The Philippine Debt Audit Campaign A Renewed Call to the 14th Congress and the Filipino People Presented by Rebecca L. Malay Treasurer, Freedom from Debt Coalition The Debt Audit Congressional Debt Audit Where we are Moving forward: issues & considerations Citizens Debt Audit Commission Where we are General Concept Refinement in structure Proposed members of the Commission Is the debt problem over? Growing Debt Problem (in trillion pesos) 5.00 4.50 4.00 3.50 3.00 NG Contingent Liabilities National Government (NG) Debts Debt Service Gross Borrowings 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Aquino Ramos Estrada Arroyo Sources: Bureau of Treasury for NG Debts and Contingent Liabilities, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas on Gross Borrowings, and Department of Budget and Management (General Appropriations Act) for Debt Service Record Breaker Arroyo: Largest Borrowed, Largest Paid (in trillion pesos) 3.50 3.09 2.83 3.00 2.50 Gross Borrowings Debt Payments 2.05 2.00 1.46 1.50 1.00 0.78 0.52 0.56 0.50 0.57 0.71 0.37 0.00 Aquino (87-92) Ramos (93-98) Estrada (99-00) Total (Aquino, Ramos, Estrada) Sources: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas on Gross Borrowings, and Department of Budget and Management for Debt Service Arroyo (01-06) Is the debt problem over? NG Outstanding Debt 3.819 Domestic Debt (by instruments) 2.148 Treasury Bills 0.588 Treasury Bonds/Notes 1.538 Loans 0.022 Others 0 Foreign Debt (by creditors, using $1=P46.35) 1.671 Multilateral 0.251 Bilateral 0.378 Commercial 0.035 Foreign Denominated Securities 1.006 NG Contingent Liabilities 0.530 Domestic Debt 0.072 Foreign Debt 0.458 National Government Debt as of end-May 2007 (in trillion pesos) Source: Bureau of Treasury, SDAD Note: Breakdown of totals may not sum up due to rounding of digits Who pays? Revenues vs. Debt Service (in billion pesos) 1,200 1,000 800 Revenues Debt Servicing 600 400 200 0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Aquino Ramos Estrada Arroyo Source: Bureau of Treasury for Revenues data, Department of Budget and Management for Debt Service data Who suffers? Government Expenditures 1987-2006 (in billion pesos) 800 700 600 Debt Service (Interest plus Principal) Education 500 Health 400 Social Security 300 200 100 Aquino Ramos Estrada Arroyo 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 0 Who suffers? Social expenditures received the brunt of expenditure cuts. Most evident during the time of Arroyo The gap between education expenditure and debt service grew by 52.06% in 2002, the highest in recent history Health and Social Security has not been a priority for the longest time compared to debt servicing Education Spending* Average national spending for education by administration show that based on 2000 prices, the amount spent per pupil fell during Arroyo’s time Marcos (1981-85) : Php 3 027 Aquino (1986-92) : Php 4 478 Ramos (1993-95): Php 4 959 Estrada (1999-01): Php 5 830 Arroyo (2001-04) : Php 5 467 *former Budget Secretary Benjamin Diokno, “Real State of the Nation”, 20 July 2007 Health Spending* Combined (NG and LGU) per capita health spending show that Marcos (1981-85) spent Php 240 Aquino (1986-92) Php 278 Ramos (1993-98) Php 321 Estrada (1999-00) Php 360 Arroyo (2001-04) Php 303 *former Budget Secretary Benjamin Diokno, “Real State of the Nation”, 20 July 2007 Congressional Debt Audit The call for a Congressional Debt Audit, calls for a comprehensive investigation of all public sector debts and contingent liabilities. Last Congress, the House of Representatives swiftly passed the Debt Audit Resolution, but the Senate failed to take it up. Congressional Debt Audit 13th Congress: Review of engagement Positive Negative Unanimous approval of Passage House Joint Resolution No. 1 in Sept 2004 through the efforts of Lagman, Zialcita, progressive & minority solons Discussion of Senate version blocked in the Committee of Finance headed by Sen. Villar Developed stronger support from several minority senators – Pimentel, Madrigal, Lacson through other engagements Sen. Biazon not keen on fighting it out; opted to develop an alternative bill creating a Debt Management Office Linked up for support with key staff of LP Drilon wing Sen. Enrile apparently unhappy about Biazon’s eventual authorship of the Senate version of the resolution Congressional Debt Audit 14th Congress: Opportunities & Challenges OPPORTUNITIES CHALLENGES Lagman’s continued commitment to pursue the debt audit; other allies also committed Other issues such as charter change may put the debt audit agenda in the sidelines Senate dominated by opposition; key allies in the HOR now in the Senate (Escudero, A. Cayetano), Trillanes The Senate President opposes Debt Audit Resolution Administration legislators dominates the Lower House Congressional Debt Audit How to move forward: issues & concerns 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Joint resolution vs Committee level audit Role of Rep. Lagman – he has the capacity to once again push for the passage in the Lower House, but the dynamics between him and the Senate should be assessed Authorship of Biazon of the Senate version; possible author is Sen. Pimentel How to handle Sen. Enrile? How else to maximize the favorable composition of the Senate? Citizens Debt Audit Where we are Convened 36 individuals and political bloc representatives as convenors of the Citizens debt Audit in 2004 Met three times in 2005; difficulty in convening in 2006 as a result of the political crisis FDC’s work since 2006 up to the present allowed it to consolidate sectors (YAD), and expand support for the debt audit initiative (Budget Consortium, ODA Watch, GCAP, LnM, other anti-GMA, faith-based, etc.) Citizens Debt Audit Commission General Concept 1. Critical examination of the Philippine public debt based on: Data and existing studies by resource persons and organizations Studies prepared by working groups and technical teams to be organized by the Citizens Debt Audit Commission Testimonies and inputs from affected communities, sectors and people’s organizations Citizens Debt Audit Commission Mechanics of the study: The review and examination process will follow an outline of the themes/topics. The presentations and discussions will be aimed at establishing the over-all picture (data, trends, etc.) and answering general and specific questions addressing the issues and problems related to the themes/topics. Studies, data and testimonies will be presented to the Commissioners and to the general public in Public Hearings. These sessions will devote sufficient time for questions, clarifications and open discussion. The Commissioners may also have smaller discussion-meetings with resource persons, witnesses, working groups and technical teams. Citizens Debt Audit Commission 2. Preparation and release of reports summarizing the findings of the Citizens Debt Audit and formulation of recommendations and options based on the findings. Thematic reports with corresponding recommendations will be issued periodically as theme of the review is completed. A comprehensive over-all report with recommendations will be issued at the end of the process. Citizens Debt Audit Commission Mechanics of the reports and recommendations: The draft report and recommendations for each theme will be prepared by assigned commissioners together with the working group(s), resource persons and technical team concerned. The draft report will be presented to all the commissioners in Public Forums to which the general public may be invited. The findings and recommendations will be openly debated in the Forums The commissioners will finalize the report/recommendations and submit it to appropriate government entities, which may be done with people’s participation (i.e. with accompanying mobilization). A summary will be presented to the media in press conferences Citizens Debt Audit Commission Themes and Topics 1. Overview of the Current Public Debt Situation 2. Overview of the Historical Development of the Philippine Debt Problem Including: Global context Periods of Crisis, Policies implemented, Results History of Renegotiations and Debt Relief Schemes Critical Issues that Emerged 3. Borrowings – Laws, Policies, Regulations, Trends and Issues 4. Debt Payments - Laws, Policies, Regulations, Trends and Issues 5. National Government Debt – Overview, Trends and Issues 6. NG External Debt – BNPP (lessons) 7. NG External Debt – Project and Program Loans – outcome and impact of the projects, terms and conditionalities Citizens Debt Audit Commission 8. NG External Debt – Loan Conditionalities; Debt as Leverage for Adjustment Programs; Relations with Multilateral Financial Institutions 9. Private Loans and Liabilities Assumed by the National Government; Behest Loans; Brady Securitization Deal 10. Interest Rates – Trends and Issues 11. NG External Debt – Bonds - Trends and Issues 12. Government-Owned and Controlled Corporations (GOCCs) and Government Financial Institutions (GFIs) Debts NAPOCOR debts, etc 13. Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) Projects– Debts and Liabilities 14. NG Debt – Domestic Debt 15. Old Central Bank and Bangko Central Other Topics for Background 1. Debt Relief, Debt Reduction Instruments and Options 2. Lessons and Experiences from Other Countries Citizens Debt Audit Commission Structure of the Commission Members of the Commission (not to exceed 20 individuals with established credibility & expertise) Organizing and presiding over the process; Taking the lead in the review, examination and preparations of reports and recommendations; Ensuring people’s participation in the audit process Ensuring that the process is open and transparent manner to the general public Finalizing the reports and recommendations Citizens Debt Audit Commission Structure (cont’n) Technical Committee composed of consultants and technical experts Thematic Committees composed of people’s organizations, NGOs and individuals to focus on putting together studies on a particular theme or specific topic for the audit process, to be submitted to the Citizens Debt Audit commission. will also work with assigned commissioner/s in the preparations of the report and recommendations, which will eventually be presented and discussed in public forums. Secretariat - events organizing, public information and media; research and data base-building; administration and finance (start with two staff) Freedom from Debt Coalition (FDC) – Philippines http://www.freedomfromdebtcoalition.org mail@freedomfromdebtcoalition.org +63(02)9246399 (Tele-fax), +63(02)9211985 Thank you.