ARVs and ART – looking to the future Sharon R Lewin Professor and Head, Department of Infectious Diseases, Monash University and Alfred Hospital Co-head, Centre for Biomedical Research, Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia 7th IAS Conference on Pathogenesis, Treatment and Prevention, Kuala Lumpur, 30th June – 3rd July, 2013 ARV and ART: looking to the future Better antiretrovirals – Reduce cost – Reduce toxicity – Enhance durability of control Reduce long term morbidity The very distant future cheaper and better antiretrovirals Strategies to reduce cost of current ARVs Optimising the active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) – Optimise material sourcing – Change in manufacturing process – Improve bioavailability Pharmaco-enhancement Extension of shelf-life Reduce dose Crawford et al., Lancet Infect Dis 2012; 12:550; Conference on Antiretroviral Dose Optimisation (CADO), 2010 New source of raw material Mg tert-butoxide reduces cost of TDF Similar strategies currently being evaluated for efavirenz, ATZ/r, DRV/r Crawford et al., Lancet Infect Dis 2012; 12:550 Lower doses can be effective, reduce toxicities…and reduce cost Drug Doses studied Outcome Study Efavirenz 600mg vs 400mg vs 200mg No difference in %<400 c/ml Hicks Riplivarine 150mg vs 75 mg vs 25mg All doses non inferior to EFV Pozniak NNRTI Protease inhibitors LPV/r 400/100 vs 200/100 mg Improved outcomes for Murphy low dose Integrase inhibitors Raltegravir 600 vs 400 vs 200 vs 100 mg HIV RNA < 50 c/ml in 85%, 83%, 88% and 88% Markowitz New ARVs in development NRTI Phase 3 TAF Phase 2 apricitabine DAPD dexelvucitabine festinavir Phase 1/2 amdoxovir elvucitabine Phase 1 NNRTI PI Entry Inh InSTI cenicriviroc BILR 355 MK-1439 RDEA 806 dolutegravir BMS-663068 GSK744 ibalizumab PF-232798 TMC 310911 HGS004 CTP-298 CTP-518 PPL-100 SPI-256 SCH532706 BI 224436 VIR-576 INH-1001 Gulick, 20th CROI, Atlanta, GA, March 2013 % HIV-1 RNA <50 c/mL Tenofovir alenofenamide (TAF): reduced renal toxicity and cost TDF/FTC/EVG/c 90% (n=58) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 TAF/FTC/EVG/c 88% (n=112) TAF/FTC/EVG/COBI 2 4 8 12 16 24 Time (Weeks) Change in serum creatinine at Week 24 TAF +0.07 mg/dL TDF +0.12 mg/dL (p=0.02) Rx-naïve, VL >5000, CD4 >50 (N=170) Zolopa CROI 2013, Atlanta, GA # 99LB New technologies for delivery of ARVs Nanotechnology – Efavirenz 300mg – Pediatric LPV/r in development Injectables, implants, slow release – GSK744 + rilpivarine LA – GSK744 + 2NRTI (Latte study) – Vaginal rings e.g., dapivirine / maraviroc Multipurpose prevention technologies – HIV + STI + pregnancy Long and short term priorities to improve ARVs First-line – fixed-dose combination regimens that are equally or more potent and more durable and affordable than TDF/XTC/EFV Post Treatment –failure – fixed dose boosted, dose-optimized darunavir in replacing atazanavir or lopinavir as the protease inhibitor of choice – A one pill once daily second-line regimen. – Studies of reduced-dose darunavir/ritonavir (DRV/r), Enhancing Trial Participant Criteria – including girls and women of reproductive age, TB co-infection, and comorbidities (such as hypertension). Longer Term Research Priorities – oral and injectable long-acting drugs (including GSK744 and TMC278) as well as nano-formulations and implantable devices. CADO2 report, South Africa, April 2013 reduce long term morbidity Increased age-related complications on ART Mean AMI events per 1000 person years 6 5 5 3.9 4 3 2 3.3 2 2.2 1.5 1 0 40-49 years 50-59 years HIV+ 60-69 years HIV- Increased risk of AMI in HIV compared to HIV uninfected HR = 1.48 (CI = 1.27 – 1.72) Further increase HR if CD4<200 or HIV RNA>500 N=82,459; Veterans Ageing Cohort Study Virtual Cohort Frieberg et al., JAMA Internal Med 2013 HIV and aging in Africa In 2040, the number of persons over 50 years of age living with HIV is expected to be 9 million Mills et al., N Engl J Med 2012; 366:14 Etiology of non-AIDS-related events Non-AIDS-related events are more common in HIV disease, even after adjustment for age, cART exposure and traditional risk factors cART toxicity Lifestyle (e.g. smoking) Persistent inflammation (immune activation) Deeks SG, Phillips AN. Br Med J 2009;338:a3172 Non-AIDS events Prevention of non AIDS events needs a different model of care Lifestyle modifications – Reduce smoking, healthy diet, exercise Reduce modifiable risk factors – Assessment of blood pressure, glucose and lipids Counselling and screening for common cancers Enhance CD4 recovery and reduce inflammation the very distant future HIV cure is rare and possible – but a very long term goal The Berlin Patient THE VISCONTI PATIENTS The Mississippi baby Acknowledgements The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne – Julian Elliott – Jennifer Hoy – Edwina Wright Elsewhere – – – – – – Steve Deeks Diane Havlir Trip Gulich Judith Currier Andrew Ball Adeeba Kamarulzaman