creating value - Saint Joseph's University

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UNLOCKING

THE

MAGIC OF NUMBERS

3 5

X

Y

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DR. GEORGE WEBSTER

EXECUTIVE EDUCATION

FOOD MARKETING

ST. JOSEPH’S UNIVERSITY

VALUE CREATION

IN

THE FOOD INDUSTRY

What is value creation?

What are the drivers of value creation ?

How do we measure value creation?

2

WHAT IS VALUE CREATION?

• Process

• Involves decision making

– Financing

– Investing

– Operating

• Includes all stakeholders

3

“THE SCORECARDS”

• BALANCE SHEET - a statement of position at a point in time

– Shows what we own and what we owe

– Of particular interest to the CFO

INCOME STATEMENT - a statement of value creation over time

– Measures how well we operated

– Of particular interest to the CEO

CASH FLOW STATEMENT - puts operations on a cash basis

– Gives sources and uses of cash

– Of particular interest to the COO

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BALANCE SHEET- FACSIMILE COMPANY

DECEMBER 31, 19XX

ASSETS

CURRENT ASSETS

LIABILITIES & O.E.

CURRENT LIABILITIES

Cash 3000 Accts. Payable 2000

Accts. Rec. 2000 Wages Payable 1000

Inventory 8000 13000 Rent 1000 4000

LONG TERM

P & E 25000 Long Term Debt 7000

Other 4000 OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL 29000

LONG TERM

Common Stock 5000

Ret. Earnings 26000

TOTAL 31000

TOTAL ASSETS 42000 TOTAL LIAB. & OE 42000

5

INCOME STATEMENT- FASCIMILE CO.

FOR THE YEAR ENDED 12/31/XX

NET SALES

LESS: COST OF GOODS

GROSS MARGIN

LESS: OPERATING EXPENSES

55000

35000

20000

Salaries 5000

Rent Expense 1000

S.,G., & A. 4000 10000

OPERATING PROFIT

LESS: INCOME TAX (.40)

NET INCOME AFTER TAX

10000

4000

6000

STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS-FASCIMILE

CO.

FOR THE YEAR ENDED 12/31/XX

• CASH FROM OPERATIONS

Net Income 2000

Depreciation 500

CASH FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES

Capital Expenditures 5000

2500

Acquisitions 15000 (20000)

• CASH FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES

Issuance of Long Term Debt 700

Sale of Common Stock 11500

Cash Dividends 400 11800

NET CHANGE IN CASH (5700)

HOW WE MEASURE VALUE

CREATION

ROI - Return on investment

ROE - Return on equity

EPS - Earnings per share

EVA - Economic value added

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WHAT ARE THE DRIVERS OF

VALUE?

EFFECTIVENESS - How much revenue do we generate from the assets we have?

EFFICIENCY - How well do we use the assets we own?

LEVERAGE - How much debt do we have in the capital structure?

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EFFECTIVENESS

EFFECTIVENESS =

Total Sales

Total Assets

A&P -1998 =

$10,262,199,000

$$2,995,253,000

A&P - 1998 Effectiveness is 3.43

A&P - 1996 Effectiveness is 3.50

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EFFICIENCY

EFFICIENCY =

Net Income

Total Sales

A&P 1998 =

$63,586,000

$10,262,199,000

A&P - 1998 Efficiency is .0062

A&P - 1996 Efficiency is .0057

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LEVERAGE

LEVERAGE =

Total Assets

Owner’s Equity

A&P -1998 =

$2,995,253,000

$926,632,000

A&P - 1998 Leverage is 3.23

A&P - 1996 Leverage is 3.50

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RETURN ON EQUITY

RETURN ON EQUITY =

Net Income

Owner’s Equity

(Effectiveness) X (Efficiency) X (Leverage)

Sales

Total Assets

X

Net Income

Sales

X

Total Assets

Owner’s Equity

A&P 1998 ROE = $63,586,000 / $926,632,000 = .069

= 3.43 X .0067 X 3.23 = .069

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RETURN ON INVESTMENT

RETURN ON INVESTMENT =

Net Income

Total Assets

ROI =

Net Income

Sales

X

Sales

Total Assets

ROI = Net Margin X Asset Turnover

A&P 1998 ROI = .0062 X 3.42 = .02

A&P 1996 ROI = .0057 X 3.50 = .02

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THE F-I-O MODEL

• FINANCING - the process of obtaining capital for the business

INVESTING - the process of asset acquisition to operate the business

OPERATING - using resources to maximize shareholder wealth

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HOW WE MEASURE VALUE

CREATION

(Effectiveness) X (Efficiency) X (Leverage)

Sales

Total Assets

X

Net Income

Sales

X

Total Assets

Owner’s Equity

(Asset Turnover) X (Net Margin) X (Degree Financial Leverage)

Investing Operating Financing

FIO MODEL

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EARNINGS PER SHARE

EARNINGS PER SHARE =

Earnings

Shares of Common

Stock Outstanding

A&P 1998 EPS = $1.66

A&P 1996 EPS = $1.50

• Market Measure

• Unambiguous

• Represents per Share Value Creation

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OPERATING PROFIT (EBIT)

EBIT = OPERATING PROFIT/ SALES

EBIT measures operating profitability including depreciation

Average for cohort group = 6.4%

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EBIT - A&P

EBIT = $144,215,000/ $10,262,199,000 = .01

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP IS

ALBERTSONS ;

EBIT = .083

19

EBITDA

EBITDA = Operating Profit before

Depreciation/ Net Sales

EBITDA measures operating profitability excluding depreciation.

Industry average = 4.87%

Average for cohort group = 4.5%

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EBITDA FOR A&P

EBITDA = 378,451,000/ 10,262,199,000 = .037

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP IS

ALBERTSONS ;

EBITDA = = .061

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NET MARGIN

NET MARGIN = NET INCOME/ SALES

Net Profit Margin measures the portion of the firm’s sales dollar remaining after it pays all expenses

Industry average = 1.22%

Average of cohort group = 2.3%

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NET MARGIN- A&P

NET MARGIN = $63,042,000/$10,262,199,000 = .62%

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP IS

ALBERTSONS

NET MARGIN = 3.52%

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RETURN ON TOTAL ASSETS

RETURN ON TOTAL ASSETS = NET INCOME

TOTAL ASSETS

MEASURES THE ABILITY OF A COMPANY’S

COMBINED EQUITY CAPITAL AND DEBT

SECURITIES TO GENERATE PROFITS

Industry average = 3.64%

.

Average of cohort group = 7.1%

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RETURN ON ASSETS- A&P

RETURN ON ASSETS = $63,042,000/$2,973,679,245 = .0212

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP IS

ALBERTSONS

RETURN ON ASSETS = .099

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RETURN ON EQUITY

RETURN ON EQUITY = NET INCOME/ OWNER’S EQUITY

RELATES COMPANY EARNINGS SPECIFICALLY

TO THE RESOURCES PROVIDED BY ITS OWNERS

Industry average = 16.03%

Average of cohort group = 29.7% (with Kroger)

Average of cohort group = 22.5% (w/o Kroger)

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RETURN ON EQUITY- A&P

RETURN ON EQUITY = $63,042,000/ $926,632,000 = 6.9%

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP IS

AHOLD

RETURN ON EQUITY = 30.22%

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ASSET TURNOVER

ASSET TURNOVER = NET SALES/TOTAL ASSETS

ASSET TURNOVER IS USED TO MEASURE THE FIRM’S ABILITY

TO USE ITS ASSETS TO GENERATE SALES

Industry average = 2.98 TIMES

Average of cohort group = 3.05 TIMES

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ASSET TURNOVER - A&P

ASSET TURNOVER =$10,262,199,000 /$2,973,679,245 = 3.42

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP

IS;

KROGER

ASSET TURNOVER = 4.38

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DEBT TO EQUITY

DEBT TO EQUITY = TOTAL LIABILITIES/ TOTAL EQUITY

THE DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO INDICATES THE DEGREE OF

DEPENDENCE ON CREDITORS, RATHER THAN OWNERS, IN

PROVIDING FUNDS TO OPERATE THE BUSINESS.

Industry average = 3.17 TIMES

Average of cohort group = 3.16 TIMES

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DEBT TO EQUITY - A&P

DEBT TO EQUITY = $ 2,068,620,000/ $926,632,000 = 2.23

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP

IS;

ALBERTSONS

DEBT TO EQUITY = 1.16

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CURRENT RATIO

CURRENT RATIO = CURRENT ASSETS/ CURRENT LIABILITIES

CURRENT RATIO INDICATES THE ABILITY OF A COMPANY TO

MEET ITS CURRENT OBLIGATIONS

Industry average = 1.05

Average of cohort group = .96

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CURRENT RATIO - A&P

CURRENT RATIO = $1,217,000,000/ $955,130,000 = 1.27

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP IS;

FOOD LION

CURRENT RATIO = 1.40

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QUICK RATIO

QUICK RATIO = (CURRENT ASSETS - INVENTORY)

CURRENT LIABILITIES

QUICK RATIO MEASURES THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN

CASH, CURRENT RECEIVABLES,AND MARKETABLE

SECURITIES TO CURRENT LIABILITIES. IT INDICATES A

COMPANY’S ABILITY TO DISCHARGE ITS CURRENT

OBLIGATIONS WITHOUT THE NEED TO SELL OFF

INVENTORIES.

Industry average = .32

Average of cohort group = .28

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QUICK RATIO - A&P

QUICK RATIO = ($1,217,227,000 - $882,229,000)/ $$955,130,000 = .31

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP IS;

PUBLIX SUPERMARKETS

QUICK RATIO = .66

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GROSS MARGIN RETURN

ON INVENTORY (GMROI)

GMROI = GROSS MARGIN/ AVERAGE INVENTORY

GMROI COMBINES BOTH GROSS MARGIN PERCENT

AND INVENTORY TURNS INTO ONE NUMBER.

Industry average = 466%

Average of cohort group = 360%

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GMROI - A&P

GMROI = $3,169,070,000/ $882,229,000 = 223%

BEST PRACTICE FOR COHORT GROUP

IS;

SAFEWAY

GMROI = 426%

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CASH CONVERSION CYCLE

CASH CONVERSION CYCLE = INVENTORY CONVERSION

PERIOD + RECEIVABLES COLLECTION PERIOD - PAYABLES

DEFERRAL PERIOD.

THE CASH CONVERSION CYCLE THUS EQUALS THE LENGTH

OF TIME THE FIRM HAS FUNDS TIED UP IN ITS CURRENT

ASSETS.

Average of cohort group = 10 days

Assumes a 30 day payables deferral period.

Cash conversion cycle - A&P = 32 days

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ACTIVITY/PERFORMANCE/

LEVERAGE MEASURES

Retailer Producer Distributor

ACTIVITY

Inventory Turnover 10.61 5.32 14.2

Receivables Turnover 100.3 12.24 27.21

Total Asset Turnover 3.05 1.21 3.99

PERFORMANCE

Net Margin (%) 1.22 10.76 1.47

Return on Assets (%) 3.64 13.13 4.91

Return on Equity (%) 29.7 38.40 14.06

LEVERAGE

Total Assets/ Equity 4.16 3.09 3.39

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ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED

•Measures real profitably- on a cash basis

•Measures the cost of equity- not shown on balance sheets

•Cost of equity is its opportunity cost- what the investors could do in their next best alternative

•Capital includes long term debt, preferred stock, and common stock

•Cost of capital is its weighted average

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ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED

ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED =

[Net Operating Profit After Tax - After Tax Dollar Cost of

Capital]

Net Operating Profit After Tax = Operating Profit - Income Tax

After Tax Dollar Cost of Capital = Cost of Capital (%) X Capital

Cost of Capital = Weighted After Tax Cost of Capital

Capital = Total Capital Employed = Common and Preferred

Stock + Long Term Debt

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ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED

A&P - 1998

NET INCOME AFTER TAX = $63,586,000

LESS: COST OF CAPITAL - $111,196,000

EQUALS: ECONOMIC

VALUE ADDED ($47,610,000)

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EVA- Selected Firms

Company Name Economic Value Added

Safeway $431,000,000

Kroger $(47,000,000)

Coca-Cola $782,000,000

Nabisco $(1,926,000,000)

RichFood $2,000,000

NashFinch $(18,000,000)

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