Aeronautical technology flows at the start of World War I by Peter B. Meyer U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics --- findings and views are those of the author, not the BLS ESSHC conference, Vienna April 2014 . 1 A pre-history of the airplane 1860s Clubs and journals show fixed-wing designs “Aerial navigation” and “flying machines” are fringe activities – maybe hopeless, useless, dangerous 1890s Glider flights, survey books Experimenters followed open science, open source practices Networking ; shared findings, designs – public goods 1903-06 Powered glider flights (Wright brothers, Santos-Dumont) 1908-11 Big exhibitions 1908-1916 New industry Much was documented My project: gather & count publications, patents, clubs, firms, letters, innovators, etc. to understand technical innovation 2 Data on publications 1910 Bibliography of Aeronautics by Brockett of Smithsonian Institution 13,000 entries, 940 pages Data to mid-1909 Much cleanup was necessary Title, author, year, language, journal Duplicates, missing elements, “missing” entries Successor volume covers 19091916 Even larger Partly computerized Aeronautical articles by language Continues higher after 1907, permanently. Source: Brockett bibliography (1910). Aeronautical periodicals before 1909 Journal when where entries in Brockett (1910) L'Aérophile 1893- Paris 1383 Zeitschrift für Luftschiffahrt 1882- Berlin; Vienna 1101 Illustrierte Aëronautische Mitteilungen 1897-1931 Strasbourg; Berlin 1053 L'Aéronaute Wiener Luftschiffer Zeitung Bollettino della Societa Aeronautica Italiana 1868-1914 1902-1914 1904- Paris Vienna Rome 822 604 534 Aeronautics 1907-1921 London 425 Aëronautical Journal 1897- London 415 Scientific American 1871- New York 371 La Conquête de l'Air 1904- Brussels 343 Aeronautical World 1902-1903 Ohio 315 Compte Rendus de l’Académie Sciences 1836- Paris 191 Bulletin of the Aerial Experiment Association 1908- Nova Scotia 157 La Revue de l’Aviation American Magazine of Aeronautics L'Aeronauta 190619071896-1900 Paris New York Milan 147 102 95 Revue de l’Aeronautique 1888-96; 1900-1 Paris 87 Flight (Aero Club of UK) 1909- London 81 American Aeronaut 1907-1909 St. Louis; NYC 81 Aeronautical Annual 1895-1897 Boston 68 Ballooning and Aeronautics 1907- London 64 from Mouillard’s L’empire de l’air, 1881 The next five from L’Aerophile, 1893-1905 Example patent Aeronautical patents per year, 1860-1907 This is a sample including more than 40% of the relevant patents of that time. • From publications of the time, USPTO, google patents, and EPO. • Sources say whether a patent is aeronautically-relevant. For flying machines I find so far no licensing fees or suits. 8 Subjects of publications and patents to 1909 from selected samples, all countries, some overlap Pub. count Term/idea in pub title Balloon (aerostat, dirigible, Zeppelin, 2100 Navigation (control, steerable) 623 Kites, gliders (gliding, soaring) 550 Wing 180 Motor (engine, propulsion, propellers) 380 Bird/animal (animal, fish, insect) 270 voyage, ascent) Scientific/measurement (research, theory, meteorology, atmosphere, experiment, duration, altitude, temperature, weight) Technology patented Patent count Balloon, airship 556 Navigation / control 297 Kite/glider/wing (glider, parachute, wing, airfoil) Propulsion (propellers, flapping wing, ornithopter, engine, motor) 186 355 Other of interest 475 Helicopters 32 Military (warfare, army) 400 Toys / fun 30 Clubs/societies 600 Instruments 26 Imitation/copying of previous designs Wright brothers 1901-2 glider 1903-5 airplanes Chanute-Herring glider, 1896 Pratt truss Wilbur Wright’s first letter to Chanute in 1900 says “the apparatus I intend to employ . . . is very similar to [your] "double-deck" machine [of] 1896-7 . . .” “. . . I make no secret of my plans . . . . I believe no financial profit will accrue to the inventor of the first flying machine, and that only those who are willing to give as well as to receive suggestions can hope to link their names with the honor of its discovery. 10 The problem is too great for one man alone and unaided to solve in secret.” That basic design continues . . . Ferber, 1902, copies Wright design based on report from Chanute Voisin-Farman winning prize, 1908 Santos-Dumont 1906, 1st airplane flight in Europe Farman, 1909-10 Source: Gibbs-Smith’s Rebirth of European Aviation 11 Tinkerers era has “open source” publications, patents, copying Now we look at the early industry era: 1908-1916 1908: Startup firms appear 13 Branches and spinoffs from other industries Source industry Establishments/firms that made airplanes in 1908-1916 Engines, turbines AGO, AWK, Bollee, Curtiss, Junkers, Motorenfabrik Oberursel, Napier, Nieuport/SGd’EL, Praga, Salmson, Schwade, Siddeley, Sloan et Cie, Sturtevant, Sunbeam, Talleres, Tips, Train, Turcat-Mery, Westland, Autos, railcars, carriages Bollee, Delaunay-Bellville, Euler-werke, Fiat, Lohnerwerke, Odier-Vendome, Savary, Turcat-Mery, Wolseley, Hannoversche Waggonfabrik, Linke-Hoffman, Russo-Baltic Wagon Co., Hooper, WKF Ships, boats Flying school Airships, balloons Ordnance Electric Bicycles, motorcycles Avro, AWK, Barnwell Bros, Denny/RAF, Harland-Wolff, Oertz, Radley, Saunders, Tellier et Cie, Wight Other engineering AEA, Breguet, Daimler, Euler-Werke, Fairey, Gallaudet, Gwynne, Liore-Olivier, Nielsen-Winther, Ransomes, Robey, SAML, Savages, SNOS, Williams, Zaparka Auto repair Other business Day, Martin Grade, Graham-White, NFS, Rex GmbH, Schultze, Sloane, Sopwith, United Eastern, Vegener Astra, Chalais-Meudon, PMBRA, Dornier, Saunders, Schutte-Lanz, Siemens-Schuckert, Vickers Anzani, LTG, Yokosuka Naval Air Arsenal AEG, Phoenix Dynamo,Siemens-Schuckert, Curtiss, Euler-werke, Turcat-Mery, Wrights BAT, Deperdussin, Sage, Thulin AETA • Spinoffs here mean key technical people or founder came from the other industry (as in Klepper’s research on early automobile companies) • Maybe 10-20% of firms were started by a tinkerer with experience in aero experimentation but not branching out or spinning off from other industry • Most firms were started with experience at an airplane-maker already! Most new aero firms were in Europe In Japan, military led; few firms In U.S., several major firms, but paralysis associated with litigation by the Wrights who have a broad patent claim Clubs and publications do not arise till 1909; military decision to research balloons and airplanes in 1909; dispatch individuals to other countries to learn ; first 25 civilians get foreign training to fly in 1911 ; almost all engines and aircraft are modifications of a foreign design till 1920 “pioneer patent” – an unusual legal category starting 1890s Curtiss firm manufacturers airplanes ; big lawsuits American-made planes considered unsuitable for use in WWI at start 1917: Military forces patent pool, called MAA Australia, New Zealand, Canada, elsewhere Some new firms, mostly founded by tinkerers not industrialists Aero publications jump with new industry, decline in WWI Phases: slow growth, 1860-1906 (data from Brockett 1910, 1921 ; estimates after 1909) 1907 –spike with sudden interest in new industry 1914 – notable drop because of the war, especially in French and German Aero patents in US, 1907-1916 U.S. patents per year in “aeronautics and aviation” classification decline after 1912 • Possibly Wright lawsuits caused this • Presumably during war, fewer applications came from Europe • Data not ready for other countries • These are by date of grant, not the date the applicant filed Conclusions (1) 1810-1906 aerial navigation experimenters publish and patent Growth of patents is comparable to growth of patents overall Publications grow faster than that Many clubs and societies arise, at first organized around ballooning Technology is imitated ; little intellectual property Note: No firms do this “research” (technological uncertainty) motivation mostly intrinsic or altruistic: to fly! change world! attempt challenge Communication imitation, progress 1890s standard glider A new industry starts from this open-source information Publications and patents jump up, 1907-1913 Wave of new companies appears, exhibitions, military contracts Patents matter as intellectual property then Conclusions (2) Most new firms are in Europe Some started by aero people only Many are coming in from another industry or spinning off from engineering/manufacturing experience “Success rates” unknown as yet In WWI, notable decline in aero publications Especially in French and German English publications drop, but less Many English speakers are distant from the war US aero patents decline, presumably also in the other countries After 1907, aero technology decreasingly by open-source processes, more by industry and hierarchical/government processes