Pneumonia in Developing Countries: Still Unresolved Problem Dr. Pushpa Raj Sharma Professor, Department of Child Health Institute of Medicine Kathmandu, Nepal This Presentation • • • • • • • Epidemiology Risk factors Aetiological agents Clinical syndromes Investigations Treatment Future implications A case: • 4 months old • One day history of excessive crying • Sent home with the diagnosis of windy colic with antispasmodics • Next day: – Grunting, respiratory distress, fever. – Admitted, IV ceftriaxone. Case (contd) • Second day: – Mother felt child is better but continues to be tachypnoeic, chest indrawing, fever persisting. – Vancomycin added with oxygen Case (contd) • Third day – Severe respiratory distress – Pus drained through water seal drainage – Antibiotics contd. – Discharged after 2 wk. Strepto.pneumoniae isolated Total live births and surviving infants in South East Asia 1800000 1600000 1400000 1200000 Live births Surviving infants Total populaliton Measles cases 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 1980 1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Worlds population prospects. 2004 Revision. New York, United Nations, 2005 Leading infectious causes of mortality, 2000 estimates 4 > 5 years old < 5 years old 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Pneumonia Source WHO AIDS Diarrhoea TB Malaria Measles Burden of Pneumonia South Asia 60240 18240 135600 82320 576480 ,1000 • Population of approximately 667 million • Approximately 170 million infants and children, (about one-third of all the children in developing countries). Unicef (www.childinfo.org) and Hyder et al ; Extrapolated from Black et al DISTRIBUTION OF DISEASE RESPIRATORY - 32 CNS - 9 2.4% 6.1% 16% CVS - 1 6.1% DIGESTIVE -5 HEMATOLOGY - 2 56.8% 3.7% NEPHROLOGY - 3 RHEUMATOLOGY -2 1.2% 7.4% MONTH OF Feb. 2006 MISCELLAN - 8 Hospital Admissions Then and Now 60% 50% 40% 30% Admission of ARI cases 20% 10% 0% 1982 NEPAS J 1988; 7; 1-8 2006 Age distribution of pneumonia in hospital 80 Percentage 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 -12 months 1 - 5 years 5 - 10 years > 10 years Burden of Disease • ARI episodes/child/year in U5: 5-9 • Pneumonia in ARI: 1:30-50 (2-3% of all ARI). • Most of these pneumonia are bacterial in developing countries. • Deaths in ARI are mostly due to pneumonia • Duration of illness who died from pneumonia: 3.5 days (Jumla Nepal) Acute respiratory infection prevalence in under 5 children by socioeconomic status in selected countries 30% 25% 20% Poorest 20% Richest 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Bangladesh Vietnam Benin Based on World Bank data 2000. Tanzania Risk Factors • In a multivariate analysis, the variables found to be most closely associated with mortality were breastfeeding, education of the father, the number of under-fives, family income and birth weight. Having a low weight-for-age was also strongly associated with mortality but the retrospective nature of the study makes this finding difficult to interpret. Int J Epidemiol. 1989 Dec;18(4):918-25. Risk Factors contd. • Current and past malnutrition were associated with acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI), even after adjusting for potential confounders (odds ratio: 2.03; 95% confidence interval: 1.202.43). Decreasing malnutrition along with timely and proper treatment of ARI may improve children's health in developing countries. Acta Paediatr. 2000 May;89(5):608-9. Risk Factors: Too many ………….. A study conducted by the World Bank found that the share of brick kilns in the valley's air pollution was 28 per cent while that of domestic fuel burning was 25 per cent, cement factory 17 per cent, vehicle emission 12 per cent and road dust 9 per cent. The study estimated that dust particles in the air cause 18,863 cases of asthma and 4,847 cases of bronchitis in Kathmandu every year. Risk Factors contd Indoor Air Pollution Emissions Along The Household Fuel Ladder Smith et al.98 Aetiology: • N. America and Europle (nine studies /range: 4380%) • Aetiology of pneumonia established in 62%: – S. pneumoniae 22% – RSV 20% – H. influenzae 7% – M. pneumoniae 15% • Africa and S. America (eight studies/ range: 3268%) • Aetiology of pneumonia established in 56%: – – – – S. pneumoniae 33% H. influenzae 21% RSV M. pneumoniae Aetiology: Viruses isolated from children with ARI (n=287) 60 50 40 PIV INF RSV MPV ADENO 30 20 10 0 Feb Apr Unpublished report: CHRP; IOM June Aug Oct Aetiology based on lung aspirates Study Age:yrs Total C S.Pneu H.Infl S.Aur other Schuster, Chile 1966 <10 67/125 (54%) 26/125 (21%) 19/125 (15%) 15/125 (12%) 13/125 (10%) Rozov 1974 Brazil <7 20/37 (54%) 15/37 (41%) 3/37 (8%) 1/37 (3%0 1/37 (3%) Silverma n 1977 Nigeria <8 54/88 (61%) 31/88 (35%) 9/88 (10%) 8/88 (9%) 20/88 (23%) Shan 1984 Papua NG <5 48/71 (68%) 27/71 (38%) 41/71 (58%) 1/71 (1%) 23/71 (32%) Wall 1986 Gambia <9 29/51 (57%) 26/51 (51%) 12/51 (24%) 1/51 (2%) 2/51 (4%) Ikeogu 1988 Zimbabe <11 13/40 (32% 7/40 (18%) 3/40 (8%) 4/40 (10%) 1/40 (2%) 231/412 (56%) 132/312 (42%) 96/312 (31%) 29/312 (9%) 60/312 (19%) Total Country Aetiology: Yield from cultures of lung puncture on 755 neonates who were stillborn or died in the first 72 hours of life Bacteria Number Escherichia coli 71 Aerobacter aerogenes 45 Streptococcus beta haemolytic 29 Pseudomonas aeruginosa 27 Streptococcus viridans 21 Staphylococcus aureus 17 Proteus vulgaris 11 Streptococcus non haemolytic (Group D) Naeye RL, Dellinger WS, Blanc WA. Fetal and maternal features of antenatal bacterial infections. J Pediatr 1971;79:733–9. 8 Aetiology: Burden of Hib disease in Nepal (Based on Hib Rapid Assessment Tool of WHO) Eastern region Western region Under 5 mortality rate 5.4 13.7 84 Annual number of 196 Hib meningitis cases 497 3,048 Annual number of Hib Meningitis death 59 50 914 Annual number of Hib pneumonia cases 980 2,486 15,241 Annual number of Hib pneumonia deaths 147 373 2,286 Annual Hib meningitis incidence* *per 100,000 U5s Paper presented at the WHO dissemination seminar by Dr. Fiona Russeli et al 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd Total Pneumococci cultured and identified SAPNA:Distribution of patients with Pneumococci cultured and identified in Nepal KCH from Nov04-Feb06 Dec-04 Jan Feb March April May CSF Culture Isolate Blood Culture Isolate June July Aug Sep Cumulative no. of Blood Collection Oct Nov Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb Cumulative no. of CSF Collected Bacterial or Viral? LOOKS SICK • • • • Fever > 38.50C Respiratory rate >50/min Chest recession Wheeze is not a sign of primary bacterial LRTI (except in mycoplasma) • Other viruses may be concurrent • Clinical and radiological signs of consolidation rather than collapse. • Infants and young children • Wheeze • Fever< 38.50C • Marked recession • Hyperinflation • Respiratory rate normal or raised • Hyperinflation and patchy collapse in 25% • Lobar collapse when severe Atypical Pneumonia • Clark J, Archives Disease Childhood 2003 Mean age of children with M pneumoniae 3.5 yrs • Block S, Paediatric Infectious Disease Journal 1995 23% of 3-4 year old children had M pneumoniae Signs of Pneumonia Symptoms and Signs in Pneumonia 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Cough Indrawing Convulsion Cyanosis Abdominal pain crepitations Fast breathing Comparison of Methods for the Detection of Pneumonia in Children Method Sensitivity Specificity 53% 59% 77% 58% Stethoscope (crepetations) Simple clinical signs (fast breathing or chest indrawing) Note: Pneumonia diagnosis confirmed by Chest X-ray Comparison of total leucocyte counts in different age group with clinically diagnosed as pneumonia 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% <15000/cmm >15000/cmm 2-5 m 6-11 m 12-23 >24 m m Diagnostic value of total leucocyte count in radiologically positive cases: sensitivity: 33.7% and specificity: 71.8% True negative False negative False positive True positive 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Indications for CXR in either primary care or hospital • • For diagnosis of child <5 years with fever of 39°C of unknown origin • • If complication (for example, pleural effusion) suspected • • Atypical symptoms or unresponsive to treatment • • For follow up of children with lobar collapse or ongoing symptoms Laboratory studies* • Complete blood count Not helpful in distinguishing etiology • Erythrocyte sedimentation rate Not helpful in distinguishing etiology • C-reactive protein level Not helpful in distinguishing etiology • Gram stain and culture Helpful if specimen is adequate • Polymerase chain reaction Helpful with Mycoplasma and Chlamydia infections • Rapid viral antigen testing Useful if available • Serologies Not helpful in acute settings • Imaging Chest radiograph*Not helpful in distinguishing etiology*-Not routinely recommended. *Pediatr Infect Dis J 2002;21:592-8, 613-4. Clinical Diagnosis • Tachypnoea according to the usual WHO criteria: <2 months: 60 2-12 months: 50 !-5 years: 40 Is Co-trimoxazole still the first line of drug for IMCI Pneumococcal isolates and their sensitivity to different antibiotics 75 80 60 % Resistance 40 20 8 0 8 8 0 Penicillin Chloramphenicol Erythromucin cefotaxime Name of antibiotics tested cotrimoxazole Antibiotics for OPD treatment in 4months to 5 year old children • Amoxicillin, 90 mg per kg per day orally in divided doses every 8 hours for 7 to 10 days • A 10 Kg child will need one and half tablet per dose of 250mg/ disp.tab or three tea spoon per dose of 125mg/5ml concentration. N Engl J Med 2002;346:429-37. Three days versus five days treatment with amoxicillin for nonsevere community acquired pneumonia • Three day courses of amoxicillin are as effective as five days without increasing risk of relapse or worsened disease. • 15 mg/kg amoxicillin every 8 hourly. Lancet, July 23, 2002 (MASCOT Group) BMJ 2004;328:791 (3 April), (ISCAP Group) Time for temperature to settle in the oral and IV groups Probability that the child meets the primary outcome measure after time t 1.0 =IV treatment --------- = oral treatment .8 .6 Wellek logrank test for equivalence P=0.0013 .4 ITT P=0.0001 .2 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Time for temperature to be less than 380C for 24 continuous hours (days) Arch Dis Child Edu Pract 2004; 29-34 Time to resolution of symptoms IV group Time to resolution of symptoms oral group 25 30 25 20 Number of children Number of children 20 15 10 5 15 10 5 0 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time to resolution of symptoms in days 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time to resolution of symptoms in days Median of 9 days to full recovery in both arms of the study Arch Dis Child Edu Pract 2004; 29-34 Length of stay in hospital in the IV group Length of stay in hospital in the oral group Length of hospital stay in days 50 40 40 Number of children 50 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 5 10 15 0 5 10 15 Length of hospitalOral stay in days - median 1.77 days (1-2.2) IV Group - median 2.1 days (1.8-2.9) Group P=<0.001 IV Group - median 2.1 days (1.8-2.9) Oral Group median 1.77 days (1-2.2) P=<0.001 Arch Dis Child Edu- Pract 2004; 29-34 Indications for admission to hospital Older children • • • • • Oxygen saturation <92% Respiratory rate > 50 Difficulty breathing Grunting Signs of dehydration Family not able to support at home > 1 year 120/182 (66%) met 1 or more criteria Thorax. 2002;57;1-24 SWT Therapy • No RCT’s in children • 2 prospective observational studies • Both demonstrate that IV therapy for CAP can be successfully be decreased to 2-4 days Al-Eidan F, Journal Antimicrobial Chemotherapy 1999 Ciommo V, Journal of evaluation in clinical practice 2002 Previous studies comparing macrolides with other groups of antibiotics Only 1 study in children comparing betalactams with macrolides Divided children clinically into “atypical” (randomised to azithromycin or erythromycin) or “classic” pneumonia (randomised to amoxicillin or azithromycin) Results – no difference between the 2 groups Kogan et al Pediatric Pulmonology 2003 Indication of macrolide in infant • 3 weeks to 3 months If patient is afebrile: Azithromycin, 10 mg per kg orally on day 1, then 5 mg per kg per day on days 2 through 5or • Erythromycin, 30 to 40 mg per kg per day orally in divided doses every 6 hours for 10 days • Admit if patient is febrile or hypoxic Vitamin A and pneumonia The evidence did not suggest a significant reduction with vitamin A adjunctive treatment in mortality, measures of morbidity, nor an effect on the clinical course of pneumonia in children with non-measles pneumonia. However, not all studies measured all outcomes, limiting the number of studies that could be incorporate into the metaanalyses, so that there may have been a lack of statistical power to detect statistically significant differences. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2005 Jul 20;(3): CD003700. ZINC AND PNEUMONIA • FINDINGS: In a pooled analysis of trials, zinc supplementation reduced the incidence of pneumonia infection by 41% and daily zinc supplementation reduced the incidence of pneumonia in Delhi children ages 6 to 30 months given vitamin A • IMPLICATION: Zinc reduces the incidence of pneumonia but zinc in combination with vitamin A may be more effective than the administration of either micronutrient alone. Sources: 1Bhutta ZA, et al. Prevention of diarrhea and pneumonia by zinc supplementation in children in developing countries: pooled analysis of randomized controlled trials. J Pediatr. 1999 Dec;135(6):689-97. 2Bhandari N, et al. Effect of routine zinc supplementation on pneumonia in children aged 6 months to 3 years: randomised controlled trial in an urban slum. BMJ. 2002 Jun 8;324(7350):1358. Pneumonia with associated diseases • Most children in developing countries with recurrent pneumonia diagnosed by WHO criteria do not have evidence of tuberculosis, HIV infection or pulmonary anomalies, but they may be more likely to have asthma, and this should be considered as an alternative diagnosis. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2002 Feb;21(2):108-12 Hib Vaccination schedule Recommended vaccination schedule from 2 months old: same schedule as DTP Act-HIB™ 6, 10, 14 weeks booster at 18 months of age ACIP Recommendation Plotkin S, Vacccine, 3rd ed. 1999 2- 4- 6 months 12-15 months Pneumococcal Vaccination schedule?? Recommended vaccination schedule from 2 months old: same schedule as DTP PCV 2- 4- 6 months PPV 12-15 months Recommended in addition to the PCV for certain high risk group after two years. Immunization for common serotypes (pneumococcus) Serotype of S. pneumoniae From Nepal KCH 7 6 5 5 4 No. of Isolates 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 39 5 7F 18F 23F SEROTYPES PCV7 (Wyeth) * PCV12 (Wyeth) * * * PCV10 (GSK) * * * * Nontypable Areas of continuing uncertainty • • The most useful clinical signs and symptoms that help to predict a diagnosis of pneumonia • • Which children require a chest x ray before treatment • • Which test to detect the causative organism will be sensitive, specific, affordable, and quick and easy to use • • Which antibiotic should be prescribed • • Which route should be used for administering the antibiotic prescribed • • If the intravenous route is used when should a switch to oral antibiotics occur Areas of continuing uncertainty • • All children under 2 years should be given the new conjugate pneumococcal vaccine routinely or not • • Variation in individual host response to the disease: the reason. • The aetiology of pneumonia. • Long term follow-up and effects of pneumonia SAARS and now The Avian Flue!!!!! • 2 Mar 06 – Medical News Today Authorities in Germany have today announced detection of H5N1 avian influenza in a domestic cat. The cat was found dead over the weekend on the northern island of Ruegen. Since midFebruary, more than 100 wild birds have died on the island, and tests have confirmed H5N1 infection in several. • Formation of bulla in the lung parenchyma: difficult to ventilate. The Avian Flu