ISE 216 – Production Systems Analysis Chapter 4 – Inventory Control Subject to Known Demand McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. This Chapter • Considers inventory control policies for individual item when product demand is assumed to follow a known pattern • Assumes zero forecast error. – Is this realistic? Hardly, but it is easier. – Do not worry we will get to the more realistic cases Why do we study inventory? Investment in Inventories in the U.S. Economy (1999) Inventory is money. Reasons for Holding Inventories • • • • • • Economies of scale Uncertainty in delivery lead times Speculation (Changing costs over time) Smoothing Demand uncertainty Costs of maintaining control system Characteristics of Inventory Systems • Demand – May be known or uncertain – May be changing or constant in time • Lead Times (time elapses from placement of order until its arrival) – known – unknown • Review policy: Is the system reviewed – periodically – continuously Characteristics of Inventory Systems • Treatment of Excess Demand – Backorder all excess demand – Lose all excess demand – Backorder some and lose some • Inventory that changes over time – perishability – obsolescence Relevant Costs • Holding Costs - Costs proportional to the quantity of inventory held. Includes: – Physical space cost (3%) – Taxes and insurance (2 %) – Breakage, spoilage and deterioration (1%) – Opportunity Cost of alternative investment (18%) (in total: 24% of all costs) Note: Since inventory level is changing on a continuous basis, holding cost is proportional to the area under the inventory curve Inventory as a Function of Time Relevant Costs (continued) • Penalty or Shortage Costs (opposite of holding ): All costs that happen when the stock is insufficient to meet the demand – Loss of revenue for lost demand – Costs of bookkeeping for backordered demands – Loss of goodwill for being unable to satisfy the demand – Generally assumed cost is proportional to number of units of excess demand Relevant Costs (continued) • Ordering Cost (or Production Cost) - has both fixed and variable components slope = c K x : order or production quantity C(x): ordering or production cost C(x) = K + cx for x > 0 C(x) = 0 for x = 0. Simple Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) Model – Assumptions 1. Demand is constant and uniform (l units/year, l/4 units per quarter) 2. Shortages are not allowed 3. Orders are received instantaneously 4. Order quantity is fixed (Q per cycle) - can be proven to be optimal 5. Costs – Fixed and marginal ordering costs (K + cQ) – Holding cost per unit held per unit time (h) Inventory Levels for the EOQ Model First order when inventory is 0. Reorder Q units every time when inventory is 0. It must be optimal The EOQ Model: Notation Parameters λ : the demand rate (in units per time)time c : unit ordering/roduction cost (in dollars per unit), setup or inventory costs are not included K : setup cost (per placed order) in dollars h : holding cost (in dollars per unit per year) if the holding cost consists of interest of the money tied up in inventory, h = ic, where i is the annual interest rate The EOQ Model: Notation Decision variable is Q Q: lot size (order size) in units T : time between two consecutive orders (cycle length) T Q l G(Q) = average cost per unit time Relationships • Ordering Cost per cycle: C(Q) = K + cQ • Holding Cost per cycle = unit holding cost * area of the triangle h * QT/2 or unit holding cost * average inventory size * cycle length h*Q/2*T Relationships • Average Inventory Size = Q/2 why ? Inventory (I(t)) Assume Constant Demand slope = -l Q T Time between orders Time (t) Instantaneous Replenishment • Time Between Orders (Cycle length) Q l Q/T T = Q/l Rate of consumption l T Total Costs • What is the average annual cost? G(Q) = average total (order + holding) cost = total cost per cycle / cycle length Q K cQ hT K cQ Q 2 G (Q ) h T T 2 Ordering cost per cycle Average inventory level at any time Average total cost • What is the average annual cost? K cQ hQ G (Q) T 2 K cQ hQ Q 2 l hQ Kl lc 2 Q The Average Annual Cost Function G(Q) Q K cQ hQ Kl GQ ) h cl 2 T T 2 Q Q that minimizes the annual cost G Q ) is a nonlinear function of Q Let Q* be the optimal Q value. Is G’(Q*)=0 ? Kl hQ G (Q ) lc Q 2 Kl h G (Q ) 2 Q 2 2K l G (Q) 3 0, when Q 0 Q YES! Kl h 2K l 2 0 Q* Q 2 h Properties of the EOQ Solution 2K l Q* h • Q* is increasing function of K and l and decreasing function of h in square roots • Q* is independent of c (except the case we calculate h = Ic), Why? Properties of the EOQ Solution hQ Kl G Q ) cl 2 Q Q 2 Kl h • This formula is well-known as economic order quantity, is also known as economic lot size • This is a tradeoff between lot size (Q) and inventory • “Garbage in, garbage out” - usefulness of the EOQ formula for computational purposes depends on the realism of the input data • Estimating setup cost is not easily reduced to a single invariant cost K Example • UVIC annually requires 3600 liters of paint for scheduled maintenance of buildings. • Cost of placing an order is $16 and the interest rate (annual) is 25%. Price of paint is $8 per liter. How many liters of paint should be ordered and how often? 2K l 2(16)(3600) Q* 57600 240 h 0.25(8) Q 240 0.07 years * 250 working days a/year T l 3600 = 17.5=18 working days Order Point for the EOQ Model τ τ τ τ Assumption: Delivery is immediate or order lead time τ = 0 Order Point for the EOQ Model • Does it matter if τ < T or τ > T ? • Keep track of time left to zero inventory or set to automatic reorder at a particular inventory level, R. • Two cases: 1. if τ < T 2. if τ > T R = λ*τ, R = λ* (τ mod T) Sensitivity Analysis G(Q) : the average annual holding and set-up cost function hQ Kl G Q ) cl 2 Q hQ Kl G Q ) 2 Q independent of Q and omitted Q 2 Kl h G*: the optimal average annual holding and setup cost G 2 hK l Sensitivity Analysis Ratio of opt. to Suboptimal Cost Sensitivity of EOQ to Order Quantity 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0,000 0 2 4 6 8 10 Ratio of Optimal to Suboptimal Quant. G (Q) 1 Q * Q G* 2 Q Q * Cost penalties are quite small Finite Replenishment Rate: Economic Production Quantity (EPQ) Assumptions of EOQ: 1. Production is instantaneous: There is no capacity constraint, and entire lot is produced simultaneously 2. Delivery is immediate: There is no time lag between production and availability to satisfy demand Inventory Levels for Finite Production Rate Model Assumption : production rate is P (P > λ), arriving continuously. The EPQ Model: Notation Parameters λ : the demand rate (in units per year) P : the production rate (in units per year) c : unit production cost (in dollars per unit) K : setup costs (per placed order) in dollars h : holding cost (in dollars per unit per year) if the interest rate is given calculated as h=ic, Decision variables Q : size of each production run (order) in units T : time between two consecutive production orders (cycle length) T T1 T2 T1 : production (replenishment) time T2 : no production (down time) H : maximum on-hand inventory level The EPQ Model: Formula Q T1 P T T1 T2 Q Q T2 T T1 l P Q H P l ) T1 ( P l ) P The EPQ Model: Formula HT h K cQ l Q Kl 2 G Q ) h 1 cl T P 2 Q For EPQ: 2K l l Q , where h h 1 h P For EOQ: 2 Kl Q h Quantity Discount Models • The assumption is “The unit variable cost c did not depend on the replenishment quantity” • In practice quantity discounts exist based on the purchase price or transportation costs • Two types of discounts: – All Units Discounts: the discount is applied to ALL of the units in the order. • Order cost function such as that pictured in Figure 4-9 in Ch. 4.7 – Incremental Discounts: The discount is applied only to the number of units above the breakpoint. • Order cost function such as that pictured in Figure 4-10 All-Units Discount Order Cost Function C 499) $149.70 C (500) $145.00 C (516) $149.64 0.30Q C Q ) 0.29Q 0.28Q for 0 Q 500 for 500 Q 1,000 for 1,000 Q All-Units Discount Average Annual Cost Function G(Q) 0.30Q C Q ) 0.29Q 0.28Q for 0 Q 500 for 500 Q 1,000 for 1,000 Q G0(Q) G1(Q) G2(Q) Gmin(Q) 500 1,000 Q Incremental Discount Order Cost Function 0.30Q for Q 500 C Q ) 150 0.29 Q 500 ) 5 0.29Q for 500 Q 1, 000 295 0.28 Q 1, 000 ) 15 0.28Q for 1, 000 Q Average Annual Cost Function for Incremental Discount Schedule Properties of the Optimal Solutions • For all units discounts, the optimal will occur at the minimum point of one of the cost curves or at a discontinuity point – One compares the cost at the largest realizable EOQ and all of the breakpoints succeeding it • For incremental discounts, the optimal will always occur at a realizable EOQ value. – Compare costs at all realizable EOQ’s. Example • Supplier of paint to the maintenance department has announced new pricing: $8 per liter if order is < 300 liters $6 per liter if order is ≥ 300 liters • Other data is same as before: K = 16, i= 25%, l = 3600 • Is this a case of all units or incremental discount? Solution • Step 1: For price 1: Q1* 2K l 2(16)(3600) 240 liters ic1 (0.25)(8) • Step 2: As Q(1) < 300, EOQ is realizable. • Step 3: For price 2: Q2* 2K l 2(16)(3600) 277 liters Ic2 (0.25)(6) • Step 4: As Q(2) < 300, EOQ is not realizable. Cost Function C(Q) Realizable G(Q|c1) G(Q|c2) Not Realizable 240 277 300 Q C(Q) Cost Function Only possible solutions G(Q|c ) 1 G(Q|c2) 240 277 300 Q Solution • Step 5: Compare costs of possible solutions. Q lK G j (Q) ic j lc j 2 Q – For $8 price, Q=240: (3600)(16) (0.25)(8)(240) G1 (240) (3600)(8) $29280 per year 240 2 – For $6 price, Q=300: (3600)(16) (0.25)(6)(300) G2 (300) (3600)(6) $22017 per year 300 2 – Q=300 is the optimal quantity. Q * 300 1 Q* 300 and T * year l 3600 12 Resource Constrained Multi-Product Systems • Classic EOQ model is for a single item. • If we have multiple (n) items – Option A: Treat one system with multiple items as one item • Works if there is no interaction among the items, such as sharing common resources – budget, storage capacity, or both – Option B: Modify classic EOQ to insure no violation of the resource constraints • Works if you know how to use Lagrange multipliers! Resource Constrained Multi-Product Systems • Consider an inventory system of n items in which the total amount available to spend is C • Unit costs of items are c1, c2, . . ., cn, respectively • This imposes the following budget constraint on the system (Qi is the order size for product i) n c Q i 1 i C i • Let wi be the volume occupied by product i n w Q i 1 i i W Resource Constrained Multi-Product Systems Qi K i li minimize G Q1 ,..., Qn ) hi 2 Qi i 1 subject to n n ciQi C Budget constraint i 1 n w Q i 1 i i W Space constraint Resource Constrained Multi-Product Systems Lagrange multipliers method: relax one or more constraints Minimize n n Qi K i li G Q1 ,..., Qn , 1 , 2 ) hi 1 C ci Qi 2 W wi Qi 2 Qi i 1 i 1 i 1 n by solving necessary conditions: G G 0, 0 for i 1,..., n; j 1, 2 Qi j Resource Constrained Multi-Product Systems: Steps to Find Optimal Solution Single constraint case : 1. Solve the unconstrained problem (Find the EOQ values). If the constraint is satisfied, this solution is the optimal one. 2. If the constraint is violated, rewrite objective function using Lagrange multipliers 3. Obtain optimal Qi* by solving (n+1) equations G G 0, 0 for i 1,..., n Qi Resource Constrained Multi-Product Systems: Steps to Find Optimal Solution Double constraints case: 1. Solve the unconstrained problem (Find individual EOQ values). If both constraints are satisfied, this solution is the optimal one. 2. Otherwise, rewrite objective function using Lagrange multipliers by including one of the constraints. Solve one-constraint problem. If the other constraint is satisfied, this solution is the optimal one. 3. Otherwise repeat the step 2 for the other constraint. Resource Constrained Multi-Product Systems: Steps to Find Optimal Solution Double constraints case : 4. 5. If both single-constraint solutions do not yield the optimal solution, then both constraints are active, and the Lagrange equation with both constraints must be solved. Obtain optimal Qi* by solving (n+2) equations n n Qi K i li 1 C ci Qi 2 W wi Qi G Q1 ,..., Qn , 1 , 2 ) hi 2 Qi i 1 i 1 i 1 n G G 0, 0 for i 1,..., n; j 1, 2 Qi j EOQ Models for Production Planning Problem: determine optimal procedure for producing n products on a single machine λj : demand rate (in units per year) of product j Pj : producton rate of product j cj : unit production cost (in dollars per unit) of product j Kj : setup cost (per placed order) in dollars of product j hj : holding cost (in dollars per unit per year) of product j The objective is to minimize the cost of holding and setups, and to have no stock-outs. To have a feasible solution: n lj P j 1 1. j Assumption: We apply a rotation cycle policy Exactly one setup for each product in each cycle - production sequence stays the same in each cycle. •The method of solution is to express the average annual cost function in terms of the cycle time, T to assure no stock-outs. •The optimal cycle time T = max{T*, Tmin}, where sj is setup time of product j n T* 2 K j j 1 n hj ' l j j 1 n Tmin s j 1 j n lj j 1 Pj 1 The optimal production quantities are given by Q j l jT