Small Area Economic Data from the 2007 Economic Census and Economic Surveys APDU Annual Conference The Brookings Institution Thursday, September 24th, 2009 Presented by: Andrew W Hait and Patrice C. Norman U.S. Census Bureau Economic Planning & Coordination Division Economic Surveys vs. the Census • Economic Indicators – Very timely – Limited data items – Limited NAICS and Geo levels shown • Economic Surveys – Mostly annual – Slightly more data items and more NAICS – Still limited in Geo levels shown The Economic Census • The preeminent supplier of extremely detailed data about the US economy – Over 1,100 unique data items tabulated and disseminated – Over 2,100 NAICS industries published at 2- thru 6-digit NAICS levels – Over 15,000 unique geographic areas disseminated Economic Census Geographies • United States – States and equivalents • Metro Areas – Counties and equivalents » Places (cities, towns, villages, etc.) » Consolidated Cities » Independent Cities » Part-Places » “Balance of Counties” • Regions and Divisions • Puerto Rico Commercial Regions • ZIP Codes Econ Geographic Coverage Economic Census Sector States Metro Areas Counties Places ZIPs 21: Mining X 22: Utilities X 23: Construction X 31-33: Manufacturing X X X X 42: Wholesale Trade X X X X 44-45: Retail Trade X X X X 48-49: Transportation and Warehousing X X 51: Information X X X X 52: Finance and Insurance X X 53: Real Estate and Rental and Leasing X X X X 54: Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services X X X X X 55: Management of Companies and Enterprise X 56: Admin. and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services X X X X X 61: Educational Services X X X X X 62: Health Care and Social Assistance X X X X X 71: Arts, Entertainment and Recreation X X X X X 72: Accommodation and Food Services X X X X X 81: Other Services (Except Public Administration) X X X X X X X Issues with 2002 and Prior Censuses • Only included incorporated places • Large percentage of suppressed or dropped places due to small size of qualifying places • Places with high econ activity but low population missed Selected Findings from the 2002 Economic Census • For the Retail Trade sector – Almost half of the states had more than 25% of their establishments tabulated in the “Balance of County” and 10 had over 50% • For the Manufacturing sector – 23% of the places nationwide were suppressed at the 2-digit NAICS level, with 94% of these reporting < 5,000 employees • For Maryland (all sectors) – < 1% of the published data were in places that would be dropped if changed qualification criteria Changes for the 2007 Economic Census • Census Designated Places (CDPs) now included • Significant econ activity in CDPs • “Penalized” states with small number of incorporated cities • Population cutoff standardized • Was 2,500 in most of US and 10,000 in “strong” Minor Civil Division states; Now 5,000 for all states Changes for 2007 (cont.) • Jobs criteria added • Places with 5,000 or more jobs also now included (just over 100) – Commerce, Industry, and Vernon, CA previously covered in the Economic Census – Lake Buena Vista, FL (16 pop; 30,768 jobs) • Geocoding to places “universe” as well as to Economic Places • Will allow us to do special tabs of places with high employment but didn’t make the cut using sometimes old Pop and Jobs data. Ca l ifo rn ia Fl or id a Il li no is M ar M y as lan sa d ch us et ts M i ch ig an M in ne so ta M i ss ou Ne ri w Je rs ey Ne w No Yo rth rk Ca ro li n a O Pe hio nn sy lv a nia Te xa s Vi rg ini W as a hi ng to n Top “Winners” and “Losers” 250 200 150 100 50 0 Places "Lost" Places "Gained" For More Information… • Geo Changes by State Summaries – List of added and dropped places and metro area changes – http://www.census.gov/econ/census07/www/geography/geography_changes.html For More Information… • GeoNotes – List of geos with boundary or other changes – http://www.census.gov/econ/census07/www/geography/geonotes.html For More Information… • U.S., State, Metro, and County Maps – http://www.census.gov/econ/census07/www/geography/maps/ 2002 Economic Census Data Release Schedule • Industry Series: Selected national-level industry and product data by sector and industry (4/09 - 12/09) • Geographic Area Series: Selected national-, state-, and other geographic-level data by sector, industry, and geography (11/09 – 8/10) • Subjects and Summary Series: Selected summary data by sector (including Products, Size, and Misc. Subjects reports) (10/10 – 6/11) • ZIP Codes: Number of Establishments by sales size for selected sectors (7/11) Local Area Data and the Annual Economic Surveys County Business Patterns • Provides statistics annually at a detailed geographic level – Number of Establishments, Employment, First Quarter Payroll, and Annual Payroll – 2- thru 6-digit NAICS levels – US, State, County, and Metro Area levels • For 2007: – – – – Number of Establishments – 7,705,018 Employment – 120,604,265 First Quarter Payroll - $1,274,971,624 Annual Payroll - $5,026,778,232 Noise Infusion for 2007 CBP • Data perturbed at the establishment level by applying a noise multiplier – Done prior to tabulation – Applied to all data cells except Number of Establishments • Results in a relatively small change in vast majority of data cells Noise Infusion Results • No need to apply Complementary cell suppressions • Has resulted in 10% more published data at the U.S. level for the 2007 CBP vs. the 2006 CBP • More significant impact at the State, Metro Area, and County levels Noise Infusion (cont.) • Noise flag disseminated for each published data cell except Number of Establishments – “G” = low noise (<2%) – “H” = moderate noise (>2% but <5%) – >5% - data suppressed in table Sample CBP Data Upcoming CBP Enhancements • New Legal Form of Organization breakout – Planned for 2008 CBP • Island Area expansion – Current CBP only covers Puerto Rico – Expansion will incorporate other 4 Island Areas into data products • American Samoa, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, and the US Virgin Islands Nonemployer Statistics • Provides statistics annually at detailed industry and geographic levels – Number of Firms and Receipts – 2- thru 6-digit NAICS levels – U.S., State, County, and Metro Area levels • For 2007: – Number of Firms – 21,708,021 – Receipts - $991,791,563 • Noise Infusion debuted with the 2005 Nonemployers data Sample Nonemployers Data Questions? Andy Hait (301)763-6747 Andrew.W.Hait@census.gov Patrice Norman (301)763-7198 Patrice.C.Norman@census.gov