RACIAL-ETHNIC INEQUALITY IN CHILD WELL-BEING FROM 1985-2004 by DONALD J. HERNANDEZ and SUZANNE E. MACARTNEY Department of Sociology and Center for Social & Demographic Analysis University at Albany, SUNY, Email: DonH@albany.edu, Phone: (518) 442-4668 presentation at the NEW AMERICA FOUNDATION Washington, D.C., January 29, 2008 Acknowledgements: This research was conducted with funding from the Foundation for Child Development. The authors also are grateful to Kenneth C. Land, Vicki Lamb, Sara Kahler Mustillo, and Callie Rennison. The authors bear sole responsibility for the content and views expressed here. Slide 2. Percent of U.S. Children Ages 0-17 in Specified Race/Ethnic Groups, 1980-2100 American Indian (2000-2050 with NHOPI, Other) Asian/NHOPI (2000-2050 Asian alone, 2060-2100 includes American Indian) Black, Non-Hispanic Hispanic origin White, Non-Hispanic 100.0 75.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 Projections for 2000-2050 were released by the Census Bureau March 18, 2004. These projections take into account the much larger Hispanic population identified in Census 2000. Projections and estimates for other years are from an earlier series released by the Census Bureau January 13, 2000, and were based on the count of Hispanics in Census 1990. FCD Child Well-Being Index (CWI) Seven Domains of Well-Being ● Safety/Behavioral Concerns ● Family Economic Well-Being ● Health ● Community Connectedness ● Educational Attainment ● Social Relationships ● Emotional/Spiritual Well-Being – OVERVIEW – The Changing Gaps Separating Whites from Blacks and Hispanics ● Changes in Overall Gaps ● Changes in Domain Gaps ● Accounting for Convergence ● Additional Black/Hispanic Advantages ● Education and Voting ● Eliminating the Overall Gaps ● Looking Beyond Convergence Slide 5. Overall CWI 120 Average of 7 Domains Index value White 110 Hispanic 100 Black 90 80 70 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 19 88 19 87 19 86 19 85 19 "Measuring Social Disparities" (2008) by Donald J. Hernandez and Suzanne Macartney; University at Albany, SUNY. Slide 6. Drug Use Indicator Percent using illicit drug 32 Percent with illicit drug use in grade 12 29 26 White 23 20 Hispanic 17 Black 14 11 8 5 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 19 88 19 87 19 86 19 85 19 "Measuring Social Disparities" (2008) by Donald J. Hernandez and Suzanne Macartney; University at Albany, SUNY. violent offenders per 1,000 population 12-17 Slide 7. Violent Crime Indicator 70 Violent crimes, juvenile offenders 60 50 40 30 20 Black White Hispanic 10 0 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 "Measuring Social Disparities" (2008) by Donald J. Hernandez and Suzanne Macartney; University at Albany, SUNY. Slide 8. Crime Victimization Indicator victimizations per 1,000 population 12-17 70 Juvenile victimization rate 60 50 40 30 Black 20 White 10 Hispanic 0 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 "Measuring Social Disparities" (2008) by Donald J. Hernandez and Suzanne Macartney; University at Albany, SUNY. 20 04 Slide 9. Poverty Indicator 40 Percent in poverty among families with children under 18 Percent living in poverty 35 30 25 Black 20 Hispanic 15 White 10 5 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 19 88 19 87 19 86 19 85 19 "Measuring Social Disparities" (2008) by Donald J. Hernandez and Suzanne Macartney; University at Albany, SUNY. Percent with secure parental employment Slide 10. Secure Parental Employment Indicator 90 Percent with a parent employed full-time, year-round 85 White 80 75 Hispanic 70 65 Black 60 55 50 45 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 19 88 19 87 19 86 19 85 19 "Measuring Social Disparities" (2008) by Donald J. Hernandez and Suzanne Macartney; University at Albany, SUNY. Slide 11. Suicide Indicator Rate per 100,000 population, 15-19 14 Suicide Rate, Ages 15-19 12 10 White 8 Hispanic 6 Black 4 2 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 19 88 19 87 19 86 19 85 19 "Measuring Social Disparities" (2008) by Donald J. Hernandez and Suzanne Macartney; University at Albany, SUNY. Slide 12. Prekindergarten Indicator Percent enrolled, ages 3-4 65 Percent Enrolled in Prekindergarten, Ages 3-4 55 Black White 45 Hispanic 35 25 15 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 "Measuring Social Disparities" (2008) by Donald J. Hernandez and Suzanne Macartney; University at Albany, SUNY. Slide 13. College Graduation Indicator Percent with BA degree, ages 25-29 36 Percent with a Bachelor’s Degree, Ages 25-29 White 30 24 18 Black 12 Hispanic 6 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 19 88 19 87 19 86 19 85 19 "Measuring Social Disparities" (2008) by Donald J. Hernandez and Suzanne Macartney; University at Albany, SUNY. Closing the Gaps: How long might it take? Black-White gap ● 18 years, based on 1993-2004 trends ● 54 years, based on 1985-2004 trends Hispanic-White gap ● 14 years, based on 1994-2004 trends ● 43 years, based on 1985-2004 trends Beyond Race-Ethnic Gaps: Goals for all America’s children The overall CWI score would be… ● 115 … if … Blacks and Hispanics closed the gap with Whites ● 129 … if … the U.S. achieved its best historical value for each indicator ● 144 … if … the U.S. achieved the best international value for each indicator RACIAL-ETHNIC INEQUALITY IN CHILD WELL-BEING FROM 1985-2004 by DONALD J. HERNANDEZ and SUZANNE E. MACARTNEY Department of Sociology and Center for Social & Demographic Analysis University at Albany, SUNY, Email: DonH@albany.edu, Phone: (518) 442-4668 presentation at the NEW AMERICA FOUNDATION Washington, D.C., January 29, 2008 Acknowledgements: This research was conducted with funding from the Foundation for Child Development. The authors also are grateful to Kenneth C. Land, Vicki Lamb, Sara Kahler Mustillo, and Callie Rennison. The authors bear sole responsibility for the content and views expressed here.