Demystifying the Tourism Satellite Account Presented to the Sustainable Tourism Destination Planning and Development Laboratory Blackstone Valley, RI by Dr. D. C. Frechtling, Professor of Tourism Studies, School of Business, The George Washington University, May 22, 2008 1 Topics for Today Concepts of tourism’s economic impact Who cares? Alternative measurement methods The Tourism Satellite Account (TSA) where it came from, what it is, What it does, what it does not do Can there be regional TSAs? What about the Rhode Island “2006 Tourism Satellite Account”? Recommendations Q & A 2 Who Am I? 3 Native of Washington, DC Economist for U.S. Congress, U.S. Treasury Dept. Founded the U.S. Travel Data Center and first Tourism Economic Impact Model in 1970s President of a hotel marketing firm Full-time Faculty for the GWU Master of Tourism Administration degree since 1991 Consultant to the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) 1988-2000, on standard tourism economic impact terms and methods Member of UNWTO Committee on Economic Statistics and the TSA since 2002 Visitors, Spending and Impacts • “Visitor is a traveler taking trips outside his/her usual environment [for] less than one year for a main purpose other than being employed by a resident entity in the economy (or place) visited.” (IRTSrev5, ¶2.2) 4 • “Tourism expenditure refers to the amount paid for the acquisition of goods and services for and during their trips by visitors or by others for their benefit through a monetary transaction, for their own use or to give away.” (IRTSrev5, ¶4.2) • “Economic impact studies aim to measure economic benefits, that is the net increase in the wealth of residents resulting from tourism, measured in monetary terms, over and above the levels that would prevail in its absence.” (TSA-RMF2008, Annex 6) Visitor Spending is Not Enough! Internal Tourism Consumption – the most inclusive measure of the acquisitions by visitors in an economy, equal to tourism expenditure plus imputed consumption of vacation home accommodations, temporary exchange of dwellings for vacation purposes, net costs of hosts receiving visitors in their homes, subsidized transportation and lodging provided by employers, and government financing of certain non-market services for visitors such as education and recreation services. (TSA:RMF 2008 ¶¶2.25-26) 5 Who Cares About the Economic Consequences of Tourism? • Public Officials • Business owners and managers • Role in contributing to economic health of community Residents of host communities 6 Value of government funding of tourism promotion and development Value of partnerships with government and each other Extent of the network of tourism industries Employees of tourism establishments • Benefits to residents of investing in tourism promotion Benefits to residents of investing in visitor facilities Importance of salutary visitor policies Value of partnerships with business Annual economic contributions of tourism development Value of receiving visitors Raise support for government funding and salutary policies All Boils Down to . . . What are the [economic] benefits of tourism? Who receives these benefits (by industry)? How much do they receive? How are these changing? – 7 seasonally over business cycles in response to marketing mixes in response to events and shocks Alternative Estimation Methods 1. Tourism Direct Economic Impact Models (TEIM) – Travel Industry Association, Dean Runyan Associates 2. Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA) – UNWTO standards applied annually by about a dozen countries 3. Simulated Tourism Satellite Accounts – World Travel and Tourism Council, Global Insights 4. Input-Output Models (I-O) – U.S. Department of Commerce, some individual states 5. Computable General Equilibrium Models (CGE) – Australia, New Zealand, UK 8 TSA Genesis and Pedigree TSA authorized by 1993 System of National Accounts World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) led development with OECD, Eurostat, UN Statistical Commission and several national statistical offices TSA: Recommended Statistical Framework and supporting document, International Recommendations on Tourism Statistics, accepted by the United Nations in 2008 • 9 These documents are the internationally accepted authority on the TSA What the Tourism Satellite Account Is Tourism = “specific types of trips: those that take a traveler outside his/her usual environment for less than a year and for a main purpose other than to be employed by a resident entity in the place visited.” (TSA: RMF 2008, ¶2.2) Satellite = dependent on and subordinate to a larger entity, here the 1993 System of National Accounts 10 Account = a set of tables “which records, for a given aspect of economic life, the uses and resources or the changes in assets and the changes in liabilities and/or stock of assets and liabilities existing at a certain time” (SNA 1993 ¶2.85) TSA’s Primary Distinguishing Feature It is a national Account • • • Demand Supply Employment The others are Models, “simplified versions of something complex” (Encarta Dictionary) 11 • TEIM • Simulated TSAs • CGE TSA Produces 4 Macroeconomic Aggregates 1. Internal Tourism Expenditure (ITE) by residents and international visitors 2. Internal Tourism Consumption - ITE plus value of vacation homes to owners, residents hosting visitors, government subsidies of recreation services, etc. 3. Tourism Direct Gross Value Added - a measure of income generated 4. Tourism Gross Domestic Product comparable to overall GDP 12 Focus on 10 Tourism Characteristic Products/Industries Sold to Visitors Standard for all countries 1. Accommodation for visitors (including paid and imputed rent) 2. Food and beverage serving industry 3. Railway passenger transport 4. Road passenger transport 5. Water passenger transport 6. Air passenger transport 7. Transport equipment rental 8. Travel agencies & other reservation services 9. Cultural industry 10. Sports and recreation industry 13 Others can be added by a country TSA Structure is Tightly Defined 1. Seven interconnected accounts (tables) 2. One additional account for visitor spending abroad 3. Two additional accounts not yet fully elaborated: Tourism Gross Fixed Capital Formation and Tourism Collective Consumption (government support of tourism) 4. Table 10 Nonmonetary Indicators of Tourism - visitors, nights, establishments 14 Essential TSA Structure Tourism Supply Tourism Demand Table 1. Inbound tourism expenditure by products and classes of visitors Table 4. Internal tourism consumption by products Table 6. T otal domestic supply and internal consumption (at purchasers' prices) Table 5. Production accounts of tourism industries and other industries (at basic prices) Table 2. Domestic tourism expenditure by products, classes of vistors and types of trips Other components of tourism consumption: (a) Services of vacation accommodation on own account; (b) Tourism social transfers in kind; (c) Other imputed consumption Outputs 15 Internal Tourism Expenditure; Internal Tourism Consumption Table 7. Employment in the tourism industries Tourism Direct Gross Value Added (TDGVA); Tourism Direct Gross Domestic Product (TDGDP) Gross Value Added of the Tourism Industries (GVATI) Tourism Direct Employment) What the TSA Can Tell Us 16 Tourism’s contribution to the national economy • Gross Domestic Product • Employment Value added by the tourism industries compared to other industries • Additional value created by production • A measure of incomes: labor, profits, interest, dividends, rent • Can break out individual tourism industries Annual change in size and contribution Tourism’s economic contribution compared to other countries What the TSA Cannot Tell Us Return on Investment in plant and equipment Variations in business receipts or profits Government revenue generated by tourism Monthly or seasonal changes Variations over the business cycle Impact of special events and shocks Multiplier effects through indirect and induced spending 17 Regional TSAs UNWTO recognizes concept and its value But here is no conceptual framework comparable to 1993 System of National Accounts Two competing approaches possible Inter-regional (top-down)– derived from the national TSA, outputs consistent with national totals Strictly regional (bottom-up) – development from ground up with or without reference to the national TSA structure and definitions 18 Regional TSAs Other conceptual difficulties Not all variables can be represented at the regional level, e.g., international imports and exports Not all variables can be regionalized, e.g., inter-regional transport, national government activities Heavy data requirements, few resources But progress at hand: INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE MEASURING TOURISM ECONOMIC CONTRIBUTION AT SUBNATIONAL LEVELS, Malaga, Spain, 29-31 October 2008 http://www.iafet.com/inicio.asp?idioma=ing 19 20 Strictly Speaking, 2006 Tourism Satellite Account for Rhode Island is not a TSA UNWTO does not sanction regional TSAs yet TSA-RI does not follow UNWTO principles for a TSA – Accounting exercise, not modeling Elaborate seven interconnected tables Focus on tourism characteristic products and activities Present four main aggregates (now conflates tourism value added and Gross State Product) Limit to direct contributions only (excluding multiplier) Limit to “tourism” effects 21 But the Global Insights Report Provides Useful Information on Visitor Impact Visits Expenditures Employment Wages Taxes Broken down by sub-state regions Visitors Expenditures Indirect effects These help answer the questions that a TSA cannot 22 Recommendations Term the Global Insights study for Rhode Island a “simulated tourism satellite account” for the state with the focus on – Four TSA macroeconomic variables Adopting same set of industries as U.S. Travel and Tourism Satellite Account (USTTSA) Adopting other USTTSA definitions and conventions Provide the additional data on Rhode Island as outside the TSA structure Visits, wages, taxes, indirect effects generated by visitors Sub-state regions 23 Eliminate the “under 50 mile” generated activity: this is not tourism! Expected Results Valid comparisons with national TSA Valid comparisons with other states that pursue UNWTO approach RI tourism industries’ contribution versus other industries’ Consistent measurement over time Supplemental data useful to tourism business managers Improve understanding of Tourism’s impact in the state for 24 Government officials Business owners Managers Residents Questions? Doug Frechtling Department of Tourism & Hospitality Mgmt. George Washington University Office telephone = 202-994-4456 Email = frechtli@gwu.edu Website = http://home.gwu.edu/~frechtli Department website = www.gwutourism.org 25