CRN: 12509 ECON 2113–004 Business Statistics I – Section 4 WEBA Spring 2012 Available: January 17 – May 08, 2012 Web Assisted Professor: Dr. Gauri-Shankar Guha Office: 107 B Business Building Phone: (870) 680 8465; Fax: (870) 972 3088 Email: gguha@astate.edu Website: http://myweb.astate.edu/gguha Office hours: Tue/Wed/Thu 11:00am – 12:00noon Also by appointment via email. COURSE DESCRIPTION This course trains students in conventional statistical methods used to analyze business and economic datasets and equips them with decision support skills. The coverage of topics include averages, dispersions, probability, sampling, statistical inference, estimation, test of hypotheses, correlation and linear regression. Prerequisite: MATH 1023 and CIT 1503 (or equivalent computer proficiency). LEARNING GOALS Upon successful completion of the course, students will demonstrate the skills and ability to carry out the following tasks: Learning Goals of ECON 2113 – Business Statistics Collect and organize datasets and be able to calculate both graphical and numerical univariate descriptive statistics like frequency tables, histograms, graphs, charts, mean, variance, standard deviation, etc. Calculate bivariate descriptive statistics, like contingency tables; covariance & correlation analysis Calculate general probability; and be able to use discrete & continuous probability distributions and sampling distributions. Derive inferential statistics like point estimates of means and proportions, and create confidence interval estimates. Carry out tests of hypotheses about population means and proportions Build Linear / Multiple Regression Models using MS-Excel, and interpret the results Assessment Objective(s) Technology Critical Thinking Business Knowledge Technology Critical Thinking Critical Thinking Critical Thinking Technology Critical Thinking Business Knowledge Technology Critical Thinking Business Knowledge Dr. Gauri S Guha Department of Economics & Finance College of Business ECON 2113 Business Statistics Web Assisted Course Spring 2012 Syllabus EXPECTATIONS The best way to earn a good grade is to regularly review and keep up with the material. Some students benefit from study-groups since discussions with peers can shed new light on the material. Others may use tutoring (face-to-face or online) to master the material. Please do whatever it takes to remain updated. If you still have difficulties, please visit my office with evidence that you have attempted to work through the material. Learning some of the material will require MS-Excel. Please brush up your MS-Excel skills that you learnt in CIT 1503. You may also consider a tutorial like the following: GCF LearnFree.org: http://www.gcflearnfree.org/excel2010 Baycon Group: http://www.baycongroup.com/el0.htm This course will be taught using ASU’s Blackboard Learn (http://bblearn.astate.edu/) platform where announcements, course materials and assignments and grades will be posted. My lecture videos will physically reside in (old) Blackboard 8 since Tegrity (the video system) is linked to the old Blackboard. But, that is not a concern for students, since I will post the video links under a tab called LECTURES in Blackboard Learn. Mid Term and Final Exams will be given on Blackboard Learn, but will be proctored in the 2nd floor computer lab of the College of Business. Quizzes are not proctored and can be taken at any location convenient to the student. Assignments must be submitted only in the digital dropbox in Blackboard. Assignments will NOT be accepted in any other form. As a registered ASU Student you will have automatic access to Blackboard Learn. Please login to your Blackboard Learn account ASAP and take the tutorial on how to use it.. TEXTBOOK Basic Statistics for Business and Economics, 7th Edition Douglas A. Lind, Coastal Carolina University William G Marchal, University of Toledo Samuel A. Wathen, Coastal Carolina University Publisher: McGraw Hill (2011) ISBN-13: 97 8007 7384 470 Web: http://highered.mcgraw-hill.com/sites/0073401781/student_view0/index.html 2 Dr. Gauri S Guha Department of Economics & Finance College of Business ECON 2113 Business Statistics Web Assisted Course Spring 2012 Syllabus EVALUATION Number Grading Component Mid Term Exams (Proctored) Assignments Quizzes Final Exam (Proctored) Total 3 2 10 1 Percentage points each 15 10 2 15 Percentage of the semester grade 45 20 20 15 100 Letter grades will be assigned (on the final score) as follows: A> 90% B> 80% C> 70% D> 55% F< 55% MIDTERM EXAMS [Proctored]: The 3 midterm exams will have 30 multiple choice questions to be answered in 75 minutes, based on the most recent material covered since the last exam. Midterm Exams will be given on Blackboard; and they will be available in 2 time slots: 11am – 1pm and 4pm – 6pm, on the Thursdays as shown in the schedule. ASSIGNMENTS You will carry out 2 assignments using Excel; A1 is on descriptive statistics and A2 is on regression analysis, and submit in Blackboard. QUIZZES: A total of 10 quizzes will be given, and will feature 5 multiple choice questions on the current material. These are not proctored. All quizzes will be open for 12 hours (8am – 8pm) on the Friday of the week as shown in the schedule. FINAL EXAM [Proctored]: The Final Exam will be based on the most recent material, and given on Blackboard as per ASU’s Final Exam Schedule. The Final will be available on the indicated day for 2 hours (Date / Time TBD). MAKE-UP POLICY: Make-ups will NOT be given, since this is a web based class and all assignments are available online to accommodate student conveniences. ACADEMIC INTEGRITY: Observing basic honesty in one's work, words, ideas, and actions is a principle to which all members of the community must subscribe. So, I expect my students to abide by the honor system and I will not condone free-riders. I will use maximum penalties available under the ASU academic policies to punish cheating and plagiarism. In an examination setting, violations of academic integrity shall include any attempt to receive assistance from any person, or of any attempt to give assistance. Any reference materials used in the preparation of any assignment must be explicitly cited. Violations shall also consist of lying to the instructor or purposely misleading any ASU administrator shall also constitute a violation of academic integrity. Please refer to the Academic Integrity Policy of ASU available at the following website: http://studentconduct.astate.edu/AcademicIntegrity.html 3 Dr. Gauri S Guha Department of Economics & Finance College of Business ECON 2113 Business Statistics Web Assisted Course Spring 2012 Syllabus SCHEDULE FOR SPRING 2012 Week. Dates This week’s Assignment Chapter 1. Jan 17 – 20 Topics you should study this week Data Collection Techniques Review MS-Excel 2. Jan 23 – 27 Descriptive Statistics: Graphical Methods 2 QUIZ 1 Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures 3 4. Feb 06 – 10 Skewness, Contingency Tables 4 5. Feb 13 – 17 Covariance, Correlation Coefficient, Z-scores Experiments, Counting Rules, Simple Probability QUIZ 2 A1* QUIZ 3 EXAM 1 02/16 5 QUIZ 4 5 QUIZ 5 6 QUIZ 6 3. Jan 30 – Feb 03 6. Feb 20 – 24 7. Feb 27 – Mar 02 8. Mar 05 – 09 Joint and Conditional Probability, Rules of Probability Expected Value (Mean), Variance, Standard Deviation of Probability Distributions 1 9. Mar 12 – 16 Discrete Probability Distributions MARCH 19 – 24: SPRING BREAK 6 EXAM 2 03/15 10. Mar 26 – 30 Continuous Probability: Normal Distribution 7 QUIZ 7 11. Apr 02 – 06 8 QUIZ 8 12. Apr 09 – 13 Sampling Distribution Interval Estimation – Pop. & proportions Determining Sample Size 9 QUIZ 9 13. Apr 16 – 20 Hypothesis Testing: Null & Alternate Hypotheses 1-tail and 2-tail tests 10 14. Apr 23 – 27 Regression Analysis 13, 14 EXAM 3 04/19 QUIZ 10 A2* May 02 – 08 FINAL EXAM WEEK Date and Time TBD 10, 13, 14 FINAL Note: A1* = Assignment 1 is due: Friday, February 10, by 5pm in the digital dropbox. A2* = Assignment 2 is due: Friday, April 27, by 5pm in the digital dropbox. Midterm Exams will be given in 2 time slots: 11am – 1pm and 4pm – 6pm, on Thursdays Feb 16, Mar 15 and Apr 19. You will take the MidTerm Exams on Blackboard Learn, and they will be proctored in the Computer Lab in the 2nd floor of the College of Business. 4