Epidemiology of Airway DiseasesAsthma and COPD in India S. K. Jindal Department of Pulmonary Medicine Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research Chandigarh, India Prevalence of C.R.D. Global Estimates Ch Resp Dis •Asthma 2004 Prevalence (Million) 300 •COPD 2000 80 •Allergic rhinitis 2006 400 •Others 2006 > 50 •S.A.S. Year > 100 Bousquet et al, ERJ 2007 Global Burden of Asthma • Currently: Around 300 m. patients • Expected by 2025: 100 m. additional • Loss of DALYs: About 15 m./year (around 1% of all DALYs lost) • Mortality: Accounts for in every 250 deaths • Economic costs: Include direct treatment expenditure and indirect losses due to absenteeism, disability and health-care management. Global Initiatives in Epidemiology Asthma: COPD: ISAAC (International study on Asthma and Allergies in Children) ECRHS (European Community Respiratory Health Survey) BOLD (Burden of Obstructive Lung Disease) PLATINO (COPD Prevalence in five Latin American Cities) Global Adult Asthma Prevalence (%) Country Australia N.Zealand Belgium England Germany Spain France U.S. Italy Greece Switzerland Tristan da Cunha Current Ever Recent Wheeze AHR Atopy 25 4 - 12 10 7 12 3 4 4 7 4 3 7 56 28 30 17 22 14 25 9 16 - 36 27 4 16 14 10 18 18 10 16 47 56 44 28 35 34 35 42 26 25 24 47 Adult* Asthma in Asia China Hong Kong Japan Singapore South Korea Taiwan Thailand Range Prevalence Rate**(%) 0.67 – 1.39 3.9 – 8.0 3.6 0.9 – 9.0 10 – 12.1 2.4 – 6.0 2.91 – 10.1 0.67 – 12.1 * >15 year old ** Figures reported the collective range of period prevalence of asthma ranging from 3 months to 1 year rates depending on the variation in study methodology Choi et al APSAR 2004 All cause Ranking of Burden of COPD Global Burden of Disease Study 1990 • Cause of death 6th • DALYs Worldwide 12th Developed regions Developing regions Murray & Lopez, Lancet 1997 2020 3rd 5th 9th 4th Prevalence studies on asthma from India Study Population Region Group No. 1. Viswanathan (1966) Age (yrs) Definition / Methodology Prevalence (%) North (P) Urban 15805 All ages Symptoms on interview 1.8 Multicentric Schools 37171 31697 13-14 6-7 Self reported, (ISAAC) 3.7 4.5 North (L) Schools 3000 13-14 6-7 do 3.3 2.3 4. Mistry (2004) 5. Chakravarthy (2002) North ( C) South (TN) Schools Field 575 855 13-14 < 12 Q. wheezing Q.Diagnosed asthma 12.5 5 6. Chhabra (1998) 7. Paramesh (2002) 8. Gupta (2001) North (D) South (B) North (C ) Schools Schools Schools 2609 6550 9090 4-17 6-15 9-20 Q; Current 11.6 16.6 2.3 Adults 9. Chowgule (1998) 10. Jindal (2000) West (M) North (C ) Field Field 2313 2016 20-44 18 - > 70 ECRHS Q Validated Q 3.5 2.8 11. Aggarwal (2006) Multicentric Field 73605 > 15 Validated Q 2.4 Children 2. Shah (2000) 3. Awasthi (2004) IUATLD based validated Q B = Bangalore; C = Chandigarh; D = Delhi; IUATLD = International Union Against Tuberculosis & Lung Disease; ISAAC = International Study on Allergies and Asthma in Children; L = Lucknow; M = Mumbai; P = Patna; Q = Questionnaire; ECRHS = European Community Respiratory Health Survey; TN = Tamil Nadu A summary of important field studies from India on prevalence of CB/COPD published in last 30 years Authors Population group Age (Yrs) Subject No. M F Method of diagnosis Prevalence M F 1 Joshi et al (1975) Punjab (Ind) 17-64 427 0 Questionnaire 12.5 - 2 Bhattacharya et al (1975) U.P.(R) 30-70+ 629 511 Questionnaire 6.7 4.5 3 Thiruvengadam et al (1977) Madras city (U) 5-60+ 408 409 Interview 1.9 1.2 4 Vishwanathan & Singh (1977) Delhi (U) 5-94 552 441 Questionnaire 8.0 4.3 5 Radha et al (1977) New Delhi (U) 3-60+ 1087 1011 Questionnaire & PEF 8.1 4.6 6 Nigam et al (1982) U.P. (R) 20-70+ 775 649 Interview 9.0 4.5 7 Malik SK (1986) Chandigarh (U) 15-65+ 2121 2251 Questionnaire & PEF 5.5 2.9 8 Jindal SK (1993) Punjab (U) 15-70+ 1475 1329 Questionnaire & PEF 5.0 2.7 9 Ray et al (1995) Tamil Nadu (R ) 30+ 4857 5089 Questionnaire 4.1 2.5 10 Jindal et al (2006) Multicentric* >=35 18217 17078 Validated questionnaire 5.0 3.2 PEF = Peak Expiratory Flow; U = Urban; R = Rural; * Bangalore, Chandigarh, Delhi, Kanpur Variations in prevalence Depend upon differences in: • • • • • • • • Definition of disease used in the study Study designs Sampling methods Use of study-instruments Collection, recording and analysis of data Interpretation of results Extraneous factors: Expertise & errors True differences: Ethnic, geographical, seasonal, environmental etc. 2012 Chandigarh Shimla Bikaner Delhi Kanpur Guwahati Ahmedabad Nagpur Mumbai Kolkata Berhampur Secunderabad Bangalore Mysore Trivandrum Chennai INSEARCH Study Population (Phase II) Centre Ahmedabad Berhampur Bikaner Chennai Guwahati Kolkata Mumbai Mysore Nagpur Secunderabad Shimla Trivandrum Total Rural Male Female 6068 5945 6138 6039 5475 4755 3472 5436 5374 4823 4515 4244 3682 3843 4778 4347 5209 4865 0 0 5725 5083 4447 4548 54883 53928 Urban Male Female 3074 3000 1434 1414 2690 2431 2320 3773 2573 2232 1828 1941 3416 3001 2960 2932 2555 2450 2339 2207 2138 2057 2895 3104 30222 30542 Total 18087 15025 15351 15001 15002 12528 13942 15017 15079 4546 15003 14994 169575 INSEARCH Sampling & Methodology Two stage stratified sampling system – First stage – Village/Urban area (30 clusters per centre) – Second stage – Houses (100 Houses per cluster) • All residents of the selected houses aged ≥15 years were interviewed. • Two additional attempts were made to contact an individual in case of non availability at the first visit. • A Sample size of 12421 subjects was calculated to be required to give a 95% C.I of ±0.3% for a prevalence of 3 %. Questionnaire Administration The Questionnaire was administered by the field staff who were trained for the same. • Internal Quality assurance : 10% of the households visited by the study site supervisor randomly. • External Quality assurance : Periodic monitoring visits by the officers from the controlling centre ( Chandigarh) Questionnaire & Definitions • Bronchial Symptom Questionnaire (1984) developed by International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (IUALTD). Symptoms in the preceding 12 months were considered • Asthma definition Any 1 of: (a) whistling sound from the chest or (b) Early morning chest tightness. AND Any 1 of: (a) attack of asthma . (b) physician diagnosis of asthma in the past or (c) Use of bronchodilators • Chronic Bronchitis Definition Cough with expectoration for ≥ 3 mths for 2 consecutive years. • Objective measurements such as spirometry and bronchial hyper reactivity were not measured. • Diagnosis based only on questionnaire. Statistical analyses 1. Questionnaire pre-testing • Test-retest method • Split-half method 2. Group comparisons • Chi-square test (categorical variables) • Student’s t-test (scalar variable) • Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses for Odds Ratios (OR) and 95% Confidence Intervals 3. National burden estimates – based on agestandardized prevalence estimates based on Census 2011. Results: I. Sample • 1,69,575 individuals surveyed Urban - 60,764 Men – 85,105 Rural - 1,08,811 Women – 84,470 • % of surveyed individuals to the total eligible individuals in the households. Urban – 98.6% Rural – 97.6% II. National Prevalence (Adults) Asthma - 2.04% Chronic bronchitis (CB) - 3.58% Smoking Men - 18.5% Women - 0.5% Any respiratory Symptom - 8.5% • Total patient estimates (as per 2011 census): Asthma : 17.23 million (>15 years) CB : 14.84 million (>35 years) Asthma Prevalence in India (INSEARCH) Urban 6% 4% 2% Ahmedabad Berhampur Bikaner Chennai Guwahati Kolkata Mumbai Mysore Nagpur Secunderabad Shimla Trivandrum Rural 0 2% 4% Asthma prevalence (questionnaire definition) 6% Men Women Chronic Bronchitis (INSEARCH) Urban Rural Ahmedabad Berhampur Bikaner Chennai Guwahati Kolkata Mumbai Mysore Nagpur Secunderabad Shimla Trivandrum 15% 10% 5% 0 5% 10% 15% Cough and phlegm for last three years (age >40 years) Men Women Risk factors - Asthma Risk Factors - CB Smoking, ETS & Asthma (Insearch) Multiple Logistic Regression 1.084 (0.911-1.290) Men Women 7.324 (6.713-7.992) No relative with asthma Relative with asthma 1.720 2.834 1.599 4.801 Nonsmoker Cigarette smoker Bidi smoker Hookah smoker Other smoker (1.453-2.037) (2.532-3.173) (1.191-2.145) (3.628-6.353) No exposure to ETS Exposure to ETS 1.146 (1.053-1.248) 0.1 1 10 Adjusted odds ratio ETS Exposure in Asthma • • • • • • • ED visits Hospitalisation Ac. episodes Parenteral BD Work absence (wks) Steroid use (wks) BD use (wks) No 0.6 0.33 0.6 6.0 3.0 8.6 36.3 Yes 0.82* 0.34 1.32* 8.6* 3.6* 11.3* 38.3 *p < 0.01 (Jindal et al, Chest 1994) Environmental tobacco smoke exposure and asthma 1. Aggravation and occurrence of increased prevalence of respiratory symptoms 2. Bronchial hyper-responsiveness in adults 3. Aggravation of asthma symptoms 4. Precipitation of acute episodes 5. Risk factor for development of asthma (both children and adults) Active smoking in asthma in adults 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Increased bronchial responsiveness Frequent bronchial irritation symptoms Increased sensitization to occupational agents Aggravation of acute episodes Association with asthma severity Risk factor for asthma ? Exaggerated decline in lung functions Role in development of fixed airway obstruction and COPD ? Exposure to Solid-Fuel Combustion & Asthma (Insearch) Multiple Logistic Regression 1.096 (0.437-2.749) 1.232 (1.020-1.489) 1.410 (0.993-2.002) 2.441 (1.395-4.270) 1.275 (1.062-1.531) 1.678 (1.256-2.242) 1.274 (0.148-10.93) 0.000 (0.000-9999.) Not regularly cooking Cooking with electricity Cooking with LPG Cooking with kerosene Cooking with coal Cooking with wood Cooking with dung cake Cooking with crop residue Cooking with other fuel 1.256 (1.154-1.367) 1.124 (0.940-1.343) Middle social status Low social status High social status 0.1 1 10 Adjusted odds ratio Aspergillin hypersensitivity and/or ABPA in Bronchial Asthma (Prospective studies) Study Hypersensitivity ABPA (n/N) 1. Eaton (2000) 47/255 9/35 2. Kumar (2000) 47/200 32/200 3. Maurya (2005 30/105 8/105 4. Agarwal (2007) 291/755 155/755 5. Prasad (2008) 74/244 18/244 6. Agarwal (2010) 87/242 54/242 Agarwal R, ABPA(Text Book PCCM, 2011) Aspergillus hypersensitivity in asthma Agarwal et al. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2009; 13: 936–944 ABPA in asthma Agarwal et al. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2009; 13: 936–944 Economic burden of asthma (Rs in crores) Year 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 Chronic 960.05 1543.74 2294.73 3197.60 4180.35 Acute 167.07 267.63 388.84 528.84 672.52 Total 1127.12 1811.37 2683.57 3726.44 4852.86 Murthy & Sastry NCMH Background Papers Economic Burden of Asthma Murthy & Sastry. NCMH Background Papers Health costs on Smoking and COPD 1. Annual cost of management of COPD per patient* Expenditure on smoking Direct costs: Patient work absence Indirect losses Rs. 1340 Rs. 2259 Rs. 410 Rs.11454 *Comprised ~ 1/3 of average income of patient ICMR Report, Jindal et al 1993-98) 2. Families with one (or more) smoker members had significantly higher health related expenditure, work and school absenteeism and number of illnesses Jindal et al, NMJI 2005 Conclusions • The total population prevalence estimate of asthma and CB in adults account for over 32 million patients for the projected 2011 population of around 415 million. Cumulative prevalence increases with age. • Smoking, Environmental Tobacco Smoke and Biomass combustion exposures are important & preventable risk factors for asthma as well as CB. • Allergic Bronchopulmonary Aspergillosis is a common problem seen in asthma. • There is an enormous economic burden from both disorders. Guideline-directed management is significantly cheaper and cost-effective. Symptom-based diagnosis - Limitations 1. Lack of objective measurements like Spirometry 2. No specific terms for asthma (vs COPD/ CB) in Indian vernacular languages 3. GPs do not often differentiate between asthma and COPD 4. Inhalers and bronchodilators are commonly used/ abused for nonspecific cough/ breathlessness 5. The term “asthma” is interpreted differently in crosscultural comparisons (Sunyer et al, AJRCCM 2000) 5. Confounding (bronchiectasis, CB, TB)