FACULTY OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS KATHOLIEKE UNIVERSITEIT LEUVEN MASTER THESIS THE DAIRY INDUSTRY AN INDUSTRY RESEARCH Laurent Vandenvelde Thesis submitted to obtain the degree of Master in Business Economics Promotor: Prof. Dr. R. De Bondt FACULTY OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS KATHOLIEKE UNIVERSITEIT LEUVEN Laurent Vandenvelde The Dairy Industry An Industry Research Abstract thesis: In this thesis, we will analyze the dairy industry viewed from macro as well as a micro perspective. We will investigate how this industry will be able to survive, especially when you consider the fluctuation of dairy prices and costs to produce and release dairy products into the market. First there is a presentation of the global industry, including a Porter analysis. Segmenting the market and taking a closer look at the interesting journey dairy must make from farmers all the way to the end-market, will help us to understand market problems and needs. Finally, case studies will help us to make clear how the market deals (or can deal) with up- and downturns. It turns out that certain (which one?) strategies which react fast on changes in the market are the best way to survive in the dairy industry. Promotor: Prof. Dr. R. De Bondt Acknowledgements Table of contents General Introduction ......................................................................................................... 6 Chapter 1 1.1 Global Dairy Industry ................................................................................ 7 Information ........................................................................................................ 7 1.1.1 Importance of Dairy Products ................................................................... 7 1.1.2 Definition of the Dairy Market .................................................................. 8 1.1.3 Analyses of Numbers and Figures ............................................................ 8 1.1.4 A Porter Analysis ...................................................................................... 7 1.2 Heading level 2 .................................................................................................. 7 1.2.1 Heading level 3 ......................................................................................... 7 1.2.2 Heading level 3 ......................................................................................... 7 1.3 Heading level 2 .................................................................................................. 7 1.3.1 Heading level 3 .......................................................................................... 7 Chapter 2 Title chapter ............................................................................................... 7 2.1 Heading level 2 .................................................................................................. 7 2.2 Heading level 2 .................................................................................................. 7 General Conclusion ........................................................................................................... 8 General Introduction (2 pages!!) The aim of this paper is to examine the situation of the global dairy industry. The main question is how a company in this industry can survive in a very fast fluctuating price/cost environment. Therefore, there will firstly be looked at the situation of the worldwide dairy industry. A Porter analysis of the industry will be provided in which an investigation of the five forces will make clear how they influence the industry’s profitability in every stage of the sector, from farmer to distributor of dairy products. In this Porter analysis there will also be a part that is dedicated to the co-operation between industry members. Integration, both vertical as well as horizontal, can strengthen the performances of each individual firm. Afterwards, we will follow a more ‘local’ analysis in which the dairy industry will be separately discussed into regions with more or less the same rules, e.g. the European Union, the United States and the areas of China and New Zealand/Australia. Including different case studies of every branch (which ones?) in the dairy industry will provide this paper with the necessary information to demonstrate a successful way of dealing with the current (which is?) situation. Finally, completed with the needed theoretical background, the paper ends with a conclusion and an attempt to give some recommendations for a successful strategy in every stage and sector of the industry. Chapter 1 Global Dairy Industry The aim of this first part is to analyze the current situation of the global dairy industry. The dairy industry falls under different NACE codes. E.g. A1.4 is the code of animal farming including those animals used to produce dairy (A1.4.1), C10.5 is the code of dairy products manufacturing with some subdivisions, at the end of the dairy industry chain we have the wholesale and retail of dairy products with respectively G46.3.3 and G47.2.91 as NACE codes.1 In this first chapter there will be drew attention to the importance of dairy products, a definition of the dairy industry will be provided as well as a general segmentation of the market. Also specific numbers for the industry, e.g. sales figures, profitability, etc. … will clarify the importance of each stage, sector and territory. Secondly, the Porter analysis will offer us a better (macro-) economic view and will present us the basic information we need before we take a deeper look into the structure and characteristics of the companies. 1.1 Information This part will be divided into three subject. The first topic will highlight the importance of dairy products, the second matter issues a definition of the dairy market, and this first part will be completed as when some number and figures are placed under discussion. 1.1.1 Importance of Dairy Products Dr. Bill Pritchard (2001) began his paper with the sentence: “the dairy industry is one of the most important components of the world food system, and is undergoing dramatic change at the current time”.2 However this is mentioned ten years ago, the dairy industry is still a very important sector. It has everything to do with the addition of dairy products in the muchneeded diversified and healthy human diet. Beneath, a representation of the ‘Food Guide Pyramid’ as created by the U.S. Department of Agriculture highlights the requirement of dairy products. As such the importance of the dairy industry, which provides us with a collection of dairy-based products, is once again emphasized and the following statement of the Harvard 1 NACE codes as stated by the European Commission; viewed 6 March 2010 <http://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/index/nace_all.html> 2 Pritchard B. (2001). Current Global Trends in the Dairy Industry. Unpublished Manuscript. University of Sydney. School of Public Health declares why. “Dairy products have traditionally been the main source of calcium and, through fortification, vitamin D.”3 Figure 1: A healthy Food Guide Pyramid; Willett W.C. & Skerrett P.J.; 2001; pp.16 For the reason that dairy-based products are very important for a healthy human diet, it is only rational to strongly regulate and control the dairy industry, just like many other food and beverage industries. These regulations could differ from country to country but most often they are imposed by international organizations, e.g. the European Union. It is not only theoretically so that a diversified diet with a daily dose of dairy is healthy, but when we take a quick look at the market, we see that most dairy-based products are being marketed as health improving products. Therefore it is back again quite important to control the dairy market and more specific the quality of dairy. These quality inspections have to be done in all stages, from a control of the cattle at dairy farms to the control of the end-products consumers buy. As we will see later, quality of the milk will also be a variable in the pricing system of dairy. 3 The Nutrition Source, Food Pyramids: What Should You Really Eat?; viewed 6 March 2010 <http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/nutritionsource/what-should-you-eat/pyramid-full-story/index.html> 1.1.2 Definition of the Dairy Market There does not exist a better definition of the dairy market provided us by Saunders Comprehensive Veterinary Dictionary (2007). It defines the dairy industry as “the farms, the milk collecting and handling services, the processors, manufacturers and retailers and the private and government organizations involved in a coordinating or controlling function with respect to the harvesting and disposal of dairy products”.4 In other words, this dissertation of the dairy industry is with respect to all facilities which are utilized for the extraction and processing of animal milk for human consumption. The definition above presents the chain dairy products need to go through, but which are those products. Datamonitor (2009) – on which many numbers and figures are based – describes the dairy market as it consists of cheese chilled desserts, cream, milk, spreadable fats and yogurt.5 Annex 1 presents a figure which will give us an idea of how many differentiated products are made by dairy. 1.1.3 Analyses of Numbers and Figures As mentioned above, Datamonitor (2009)6, provides us with the necessary information about the global dairy market. Numbers about the global industry but also of different segments of the market will be explained in this part. 1.1.3.1 Basic Information The most recent numbers made available by Datamonitor (2009)7 are those of 2008. In that year the global revenues of the dairy industry amounted $280 billion. Within this industry the milk sector proved to be the most lucrative with over $100 billion of total revenues, representing more than a third of the market’s overall value. The cheese sector is the second largest with a total revenue of over $75 billion, representing more than a quarter of the market’s total revenue. The past years the annual growth rate measured above 4% and this evolution is also being forecasted for the next 5 years. But when we distinguish different geographical markets, we 4 Blood D.C., Studdert V.P. & Gay C.C. (2007). Saunders comprehensive veterinary dictionary. 3rd edition. Elsevier Saunders. 5 Datamonitor Plc. (2009). Dairy Industry Profile: Global 6 Ibid 7 Ibid observe apparently that the American market grew faster than the European market, 6% in comparison with the European 3% growth. The forecast of this American industry is decreasing to 5,5% growth for the next years while the European market forecast a continuous growth of 3%. 1.1.3.2 Segmentation 1.1.3.2.1 Geographical It will be very important to acknowledge the different legislation between certain countries or supranational communities, like the European Union. Another distinction we have to make here is the difference between dairy production and dairy trade. Annex 2 provides us with a wealth of numbers, of which an analysis can be that 1.1.3.2.2 Products 1.1.3.2.3 Stages 1.2 A Porter Analysis 1.2.1 Heading level 3 Conclusion internalization and globalization As international dairy companies recognize the potential benefits from supplying milk and dairy products in differen for demand growth, they are repositioning themselves to source milk and products from multiple locations. This trend is spawning partnerships and joint ventures among firms seeking to benefit by controlling all stages of the production process. Annexes - Annex 1: Milk Products and (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dairy_product) Production Relationships Chart - Annex 2: Milk Products and Product http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dairy_product Relationships Chart (source: Figures - Figure 1: A healthy Food Guide Pyramid as created by the Harvard School of Public Health (Willett W.C. & Skerrett P.J.; 2001; pp.16) References Books - Willett W.C., Skerrett P.J. (2001). Eat, Drink and be Healthy. Simon & Schuster INC. Pp.: 16 - Blood D.C., Studdert V.P. & Gay C.C. (2007). Saunders comprehensive veterinary dictionary. 3rd edition. Elsevier Saunders. Consulted Journals Papers - Pritchard B. (2001). Current Global Trends in the Dairy Industry. Unpublished Manuscript. University of Sydney - Datamonitor Plc. (2009). Dairy Industry Profile: Global Interviews Websites - http://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/index/nace_all.html (06/03/2010) - http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/nutritionsource/what-should-you-eat/pyramid-fullstory/index.html (06/03/2010) - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dairy_product (07/03/2010) Other sources - The Egyptian Center for Studies of Export and Import (2010). The global Dairy Products Industry 2010. “Analysis report of the market’s crises” -