By Murat Ali DULUPÇU and Onur DEMİREL Süleyman Demirel University 2/25 Defining Globalization Impacts The Debate Theories of International Trade Regulating Globalization and Internationalization Future: Qua Vadis? 3/25 Globalization -conceptual origin- 3D Figure-geometric Entirety-Total? Homogeneity-similiar The origins : “Global Village” by Marshall McLuhan in 1960-main starting point “Corporate Giants” by Charles Taze Russell in 1897-the earliest “Globalization” by Ronald Robertson Definition: “Fast and continuous inter-border flow of goods, services, capital (or money), technology, ideas, information, cultures and nations.” Covers so many concepts 4/25 Milestones: Globalization since Neanderthal Human The Silk Road The Golden Age of Islam Pax Romana/ Pax Ottoman then towards Pax Britannica Two significant World Wars and competition between the United States of America (USA) and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR)/Blocs/Perestroika-Glasnost Stages of Globalization: Colonization, slave trade, church constructions abroad, inventions in the high-capacity transportation, industrialization, high constructions among provinces and countries, electrical and electronic infrastructure. 5/25 Stages First Stage 1490 (overseas discoveries) Second Stage 1890 (West extension) Industrialization requirements and Third Stage 1990 (economism) Multi-National Companies in 1970s, its Communication Reform in 1980s, Disappearance of Competitors of the West in 1990s Impulse Nautical developments Process Evangelists, then Profit and then Cultural-Ideological effect, therefore explorers, then companies military occupation countrywide spontaneous effect and finally occupation Medium Highest level of civilization, Burden of the white man, governance of international To get the God’s humane mission, racialist community, “invisible hand” of the religion to the pagans theories market, globalization: for everyone’s interest Political Structure Empires Colonization Result Colonialism Source: Yaman 2001. and Nation States Regional and Economic Integrations Imperialism Globalization A commonly accepted division of the globalization process World trade volume of $380 billion in 1950 has increased to $21.2 trillion in 2005. Catalysts of the increase: Decrease in tariffs Trade agreements signed among countries and regions Regional integrations Developments in and cheapening in communication and transportation technologies The mass and just-in-time production The standardization of tradable goods Convergence of human needs The creation of new needs for humankind (“New World Order”) 6/25 Multinational Companies (MNCs) ate the companies that make FDI and produce value added in more than one country and own the process. Theories of MNCs: Location Theory (focus on resources) Internationalization Theory (Instead of various companies only one-company-production is advantageous. Focus on technology transfer and vertical integration) 7/25 Product Life Cycle Theory By Vernon, 1966, Where to produce? Developed vs. developing economies, focus on standardization and production cost Internalization Theory By Buckley and Casson, 1976, How to produce? By licensing or leasing vs. FDI, focus on transportation costs, trade barriers, foreign market information, information asymmetries OLI (Eclectic) Paradigm Ownership (Focus on patent, trade secrets, trademarks, economies of scale and synergy, diffusion of geographical risk, cross-country arbitrage) Location (Production efficiency, transportation cost, chep labor, proximity to customers, local image, trade applications) Internalization (Imperfect competition) Other Theories Caves Economies (Focus on firm advantages) Oligopolistic Reaction Theory (By Knickerbocker, Follow-the-leader) Hymer and Kindleberger’s Theory (Focus on intermediate good transfers of MNCs) 8/25 One day Traffic in 2003: Total international telephone calls 1971 9/25 Total air travel 1975 1984 Total cellular phones 1992 Total e-mails 1998 Total SMSs Source: World Bank and Istanbul Technical University COST REDUCTIONS Transportation costs 50% Airline transportation 80% Transatlantic Phone Calls 99% Debate on the future of nation-states Structures such as European Union R&D as a % of GDP increases Severe relationship among R&D, invention and transformation of technology 1700 - 1900 Economics Agriculture Technology Plow Output Food Resource Land Unit Family Energy Muscle Competition Local Education: Primitive *Demand Minimal *Focus "What?" 1900 - 2000 Manufacture Machine Good Capital Company Fossil Fuels National Procedures Remarkable "How?" 2000 - … Information Computer Information Knowledge Network Brain Global Thought Continuity "Why?" 10/25 Cultural Integration McDonaldization vs. Effect of Local Cultures Impossibility of a single global culture Creation of goods and services that are customized to supply global markets but consistent with local values (Hamburgers with local spices, meat, so on) Globalization of the local and localization of the global simultaneously 11/25 Information Technologies and Technology Flows Scientific invention and innovation Diffusion of pre-existing technologies Benefiting new technologies Labor Hyper-Mobility and Global Distribution of Labor # of Immigrants (Million People) The Ratio of Immigrants to the Population of the Region Europe 64.1 8.8 Asia 53.3 1.4 North America 44.5 13.5 Africa 17.1 1.9 Latin America 6.7 1.2 Oceania 5.0 15.2 Source: [Available at http://www.iom.int/jahia/Jahia/pid/255], (Accessed 10.02.2008). 12/25 Economic Issues Income, Income Distribution and Poverty: Huge income distribution inequality among people and countries Different income growth rates Deterioration in the world income distribution Reduction in absolute poverty Capital, Finance, FDI and MNCs: FDI INFLOWS Source: UNCTAD, 2007, p. 3. 13/25 Production and Competitiveness: Globalization of Knowledge: Environmental Issues International effects of environmental problems, Limited natural resources, Lack of global management of environment GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS INDICES 2005 2006 Germany 6 8 20072008 5 Czech Republic 29 29 33 Lithuania 34 40 38 Turkey 71 59 53 Singapore 5 5 7 Korea 19 24 11 China 48 54 34 Rank of Country Source: WEF, 2007 and 2006. Social Issues Huge differences in; Level of education, infrastructure, gender discrimination, life expectancy at birth, infant mortality, health expenditure per capita 14/25 Advocates World Economic Forum of Globalization: Neo-Liberal View Established in Sweden, 1971. Members 1000 largest firms & 200 relatively small firms from developing countries Its motto “Entrepreneurship in the global public interest” The Washington Consensus Initiated by John Williamson in 1989 Has 10 special economic policy recommendations for the countries that experience economic crises. These recommendations are taught to be “standart” reform package and criticized. 15/25 Opponents of Globalization: Anti-Globalist Movement World Social Forum International Forum on Globalization Established in 1998, Geneva Anti-capitalist CorpWatch Established in 1994 Criticizes the lack of “free trade” and “neo-liberalism” criticism. People’s Global Action Members Open to everyone Its motto “Another world is possible” Established in 1996 and took this name in 2001 Drew attention with the analyses of poor working conditions Friends of the Earth Established in 1971 Deals with environmental issues 16/25 Smith and Ricardo: Classical View Adam Smith, 1776 and David Ricardo, 1817 Very restrictive assumptions First “win-lose” then “win-win” Absolute advantage then comparative advantage Neo-Classical Theories of Trade Opportunity-cost instead of labor theory of value Transformation curves, demand conditions Heckscher-Ohlin Theory (Factor Endowment Theory) Factor Price Equalization Income Distribution Rybczynski Theory 17/25 Alternatives Skilled-Labor Theory Technology-Gap Theory By Linder in 1961 Focus on the similarity of tastes and preferences-demand Theory of Economies of Scale Monopolistic Competition Theory By Posner in 1961 Initial version of Product Life Cycle Theory Product life Cycle Theory Preference Similarity Theory Focus on the differences in skilled-labor among countries Focus on differentiated products New Trade Theories Internalizes the concepts of scale, network, innovation and global competition 18/25 International Monetary Fund – IMF Established in 1944 Has 185 member states Promotes international monetary cooperation, exchange stability and orderly exchange arrangements; fosters economic growth and high level of employment; provides temporary financial assistance to countries to help balance of payments adjustment Control and regulation process involves Surveillance Financial Assistance Technical Assistance World Bank – WB Established in 1944 Has 185 member states Worldwide poverty alleviation Made up of 2 unique development institutions International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) International Development Association (IDA) 19/25 Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development – OECD World Trade Organization – WTO Formed as OEEC in 1947 Named as OECD in 1961 Has 30 member states Has 151 members GATT is the principle rule book for trade in goods Promotes freer trade United Nations – UN Roots go back to 1865, International Telecommunication Union Has 192 member states. Deals with the problems challenging humanity 20/25 European Union – EU Established in 1951 as the European Coal and Steel Community by six founding members Today has 27 member countries Acts in a wide range of policy areas – economic, social, regulatory and financial Asia-Pasific Economic Co-Operation – APEC Established in 1989 Has 21 members Works in 3 broad areas to meet the Bogor Goals: Trade and investment liberalization Business facilitation Economic and technical cooperation North Atlantic Free Trade Agreement – NAFTA Came into effect on Januart 1st, 1994 Members are Canada, Mexico and the USA Freer trade and the protection of intellectual property rights 21/25 European Established in 1960 Updated in 2001 EEA has 27 EU members and entered into force in 1994 ASEAN Free Trade Agreement – AFTA Established in 1967 in Bangkok Has 5 members Central CEFTA Free Trade Agreement – EFTA European Free Trade Agreement – Signed in 1992 and entered into force in 1994 Has 8 members 22/25 Both capitalism and communism lack absolute success! But globalization is not a magic cure for the problems of humanity either! World still has growth potential, mainly due to developing countries The growth in developing countries depletes natural resources and therefore future growth potential The high growth rates in developing countries decreases poverty However, imbalances still prevail! Divergences in incomes produce polarization and therefore threat! 23/25 Polarization causes migration to be the only salvation in developing countries Will the world continue to rotate from west to east or will it reverse? The future of globalization and the world depends on the process itself and how it is managed. 24/25 25/25