Nordstrom Case Debate Outline 1). Company Overview ● Nordstrom, Inc. is a fashion specialty retailer based in Seattle, WA ● Founded by John Nordstrom and Carl Wallin in 1901 as a shoe store ● Went public in 1971 and hit $100 million in sales in 1973 ● Currently operate in 38 states with Nordstrom and Nordstrom Rack, online (nordstrom.com and hautelook.com), and internationally through acquisition of Façonnable ● Chosen as America’s favorite fashion chain in 2013 because of their customer service, ambiance, return policy, and merchandise selection ● Rated one of the best organizations to work for in the US ● Management structure empowers sales employees, giving them the freedom to use their best judgment in all situations with no other restrictions ● Operate on the strategy of putting customer service above all else and keeping employees happy ● $720 million net income in 2014 2). Industry Overview/ Competitions We assign Nordstrom a high uncertainty rating. Nordstrom operates in the highly cyclical retail industry, which poses many risks for investors. Although the company benefits from more-affluent customers who have continued spending even through tough economic times, Nordstrom and other high-end retailers were not immune to recession-related sales and margin declines. Currently, growth in high-end consumer spending has been strong, and Nordstrom appears to be gaining market share through comp-store sales gains, including an improving online business. However, there is a risk that luxury consumer spending could slow, or that same-store sales increases become harder to attain as comparisons become tougher. As stores age, the company faces the risk that it will not be able to refurbish its store base at a cost that generates positive returns on capital, or that customers' tastes and preferences could change and Nordstrom would no longer be as fashionable a place to shop. Nordstrom's high dependence on fashion apparel and footwear makes it vulnerable to buyers' and designers' ability to consistently be on-trend with fashion offerings, and it is also vulnerable to vendors' ability to deliver products on time and at a reasonable cost. There is the risk that Nordstrom could eventually face increased competition. Macy's is upgrading its merchandise assortment and growing sales online and at Bloomingdale's, while Saks has been adding affordable luxury. Other retailers such as Neiman Marcus and Lord & Taylor have received private equity funding, and eventually could grow store bases again. Still, we note that Nordstrom has been using its operating system for decades, and that the competitive environment has been tough in retail as long as the industry has existed. If the company can continue generating high inventory turns and high sales per square foot, the cash returns it makes will be a driver of being able to invest in staying one step ahead of the competition. Our fundamental outlook for the department stores sub-industry is neutral. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, sales at department stores (excluding leased departments) decreased 2.1% in 2014, to $167.8 billion. We believe this decline was largely driven by sales losses at a major moderate-price department store chain that resulted from changes in its pricing and merchandising strategies. Department stores faced tough apparel sales comparisons in the first half of 2013 as they benefited in 2012 from an early arrival of spring weather and a new color trend in fashion. In addition, we think consumers took advantage of low interest rates and looser credit standards to spend more on big ticket durables (e.g., cars and appliances) and less on apparel. Following what was a highly promotional and challenging holiday season, department stores in 2014 benefited from easier comparisons and continued labor market improvement. We also think there tends to be a lag of about a year before increased wealth leads to increased spending, so 2013's and 2014's stock price appreciation likely were more beneficial to consumer spending in 2014. However, we are concerned about caution from lower-end consumers weighing store traffic and demand. We believe department stores offering differentiated products and engaging multi-channel shopping experiences will gain market share in 2015. We see best-in-class department stores creating a sense of newness for shoppers with more frequent product deliveries. They are also tailoring merchandise assortments by store to improve sales productivity. The goal is to grow sales by delivering the brands, styles, and sizes customers want. Year to date through March 13, the S&P Department Stores Index was up 4.8%, versus a flat S&P 1500 Composite Index. In 2014, the sub-industry index rose 16.5% compared to a 10.9% gain for the S&P 1500. --Efraim Levy 3). Pertinent Issues (Technology Undermining Customer Service) (Decreasing in-store sales) (Focus on 4). Connections to Class materials 5). Recommendations Nordstrom Information to Develop Case Debate: From Seeking Alpha: The company plans to invest $4.3 billion or 5% of sales over the next 5 years. The allotment of the investment is expected to be technology advancements (35%), new stores including the entrance into Canada and Manhattan (43%), and reinvestment in existing stores (22%). Nordstrom opened their first international store in the company's long history. The first opening, in Calgary, Alberta, presents a terrific opportunity for the company to prove itself where other US retailers have failed recently. This store opening is just the beginning with plans to open five additional Canadian stores in 2015 and 2016. Outside of this near term, the company believes they could have as many as 10 full stores, up to 20 Nordstrom Racks, and a separate e-commerce platform for the country. The Canadian market is expected to represent a $1 billion-plus sales opportunity for the company. While I think the Canadian market presents Nordstrom with a significant growth opportunity, I think it's more important to look at the big picture. This Canadian expansion will allow the company to test their abilities internationally for the first time and give them an indicator of whether they can penetrate other international markets in the future, which could unlock significant expansion opportunities. While international growth is certainly on the company's mind, they are continuing to expand in the US. The company plans to open 5 full-line domestic stores and 27 new domestic rack stores. As you can see by the numbers, the Nordstrom Rack stores, which act as a Nordstrom outlet with reduced prices, are growing at a much faster clip than the full-line stores. With the 2015 new domestic Rack stores, the 26 planned openings for 2016, and consistent openings from 2017 through 2020, the company expects to reach 300 Rack stores by 2020. While the full-line stores are important to the company, the Rack stores are the #1 source of new customers, with nearly 4 million in 2014. New customers are defined as customers having purchased within the last year, but has not shopped at a Nordstrom store in the four years prior. These new customers and new location openings are the reason the Rack achieved sales growth of 17% in 2014. I believe the Rack stores will continue to drive sales increases going forward as the company makes the investment to expand these stores through the US. As the retail consumer transitions from an in-person shopper to an online shopper, it is important that the company continues to evolve their sales model to accommodate this new environment. I believe that Nordstrom is doing this with their technology investments concentrating on investing in a merchandising solution, expansion of their fulfillment network, the launching of the nordstromrack.com, and the acquisition of Trunk Club. Out of these technological advancements, I think the Trunk Club is the most noteworthy going forward. The Trunk Club is a progressive take on the retail landscape as it services men by sending them a trunk full of hand-picked premium clothes for them to try on at home, choose from, and return the unwanted articles at no cost. At first glance, this is a very different strategy than Nordstrom is accustomed to offering. However, by taking a closer look, it fits their model better than one might think. First, the purchase is giving them access to a new male audience that probably doesn't currently shop at Nordstrom if they're having clothes delivered. But most importantly, this will be a source of traffic in their physical locations as customers of the service will enter the store to return or exchange articles they received in the mail. This fits in with their current model, as Nordstrom has always been known to return any type of merchandise, because they feel like once you're in the stores, their superb sales team will be able to convert you to being a customer. I think this seemingly small acquisition will prove to be very beneficial for the company as it introduces them to a whole new customer. SWOT Analysis 1. Nearly 120 Full-Line stores and 110 Nordstrom Racks 2. Revenue performance is strong and has a good market reputation among customers 3. 52,000+ employees 4. Operates in Clothing, footwear, bedding, furniture, jewelry, beauty products, cafe, and House Ware category 5. Offers free shipment options to customers which adds experience and Strength value 1.Presence in other continents Is very low Weakness 2. Presence of many similar stores means market share is stagnant 1.Disposable income is increasing of the customers 2. Tapping the international market specially emerging economies 3. Acquisition of smaller retail chains Opportunity 4. More visibility through advertising and customer focused services 1. Reducing Sales may dilute brand equity 2.Emotional connect with customer might decline Threats 3. Strong competitors and economic scenario can affect operations Possible Ideas for where we can make a point with our strategy suggestions? Nordstrom‘s effort is not nearly as risky as Whole Foods’, but it’s not wise. It is trialing curbside pickup for online purchases. The intent is to offer convenience when shoppers just want to pick up something purchased online. “A store employee will run the purchase outside so the customer never has to leave his car,” said a report in the Puget Sound Business Journal, which then quoted Nordstrom President Jamie Nordstrom saying, "We're trying to make shopping more convenient. In the past, we’ve made people come all the way up to the back of the third floor.” At a glance, it seems an admirable effort, extending the customer service reputation of the chain. But the true realization of that goal would be a white-glove home delivery of the item, where the employee would unwrap the product and remove all of the packing debris. (Take that Amazon Frustration-Free Packaging.) Then the associate would assist with the item, potentially helping the shopper find apparel items that would complement the new purchase. That's the kind of service people expect from Nordstrom's, not throwing a package in the car and running off. In the classic battle of mostly-in-store retailer versus mostly online e-tailers, the stores need to flex their muscles. With Nordstrom’s, it’s taking their legendary customer service, complete with endless patience and that Nordstrom “we’ll take care of everything” attitude and amplifying it. Curbside provides no opportunities to make the experience powerful. Yes, curbside can be quick and convenient, but it’s playing into e-commerce’s hands because that is something that the Amazons of the world can match and better. Play that game at your own peril. 3). Pertinent Issues (Technology Undermining Customer Service) 4). Connections to Class materials 5). Recommendations Nordstrom Information to Develop Case Debate: