Economics of health care 1st November 2002 Topic 4. Market failure in health care 1. ‘Perfect competition’ and efficiency On the supply side: No barriers to entry and exit Large number of firms Highly competitive – no ‘price setting power’ On the demand side: Consumers have perfect information (prices, quality) Make decisions in their own best interests Predictions of the model of perfect competition: P = MC Economic profits = zero Allocatively efficient quantity of the good will be produced and consumed. Perfect competition and perfect contestability. 2. Market failure and the rationale Government involvement in health care for Deviations from perfect competition Allocative inefficiency The positive and normative economics of market failure. Principal sources of market failure: External effects Merit goods Public goods Asymmetric information and imperfect agency Imperfect competition 3. Externalities Where the benefits (or costs) of consumption (or production) spill over onto others. External costs External benefits External benefits mean that the MV society > MV private. ‘Too little’ will be consumed in a private market. £ MVsocial MC MVprivate Quantity of the good Vaccinations, externalities & herd effects. MV £ MV social MV private Quantity of vaccinations Herd immunity achieved Eg. 80% coverage 100% coverage MVprivate falls to zero once herd immunity has been achieved. MVsocial shows increasing external benefit per vaccination up until the point of herd immunity, where it also falls to zero. Q: Is this a reasonable way of representing the likely MVprivate and MVsocial for vaccinations? What other shapes might these have? Implications for allocative efficiency MV £ MV social MC3 MV private MC2 MC1 Q3 Q2 Q4 Quantity of vaccinations Q1 100% coverage Herd immunity achieved e.g. 80% coverage At low marginal cost (MC1): market will deliver the socially optimal quantity of vaccinations (Q1). The external effect is irrelevant. At medium marginal cost (e.g. MC2): consumers choose Q2 which is < social optimum (Q1) which is the herd immunity quantity of vaccinations. At a high MC (e.g. MC3): socially optimal quantity of vaccinations (Q4) will be > that resulting from the market (Q3) – but the social optimum (Q4) will be less than herd immunity (Q1). 4. Merit goods 5. Caring externalities Interdependent utility functions Maximisation of utility ‘efficient redistribution’ MU of B’s income to A MU of A’s income to A A’s income B’s income 6. Public goods (and why most health care is not a public good) ‘Pure’ public goods have two characteristics: Non-rival Non-excludable Implications for market failure. Free rider effects Q: Is health care a public good? Are there any aspects of the benefits of health services that have public good characteristics? 7. Asymmetric Information, agency & the Supplier Induced Demand (SID) hypothesis. Asymmetric information Principal agent theory Imperfect agency Conditions for SID to be possible: Asymmetric information Financial incentives for inducement Issues in defining SID “Demand inducement occurs when a physician provides or recommends the provision of medical services that differ from what the patient would choose if he or she had available the same information and knowledge as the physician” (Rice 1984) i.e. a positive definition, as distinct from normative definitions which may invoke: Over-treatment (more than is ‘needed’) Unethical SID: demand greater than it ‘should be’. Rice’s definition does not require SID to be ‘a response to financial incentives’. Static (comparative) SID: SID exists if actual demand is greater than it would be under some condition where inducement did not exist. = tautological; difficult to test Compensatory SID: doctors respond to a change in supply (or other market conditions) by ‘shifting’ their patients’ demand schedules. = forms the basis for much empirical testing of SID. Testing the SID hypothesis i.The relationship between quantity demanded and doctor:population ratios. ii.The relationship between doctor:population ratios. prices and (see accompanying slides, not reproduced here) Problem: results may appear ‘suggestive’ of SID but are consistent with the outcomes of a competitive (non-inducement) model. iii. The response of doctors to a change in payment rates. Target income hypothesis. Problem: Under ‘backward bending supply’ conditions, a reduction in payment rates would lead to an increase in quantity supplied – so results cannot distinguish between inducement and non-inducement. (see accompanying slide, not reproduced here) iv. Doctors (& their families) as perfectly informed consumers. Problem: differences in prices charged and other relevant characteristics. 8. Imperfect competition: barriers to entry, profit and pricing. Monopoly (price setting) power Barriers to entry in the hospital (and other health services) sector 9. Where does equity fit in as a rationale for Government involvement in health?