FIN507 Bank Management Solutions to Recommended Problems from Modules 2, 3, 4,5 & 6 Module 2 Recommended Problems: Chapter 3: #2, 3, & 5, Chapter 4: #1-4 3-2. Of the business activities listed here, which activities can be conducted through U.S.-regulated holding companies today? a. Data processing companies b. Office furniture sales c. Auto and truck leasing companies d. General life insurance and property-casualty insurance sales e. Savings and loan associations f. Mortgage companies g. General insurance underwriting activities h. Professional advertising services i. Underwriting of new common stock issues by nonfinancial corporations j. Real estate development companies k. Merchant banks l. Hedge funds Banks can perform most of the activities listed above. It may be easier to talk about the activities they cannot do. They cannot sell office furniture and they cannot perform professional advertising services. They can do just about everything else listed here. 3-3 You are currently serving as president and chief executive officer of a unit bank that has been operating out of its present location for five years. Due to the rapid growth of households 3-5. First Security Trust National Bank of Boston is considering making aggressive entry into the People’s Republic of China, possibly filing the necessary documents with the government in Beijing to establish future physical and electronic service facilities. What advantages might such a move bring to the management and shareholders of First Security? What potential drawbacks should be considered by the management and board of directors of this bank? China is a huge market and entering into the Chinese market now may give this bank an advantage over other banks. They will already have the necessary contacts and understanding of the Chinese system when it becomes a more open economy in the future. However, there is considerable risk. It could be years before the economy becomes more open so profit opportunities might be slow to develop. In addition, the government could change its mind about allowing foreign banks ownership in China and seize any assets held by foreign banks. Finally, the system is dominated by large government owned banks and it may be difficult to compete with these banks. The Chinese government could give preferential treatment to these government banks at the expense of the private sector. 4-1. A group of businesspeople from Scott Island are considering filing an application with the state banking commission to charter a new bank. Due to a lack of current banking facilities within a 10-mile radius of the community, the organizing group estimates that the initial banking facility would cost about $3.3 million to build along with another $500,000 in other organizing expenses and would last for about 25 years. Total revenues are projected to be $400,000 the first year, while total operating expenses are projected to reach $160,000 in year 1. Revenues are expected to increase 4 percent annually after the first year, while expenses will grow an estimated 2 percent annually after year 1. If the organizers require a minimum of a 10 percent annual rate of return on their investment of capital in the proposed new bank, are they likely to proceed with their charter application given the above estimates? Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Revenues Op Expense $400,000 $160,000 $416,000 $163,200 $432,640 $166,464 $449,946 $169,793 $467,943 $173,189 $486,661 $176,653 $506,128 $180,186 $526,373 $183,790 $547,428 $187,466 $569,325 $191,215 $592,098 $195,039 $615,782 $198,940 $640,413 $202,919 $666,029 $206,977 $692,671 $211,117 $720,377 $215,339 $749,192 $219,646 $779,160 $224,039 $810,327 $228,519 $842,740 $233,090 $876,449 $237,752 $911,507 $242,507 $947,968 $247,357 $985,886 $252,304 $1,025,322 $257,350 Required Rate of Return 0.10 Present value of future cash flows @ 10% Initial investment Net Present Value of Investment Net Profit $240,000 $252,800 $266,176 $280,152 $294,754 $310,008 $325,942 $342,583 $359,962 $378,110 $397,059 $416,842 $437,494 $459,052 $481,554 $505,038 $529,547 $555,122 $581,807 $609,650 $638,698 $669,001 $700,611 $733,582 $767,972 $3,329,203 $3,800,000 ($470,797) Given the above information, the organizers are not likely to proceed given that the net present value of this investment is negative. The return they are going to earn is less than the 10% they need to earn. 4-2. Norfolk Savings Bank is considering the establishment of a new branch office at the corner of 49th Street and Hampton Boulevard. The savings association’s economics department projects annual operating revenues of $1.6 million from fee income generated by service sales and annual branch operating expenses of $800,000. The cost of procuring the property is $1.75 million and branch construction will total an estimated $2.75 million; the facility is expected to last 20 years. If the savings bank has a minimum acceptable rate of return on its invested capital of 15 percent, will Norfolk Savings likely proceed with this branch office project? Year Revenues Op Expense Net Profit 1 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 2 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 3 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 4 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 5 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 6 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 7 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 8 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 9 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 10 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 11 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 12 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 13 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 14 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 15 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 16 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 17 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 18 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 19 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 20 $1,600,000 $800,000 $800,000 Required 0.15 Rate of Return Present value of Future Cash Flows Initial investment Net Present Value of Investment $5,007,465 $4,500,000 $507,465 Norfolk is likely to proceed with this project because the net present value is positive. This means that the interest rate that Norfolk will earn on this project is higher than the 15% they need to earn. 4-3. Forever Savings Bank estimates that building a new branch office in the newly developed Washington township will yield an annual expected return of 12 percent with an estimated standard deviation of 10 percent. The bank’s marketing department estimates that cash flows from the proposed Washington branch will be mildly positively correlated (with a correlation coefficient of + 0.15) with the bank’s other sources of cash flow. The expected annual return from the bank’s existing facilities and other assets is 10 percent with a standard deviation of 5 percent. The branch will represent just 20 percent of Lifetime’s total assets. Will the proposed branch increase Forever’s overall rate of return? Its overall risk? The estimated total rate of return would be: E (R) = 0.20 (12%) + 0.80 (10%) = 10.4% The risk attached to this overall return rate would be: σ2 = (0.20)2 (0.10)2 + (.80)2 (0.05)2 + 2(0.20)(0.80)(0.15)(0.10)(0.05) σ2 =0.00224 σ = 4.73% Thus 4.73% and the branch will slightly increase the bank's expected return but slightly increase its overall risk. The bank should proceed with this project. 4-4. The following statistics and estimates were compiled by Big Moon Bank regarding a proposed new branch office and the bank itself: Branch office expected return Standard deviation of branch return Existing bank’s expected return Standard deviation of existing bank’s return Branch asset value as a percentage of total bank assets Correlation of net cash flows for branch and bank as a whole = 15% = 8% = 10% = 5% = 16% = +0.48 What will happen to Big Moon’s total expected return and overall risk if the proposed new branch project is adopted? The bank's total expected return is: E (R) = 0.16 (15%) + 0.84 (10%) = 10.80% The bank's risk exposure is: σ2 = (.15)2 (.082 + (.85) 2 (.05)2 + 2(.15)(.85)(.48)(.08)(.05) σ2 = .00244 And thus σ = .049395 or 4.94% The proposed project raises the savings banks expected return slightly and but slightly increase its overall risk. The bank should proceed with this project. Module 3 Recommended Problems: Chapter 5: #3-5, 10 5-3. If you know the following figures: Total interest income Total interest expenses Total noninterest income Total noninterest expenses $140 Provision for loan losses 100 Income taxes 75 Increases in bank’s undivided profits 90 $5 4 6 Please calculate these items: Net interest income Net noninterest income Pretax net operating income Net income after taxes Total operating revenues Total operating expenses Dividends paid to common stockholders Net interest income Net noninterest income Pretax net operating income Net income after taxes Total operating revenues Total operating expenses Dividends paid to common stockholders a. b. c. d. e. f. g. $40a −15b 20c 16d 215e 195f 10g Total interest income − Total interest expense ($140 − $100) Total noninterest income − Total noninterest expense ($75 − $90) Net interest income + Net noninterest income − PLL ($40 – $15 − $5) Pretax net operating income − Taxes ($20 − $4) Interest income + Noninterest income ($140 + $75) Interest expenses + noninterest expenses + Provision for loan losses ($100 + $90 + $5) Net income after taxes − increases in bank’s undivided profits ($16 − $6) 5-4. If you know the following figures: Gross loans Allowance for loan losses Investment securities Common stock Surplus Total equity capital Cash and due from banks Miscellaneous assets Bank premises and equipment, gross Please calculate these items: Total assets Net loans Undivided profits Fed funds sold Depreciation Total deposits $300 15 36 5 15 30 10 25 25 Trading-account securities Other real estate owned Goodwill and other intangibles Total liabilities Preferred stock Nondeposit borrowings Bank premises and equipment, net $2 4 3 375 3 40 20 Total assets Net loans Undivided profit Fed funds sold Depreciation Total deposits a. b. c. d. e. f. $405a $285b $7c $20d $5e $335f Total liabilities + Total equity capital ($30 + $375) Gross loans − Allowance for loan losses ($300 – $15) Total equity capital – Preferred stock – Common stock – Surplus ($30 – $15 – $5 – $3) This is the only asset missing so subtract all other assets from total assets Bank premises and equipment, gross – bank premises and equipment, net ($25 – $20) Total liabilities less nondeposit borrowings ($375 – $40) 5-5. The Sea Level Bank has Gross Loans of $800 million with an ALL account of $45 million. Two years ago the bank made a loan for $12 million to finance the Sunset Hotel. Two million dollars in principal was repaid before the borrowers defaulted on the loan. The Loan Committee at Sea Level Bank believes the hotel will sell at auction for $7 million and they want to charge off the remainder immediately. a. The dollar figure for Net Loans before the charge-off is _____. Net Loans = Gross Loans –ALL = $800 − $45 = $755 million b. After the charge-off, what are the dollar figures for Gross Loans, ALL and Net Loans assuming no other transactions? Gross Loans = $800 million – ($10 million − $7 million) = $797 million ALL =$45 million – ($12 million− $2 million − $7 million) = $42 million (The amount of the loan that is bad) Net Loans = Gross Loans – ALL = $797 − $42 = $755 million c. If the Sunset Hotel sells at auction for $10 million, how will this affect the pertinent balance sheet accounts? Gross loans and ALL would not change as the bank would recover all the money invested earlier. 5-10. Which of these account items or entries would normally occur on a bank’s balance sheet (Report of Condition) and which on a bank’s income and expense statement (Report of Income)? Federal funds sold Addition to undivided profits Credit card loans Utility expense Vault cash Allowance for loan losses Depreciation on premises and equipment Commercial and industrial loans Repayments of credit card loans Common stock Deposits due to banks Leases of business equipment to customers Interest received on credit card loans Fed funds purchased Savings deposits Provision for loan losses Service charges on deposits Undivided profits Mortgage owed on the bank’s buildings Other real estate owned Interest paid on money market deposits Securities gains or losses The items which would normally appear on a bank's balance sheet are: Federal funds sold Credit card loans Vault cash Allowance for loan losses Commercial and Industrial Loans Repayments of credit card loans Common stock Federal funds purchased Deposits due to bank Leases of business equipment to customers Savings deposit Undivided profits Mortgage owed on the bank’s buildings Other real estate owned Additions to undivided profits The items which would normally appear on a bank’s income statement are: Interest received on credit card loans Provision for loan losses Depreciation on premises and equipment Interest paid on money market deposits Securities gains or losses Utility expense Service charges on deposits Module 4 Recommended Problems: Chapter 6: #4, 5, & 11 6-4. The latest report of condition and income and expense statement for Smiling Merchants National Bank are as shown in the following tables: Smiling Merchants National Bank (complete) Income and Expense Statement (Report of Income) Interest and fees on loans Interest and dividends on securities Total interest income $50 6 56 Interest paid on deposits Interest on nondeposit borrowings Total interest expense 40 6 46 Net interest income Provision for loan losses Noninterest income and fees Noninterest expenses: Salaries and employee benefits Overhead expenses Other noninterest expenses 10 5 20 10* 5 2 Total noninterest expenses Net noninterest income 17 -2 Pretax operating income Securities gains (or losses) Pretax net operating income Taxes Net operating income Net extraordinary income Net income 8 2 10 2 8 -1 7 *Note: the bank currently has 40 FTE employees. Smiling Merchants National Bank Report of Condition Assets Cash and deposits due from banks Investment securities Federal funds sold Net loans (Allowance for loan losses = 25) (Unearned income on loans = 5) Net Fixed Assets $100 150 10 700 Total assets 980 Total earnings assets 860 50 Liabilities Demand deposits Savings deposits Time deposits Federal funds purchased Total liabilities Equity capital Common stock Surplus Retained earnings Total Capital Interest-bearing deposits $190 180 470 80 920 20 35 35 80 650 Fill in the missing items on the income and expense statement. Using these statements, calculate the following performance measures: ROE ROA Net interest margin Net noninterest margin Net operating margin Earnings spread Net profit margin Asset utilization Equity multiplier Tax management efficiency Expense control efficiency Asset management efficiency Funds management efficiency Operating efficiency ratio What strengths and weaknesses are you able to detect in Smiling Merchants’ performance? ROE = 1. Net income $7 = = 0.0778 or 7.78 percent Total equity capital $90 ROA = 2. Net income $7 = = 0.00714 or 0.71 percent Total assets $980 Net interest margin = 3. Net interest income $10 = = 0.0120 or 1.02 percent Total assets $980 Net noninterest margin = 4. Net operating margin = 5. = 6. Totalinterest income Totalinterest expenses Total earnings assets Totalinterest-bearing liabilities $56 $46 = 0.002103 or 0.21 percent $860 $650 Net profit margin = Net income $7 = = 0.092105 or 9.21 percent Total operating revenues $54 Asset utilization = Total operating revenues $76 = = 0.077551 or 7.76 percent Total assets $980 Equity multiplier = Total assets $980 = = 10.89x Total equity capital $90 7. 8. 9. Total operating revenues - Total operating expenses Total assets $8 = 0.008163 or 0.82 percent $980 Earnings spread = = Net noninterest income -$2 = = -0.00204 or -0.20 percent Total assets $980 Tax Management = 10. Net income $7 = = 0.7 or 70 percent Pretax net operating income $10 11. Expense control effeciency = Pretax net operating income $10 = = 0.131579 or 13.16 percent Total operating revenue $76 Asset managment effeciency ratio = 12. = $76 = 0.07755 or 7.76 percent $980 Total operating revenues Total assets Funds Managment Effeciency Ratio = 13. Total assets $980 = = 10.89x Total equity capital $90 14. Operating effeciency ratio = Total operating expenses $68 = = 0.894737 or 89.47 percent Total operating revenues $76 Strengths: ROE: Positive value reflects a high rate of return flowing to shareholders. Net profit margin: Positive value reflects effectiveness of management in controlling cost and service pricing policies. Asset utilization: Positive value reflects a good portfolio management policies and yield on assets. Equity multiplier: Positive value reflects efficient financial policies. Expense control efficiency, asset management efficiency ratio, funds management efficiency ratio, operating efficiency ratio also reflects a high operating efficiency and expense control. Tax-management efficiency ratio: Positive ratio reflecting the use of security gains or losses and other taxmanagement tools (such as buying tax-exempt bonds) to minimize tax exposure etc. Weaknesses: ROA: Positive value (0.714%) reflects managerial efficiency and how successful management has been in converting assets into net earnings. Since the positive value is only 0.714% it acts as a weakness for Smiling Merchants National Bank. Net noninterest margin: Negative value (−0.2%) reflects that net noninterest income is inline with noninterest cost. Net interest margin: Positive value (1.02%) reflects that management is not successful in achieving close control over earning assets and in utilizing the cheapest sources of funding. Since the positive value is only 1.02% it acts as a weakness for Smiling Merchants National Bank. Earnings spread: Positive value (0.21%) reflects a high competition, forcing management to try and find other ways to make up for an eroding earnings spread. 6-5. The following information is for Rainbow National Bank: Interest income Interest expense Total assets Securities losses or gains Earning assets Total liabilities $2,250.00 1,500.00 45,000.00 21.00 40,000.00 38,000.00 Taxes paid Shares of common stock outstanding Noninterest income Noninterest expense Provision for loan losses 16.00 5,000 $800.00 900.00 250.00 Please calculate: ROE ROA Net interest margin Earnings per share Net noninterest margin Net operating margin ROE = Net income $405 = = 0.058or 5.8 percent Total equity capital $45,000 - $38,000 ROA = Net income $405 = = 0.009 or 0.90 percent Total assets $45,000 Net interest margin = Earnings per share = Net interest income $750 = = 0.01667 or1.67 percent Total assets $45,000 Net income $405 = = $0.081per share Common equity shares outstanding 5,000 Net noninterest margin = Net operating margin = Net noninterest income -$350 = = -0.0078or -0.78 percent Total assets $45,000 Total operating revenues-Total operating expenses $400 = Total assets $45,000 = 0.00889 or 0.89 percent Alternative Scenarios: a. Suppose interest income, interest expenses, noninterest income, and noninterest expenses each increase by 3 percent while all other revenue and expense items shown in the preceding table remain unchanged. What will happen to Rainbow ROE, ROA, and earnings per share? Interest income Interest expense Total assets Securities losses or gains Earning assets Total liabilities Taxes paid $2,317.50 $1,545.00 $45,000.00 $21.00 $40,000.00 $38,000.00 $16.00 Shares of Common Stock outstanding Noninterest income Noninterest expense Provision for loan losses 5,000 $824.00 $927.00 $250.00 ROE = Net income $425 = = 0.06064 or 6.06 percent Total equity capital $45,000 - $38,000 ROA = Net income $425 = = 0.00943or 0.943percent Total assets $45,000 Earnings per share = Net income $425 = = $0.0849 per share Common equity shares outstanding 5,000 b. On the other hand, suppose Rainbow interest income and expenses as well as its noninterest income and expenses decline by 3 percent, again with all other factors held constant. How would the bank’s ROE, ROA, and per-share earnings change? Interest income Interest expense Total assets Securities losses or gains Earning assets Total liabilities Taxes paid Shares of common stock outstanding Noninterest income Noninterest expense Provision for loan losses $2,182.50 $1,455.00 $45,000.00 $21.00 $40,000.00 $38,000.00 $16.00 5,000 $776.00 $873.00 $250.00 ROE = Net income $386 = = 0.05507 or 5.51percent Total equity capital $45,000 - $38,000 ROA = Net income $386 = = 0.00857 or 0.857 percent Total assets $45,000 Earnings per share = Net income $386 = = $0.0771per share Common equity shares outstanding 5,000 6-11. Paintbrush Valley State Bank has just submitted its Report of Condition and Report of Income to its principal supervisory agency. The bank reported net income before taxes and securities transactions of $37 million and taxes of $8 million. If its total operating revenues were $950 million, its total assets $2.7 billion, and its equity capital $250 million, determine the following for Paintbrush Valley: a. Tax management efficiency ratio. b. Expense control efficiency ratio. c. Asset management efficiency ratio. d. Funds management efficiency ratio. e. ROE. Tax management efficiency = a. = $37 million - $8 million $29 million = = 0.7838 or 78.38 percent $37 million $37 million Expense control efficiency = b. = Net income Pretax net operating income Pretax net operating income Total operating revenue $37 million = 0.0389 or 3.89 percent $950 million Asset management efficiency = c. = Total operating revenue Total assets $950 million = 0.3519 or 35.19 percent $2,700 million Fund management efficiency = d. ROE = e. Total assets $2,700 million = = 10.8x Total equity capital $250 million Net income $29 million = = 0.116 or 11.6 percent Total equity capital $250 million Alternative Scenarios: a. Suppose Paintbrush Valley State Bank experienced a 20 percent rise in net before-tax income, with its tax obligation, operating revenues, assets, and equity unchanged. What would happen to ROE and its components? ROE = ROA × Total assets Net income Total assets or × Total equity Total assets Total equity [ $37 × 1.20 - $8 $2,700 × $2,700 $44.4 - $8 $2,700 or × = 0.1456 or 14.56 percent $250 $2,700 $250 This represents a 25 percent increase in ROE, from 11.60 percent to 14.56 percent. Since the equity multiplier did not change, this increase in ROE is due to the increase in ROA, from 1.07 percent to 1.35 percent. b. If total assets climb by 20 percent, what will happen to Paintbrush’s efficiency ratio and ROE? Asset management efficiency ratio = $950 $950 = 0.2932 or 29.32 percent $2,700 × 1.2 $3, 240 This represents a decrease of 16.67 percent. Fund management efficiency = $3,240 million = 12.96x $250 million This represents a 20% increase. ROE would not change since the decrease in the asset management efficiency ratio is offset by the increase in the funds management efficiency ratio. c. What effect would a 20 percent higher level of equity capital have upon Paintbrush’s ROE and its components? Fund management efficiency = $2,700 = 9x $250 1.2 The fund management efficiency ratio decreases from 10.8x to 9x. ROE = Tax management efficiency ratio × Expense control efficiency ratio × Asset management efficiency ratio × Funds management efficiency ratio = 78.38% × 3.89% × 35.19% × 9x = 0.097 or 9.7 percent A 20 percent increase in equity will decrease the ROE by 16.67 percent from 11.6 percent to 9.7 percent. Module 5 Recommended Problems: Chapter 7: #1, 3, 4, 10, 11, 13, & 17 7-1. A government bond is currently selling for $1,195 and pays $75 per year in interest for 14 years when it matures. If the redemption value of this bond is $1,000, what is its yield to maturity if purchased today for $1,195? The yield to maturity ( x ) equation for this bond would be: $1,195 $75 $75 $75 $75 $75 $1,075 ... (1 YTM )1 (1 YTM ) 2 (1 YTM ) 3 (1 YTM ) 4 (1 YTM )13 (1 YTM )14 Using a financial calculator the YTM = 5.4703 percent. 7-3. U.S. Treasury bills are available for purchase this week at the following prices (based upon $100 par value) and with the indicated maturities: a. b. c. $97.25, 182 days. $95.75, 270 days. $98.75, 91 days. Calculate the bank discount rate (DR) on each bill if it is held to maturity. What is the equivalent yield to maturity (sometimes called the bond-equivalent or coupon-equivalent yield) on each of these Treasury Bills? The discount rates and equivalent yields to maturity (bond-equivalent or coupon-equivalent yields) on each of these Treasury bills are: Discount Rates Equivalent Yields to Maturity a. 100 - 97.25 × 360 100 - 97.25 × 365 = 5.44% = 5.67% 100 182 97.25 182 b 100 - 95.75 100 × 360 270 100 - 98.75 100 × 360 91 = 5.67% 100 - 95.75 95.75 × 365 270 = 6.00% 100 - 98.75 98.75 × 365 91 = 5.08% c. = 4.95% 7-4. Farmville Financial reports a net interest margin of 2.75 percent in its most recent financial report, with total interest revenue of $95 million and total interest costs of $82 million. What volume of earning assets must the bank hold? Suppose the bank’s interest revenues rise by 5 percent and its interest costs and earnings assets increase by 9 percent. What will happen to Farmville’s net interest margin? The relevant formula is: Net interest margin = 0.0275 = $95 mill. $82 mill. Total earning assets Then, total earning assets must be $473 million. If revenues rise by 5 percent, and interest costs and earnings assets rise by 9 percent, net interest margin is: Net interest margin = $95(1.05) $82(1.09) 473(1.09) = 99.75 89.38 515.57 = 0.0201 or 2.01 percent 7-10 Sparkle Savings Association has interest-sensitive assets of $400 million, interest-sensitive liabilities of $325 million, and total assets of $500 million. What is the bank’s dollar interest-sensitive gap? What is Sparkle’s relative interest-sensitive gap? What is the value of its interest-sensitivity ratio? Is it asset sensitive or liability sensitive? Under what scenario for market interest rates will Sparkle experience a gain in net interest income? A loss in net interest income? Dollar Interest-Sensitive Gap = ISA – ISL = $400 million − $325 million = $75 million Relative IS Gap = Interest-Sensitivity Ratio = ISA ISL ISA – ISL Bank Size = = $400 $325 $75 $500 = 0.15 = 1.23 Here, the interest sensitivity gap is positive and asset sensitive as the interest sensitive assets are greater than interest sensitive liabilities. Sparkle Savings Association, being an asset sensitive financial firm, will have a positive relative IS gap and an interest-sensitivity ratio greater than 1. In case of a positive IS gap, there will be a gain in net interest income if the market interest rates are rising. For a positive IS gap, there will be a loss in net interest income, if the market interest rates are falling. 7-11 Snowman Bank, N.A., has a portfolio of loans and securities expected to generate cash inflows for the bank as follows: Expected Cash Inflows of Principal and Interest Payments $1,275,600 746,872 341,555 62,482 9,871 Annual Period in Which Cash Receipts Are Expected Current year Two years from today Three years from today Four years from today Five years from today Deposits and money market borrowings are expected to require the following cash outflows: Expected Cash Outflows of Principal and Interest Payments $1,295,500 831,454 123,897 1,005 ----- Annual Period during Which Cash Payments Must Be Made Current year Two years from today Three years from today Four years from today Five years from today If the discount rate applicable to the previous cash flows is 4.25 percent, what is the duration of the Snowman’s portfolio of earning assets and of its deposits and money market borrowings? What will happen to the bank's total returns, assuming all other factors are held constant, if interest rates rise? If interest rates fall? Given the size of the duration gap you have calculated, in what type of hedging should Snowman engage? Please be specific about the hedging transactions needed and their expected effects. Snowman has asset duration of: $1,275,600 1 $746,872 2 $341,555 3 $62,482 4 $9,871 5 DA = (1 0.0425)1 (1 0.0425) 2 (1 0.0425) 3 (1 0.0425) 4 (1 0.0425) 5 $1,275,600 $746,872 $341,555 $62,482 $9,871 (1 0.0425)1 (1 0.0425) 2 (1 0.0425) 3 (1 0.0425) 4 (1 0.0425) 5 $3, 754,097 / $2,273,192= 1.6515 years Snowman has a liability duration of: $1,295,500 1 $831,454 2 $123,897 3 $1,005 4 (1 0.0425)1 (1 0.0425) 2 (1 0.0425) 3 (1 0.0425) 4 DL $1,295,500 $831,454 $123,897 $1,005 (1 0.0425)1 (1 0.0425) 2 (1 0.0425) 3 (1 0.0425) 4 = $3,104,236 / $2,117,934 = 1.4657 years Snowman's duration gap = Dollar-weighted duration of asset portfolio − Dollar-weighted duration of liability portfolio = 1.6515 − 1.4657 = 0.1858 years. Because Snowman's Asset Duration is greater than its Liability Duration, the bank has a positive duration gap, which means that the bank's net worth will decrease if interest rates rise, because the value of the liabilities will decline by less than the value of the assets. On the other hand, if interest rates were to fall, this positive duration gap will increase the net worth. In this case, the value of the assets will rise by a greater amount than the value of the liabilities. Given the magnitude of the duration gap, the management of Snowman Bank, needs to do a combination of things to close its duration gap between assets and liabilities. If the interest rates are rising, it probably needs to try to shorten asset duration and lengthen liability duration to move towards a negative duration gap. The opposite is true if interest rates are expected to fall. The bank can use financial futures or options to deal with whatever asset-liability gap exists at the moment. The bank may want to consider securitization or selling some of its assets, reinvesting the cash flows in maturities that will more closely match its liabilities' maturities. The bank may also consider negotiating some interestrate swaps to change the cash flow patterns of its liabilities to more closely match its asset maturities. 7-13. Conway Thrift Association reports an average asset duration of 7 years and an average liability duration of 4 years. In its latest financial report, the association recorded total assets of $1.8 billion and total liabilities of $1.5 billion. If interest rates began at 5 percent and then suddenly climbed to 6 percent, what change will occur in the value of Conway’s net worth? By how much would Conway’s net worth change if, instead of rising, interest rates fell from 5 percent to 4.5 percent? The key formula is: Change in net worth = DA Δr Δr A DL L (1+r) (1+r) For the change in interest rates from 5 to 6 percent, change in net worth will be: 0.01 0.01 7 1.8 1.4657 1.5 (1+0.05) (1+0.05) = – $0.12 billion – (–$0.05714 billion) = – $0.06286 billion On the other hand, if interest rates decline from 5 to 4.5 percent, change in net worth will be: 0.005 0.005 7 1.8 1.4657 1.5 (1+0.05) (1+0.05) = + $0.06 billion – $0.02857 billion = + $0.03143 billion 7-17 A government bond currently carries a yield to maturity of 6 percent and a market price of $1,168.49. If the bond promises to pay $100 in interest annually for five years, what is its current duration? The duration of the bond is computed as follows: ($100 1) ($100 2) ($100 3) ($100 4) ($1,100 5) 4,950.98 (1 .06)1 (1 .06) 2 (1 .06)3 (1 .06) 4 (1 .06) 5 D $100 $100 $100 $100 $1,100 1,168.5 1 2 3 4 (1 .06) (1 .06) (1 .06) (1 .06) (1 .06) 5 Therefore, the current duration of the bond is 4.23 years. Module 6 Recommended Problems: Chapter 8: #2-4, 7-10; Chapter 9: #1 & 5 8-2 Use the quotes of Eurodollar futures contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange as shown below to answer the following questions: Open High Low Eurodollar (CME)-$1,000,000; pts. of 100% Jun 08 97.2725 97.2875 97.2025 Jly 08 97.2150 97.2250 97.0900 Aug 08 97.1200 97.1200 96.9500 Sep 08 97.1600 97.1850 96.8300 Dec 08 96.9750 97.0050 96.5500 Settle Chg High 97.2150 97.1200 96.9850 96.8850 96.6050 −.0520 −.1150 −.2150 −.2850 −.3800 98.2550 98.1850 98.2200 98.3350 98.2650 Lifetime High/Low Low Low Open Int 91.6800 97.0300 96.9500 91.6800 91.5700 1,264,397 13,725 2,929 1,453,920 1,384,300 Mar 09 Jun 09 Sep 09 Dec 09 Mar 10 96.8850 96.6900 96.4600 96.1650 95.9500 96.9200 96.7350 96.4900 96.2000 95.9850 96.4000 96.2200 96.0200 95.7750 95.5900 96.4550 96.2600 96.0450 95.8000 95.6150 −.4400 −.4500 −.4200 −.3700 −.3350 98.1850 98.0000 97.7700 97.5050 97.2750 91.5750 91.3100 91.2600 91.1600 91.4850 1,229,271 985,412 817,642 607,401 474,017 a. What is the annualized discount yield based on the “low” index price for the nearest March contract? The annualized discount yield is (100 – 96.40) = 3.60 percent b. If your financial firm took a short position at the high price for the day for 15 contracts, what would be the dollar gain or loss at settlement on June 09? Selling at a high price, the firm will realize: ($1,000,000 × [1 − ((3.265 ÷ 100) × 90/360)] × 15 = $14,877,562.50 Value at settlement: ($1,000,000 × [1 − ((3.74 ÷ 100) × 90/360)] × 15 = $14,859,750.00 Therefore, the firm will realize a profit of $14,877,562.50 – $14,859,750.00 = $17,812.50. c. If you deposited the initial required hedging margin in your equity account upon taking the position described in (b), what would be the marked-to-market value of your equity account at settlement? Initial margin paid = $750 × 15 = $11,250 Realized gain on short position = $17,812.5. Thus, equity account balance will be: $11,250 + $17,812.50 = $29,062.50 8-3. What kind of futures or options hedges would be called for in the following situations? a. Market interest rates are expected to increase and your financial firm’s asset-liability managers expect to liquidate a portion of their bond portfolio to meet customers’ demands for funds in the upcoming quarter. The financial firm can expect a lower price when they sell their bond portfolio if the interest rates increase. To hedge, in this situation, the firm should short futures contracts on government securities. The securities will be first sold at a higher price and then purchased when prices are low realizing a profit, provided interest rate really does rise as expected. A similar gain could be made using put options on government securities or on financial futures contracts. b. Your financial firm has interest-sensitive assets of $79 million and interest-sensitive liabilities of $88 million over the next 30 days and market interest rates are expected to rise. The financial firm interest-sensitive liabilities exceed its interest-sensitive assets by $9 million which means the firm will be open to losses if interest rates rise. The firm could sell financial futures contracts or use a put option on government securities or financial futures contracts approximately equal in dollar volume to the $9 million interest-sensitive gap to hedge their risk. c. A survey of Tuskee Bank’s corporate loan customers this month (January) indicates that on balance, this group of firms will need to draw $165 million from their credit lines in February and March, which is $65 million more than the bank’s management has forecasted and prepared for. The bank’s economist has predicted a significant increase in money market interest rates over the next 60 days. The forecast of higher interest rates means the bank must borrow at a higher interest cost which, other things held equal, will lower its net interest margin. To offset the expected higher borrowing costs the bank's management should consider a short sale of financial futures contracts or a put option approximately equal in volume to the additional loan demand. Either government securities or EuroCDs would be good instruments to consider using in the futures market or in the option market. d. Monarch National Bank has interest-sensitive assets greater than interest-sensitive liabilities by $24 million. If interest rates fall (as suggested by data from the Federal Reserve Board) the bank’s net interest margin may be squeezed due to the decrease in loan and security revenue. Monarch National Bank has interest-sensitive assets greater than interest-sensitive liabilities by $24 million. If interest rates fall, the bank's net interest margin will likely be squeezed due to the faster fall in interest income. Purchases of financial futures contracts followed by a subsequent sale or call options would probably help here. e. Caufield Thrift Association finds that its assets have an average duration of 1.5 years and its liabilities have an average duration of 1.1 years. The ratio of liabilities to assets is .90. Interest rates are expected to increase by 50 basis points during the next six months. Caufield has asset duration of 1.5 years and liabilities duration of 1.1. A 50-basis point rise in moneymarket rates would reduce asset values relative to liabilities which mean its net worth would decline. The bank should consider short sales of government futures contracts or put options on these securities or on their related futures contracts. 8-4. Your financial firm needs to borrow $500 million by selling time deposits with 180-day maturities. If interest rates on comparable deposits are currently at 3.5 percent, what is the cost of issuing these deposits? Suppose interest rates rise to 4.5 percent. What then will be the cost of these deposits? What position and types of futures contract could be used to deal with this cost increase? Marginal deposit interest cost = Amount of new deposits to be issued × Annual interest rate × Maturity of deposit in days Annual interest rate × 360 At a rate of 3.5 percent, the interest cost is: $500 million × 0.035 × 30 = $8,750,000 360 At a rate of 4.5 percent, the interest cost would be: $500 million × 0.045 × 30 = $11,250,000 360 A short hedge could be used based upon Eurodollar time deposits, Federal funds futures contracts, or LIBOR futures contract. 8-7. By what amount will the market value of a Treasury bond futures contract change if interest rates rise from 5 to 5.25 percent? The underlying Treasury bond has a duration of 10.48 years and the Treasury bond futures contract is currently being quoted at 113-06. (Remember that Treasury bonds are quoted in 32nds.) Change in value of a T-bond futures contract= -10.48 × $113,187.5 × 0.0025 = -2,824.3 1 + 0.005 8-8. Morning View National Bank reports that its assets have a duration of 7 years and its liabilities average 1.75 years in duration. To hedge this duration gap, management plans to employ Treasury bond futures, which are currently quoted at 112-170 and have a duration of 10.36 years. Morning View’s latest financial report shows total assets of $100 million and liabilities of $88 million. Approximately how many futures contracts will the bank need to cover its overall exposure? Total liability Dliabilities Total assets Dassets Total assets Number of future contracts needed = Duration of the underlying security named in the futures contract Price of the futures contract 88 × 1.75 × $100,000,000 7 100 Number of futures contracts needed = = 468.338 10.36 × $112,531.25 Therefore, the bank needs to sell approximately 468 contracts to hedge the duration gap. 8-9 You hedged your financial firm’s exposure to declining interest rates by buying one September call on Treasury bond futures at the premium quoted on April 15 as referenced in Exhibit 8-4. a. How much did you pay for the call in dollars if you chose the strike price of 11000? (Remember that option premiums are quoted in 64ths.) Price paid per call = 7.96875 × 1,000 = $7,968.75 b. Using the following information for trades taking place on June 10. If you sold the call on June 10, due to a change in circumstances, would you have reaped a profit or loss? Determine the amount of the profit or loss. 9-1. GoodLife National Bank placed a group of 10,000 consumer loans bearing an average expected gross annual yield of 6 percent in a package to be securitized. The investment bank advising GoodLife estimates that the securities will sell at a slight discount from par that results in a net interest cost to the issuer of 4.0 percent. Based on recent experience with similar types of loans, the bank expects 3 percent of the packaged loans to default without any recovery for the lender and has agreed to set aside a cash reserve to cover this anticipated loss. Underwriting and advisory services provided by the investment banking firm will cost 0.5 percent. GoodLife will also seek a liquidity facility, costing 0.5 percent, and a credit guarantee if actual loan defaults should exceed the expected loan default rate, costing 0.6 percent. Please calculate the residual income for GoodLife from this loan securitization. Answer: The estimated residual income for GoodLife National Bank is: Gross Loan Yield 6% - Liquidity Facility Fee 0.5% Security Interest Rate 4% - - Credit Enhancement Fee 0.6% Expected Default On Packaged Loans 3% - = - Underwriting And Advisory Fee 0.5% Expected Residual Income -2.6% 9-5. What type of credit derivatives contract would you recommend for each of the following situations: a. A bank plans to issue a group of bonds backed by a pool of credit card loans but fears that the default rate on these credit card loans will rise well above 6 percent of the portfolio – the default rate it has projected. The bank wants to lower the interest cost on the bonds in case the loan default rate rises too high. Answer: The best solution to this problem is to use credit-linked notes. The interest payments on these notes will change if significant factors change. b. A commercial finance company is about to make a $50 million project loan to develop a new gas field and is concerned about the risks involved if petroleum geologists’ estimates of the field’s potential yield turn out to be much too high and the field developer cannot repay. One possibility for solving this problem is to use a credit option. If the developer cannot repay the loan then the option would pay off. They would lose their premium if the developer can repay the loan but they are protected against significant loss. c. A bank holding company plans to offer new bonds in the open market next month, but knows that the company’s credit rating is being reevaluated by credit-rating agencies. The holding company wants to avoid paying sharply higher credit costs if its rating is lowered by the investigating agencies. A credit risk option would be a good solution to this problem because it protects the bank from higher borrowing costs in the future. If the borrowing costs rise above the spread specified in the option contract, the contract would pay off. d. A mortgage company is concerned about possible excess volatility in its cash flow off a group of commercial real estate loans supporting the building of several apartment complexes. Moreover, many of these loans were made at fixed interest rates, and the company’s economics department has forecast a substantial rise in capital market interest rates. The company’s management would prefer a more stable cash flow emerging from this group of loans if it could find a way to achieve it. One possibility to solve this problem would be to enter into a total return swap with another bank. The other bank would receive total payments of interest and principal on this loan as well as the price appreciation on this loan. The original bank would receive LIBOR plus some spread in return as well as compensation for any depreciation in value of the loan. e. First National Bank of Ashton serves a relatively limited geographic area centered upon a moderate-sized metropolitan area. It would like to diversify its loan income but does not wish to make loans in other market areas due to its lack of familiarity with loan markets outside the region it has served for many years. Is there a derivative contract that could help the bank achieve the loan portfolio diversification it seeks? This bank could enter into a credit swap with another bank. This swap agreement means that the two banks simply exchange a portion of their customers’ loan repayments. The purpose of this type of swap agreement is to help the two banks diversify their market area with having to make loans in an unfamiliar area and further spread out the risk. US TREASURY BONDS (CBOT) $100,000, pts & 64ths of 100 pct Calls Strike Price Jul Sep 10900 — 5-15 11000 3-34 4-31 11100 2-44 3-51 11200 1-59 3-12 11300 1-19 2-40 11400 0-52 2-09 11500 0-31 1-47 Dec — 4-47 — 3-39 — 2-46 2-22 Jul 0-06 0-12 0-22 0-37 0-61 1-30 2-09 Puts Sep 0-58 1-10 1-30 1-54 2-18 2-51 3-25 Dec 1-61 2-20 2-46 3-11 — 4-17 4-57 Selling price of the call: 4.484375 × 1,000= $4,484.40 Therefore, loss on sale of call= $4,484.40 – $7968.75= −$3,484.40 8-10 Refer to the information given for problem 9. You hedged your financial firm’s exposure to increasing interest rates by buying one September put on Treasury bond futures at the premium quoted for April 15 of the same year (see Exhibit 8-4). a. How much did you pay for the put in dollars if you chose the strike price of 11000? (Remember that premiums are quoted in 64ths.) Price of put per contract = 0.765625 × 1,000= $765.625 b. Using the above information for trades on June 10, if you sold the put on June 10 due to a change in circumstances would you have reaped a profit or loss? Determine the amount of the profit or loss. Selling price of put option: 1.15625 × 1,000 = $1,156.25 Therefore, gain on sale of put = $1,156.25 − 765.625= $390.625. Source of solutions: Ross and Hudgins, 2013, Instructor Manual for Bank Management & Financial Services, 9th ed. New York, NY: Mc-Graw Hill, publisher.