Sy Levine and Leslie Jae Lenell Levine web page: http://www.safelander.com October 25, 2007 email: sylevine1@sbcglobal.net 26th DASC (Digital Avionics Systems Conference) 1 21ST CENTURY AVIATION SECURITY AND SAFETY SYSTEM Provides the necessary real-time digital-data to open the door to knowledge based 4-dimenstional trajectory Air Traffic Management (ATM), aeronautics and navigation. Would have prevented most of the 9/11 disaster – When a plane substantially deviates from its approved flight plans, it is presently possible to have a remote-pilot/copilot located in a secure, highfidelity, virtual-reality aircraft simulator fly the plane to a safe landing at a sparsely populated airfield. Utilizes highly-qualified remote-pilot to safely fly an aircraft in congested air space, via ciphered radio telemetry to the aircraft and air traffic controllers. – Permits the remote-pilot/copilot to control an operational aircraft just as if he/she were the onboard pilot. – A single remote-pilot could concurrently and safely fly a plurality of airplanes using well known aircraft spacing/separation. Eliminates many of the problems associated with the recovery and utilization of onboard flight data recorders/black-boxes since all communications and flight data are safely stored, in real-time on the ground, in the computer’s memory for post flight analysis. October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 2 21ST CENTURY AVIATION SECURITY AND SAFETY SYSTEM Has many advantages over the current day onboard-only pilot approach, since the remote-pilot/copilot is not subject to loss of oxygen, extreme G forces, temperature, smoke, passenger disturbances and terrorists. – The ground-based cockpit virtual-reality simulator minimizes problems associated with pilot disorientation, poor visibility, weather, runway selection and ground incursions, which have resulted in numerous fatal accidents. – From a safety standpoint, the remote-pilot/copilot can also communicate directly with flight operations, emergency and security personnel, as well as with the aircraft manufacturer’s design/engineering experts on how best to handle an aircraft operation problem thereby preventing the loss of life. Utilizes present state-of-the-art communication security, communication technology, and data storage to make flying safe, secure and more economical. Provides a safety and security technology bridge to the future use of unmanned cargo aircraft (UCA). October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 3 FIGURE 1. COMMUNICATION SYSTEM OVERVIEW AIRCRAFT THAT CAN BE REMOTELY CONTROLLED GLOBAL SATELLITE TWO WAY CIPHERED DIGITAL DATA COMMUNICATION LINK SIMULATOR PROCESSOR ATC/M, WEATHER, MAP, TERRAIN & SECURITY DATA October 2007 REMOTE PILOT/COPILOT IN A SECURE AIRCRAFT SIMULATOR (VIRTUAL REALITY COCKPIT) TWO WAY SECURE GROUND CIPHERED DIGITAL DATA LINK Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 4 FIGURE 2. AVIONICS SYSTEM GPS/GLONASS Navigation Satellite Global Satellite Two-Way Secure Ciphered Digital Data Communication Link GPS/GLONASS Receiver Advisory System Performance and Control Sensor Data Aircraft That Can Be Remotely Piloted Acoustic Data Sensor Multiplexer Transceiver Video Data Remote Pilot Electronic Interface (FCU, ILS, AUTOPILOT INTERFACES) October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 5 FIGURE 3. TWO-WAY CIPHERED DIGITAL DATA & VOICE COMMUNICATION LINK CGBS Central Ground-Based Processing Station October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 6 TABLE 1. BASIC DATA STORAGE AND RATES 25 MEGA-BAUD AND STORAGE 100 GIGA-BYTE/DAY COM. SATELLITE CAPABILITY/ YEAR 2008 2006 2004 2000 NUMBER FLTS/DAY (GROWTH 2.5%/YR.) 38,896 37,944 35,280 33,600 AVERAGE FLIGHT TIME IN MINUTES 95 95 95 95 DFDR DATA RATE IN WORDS/SEC/AIRCRAFT 128 128 128 64 DFDR DATA WORD LENGTH IN BITS 12 12 12 12 1,536 1,536 1,536 768 12.288 12.288 12.288 12.288 DFDR DATA RATE (BITS/SEC/AIRCRAFT) TOTAL DATA RATE FOR ALL OPERATIONAL AIRCRAFT (NOTE: LESS THAN 8000 AIRCRAFT IN OPERATION – SKY OR TARMACK) IN MEGA-BAUD USING 2X (SHANNON) MULTIPLICATION YIELDS THE TOTAL DATA RATE IN MEGA-BAUD 25 25 25 25 DAILY STORAGE FOR ALL AIRCRAFT EASILY FITS ON A SINGLE PC DISC. IN GIGA-BYTES 100 100 100 100 October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 7 FIGURE 4. CENTRAL GROUND-BASED PROCESSING STATION (CGBS) Aircraft Warnings and Cautions Antenna Control & RF and UHF Interface Aircraft Simulation DISPLAY & CONTROL (Cipher, Anti-Jam & Anti-spoof Controller) Data Storage GROUND BASED Processor ENHANCED SAFE AND SECURE “BLACK BOX”DATA Air Carriers and Aircraft Manufacturers Communication Module REMOTE PILOT SECURE ATC Module AIRCRAFT SIMULATOR October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 8 FIGURE 5. GROUND-BASED DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM Processor Air Carriers and Aircraft Manufacturers Communication Module ATC/M Module 1 1 TRACON ATC/M N En - route ATC/M Map Database N 1 Topographic Database Air Carrier&Aircraft and Aircraft Air Carrier Manufacturer Facility Manufacturer Facility Weather Database Emergency & Maintenance Warnings/ Cautions SAFELANDER (REMOTE PILOT CAPABILITY) SECURE AIRCRAFT SIMULATOR October 2007 Sy Levine N Simulations 26th DASC PRESENTATION 9 FIGURE 6. GENERIC REPRSENTATION OF THE 583 FATALITY TENERIFE CRASH & OTHERS TRANSLATOR DOWN Note: The 583 fatality Tenerife crash was head on. This pictorial is a generic representation and shows aircraft orthogonal on the runway. UP LANDING GEAR -- LANDING GEAR DOWN- BRAKE ON PROJECTION AIRCRAFT FUSELAGE ENGINE BRAKE COLOR CODE TRANSLATOR GREEN RED BLUE PLANE MOVING HIGH THRUST ------ STOPPED OFF ON COLLISION TRAJECTORY ------LOW ------- ESTIMATED COLLISION POINT SAFELANDER PROVIDES AUTOMATED COLLISION AVOIDANCE ALERTS ATC/M & CAS ENHANCED CAPABILITY DISPLAY October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 10 FIGURE 7. TENERIFE, ET AL., NO MORE TRANSLATOR DOWN Note: The 583 fatality Tenerife crash was head on. This pictorial is a generic representation and shows aircraft orthogonal on the runway. UP LANDING GEAR -- LANDING GEAR DOWN- BRAKE ON AIRCRAFT FUSELAGE ENGINE BRAKE PROJECTION SAFE TRAJECTORY COLOR CODE TRANSLATOR GREEN RED BLUE PLANE MOVING HIGH THRUST ------ STOPPED OFF ON ------LOW ------- SAFELANDER PROVIDES A SAFE TRAJECTORY DISPLAY ATC/M & CAS ENHANCED CAPABILITY October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 11 FIGURE 8. FATAL TARMAC CRASHES ARE SIMPLY UNNECESSARY AND ARE PREVENTABE A FATAL CRASH IN THE GROUND INCURSION FAMILY IS THE 79 FATALITY 10/31/00 SINGAPORE AIRLINE’S FLIGHT 006 CLEARED FOR RUNWAY 05L FATAL RUNWAY 05R TAKEN The 21st Century Aviation System controller and the pilot would have full visibility display of the plane going onto the wrong hazardous runway way long before the fatal accident occurred. The controller would then provide manual and automatic alerts to the pilot of the problem. These alerts would have probably prevented the needless loss of lives. If these alerts to the pilot failed, the controller would shut the plane down to prevent the fatal accident. The system, not the pilot’s error, killed these passengers. We have allowed ignorance and a dark age autopsy mode to solely exist. Most errors or problems need not result in fatal accidents. October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 12 FIGURE 8-A. Comair Flight 5191 Fatal Crash On Aug. 27, 2006 Killing 49 People (First Officer James Polehinke Was The Sole Survivor) Flt 5191 should have went down the 7003 foot Runway 22 Flt 5191 erroneously went down 3500 foot Runway 26 SAFELANDER Would have prevented this crash by displaying to the pilot in real-time the safe trajectory This is a recurring tarmac crash that was readily preventable. It was due to a fatal flaw in the traffic control shared information system and not pilot error. October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 13 FIGURE 9. SAFELANDER CAS DISPLAY NOTE: ONE LANDING GEAR IS DOWN PROJECTED COLLISION TRAJECTORY BASED ON AIRCRAFT TRACK FLASHING PROBLEM ICONS LANDING GEAR VECTORS 15 MINUTES OF FUEL REMAINING • VELOCITIES ( Vn,Ve, Vh) • PRESENT POSITIONS • PROJECTED POSITIONS PROJECTION TRAJECTORIES SAFE TRANSLATOR DOWN LANDING GEAR UP COLLISION -- ESTIMATED COLLISION POINT October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 14 FIGURE 10. SAFELANDER PROVIDES AN AIRCRAFT DATA SUPERHIGHWAY (SIMILAR TO THE INTERNET) THAT RESPECTS AN AIR CARRIER’S PRIVILEGED DATA LEO DATA LINK SAT GPS SAT AC1/P1 AC2/P1 AC# = AIR CARRIER (1,2,...) P# = PLANE (1,2,...) ATC/M &CAS DATA ONLY AC1 DATA P1 CGBS P2 A B October 2007 PRIVILEGED AIR CARRIER CIPHERED DATA ONLY AC2 DATA P1 P2 C D A,B,C,D,... DATA Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 15 FIGURE 11. CHRONOLOGY OF SATELLITE PER FLIGHT COMMUNICATION COSTS AVERAGE $ COST PER PLANE PER AVERAGE FLIGHT (AVG. FLT. TIME = 95 MIN.) 1000.00 800.00 600.00 400.00 $cost/plane/avg.flt. 200.00 2008 ESTIMATE $9.1/FLT. 0.00 1990 1992 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION YEAR 16 TABLE 2. WORLDWIDE AIR CARRIER FATALITIES AND FATAL ACCIDENTS THE YEARS 1987 THROUGH 1996 (NOTE: DOESN’T INCLUDE 3000 DEATHS IN 9/11/2001) FATAL ACCIDENT TYPE/QTY Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT) - CFIT Only On Approach Loss of Control In Flight In Flight Fire Sabatage Mid-air Collision Hijack Ice and/or Snow Landing Windshear Fuel Exhaustion Other Unknown Runway Incursion Rejected Take Off (RTO) RAFT RAFT RAFT Total Total US Operators US Operators Total Total US Operators Fatalities %Fatalities Fatalities %Fatalities Fatalities %Fatalities Fatalities 2396 32.01% 312 19.68% 479 17.04% 62 957 12.79% 0.00% 191 6.81% 0 2228 29.77% 482 30.41% 1114 39.62% 96 760 10.15% 340 21.45% 152 5.41% 68 607 8.11% 254 16.03% 546 19.43% 229 506 6.76% 0 0.00% 101 3.60% 0 306 4.09% 38 2.40% 275 9.79% 34 162 2.16% 57 3.60% 32 1.15% 11 128 1.71% 3 0.19% 26 0.91% 1 119 1.59% 37 2.33% 36 1.27% 11 113 1.51% 0 0.00% 23 0.80% 0 111 1.48% 17 1.07% 22 0.79% 3 45 0.60% 45 2.84% 5 0.16% 5 3 0.04% 0 0.00% 1 0.02% 0 TOTAL FATALITIES % REDUCTION IN FATALITIES FATAL ACCIDENT TYPE/QTY Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT) Loss of Control In Flight In Flight Fire Sabatage Mid-air Collision Hijack Ice and/or Snow Landing Windshear Fuel Exhaustion Other Unknown Runway Incursion Rejected Take Off (RTO) 7484 1585 Fatal % Fatal US Fatal Accidents Accidents Accidents 36 26.47% 38 27.94% 4 2.94% 5 3.68% 2 1.47% 8 5.88% 5 3.68% 9 6.62% 3 2.21% 7 5.15% 14 10.29% 4 2.94% 1 0.74% TOTAL FATALITIES % REDUCTION FATAL ACCIDENTS October 2007 100% 136 Sy Levine 100% 4 11 2 1 0 1 3 1 1 0 6 4 0 34 26th DASC 100% 2812 62% 100% 521 67% RAFT RAFT RAFT US % Fatal Fatal % Fatal US Fatal Accidents Accidents Accidents Accidents 11.76% 7 15.32% 32.35% 19 40.43% 5.88% 1 1.70% 2.94% 5 9.57% 0.00% 0 0.00% 2.94% 7 15.32% 8.82% 1 2.13% 2.94% 2 3.83% 2.94% 1 1.91% 0.00% 1 2.98% 17.65% 3 5.96% 11.76% 0 0.00% 0.00% 0 0.00% 100% PRESENTATION 47 65% 100% 1 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 8 78% 17 AIRLINE SAFETY INCLUDES ALL 9/11 FATALITIES Average = 4.02 Median = 1.89 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 Average = 1.73 Median = 1.89 19 92 19 94 19 96 19 98 20 00 20 02 20 04 20 06 FATALITIES 3 YR. ENSEMBLE SLIDING AVERAGE FATALITIES PER 100 MILLION MILES YEARS October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 18 Table 3. Back-up Material 9/11/2001 Notice that the departure and crash times would have permitted a single remote pilot in a ground-based simulator to take real-time control of each aircraft and sequentially land them at sparsely populated landing sites: On September 11, 2001 the following occurred: AIRCRAFT_ BOEING 767 BOEING 767 BOEING 757 BOEING 757 CAR. AAL UAL AAL UAL FLT 11 175 77 93 DEPARTURE 7:59 AM 7:58 AM 8:10 AM 8:44 AM CRASH SITE 8:46 AM WTC 9:03 AM WTC 9:43 AM PENTAGON 10:10 AM PA. FATALITIES 92 65 64 44 A total of 265 died aboard aircraft and about 2700 died on the ground. The cost of the disaster was estimated at over 10 billion dollars which is more than five times the estimated 2 billion dollars required to make SAFELANDER operational. October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 19 In Conclusion the 21st Century Aviation System Increases: aircraft payload and fuel economy by reducing aircraft weight and avionics; homeland security of the public and its edifices; – prevents the recurrence of 9/11 type disasters; – prevents unauthorized aircraft from flying into restricted airspace; airport efficiency, utilization and automation by automatically providing all of the data necessary for enhanced safe visibility; – through-put (the number of daily takeoffs and landings an airport; can safely accommodate) – prevents ground incursions. October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 20 In Conclusion the 21st Century Aviation System Increases (Continued): situation awareness to the pilot/s and controllers using simple unified real-time displays that show all of the necessary data required for aircraft safety; ADS-B utility and economical justification; the real-time digital-data required for safe and secure 4dimensional ATC/M and free-flight; safety of flight; – prevents decompression disasters and pilot error crashes; – allows for the use of simulations and expert systems to prevent aircraft problems from turning into fatal crashes; October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 21 In Conclusion the 21st Century Aviation System Decreases: the cost of flying; the need for expensive runway expansion programs; aircraft crashes; hijacking; the number of aircraft that fly unauthorized into restricted airspace; aircraft weight; piloting and maintenance personnel costs; aircraft avionics costs; aircraft purchase costs; insurance costs; the need to recover flight data recorders; October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 22 In Conclusion the 21st Century Aviation System Decreases (Continued): time and money spent on flight recorder recovery and recorder maintenance; FOQA costs and its latency period; – all data is automatically telemetered to the ground in real-time for processing and distribution; the number of and ambiguity of avionics and ATC/M displays; – position, heading, attitude, breaking status, engine status, landing gear status, fuel remaining, etc. are now available & clearly displayed; voice communication bandwidth and the speech comprehension ambiguities that have led to crashes; – provides a good portion of the safety related data automatically in usable display and alert forms; October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 23 In Conclusion the 21st Century Aviation System Decreases (Continued): costly runway expansion programs by providing enhanced tarmac visibility; flight delays by safely decreasing aircraft separation; aircraft turn around time and flight delays by providing the maintenance crew with real-time in-flight and on-ground visibility into the functionality and status of much of the aircraft’s avionics; – Speeds up the availability of Line Replaceable Units (LRUs); aircraft fuel cost per pound of payload by eliminating items unrelated to payload; the maintenance costs for aircraft avionics and mechanical systems by having less of them; aircraft purchase costs by eliminating items unrelated to payload; and insurance costs and liability claims. October 2007 Sy Levine 26th DASC PRESENTATION 24