A Review and Evaluation of Vehicle Fuel Efficiency Labeling and Consumer Information Schemes Anup Bandivadekar Zifei Yang March 24, 2015 APEC VFEL workshop Singapore ICCT mission and activities The mission of ICCT is to dramatically improve the environmental performance and efficiency of cars, trucks, buses and transportation systems in order to protect and improve public health, the environment, and quality of life. Non-profit research organization Air Pollution and Climate Impacts Focus on regulatory policies and fiscal incentives Activity across modes including aviation and marine Global outreach, with special focus on largest markets Slide 2 Outline Background and motivation Project scope and methodology Review of VFEL Programs Six key elements of VFEL program Survey results Major findings Further discussion 3 1 Background and motivation 4 Vehicles make up more than 20% of greenhouse gas emissions … 5 … and emission levels will increase without reduction efforts 6 APEC economies account for ~40% of population, ~56% of GDP, and 66% of global vehicles sales 70% 65.9% 63.9% 65% Vehicle Sales 60.4% APEC Share of the World 60% 58.7% 55.6% 58.1% 57.6% 57.0% 55% 57.4% 57.3% 55.3% 55.1% 60.6% 56.0% 55.3% 54.4% 53.3% 52.7% GDP 50% 45% 40.9% 40.7% 40.5% 40.3% 40.1% 39.9% 39.7% 39.6% 40% 39.0% Population 35% 7 30% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Robust vehicle sales growth in APEC economies 8 policy measures to increase vehicle efficiency Today’s presentation Integrated Vehicle Efficiency Policy Portfolio VEHICLE FUEL EFFICIENCY STANDARDS • FISCAL MEASURES • • • Introduce and regularly strengthen mandatory standards Establish and harmonize testing procedures for fuel efficiency measurement. Fuel taxes and vehicle taxes to encourage the purchase of more fuel-efficient vehicles. Infrastructure support and incentive schemes for very fuel-efficient vehicles. MARKET-BASED APPROACHES • Voluntary programs such as U.S. SmartWay and other green freight programs INFORMATION MEASURES • • Vehicle fuel economy labels Improving vehicle operational efficiency through eco-driving and other measures. 9 2 Project Scope and methodology 10 Vehicle fuel efficiency labeling (VFEL) schemes encourage consumers to purchase more efficient vehicles VFEL schemes include • The “fuel efficiency label” referring information that is displayed about the car in the showroom, online or through other media • Associated consumer information campaign • Monitoring uptake of the scheme by industry • Monitoring consideration of fuel economy by customers VFEL schemes applicable to • Passenger cars, light trucks/light-commercial vehicle • All types of fuel (gasoline, diesel, LPG, CNG, hydrogen, electricity) 11 How well are the VFEL schemes working and what could be improved? Desk-research on VFEL literature and regulations Stakeholder survey • Identified experts in APEC and non-APEC economies working on vehicle fuel efficiency labeling field • Respondents come from government, research institution, auto clubs, consumer association, other nonprofits Workshop discussion 12 Survey overview Conducted online via Sogosurvey from 21st December 2014 to 28th Feb 2015 34 complete responses 17 APEC economies + 5 non-APEC economies + EU 13 Participants from 17 APEC economies and 6 nonAPEC Economies responded to the survey APEC economies with VFEL Survey APEC economies without VFEL Survey APEC economies with VFEL Survey Australia √ Brunei Darussalam Austria √ Canada √ Indonesia Brazil √ Chile √ Malaysia √ Germany √ China √ Mexico √ The Netherlands √ Hong Kong, China √ Papua New Guinea The United Kingdom √ Japan √ Peru The European Union √ Republic of Korea √ The Philippines √ New Zealand √ Russia √ Singapore √ Thailand √ US √ Viet Nam √ Chinese Taipei √ 14 Survey Respondents’ affiliations Australia Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development Canada Natural Resources Canada China China Automotive Technology and Research Center Chile Vehicle Control Center and Certification; Ministry of Energy Korea Korea Energy Management Corporation Malaysia Malaysia automotive institute, Universiti Tenaga Nasional Mexico National Commission for the Efficient Use of Energy New Zealand Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority Russia Ministry of Transport (NIIAT) Singapore Land Transport Authority Thailand Department of Alternative Energy Development and Efficiency, Asia Pacific Energy Research Center The Philippines Clean Air Asia US Environmental Protection Agency; Department of Energy; Oak Ridge National Laboratory Vietnam Vietnam Register- Ministry of Transport EU EU commission, EU Consumer Organization (BEUC) Austria Austria Tech Brazil National Institute of Metrology, Standardization, and Industrial Quality (INMETRO), Greenpeace Brazil, Instituto de Energia e Meio Ambiente Germany Consumer Federation (VZBV) UK Department for Transport, Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership The Netherlands Netherlands Ministry for infrastructure and Environment 15 3 Review of VFEL Programs 16 Six key elements for VFEL programs Regulatory framework Program design Label information and design Consumer outreach Compliance and enforcement Performance measurement 17 Components under six key elements (1-3) Regulatory framework Program design Label information and design • Legislative/regulatory support • Other fuel efficiency related policies • • • • Mandatory VFEL requirement Broad coverage of the VFEL scheme Public participation in program design Accurate fuel efficiency/CO2 emissions data that reflect vehicle real-world performance • • • • Understandable fuel efficiency/CO2 emissions information Indication of running cost or financial penalties/reward Comparable information for AFVs Specialized information for advanced technologies 18 Components under six key elements (4-6) Consumer outreach • User-friendly website provide VFEL information • Mandatory fuel efficiency information in promotion materials through other media • Direct communication channel with consumers Compliance and enforcement • Audits of vehicle fuel efficiency/CO2 emissions test • Verification of the display and correctness of label information and impose penalty for non-compliance Performance measurement • Periodical VFEL effectiveness assessment 19 Six key elements for VFEL programs Regulatory framework 20 Year of implementation VFEL programs in APEC and select Non-APEC economies Non-APEC APEC Voluntary Mandatory Viet Nam Chile Singapore Chinese Taipei China Brazil New Zealand Germany Hong Kong, China Netherlands Austria EU Australia Japan Canada Korea UK USA 1975 21 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 VFEL program objectives ranked by importance Rating (10-most imporntat) Rate 1-5 Rate 6-10 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Improve fleet fuel economy Average rating 8.6 Improve consumer information disclosure Reduce GHG/ CO2 emissions from vehicles Reduce Improve Push the market petroleum recognition of take-up of consumption clean vehicles alternative fuel and improve vehicles energy security 6.2 22 7 VFEL program Vehicle efficiency/CO2 standards High fossil fuel tax Efficient vehicles fiscal incentives 6 Mandatory AFV sale targets Subsidies for alterative fuel cost AFVs fiscal incentives 5 4 3 2 1 U S B H on G raz g erm il* Ko a ng ny C * Au hina st ra N Ca lia ew n Ze ada Si ala ng nd ap Vi ore et na m C Th hile ai l R and us M sia al n ay s M ia In exic do o ne si a N Ja p Au an et st he ria r la * nd s* U K So C * ut hin h Ko a re a 0 Th e Number of efficiency related policies Implementation of fuel efficiency related policies by economy * Non-APEC economy 23 Importance of complementary fuel efficiency policies in enhancing VFEL program Rating (10-most imporntat) Rate 1-5 Rate 6-10 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Efficiency/CO2 Efficient standards vehicles fiscal incentives Average 8.6 rating AFVs fiscal High fossil fuel Subsidies for Mandatory incentives tax alterative fuel target of AFVs cost sales 6.3 24 Economies using a combination of different policies are more likely have a larger CO2 emission reduction 1.2 Economy (Number of efficiency related policies) CO2 emission normalized to 2005 level 1.1 Mexico (1) 1 Chile (2) Russia (2) China (4) Malaysia (1) New Zealand (2) Canada (2) Indonesia (1) 0.9 United States (4) 0.8 Australia (2) Thailand (2) Japan (7) South Korea (4) 0.7 Dashed line - no vehicle labeling proram Solid line - have vehicle labeling program 0.6 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 25 Six key elements for VFEL programs Program design 26 VFEL program scope • Australia, Chile, China, Chinese Taipei, Japan, Korea, New Zealand, Singapore, US, Vietnam, Austria, Germany, the Netherlands, UK • Canada, Hong Kong China, New Zealand (AFVs), Brazil • New Zealand Mandatory New Mandatory Used Voluntary New Voluntary Used • US, UK 27 Economies in red apply VFEL program to passenger cars only, Others apply to passenger cars and light truck/light-commercial vehicles Test cycles adopted by different economies for fuel efficiency/CO2 emission label information Test Cycle Adopted By NEDC/UN ECE 101 US 2-cycle Australia, Chile, Singapore, Viet Netherlands, UK Korea, Brazil US 5-cycle USA, Canada JC08 Japan Japan 10-15 mode Hong Kong, China China, Chinese Taipei, Nam, Austria, Germany, Note: New Zealand accepts vehicles built to standards in US, EU, Japan and Australia. With adoption of WLTP, a greater harmonization is likely to take place. 28 Six key elements for VFEL programs Label information and design 29 Frequency of usage of information on different labels in 17 VFEL programs Fuel type 16 Website 11 Fuel consumption (combined) 9 CO2 emission 8 Fuel consumption (seperated) 7 Fuel economy (combined) 7 Fuel cost 5 Fuel economy (seperated) 5 CO2 emission rating Fuel efficiency info. 4 QR code 3 Fiscal incentive/charge/tax 3 Fuel economy class rating 3 Fuel economy rating 3 Fuel economy range CO2 emission info. Others 2 Fuel economy class range 1 Emission standard 1 Emission rating 1 CO2 emission range 1 Annual fuel consumption 1 Fuel cost saving/spending 1 0 Label information in 17 economies 30 5 10 15 20 Important label information elements 31 Different scales for showing fuel efficiency ratings 32 2015 Toyota Camry Label Rating 2015 Toyota Camry 2.5 L 134 g/km (NEDC) 17.8 km/l (US 2-cycle) 28 mpg (US 5-cycle) Economies Rating range Toyota Camry Rating Canada CO2 (1-10) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (best) Chinese Taipei Efficiency relative class rating (1-6) (best) 1 2 3 4 5 Korea Fuel efficiency (1-5) (best) 1 2 3 4 5 US CO2/efficiency (1-10) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (best) Brazil Fuel efficiency relative class rating (A to E) (best) A B C D E (relative class) (best) A B C D E (absolute) Germany CO2 relative class rating (A+ to G) (best) A+ A B C D E F G UK CO2 (A to M) (best) A B C D E F G H I J K L 33 M Class: 2400~3000 cc Rating of the usefulness of label information for AFVs % of responses rating 6-10 (10-most imporntant) Label design 94.4% Fuel type 78.9% Annual or distance based fuel costs CNG/LPG/ethanol/hydrogen consumption 81.3% 81.3% Driving range 80.0% Gasoline equivalent fuel economy 78.6% Electricity consumption 68.8% Fiscal incentive 63.6% CO2 emission rating 64.7% Refueling time/charging time 42.9% Other running cost (e.g. battery pack replacement cost) 41.7% 0% Special considerations for AFVs 25% 50% Fuel efficiency/consumption equivalent (MPGe?) CO2 emissions Inclusion of upstream emissions? Refueling cost Financial information Added incentives for AFVs Others Electricity consumption, range, charge time, operation information of AFVs 75% 100% 34 Six key elements for VFEL programs Consumer outreach 35 Elements of a VFEL website Fuel efficiency/VFEL program introduction; Explanation of label elements; Fuel Efficiency information by make, model, type; Comparison among different models; Fuel cost calculation; Fiscal incentive information; Real world fuel consumption report Eco-driving suggestions 36 37 Rating on marketing initiatives to VFEL scheme Rating (10-most imporntat) Rate 1-5 Rate 6-10 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% VFEL websites/ Websites for Mandate Advertise VFEL Public pages mobile device information in program in engagement users promotional public media during label materials (video, radio) design Average 8.0 rating Voluntary Make and Advertise VFEL Dealer training information in distribute VFELprogram in print program promotional user guide (poster, flyers) materials 5.8 38 Six key elements for VFEL programs Compliance and enforcement 39 Compliance and Enforcement of VFEL Ensuring that the reported fuel efficiency data complies with the standard test procedures Ensuring that accurate information is provided to the consumers in a conscientious manner 40 Six key elements for VFEL programs Performance measurement 41 Measuring overall effectiveness of VFEL programs • Measuring the level of compliance; identifying means to enhance compliance • Understanding the consumer awareness and influence of the program in the real world. • Does the VFEL program alter the consumers purchasing behavior? • Learning lessons from the success and challenges of existing program • Identifying potential changes that will help the improve VFEL program overall 42 Effectiveness Measurement 43 How has the assessment been conducted? Other Mystery shopper Studies of grade consumption evolution Studies identify fuel saving attributed to VFEL and assess efficiency improvement driven by consumers and government requirement Interview with national and European level stakeholders (in the EU) 44 Which indicators would you use to assess the effectiveness of a VFEL program? The influence of fuel economy is in the purchase consideration set Consumer awareness of the VFEL Change of sales of fuel-efficient vehicle sales Amount of fuel saving from VFEL Consumer question/complaint to VFEL Visitors to the VFEL websites Download of VFEL guidance Other (please specify) 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Other Participation of vehicle manufacturers, importers and sales agents (in voluntary program) Advertising for marketing and sales, TV and radio announcements (in voluntary program)45 Counts of media stories mentioning fueleconomy.gov (in the US) Initiatives improving VFEL program effectiveness Rating (10-most imporntat) Rate 1-5 Rate 6-10 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Link VFEL to Understand Promote VFEL Regularly assess Engagement of fiscal incentives market/consumer program to the VFEL stakeholders behavior increase public effectiveness awareness Average rating 7.9 Require or encourage information disclosure on promotional materials Investigate the types of media for program promotion 7 46 Barriers in effectiveness assessment • Difficult to distinguish the effect of fuel economy labeling from other factors that might influence consumers and the market • Difficulty in setting up a control group • Changes in consumer preferences 47 Preliminary Assessment of APEC VFEL Programs Participant feedback and scrutiny needed to before finalization 48 4 Draft Best Practices 49 Best practices for VFEL Programs <DRAFT> Regulatory framework • Legislation and labeling specific regulation to empower agencies to establish and enforce the scheme • Implement complementary policies: FE standards, fiscal incentives etc. Program design • • • • Label information and design • Show running cost and financial penalties/reward • Present comparable information for AFVs: efficiency/CO2 data, refueling cost, financial information • ? Absolute value/absolute class rating/relative class rating • ? Metrics Mandatory rather than voluntary All fuel types covered Include new as well as used vehicles Conduct comprehensive market research 50 Best practices for VFEL Programs <DRAFT> Consumer outreach • Maximize the features of VFEL website • Make label information available through other media, especially the internet • Open two-way communication channel with consumers Compliance and enforcement • Carry out confirmatory tests • Conduct periodic verification of the display of label information • Impose penalty for noncompliance Performance measurement • Conduct regular program assessments • Track compliance level of the VFEL schemes • Survey impact of efficiency and labels on consumer behavior 51 Next Steps Comments on interim report due April 17th, 2015 Workshop summary: May 11, 2015 Address any identified gaps in the analysis, from the workshop: May 18, 2015 Draft final project report, a draft best practice guide, and a draft recommendations action plan to APEC: August 10, 2015 Maintain network with practitioners Final project documents by October 13th, 2015 52