Managerial Economics in a Global Economy Chapter 2 Optimization Techniques and New Management Tools Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University OPTIMIZATION Managerial economics is concerned with the ways in which managers should make decisions in order to maximize the effectiveness or performance of the organizations they manage. To understand how this can be done we must understand the basic optimization techniques. Functional relationships: relationships can be expressed by graphs: P Q Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University This form can be expressed in an equation: Q=f(P) (1) Though useful, it does not tell us how Q responds to P, but this equation do. Q = 200 - 5 p (2) Marginal Analysis The marginal value of a dependent variable is defined as the change in this dependent variable associated with a 1-unit change in a particular independent variable. e.g. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University units 0 0 marginal profit average profit - 100 1 100 100 150 2 250 125 350 3 600 200 400 4 1000 250 350 5 1350 270 150 6 1500 250 50 7 1550 221 -50 8 1500 188 -100 9 1400 156 Note: Total profit is maximized when marginal profit shifts from positive to negative. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Average Profit = Profit / Q Slope of ray from the origin: PROFITS MAX Rise / Run Profit / Q = average profit C B Maximizing average profit doesn’t maximize total profit profits Q Managerial Economics quantity Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Marginal Profits = /Q Q1 is breakeven (zero profit) maximum marginal profits occur at the inflection point (Q2) Max average profit at Q3 Max total profit at Q4 where marginal profit is zero So the best place to produce is where marginal profits = 0. profits (Figure 2.1) max Q3 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q average profits marginal profits Q Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Differential Calculus in Management A function with one decision variable, X, can be written as: Y = f(X) The marginal value of Y, with a small increase of X, is My = Y/X For a very small change in X, the derivative is written: dY/dX = limit Y/X X B 2005 South-Western Publishing Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Marginal = Slope = Derivative The slope of line C-D is Y/X The marginal at point C is Y/X The slope at point C is the rise (Y) over the run (X) The derivative at point C is also this slope D Y Y X C X Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Optimum Can Be Highest or Lowest Finding the maximum flying range for the Stealth Bomber is an optimization problem. Calculus teaches that when the first derivative is zero, the solution is at an optimum. The original Stealth Bomber study showed that a controversial flying V-wing design optimized the bomber's range, but the original researchers failed to find that their solution in fact minimized the range. It is critical that managers make decision that maximize, not minimize, profit potential! Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Quick Differentiation Review Name Function Derivative Example Constant Y = c Functions dY/dX = 0 Y=5 dY/dX = 0 Y = c • X dY/dX = c Y = 5X dY/dX = 5 A Line Power Y = cXb Functions Managerial Economics dY/dX = b•c•X b-1 Y = 5X2 dY/dX = 10X Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Quick Differentiation Review Sum of Y = G(X) + H(X) Functions example Y = 5X + 5X2 dY/dX = dG/dX + dH/dX dY/dX = 5 + 10X Product of Y = G(X) • H(X) Two Functions dY/dX = (dG/dX)H + (dH/dX)G example Y = (5X)(5X2 ) dY/dX = 5(5X2 ) + (10X)(5X) = 75X2 Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Quick Differentiation Review Quotient of Two Y = G(X) / H(X) Functions dY/dX = (dG/dX)•H - (dH/dX)•G H2 Y = (5X) / (5X2) dY/dX = 5(5X2) -(10X)(5X) (5X2)2 = -25X2 / 25X4 = - X-2 Chain Rule Y = G [ H(X) ] dY/dX = (dG/dH)•(dH/dX) Y = (5 + 5X)2 dY/dX = 2(5 + 5X)1(5) = 50 + 50X Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University USING DERIVATIVES TO SOLVE MAXIMIZATION AND MINIMIZATION PROBLEMS Maximum or minimum points occur only if the slope of the curve equals zero. Look at the following graph Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Max of x y Slope = 0 the function Y = -50 + 100X - 5X2 value of x i.e., dy/dx 10 20 x Value of Dy/dx when y is max 0 dY = 100 - 10X dX dY = 0 if dX X = 10 Value of dy/dx which Is the slope of y curve i.e., Y is maximized when the slope equals zero. 10 20 x Note that this is not sufficient for maximization or minimization problems. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University y Max value of y Since dY dX = 0 at two points, we need another condition to distinguish between the maximum and minimum points. Look at the Min value of y dY dX curve * at point 5 the curve is upward, i.e., its slope ( the second derivative (the derivative of the derivative)) is positive. Hence x Dy/dx value of dy/dx d2y/dx2 > 0 d2y/dx2 < 0 d 2Y = > 0 dX 2 ( minimum point ) * at point 10 the curve is downward, i.e., its slope is negative. Hence d 2Y = < 0 dX 2 ( maximum point ) x Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Graphs of an original third-order function and its first and second derivatives. (what if the second order = 0) Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Optimization Rules Maximization conditions: 1- 2- dY = 0 dX d 2Y = < 0 dX 2 Minimization conditions: 1- 2Managerial Economics dY = 0 dX d 2Y = > 0 dX 2 Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Applications of Calculus in Managerial Economics maximization problem: A profit function might look like an arch, rising to a peak and then declining at even larger outputs. A firm might sell huge amounts at very low prices, but discover that profits are low or negative. At the maximum, the slope of the profit function is zero. The first order condition for a maximum is that the derivative at that point is zero. If = 50Q - Q2, then d/dQ = 50 - 2·Q, using the rules of differentiation. Hence, Q = 25 will maximize profits where 50 - 2Q = 0. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University More Applications of Calculus minimization problem: Cost minimization supposes that there is a least cost point to produce. An average cost curve might have a U-shape. At the least cost point, the slope of the cost function is zero. The first order condition for a minimum is that the derivative at that point is zero. If TC = 5Q2 – 60Q, then dC/dQ = 10Q - 60. Hence, Q = 6 will minimize cost Where: 10Q - 60 = 0. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University More Examples Competitive Firm: Maximize Profits where = TR - TC = P • Q - TC(Q) Use our first order condition: d/dQ = P - dTC/dQ = 0. Decision Rule: P = MC. a function of Q Max = 100Q - Q2 First order = 100 -2Q = 0 implies Q = 50 and; = 2,500 Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Second Order Condition: one variable If the second derivative is negative, then it’s a maximum If the second derivative is positive, then it’s a minimum Problem 1 Problem 2 Max = 100Q - Q2 Max= 50 + 5X2 First derivative First derivative 100 -2Q = 0 second derivative is: -2 implies Q =50 is a MAX 10X = 0 second derivative is: 10 implies Q = 10 is a MIN Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Extra examples e.g.; 2 3 Y = -1 + 9X - 6X + X Y = 0 at 2 = 9 - 12X + 3X = 0 Quadratic Function 2 Y = aX + bX + c X= b b2 4ac 2a X=3 d 2Y dX 2 = -12 + 6X at X = 3 d 2Y dX 2 at X = 1 b = -12 d 2Y dX 2 Managerial Economics or X = 1 the second condition a=3 c=9 =2 1 therefore first condition dY dX X= (12) 122 4(9 3) 6 = -12 + 6(3) = 6 >0 ( minimum point) = -12 + 6(1) = - 6 <0 (maximum point) Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Partial Differentiation Economic relationships usually involve several independent variables. A partial derivative is like a controlled experimentit holds the “other” variables constant Suppose price is increased, holding the disposable income of the economy constant as in Q = f (P, I ) then Q/P holds income constant. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Problem: Sales are a function of advertising in newspapers and magazines ( X, Y) Max S = 200X + 100Y -10X2 -20Y2 +20XY Differentiate with respect to X and Y and set equal to zero. S/X = 200 - 20X + 20Y= 0 S/Y = 100 - 40Y + 20X = 0 solve for X & Y and Sales Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Solution: 2 equations & 2 unknowns 200 - 20X + 20Y= 0 100 - 40Y + 20X = 0 Adding them, the -20X and +20X cancel, so we get 300 - 20Y = 0, or Y =15 Plug into one of them: 200 - 20X + 300 = 0, hence X = 25 To find Sales, plug into equation: S = 200X + 100Y -10X2 -20Y2 +20XY = 3,250 Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University PARTIAL DIFFERENTIATION AND MAXIMIZATION OF MULTIVARIATE FUNCTIONS. = f (Q1 , Q2 ) To know the marginal effect of Q1 on we hold Q2 constant, and vice versa. In order to do that we use partial derivative of Q1 denoted by with respect to ( treating Q2 as constant ) Q1 e.g.; = -20 + 100Q1 + 80Q2 - 10Q12 - 10Q22 - 5Q1Q2; to find the partial derivative of with respect to Q1 we treat Q2 as constant; hence Q1 = 100 - 20Q1 - 5Q2; (1) therefore Q2 = 80 - 20Q2 - 5Q1; setting both partial (2) derivatives equal to zero and solve simultaneously Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University 100 - 20Q1 - 5Q2 =0 80 - 20Q2 - 5Q1 =0 multiply by -4 and add ________________ - 220 + 75Q2 = 0 hence Q2 = 2.933 substitute for Q2 at any of the eq. 1 100 - 20Q1 - 14.665; hence Q1 = 4.267. i.e., profit is maximized when the firm produces 4.267 of Q1 and 2.933 of Q2. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University CONSTRAINED OPTIMIZATION We assume that the firm can freely produce 4.267 of Q1 and 2.933 of Q2. Quite often this may not be the case. e.g. Minimize TC = 4Q12 + 5Q22 - Q1Q2; subject to: Q1 + Q2 = 30 The constraint function Solution: The lagrangian multiplier: Steps: 1 - set the constraint function to zero 2 - form the lagrangian function by adding the constraint function after multiplication with an unknown factor to the original function. 3 - take the partial derivatives and set them equal to zero 4 - solve the resulting equations simultaneously Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University step 1: 30 - Q1 - Q2 = 0 step 2: L = 4Q 12 + 5Q22 - Q1Q2 + ( 30 - Q1 - Q2) step 3: L Q1 = 8Q 1 - Q2 - L Q2 = -Q1 + 10Q 2 - L = -Q1 - Q2 + 30 Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University 8Q1 - Q2 - = 0 (1) -Q1 + 10Q2 - =0 (2) -Q1 - Q2 + 30 =0 (3) step 4 multiply eq(2) by -1 and subtract from eq(1) 9Q1 - 11Q2 = 0 (4) multiply (3) by 9 and add to eq(4) -9Q1 - 9Q2 + 270 = 0 9Q1 - 11Q2 =0 ____________________ -20Q2 +270 = 0 Q2 = 270/20 = 13.5 Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University substituting in eq (3) Q1 = 16.5 the values of Q1 and Q2 that minimizes TC are 16.5 and 13.5 respectively. substituting Q1 and Q2 in eq(1) or eq(2) we find that = 118.5 the interpretation of measures the change in TC if the constraint is to be relaxed by one unit. i.e., TC will increase ( has a positive sign ) by 118.5 if the constraint becomes 29 or 31. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Key Terms Marginal profit Average profit Marginal cost Marginal revenue Marginal analysis Optimization Derivative of Y with respect to X (dy/dx) Differentiation Second derivative Partial derivative Constrained optimization Lagrangian multiplier method Lagrangian function Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University