Mexican Automotive Industry Eduardo J. Solís Executive President Mexican Automotive Industry Association Mexican Automotive Industry • Contributes with 3.5% of total GDP and 19.8% of manufacturing industry GDP. • Impacts more than 23 industrial sectors. • Employs13.4% of total industrial labor (2010). Automotive GDP in Mexico Light Vehicles Assembly Plants in Mexico New plants announced: Source: AMIA. Research Centers and Auto Test Tracks in Mexico Source: Unidad de Inteligencia de Negocios – PROMEXICO. Investment • Mexico's automobile and auto parts manufacturers represented 20.8% of total foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2012. • Automobile and auto parts industries investment for 2006-2012 period added 13.283 billion dollars, an 8.8% share of total FDI received in Mexico during that period. Automotive Foreign Direct Investment (million dollars) Production and Exports • Mexico is ranked as the 8th vehicle manufacturer and the 4th exporter in the world. Light Vehicles Production Light Vehicles Exports 3,000,000 3,000,000 Jan-Jul 2013 Jan-Aug 2013 Jan-Aug 2014 2,500,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 500,000 500,000 0 0 Brazil Mexico Thailand Source: ANFAVEA, AMIA, FOURIN y ADEFA. Argentina Jan-Jul 2014 2,500,000 Japan Germany Korea Mexico Source: JAMA, VDA, KAMA, AMIA, ANFAVEA y ADEFA.. Brazil Argentina Mexican Automotive Industry Production and Exports • 2013: – Contributed with 3.5% of total world production. – More than 80% of total production goes to foreign markets. – Contributes with 22.5% of total value of Mexican industry sector exports. 2,128,634 domestic foreing 1,986,579 2,933,465 2,884,869 2,260,774 Light vehicle exports 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1,732,262 2,355,564 2007 1,580,724 2,143,884 2006 2,423,084 1,859,517 0 1,223,333 500,000 500,000 1,661,406 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,613,313 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,536,777 2,000,000 1,507,527 2,500,000 2,102,801 3,000,000 2,022,241 3,500,000 2,557,550 Light vehicle production 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: AMIA, with member’s data. 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Aug Jan-Aug 2013 2014 2013 jan-aug jan-aug 2013 2014 Production of vehicles and trucks Production Value * 66.1% 36.1% 33.9% 30.0% Imported • 66.1% content of vehicle produced in Mexico is supplied or added domestically. National Intermediate demand Gross value added Source: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales. Matriz de Insumo-Producto. Matriz simétrica a precios básicos, 2008. * Production Value = Intermediate demand + Gross value added Mexico IS the second major supplier of light vehicles for US market • 11.1% of US domestic market is supplied with Mexican vehicles (January-august 2014) • Mexico is second vehicle supplier only after Canada, (January-august 2014). Automotive Trade • The automotive trade is positive, in 2013 it was 38.77 billion dollars. 40,000 35,000 30,000 11% 25,000 20,000 15,000 5,000 5,333 5,315 8,216 9,436 8,499 9,308 10,554 10,970 10,906 9,088 9,802 8,844 9,089 13,330 14,411 15,346 13,202 23,760 28,917 32,244 38,774 20,782 23,094 10,000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 jan-jun 2013 jan-jun 2014 • The automotive trade was 4.5 times the oil products trade. 45,000 Million dollars • In 2013 automotive exports were 1.7 times crude oil exports and 3.3 times of remittances. Automotive Trade* Source: BANXICO. * Automotive includes: 8702 - Vehículos automóviles para el transporte => 10 personas; 8703 - Automóviles tipo turismo; 8704 - Vehículos para transporte de mercancías; 8706 - Chasises con motor; 8707 - Carrocerías; 8708 - Partes y accesorios de vehículos; y 8711 - Motocicletas. Remunerations Manufacture industry Remunerations in the automotive industry are more than double those of the manufacturing factor. 9,354 Auto parts manufacture 12,162 Automotive and trucks manufacture 21,582 - 5,000 10,000 15,000 Pesos per month 20,000 Source: INEGI. Censos económicos 2009. * Las remuneraciones consideran el promedio de todo el personal ocupado incluido en nómina, incluye sueldos salarios y prestaciones. 25,000 When the OEM’s decide for their location of new investments … Why Mexico? 5 major elements that are making Mexico attractive for major investments i. Geographic Location. ii. Zero tariffs in major markets - Network of trade agreements with major regions around the world -. iii. Strength of the automotive supply chain. iv. Young and eager to learn human resources (technicians and engineers). v. Economic Stability. …and very important: the Government is a major partner to help land investments! … and the opportunity in the supply of auto parts. Industry Location (T1 Suppliers) - Illustrative - Source: AMIA with INA’s data Supply Capacity Source: PROMEXICO. The Auto Parts Industry, Business Intelligence Unit. Supply Capacity Source: PROMEXICO. The Auto Parts Industry, Business Intelligence Unit. Autoparts imports in United State 2013 17,053 Mexico 2012 9,197 Canada 8,792 Japan 6,991 China 4,875 Germany 4,224 Korea 1,361 Taiwan Italy 668 India 654 France 378 3,126 Others 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Million dolars Source: Departamento de Comercio, Estados Unidos. It is consider, 8708: Parts and accessories for tractors, public-transport passenger vehicles, motor cars, goods transport motor vehicles and special purpose motor vehicles 18 Market value and investment opportunity in the supply chain in Mexico • 71% of total demand for processes is imported, therefore, there are huge investment opportunities for foreign companies. • Some of the most demanded processes are stamping, casting, forging and machining. PROMEXICO’s calculations. Data in billions of dollars. The opportunity described in the top ten supply processes for the automotive industry, which account for 85% of the opportunity identified by ProMéxico. Source: PROMEXICO. The Auto Parts Industry, Business Intelligence Unit. ene00-dic00 may00-abr01 sep00-ago01 ene01-dic01 may01-abr02 sep01-ago02 ene02-dic02 may02-abr03 sep02-ago03 ene03-dic03 may03-abr04 sep03-ago04 ene04-dic04 may04-abr05 sep04-ago05 ene05-dic05 may05-abr06 sep05-ago06 ene06-dic06 may06-abr07 sep06-ago07 ene07-dic07 may07-abr08 sep07-ago08 ene08-dic08 may08-abr09 sep08-ago09 ene09-dic09 may09-abr10 sep09-ago10 ene10 - dic10 may10-abr11 sep10-ago11 ene11-dic11 may11-abr12 sep11-ago12 ene12-dic12 may12-abr13 sep12-ago13 ene13-dic13 may13-abr14 sep13-ago14 Light vehicles Domestic yearly sales Annualized sales 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 Source: AMIA, with member’s data. Domestic market: similar countries Vehículos por cada mil habitantes Argentina Brasil México 25 23 20 18 15 10 10 9 9 8 5 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: ACARA, AMIA, ANFAVEA, ANPACT, World Bank, IBGE, INEGI and INDEC. Main Challenge: Domestic Market Main reasons explaining the gap between sales and market potential: • Indiscriminate Import of used vehicles from USA • Little financing to promote vehicles sales Imported used vehicles 1,600,000 Used vehicles imported * 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 Δ -16.2% 470,483 596,889 458,114 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 years Source: AMIA whit SAT data. * Consider used vehicle imported on the border, pick ups and general vehicles. 356,123 272,909 2006 424,718 1,031,048 2005 644,209 1,291,845 0 1,575,150 200,000 776,077 400,000 2013 jan-aug jan-aug 2013 2014 Challenges and opportunities ahead • Mexico will remain as an important world’s export base, manufacturing highly competitive vehicles. • Auto parts industry will keep its place as a major exporter. However, local supply chain still needs to be strengthen (tier 2 and tier 3). ¡THANK YOU! Eduardo J. Solís Sánchez President Mexican Automotive Industry Association (55) 5272-1144 esolis@amia.com.mx