptive or causal

Max 5-10 hypotheses in an article

Of which 1-2 are new hypotheses

About 50% are supported by the data

Hypotheses, examples

There is a positive relationship between a firm’s export sales and the amount of R&D expenditures

Customer focus is a key driver of product quality in born global firms

In environments that are characterized by high market turbulence, TMT risk taking behavior does moderate the relationship between market orientation and performance

ROLES OF VARIABLES IN THE

HYPOTHESES

Independent/predictor/explanatory/exogenous/cause variable/ x / IV

Dependent/criterion/endogenous/effect variable/ y /DV

Moderating variable z / MoV

– “environment variable” or “contingency variable”

– the relationship between x and y differs at different levels of z

Sharma et al (1981) Journal of Marketing Research 18(3):291-

300

Control variable /CV

– variable that is controlled for, not hypothesized but known to affect y

Mediating variable /MeV

– The effect of x on y is mediated by MeV

Baron & Kenny (1986) Journal Of Personality and Social Psych.,

51, 1173-1182

PRESENTATION OF HYPOTHESES

IV

IV

MoV

DV

DV

IV

CV

DV

IV MeV DV

CAUSALITY x->y

 x and y are correlated

 x occurs before y

 the correlation between x and y is not spurious

(caused by some extraneous variable z)

 x and y can be observed indepedently from each other (common method bias)

 the relationship can be explained /deduced from a theory

 -> survey is not the best way to detect causality

TYPES OF CAUSALITY

 Stimulus-response

– A price increase results in fewer unit sales

 Property-disposition

– Company’s age and management’s attitudes about exporting

 Disposition-behavior

– Job satisfaction and work output

 Property-behavior

– Social class and sports participation

COUNTRY EFFECT

TIME EFFECT

H2e

Country’s wealth

H3

Adoption year of country H5

H4

Diffusion patterns (m, p, q)

CULTURAL EFFECT

H1

H2a H2b H2c H2d

Cultural distance from innovation center

Uncertainty avoidance

Individualism Power distance Masculinity

Typical evolution of research

 Identification of phenomenon X, conceptualization, dimensionality and measure development

 consequences, so what? X -> Y

 determinants A -> X

 Contextual dependencies and moderators

 E.g. market orientation

Task

You are working at the HR department of a large company.

Your boss tells you that the IT department performs poorly due to its high employee turnover. He suggests that you should conduct a survey among other large companies to find out how they deal with problems due to employee turnover.

What are the hypotheses of your boss?

What is the research problem?

What would be your research questions and hypotheses?

What kinds of data matrices could you use?

Task:

The phenomenon of interest is Growth strategy of the firm

1.

2.

Which dimensions does this concept have?

Which variables could be used for measuring the dimensions?

Write a hypothesis where growth strategy (or one of its dimensions) is a

Dependent variable

Independent variable

Moderating variable

Dependent variable, but the effect is moderated by another variable

 Mediator variable

SAMPLING

Sampling

 Specify the population and informant(s)

 Specify what is to be measured

 Choose the sampling frame

 Choose the sampling method

 Specify the sample size

 Conduct the sampling

 Collect the data from the sample

 Assess non-response bias

– Contact again, get the distribution of basic variables from another source and compare with the data, compare early and late respondents

Sampling

 Population = group to which we wish to generalize the results

 Census = collect data from whole population

 Larger samples yield more generalizable results, smaller std errors, better power of tests

 Sample must be representative

 Sample size n> 30, e.g. Finns n= 1000-2500

 Generalization from random samples

Population specification

 Unit of analysis

– Person, household

– Team, SBU, firm, venture

– Dyad, network

– Industry, country

 Basic characteristics (size, age,..)

 Must be relevant to the theoretical problem

 Informant(s) must have the ability and willingness to respond

Sampling frame

 = a list of units ín the population

Statistics Finland and others

Population Register Centre

Telephone directories

Kompass, Dun&Bradstreet

Thomson, Amadeus, Ruslan

Patentti- ja rekisterihallitus

 www

Company databases

 Russian sampling frames?

Sampling methods

 Random (or probability)

– simple

– systematic

– clustered

– stratified

 non-random (non-probability)

– convenience

– snowball

– judgement

– quota

Random sampling

 Systematic

– Choose starting point randomly between 1-k, and take every k:th

– Sampling frame must be in no particular order

 stratified

– To ensure that subpopulations are adequately represented

– Determine strata and their shares of population

– Sample proportionally (or not) from each strata

Random sampling

 clustered

– Divide the population into many small clusters, and choose randomly which clusters are to be studied

– Within-cluster variation is desirable, but between-cluster is not

– Economical but not statistically efficient

 sequential

– Use various methods sequentially

Non-random sampling

 Theoretically inferior, but sometimes practical

 If statistical generalization is not required

 Ok in exploratory research

 Convenience or judgment sampling

 Quota sampling

 Snowball, when respondents are hard to reach

Sample size

 Can be determined if error margin is set z

1

 

2 z

1

 

2

2  Mean & proportion n

(

N

)

2 n n

4 E

2

5% of the population

E

 Error margin can be adjusted if sample >

 larger sample is needed when…

– More variation in the population

– Smaller significance levels are required

– More subgroups to be compared

Sample size

 min 30 cases per subgroup

 min 5-10 per variable in multivariate analyses

 larger sample yields better statistical power and generalizability (see e.g. Cohen 1988 for power analysis) e.g. Finnish people -> 2000 not a given % of the population usually 100-500 should be enough but do not forget that….

Sample size

 these apply for the real sample size, i.e. the usable responses you get

 x= number of units taken from the sampling frame

 .80*x will be contacted and eligible

 .80*(.80*x) will agree to participate

 .40*(.80*.80*x) will respond

 if you need 100 responses, x=100/.256=390

SECONDARY DATA

Design of a quantitative study:

Data collection methods

 Desk research

– Company internal databases

– Statistical databases

– Commercial databases

– Standard research products

• Consumer panels

• Monitor, RISC, etc.

– Meta-analysis

 Field research

– Survey

– Observation

– Experiment

Research types & data collection

causal exploratory

Secondary sources internal IS external databanks services

Primary sources qualitative survey experiment good good good good ok descriptive ok ok ok ok good ok ok ok good

Desk research

 advantages

– Economical, fast

– Suitable for studying the past

– Longitudinal

 limitations

– Not specific to the research problem

– Reliability?

– Mostly directly observable simple indicators, no measures for abstract constructs

Databases at LUT

 Thomson One Banker, DataStream (global, financials of large companies)

SDC Platinum (global, M&A and alliances)

ETLA company database (Finland, financials of top 600 companies) + Internet –database (Finland, statistics)

 Amadeus (Europe, financials & ownership of all companies)

Voitto Plus (financials of Finnish companies)

ITU World Telecommunications /ICT Indicators (global, country data)

RISI (global, country and company data on pulp & paper)

MarketLine (global, country data)

Free statistics on the web

– General statistics about countries:

– http://www.undp.org/hdr2001/ http://globaledge.msu.edu/ibrd/ibrd.asp

(very good!)

– www.ibrc.bschool.ukans.edu

(very good!)

– www.GlobalBusinessWeb.com

– http://faculty.insead.edu/parker/resume/person al.htm

(very good!)

– www.cia.org

(world factbook)

Free statistics on the web

– Business magazines:

– http://economist.com

(financial)

– www.businessweek.com

(general)

– www.ft-se.co.uk

(Financial Times)

– www.forbes.com

(general)

– www.pathfinder.com/fortune (Fortune)

– www.wsj.com

(Wall Street Journal)

Meta-analysis

 Analyzes data from existing published quantitative empirical studies

 Provides a synthesis of earlier studies by describing and explaining the means and variances of effect size across studies

 What is the generalizability of findings

 Can identify moderator effects

 Guidelines in Hunter & Schmidt (2004). Methods of meta-analysis . Sage

SURVEY

Survey

 The data is collected by asking the respondents

 Good for measuring abstract concepts

 E.g. Attitudes, values, opinions, intentions, expectations, feelings

 Ok for measuring events that occured earlier

 The respondent needs to cooperate with the researcher

 The most common method in business research

Response rate

 Normally 10-95%

– Depends on data collection method and procedure, target population/ informant

– Higher in interviews, internal company surveys

– Aim at 30-40%, do not accept less than 15%

 Effective response rate =

Responses obtained / eligible sample size

 The lower the response rate, the more you have to examine the possibility of non-response bias

Task: what is the response rate?

 Your target population is Finnish exporting SMEs

 From the Amadeus database you find 45 000 firms satisfying these criteria

 You take a random sample of 1 000 firms and phone them

– 50 cannot be reached at all

– 40 are not SMEs any more

– 200 are SMEs but not exporting

– 60 are eligible but refuse to participate

– You get back 200 questionnaires, of which 10 are returned empty with a message saying that the firm has no exports

 Eligible sample size?

Motivators of response

 Net individual benefit (appeals, personalization, incentives)

 Societal outcome /norm (source, anonymity)

 Commitment /involvement (prenotification, DL, follow-up)

 Novelty (envelope, cover letter, questionnaire)

 Convenience (postage paid)

 Expertise (informant choice)

Examples of appeals

(Cavusgil & Elvey-Kirk,1998)

 Social utility: Your assistance is needed! The information you provide can (1) contribute to an understanding of consumers’ views on auto care, and how they can be better served by retailers of maintenance service and supplies, as well as auto manufacturers, and (2) serve as inputs for auto repair legislation at state and federal levels. Your cooperation is truly appreciated.

Examples of appeals

 Egoistic: Your opinions are important! It is very important for you to express your opinions so various retailers of maintenance services and supplies, as well as the auto manufacturers, will know the type of products and service facilities you would like to have available. Thanks for expressing your opinions.

Examples of appeals

 Help the sponsor: We need your assistance!

Your preferences and opinions are very important to our successful completion of this study. The accuracy of our findings depends wholly on the responses from each individual, like yourself, in the sample group. We truly appreciate your help.

Examples of appeals

 Combined: Your opinions are important and useful! Your preferences and opinions are important for three reasons:

(1) they can provide information that leads to an understanding of consumers’ views on auto care, as well as serving as inputs for auto repair legislation, (2) they can enable the retailers of maintenance services and supplies and aut manufacturers to know the types of products and service facilities you would like to have available, and (3) they will help us successfully complete this study. The accuracy of our findings depends wholly on the responses from each individual, like yourself, in the sample group. Thank you for your cooperation.

Task

 Which of the previous appeals works best in the U.S.?

 How about Russia or Finland?

 Which appeal works best in an academic / commercial study?

 Which appeal works best in a sample of consumers / professionals?

Type of appeal and response rate

Cavusgil & Elvey-Kirk,1998

Survey: data collection

 Personal interview

 Telephone interview

 Mail survey /fax/ e-mail

 Web survey

 On-site terminal or questionnaires

 Data collection methods are often combined

Personal interview

+Response rate

+Aids can be used

+Interviewer can ask for more specific information

+Flexible ordering of questions

+Sampling frame not always necessary

+Control over who responds

+Can include a lot of questions

– Time-consuming

– Expensive

– Effect of the interviewer on the responses

Telephone interview

+Response rate

+Fast

+Interviewer can ask for more specific information

+Flexible ordering of questions

+Not very costly

+Control over who responds

+Can be easily repeated

+Good for prenotification and follow-up

– No aids

– Not many questions

(5-10 min.)

– Easy and short questions only

– Representativeness of the sample?

– Effect of the interviewer on the responses

Issues in interviews

 Selection of interviewers

 Briefing of interviewers

 Motivating the interviewee

 Introduction of study

– Why me?

– Why these questions?

– How will the information be used?

 Data collection

– Coding of responses

– How much to help the interviewee?

Mail or web survey

 Design includes

– Sampling frame

– Cover letter

– Questionnaire

– Pre-testing

– Return arrangements

– Pre-notification

– 2nd round

– Incentives to solicit responses

– follow-up

Mail survey

 advantages

– Fast for achieving large samples

– Cost- efficient

– Exact information, the respondent can take time to find the answer

– Impersonal, good for asking delicate issues

 limitations

– No control over who responds

– Question ordering not very flexible

– Length max 5-10 (20) pages

– Does the respondent understand the question?

– Low response rate, 10-50%

Web survey

 design

– With sampling frame or available to everyone

– Accompanying message

– Questionnaire + pre-test

– Compatibility of data with analysis program

– Incentives

– E.g. SPSS Data Entry, Webropol

Web survey

 advantages

– Same as mail survey, but even cheaper and faster

– Flexible ordering of questions

– Elimination of inconsistent responses

 limitations

– Who responds

– Are the population net users

– Technical problems (different browsers, misclicks, save without submitting and continue later)

Design of a quantitative study:

Questionnaire design

 What is to be asked (research framework!)

– Is the question really needed

– For what purpose /analysis

 How to ask

– Format of questions: open, closed, other,________

– Direct or projective

– Wording of questions

 Order and layout of questions

 Pre-testing

Task: Which data collection method(s)?

A study targeted at people living in a new housing area.

What kind of people are they? Why they moved into this area? Are they satisfied with the area?

A study targeted at LUT students. Which one of the three candidates are they going to vote for the president of the

Student Union? Why?

A study targeted at those responsible for R&D in large companies in Finland. How do they protect their innovations? What kind of R&D cooperation do they have?

Cover letter

Personal, name of respondent

Purpose of the research

Importance of each response

Confidentiality

No right or wrong answers

Incentives

How long it takes to answer

Instructions for returning (by which date, return envelope)

Contact information of researcher + signature

Source of address (sampling frame)

Thanks for responding

Wording of questions

Clarity and brevity

Non-ambiguity

No double-barreled questions

– Have you ever felt guilty for being unfaithful to your spouse?

– Have you already stopped mugging your wife?

No leading questions

Consistent use of pronouns (sinä/te)

Behavior, attitude, opinion, intention

Include negatively worded items (balanced scales)

Variance!!!

Response categories (exclusive, amount, order, open?)

Wording of questions

Did you happen to have murdered your wife?

As you know, many people kill their wives nowadays.

Did you happen to have killed yours?

 Do you know about other people who have killed their wives? How about yourself?

 Thank you for completing this survey, and by the way, did you kill your wife?

 Three cards are attached to this survey. One says your wife died of natural causes; one says you killed her; and the third says Other (explain). Please tear off the cards that do not apply, leaving the one that best describes your situation.

Order of questions

 Easy ones first

 Logic and headings

 General -> detailed

 Difficult and delicate ones near the end

 Basic background information first or last

 Open comments to the end

 Thank you for your response

Scale types

 Rating (evaluate each item separately)

 Ranking (compare to other items, pairwise comparison, put in rank order, max 7 items)

 Categorization

 Open ended

Response formats for rating scales

 Likert- summated scale (usually 5 or 7-point, totally agree – neither agree or disagree - totally disagree)

 Semantic differential, Osgood scale (anchored by opposite alternatives, good-bad)

 Numerical scale (only anchors are labeled)

 Fixed sum (max 4-5 items, ipsative)

 Graphic (Visual Analogy Scale)

Task: what is wrong with the item?

Time is a limited resource

All the senior executives of our company visit regularly our most important customers

A view exists, that all things are interrelated

Selffulfillment can be deduced from each person’s place in a social process

 Contracts are unnecessary, because they are not needed after they have been signed

Innovativeness has a crucial impact on our competitiveness

When I evaluate my partner’s trustworthiness I pay attention to open, fast and sufficient communication

Pre-testing

 Representative of the real sample

 Similar situation (or personal interview)

 Ensure comprehension

 Ensure variance

 Ensure that questions can be answered

 Are the respondents interested

 How long does it take to answer

RESEARCH SCHEDULE research problem specification ideas of what to ask formulation of questions:how to ask questionnaire design cover page design cover letter /message design reminder letter /message design translation and back pretesting the questionnaire modifying the questionnaire copying the questionnaire mailing arrangements prenotifications mailing mailing the reminder coding the responses preparing the data file analysing data writing the report

Design of a quantitative study:

Timetables

YEAR

Month1 Month 2 month 3 month 4 month 5 month 6 month 7 responsibility

COL all

COL

COL

COL

COL

COL all all all all all all all

COL

COL

COL

All

Design of a quantitative study:

Costs

Sampling frame

Research assistant

– 1 week for preparing the sample

– Can send about 10-20 questionnaires per day

– Coding time 2-10 minutes per response

– Data transformations, basic analysis and report 2-4 weeks

Mailing

– Number of agreed participants *2

– Reminders .8*the above

Copying, envelopes

Translators

Incentives

Telephone costs

Totals up to 15-20 000 €

Design of a quantitative study:

What can go wrong?

 Research design

– Population specification

– Selection bias

– Sampling frame

– measurement

 Data collection

– Question incorrectly presented

– Coding

– Interference during responding

 Response errors

– Intentional and unintentional (response styles ARS/DARS,

ExtremeRS, RRange, MidPointR)

 Non-response error

Problems with surveys

 Leniency

– Skewed distributions

– Explanation of anchors may help

– E.g. How important are the following factors…

 Central tendency

– Respondents tend to avoid margin alternatives, especially if the topic is not familiar

– Explanation of anchors, add scale points

 Halo effect

– Bias due to the respondent having a general attitude towards the topic

– Question order may help

Problems with surveys

 Common method variance (bias)

– Campbell & Fiske 1959

– Correlation of two or more self-reported measures may be due to the common source rather than true effect

– Harman’s one factor test

– Different respondents for different variables (if unit of analysis e.g.

Team)

– Respond at different times

 Consistency motif

– Respondent has a lay theory and tends to confirm it

– Reorder scales (x then y rather than y then x)

 Social desirability

– May cause the other problems mentioned above

– Include scale by Crowne&Marlowe 1964, and partial out in analysis

Task

A large corporation is sponsoring a study about sexual harrassment in the workplace. The research will be conducted because some female employees have expressed their concern about the issue.

 What is the real purpose of the study?

– Finding out the facts

– Raising the employees’ awareness

– Imposing change of behavior

 How would you do the sampling?

How would you collect the data?

How would you minimize response and nonresponse errors?

USEFUL ARTICLES

Determinants of Industrial Mail Survey Response: A Survey-on-Surveys Analysis of

Researchers' and Managers' Views.

By: Diamantopoulos , Adamantios ; Schlegelmich,

Bodo B.. Journal of Marketing Management, Aug96, Vol. 12 Issue 6, p505, 27p; ( AN

5480001 )

The effect of pretest method on error detection rates.

By: Reynolds, Nina;

Diamantopoulos , Adamantios . European Journal of Marketing, 1998, Vol. 32 Issue

5/6, p480, 19p, 5 charts; ( AN 921930 )

An Analysis of Response Bias in Executives' Self-Reports.

By: Mathews, Brian P.;

Diamantopoulos , Adamantios . Journal of Marketing Management, Nov95, Vol. 11

Issue 8, p835, 12p; ( AN 4969428

Mail survey response behavior.

By: Cavusgil , S. Tamer ; Elvey-Kirk, Lisa A..

European Journal of Marketing, 1998, Vol. 32 Issue 11/12, p1165, 28p, 7 charts, 1 diagram; ( AN 1401765 )

Methodological Issues in Empirical Cross-cultural Research: A Survey of the

Management Literature and a Framework.

By: Cavusgil , S. Tamer ; Das, Ajay.

Management International Review (MIR), 1997 1st Quarter, Vol. 37 Issue 1, p71, 26p;

( AN 12243002 )

Response Styles in Marketing Research: A Cross-National Investigation.

(cover story)

By: Baumgartner, Hans; Steenkamp, Jan-Benedict E.M.. Journal of Marketing

Research (JMR), May2001, Vol. 38 Issue 2, p143, 14p; ( AN 4628360 )

USEFUL ARTICLES

Armstrong, J.S. and T.S. Overton (1977) Estimating non-response bias in mail surveys. Journal of Marketing Research , 14 (3): 396-402.

Huber, George P. and Daniel J. Power (1985) Retrospective reports of strategic-level managers: Guidelines for increasing their accuracy.

Strategic Management Journal , 6 (2): 171-180.

Podsakoff, P.M., & Organ, D.W. (1986). Self-reports in organizational research: Problems and prospects. Journal of

Management , 12, 531-544.

Reynolds, N.L., Simintiras, A.C., Diamantopoulos, A. (2003)

Theoretical justification of sampling choices in international marketing research: key issues and guidelines for researchers.

Journal of International Business Studies , 34 (1):80-89

Useful books

Ghauri, P., Gronhaug, K., Kristianslund, I. (1995) Research methods in business studies: A Practical guide . Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs.

Cooper, Schindler (2001) Business Research methods .

Hair, Anderson, Tatham, Black (1998) Multivariate data analysis , 5 th ed.

Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall

Cohen, J., Cohen, P., West, S.G. & Aiken, L.S. (2003), Applied Multiple

Regression/ Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences, (3rd ed.).

Mahwah, NJ.:Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.

Cohen, J. (1988) Statistical Power analysis for the behavioral sciences , 2nd edn, Hillsdale: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.

Aaker, Kumar, Day (2002) Marketing research

Diamantopoulos & Schlegelmilch (1997) Taking the fear out of Data analysis

Hunter, Schmidt (2004) Methods of meta-analysis. Thousand Oaks: Sage

Hofstede, Geert (2001) Culture’s Consequences: Comparing Values,

Behaviors, Institutions and Organizations Across Nations , 2nd edn,

Thousand Oaks: Sage

MEASUREMENT

Measurement of constructs

 If the concept is abstract, not readily observable or multi-faceted, a multi-item measure is always better than a single-item measure

 Psychology good, management ok, marketing fair, strategic

Multi-item Measures

TRUE

Actual

Cf. photographing an object from different angles

Actual-1 Actual-2

TRUE

Actual-3

Two approaches to measurement

 Reflective measurement

– The latent construct causes variance on the observed indicators

(items)

– The item is a function of the construct

– If the construct changes, all the items change

– The traditional and most common approach

– 96% of constructs in top 4 mkt journals, only 69% should be

 Formative measurement

– The latent construct is a function of the indicators

– If one of the items change, the construct changes

– e.g. SES, HDI, country risk and other indices

– (Diamantopoulos, Jarvis et al)

 Assessment of validity and reliability differs

Scale development process

Definition of the concept to be measured

Item generation

Item reduction

Data collection

Item reduction

Computing the scale

Unidimensionality assessment

Reliability assessment

Validity assessment

Generalizability assessment (replication, stability across samples)

Concept definition

 Literature review!

 Also look at other fields of study /disciplines

 Think about various points of view and units of analysis

 Operationalization in earlier empirical studies

 Qualitative field research

 Own work experience

 Distinguish from nearby concepts

Item generation

 Earlier empirical studies

 Handbooks of scales

 Qualitative methods (critical incident)

 Delphi, brainstorming, GDSS, etc.

 Focus groups, company interviews

 As many as possible, will be later reduced

 Positively and negatively worded

 Clear and unequivocal

 Min 10 per concept

Butler 1991 operationalization of antecedents of trust

An inductive approach

1.

managers described a person they trust and another they do not trust

2.

3.

They described critical indicents that led to the emergence or loss of trust altogether 280 + 174 antecedents were found

4.

5.

6.

They were classified by students into 10 groups

A definition was written for each group

4 items were generated for each group

Item reduction

 Expert opinion

 Grouping

– The concept definitions are presented to the experts and they combine each item with the corresponding concept

 Only those items that experts agree on, are retained

 Pilot study / pre-test sample

– Distribution of each item

– Inter- item correlations (min .30)

– Exploratory factor analysis

Computing the measure

 Sum of items (SPSS: compute, sum)

 Mean of items (SPSS:compute, mean)

– Generally better than the sum, you may want to compare scales with different number of items

 Factor score

 Weighted mean of items (weights from the factor loadings)

Unidimensionality

 Factor analysis

– exploratory

– confirmatory

– remove items that load less than .40 or have high loadings on wrong dimensions

– split-sample validation of the factor structure

– see article by Gerbing and Anderson (JMR)

Reliability and validity of scales

Scale

Evaluation

Validity

Reliability

Test-Retest

Alternative

Forms

Internal

Consistency

Content

Criterion

Construct

Convergent

Validity

Discriminant

Validity

Nomological

Validity

Reliability

 Absence of random error

 types:

– Stability (“test-retest reliability”)

– Equivalence (“parallel forms reliability”)

– Consistency (“split-half reliability”)

– Homogeneity (“internal consistency reliability”)

– Inter-rater reliability (concordance)

Reliability

 Cronbach alpha

– Measures the internal consistency of a scale

– More items -> higher alpha

– Is based on inter-item correlations (min .30)

– Alpha should exceed 0.60 in exploratory research,

0.70 in theory testing (Nunnally)

– Remove items with item-total correlation less than

.50

Cronbach alpha

N of items

3

3

5

2

3

2

2

7

9

5

5

Average interitem correlation Alpha

0,3 0,461538

0,5 0,666667

0,7 0,823529

0,3 0,5625

0,5

0,7

0,75

0,875

0,3 0,681818

0,5 0,833333

0,7 0,921053

0,3 0,75

0,2 0,692308

 

N

( 1

( N

* r

1 ) * r

N=number of items r= average inter-item correlation

Validity

a) External v of findings = generalizability b) Internal v of findings = if x actually causes y c) V of measurement scales

 Are we measuring what we purport to measure

 Absence of systematic error (bias) in measurement

– Content / face validity

– Criterion validity (predictive validity)

– Construct validity (convergent, discriminant, nomological)

Content validity

 Can the measure yield answers to the research problem

 Can the measure capture the domain of the construct

 No matemathical methods to assess

 Also known as face validity

 Assessment based on quality of concept definition and content of the items

Criterion validity

 Do the measures provide a good model fit or a good predictive accuracy

 Concurrent or predictive validity

 Is the criterion itself measured in a valid way

– relevance (e.g. performance)

– unbiased

– reliable (stability)

– availability

Construct validity

 Is the measure theoretically valid

 captures the whole concept but nothing but the concept

(deficiency, contamination)

 convergent validity (yields similar results as other measures of the same construct)

– correlation, MTMM

 discriminant validity (differs from other constructs)

– Factor analysis, MTMM

 nomological validity (is related to other constructs as predicted by theory)

Multitrait - Multimethod Matrix

(Campbell & Fiske, 1959)

Method 1 Method 2

Trait a Trait b Trait a Trait b

Method 1

Trait a b

1

Trait b m

1 b

1

d

Method 2

Trait a v

a

Trait b d b

2 m

2 v b b

2

Correlation coefficients

{ b

1 v a

= reliability for method 1

= convergent validity for both methods wrt trait a m

1

= discriminant validity d = “nonsense”-correlation for method 1

Requirements:

v > 0 and "high enough"

v > d

v > m

d low

Example

Mosher Forced Choice Guilt

Scale

3 traits

– Guilt feelings about sex

– Hostile guilt

Guilt concerning morality

3 methods

Incomplete sentences

"When I dream about sex …"

– Forced choice

• " When I dream about sex …" a) I don't remember a thing in the morning b) I feel happy when I get up

– True/False

• "When I dream about sex I wake up feeling happy"

MTMM matrix for the Mosher Forced

Choice Guilt Scale

Sexual

Hostile

Morality

TF

FC

IS

TF

(true/false)

FC

(forced choice)

IS

(incompl. sent.)

SG HG MC SG HG MC SG HG MC

SG .91

HG .52

.84

FC very reliable,

TF too, IS not

MC .68 .50

.84

SG .86

.56 .73

.97

HG .53

.83

.53

.61

.96

MC .63

.

54 .83

.70 .58

.92

Good convergent validity

Discriminant validity OK

SG .78

.51 .63

.79

.54 .57

.72

HG .24

.67

.23 .33

.73

.37

.32

.65

MC .47 .40

.66

.48 .49

.70

.49 .28

.55

Generalizability assessment

 The performance of a measure should always be evaluated in a separate sample

 Replications help to set the limits to the applicability of theories in different contexts

 Cross-cultural validation

 LISREL group comparisons

Task: market orientation

 Each group will receive a concept definition and scales for market orientation

– A: Kohli, Jaworski & Kumar (1993): MARKOR- a measure of market orientation, JMR, 30 (4):467-477

– B: Narver & Slater (1990): The effect of a market orientation on business profitability, JM, 54 (4):20-35

 Read it and discuss:

– Content validity

– Clarity of the items

– Overlap of the items

– Use of reverse coded items

– Generalizability across contexts

Books on measurement

http://www.socialsciencesweb.com/ a lot of books there!

Nunnally & Bernstein (1994) Psychometric Theory. McGraw Hill

DeVellis (1991) Scale Development: Theory and Applications. Sage

Marketing Scales Handbook: A Compilation of Multi-Item Measures, Vol. I-III

Authors: G. Bruner , K. James , P. Hensel

 Handbook of Marketing Scales: Multi-Item Measures for Marketing for Marketing and Consumer Behavior Research by W.O. Bearden, R.G. Netemeyer

Measures of Personality and Social Psychological Attitudes : Volume 1: Measures of Social Psychological Attitudes. Authors: J. Robinson , P. Shaver , L.

Wrightsman

Metsämuuronen (2004): Tutkimuksen tekemisen perusteet ihmistieteissä

Price JL and Mueller CW. (1986).

Marshfield,Mass.: Pitman.

Handbook of organizational measurement.

 Rubin RB, Palmgreen P & Sypher HE. (1994). Communication research measures: A sourcebook.

New York: Guilford Pr.

 Psychoogy measures: http://www.ull.ac.uk/subjects/guides/psycscales.shtml

Articles on measurement

Churchill (1979) A paradigm for developing better measures of marketing constructs. J Mark Res, 16(1):64-73

Campbell et al (1973) The development and evaluation of behaviorally based rating scales. J Appl Psych, 57:15-22

Mullen (1995) Diagnosing measurement equivalence in cross-national research.

J Int Bus Stud, 26(3):573-96

Campbell & Fiske (1959) Convergent and discriminant validity by the multitraitmultimethod matrix. Psych Bulletin 56(March):81-105

Gerbing & Anderson (1988) An updated paradigm for scale development incorporating unidimensionality and its assessment. J Mktng Res 25(May):186-

192

Hinkin (1995) A review of scale development practices in the study of organizations. Journal of management, 21(5)

Jarvis, Mackenzie & Podsakoff (2003) A Critical review of construct indicators and measurement model misspecification in marketing and consumer research.

Journal of Consumer Research, 30 (Sep):199-218

Boyd, Gove & Hitt (2004) Construct measurement in strategic management research: illusion or reality. Strategic Management Journal

Diamantopoulos & Winklhofer (2001) Index construction with formative indicators: an alternative to scale development, Journal of Marketing Reseach, 38(May):269-

277

Cbu part II

OBSERVATION&EXPERIMENT

Field research

 Survey

– Personal interview /CAPI

– Telephone interview /CATI

– Mail survey /fax

– Web survey /e-mail

 observation

 experiment

Observation

 Nonbehavioral

– Historical or financial records (=secondary data)

– Physical condition analysis like store audits

– Process or activity analysis like traffic flows

 Behavioral

– Nonverbal like movements

– Linguistic

– Extralinguistic (loudness, rate, interruption..)

– Spatial

Observation

 Real time information on overt behavior or environment

 Must be easily codable

 In a natural environment

 Should the object know? (Hawthorne)

 Should the observer participate?

 If the purpose of the study needs to be disguised

(e.g. Phantom shoppers in service quality studies)

Experiments

 True and field experiment

 Good for detecting causality

 The researcher manipulates the independent variable

 Test group and control group

 Blind and double-blind treatment

 Easy to replicate

 Hard to generalize from

 Best for easily measurable concepts

 Ethics of manipulation? (plasebo-knee surgery)

Phases of experiment

 Selection of variables

 Decide how to manipulate the treatment levels

 Controlling the experiment environment

 Design of the experiment

 Selection of subjects and assignment to experiment and control groups (random or matched)

 Pilot experiment, revision, experiment

 Analysis

Experiment designs

 pre-experiment (statistically weak)

– X-O

– O-X-O

– Test group X-O and control group O (non-random assignment)

 true experiment (random or matched assignment)

– Test group O-X-O and control group O-O

– Test group X-O and control group O

– Many test groups, O-X-O, but each group has a different level of

X

– Randomized block, Latin square, factorial design

 field experiment, quasi- experiment

– Assignment to groups non-controllable

Validity of experiment

 Internal validity (is there really causality)

– O-X-O other factors that may cause a change in O

– Changes in the subject

– Subject learns from the first measurement

– Researcher or measurement instrument changes

– Assignment to groups, stability of groups

– Extremes tend towards the mean

 External validity (generalizability)

– Voluntary subjects

ANALYSIS

Analysis

 Preliminary examination and classification of open ended responses

 Coding and input

 transformations

 description, checking of normality

 Testing the hypotheses

 Discussion and conclusions

 Software: Excel, SPSS, SAS, Statgraphics,

DataFit, E-Views, Stata, etc.

Coding

 Numerical variables if at all possible

 Exact first, you can classify later

 Define informative variable and value labels

 What to do with missing data (NA)

 What is a missing value (checklists)

 Identification variables (ID number, dates, interviewer, etc.)

Transformations

 Classification of open-ended responses

 Classifying continuous variables

 Reversing items

 Computing multi-item scales

 Computing lags, logs or other new variables

 Checking for inconsistent responses

 Removing outliers?

Hypothesis testing

 Univariate or bivariate tests based on measurement level and normality of distribution

 5% significance level normally

 Remember also practical significance

 You hope to reject the H0 -> support for your research hypothesis

 Tests of means and independence

 Correlations

 Multivariate analysis

MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS

Phase of research dependent

Reliab,val concepts na independents

Na

FA

CA concepts na typologies na

Na

Na

LinReg effects

ANOVA effects

LogReg effects continuous continuous continuous categorical categorical continuous

Factor analysis

Interdependence of continuous variables

Reduce variables, detect underlying dimensions

Used in measure development

Cavusgil, S.T. (1985) Factor congruency analysis..Journal of the market research society, 27(2):147-155

Report:

– Extraction method (PC, PAF, ML)

– (rotated) factor loadings

– Communalities

– Eigenvalues + % of variance explained

– KMO and Bartlett’s test

– How the number of factors was chosen

Regression analysis

The most common method of hypotheses testing

Dependent variable continuous

Independent variables continuous or dummies

Can incorporate interactions, mediating or moderating effects

Report:

– Model fit (R square and significance, increase in R square if hierarchical model)

– Regression coefficients (beta), std. errors or t-values, significance

– Estimation method

– Violations of assumptions (residual analyses, multicollinearity, influence statistics)

– Validation

Discriminant analysis and logistic regression

Dependent variable nominal, a priori groups

Independent variables continuous or dummy

How the independents can separate between the groups: understanding or prediction

LR less sensitive to violation of assumptions

Report:

– model fit (Wilks lambda, pseudo R squares)

– Effects and significance of independents (DF coefficients or loadings, exp(B))

– Classification results (hit ratio)

– Validation

Analysis of variance

 Oneway ANOVA, ANCOVA, MANOVA,

MANCOVA

 Continuous dependent variable /variate

 Independent variables can be factors (nominal) or covariates (continuous)

 Interactions among the independents can be modeled

 Suitable for testing hypotheses

 Report: estimated group means and the significance of each effect, + the full model, post hoc differences or contrasts

Cluster analysis

 Grouping the cases into homogeneous subsets

 Grouping is based on several variables

 Not for hypotheses testing

 Report:

– proximity measure,

– clustering algorithm,

– clustering method,

– criteria used for selecting the number of clusters,

– cluster description: centroids, n of cases

– validation

Structural equation models

LISREL

 Confirmatory analysis

 Multiple interrelated dependence relationships simultaneously

 Accounts for measurement error

 Can incorporate latent variables

 Path models, group comparisons, moderating effects, etc..

 Other programs: AMOS, EQS

Fit criteria in LISREL

 Chi square (should not be significant)

 Goodness of fit-index GFI, AGFI (>.90)

 Incremental fit NFI (>.90)

 Residual statistics RMSEA, RMSR (<.08)

 Critical N

IB ISSUES

IB challenges and issues

 Majority of the studies in IB are

– Ethnocentric /replications (Adler, 1983)

– Static, cross-sectional surveys

– Manufacturing sector

– Micro-level unit of analysis

– Single informant

– Judgement sampling

 Equivalence

– Sample (why these countries?)

– Construct (”urban” or ”soft drink”)

– Instrument (back-translation, Osgood is internationally most consistent response-format)

– Data collection

A review of research methodologies in IB,

Yang et al. (2006) IBR, 15:601-617

 All empirical studies from JIBS, MIR, JWB,

IMR, JIM, IBR 1992-2003

 1296 studies, 67.3% of all articles were empirical

 60% surveys, 33% secondary data, 2% experiment

 61% one country, 17% two countries, 22% more countries

 89% Europe, 66% Asia, 52% North America, 2%

Africa

 39% USA, 16% UK, 14% Japan, 11% China

A review of research methodologies in IB,

Yang et al. (2006) IBR, 15:601-617

 50% managers/CEOs, 11% consumers,

10% financial data, 10% government data.

4% students

 Median sample size around 200

 Mean response rate in mail surveys 27%

 Very few studies using multiple informants

European data collection

(source:ESOMAR, 1990)

FRA NED SWE SUI UK

Mail

Phone

4 33 23 8 9

15 18 44 21 16

Street

Home/office -

52 37 -

8

Groups 13 5

-

44

6

-

54

11

In-depth 12 12 2

Secondary 4 4

Other 0 0 14 5

8

8 -

-

10

ADLER’S TYPOLOGY

 Parochial (single culture, assumes universality, 80% in

1970-80)

 Ethnocentric (second culture replications, questions universality, standardized research design, often interprets differences as design defects)

 Polycentric (many individual domestic studies, denies universality, mostly inductive, anthropology)

 Comparative (many cultures but none dominant, looks for universality and culture specificity of elements)

Geocentric (MNOs, search for similarity across cultures)

Synergistic (intercultural interaction, action research)

Dilemmas in comparative research

 What is culture?

 Can country be used as a surrogate for it?

 Is culture x or y or contingency variable?

 Does cultural perspective of the researcher affect the interpretation of findings?

 Identical topic vs. equivalent research design?

Dilemmas in comparative research

 Topic should be

– Conceptually equivalent

– Equally important and appropriate

Size of sample (cultures & within)

Representative or matched samples

Translation and back to ensure equivalence in meaning

Scaling procedures equivalent, similar pattern of correlations

Administration (interviewer, data collection, timing)

Laurent (1983) The cultural diversity of western conceptions of management. Intnl studies of mgmt and organization, 13(1-2):75-96

It is important for a manager to have at hand precise answers to most of the questions that his subordinates may raise about their work

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Sw ed en

N et he rla nd s

U

.S

.

D en m ar k

U

.K

.

Sw itze rla nd

Be lg iu m

G er m an y

Fr an ce

Ita ly

In do ne si a

C hi na

Ja pa n

Problem-solvers – experts – loss of face

Chinese described an ideal picture (not real) and kept the questionnaires

Methodological problems in crosscultural research (Nasif et al.)

 Criterion problem

– Definition of culture

– Country as a surrogate for culture

– When is culture a contingency?

– Cultural biases of researchers

– Cultural biases of national theories

 Methodological simplicity

– Difficulties of rigorous designs

– Cross-sectional case studies

– One-shot static studies

– Static group comparisons

– Functional equivalence

– Time problems

– Single-discipline studies

– No synergy

Methodological problems in crosscultural research (Nasif et al.)

 Sampling issues

– Selection of cultures and subjects (convenience)

– Student samples

– Sample size and representativeness

– Matched samples

– Independence of samples (Galton’s problem)

– Description of the characteristics of the samples

 Instrumentation

– Equivalence of language (transalation)

– Equivalence of variables

– Equivalence of scaling (response formats, PRC,JPN central tendency unless even number of alternatives)

Opinions

(Kumar, 2000)

Four men, a Saudi, a Russian, A North Korean, and a New Yorker are walking down the street. A researcher says to them: ”Excuse me, what is your opinion on the meat shortage?”

The Saudi says: ”What’s a shortage?”

The Russian says: ”What’s meat?”

The Korean says: ”What’s an opinion?” and the New Yorker says: ”What’s excuse me?”

Methodological problems in crosscultural research (Nasif et al.)

 Data collection

– Equivalence of administration

– Respose equivalence

– Timing of data collection

– Status and other psychological issues

– Cross-sectional versus longitudinal data collection

 Data analysis

– Qualitative vs. quantitative data

– Non-parametric vs. parametric statistics

– Univariate vs. multivariate analyses

 Level of analysis

– Data collection and analysis at one level, inferences at another

– Individual/organizational/societal

– Ecological fallacy (Hofstede) or aggregation problem

Sampling choices

(Reynolds et al. (2003)

JIBS, Vol.34(1):80-89)

Type of research

Objective Sampling objective Sample attributes Sampling method

Descriptive Examine attitudes and behavior within specific countries

Contextual Examine attributes of a cross-national group

Comparative Examine similarities or differences between countries

Theoretical Examine the crossnational generalizability of a theory or model

Within-country representativeness

Representativeness of the cross-national population

Cross-national comparability

Cross-national comparability

Estimate sampling error

Estimate sampling error

Homogeneity to control for extraneous factors

Homogeneity or deliberate heterogeneity

Random within each country

Random within the population

Non-random acceptable, matched

Non-random acceptable

Operationalizing culture

 Hofstede’s dimensions (Culture’s consequences, 1980,

2001)

– Individualism / collectivism

– Power distance

– Masculinity / femininity

– Uncertainty avoidance

– (Long-term orientation)

High vs. low context cultures (Hall, 1959)

Cultural orientations (Kluckhohn & Strodtbeck, 1961)

Individualism – collectivism (Triandis, 1983)

Hofstede scores

Country PDI UAI IDV

Finland 33 59 63

Russia 93

Germany 35

95

65

39

67

USA

Japan

40

54

46

92

91

46

Denmark 18 23 74 http://spectrum.troy.edu/~vorism/hofstede.htm

MAS

26

36

66

62

95

16

Task: Implications for data collection

 Discuss how the differences in cultural dimensions may affect data collection, e.g.

– Choice of data collection method

– Choice of informants

– Choice of objective vs. subjective measures

– Choice of direct vs. projective measurement

– Use of appeals to solicit responses

Articles on IB challenges and issues

 Adler (1983) A typology of management studies involving culture, JIBS, 14(2):29-47

 Adler et al. (1989) In search of appropriate methodology…JIBS, 20:61-74.

 Buckley & Chapman (1996) Theory and method in IB research. IBR, 5(3):233-245

 Cavusgil & Das (1997) Methodological issues in empirical cross-cultural research…MIR, 37(1):71-96

 Nasif et al. (1991) Methodological problems in crosscultural research…MIR, 31(1):79-91

 Coviello & Jones (2004) methodological issues in international entrepreneurship research. JBV, 19:485-508

 Kumar (2000) International marketing research. Book

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