The Diversity of the Rural Development Priorities in Europe Tomas Ratinger and Stephan Hubertus Gay JRC-IPTS, European Commission (Seville, Spain) Thanks to our current and former colleagues of the SAFH unit for their contribution to our presentation. Authors’ opinions – not necessarily reflect opinions of the Commission In the presentation we are using results and graphics of •The IPTS/SAFH research projects • The research conducted in the other JRC institutes (PSC and IES) •DG-AGRI baseline indicators •Study on Rural Employment (SERA) •ESPON studies •And many other studies • Rural development research is a new area of IPTS • The research agenda defined with DG Agri • Focused on – what kind of rural regions we have – how they function (economically, socially) – how to govern their sustainable development Structure • Definition of RURAL – does it matter? • Development and diversity of rural areas • Diversity of issues and priorities • (Future research) • Objective: to discuss – Common features – Common issues – Common perspectives • for an EU level policy Delimitation of rural areas • At community level – If population density is below a certain level • (OECD 150 inhab/km2) – Population size of the community is below a certain threshold – A combination of both • (IE) ≤1500 inhab., ≤ 150 inhab./km2 – A combination of both + other criteria (sparsity, integration with urban areas) • (UK) • “Aggregated” to higher level – OECD – regions are said to be urban, significantly and predominantly rural if the share of rural communes is <15%, 15%-50%, >50% England’s New Rural Definition • Settlement morphology [sites<10000 inhab., village, town, disperse] • How sparsely the site is populated • Sparsity: average densities of households across areas of radius 10, 20 and 30 km is below a certain levels Source: DEFRA Pros and cons of the OECD definition • Pros: Objective and easy to apply • Cons: – Does not take into account spatial structure of settlements – Further information lost when up-scaled to upper levels NUTS3 level – Inappropriate classification, some “strange” results – Does not take into account socio-economic variables – Obviously MS are not happy with it for a practical rural policy Source: Drawbacks of the OECD definition Classified as Urban • Miss classification of rural and urban communes Clearly Rural • Arable agriculture allocated similarly to rural and urban areas Communes in Extramadura Inhab. Area km2 Density Aldea de Trujilo 439 0.35 1254 Valle de Santa Anna 1 338 3.8 356 Zafra 14 266 63 228 Badajos 122 225 1534 80 Share of arable land on the total area Large rural cities Country Rural communes Urban communes Commune Population Density BE 25% 26% Jerez 183 000 130 ES 25% 27% IT 25% 33% Uppsala 167 508 68 EU15 21% 29% Albacete 130 023 105 Source: JRC/IPSC A non-population density definition • An attempt of DG-AGRI and JRC/IPSC • Area is Rural if more than X% of the territory belongs to Rural Land Cover Classes (Forest, Agricultural and Natural Land) • Calculations based on CORINE Land Cover • Unexpected results – Example if X=30% Rural Communes Population Roma 3 millions Valencia 847 000 Szczecin 430 000 Source: JRC/IPSC Problems with definitions • It defines the subject/target/recipient of the policy – Get information → a respective statistical unit – Need for governing the policy → a respective economically, socially environmentally autonomous unit • Clearly –density is continuous thus rural-urban continuum – Where the threshold(s) come from? – Can the borderline be independent of a problem and thus of a policy? • Thus, if problems vary across regions → the definitions should vary accordingly? The diversity of EU regions • Using a neutral definition (such as OECD) rural regions differ in • Resource endowment – Demographic structures, human capital – Natural resources – Natural values and environmental sensitivity • Infrastructure/structure – Social – Business • Drivers (social capital, external economy performance) • Performance – Income, employment, growth – Social inclusion of inhabitants, migration in and out – Environmental pollution/conservation Transport accessibility Potential Accessibility • Multimodal • Based on calculation of the generalised travel cost • c Average accessibility ij=-λ ln( -1 ∑m exp(- λcijm)) • Generalised cost cijm between places i and j, m – mode of travel • Pictured as percentage of the average accessibilty Poor accessibility ICT technologies - Broadband Broadband penetration 9 8 7 growth rate % • The spread of new ICT technologies in rural areas behind the urban zones • 90% of urban population have access to broad band while it is only 60% in rural regions. • ICT are deemed to be crucial for competitiveness of RA • NMS are behind in general, the more in rural areas. • More detailed information needed 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2003 Urban 2004 Sub-urban Source: A-Bard Rural Performance • Economic (e.g. GDP) • Social (e.g. Employment) • Environmental • Institutional Employment structure Strong agricultural base Strong secondary Back to agriculture Strong tertiary Employment structure Predominantly rural Country Primary Secon dary Significantly rural Tertiary Primary Secon dary Urban Tertiary Primary Secon dary Tertiary 43% 41% 6% Rural-Urban 38% 56% Structural Difference si 16% pl 31% 26% 43% 25% 28% 47% 2% 31% 67% 11% 46% 44% 4% 43% 53% 0% 20% 80% 18% 32% 50% 9% 30% 61% 3% 49% 49% 0.5 cz 0.45 ee 0.4 0.35 24% 25% 51% 8% 25% 67% 2% 24% 73% pt 0.3 23% 26% 51% 15% 33% 52% 5% 40% 55% 0.25 24% 24% 51% 21% 24% 55% 1% 27% 72% 0.2 9% 37% 54% 6% 40% 54% 1% 23% 76% 0.15 17% 29% 55% 8% 31% 61% 2% 28% 70% 8% 34% 59% 5% 38% 57% 1% 25% 74% 6% 32% 61% 4% 32% 63% 1% 28% 71% 26%de fr 65% 64%lv pl 4% it 9% nl be uk es pt ie7%dk sk29% ee at hu gr cz 32% 64% lv hu es sk de it Index at 0.1 0.05 0 se 4% uk 9% 26% 70% DifRural_Urban 19% 72% be 7% 19% 74% 2% 19%DifPR-urban 79% DifSR-Urban 4% 24% 74% 5% 22% 73% 1% 22% 78% 3% 26% 71% Source: Eurostat, Regio, Own Calculation Performance Economic performance (GDP_PPS per capita) • Rural regions weaker • In RA social performance satisfactory under medium economic performance • Social performance is less dependent on economic in RA. Significantly rural High Predominantly rural Urban 0 2 25 0 1 6 2 51 76 Medium 15 107 134 14 81 114 31 78 125 Poor 73 49 33 66 55 34 13 16 10 Poor Medium High Poor Medium High Poor Medium High Social performance (Unemployment, reciprocal) GDP clusters: • Poor <75% of the EU avg • High >125% of the EU avg Social Performance: • Poor Unemployment < 7% • High Unemployment >13 % Source: Eurostat, Regio, Own Calculation Performance: GDP and transport • Although the variance is high the relationship is obvious • Location theory – Garcia Pires (2006) using Krugman Geographical Model on Spanish regional data for 1981-1995 • Estimated the effect of distance from a market on wages • Distance makes markets imperfect • Transport cost matter →agglomerations Source: ESPON Economic problems of rural areas • Loosing competitiveness of the manufacturing sector (Freshwater, OECD, 2003, The future of Rural Policy) • Insufficient concentration; transport costs • Third type of industrial clusters – Social networks (McCann, Sheppard, 2003) might become increasingly important – Conversion from primary and secondary sectors to the tertiary – ICT diffusion might play an important role Problems and priorities – Case studies • England, Wales, IE, Spain (Andalusia) – Targeting rural communities, – Social inclusion – SME (non-agricultural) • PL, LT (BG, RO) – Overarching problem: subsistence farming and job opportunities, need for economic restructuring of large regions. • CZ – Revitalisation of villages (particularly in Sudeten) – institutions of rural development – Land abandonment Problems and priorities Economic development Social justice Enhancing rural environment High income Low share of agriculture Targeting areas of greater need. Tertiary sector Access to services [Migration in – affordable housing] Countryside stewardship should be rewarded High income High share of agriculture Conversion from agriculture into tertiary sector Access to services. Education. Conversion of farmers into country-side stewards Medium-low income Low share of agriculture From secondary into tertiary sector. Social networks. Revitalisation of villages. Education. Access to services. Ensuring a proper land management. Medium-low income High share of agriculture Economic restructuring of regions Alternative job opportunities Moderate impact of economic restructuring Economic development of RA Economic performance Income, competitiveness High Multifunctional agriculture, new industries and services Medium Low Productive agriculture and secondary sector Semi-subsistence farming, secondary sector Labour Human capital Technology Organisation Social capital for subsistence Social capital for business Factors Economic development of RA Economic performance Income, competitiveness High Multifunctional agriculture, new industries and services Medium Low Productive agriculture and secondary sector Semi-subsistence farming, secondary sector Local market National market Vertical integration Supporting industries Markets, coordination Global and local market Social capital for business Summary • Rural areas in different stages of economic development – Often depending on the development of larger regions • The higher income other than economic issues dominate – Social inclusion – Rural environment • Increasing need for targeting needs at lower level (community level) – MS, regions conduct special surveys, provide specific typologies Research issues • Need for more detailed typology of rural areas – Although it will likely not comprise all national, regional typologies it should relate to them, a bridge has to exist. • Pan-European policy assessment has to take into account lower levels (than NUTS2 and NUTS3) • How to down-scale, upscale information and methodologies The Diversity of the Rural Development Priorities in Europe Thank you for your attention! Use of transport The same phenomenon referring to two different rural types A detailed analysis needed Performance: GDP and Unemployment GDP and Unemployment EU-15 600 300 500 250 % of the EU average % of EU average GDP and Unemployment 400 300 200 200 150 100 50 100 0 0 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 5 10 40 15 20 25 30 35 40 30 35 40 Unem ploym ent rate Unem ploym ent rate PR-EU15 PR-EU15 SR-EU15 Urban-EU15 PR-NMS SR-NMS SR-EU15 Urban-EU15 Urban-NMS GDP and Unemployment NMS 300 mean GDP EU15 PR 85 NMS SR 91 Urban 120 PR 41 250 SR 55 Urban 82 % of EU average GDP as % of the EU avg. 200 150 100 50 Std GDP 20 23 46 11 30 36 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Unem ploym ent rate PR-NMS SR-NMS Urban-NMS Source: Eurostat, Regio, Own Calculation Rural definitions • Rural society (Encyclopaedia Britannica): – a low ratio of inhabitants to open land – the most important economic activities are the production of foodstuffs, fibres, and raw materials. – difficult to pinpoint the boundaries of rural places. Performance • Economic (GDP) • Social (Employment) • Environmental • Institutional