Atmospheric Water and Precipitation • • • • Global energy balance Atmospheric circulation Atmospheric water vapor Precipitation • Reading: Sections 3.1 to 3.4 Radiation • Basic laws – Stefan-Boltzman Law • R = emitted radiation (W/m2) • T = absolute temperature (K), • and s = 5.67x10-8W/m2-K4 • with e = emissivity (0-1) – Water, Ice, Snow (0.95-0.99) – Sand (0.76) R sT 4 Valid for a Black body or “pure radiator” R esT 4 “Gray bodies emit a proportion of the radiation of a black body Net Radiation, Rn Rn Ri (1 a ) Re Ri Incoming Radiation Re Ro =aRi Reflected radiation a albedo (0 – 1) Rn Net Radiation Average value of Rn over the earth and over the year is 105 W/m2 Net Radiation, Rn Rn H LE G H – Sensible Heat LE – Evaporation G – Ground Heat Flux Rn Net Radiation Average value of Rn over the earth and over the year is 105 W/m2 Energy Balance of Earth 6 70 20 100 6 26 4 38 15 19 21 51 Sensible heat flux 7 Latent heat flux 23 http://www.uwsp.edu/geo/faculty/ritter/geog101/textbook/energy/radiation_balance.html Energy Balance in the San Marcos Basin from the NARR (July 2003) Note the very large amount of longwave radiation exchanged between land and atmosphere Average fluxes over the day 600 495 200 61 72 112 3 -400 310 bl e ns i Se La te nt un d G ro ng _L o U D _L o ng t or _S h U _S h -200 or t 0 D Flux (W/m2) 400 415 -600 Net Shortwave = 310 – 72 = 238; Net Longwave = 415 – 495 = - 80 Increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere (from about 300 ppm in preindustrial times) We are burning fossil carbon (oil, coal) at 100,000 times the rate it was laid down in geologic time Absorption of energy by CO2 Heating of earth surface • Heating of earth surface is uneven – Solar radiation strikes perpendicularly near the equator (270 W/m2) – Solar radiation strikes at an oblique angle near the poles (90 Amount of energy transferred from W/m2) equator to the poles is approximately • Emitted radiation is 4 x 109 MW more uniform than incoming radiation Hadley circulation Atmosphere (and oceans) serve to transmit heat energy from the equator to the poles Warm air rises, cool air descends creating two huge convective cells. Atmospheric circulation Circulation cells Polar Cell Ferrel Cell 1. Hadley cell 2. Ferrel Cell 3. Polar cell Winds 1. Tropical Easterlies/Trades 2. Westerlies 3. Polar easterlies Latitudes 1. Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ)/Doldrums 2. Horse latitudes 3. Subpolar low 4. Polar high Shifting in Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) Owing to the tilt of the Earth's axis in orbit, the ITCZ shifts north and south. Southward shift in January Creates wet Summers (Monsoons) and dry winters, especially in India and SE Asia Northward shift in July Structure of atmosphere Atmospheric water • Atmospheric water exists – Mostly as gas or water vapor – Liquid in rainfall and water droplets in clouds – Solid in snowfall and in hail storms • Accounts for less than 1/100,000 part of total water, but plays a major role in the hydrologic cycle Water vapor Suppose we have an elementary volume of atmosphere dV and we want quantify how much water vapor it contains Water vapor density Air density mv v dV ma a dV dV ma = mass of moist air mv = mass of water vapor Atmospheric gases: Nitrogen – 78.1% Oxygen – 20.9% Other gases ~ 1% http://www.bambooweb.com/articles/e/a/Earth's_atmosphere.html Specific Humidity, qv • Specific humidity measures the mass of water vapor per unit mass of moist air • It is dimensionless v qv a Vapor pressure, e • Vapor pressure, e, is the pressure that water vapor exerts on a surface • Air pressure, p, is the total pressure that air makes on a surface • Ideal gas law relates pressure to absolute temperature T, Rv is the gas constant for water vapor • 0.622 is ratio of mol. wt. of water vapor to avg mol. wt. of dry air (=18/28.9) e v RvT e qv 0.622 p Saturation vapor pressure, es Saturation vapor pressure occurs when air is holding all the water vapor that it can at a given air temperature 17.27T es 611 exp 237.3 T Vapor pressure is measured in Pascals (Pa), where 1 Pa = 1 N/m2 1 kPa = 1000 Pa Relative humidity, Rh es e e Rh es Relative humidity measures the percent of the saturation water content of the air that it currently holds (0 – 100%) Dewpoint Temperature, Td e Td T Dewpoint temperature is the air temperature at which the air would be saturated with its current vapor content Water vapor in an air column • We have three equations describing column: 2 – Hydrostatic air pressure, dp/dz = -ag – Lapse rate of temperature, dT/dz = - a – Ideal gas law, p = aRaT • Combine them and integrate over column to get pressure variation elevation Column Element, dz 1 T2 p2 p1 T1 g / aRa Precipitable Water • In an element dz, the mass of water vapor is dmp • Integrate over the whole atmospheric column to get precipitable water,mp • mp/A gives precipitable water per unit area in kg/m2 2 Column Element, dz 1 Area = A dm p qv a Adz Precipitable Water http://geography.uoregon.edu/envchange/clim_animations/flash/pwat.html Frontal rainfall in the winter Thunderstorm rainfall in the summer 25 mm precipitable water divides frontal from thunderstorm rainfall Precipitation • Precipitation: water falling from the atmosphere to the earth. – Rainfall – Snowfall – Hail, sleet • Requires lifting of air mass so that it cools and condenses. Mechanisms for air lifting 1. Frontal lifting 2. Orographic lifting 3. Convective lifting Frontal Lifting • Boundary between air masses with different properties is called a front • Cold front occurs when cold air advances towards warm air • Warm front occurs when warm air overrides cold air Cold front (produces cumulus cloud) Cold front (produces stratus cloud) Orographic lifting Orographic uplift occurs when air is forced to rise because of the physical presence of elevated land. Convective lifting Convective precipitation occurs when the air near the ground is heated by the earth’s warm surface. This warm air rises, cools and creates precipitation. Hot earth surface Condensation • Condensation is the change of water vapor into a liquid. For condensation to occur, the air must be at or near saturation in the presence of condensation nuclei. • Condensation nuclei are small particles or aerosol upon which water vapor attaches to initiate condensation. Dust particulates, sea salt, sulfur and nitrogen oxide aerosols serve as common condensation nuclei. • Size of aerosols range from 10-3 to 10 mm. Precipitation formation • Lifting cools air masses so moisture condenses • Condensation nuclei – Aerosols – water molecules attach • Rising & growing – 0.5 cm/s sufficient to carry 10 mm droplet – Critical size (~0.1 mm) – Gravity overcomes and drop falls Forces acting on rain drop • Three forces acting on rain drop – Gravity force due to weight – Buoyancy force due to displacement of air – Drag force due to friction with surrounding air Fg w g 6 D3 Fb a g 2 V2 2 V Fd Cd a A Cd a D 2 4 2 6 D3 D Fb Fd Fd Fg Volume Area 4 6 D3 D2 Terminal Velocity • Terminal velocity: velocity at which the forces acting on the raindrop are in equilibrium. • If released from rest, the raindrop will accelerate until it reaches its terminal velocity Fvert 0 FB FD W D 2 3 2V a g D Cd a D w g D3 6 4 2 6 FD FB W 2 Vt2 Cd a D a g D3 w g D3 4 2 6 6 Vt 4 gD w 1 3Cd a Fb Fd At standard atmospheric pressure (101.3 kpa) and temperature (20oC), w = 998 kg/m3 and a = 1.20 kg/m3 Fd Fg V • Raindrops are spherical up to a diameter of 1 mm • For tiny drops up to 0.1 mm diameter, the drag force is specified by Stokes law Cd 24 Re VD Re a ma Rainfall patterns in the US Global precipitation pattern Spatial Representation • Isohyet – contour of constant rainfall • Isohyetal maps are prepared by interpolating rainfall data at gaged points. Austin, May 1981 Wellsboro, PA 1889 Texas Rainfall Maps Temporal Representation • Rainfall hyetograph – plot of rainfall depth or intensity as a function of time • Cumulative rainfall hyetograph or rainfall mass curve – plot of summation of rainfall increments as a function of time • Rainfall intensity – depth of rainfall per unit time Rainfall Depth and Intensity Time (min) Rainfall (in) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 Max. Depth Max. Intensity 0.02 0.34 0.1 0.04 0.19 0.48 0.5 0.5 0.51 0.16 0.31 0.66 0.36 0.39 0.36 0.54 0.76 0.51 0.44 0.25 0.25 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.76 9.12364946 Cumulative Rainfall (in) 0 0.02 0.36 0.46 0.5 0.69 1.17 1.67 2.17 2.68 2.84 3.15 3.81 4.17 4.56 4.92 5.46 6.22 6.73 7.17 7.42 7.67 7.89 8.04 8.13 8.22 8.34 8.37 8.38 8.4 8.41 Running Totals 30 min 1h 2h 1.17 1.65 1.81 2.22 2.34 2.46 2.64 2.5 2.39 2.24 2.62 3.07 2.92 3 2.86 2.75 2.43 1.82 1.4 1.05 0.92 0.7 0.49 0.36 0.28 3.07 6.14 3.81 4.15 4.2 4.46 4.96 5.53 5.56 5.5 5.25 4.99 5.05 4.89 4.32 4.05 3.78 3.45 2.92 2.18 1.68 5.56 5.56 8.13 8.2 7.98 7.91 7.88 7.71 7.24 8.2 4.1 Incremental Rainfall 0.8 Incremental Rainfall (in per 5 min) 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 Time (min) Rainfall Hyetograph Cumulative Rainfall 10 9 Cumulative Rainfall (in.) 8 7 6 5 3.07 in 4 8.2 in 30 min 3 5.56 in 2 1 hr 1 2 hr 0 0 30 60 90 Time (min.) Rainfall Mass Curve 120 150 Arithmetic Mean Method • Simplest method for determining areal average P1 = 10 mm P1 P2 = 20 mm P3 = 30 mm 1 P N P N P i 1 P2 i 10 20 30 20 mm 3 P3 • Gages must be uniformly distributed • Gage measurements should not vary greatly about the mean Thiessen polygon method • • • Any point in the watershed receives the same amount of rainfall as that at the nearest gage Rainfall recorded at a gage can be applied to any point at a distance halfway to the next station in any direction Steps in Thiessen polygon method 1. Draw lines joining adjacent gages 2. Draw perpendicular bisectors to the lines created in step 1 3. Extend the lines created in step 2 in both directions to form representative areas for gages 4. Compute representative area for each gage 5. Compute the areal average using the following formula N P 1 Ai Pi A i 1 P 12 10 15 20 20 30 20.7 mm 47 P1 A1 P2 A2 P3 A3 P1 = 10 mm, A1 = 12 Km2 P2 = 20 mm, A2 = 15 Km2 P3 = 30 mm, A3 = 20 km2 Isohyetal method • Steps – Construct isohyets (rainfall contours) – Compute area between each pair of adjacent isohyets (Ai) – Compute average precipitation for each pair of adjacent isohyets (pi) – Compute areal average using the following formula 1M N PP P Ai pA i i i A i 1 i 1 P 5 5 18 15 12 25 12 35 21.6 mm 47 10 20 P1 A1=5 , p1 = 5 A2=18 , p2 = 15 P2 A3=12 , p3 = 25 30 P3 A4=12 , p3 = 35 Inverse distance weighting • Prediction at a point is more influenced by nearby measurements than that by distant measurements • The prediction at an ungaged point is inversely proportional to the distance to the measurement points • Steps P1=10 P2= 20 d2=15 – Compute distance (di) from ungaged point to all measurement points. d12 d1=25 P3=30 p d3=10 x1 x2 2 y1 y2 2 N i 1 di P i2 10 20 30 – Compute the precipitation at the d ungaged point using the following Pˆ i 1 i Pˆ 25 2 152 10 2 25.24 mm N 1 1 1 1 formula 2 2 2 2 25 15 10 Rainfall interpolation in GIS • Data are generally available as points with precipitation stored in attribute table. Rainfall maps in GIS Nearest Neighbor “Thiessen” Polygon Interpolation Spline Interpolation NEXRAD • NEXt generation RADar: is a doppler radar used for obtaining weather information • A signal is emitted from the radar which returns after striking a rainfall drop • Returned signals from the radar are analyzed to compute the rainfall intensity and integrated over time to get the precipitation NEXRAD Tower Working of NEXRAD NEXRAD WSR-88D Radars in Central Texas (Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler) scanning range = 230 km NEXRAD Products: Stage I: Just Radar Stage II: gages, satellite, and surface temperature Stage III: Continuous mosaic from radar overlaps EWX – NEXRAD Radar in New Braunfels Source: PBS&J, 2003 NEXRAD data • NOAA’s Weather and Climate Toolkit (JAVA viewer) – http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/wct/ • West Gulf River Forecast Center – http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/ • National Weather Service Precipitation Analysis – http://www.srh.noaa.gov/rfcshare/precip_analysis_new.php