Accessing NASA Technology Innovation Ken Dozier NASA Far West RTTC 9/24/02 University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 1 Organization History Since 1967, USC has been developing Primary Market Research for NASA in the area of Technology Transfer. • 1967 NIAC Started • 1976 Subsidized Information Searches • 1982 Information Services Expanded, RISS Launched • 1984 Affiliate Network Starts • 1991 Affiliate Network Expands Mid-West Northeast • 1992 USC Selected as RTTC • 1994 Wins TRP Award • 1997 ETTC Formed Far West Mid-Atlantic Southeast Mid - Continent University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 2 B01-003 The Future “When the Rate of Change Outside is Greater Than the Rate of Change Inside, The End Is In Sight” Jack Welch, Chairmen General Electric University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 3 Velocity “ According to Silicon Valley CEO’s, 60 % of the high-tech items they manufacture today did not exist 10 months ago” Lon Hatamiya, Secretary - California Trade and Commerce Agency “Startups are now expected to go public within 6-18 months after venture investment” Donna Jensen, Founder and CEO of startups.com University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 4 The Future “Man will never reach the moon, regardless of all future scientific advances” Lee De Forest, Radio Pioneer, 1957 “where ... The ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computer in the the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes and weigh only 1.5 tons” “There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home” - Ken Olson, president and founder, Digital Equipment Corp., 1977 - Popular Mechanics, 1949 “This ‘Telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us” “The problem with television is that the people must sit and keep their eyes glued on a screen; The average American family hasn’t time for it” - New York Times, 1949 - Western Union, Internal memo, 1876 “I predict the internet... Will go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse ” - Bob Metcalfe, 3COM founder and inventor, 1995 University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 5 What is Knowledge ? Truth Universal Knowledge Belief Social Personal No Debate Converge on debate Diverge on debate Effect Cause Cause 10 Philosophical Mistakes (Adler 85) University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 6 1st Perspective • Knowledge is a New Kind of Asset – The foundation of industrialized economy is shifting from natural resources to intellectual assets (Hansen 99) (Davis 98) – Knowledge assets are viewed as factors of production that may be more important than traditional resources of capital, labor and land. (Davis 98) – Converging technologies and rapid innovations can transform markets Overnight . Administrative systems no longer provide the underpinnings of value creation. (Teece 98) – Reward goes to those who are good a sensing and seizing opportunities. Dynamic capabilities are most likely to be resident in firms that are highly entrepreneurial. (Teece 98) University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 7 Global Competition •3 Finland • 4 Luxembourg •5 Netherlands •6 Hong Kong •7 Ireland •8 Sweden •9 Canada •10 Switzerland Source: The world Competitiveness Yearbook IMD International University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 8 Industry Clusters University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center (ERI/McGraw Hill,”America’s Clusters”,1996) 9 The Evolution of Industry (ERI/McGraw Hill,”America’s Clusters”,1996) Theme Parks Motion Pictures Motion Pictures Television Computer Peripherals Aviation Electronics Defense Instruments Defense Aviation Defense Aerospace Theme Parks/ Tourism Visual Media Production Professional Services Multimedia Technology Engineering Services Commercial Aviation Technology-Based Metal Products General Manufacturing Food Processing General Manufacturing Information Processing Agriculture Information Processing Business Services Automobile Manufacturing University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center Manufacturing 10 Clusters Gus Koehler, USC University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 11 B01-043 Clusters Gus Koehler, USC University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 12 B01-044 Clusters Gus Koehler, USC University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 13 B01-045 Clusters Gus Koehler, USC University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 14 B01-046 2nd Perspective • Entrepreneurship Super Normal Wealth Creator – Business Environments Have Become Hypercompetitive because of the High Magnitude and Velocity of Interfirm Rivalries (D’Aveni, 94) – Innovations in Products, Services, Business Processes, and Organizational Designs are Creating Dramatic Discontinuities in Product- Market Spaces and Disrupting the Traditional Approaches to Competitive Strategies and Business Conduct (Christensen, 97) – In the Short Run, Entrepreneurial Firms Reaps Supernormal Returns (Create Wealth) as Established Incumbents and Rivals Seek to Understand the Competitive Disruptions in their Market Space.(Christensen 97) – Thus Competition Occurs in the Form of a Series of Market Disruption Moves by New Entrants or Entrepreneurial Firms and Efforts by Incumbents and Rivals to Shape Their Response Actions (Young et al 96) University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 15 Make & Sell vs Sense & Respond Chabol (large companies) hierarchy, products based, (push) Federal Agencies, SBIR: Mission Based, Linear (push) Universities: Curiosity Based, emerging, (push) Venture: Niche markets, Incubators and Science Parks created to bridge gap between development and commercialization University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center public trading (pull) Chart Source: Corporate Information Systems, Applegate 16 Licensing Wealth Drivers Gates Jobs Clark Clark “Microsoft” “Apple” “SGI” “Netscape” University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center Developers Xerox Xerox E&S, Stanford University of Illinois 17 Market Redefinition:Radical Change Seven Organizational Change Propositions, Venkatraman 1994 University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 18 RTTC Focus:Discovery Zmud 2001 University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 19 3rd Perspective • Entrepreneurial Firms Represent a New Online Community • Network computing, supported by advanced communications infrastructure, can facilitate collaborative entrepreneuralism (Teece 98) • Successful business models set themselves apart in their communication design leading to a deconstruction of traditional value chains and the emergence of value Webs. (Lechner 01) • The most critical factor for a venture business success is how to implement and commercialize lab-based technology/knowledge/ideas into actual products and/or services (Sung 01) • Entrepreneurial firms use knowledge to reshape clusters of assets in distinctive and unique combinations to serve ever changing customer needs. (Teece 98) • The key sources of wealth creation at the dawn of the new millennium will lie with new enterprise formation. (Teece 98) University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 20 Online Community Community = Set of Agents + Medium Agents = user groups Medium = Internet Subscribers Netiquette Self Organized Non-Commercial Culture Communities - Business Models and System Architectures: The Blueprint of MP3.com, Napster and Gnutella Revisited, Lechner University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 21 Components of a Medium Knowledge Intention Communities - Business Models and System Architectures: The Blueprint of MP3.com, Napster and Gnutella Revisited, Lechner University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 22 Evidence from Practice • Secondary Market Research as practiced by expert communities may be not be producing market knowledge fast enough or broad enough for modern high velocity markets – Market analysis of existing markets was not encouraging • A KMS that uses IT to gather primary market information rapidly, facilitates the complex transformation between basic research (IP) and commercialization (Wealth) – Online research for potential markets has changed the lens – MOB/WOB community is rich with profitable SMEs University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 23 Market Research Repository You can sort or filter you selection Each technology list the available primary marker research we have done. University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 24 Docket Example MULTI-CHANNEL SPATIALIZATION SYSTEM FOR AUDIO SIGNALS U.S. patent 5,438,623 (August 1, 1995) PROBLEM ADDRESSED separation of auditory inputs by simulation of different source locations TECHNICAL APPROACH (1) use of synthetic auditory head related transfer function (HRTF) to simulate different virtual spatial source locations for up to five auditory signals; (2) analog-to-digital conversion for noise-free processing with HRTF, and subsequent digital-to-analog conversion for presentation of modified signals to right and left ears POTENTIAL APPLICATIONS teleconferencing, aeronautical communications, virtual reality video games, command and control BENEFITS (1) binaural hearing advantages: substantial improvement (6-8 dB)in signal to noise; faster reaction times, less listening fatigue, increased perception and immersion; (2) less expensive than general purpose 3D audio displays; (3) customizable; (4) user-friendly, not requiring computer interface University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 25 Gather Competitive Intelligence • By using the CAP Tools, you can collect industry feedback and potential commercial applications. University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 26 B01-063 The Radar University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 27 CAP Tools (Explicit) In the CAP, say you need to build a Technology Status Report. Clicking on the link, brings up more information about what is a Technology Status Report (TSR), including an example. University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center Clicking on the details button reveals more information about the TSR. 28 Market Wanted Innovations • • • • • • • Real time General Solution (360 sphere) Low Cost Head Orientation Sensitive Set Top Box Sound Card Add in Listener Location Independence University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 29 MOB/WOB Firm • Breakaway – On going profitable south central MOB IT Service Business – Strong Private and Public Network – No Products – Strong business relationship with Microsoft • Far West – Assisted with Business Plan – We located Physicist – Located Chip Designers – MOU in process with Taiwan partner for chip fabrication – Assisting with SBIR and STTR to ensure dual use – Prepared mathematical demonstration of algorithm University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 30 Leveraging Existing Network Breakaway will take lead on SBIR Phase I and Phase II (hopefully) Far West RTTC will support USC School of Engineering will support STTR work. Large Chip manufacturer is monitoring process Large Set Top Box manufacturer is monitoring process VC is monitoring process Investment Bank is monitoring process DoD is monitoring process Time to Market 24 to 36 months University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 31 Assessing Your Technology After-Technology (Customer Facing) Before Technology (Non-Customer Facing) Industry Adoption of Technology CIO Magazine June 2002 CEO Not Involved CEO Involved Executive’s Approach to Technology University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 32 B01-113 Intern Opportunity Opportunity to work with Boeing Review current licensees for audit. Coordinate request for patent licenses and recommend changes to strategies and process. Interface closely with attorneys, patent consults and portfolio management personnel. 2/ 20 hours a week $12/hr. University of Southern California School of Engineering Technology Transfer Center 33