Analysis of Financial Statements 1 Overview of Financial Analysis • First order of business is to SPECIFY THE OBJECTIVES OF THE ANALYSIS • Remember -- the identity of the user helps define what information is needed Potential Financial Statement Users: • • • • Creditors Investors Managers Employees • What types of questions do each of these users seek answers to? Creditors • Why does the firm want/need to borrow funds? • What is the firm’s capital structure? How leveraged are they? • How will they pay it back? What kind of cash flows are being generated by operations? Investors • How has the firm performed/what are future expectations? • How much RISK is inherent in the capital structure? • What are expected returns from the firm? • What is firm’s competitive position? Managers • Need all info creditors and investors need PLUS: • What operating areas have contributed to success and which have not? • What are strengths/weaknesses of company’s financial position? • What changes are indicated to improve future performance? Caution!!! • Keep in mind: management PREPARES financial statements • Analyst should be alert to potential for management to influence reporting to make data more “appealing” • May want to supplement analysis with information apart from Annual Report prepared by management Where to look for data... • • • • Financial statements (and notes) Annual Report 10K and 10Q reports filed with SEC Computerized data bases • Info on industry norms/ratios • Info on particular companies/industries/mutual funds • Websites Basic Tools • Common size financial statements • Financial ratios • Trend analysis • Industry comparisons Common Sizing Firm A Firm B Sales 2531456.24 4561234.87 COGS 784564.54 1556456.24 1746891.70 3004778.63 Gr. Profit Common Sizing Firm A Sales COGS Gr. Profit Firm B 2,531,456 4,561,234 784,564 1,556,456 1,746,891 3,004,778 Common Sizing Firm A Sales COGS Gr. Profit Firm B 2,531,456 100% 4,561,234 100% 784,564 31% 1,556,456 34% 1,746,891 69% 3,004,778 66% Common Size Statements • Common size income statement • expresses each income statement category as a percentage of sales • Common size balance sheet • expresses each item on balance sheet as a percentage of total assets or equities Ratio Analysis Four Categories of Ratios • • • • Profitability Liquidity Debt Utilization Asset Utilization ratios 14 Ratio Analysis Profitability Ratios • Measure the overall effectiveness of the firm’s management. 15 Ratio Analysis Profitability Ratios Gross Profit Margin = Gross Profit Sales How effective is the firm at generating revenue in excess of its cost of goods sold? 16 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Cash $175 Accounts Receivable 430 Inventories 625 Current Assets $1,230 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Total Assets $2,530 Income Statement Excalibur Corporation Sales $1,450 Cost of Goods Sold 875 Gross Profit $575 Operating Expenses 45 Depreciation 200 Net Operating Income $330 Interest Expense 60 Income Before Taxes $270 Taxes (40%) 108 Net Income $162 Common Dividends Paid 100 Addition to Retained Earnings $62 Gross Profit Margin = Accounts Payable $115 S-T Notes Payable 115 Current Liabilities $230 Bonds $600 Owner’s Equity Common Stock $300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Total Liabilities and Owners Equity $2,530 Gross Profit Sales Gross Profit Margin = $575 $1,450 = 39.7% 17 Ratio Analysis Profitability Ratios Operating Profit Margin = Operating Income Sales How effective is the firm in keeping costs of production low? 18 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Cash $175 Accounts Receivable 430 Inventories 625 Current Assets $1,230 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Total Assets $2,530 Income Statement Excalibur Corporation Sales $1,450 Cost of Goods Sold 875 Gross Profit $575 Operating Expenses 45 Depreciation 200 Operating Income $330 Interest Expense 60 Income Before Taxes $270 Taxes (40%) 108 Net Income $162 Common Dividends Paid 100 Addition to Retained Earnings $62 Accounts Payable $115 S-T Notes Payable 115 Current Liabilities $230 Long-term Debt $600 Owner’s Equity Common Stock $300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Total Liabilities and Owners Equity $2,530 Operating Operating Income Profit = Sales Margin Oper. Profit Margin = $330 $1,450 = 22.8% 19 Ratio Analysis Profitability Ratios Note: Net Income equals Earnings Available to CS when there is no preferred stock. Profit Margin or Return on Sales = Net Income Sales How much net profit is being generated from each dollar of sales? 20 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term Debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Income Statement Total Liabilities and Excalibur Corporation Owners Equity $2,530 Sales $1,450 Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Depreciation Operating Income Interest Expense Income Before Taxes Taxes (40%) Net Income Common Dividends Paid Addition to Retained Earnings 875 $575 45 200 $330 60 $270 108 $162 100 $62 Net Profit Margin = Profit Margin = Net Income Sales $162 $1,450 = 11.2% 21 Ratio Analysis Profitability Ratios Return on Assets = Net Income Total Assets How effectively is the firm generating net income from its assets ? 22 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Total Liabilities and Income Statement Owners Equity $2,530 Excalibur Corporation Sales $1,450 Cost of Goods Sold 875 Gross Profit $575 Operating Expenses 45 Net Income Return on Depreciation 200 = Operating Income $330 Total Assets Assets Interest Expense 60 Income Before Taxes $270 Taxes (40) 108 $162 = 6.4% Net Income% $162 ROA = $2,530 Common Dividends Paid 100 Addition to Retained Earnings $62 23 Ratio Analysis Profitability Ratios Return on Common Equity = Net Income Equity How well is the firm generating return to its equity providers? 24 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term Debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Income Statement Total Liabilities and Excalibur Corporation Owners Equity $2,530 Sales $1,450 Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Depreciation Operating Income Interest Expense Income Before Taxes Taxes (40%) Net Income Common Dividends Paid Addition to Retained Earnings 875 $575 45 200 $330 60 $270 108 $162 100 $62 Return on Equity = ROE = $162 $1,700 Net Income Equity = 9.53% 25 Ratio Analysis Liquidity Ratios • Measure the ability of the firm to meet its short-term financial obligations. Current Assets Current Ratio = Current Liabilities Are there sufficient current assets to pay off current liabilities? What is the cushion of safety? 26 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term Debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Total Liabilities and Owners Equity $2,530 Current Ratio = Current Assets Current Liabilities Current Ratio = $1,230 = 5.35x $230 27 Ratio Analysis Liquidity Ratios • Measure the ability of the firm to meet its short-term financial obligations. Quick Ratio = Current Assets - Inventory Current Liabilities What happens to the firm’s ability to repay current liabilities after what is usually the least liquid of the current assets is subtracted? 28 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term Debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Total Liabilities and Owners Equity $2,530 Quick Ratio = Current Assets - Inventory Current Liabilities Acid-Test Ratio = $1,230 -$625 = 2.63x $230 29 Ratio Analysis Debt Utilization Ratios • Measure the relative size of the firm’s debt load and the firm’s ability to pay off the debt. 30 Ratio Analysis Debt Ratios Debt Ratio = Total Debt Total Assets What proportion of the firm’s assets is financed with debt? 31 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term Debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Income Statement Total Liabilities and Excalibur Corporation Owners Equity $2,530 Sales $1,450 Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Depreciation Operating Income Interest Expense Income Before Taxes Taxes (40%) Net Income Common Dividends Paid Addition to Retained Earnings 875 $575 45 200 $330 60 $270 108 $162 100 $62 Debt Ratio = Total Debt Total Assets Debt Ratio = $230 + $600 = 33% $2,530 32 Ratio Analysis Debt Ratios Times Interest Earned Ratio = Operating Income Interest Expense What is the firm’s ability to repay interest payments from its operating income? 33 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term Debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Income Statement Excalibur Corporation Total Liabilities and Sales $1,450 Owners Equity $2,530 Cost of Goods Sold 875 Gross Profit $575 Operating Expenses 45 Depreciation 200 Times Operating Income Operating Income $330 Interest = Interest Expense 60 Interest Expense Earned Ratio Income Before Taxes $270 Taxes (40%) 108 $330 Net Income $162 TIE Ratio = = 5.50x Common Dividends Paid 100 $60 Addition to Retained Earnings $62 34 Ratio Analysis Asset Management Ratios • Help assess how effectively the firm is using assets to generate sales. 35 Ratio Analysis Asset Utililzation Ratios Average Collection Period = Accounts Receivable Avg. Daily Cr. Sales How long does it take for the firm on average to collect its credit sales from customers? 36 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Bonds $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Income Statement Total Liabilities and Excalibur Corporation Owners Equity $2,530 Sales $1,450 Additional Info: We assume all sales are credit sales. Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Depreciation Operating Income Interest Expense Income Before Taxes Taxes (40%) Net Income Common Dividends Paid Addition to Retained Earnings 875 $575 45 200 $330 60 $270 108 $162 100 $62 Average Collection = Period ACP = Accounts Receivable Avg. Daily Sales $430 $1,450/365 = 108.24 days Days in a year 37 Ratio Analysis Asset Management Ratios Inventory Turnover Ratio = Sales Inventory Is inventory efficiently translating into sales for the firm? 38 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term Debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Income Statement Total Liabilities and Excalibur Corporation Owners Equity $2,530 Sales $1,450 Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Depreciation Operating Income Interest Expense Income Before Taxes Taxes (40%) Net Income Common Dividends Paid Addition to Retained Earnings 875 $575 45 200 $330 60 $270 108 $162 100 $62 Inventory Turnover = Ratio Inventory Turnover = Sales Inventory $1450 $625 = 2.3x 39 Ratio Analysis Asset Management Ratios Sales Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio = Net Fixed Assets How effective is the firm in using its fixed assets to help generate sales? 40 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term Debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Income Statement Total Liabilities and Excalibur Corporation Owners Equity $2,530 Sales $1,450 Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Depreciation Operating Income Interest Expense Income Before Taxes Taxes (40%) Net Income Common Dividends Paid Addition to Retained Earnings 875 $575 45 200 $330 60 $270 108 $162 100 $62 Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio = Sales Net Fixed Assets Fixed Asset Turnover = $1,450 = 1.12x $1,300 41 Ratio Analysis Asset Management Ratios Total Asset Turnover Ratio = Sales Total Assets How effective is the firm in using its overall assets to generate sales? 42 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Receivable 430 Inventories 625 Current Assets $1,230 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Total Assets $2,530 Income Statement Excalibur Corporation Sales $1,450 Cost of Goods Sold 875 Gross Profit $575 Operating Expenses 45 Depreciation 200 Operating Income $330 Interest Expense 60 Income Before Taxes $270 Taxes (40%) 108 Net Income $162 Common Dividends Paid 100 Addition to Retained Earnings $62 Accounts Payable $115 S-T Notes Payable 115 Current Liabilities $230 Long-term Debt $600 Owner’s Equity Common Stock $300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Total Liabilities and Owners Equity $2,530 Total Asset Turnover = Ratio Total Asset Turnover = Sales Total Assets $1,450 $2,530 = 0.57x 43 Ratio Analysis Market Value Ratios Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share Earnings per Share How much are investors willing to pay per dollar of earnings of the firm? (Indicator of investor’s attitudes toward future prospects of the firm and of the firm’s risk.) 44 Balance Sheet Excalibur Corporation Assets Liabilities Cash $175 Accounts Payable $115 Accounts Receivable 430 S-T Notes Payable 115 Inventories 625 Current Liabilities $230 Current Assets $1,230 Long-term Debt $600 Plant & Equipment $2,500 Owner’s Equity Less:Acc. Depr. (1,200) Common Stock $300 Net Fixed Assets $1,300 Capital in Excess of Par 600 Total Assets $2,530 Retained Earnings 800 Total Owners’ Equity $1,700 Income Statement Total Liabilities and Excalibur Corporation Owners Equity $2,530 Sales $1,450 Additional Info: 100 shares $20.00 per share Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Depreciation Operating Income Interest Expense Income Before Taxes Taxes (40%) Net Income Common Dividends Paid Addition to Retained Earnings 875 $575 45 200 $330 60 $270 108 $162 100 $62 P/E = Ratio P/E ratio = Price/Share EPS $20.00 = 12.35x $162/100 45 Ratio Industry Excalibur Profitability Gross Profit Margin Operating Profit Margin Net Profit Margin Return on Assets Return on Equity 38% 20% 12% 9.0% 13.4% 39.7% 22.8% 11.2% 6.4% 9.5% 46 Ratio Industry Excalibur Profitability Gross Profit Margin Operating Profit Margin Net Profit Margin Return on Assets Return on Equity 38% 20% 12% 9.0% 13.4% 39.7% 22.8% 11.2% 6.4% 9.5% Excalibur is good at keeping operating costs down, but not as good at total costs. ROA and ROE are low mainly due to productivity problems. 47 Summary of Excalibur Corporation Ratios Ratio Industry Excalibur Liquidity Current Ratio Quick Ratio 5.00x 3.00x 5.35x 2.63x 48 Summary of Excalibur Corporation Ratios Ratio Industry Excalibur Liquidity Current Ratio Quick Ratio 5.00x 3.00x 5.35x 2.63x Looking at the current ratio it appears that Excalibur is more liquid than the industry.... however when looking at Acid Test (a better measure) they are not as liquid indicating that inventory levels are probably too high. 49 Ratio Industry Excalibur Debt Debt Ratio Times Interest Earned 35% 7.00x 33% 5.50x 50 Ratio Industry Excalibur Debt Debt Ratio Times Interest Earned 35% 7.00x 33% 5.50x While the debt ratio is close to the industry average, Excalibur is not able to cover interest payments as easily as the industry. This indicates Excalibur may have too much debt relative to what they can realistically afford. 51 Ratio Industry Excalibur Asset Management Avg. Collection Period Inventory Turnover Fixed Asset Turnover Total Asset Turnover 90 days 3.00x 1.00x 0.75x 108 days 2.32x 1.12x .57x 52 Ratio Industry Excalibur Asset Management Avg. Collection Period Inventory Turnover Fixed Asset Turnover Total Asset Turnover 90 days 3.00x 1.00x 0.75x 108 days 2.32x 1.12x .57x Collection policies need examining, as Excalibur is slower than average at collecting receivables. Inventories are being sold more slowly than the industry average, again indicating inventories that are too high. Excalibur is very efficient at converting Fixed Assets to Sales (fixed assets are productive). However, overall assets are not productive indicating Current Assets (e.g. inventories) are not as productive as for the industry. 53 Ratio Market Value PE Ratio Industry Excalibur 18.0 12.35 54 Ratio Market Value PE Ratio Industry Excalibur 18.0 12.35 Excalibur’s Investors are not willing to pay as much per dollar of earnings or per dollar of book value as they are for shares in other firms in the industry. This signals that they consider the firm’s prospects to be worse than the average. However, the firm is still selling for more than its accounting book value. 55 Relationships Among Ratios: The Du Pont System • Ratio Analysis generally involves an examination of related ratios. • Comparison of these relationships over time helps to identify the company’s strengths and weaknesses. 56 Relationships Among Ratios: The Du Pont System The Du Pont Equation Return = on Assets Net Profit x Margin Net Inc. Assets = Net Inc. x Sales Total Asset Turnover Sales Assets 57 Relationships Among Ratios: The Du Pont System Return = on Equity Net Profit x Margin Net Inc. = Equity Net Inc. Sales Total x Asset Turnover x Sales Assets Equity Multiplier x Equity Assets 58 DuPont Equation: TGT vs. Walmart Target Net Profit Asset Margin Turnover 4.0% 1.45 Wal-Mart 3.6% 2.40 Which would you prefer? DuPont Equation: TGT vs. Walmart Jan. 2005 Net Profit Asset ROA Margin Turnover Target 4.0% 1.45 5.8% Wal-Mart 3.6% 2.40 8.6% DuPont Equation: TGT vs. Walmart Jan. 2005 Net Profit Asset Equity ROE Margin Turnover Multiplier Target 4.0% 1.45 2.5 15% Wal-Mart 3.6% 2.40 2.4 21% What is Target’s debt ratio? How much debt would Target need for ROE=21% • The DuPont approach is nice because it divides the firm into three tasks • expense management (measured by the profit margin) • asset management (measured by asset turnover) • debt management (measured by the equity multiplier) DuPont Example Profit M. Ass.Turn. ROA Eq. Mult. ROE Wal-Mart Sears 4% 3 ? 2 ? 6% 1.5 ? 1 ? What is the top overall ratio? Ratio Exercise Inv turn. 5 Debt to net worth .50 G. P. Margin Acid test TA turnover Cash ______ Acc Pay _____ Acc Rec. 14,795 Inv. ______ Stock 25,000 Plant Eq. ______ Ret Earn. 35,000 Total Assets Tot. Liab ______ & Eq. _______ Sales ____ ______ .30 1.2 2 COGS