15th Annual Problem-Oriented Policing Conference Charlotte, North Carolina October 28, 2004 to October 30, 2004 Robberies at Convenience Stores, Gas Stations and Fast Food Restaurants: Analyzing Stop and Robs Presenters Jay W. Malcan, Ph.D. – Director, Community Policing Training Richmond Police Department – Dean, School of Arts & Sciences Virginia Union University 3 Presenters Brad Koch – Homicide Detective Charlotte-Mecklenburg Police Department 4 A Macro Analysis of Robberies at Convenience Stores Gas Stations Fast Food Restaurants Jay W. Malcan, Ph.D. Four Dimensions of Victimization Risk of Interest to Us Criminological Theory Public Policy Research & Crime Analysis Crime Prevention Practices 6 Criminological Theory CPTED – C. Ray Jeffery Broken Windows – Kelling & Wilson Routine Activities – Ron Clarke Hot Spots – Larry Sherman 7 Routine Activities Changes in the routine activities of our daily life can increase or decrease the risk of criminal victimization. 8 Public Policy How do routine activities shaped by public policy impact patterns of victimization at specific locations? 9 How Does Public Policy Shape Crime? How Does Public Policy Shape Crime? Crime in liquor stores – Virginia vs. D.C.? Crime at gas stations – Virginia vs. N.J.? 11 How Does Public Policy Shape Crime in Virginia? Liquor Stores State Stores vs. Private Stores Gas Stations Self-Service Gas vs. Full Service Gas 12 Research & Crime Analysis Sherman Hot Spots of Predatory Crime: Routine Activities and the Criminology of Place Research in Minneapolis Police Calls for Service 3% of places account for 50% of all calls 2.2% of places account for ALL robberies 14 Virginia Crime Commission Spring 1989 Testimony by Caruthers Sisters 15 Study Mandate Are Convenience Stores an “At Risk Business” ? 16 Questions To Be Answered Had other people around the country looked at convenience store crime ? Was the convenience store problem in Virginia the same as across the country ? 18 Considerable Research on Convenience Store Crime Crow & Bull Hunter Jeffery Gainseville / Swanson, Clifton, Callahan Murdaugh & Gilmore 19 Research Indicated that Convenience Stores are an ‘At Risk Business’ 1988 – 1989 DCJS Statewide Survey Found 69% of violent events in convenience stores occurred during night time hours of operation (9PM – 5 AM) 76% of violent events involved clerks working alone 22 63 % of lone clerks involved in events were women 65 % of violent events clustered in 10 localities 23 1988 – 89 DCJS Survey 54 % of all convenience store robberies in Virginia (N=469) involved only 169 stores 25 NACS & DCJS Studies 80 % of stores don’t experience a violent crime in 2 years 20% experience a violent event in 2 year period 7 % experience multiple events in 2 year period 26 Multiple Violent Events at One Location (Hot Spot) ARE NOT RANDOM ! Importance of Robberies Zimring (1986) 1 homicide occurs for every 100 robberies with a firearm 1 : 100 ratio Source: Victim Injury and Death in Urban Robbery: A Chicago Study 28 29 30 Two DCJS Studies Led to Study with National Institute for Occupational Safety & Health (NIOSH) NIOSH Virginia Study 14 cities & counties 438 robberies Site visits to robbed store & 3 control stores 32 33 34 35 2003 Crimes By Location Location Robbery Gas Station Liquor Store C-Store 178 1 480 Homicide 0 0 7 SOURCE: 2003 Crime in Virginia 36 Virginia Convenience Store Robberies: 1983 = 483 1991 = 724 1995 = 408 1999 = 260 2003 = 480 SOURCE: 1983 - 2003 Crime in Virginia 37 Rugala (FBI) “Majority of workplace homicide is result of robbery.” 38 Virginia Convenience Stores HOMICIDES 2002 = 4 2003 = 7 SOURCE: 2002 & 2003 Crime in Virginia 39 Importance of Robberies Zimring (1986) 1 homicide occurs for every 100 robberies with a firearm 1 : 100 ratio Source: Victim Injury and Death in Urban Robbery: A Chicago Study 40 Crime Prevention Practice TRAINING CPTED BROKEN WINDOWS 41 DCJS / NIOSH Study Sherri Johnson – VCU Thesis Most powerful predictors of convenience stores with multiple violent crimes Litter Graffiti 42 Buerger The Crime Prevention Casebook: Securing High Crime Locations About high call for service locations in Minneapolis Great example of blending crime prevention, crime analysis & problemoriented policing to deal with problem locations 43 Real Opportunity Is: Identify Your Hotspots! Use your crime analysis Use your own statistics Use your intuition 44 A Local Analysis of Robberies at Convenience Stores Gas Stations Fast Food Restaurants Brad Koch Routine Activities Theory Predatory crime occurs when three things come together in time and space: Motivated Offender Suitable Target Absence of Capable Guardians 46 Routine Activities Theory Businesses can reduce their risks of victimization by becoming less suitable targets and/or increased levels of guardianship. 47 Becoming Less Suitable Targets Business Operation Characteristics Fewer days of operation Fewer hours of operation Physical Environment Characteristics Low amount of cash in register ATM on premises Target Hardening Devices Drop safe with sign Alarm 48 Increasing Guardianship Business Operation Characteristics Increased number of employees on 3rd shift Physical Environment Characteristics Unobstructed windows Public waiting area Target Hardening Devices Video cameras Security guard Police officer on site 49 Background Charlotte, North Carolina is located in Mecklenburg County – Over 600,000 live in city of Charlotte – Over 800,000 live in Mecklenburg County – Population grows by approximately 3% each year – Mecklenburg County has 7 police agencies – Charlotte ranks as the 21st largest city 50 Background Study examined robberies in CMPD jurisdiction in 2001 at all: convenience stores gas stations fast food restaurants Two surveys were taken at all qualifying businesses Business Practice Survey Physical Security Survey 51 Background Completed surveys at 644 businesses A regression analysis was completed that included all 644 businesses Regression analysis examined the relationship between robbery and several different characteristics 52 Background Different characteristics included Business operation characteristics Physical environment characteristics Target hardening devices 53 Surveys Two surveys were completed at each qualifying business: Business Practice Survey Physical Security Survey A copy of each survey is included in the information packet 54 Surveys Physical Security Survey Similar to a CPTED (Crime Prevention Through Environmental Design) Survey Business Practice Survey Questions were linear in nature Attempted to provide quantitative answers to questions 55 Analysis Dependent variable was stores that were the victim of a robbery in 2001 644 business establishments surveyed 224 (34.8%) experienced a robbery in 2001 56 Partial List of Independent Variables Robbery Alarm System Hours of Operation Video Cameras Present Days of Operation Video Monitors in View Policy about 3rd Shift Employees Height Markers Window Obstruction Levels Amount of Cash in Register Drive Through Window Signs Posted About Cash ATM on Premises Drop Safes Public Restrooms Signs Posted About Drop Safes Public Telephone Type of Security Personnel Public Transportation Prior Victimization Interior Waiting Area 57 Findings Factors associated with a significantly LOWER likelihood of being robbed: Police Officer as security personnel ATM on the premises Why ATM’s? Not due to additional security features Not due to “safe” neighborhoods 58 Findings Factors associated with a significantly HIGHER likelihood of being robbed: Being open 24 hours a day Being located near public transportation Having a drop safe but no drop safe sign Having been robbed in the past year 59 Findings The best predictor of current robbery victimization is PAST robbery victimization 60 Findings Selected factors that are NOT associated with the likelihood of being robbed: Policy regarding two or more employees Alarm system present Video cameras present Video monitors in plain view of customers Security personnel other than Police Officers 61 Other Factors That May Influence Robbery Neighborhood Characteristics Gender composition Racial composition Age composition Economic indicators Prior Victimization Experiences Number of prior robberies occurring at the establishment 62 Next Steps Look at each type of business establishment separately: Fast food Convenience store Gas station 63 Next Steps Issues: How best to treat “combination” establishments (e.g., fast food/gas station) Small number of certain establishment types (e.g., gas station only) Missing data 64 Contact Information Jay Malcan Brad Koch Director of Community Policing Training Richmond Police Academy 1202 W. Graham Road Richmond, VA 23220 (804) 646-6119 work jmalcan@ci.richmond.va.us Charlotte-Mecklenburg PD 601 East Trade Street Charlotte, NC 28202 704-353-1055 work 704-336-5713 fax bkoch@cmpd.org 65