RESERVE BANK OF ZIMBABWE “A SOUND FINANCIAL SECTOR – HEART BEAT OF GROWTH” Remarks by Dr. C .L. Dhliwayo Deputy Governor Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe On the occasion of the 2014 Annual Conference of the Institute of Administration And Commerce Held at Caribbea Bay Resort in Kariba OCTOBER 2014 A. Salutations Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. 1. Let me start by acknowledging the esteemed presence of: The Chief Executive Officer of IAC, Mr. F.J. Dube; Corporate Sector Representatives; Representatives of Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) IAC Members and Students here present; Distinguished Guests; Ladies and Gentlemen. B. 2. Introduction I am delighted for the honour and privilege accorded to me to share with you important perspectives on a very topical subject. The theme of my speech today is “A sound financial sector – heartbeat of economic growth”. 3. Ladies and gentlemen, the financial sector and its role in the process of economic growth and development has attracted notable attention since the early 1990s. In particular, the crucial need for a stable banking system was highlighted in the wake of the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s as well as the recent the global financial crisis (2007 - 2009) and the Eurozone crisis of 2011. 4. In my remarks today I would like to highlight the intricate links between the financial system and the macroeconomy in Zimbabwe. In addition, I will discuss the role of the banking sector and why it is different from other sectors of the economy. 2 5. In Zimbabwe, the financial system has been significantly tested in recent years by the effects of the hyperinflation environment, volatile global commodity prices, and the resulting slowdown in domestic economic activity since the adoption of multicurrency system in 2009. 6. Nonetheless, the Zimbabwean financial system has remained relatively resilient over this period. C. 7. Components of the Financial System in Zimbabwe Our financial system comprises of the following components: a) Financial intermediaries, such as banks, insurance companies and other institutional investors. b) Financial markets, such as money markets and stock exchanges. c) Financial market infrastructures through which money and financial assets flow between buyers and sellers. Examples include payment systems such as RTGS, Zimswitch, Paypal, Ecocash, Telecash and Onewallet. 8. Ladies and gentlemen, as you would know, banks dominate the financial system, accounting for around 80 percent of the total assets of the financial system. The banking sector provide the lion’s share of financial services and products to the economy, and therefore is of key systemic importance. 9. Banks play an important role in supporting economic growth. 10. Currently there are 19 operating banking institutions, comprising 15 commercial banks, one (1) merchant bank and three (3) building societies as well as one (1) savings bank and 156 microfinance institutions. 3 11. My speech will predominantly focus on the banking sector which is supervised by the Reserve Bank. D. Pillars of Financial Sector Soundness and Stability 12. Ladies and gentlemen, a stable financial system is defined as one in which the financial system can withstand shocks without major disruption in financial intermediation and leads to the effective allocation of savings to productive investment. 13. As such, when a state of financial stability and soundness is attained, the financial system is able to smoothly perform its financial intermediary role and there is confidence in the operation of key financial institutions and markets within the economy. 14. A sound financial sector is typified by: a. An effective regulatory infrastructure; b. Effective and well developed financial markets, and c. Effective and sound banking institutions. 15. On the contrary, financial instability manifests itself through failure of systemically significant banking institutions, intense asset price volatility or the collapse of market liquidity and ultimately the disruption of the national payments system. Such instabilities can potentially affect the real sector through macroeconomic costs. Where the financial system becomes fragile, the entire economy is at risk. 16. The soundness and stability of the financial system is important for the following reasons: 4 a. It creates a trusting and enabling environment favourable to savers and investors. b. It helps the transmission of monetary policy, thereby, assisting the attainment of the price stability objective. c. It encourages efficient financial intermediation which eventually promotes investment and growth. d. It encourages effective and efficient operation of markets and improves distribution of resources in the economy. E. The role of banks in the Zimbabwean Economy 17. Ladies and gentlemen, financial intermediaries, such as banks, are an effective conduit for channeling funds from surplus to deficit units through the mobilization of resources and ensuring an efficient transformation of funds into real productive capital. 18. As at 30 June 2014 total banking sector deposits were $4.96 billion, up from $4.73 billion as at 31 December 2013. 19. The ability of financial intermediaries to pool surpluses and transform them into long term credits is an indispensable role which facilitates economic development. As such, banking institutions agglomerate capital from many smaller savers, allocating capital to the most important uses, and monitoring to ensure that it is being used well. 20. Total banking sector loans & advances were $3.81 billion, as at 30 June 2014. 5 21. Loans granted by the banking sector to the various sectors of the economy as at 30 June 2014 were distributed as follows: 22. The banking sector loan portfolio is dominated by the industrial sector, household, transport and agriculture, constituting 26.07%, 21.21%, 16.95% and 15.68 of total credit, respectively. The remaining sectors contributed less than 10% each. 6 23. In addition, ladies and gentlemen, the intermediation of cross border capital flows and provision of trade finance facilities also allows the country’s productive sectors to spend beyond current income, contributing significantly to fixed capital formation in the economy. 24. Within the context of the multiple currency system, which has remained typified by adverse balance of payments developments, banks in Zimbabwe have played a critical role in mobilizing surplus funds from international money and capital markets. 25. These offshore credit lines secured by banks for on-lending to the key productive sectors of the economy have provided the much needed long-term funding for infrastructural development. 26. Importantly, the financial intermediary role of banks facilitates access to project financing, in a manner that complements Government’s infrastructure development programs. 27. In this regard, the facilitative role of banks in mobilizing savings from both domestic and international investors has helped bridge this financing gap. 28. In addition, ladies and gentlemen, any modern financial system contributes to economic development and the improvement in living standards by providing various services to the rest of the economy. These include clearing and settlement systems to facilitate trade, channeling financial resources between savers and borrowers, and various products to deal with risk and uncertainty. 7 29. Banks specialise in assessing the credit worthiness of borrowers and providing an ongoing monitoring function to ensure borrowers meet their obligations. 30. Banks offer a repository for savings, and then transform them into long-term assets such as housing loans and lending to businesses. This process is known as “maturity transformation” and is at the heart of modern banking. 31. At the same time, the financial system transfers, pools, and reduces risk, increases liquidity, and conveys information to market participants. The ability of financial intermediaries to reduce risk from the system through efficient risk diversification as well as techniques of risk sharing and pooling is critical in asymmetric markets. 32. In addition, banks play a role in providing payment and settlement services which are necessary for households, business and other financial institutions to settle day-to-day transactions. 33. Ladies and gentlemen, the recurrence of financial crisis and their negative spill-over effects has brought to the fore the importance of financial sector soundness as a prerequisite for sustained economic growth. 34. Economic growth prospects are closely tied to the availability of credit and financial sector soundness in general. 8 35. Importantly, well-functioning financial markets are an essential link in the transmission of monetary policy to the economy and a critical foundation for economic growth and stability. 36. Liquid markets can lead to more investments; improve the allocation of capital, thereby enhancing prospects for long-term economic growth. 37. Countries with better-developed financial systems tend to grow faster over long periods of time. A large body of literature suggests that this effect is causal: financial development is not simply an outcome of economic growth; it contributes to this growth. 38. In addition, financial development reduces poverty and inequality by broadening access to finance to the poor and vulnerable groups, facilitating risk management by reducing their vulnerability to shocks, and increasing investment and productivity that result in higher income generation. 39. Financial sector development can help with the growth of small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) by providing them with access to finance. SMEs are typically labour intensive and create more jobs than do large firms. They play a major role in economic development particularly in emerging economies. 40. In fact, based on empirical evidence, financial stability is regarded as a pre-requisite for economic prosperity through encouraging savings, asset transformation, allocative efficiency, risk transfer and sharing, 9 improved corporate governance and improved overall factor productivity. F. Challenges to Overcome in the Promotion of Financial Sector Soundness in Zimbabwe 41. Notwithstanding significant progress made in stabilizing the economy, the efficacy of the financial system under the multiple currency system has been adversely affected by the following challenges: i) Persistent illiquidity, which has constrained the economic recovery process; ii) Capital erosion and associated financial sector risks; iii) Loss of monetary policy autonomy resulting in the Central Bank’s inability to adequately influence economic variables such as the exchange rate and interest rates; and iv) Limited lender of last resort function for the Reserve Bank. v) Deterioration in asset quality. Non-performing loans have increased in from 1.6% in 2009 to 18.5% in June 2014, 42. Despite these challenges, Zimbabwe’s financial sector has remained largely safe and sound. In turn, the stability of the financial system and the banking sector in particularly has provided a conducive environment for sustained economic growth and development. 43. Over the period 2009 to 2012, the Zimbabwean economy grew at an average of 10.5%. Economic activity has, however, slowed down to 4.5% in 2012 and is estimated to have decelerated further to 3.4% in 10 2013 owing to limited access to offshore credit lines, subdued non-debt creating capital inflows and the negative effects of cheap imports. G. Measures Instituted to Promote Financial Sector Soundness 44. Ladies and gentlemen, the Reserve Bank’s supervisory framework continues to be underpinned by supervision methodologies, derived from international best practice, which place emphasis on the accurate determination of the risk profiles of banking institutions and adequacy of risk management system. 45. Various supervisory techniques are employed to promote the safety and soundness of the banking sector including off-site surveillance, risk-based on-site examinations and stress-testing. 46. The Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe continues to apply an international bank-rating systems, such as the CAMELS rating system in the assessment of the condition of banking institutions. 47. The Reserve Bank, has also adopted the consolidated supervision approach in order to control the risks associated with financial conglomerates, which may be used as conduits for indulgence in regulatory arbitrage including engaging in non-permissible activities. 48. Further, the Reserve Bank has signed bilateral and multilateral Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) with other central banks and regulatory agencies governing coordination and the exchange of information relating to banking groups with cross border operations. 11 49. Reserve Bank also collaborates supervisory efforts with local financial sector regulators namely Insurance and Pensions Commission, Deposit Protection Corporation and the Securities Commission of Zimbabwe. In this regard, an MoU was signed, to enhance financial stability through effective co-operation among the regulators of the financial sector. 50. A financial sector Multidisciplinary Committee on Financial Stability was also established to promote development of a framework for assessing financial system stability across the financial sector on an ongoing basis. 51. Ladies and Gentlemen, in order to enhance the Reserve bank’s preparedness and mitigate the adverse effects financial instability to the economy, the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe instituted measures in 2012 to tune its crisis management program to improve its legal, policy and institutional arrangements. 52. The program was largely geared at increasing the country’s institutional capacity to deal with financial crisis effectively and timely, and thus reduce the fiscal, economic and social costs of the crisis.This in the main entailed a number of related activities, such as: a) Contingency Planning: b) Crisis Simulation Exercises: c) Early Warning and Prompt Corrective Action: d) Problem and Failing Bank Resolution: 12 53. In view of the current challenging macroeconomic environment and spirit of Basel III that aims to implement a countercyclical capital regime, the Reserve Bank has revised minimum capital requirements to promote strategic groups with different capital thresholds. 54. Further, to ensure better alignment of banking institutions’ risk profile and required risk capital including enhancement of risk management practices, the Reserve Bank adopted the Basel II framework and is now monitoring the stability of banking institution’s Basel II system to ensure a smooth transition into the revised capital framework. 55. In order to further strengthen the regulatory environment, the Reserve Bank has proposed amendments to the Banking Act providing for the enhancement or risk management and corporate governance practices in banks as well as problem bank resolution. 56. On the back of deterioration in asset quality, the Reserve Bank established a National Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) known as Zimbabwe Asset Management Corporation (Pvt) Ltd (ZAMCO). The Special Purpose Vehicle is designed to acquire NPLs from Banks in order to clean up and strengthen banks’ balance sheets and provide them with the liquidity to fund valuable projects for the economy to rebound and to mitigate loss of confidence. 57. Further, against the background of heightened credit risk compounded by high levels of information asymmetry and the lack of effective credit 13 information sharing mechanism the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe is in the process of establishing a central credit registry system within its structures. H. Conclusion 58. In conclusion ladies and gentlemen, the country’s banks and other financial institutions provide a wide range of banking services, financial products and act as a safe custody of funds for the public and private sectors of the economy. 59. The dependence of key productive sectors on borrowed funds strategically places the financial services sector as a key growth enabler in the economy. 60. Numerous empirical studies support the existence of a positive relationship between financial intermediation and growth. 61. Broadly, the safety and soundness of the financial services sector is key in enabling it to effectively play its role as the fulcrum of monetary policy implementation. 62. Through the capital accumulation and productivity channels, the intermediary role played by a sound financial system creates great scope for the meaningful unlocking of growth and employment opportunities particularly in developing countries such as in Zimbabwe. 14 63. Great prominence should therefore continue to be attached to the development and oversight of financial markets as they remain inextricably linked to the economic growth process. I Thank You Dr. C. L. Dhliwayo Deputy Governor 15