Measuring SES/SEP Notes 1) Why SES? a ‘down-n-dirty’ review The strong relationship between SES and health has been documented for centuries, dating back to ancient Greece, Egypt, and China A better understanding of the relationship between SES and disease may reveal important new points for intervention and epi screening The socioeconomic structure in the US, and elsewhere, is rapidly changing (eg, outsourcing, career?, women, elderly. Racial/ethnic disparities in health may be construed as signs of genetic differences or behavioral choices rather than powerful clues about how forms of racial discrimination and structural constraints, past and present, harm health No consensus on a nominal definition of SES; it’s more than income and/or educational attainment , it’s a latent variable A widely accepted SES instrument does not exist Appears to be among the more difficult and controversial subjects in all of social research Prominent scholars have debated the theory, operationalization, and usefulness of SES constructs for about 125 years Basically, we got nothing… Gap between “SES Measurement” & “SES and Health Studies” 250 150 100 SES Measurement 50 SES & Health Research Year 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 19 73 19 71 19 69 19 67 19 65 19 63 19 61 19 59 19 55 19 19 43 0 da te Number of Articles 200 Chris Hamlin (2007) “Social class as species” 2) Historical Review Even more ‘down-n-dirty’ and American-focused Americans are aware of social stratification and have fairly firm views about their social standing and that of others… think of Britney! But social scientists have not made much progress in measuring SES Progress retarded due to lack of conceptual clarity about social stratification… and it’s all about social hyper-dimensional stratification Early empirical sociological research mostly were studies of single small communities Status was assigned to households through an unarticulated theory of stratification mainly based on individuals’ reputation Underlying this approach is the assumption that everyone in a small community knows its status hierarchy and can place most individuals in it In 1947, NORC conducted a national sample survey asking respondents to rate on a 5 point scale "the social standing" of 90 occupations The average social standing given to each occupation can be regarded as the societal consensus (circa 1947) concerning the status of each occupation These social standing averages (also known as prestige scores) were the first measures of the national consensus on occupational status. Problem was NORC prestige scores were known for only 90 out of the thousands of occupations. OD Duncan wanted status scores for all Census occupations. Regressed known NORC occupational scores on the median occupational educational and incomes Predicted values were called Duncan’s SEI... a continuous variable that could be calculated for almost all occupational titles recognized in the Census Nam and Powers didn’t like “subjective” ratings in SEI and thought an “objective” approach was better Education as dues, Occupation as reward Occupational status score (OSS) was a simple function of educational attainment and income derived from a given occupation. In 1974, Rossi produced a Household Prestige Score Factorial survey: Husband’s occupation and education, along with wife’s occupation were randomly varied in vignettes Regressed ratings on characteristics of vignette examples to infer the relative influence of the social characteristics of households Predictive equation gives HHP scores to households based on the occupations, educational levels and ethnicities of spouses Worked pretty well… but ignored! But despite, SEI, OCC, HHP, we still have two main problems: (1) Lack of consensus on a nominal definition Empirical researchers must either adapt vague theories and develop idiosyncratic indicators or use whatever vaguely related data elements exist to construct ad hoc measures of SES (2) Absence of sound measurement theory Psychometrics has not been exploited in the development, testing, and validation of SES measures Routinely done in latent constructs, such as depression Early efforts of Lundberg (1940) and Gordon (1952), and the empirical efforts of Rossi (1951) have been overlooked Oakes & Rossi’s effort Oakes, JM & Rossi, PH. 2003. The measurement of SES in health research: current practice and steps toward a new approach. Social Science & Medicine, 56(4), 769-784. • Define SES as differential access (realized and potential) to desired resources • Use existing theory (Jim Coleman’s) which aims to understand and explain the functioning and organization of the social system Two kinds of elements and two ways in which they are related: The elements are (1) actors and (2) resources, related through (3) interests and (4) control. Components of the theory have been increasingly subjected to theoretical and empirical scrutiny, with a few pleasing results Resources may take the form of (1) Material and monetary goods (2) Skills and capabilities (3) The strengths of social relationships & resources of others SES = f (Material Capital, Human Capital, Social Capital) CAPSES Scale CAPSES Conceptual M odel Scale Items MC i Indicator Variables M Cj M Ck Subject s’ Self-rat ing of t heir SES Mat erial Capit al HC i HC j HC k SC i SC j SC k Human Capit al Social Capit al SES Populat ion Rating of Subject s’ SES I Populat ion Rating of Subject s’ SES II CAPSES Ratings of Subject SES Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) The rating scale ranges from lowest possible socioeconomic status on the left to highest possible socioeconomic status on the right. Place an “X” on each bar to indicate your rating of the subject’s status. Subject Self-Rated SES Self-reported scale (LADDER) Self-reported social class (CLASS) But… • Our own (pilot) survey work showed no contribution of social capital to “SES” beyond income and education. • Psychometrics were “inconclusive” Forget SES, use Poverty! Sit tight… more coming… Forget SES, use Income! Not very good… Income changes year-to-year Retired 20-somethings Trust funds Forget SES, use Wealth! Good luck! Forget SES, use Education! Good, but… Continuous or discrete, Cohort effects, “foreigners”, Trade-workers SES = Neighborhood? My new approach “Facts” • People are sorted in demarcated geographic areas, called neighborhoods; some good, some not so good • Thus, persons from same area are more alike than persons from other areas… a clustering phenomena • Early work showed SES was poor proxy for individual SES, but I think this is backwards! Oakes, JM. 2004. "The (mis)estimation of neighborhood effects: causal inference for a practicable social epidemiology." Soc Sci Med 58:1929-52. (with discussion) Oakes, JM. 2006. “Invited Commentary: Advancing neighbourhood-effects research--selection, inferential support, and structural confounding." Int J Epidemiol 35:643-7. Oakes, JM and PJ Johnson. 2006. "Propensity score matching methods for social epidemiology." Pp. 370-392 in Methods in Social Epidemiology, edited by JM Oakes and JS Kaufman. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass Major talks – 2007 SER; 2006 JSM; 2005 ALR 3) Analysis with SES measures? a) Mismeasure SES and you’ve got trouble! What is impact of measurement error in confounder? y a b1 E b2 X e b) The trouble with Neighborhood SES Hmmm… an insurmountable comparison problem! Compare: Boulder v. Mobile ‘We can only evaluate sharply distinct treatments that could happen to anyone.’ Paul Rosenbaum (2002) ‘If the differences between groups is large, the average value applied to each group with adjustment may represent “no man’s land”, a place where no actual observations exist. Given this scenario, the interpretation of the estimate becomes speculative rather than soundly based. Heroic modeling assumptions are required.’ William Cochran (1957) Estimated Probability of Exposure 1.0 Actually Exposed 0.5 Actually Unexposed 0.0 100 50 0 50 100 Number of Observed Subjects Comparative inference is off-support of data and thus requires “heroic” modeling assumptions. Source: Oakes, JM and PJ Johnson. 2006. "Propensity score matching methods for social epidemiology.“ Pp. 370-392 in Methods in Social Epidemiology, edited by Oakes and Kaufman. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass See also – Johnson PJ. 2004. "The Effect of Neighborhood Poverty on American Indian Infant Death." PhD Dissertation, UMN Hearst MO. 2007. "The Effect of Racial Residential Segregation on Infant Death in the US.“ PhD Dissertation, UMN What is the effect of neighborhood poverty on American Indian infant death in Minnesota? Compare AI IMR in poor vs. not-so-poor neighborhood Neighborhood Poverty All-cause infant death Endogenous-cause death Exogenous-cause death <5% 5-19% 20-39% 40-100% 7.5 3.8 3.8 16.2 7.8 8.4 17.4 10.1 7.3 23.3 12.0 13.3 But neighborhood effects are “independent”, which means we must rule out (ie, adjust out) individual-level confounders. The trouble is, there are few AI living in low poverty areas who are like (ie, exchangeable) to those AI living in poverty areas. More technically, AI with a high probability of living in poverty rarely reside in low poverty neighborhoods, but some must if a meaningful (ie, empirically based) counterfactual comparison is to be made. Propensity score .975.925.875.825.775.725.675.625.575.525.475.425.375.325.275.225.175.125.075.0250400 300 200 100 0 100 200 300 400 Number of Infants 40-100% Poverty < 5% Poverty Propensity of AI living in high-poverty Mpls neighborhoods Conventional regression adjustment for individual characteristics does not reveal that there are few comparison subjects; the model equates subjects thru linear interpolation/extrapolation. Heroic modeling assumptions are required. Randomized Study (No Confounding!) Exposed Y1 b1 2.0 Y2 Unexposed PA, or any other measure! Absent Randomization yig a b1T b 2 x eig Covariates serve to adjust groups for confounding… a substitution problem called selection bias Unless selection-equation, X, is perfect, bias b1 ˆ BIAS Regression adjustment? BMI Exposed / High PA Unexposed / Low PA SES SES SES is a confounder (mean SES is diff across exposures & related to BMI) Exposed y exposed b1* Unexposed y unexposed SES SES y exp b1* Y 1 adj b1 adj Y 2 adj y unexp The model yields adjusted Tx effect by using slope of SES within Tx arms and then calculating effects at (grand) mean SES SES SES SES How much adjustment is too much? y exp b1* b1 adj y unexp The adjusted Tx effect is based on pure extrapolation… Exposure groups have non-overlapping distributions of SES; worse, adjustment is fictitious if members of group 1 could not conceivable be members of group 2; Oakes calls this “structural confounding.” SES See: Cochran WG. 1957. "Analysis of Covariance: Its Nature and Uses." Biometrics:261-281. -- . 1969. "The Use of Covariance in Observational Studies." JRSS C 18:270-75. Note well: Regression adjustment makes up or imputes data! It says, if a poor man had same bank account as rich man, his health would be thus and such. This may not be bad. The health of the poor man would be as imputed/predicted… GIVEN THE MODEL!!!! So the question is: IS YOUR MODEL CORRECT? Well, is it, punk? NB: WHI (HRT) and perhaps new diabetes trial results Vandenbroucke JP .1987. "Should we abandon statistical modeling altogether?” American Journal of Epidemiology 126:10-3. Petitti DB & DA Freedman. 2005. “Invited commentary: How far can epidemiologists get with statistical adjustment?” American Journal of Epidemiology 162:1–4. Hurvich CM & Chih-Ling Tsai. 1990. “The impact of model selection on inference in linear regression” The American Statistician 44:214-217. Leamer EE. 1978. Specification Searches: Ad Hoc Inference with Nonexperimental Data Wiley 4) Other issues • Life-course approaches to SES • Intergenerational mobility • Differential returns to SES by race/gender • Genes – susceptibility and SES 5) Recommendations • We don’t know what SES is and there is no agreed upon measure of it; be careful with composites • You have never “controlled for SES” • You must appreciate what regression adjustment implies • If stuck, use educational attainment (level completed) • Be wary of income as an SES proxy by itself • Caution with kids (less than 30 years), SAHMs, military? “ … how can you possibly award prizes when everyone missed the target?” said Alice. “Well” said the Queen, “Some missed by more than others, and we have a fine normal distribution of misses, so we can forget about the target.” (Kennedy 1988, p.292)