CHAPTER 3 FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL MARKETS Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-1 Examples of Capital Market Claims Corporate Stock Bonds Mortgages Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-2 Net Financial Position of Major Sectors of the Economy Year-End 1998 (In $Billions) SECTOR Households and Nonprofits Nonfinancial business State and local governments U.S. Governments All Financial Sectors Foreign (Rest of World) Total FINANCIAL ASSETS $30,121 7,221 1,130 438 31,759 5,410 $76,079 NET FINANCIAL POSITION LIABILITIES EXCESS (A-L) $6250 $23,871 8,904 1,236 4,544 31,045 714 2,667 2,743 $54,646 $27,328 DEFICIT (L-A) $1,683 106 4,106 $5,895 Source: Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System, Z1 Statistical Release, March 12, 1999. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-3 Capital Market Dept and Equity Outstanding (In $Billions) $45,000 Mutual Fund Shares $40,000 Corporate Equity Billions of Dollars $35,000 Other Loans and Advances $30,000 Open Market Paper $25,000 Bank Loans $20,000 Consumer Credit $15,000 Mortgages $10,000 Corporate and Foreign Bonds State and Local Securities $5,000 U.S. Government Securities $0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Source: Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System, Flow of Funds Accounts, Federal Reserve Bulletin. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-4 Capital Market Efficiency Allocational efficiency relates to whether or not funds are being channeled to their most productive (highest-valued) use. – Are businesses with risky, but potentially productive technology, able to find financing? – Allocational efficiency depends upon high informational and operational efficiency. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-5 Capital Market Efficiency (continued) When market participants are able to obtain sufficient,timely, and accurate information about the relative values of securities, the market is said to have high informational efficiency. – Timely, accurate information assists market participants in allocating funds to the most productive use (allocational efficiency). Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-6 Capital Market Efficiency (concluded) – The various levels of market efficiency discussed in finance relate to informational efficiency. – In a market with high informational efficiency, prices embody all relevant information about securities. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-7 Capital Market Efficiency (concluded) A market is operationally efficient if the costs of conducting transactions are as low as possible. – If broker/dealers are earning normal profit returns (adequate based on risk assumed), the market is operationally efficient. – Operational efficiency is dependent upon the competitiveness (ease of entry/exit) of broker/dealers. – Allocational efficiency is directly related to the level of operational efficiency in any market. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-8 Overview of the Money Market Short-term debt market -- most under 120 days A few high quality borrowers Many diverse investors Informal market centered in New York City Standardized securities -- one security is a close substitute for another Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-9 Overview of the Money Market (concluded) Good marketability -- secondary market Large, wholesale open-market transactions Many brokers and dealers are competitively involved in the money market. Payment in Federal Funds -- immediately available funds. Physical possession of securities seldom made -centralized safekeeping. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3- Economic Role of Money Market (MM) The money market is a market for liquidity – Liquidity is stored in MM by investing in MM securities. – Liquidity is bought in MM by issuing securities (borrowing). There are few high-quality borrowers and many diverse MM investors. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-11 Characteristics of Money Market Instruments Low default risk Short maturity High marketability Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3- Selected Money Market Instruments Outstanding (December 31, 1998) INSTRUMENT U.S. Treasury securities Treasury bills Others under 1 year Negotiable certificates of deposit Commercial paper Banker’s acceptances Repurchase agreements AMOUNT OUTSTANDING ($ IN BILLIONS) $1,181.6 662.8 518.8 805.0 1,161.0 11.5 877.7 Source: Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System, Z1 Statistical Release, March 12, 1999 and The Bureau of Public Debt, Monthly Statement of Public Debt, January 31, 1999. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3- Characteristics of Money Market Instruments INSTRUMENT U.S. Treasury bills and other securities maturing within one year Federal agency securities, maturing within a year (FNMA, FHLMC, etc.) Commercial paper (unsecured IOUs of major corporations, maturity under 270 days) Negotiable certificates of deposit (of major banks) Bankers’s acceptances (company IOUs guaranteed by major banks) Federal Funds (overnight or short-term loans of immediately available funds, usually transferred via the Federal Reserve System) Repurchase agreements (overnight or short-term loans arranged by selling government securities along with an agreement to repurchase them at a higher price later) TYPICAL MATURITY 13 to 52 weeks MARKETABILITY Excellent DEFAULT RISK None Up to 1 year Good Very Low 1 to 270 days Limited Low 14 to 180 days 30 to 180 days Good Good Low Low 1 to 7 days Excellent Low 1 to 15 days Good Low Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3- Money Market Balance Sheet Position of Major Participants INSTRUMENT Treasury bills Agency securities Negotiable CDs Commercial paper Banker’s acceptances Federal Funds Repurchase agreements COMMERCIAL BANKS A L FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM A L TREASURY DEPARTMENT A L Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. INVESTMENT BANKS, DEALERS, AND BROKERS A L CORPORATIONS A L 3- Types of Financial Markets Markets may be differentiated by when a security is sold. – The initial financing of the DSU is the primary market; subsequent resale of the financial claims of the DSU are traded in the secondary markets. – Primary markets are important from a real saving/investment perspective; secondary markets provide liquidity and portfolio rebalancing capacity for the investor. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3- Types of Financial Markets (continued) Markets may be differentiated by how or where they are traded. – Organized exchanges provide a physical meeting place and communication facilities. – Securities may trade off the exchange in the overthe-counter (OTC) market. OTC markets have no central location. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3- Types of Financial Markets (continued) Markets may be differentiated by maturity. – High quality short-term (less than one-year) debt securities are issued and traded in the money market. – Long-term (greater than one-year) securities are issued and traded in the capital market. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3- Types of Financial Markets (continued) Spot and futures markets--variation in timing of delivery and payment. – Items traded in the market for immediate delivery and payment are traded in the spot market. – When delivery at a specific price(payment) is not "spot," a "futures” or “forward” market transaction has occurred. » Futures contracts are traded on organized exchanges. » Forward contracts are traded over the counter. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3- Types of Financial Markets (continued) Option markets trade contracts specifying price and conditional delivery of a quantity of asset for a specific period of time. – A call option is an option to buy; a put is an option to sell. – Options are traded on major security and commodity exchanges as well as in various overthe-counter markets. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3- Types of Financial Markets (concluded) Foreign exchange markets. – Foreign exchange, the value of one currency relative to another, is traded in the foreign exchange market. – Foreign exchange is traded in the spot, forward, futures, and option markets. Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. 3-