TM A Perspective on Ubiquitous Communications: the MoCCA Project Anton T. Dahbura Digital Equipment Corp. Cambridge Research Laboratory 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs TM Outline Oct 1996 Introduction and Background The MoCCA Vision Technology Barriers and Research Opportunities Conclusions and Open Issues 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 2 TM Why Has the Vision not Flown? devices have not displaced other carried items lack of clear vertical market focus low-performance CPUs, small memories, poor battery life inadequate input such as handwriting recognition disappointing ease-of-use factors inadequate display and keyboard sizes lack of seamless and ubiquitous communications cost/value! Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 3 TM Device Trends The industry has entered a period of transition and growing user acceptance. Relative successes in the consumer market: Newton MessagePad 130 Sharp Zaurus Hewlett-Packard OmniGo 100 Casio Z-7000 U.S. Robotics Pilot Psion 3A Mainly organizers with limited communications/synchronization means. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 4 TM Vertical Markets Trends Some progress in market for mobile devices for vertical applications (inventory control, health care): Telxon Badger Fujitsu (pen-based, Windows 95) Symbol Norand These and other devices are exposing many to the technology. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 5 TM Microprocessor Technology Trends Features size (micron) 0.5 0.35 0.25 0.18 0.12 0.10 5M 10M 20M 1G 4G 16G 256M 1G 4G 2500 5000 10000 75GB 200GB 500GB 2004 2007 Gates/chip 300K 800K 2M DRAM 16M 64M 256M SRAM 4M 16M 64M Mips 100 400 1000 Disks 2GB 8GB 25GB LAN Bandwidth 100 1000 1992 1995 10000? 1998 2001 Source: Semiconductor Industry Association -- Semiconductor Technology Workshops Conclusions March, 1993 10/25/96 Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs TM Microprocessors Technology Trends (Cont.) Performance (SPECint92) 10000 10/25/96 Oct 1996 Natural Language 1000 Vision 100 GUIs Speech Recognition 10 1 1982 1987 1992 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 1997 2002 Relative Performance: Microprocessors (SPECfp92) TM 100,000 SPECfp92 10,000 1,000 Alpha (xxx64) SPECfp HP Precision SPECfp PowerPC/RIOS SPECfp 100 SPARC/MIPS/Other RISC SPECfp Intel CISC SPECfp 10 1990 Oct 1996 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 TM Digital-ARM Partnership DS has negotiated an architecture license from ARM Ltd. • unique position (others are manufacturing licensees only) DS will develop and manufacture a series of standard products (SPs) and application specific SPs (ASSPs) based on the StrongARM core technology • Standard Products are general purpose devices • ASSPs are targeted at specific markets and applications DS will develop a family of ARM compliant cores (the StrongARM family) which will be made available to ARM Ltd. for sub-license to their manufacturing licensees • cores are enabling technology for ASSPs and CSSPs (customer specific SPs), from other ARM licensees Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs TM ARM Family Roadmap 200 StrongARM1,110 MIPS 100 ARM8,810 80 ARM7DMT Code Density ARM7D,7DM Fast Multiply ARM7,710 Embedded ICE ARM6,60,610 Power Efficiency 60 40 20 ARM2,3 Worlds Smallest RISC 0 1985 - 90 Oct 1996 1991 1993-1995 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 1997 Architecture Enhancement TM StrongARM Target Market Segments Smart Handheld Devices – PDAs, Electronic Organizers, – Digital Cameras, Smart Phones Interactive Digital Media – Digital Set-top devices, Interactive TV, Video Game Players Internet Appliances – Net Browsers, Intranet Devices Embedded Control – – – – – Oct 1996 Internetworking: Routers, Bridges, LAN Switches Office Automation: Printers, Scanners, Copiers, etc. Telecommunication: PBX, Cellular Base Stations Storage Peripherals: Drive Controllers, RAID Controllers PC Add-Ins: Intelligent I/O Cards, LAN / WAN 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs TM SA-110 Details Process Technology Supply voltage 0.35 um, 3LM CMOS Core voltage 1.65 - 2.0 Volts I/O voltage 3.3 Volts Frequency & Power < 900 mW @ 200 MHz @ 2.00-V < 450 mW @ 160 MHz @ 1.65-V < 300 mW @ 100 MHz @ 1.65-V Power-down Modes Package Current Status Volume Oct 1996 - Normal Mode (<300mW@100MHz) - Idle Mode (20mW Average) - Sleep Mode (50uA Average) 144 TQFP Samples at key customers now Q3 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs TM SA-110 Block Diagram nWAIT MCLK nMCLK SnA CLK 5 A[31:0] Address Buffer JTAG Test Clock CCCFG MCCFG Instruction IMMU DMMU 16KB ICache 16KB DCache PC StrongARM Core SA-1 Addr Control Write Buffer Oct 1996 Load/Store Data D[31:0] 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs PWRSLP ABORT INTERRUPTS RESET TM Establishing New Benchmarks in the Smart Handheld Market SA-110 / 100 SA-110 / 160 100 Mhz 160 Mhz 115 185 < 300 mW < 450 mW MIPS / Watt 383 411 Price (10k unit $ 29 $ 49 4.0 3.8 Frequency Performance Best performance in SHH market (Dhrystone 2.1 MIPS) Power volumes) MIPS / $ Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs Leader in power-efficiency Leader in price-performance TM Software Systems Trends Contenders for next-generation mobile device drivers: Microsoft Windows CE (Compaq, Casio) JavaOS (Mitsubishi, Motorola, Nokia) General Magic’s Magic Cap (?) Geowork’s GEOS These operating systems are also being considered for set-top boxes and Internet appliances. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 15 TM Communications Infrastructure Trends Next-generation wide-area technology in the U.S. evolving towards PCS in spite of technological confusion; GSM will continue to dominate in Europe and other overseas markets; CDPD, packet radio (RAM Mobile, ARDIS), one- and two-way paging, will continue to find niche markets; emerging: wireless cable, ESMR, satellite, television wireless LANs will continue to grow; residential? Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 16 TM Market Projections The installed base of wireless data subscribers in the U.S. is expected to grow from 500,000 in 1994 to nearly 10M in 2000. Driving factors: move towards the untethered, mobile workforce; gradual build-out of the wireless infrastructure; deregulation and spectrum auctions; emergence of end-user client-server business applications and middleware. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 17 TM Global Wireless Data Networks Revenues $Millions 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1993 Leos Satellite Geosync Satellite Cellular Packet Radio Paging Services 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Source- 1995 Wireless Directory Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 18 TM Worldwide Wireless Infrastructure Forecast $millions 6000 5000 Asia S. America Europe N.America 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Source- 1995 Wireless Directory Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 19 TM US Mobile-Wireless Data: Technology Trends Satellite US Installed Base of Wireless by Transmission Users 10,000 SMR/ESMR 9,000 Dedicated Data 8,000 Cellular Hybrid 7,000 Cellular Packet Each technology choice is different 5,000 BB PCS Hybrid in terms of performance, price, 4,000 BB PCS Packet and coverage BB PCS Circuit 3,000 ! (1000's) 6,000 2,000 Narrowband PCS 1,000 Cellular Circuit 1993 Oct 1996 1994 1995 1996 1997 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 1998 1999 2000 20 TM US Mobile-Wireless Data: Industry Trends US Wireless Data Users by Applications 10,000 Other Consumer 9,000 Mobile Prof Othr 8,000 Mobile Prof Sales 7,000 (1000's) Transaction/POS Vertical Markets 6,000 5,000 lead Telementry Horizontals follow Field Sales Transportation 4,000 Field Service ! 3,000 Public Safety 2,000 1,000 1993 Oct 1996 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 1999 2000 21 TM US Wireless LAN Market Trends 4500 4000 Misc. 3500 Transportation 3000 Hospitality Factory floor 2500 Health care Education 2000 Mobile Professional 1500 Retail Warehouse and logistics 1000 500 0 1994 Oct 1996 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 2000 22 TM RoamAbout PC Cards for Portable Devices High performance, credit card sized, wireless modems and attached radio modules Available in three variations: RoamAbout PCMCIA Network Adapter RoamAbout 2.4 GHz frequency hopping (FH) RoamAbout 2.4 GHz direct sequence (DS) RoamAbout 915 MHz direct sequence (DS)* Uses inherently secure spread-spectrum RF No FCC license required Coverage up to 650 ft for 2.4 GHz MHz devices, 800PCMCIA interface ft for 915MHz devices card Drivers for any PC network operating system using ODI or NDIS network interfaces Gives wireless users access to wired Ethernet networks via RoamAbout Access Point Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs Radio Module TM RoamAbout Access Point --- the most robust, reliable and highest-performing wireless bridge in the Industry A superior, full-featured wireless bridge Multiple wireless technologies RoamAbout Access Point (direct sequence or frequency hopping) RoamAbout PCMCIA Network Adapter Multiple frequency bands (2.4 GHz or 915 MHz) In-building “cell-to-cell” roaming Point-to-point diagnostics Software upgrade capabilities Standard UTP and ThinWire connections Network management via SNMP or tools such as HUBwatch Local console management port Oct 1996 Radio Module 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs PCMCIA interface card TM The Connectivity Chasm “What customers want is a “black box” - metaphorically speaking -- that allows them to integrate all of the enterprise resources....The third major element of our strategy -- the centerpiece of our efforts and direction--is that we will commit our resources to solving the ...”black box” connectivity problems of our customers...” Bob Palmer, Industry Analyst Briefing, 9/95 Enterprise Servers “Black Box” Clients & Workgroups Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 25 TM From an Early Market to Main Street 1- the Early Market 2- the Chasm 3- the Bowling Alley 5 Mass customization 4 Mass marketing 4- inside the Tornado 5- on Main Street Deal driven Oct 1996 1 2 3 Niche marketing early early late innovators adopters majority majority fad trend solution standard 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs laggards source: Geoffrey Moore 26 TM Outline Oct 1996 Introduction and Background The MoCCA Vision Technology Barriers and Research Opportunities Conclusions and Open Issues 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 27 TM The MoCCA Vision Harness a powerful, wearable communications processor to high-speed voice and data networks for distinct vertical markets. Functions: find and connect the user to one or more team members or customers via voice and video; provide voice- or tactile-based mailbox management (voice mail, e-mail, FAX, etc.); handle info./data queries to remote private/public databases; manage appointment book, action-item list, etc. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 28 TM Product Characteristics Modularity and compatibility: –wireless earpiece/microphone –wireless and/or wireline docking to PC –compatibility with industry-standard software –PCMCIA-like configuration management Displace cell phone, pager, PDA devices Network agility among CDPD, CSC, WLAN, etc.; As intuitive to learn and use as a cellular phone (?); Non-tactile input such as voice. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 29 TM Product Characteristics (Cont.) Physical characteristics: –wearable –weigh less than 16 ounces –normal battery lifecycle of 7 days minimum with overnight or continuous recharge The device should be fashionable and practical enough to encourage usage. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 30 TM Program Overview The program will be driven by blending real vertical market needs with soon-to-market technological innovation Rapid-prototyping, scenario-based project philosophy, with Carnegie Mellon University as the enabler. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 31 TM The Cambridge Research Laboratory (CRL) Digital’s primary U.S. East Coast research site located near MIT and Harvard main focus: applications technology –speech and speaker recognition –video coding –conversational systems –computer vision –distributed systems and scalable computing –Internet applications Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 32 TM Program Operating Model Three facets: –applied research –system prototyping –business development Core research group at CRL to advance technology and pursue specific opportunities; Advanced development team will form the nucleus of commercialization teams; One technical leader and one business leader. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 33 TM Outline Oct 1996 Introduction and Background The MoCCA Vision Technology Barriers and Research Opportunities Conclusions and Open Issues 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 34 TM Developments That Make This Possible ubiquity of wireless technology from WLAN to satellite-based; emergence of low-power, high-performance RISC microprocessors; storage devices, DSPs, etc.; innovations in display technology for portability and wearability; advent of WWW, popularity of corporate intranets; first wave trials and errors of mobile devices. Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 35 TM Mobile Computing Barrier Areas Human Interface –display –input means Power/Battery/Display Issues Performance (for speech, video) Communications Infrastructure Form Factor/ Heat Dissipation Applications Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 36 TM Technology Barriers Bandwidth, capacity, reliability, latency, coverage, and cost of wide-area networks –protocols for handling data transfers efficiently –caching strategies –security issues –connectivity management in overlay networks –Very-Local Area Networks (BodyLAN) and mobile WLANs –ad-hoc networking –incorporation of video Oct 1996 –new WAN media 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 37 TM Technology Barriers (Cont.) Input limitations for mobile/wearable devices – speech capture, recognition, understanding – speaker identification and verification – handwriting capture and recognition – real-time digital voice multicasting – video Architecture – hardware/software architectures for mobile systems – OS design (?) – compilers for low-power devices Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 38 TM Technology Barriers (Cont.) Human-computer interaction –new techniques for mobile I/O: gesture based, augmented-reality displays System design and packaging –form factors for mobile systems (ID group) –wireless headmounted I/O, including video capture Applications and user interfaces Oct 1996 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 39 TM Outline Oct 1996 Introduction and Background The MoCCA Vision Technology Barriers and Research Opportunities Conclusions and Open Issues 2nd IEEE WS on WLANs 40 TM Digital Equipment Corporation © 1996