Blok H4 English - Writing a summary - Writing a report Financial Management - Calculating the amount of sales and purchases based on the data - Calculating the opening balance based on the data and sales and purchases - Calculating the liquidity forecast - Calculating the profit and loss account - Calculating the closing balance sheet based on the previous described aspects - Knowing the difference between income and costs Country Analysis Lecture 1 Companies are forced to go abroad because: There is too much competition in the home country. Veel concurrenten in Nederland. It’s easier to go abroad. Lower costs in other countries like Africa and Asia. Also the export costs are not very high. The relevant market for a company is the international market because the world has globalized. Trade off is a balance between risk and a opportunity. If you fill up the filter model you can see which country you should choose. GDP per capita = gross domestic product per person = bruto binnenlands product per persoon. Import duties = when you want to import in a country, you have to pay an extra tax. When someone in Africa wants have the product but has to pay a lot of money to get it in the country, it isn’t attractive. Distance = the more distance, the more transportation costs. You would like to rank all those criteria’s. Weighted scores = Nigeria = 0.5 + 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.5 x 2 + 0.2 x 2 + 0.3 x 1 = 1.7 The one closes to 1 is the most effective. South Africa is the most effective. The United States has a negative saldo on the balance of payment. They are receiving less money than they spend. Most countries can’t have a negative saldo on the balance of payment. Americans buy everything on credit(cards). They are spending more than they have. America can have a negative saldo because US is rending money from China and Japan. Countries with a positive saldo lent out money to countries with a negative saldo. A surplus on a current account = The Netherlands. We export more than we import. We are doing that for years and we always have a positive saldo on the current account. They money we don’t spend, we lent that to countries with a negative account. A surplus can be positive and negative. Positive: good competitive position. Netherlands export product: Heineken beer, music, tulps, dijk builders. Negative: this country has a weak economic position. If you export more than you’re import, the economic situation of the country can be very bad. Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 For countries like india, china and Africa it’s positive to have a negative because for them it is a investment in time. They are investing and are slowly receiving more money in years. (Denk aan China, was 20 jaar geleden nog arm maar nu is het goed opgebouwd en is een rijk land). Current account = export and goods Financial account = if you loan money to other countries or buying a band (aandeel) in an abroad company. Balance of payment = page 12 of reader. Lecture 2 Country risk when the country you are exporting to has not enough money to import the goods. Importing goods costs money. Exchange rate risk when the exchange rate for the dollar is high, you are spending more money. When you are receiving money from US when the dollar is high, then you are getting more. 1. Cultural risks someone doesn’t pay or pays to late. 2. Transport risks products can break 3. Liability every country has different laws. Political risk = when there is an earthquake or something, the payments are blocked. The country needs the money so the money can’t flow out. Economic risk = the money doesn’t have the money. So when you want to export money, you can’t. Currency generating capacity = how much money can a country earn. It depends on: - Degree when a country is not attractive. - Economic situation unemployment of the people who live in the country. They can’t make good products so can’t export them. - External econmic situation next sheets. Balance of payment = countries with a positive saldo can always pay the import costs. You also have countries with a negative saldo. When these countries get out of reserves (reserve) then they can’t pay the import costs. When you exporting to countries with a negative saldo, it is unattractive because the country may not import your goods. When you stay in EU, you have lower import costs because there isn’t an exchange rate. Foreign debt = repay. When this is increasing, the country risk is increasing. When the international reserves are high and the imports are low the country is safe. They can pay the import costs with the international reserves. 1. 500/100 = 5 If the answer is 5. Than the international reserves are 5 times bigger than the import. The reserves last for 5 years before a country runs out of money. 2. 1500/500 = 3 3 is bad, it should not be higher than 1. You need to pay way more than you earned. You pay 1500 and you get 500. With this formula you do not know the repayment. With formula 3 you do know that. 3. 75 + 100 / 500 500 is what you get and you pay every year 175. in this case there is enough money left to pay for the import. This is good! Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 Waarom is het niet slim om te exporteren naar landen met een negatief saldo? - Shortage they always paying more money than they earn, they may run out of money. - Devalue currency you export more than you import - Import restrictions block the border so we don’t import that money goods anymore. In this case Jobe can’t export to Cuba anymore because Cuba blocks the borders. - Interest? Lecture 3 Country risk = when you export your product to a country that doesn’t have the euro, they can’t pay for your products. For example Africa wants to import your products, but they can’t pay for it. Political risk = because of political decisions there can also be a country risk. Money is blocked for import/export because they want to build up the country. For example countries that are in war of nature disasters. They need the money! Principal = aflossing Foreign/external debt = buitenlandse schuld Foreign debt has to be payed back in 10 years because it is very high. More money is flowing out the US, than is coming in. Why doesn’t US run out of money? Because China and Japan lent money to US US is selling assets to other countries like shares (aandelen) or obligations. Why doesn’t the RMB appreciates against the dollar? The Chinese government keep the RMB low in value because in that way the Chinese export industry is going well. If they don’t do that the Chinese products will be more expensive and the export will be less. Direct quote = 1 euro = 0.20 Rub Indiredct quote = 1 rub = 5 euro. Spread = the difference the buying and selling rates. Transparant market = Appreciation = A rise in the rate of a system with flexible exchange rates When the euro is worth more than the dollar, the euro appreciates against the dollar and the dollar depreciates against the euro. Forward market = if you want to buy dollar in August, but the dollar has a good exchange rate right now. In this case you can already buy the dollar now and get it in August. Spot market = Delivers currencies within two working days in direct or indirect quote. Devaluation = a decision to decrease the local currency Spot rate = current rate Deficit on current account Europe? (We import more than we export) Our products will be more attractive. When we import more than the euro gets cheaper and more people will buy goods in our country. Inflation in Europe is 2% and in USA 4% It is more attractive to buy European products. Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 Bad investment climate in Europe? Foreigners will not invest in Europe anymore and the balance of the Euro declines. Interest rate in Europe is 2% and USA 4% It’s better to have an account on a American bank. So the Euro will decrease and the dollar will increase. The Denish crown and the Euro are fixed to each other. When the Denish crown is decreasing the European central bank is going to buy Denish crowns. Lecture 4 Free trade zone: - No mutual tariffs between member states - Each country maintains it’s own import tariff in relation to countries outside the trade zone - Nafta = Mexico, Canada and the United States. Custom Union: - No mutual tariffs - Same tariff for non participating countries Common market: - No mutual tariffs - Same tariff for non participating countries - Free movement production factors Economic union: - No mutual tariffs - Same tariff for non participating countries - Free movement production factors - Common economic policy European Law Free movement of goods – Article 28 TFEU Equality of men and women – Article 153 section 1 sub i TFEU € - Article 310 TFEU Accesion of a new Member State – Article 326 TFEU Competition – Article 101 TFEU Tourism – Article 195 TFEU Within the European Union, what is Brussels competent to do and what is The Hague (representing The Netherlands) competent to do? Use article 3, 4, 5 and 6 TFEU. Article 3 for these aspects is Brussels exclusively competent. They make these specific rules for all the member states of the EU. Article 4 The Hague and Brussels together are going to deal with these policy areas. Voor deze onderwerpen is Brussel niet excluief bevoegd maar moet andere EU landen erbij betrekken om hier wetten voor te maken. Article 6 The hague is competent to do all these topics themselves. Brussels is only allowed to support them. Den Haag (en alle andere membersstates) mag op deze aspecten wetten bedenken en Brussel mag alleen ondersteunen en niet mee bedenken. Primary law = primair recht. These are the treaties, these are more general. Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 Secondary law = secundair recht. Is not in the reader so you can not find it. You can only find in on the website of the European Union. Belangrijke topics: - EU by topic customs and tax legislation (The primary law is article 28 till 33. More specific laws can be found on the website). - Import and export VAT’s - Art 288 primary law Criteria : This is a primary law that explains which secondary law options there are 1: regulation most important 2: directives most important 3: decisions 4: recommandations A regulation is general application het is voor iedereen. Binding its entirely and directly applicable het is geldig en bindend voor de gehele EU. Regulation = Wet For very urgent matters, always regulations ! voor zeer dringende zaken. All members states have to implement the regulations. When a member state doesn’t have the money, the EU will fund. Directive = richtlijn Directives zijn richtlijnen die richting geven naar een doel. For example: Brussels says to all the members states ‘we want in 5 years equal rights for men and women, we don’t care how you are going to achieve that, but you have to achieve it in 5 years. You can use your own methods’. The states have freedom and a own choice to do it. Directive and regulations are both laws. Maar regulation voelt meer als een ‘echt’ recht omdat je daar minder vrijheid hebt dan bij een richtlijn, bij een richtlijn mag je zelf weten hoe je het doel behaald. There is a difference in the way you are going to achieve your goals. Regulation Brussels is very powerfull! Decision = is a specific law for a specific company or for a specific country. It isn’t for the whole EU members states. For example: a few computer companies have a kartel on laptops. They will get a fine from the EU because they have a kartel. Recommandations = a advice from the EU to another country or to a company. For example: We advice you to change your rights for female workers. The company or country who receives the advice can chose if they are really going to change something. The advice isn’t powerful. Voor 90% maakt de EU onze wetten, in Brussel. In Den Haag mogen wij alleen nog wetten maken: - Grondwet - Criminal Law (Strafrecht) - Taxes (Belasting) Court of justice het hof Rechtsprekende macht European Parliament parlement Wetgevende macht Council = Raad Wetgevende macht Commission Uitvoerende macht European Central Bank Based in Germany. Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch Judicial power Legalization power Legalization power Executive power 2072480 The council 1. Section 2: Article 237-253 TFEU 2. Ministers from each member state Example: When the union is having meetings about discrimination of women all the ministers of social societies are in Brussels. If they are having meeting about safety of travelling, all the 28 ministers of safety are in Brussels. There are 28 member states so always 28 ministers. 3. M-S = memberstates. 4. Legislator they are allowed to make laws for their subject together with the parlement. Example: safety ministers are making laws for safety. They can’t make laws for other subjects because they don’t know enough about it. European Commission 1. Section 4: 244-250 TFEU 2. Commissioners = commissarissen 3. Alle belangen van de EU Fight for the EU, the interest (belangen) of the EU. 4. Initiate laws they cannot make laws. But if they have a new plan for a new law they can send it to the parlement. When the parlement approved the law, the commission is executive this law. De commissie gaat zorgen dat het ook echt wordt uitgevoerd. European Parliament 1. Section 1: Article 223-234 TFEU Also TEU (Participants who are in there?) 2. Representatives of the Union’s citizens. We are voting for who are representing us (the netherlands) in the EU 3. We, everyone who lives in our country. (All citizens of the EU) 4. Legislative = creating laws Having money Military force The European Parliament European council = Heads of state and head of governments (staatshoofden en regeringleiders = Willem Alexander en Mark Rutte). Article 235 en 236. They discuss political facts for 20 years ahead. What will the EU should look like over 20 years? They are just talking and discussing, but they are not allowed to make laws. The European council meetings are in Brussels but it’s very informal and are talking about other countries like China and Ukraine. Zie foto Google. Ze kunnen dus geen wetten maken maar hopen mensen te beinvloeden met hun praatjes zodat plannen ook daadwerkelijk kunnen worden doorgevoerd. Case 1 ‘Alcohol case’ In France an applicable law dictated that whiskey products weren’t allowed to be sold. Hence: No whiskey in the shops. Is this law contrary to EU-law? This case is about free movement of goods article 28 TFEU and onwards. Article 34 TFEU Quantity = zero whiskey Even when there was a limit of 10.000 litres, there still would be a quantity restriction. Variation: French law taxes liquor made of grain heavier than liquor made of grapes. As a result Irish exporters of whiskey weren’t happy. Why? Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 When France is doing this the original French wines are cheaper than the foreign goods. For foreigners they have to pay an tax what makes the price for the customer higher and they are not buying it. So it’s unfair competition. These variation is not a quantative restriction, but it is screwing up the market. So you have to use article 34 and it is definitely quanitive restrictions. Case 2 ‘Belgian packaging of butter’ Within Belgium butter has to be sold in square packages. Some producers, who package their butter differently aren’t happy… What’s the question? Arrest: Walter Rau 133-136/85 The Belgium didn’t want the butter. You can’t do that. Zero quantity is article 34, so it is forbidden. So the Belgians made up a new law, see the slide! This isn’t a a quantitive restrictions but it is a measure having equivalent effect. All measures that screw up the market in an other way than quantitive, are forbidden article 34. Case 3 ‘Sweden’ Within Sweden it’s prohibited to advertise for products which contain alcohol. For whom is this a potential problem? This is problem for companies who produce alcohol like Heineken. Article 34 no quanititve restrictions. no measure having equivalent effect. This is a selling arrangement. It means that each rules for selling arrangement (manier waarop je gaat verkopen) aren’t prohibited. If the rule is related to a product measure heavy equivalent effect law isn’t allowed If the rule is related to marketing of a product no measure heavy equivalent effect law is allowed. International Marketing Lesson 1 You have 4 phases. Audit = giving your opinion about something. Export growth how many export does a country have? Netherlands have a big export. Rotterdam harbour and Schiphol are very important. Netherlands is 6th biggest worldwide exporter. We are a big exporter because we are import from other countries and export these goods as soon as possible to other countries. Why is Holland big in export? Culture (cheese, tulps) Transport Infrastructure (vliegveld, haven) Engineering (building dikes) Music Drugs Financial system is important taxes are very low compared to other countries. Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 6 competitive strength factors = you have to have these things in your own country to export successfully. Raw material = gas Domestic demands = large population consumers makes it easier to export to other countries. National competitiveness = drives you to better products Network = you have to have partners to develop your products. Coincidental factors = when your company is in Europe and you sell in euros, you lose money when you transport to US when the dollar value is low. Political standards are important. When you have a factory in Russia right now, it’s not good. Governmental policy = import taxes are important. Business strategy as a country you want to be where western europe now is. Export development - as a strategy = when a company decides that they want to be a international company. - Follow your customer = when your customers go abroad and you don’t have any partners there, you have to go abroad to when you want to keep the customer. - Competition = when the sales of your products aren’t growing any more. Growth isn’t possible, but it is possible if you are going abroad. That’s another reason why you want to export. - Opportunities = low costs countries. If you have high tech productions, it is attractive to go to low costs countries. Also when you sell unique products innovation and they don’t have that yet in a country. Legalisation = when you import a car from US in Netherlands they have to apply to our safety rules. International strategy = Ethnocentrism = you stay in your characteristics a fully home-based country and you export this to other countries. For example: the US designed Barbie with the standards of the US. She was very long with blonde hair. But these barbies weren’t sell in Africa and Asia because the standards where different there. Centralised on one location. EPRG Framework is the way you organise the export of your country. Multi domestic strategy = polycentrism Edit your product to the local standards. African Barbie, Europe Barbie, Asia Barbie etc. this strategy is very expensive. You only do this when the demands of every country are very different than your own market. Global strategy = regiocentric Example of this is MacDonalds. They are not centralised on one location. You have MacDonalds asia, Europe etc. Transnational strategy = the main characteristics of the different companies all over the world are the same. There is no connection between the companies, they work for their own. You do 80% the same way than the other companies. But you have different expertise. One company knows more than one other and they share this with each other. The knowledge is copied in the other companies all over the world. Export planning sales What are the products that a country is exporting? Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 Abell matrix it gives you inside in what kind of customers your delivering to? The function that your customers use your product for. Technologies that you use. The box customers/functions/technologies out of the box is new for you. You already use is in the box. Overview of the organisation structure = polycentric global model. 7S model which S do I have to change to start exporting. For example: if you systems are very Dutch, you have to change them. External analysis = analysing the countries that you want to export to. - Destep, swot, TOWS/confrontation matrix, Strategy = analysing current situation and analysing the future situation. - 5K Porter, Anshoff, Ge/MaBa Broad audience = massa market Lesson 2 Part 2 number 5 = value chain means how to organise your processes. Example: HRM, management, marketing, logistics, financials. When you are going to export, your inbound logistics will change a lot. Export planning - You have to know if you are going to have a distribution centre or not - Buying of ingredients international or local? Extremely important: - Location of the activities - You want the supply chain to be as short as possible - How much inventory is needed? (voorraad) - Make or buy - Partnership On time if you order something on the website, you want that product on time. Operational elements you can see the strategy in it. Quality = customer intimacy Costs = cost leadership Demand = vraag Uncertainty = onzekerheid What can influence the demand? - Price - Weather - Culture Products like bread and groceries have a very stable demand. You don’t want to sell no to your customers when your strategy is customer intimacy. High supply uncertainly: (je moet snel al je grondstoffen bij elkaar hebben voor productie) - Food - Coffee These products are not always available for example in Africa. Low supply uncertainly: (je moet langzaam al je grondstoffen bij elkaar hebben) - Oil Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 - Wood You want to have ‘termijncontracten’ with your suppliers with an high uncertainty. Agile most B2B. For example: airplane production. The demand of airplanes very depends on the economy. You only start building an airplane if someone gives you an order. Efficiency = coca cola Responsive = airplane production Risk hedging = koffie/cacao. Vaak termijncontracten omdat oogst kan mislukken en jij wilt garantie hebben op je levering. Agile = Haven bouwen. (harbor) Customer intimacy = service and marketing Product innovation = HRM because you need the smartest people Technology develpment Cost leadership/operational excellence = inbound logistics, prices, procurement (inkoop) Push strategy = when the market is predictable. Pull strategy = you start producing when you get an order. Preparedness for internationalisation Mature = a lot of experience Immature = no experience Prepare for a buy out you don’t have any experience so you giving money to another company to do it for you. Equity = shareholder investment. Direct = company organise it themselves. Indirect = you need partners. Export sales orders = website where customers can place an order. This order will be sending to the production centre in Holland and the product will be shipped. Local partners like agents, distributor Joint venture = dochteronderneming, apart bedrijf! Werknemers van 2 moederbedrijven gaan samen in het dochterbedrijf. Als dochterbedrijf failliet gaat, dan heeft moederbedrijf er geen last van moederbedrijf niet failliet en tast naam niet aan. Bij een jointventure is makkelijk om te verkopen. Het is een kwestie van een aandelentransactie. Als een ander bedrijf het dochterbedrijf koopt wordt het personeel ook meegenomen die bij het dochterbedrijf hoort en je hebt dus ook geen last meer van het personeel. Als het wordt verkocht koopt 1 van de 2 bedrijven het vaak op en betaald geld aan de ander. Het kan ook aan een derde worden verkocht. Greenfield investment = je begint met niks. Acquisition = je koopt een al bestaand bedrijf. At your own subsidiary setup: - Your 100% in control - The risk is higher Joint venture: - Less risk - 50% in control When you want to go abroad, some countries may have protectionistic legalisation. This means that a foreign business can’t have their company in for Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 example USA. When you buy an already existing company and change it to your company, the government can’t say you’re breaking the law and that’s legal. The risks on the other sheet may influence the way you organise your export market entry strategy. Different models to organise your company - exporting - contract management - joint venture - etc. it gives you a image of the supply chain for every different company. Spider diagram You can give the aspects a number from 1 to 5. 5 = very good 1 = very bad 0.10/0.15 = the importance of every aspect. This company has a low risk at market growth and strategic horizon. High risk at country stability and product specificness. The nearer to the company (the middle), the better it is. Further from the middle is bad. Lesson 3 Market segmentation has different sides. Weak market segmentation is: - 18-25 years - 26-45 years - 26-40 years - 41-55 years - over 55 Good market segmentation is: - Technically inquisitive - Packaging is everything - Influenced by peers - Love being different - Cynical and frugal Use the StP model for market segmentation. S = market segmentation T = market targeting P = product positioning Another model: three levels of product 1. Core product = just the product 2. Actual product = core product plus the packaging, quality and styling. 3. Augmented product = core product plus actual product plus installation and delivery. Marketing framework the 4 P’s and C’s = unique selling points! Product Costumer = costumer wants and needs Price Costs = total costs Place convenience = buying preference and distribution Promotion communication = interactive, relationship development Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480 Channels for consumer products Direct channel = from producer to consumers without retailers or wholesalers. Retailer channel = producer – retailers – consumers Wholesaler channel = Producer – wholesaler – retailers – consumers Agent/broker channel = producer – agents or brokers – wholesalers – retailers – consumers. Lesson 4 Incoterms is not part of the exam. Letter of credit = A bank is between buyer and seller. The buyer makes sure that the money is one time at the bank. The seller only gets his money if the buyer send a signal to the bank that he received the products. Best case scenario – minimum case scenario – worst case scenario CRM = Customer relationship management Very important for export planning. Highly automated = you have all kinds of CRM systems. Essence of export planning 4 questions you need to ask yourself before you’re going to export. These are the questions you have to apply to the case Bettine Post Avans Hogeschool ’s-Hertogenbosch 2072480