Energy Law 9 – Transportation Fall 2014 November 11, 2014 Alan Palmiter Not for distribution- for study purposes only Topic roadmap 1. U.S. transportation – History of transportation – Highway infrastructure 2. Powering transportation sector – – – – – Internal combustion engine Electric cars Natural gas vehicles Hydrogen fuel cells Biofuels 3. Regulation of fuels / auto industry – CAFE standards – Auto air pollution regulation – Restructuring auto industry 4. Future of transportation – American decentralization & recentralization – Improving motor vehicle network 1. U.S. Transportation in Perspective 97.09 (2011) 27.03 (2011) 9 http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/ http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/annual/pecss_diagram.cfm US transportation - timeline 1700 1850 1900 1950 2000 US Interstate Highway System Source: Wikipedia Highway Infrastructure (Click for video – 1.51 ) Overton Park v. Volpe (US 1971) Justice Marshall: The growing public concern about the quality of our natural environment has prompted Congress in recent years to enact legislation designed to curb the accelerating destruction of our country's natural beauty. We are concerned in this case with § 4(f) of the Department of Transportation Act of 1966: Secretary of State shall not approve [highway construction] project over [specified public lands] ....unless (1) there is no feasible and prudent alternative to the use of such land, and (2) such program includes all possible planning to minimize harm to such park, recreational area, wildlife and waterfowl refuge, or historic site resulting from such use." Public transportation & technology (Click for video – 1:33 ) 2. Powering U.S. transportation Model-T (internal combustion engine) (Click for video – 3:35 ) Alternatives to gasoline-powered ICE Electric cars • • • • Electric battery as fuel source 1900: outsold every other type Downfall: New roads / longer distances / cheap oil Recent popularity (since 1990s) Compressed natural gas • • • Natural gas input for internal combustion engine Relatively safe and reliable Lack of infrastructure Alternatives to gasoline-powered ICE Hydrogen fuel cells • • • Hydrogen gas: separates into protons and electrons – to generate power Only bi-product is water Technology: expensive, derived from natural gas, and safety perceptions Biofuels • • • Produced from organic material Common: ethanol /biodiesel Debate: trade-off between supply security / impact on food Click for video -1:49 Who killed electric car? Click for video -2:14 Biofuels According to the U.S. Department of Energy, the cost of producing small volumes of ethanol from cellulosic materials has dropped from about $9 per gallon in 2001 to about $2 per gallon today. This compares to the $2.80 cost of wholesale gasoline today. Biofuels – interactive Biofuels Pros: Cons: Integrates well with existing technology. Renewable resource. Greater security of supply. Cleaner emissions. Production may result in net energy loss. Could impact food supply. Discourages conservation. Requires ‘flex-fuel’ equipment. Pop Quiz Transportation 1. True or false? Henry Ford’s Model T was first powered by alcohol, not gasoline. 2. Which is true – a. The U.S. interstate is the largest in the world. b. The U.S. interstate is 10x the circumference of the earth. c. FDR conceived the modern interstate system. d. The U.S. interstate systems is the second largest public works project behind TVA. 3. Which is false a. Lack of infrastructure hinders the deployment of natural gas powered cars. b. Only emission from hydrogen fueled cars is carbon monoxide. c. Biofuels are produced from organic material. d. Some biofuel production may result in a net loss of energy. 4. True or False? At the beginning of the 20th century, cars with electric motors were more popular than cars with internal combustion engines. Answers: 1-T / 2-a / 3-b / 4-T 3. Regulation of fuels & the auto industry Automotive air pollution regulation • Car + light truck emissions: EPA under the CAA • Massachusetts v. EPA (US 2007): under CAA authority, EPA must regulate GHGs Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) • Since 1975, vehicle fuel efficiency regulated • EISA of 2007 (and Obama agreements) raise CAFE minimums • CAFE standards: 54.5 miles per by 2025 Biofuels mandates • Biofuels (i.e. ethanol) mandated • EPA of 2005: Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) • By 2022, 36 billion gallons of blended ethanol Transportation regulation - timeline 1900 1930 1960 1990 2020 Massachusetts v. EPA (US 2007) 1973: CAA S 202(a)(1) requires EPA to set emission standards for "any air pollutant" from motor vehicles "which in [EPA’s] judgment causes, or contributes to, air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.” 2003: EPA says lacks CAA authority to regulate GHGs for climate change purposes / and would decline to regulate, if did Massachusetts v. EPA (US 2007) 2007 (Stevens): greenhouse gases fit well within the CAA’s capacious definition of air pollutant / remand to EPA on whether agency has discretion 2009: EPA concludes 6 GHGs in atmosphere may reasonably be anticipated both to endanger public health and to endanger public welfare / broad regulatory agenda 2012: DC Circuit dismisses challenges to EPA's endangerment finding and GHG regulations / accepts GHG such as CO2 endanger public health and likely responsible for global warming CAFE Standards (Click for video – 4:46) Pop Quiz Transportation – CAFE standards 1. True or false? CAFE standards were introduced in 1975. 1. Which is false – a. The NHTSA sets the CAFE standards b. The CAFE standards apply to cars and light trucks c. The CAFE standards measure auto makers’ sales-weighted fleet’s average fuel economy d. An auto maker that fails to meet the CAFE standards must pay a penalty for only non-complying vehicles 3. Which is true -a. The CAFE standards for a Honda Fit are the same as for a Ford F150 b. Under new CAFE standards medium-duty and heavy-duty trucks are not covered c. By 2016 auto makers are to meet a CAFE standard target of 28.5 mpg d. The 2011 CAFE standards vary according to vehicle size 4. True or false? US vehicles by being bigger (though less fuel-efficient) are safer than vehicles in other 1stworld countries, which have smaller vehicles Answers: 1-T / 2-d / 3-d / 4-F Auto industry US auto manufacturing industry: • Throughout 1990s, lower R&D on efficient vehicles • In Great Recession (2007), new vehicle sales plummet. • Federal gov’t bailout (2008) Pop Quiz Transportation – regulation 1. True or false? The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 requires corn-based ethanol production level off by 2015. 1. Beginning in the 1920s, the federal-state cooperation in highway construction gave the federal government a leading role in -a. Research b. Oversight / siting of projects c. Funding d. Construction Answers: 1-T / 2-abc / 3-c / 4-F 3. According to Overton Park Citizens v. Volpe, important considerations in siting highway projects are … a. Economic impact (jobs, development, etc) b. Local input (town meetings, referenda) c. Environmental considerations (beauty, recreation, wildlife) d. Community disruption (slicing cities in two) 4. True or false? In Mass. v. EPA, the Supreme Court held that although GHGs are “pollutants” the EPA can decide whether GHG regulation is required. Pop Quiz Transportation – regulation 5. True or false? Germany recognized the future of biodiesel and increased tax exemptions for its production in 2009. 6. “Cash for Clunkers” produced which effects? a. Price of used cars increased b. Price of used cars decreased c. Domestic auto-maker market share increased d. Asian auto-maker market share increased Answers: 5-F / 6-ad / 7-abcd / 8-F 7. The EPA is authorized under the Clean Air Act to do which of the following -a. Regulate fuel composition b. Regulate fuel additives c. Set emission standards for vehicles d. Regulate gas stations 8. True or false? High-speed rail took off after Congress passed the Passenger Rail Investment and Improvement Act of 2008 and the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. 4.Future of transportation ‘Built To Last’ – US decentralization and recentralization (Click for video – 2:55) Improving the motor vehicle network (Click for video – 1:35) (Click for video – 1:33) Energy federalism Transportation Federal State Highways Research / oversight / funding Construction / maintenance Gasoline EPA None Alternative fuels Renewable Fuel Standards None Autonomous cars None Tort law (products liability)/ insurance law Who is liable when an autonomous car crashes? California’s legislature is considering a bill to shield self-driving car manufacturers, software providers and state roadway agencies from liability stemming from an “autonomous car” crash. Instead, the driver of a self-driving car will be liable for any damage or injuries caused by the crash -- just as if operating a traditional automobile. Please provide talking points for your group’s view on this proposed legislation. • • • Group 1: Google (self-driving car software provider) Group 2: CA Department of Transportation Group 3: National Association of Auto Insurance Companies Class Hypo The end The Obama Administration has recently concluded agreements with the major American automakers that would require such manufacturers to produce automobiles that exceed the Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards required by the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007. In a simulation of the talks that preceded the signing of these agreements, please produce talking points from each of the three groups below that discusses why, from your perspective, agreeing to more stringent CAFE standards is in your best interest and that of your constituents. Group 1: American Automobile Association Group 2: Obama Administration Group 3: United Automobile Workers Class Hypo