CHARACTERIZATION OF APPLE PRODUCTION IN THE NORTH INTERIOR OF PORTUGAL: A Microeconomic Perspective1 João Rebelo2 Abstract The aim of this paper was to characterise in microeconomic terms apple production in the north interior of Portugal (region of Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro) so that the indicators presented can be compared with those verified in other situations. Taking into account the complexity of the fruit cluster, where various conditioning factors intervene, we presented the framework of apple production (general aspects, typology of the fruit farms and the marketing chain) and evaluated, from a financial perspective, the feasibility of setting up apple orchards with 4, 8 and 12 ha respectively. In order to do so, we described and quantified in some detail the investment, current benefits and costs, cash-flows and net benefits involved and considered the optimal dimensions. Furthermore, we also described the costs of investment and storage/packing associated with the predominant systems of conservation (refrigeration), normalisation and packing existing in the region. 1. Introduction The aim of this paper is to characterise and evaluate in microeconomic terms the activity of apple production in the north interior of Portugal of which the standard results presented may be used as basis for a comparison/extrapolation (benchmarking) in other contexts, in particular those regions of Romania that present identical/similar characteristics. Naturally competitive advantage in fruit growing, as in of any other sector/activity, is dependent on the capacity to manage and retain the value added within its own filière. Figure 1, adapted from Porter (1990), summarises the determinants (elements and relations) which should be considered in the assessing of the competitive advantages of the fruit cluster, as a means of detecting the strengths, weaknesses, threats and opportunities and on the basis of which one can stipulate the most appropriate strategies and tactics for competitive success. Figure 2 illustrates the typical market flow for apple production. While conscious that for clear appreciation of the whole sector the systemic approach included in figure 1 should be adopted, as well as the various activities of the filière inherent in the production and commercialisation of apples, in this paper we restrict the analysis to the 1 2 The information included in this paper reflects the academic background of the author (namely his PhD in Economics), his experience as a small apple producer in the county of Lamego, and his fruitful contacts with fruit farms and conservation, normalisation and packing plants in the region. Department of Economics and Sociology of the University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro. 1 third and fourth rectangle of figure 2, with special emphasis on the economic conditions of apple production. To this end, we present the indicators related to the framework of the production activity in the north interior of Portugal (general aspects, typology of apple farms and the marketing chain), to the financial and economic evaluation of the apple orchards (investment, farm costs and benefits, net benefits and cash-flows and optimal dimension) as well the description of conservation, normalisation and packing plants (investment associated with the dominant type of plants and the costs of conservation, normalisation and packing). We conclude with some final remarks. 2 FIRM STRATEGY STRUCTURE AND RIVALRY Type of farms Producer organisations Rivalry experience regarding price and quality Agricultural policy FACTOR CONDITIONS Physical resources (land, water, etc.) Human resources (quantity, skills, etc.) Capital resources (amount and cost) Infrastructures (transports and communications) DEMAND CONDITION Home demand conditions Demand size and growth pattern Internationalisation of domestic demand RELATING AND SUPPORTING SECTORS Suppliers competitive advantage Relationships with suppliers and institutions Professional associations Use of the rejected fruit Figure 1 – The competitive advantage of the horticultural cluster 3 FARM INPUTS Rootstocks; agro-chemicals; tractors and tools; lubricants; irrigation material; refrigeration, normalisation and packaging equipment. equipment; etc. FARM RETAIL SUPPLY FARM PRODUCTON (APPLES) (Technical and economic conditions) MARKETING CHAIN Spot market Own vertical integration Farmers firm Co-operatives FOOD WHOLESALING FOOD SERVICES OUTLETS FOOD RETAILING CONSUMERS Figure 2 – Typical marketing flow to apple production 4 2. Framework of the apple production activity in the north interior of Portugal 2.1. General aspects Portugal is a country with a population of roughly 9.9 million distributed over an area of 91,950 km2 with extremely varied horographic and climatic conditions. Typically it has mild Mediterranean climate which is moderated by the influence of the Atlantic Ocean. The summers are hot and dry, whereas the winters are relatively mild with the exception of a few days where the temperatures can fall to below zero. The north interior is a mountainous region with a wider temperature range than the rest of the country. On a national scale the main fruit crops3 are oranges (20,383 ha), apples (23,967 ha), pears (13,087 ha), peaches (10,977 ha), figs (8,403 ha), grapes (7,518 ha) cherries (3,656 ha) and kiwis (1,117 ha). As is the case with most farm products, Portugal is a net importer of fresh fruit. In the 1996/97 season its degree of a self-sufficiency degree was 69.3% against a consumption of 104 kg/per-capita (table 1). The apple production met only 81.4% of internal demand4, the annual consumption per-capita5 being 27 kg. Portugal imports primarily from Spain, France, Argentina and Chile, 36%, 32%, 14% and 8% respectively. The Golden Delicious variety made up 35% of the total imports. It exports mainly to Spain (about 65% total) and 18% of the total apples exported are used as rejects/seconds consumed in the manufacturing of cider. Table 1 - Supply balance of fresh fruit in 1996/97(tons) Production (tons) Imports (tons) Fresh fruit 818,000 430,000 Apple 236,000 67,000 Exports Human consumption per-capita (kg) Self-sufficiency (%) 86,000 104 69,3 13,000 27 81,4 (tons) Source: Planning and Agri- food Policy Division; Ministry of Agriculture, Rural Development and Fisheries 3 4 5 Data from July 1999, kindly supplied by the Planning and Agri-food Policy Division of the Ministry of Agriculture, Rural Development and Fisheries. We emphasise, however, that in the last few years due to bad climatic conditions, production has been lower than that obtained under normal conditions. Of the 290,000 tons used only 270,000 tons are for human consumption, losses constituting the differential (6,9%). 5 In the last decade there has been a gradual process of converting apple orchards6 with the uprooting of the obsolete trees and the planting of new ones; effects which will be felt in a near future. From this arises the expectation that Portugal will be able to reach a degree of apple self-sufficiency of over 100%, without increasing the cultivated area, that is, via an increase in productivity. Although apple orchards are geographically spread out practically throughout the country, they are most prominent in the north interior of Portugal (counties of Lamego, Tarouca, Armamar, Moimenta da Beira and Carrazeda de Ansiães), making up about 20% of the total area of the country and 40% of the national production. Due to the climatic conditions, namely the occasional late frosts, annual production is subject to strong variations. In order to reduce the risks linked to these climatic variations and to reduce the negative impact of the incomes of fruit growers, the Portuguese government has set up an insurance scheme for apple trees from the third year of plantation onwards, and subsidises about 60% of the insurance premium. Most of the fruit growers take out this insurance policy. 2.2. Typology of apple farms The apple farms are exclusively private almost all carry out their activity in own rustic property. The area of farms producing of apples varies considerably, between 0.3 ha and 50 ha with the most frequent being between 2 and 4 ha. Even though the apple tree is the main crop, most of the farmers also grow grapes and vegetables for household consumption, other fruit (cherries, peaches and dried fruit) and even raise cattle (cows and sheep). Although this type of farming does not allow the maximum benefit from the economies of scale associated with large scale of monoproduction, it does allow for pooling of risks associated with the climatic factors, market conditions and even the scope economies (synergy) in the use of resources, for example, use of year-long permanently available labour. 6 Financial help in the form of subsidies contributed to this conversion both at the start and to establish new orchards. European Agricultural Guidance and Guarantee Fund (EAGGF-Guidance) granted this. 6 Apple production is made up of the Golden Group (about 30%), Red Delicious (about 40%) and the rest, varieties like Granny Smith, Bravo Esmolfe (a specific Portuguese variety) and Reineta. Recently, although on a small scale, Galaxy and Fuji orchards have been set up. A few years ago seasonal varieties like Vista Bella, Jersey Mac and Summered were tried out, but these were not commercially successful. The market has also not been totally receptive to the Jonagold and Jonagored varieties. Regarding management, there are family-owned farms as well as firm-run farms, with the former being more prominent. A farm is classified as family owned if it meets the following requirements: - 50% of the labour is carried out by the household members who benefit from at least 50% of the total income. - The labour does not exceed two workman units (WMU), where 1 WMU equals 240 days (1,920 hours) of work/year. Firm-run farms are those which do not meet these requirements. Taking into account the income and the labour time involved in the farming activity by the farmers, there are both full-time farmers (person whose income derived from farming is equal or superior to 50% of their global income and who spends more than 50% of their total labour time on the same farm) and part-time farmers (person who does not fulfil the former conditions), the former being the dominant category. In conclusion, there are various types of farms and farmers, who generally fit into the following categories: - Part-time farmers with multiple activities, where farming only complements the income and activity of other occupations in which they are either employer or employee. Generally these farms are small. - Full-time farmers have farms with areas between 4 and 40 ha. 2.3. Marketing chain Typically there are five systems for conservation, normalisation, packing and commercialisation of the fruit. 7 a) Direct marketing to the intermediary/fruit dealer (spot market). In this case the farmers sell the produce during/after the harvesting season to intermediaries7, thus investing only in the production sector. In the everincreasing concentration of distribution of agri-food products this type of commercialisation has been losing importance to alternatives approaches. b) Downstream vertical integration, with sales to intermediaries (incomplete vertical integration). In this case the farm invests only in conservation (refrigeration) equipment and in some cases in small grading systems, selling the fruit to intermediaries. This option is more frequent in farms of average size (between 5 and 10 ha). Oversee these fruit growers have the capacity to refrigerate 27,000 tons (an average of 200 tons per fruit grower). c) Downstream vertical integration on the part of the fruit grower, with direct sales in the consumer market (complete vertical integration). This system is adopted by bigger farms (generally with an area of over 20 ha), those which usually sell the apples essentially to the wholesalers, supermarkets and hypermarkets. This alternative implies investing in refrigeration, normalisation, packing and distribution equipment. As a whole, these fruit growers have the capacity to refrigerate 16,000 tons (an average of 800 tons/fruit grower). d) Co-operatives (formal co-operation). There are two fruit co-operatives in the region capable of refrigerating 8,000 tons (about 60% controlled atmosphere and 40% normal atmosphere). Despite subsequent technological changes, these units were first installed in the late 1960's and early 1970's as a result of the first boom in apple tree plantation and to meet the demands of the farmers. These organisations whose aim is to associate small-scale farmers, have had difficulties in penetrating key markets, mostly due to the organisational complexity and the type of management inherent in the legal status of the cooperative firms (Vitaliano, 1983) and to the free-rider problem on the part of the associates (leaving the co-operative when production is low and prices are better through other means of commercialisation). 7 In some cases the buyer does picking. 8 e) Producer firms (informal co-operation). These are private companies run by farmers who co-ordinate their commercial activity horizontally, installing a unit which stores (refrigerates), packs and normalises the fruit of its associates who, as in the co-operative, are autonomous in the regarding management decisions. Essentially the difference between this and a co-operative is the legal form and the concomitant differences in organisational and management. In the last decade this has been the preferred option. Four units with the capacity to refrigerate 15,000 tons (60% controlled atmosphere and 40% normal atmosphere) have been constituted in the region. Regarding forward individual integration, these units allow simultaneous economies of scale to be reached, namely in transaction costs and the capacity to negotiate with firms involved in the final distribution (supermarkets and hyper-markets) which is ever and more concentrated and absorbs an increasing share of the market (over to 50%). The option to sell the fruit via one the above means is a strategic choice where various factors are involved, both at the level of capital/risk and management. Peterson and Wysocki (1998) suggest some factors to take into consideration when deciding to opt for the strategy of co-ordination/vertical integration. In point 4 we will summarise the investment and respective exploitation costs associated with the systems referred to in b), c) and e). 3. Financial and economic evaluation of the apple orchards In this section we present a set of indicators relevant to the investment, costs and gross benefits of exploitation which allow us to calculate the associated net benefit of alternative orchards with 4, 8 and 12 ha. Underlying the choice of these three options was, essentially, the possibility of mechanisation using either a hired or self-owned tractors and also the fact that, in region’s case, 4 ha is considered to be the minimum size for the farm to be placed in the category of full-time farmer. The monetary values are all given in US dollars ($). 9 3.1. Investment The investment associated with the setting up of orchards varies naturally with the concrete conditions of each farm. In the region, besides the direct investment in plantations (preparation of the ground, correction of soil conditions, fertilisation, plants, supports, wire and labour) there is also the need to trap water supplies, store water and install of watering systems. The latter two are important because the availability of water is more and more one of the critical factors to consider when deciding on investment in plantations. a) Investment in plantations (cost/hectare and global). In order to calculate the investment per hectare, we consider the following assumptions: - Three types of soil exist, which influence the preparation of the ground for plantation: Deep soils only need deep ploughing; soils on flat land need deep digging and levelling; half slopes soils need terracing, deep digging and levelling. - All soils in the region are acidic and poor in organic matter, therefore, in need of organic matter and fertilisers (phosphorous and potassium). - Apple trees are planted at intervals of 4.5x1.5m2 (1,400 units/ha), on a central axis and using M9 rootstocks. - The irrigation is carried out using drip irrigation. The droppers are at distance of 1.25 m from each other, that is, 1,680 droppers/ha (1,400x1.5m /1.25m), each of them with a capacity of 4 litres/hour. There is a total consumption of 1,512m3/season/ha in an average annual period of watering for 3 months and 2.5 hours/day. - The average investment in water accessing and storage (bore holes, wells, ponds, tanks, etc.) is of about $2,000/ha. - The average cost of drip irrigation is $2,600/ha. In table 2, we summarise the investment in the various components of plantation sizes, for the three types of soils and areas, including the access and storage of water and drip irrigation. Naturally, besides the monetary economies (for example, low prices associated with greater volumes of purchases and/or services), if the plantations are established in a single block it is possible to obtain technical economies (less consumption of some parts of the investment), therefore, some scale economies. Nevertheless, besides the difficulty of quantifying these savings they are not considered relevant, so we have not included them in our analysis. 10 Table 2 - Investment in planting and watering Unit Cost ($) Preparation soil/ha -Caterpillar tractor (hours) -Tractor (hours) Correction/fertilisations soil/ha -Lime (tons) -Organic materials (tons) Rootstocks/ha (units) Supports/ha (units) Wire/ha (kg) Labour/ha (man days) Total plantation/ha Accessing and storage water/ha Drip irrigation/ha Total investment/ha Orchard with 4 ha - Plantation - Accessing and storage water - Irrigation - Total Orchard with 8 ha - Plantation - Accessing and storage water - Irrigation - Total Orchard with 12 ha - Plantation - Accessing and storage water - Irrigation - Total No sub-soil ploughing Quant. Value ($) 42 18 20 360 48 70 2 4,6 0,8 21 5 6 1,400 280 500 5 240 420 2,800 1,288 400 105 5,613 2,000 2,600 10,213 Plane soil Quant. Value ($) Slope soil Quant. Value ($) 50 8 2,100 144 80 8 3,360 144 5 6 1,400 280 500 5 240 420 2,800 1,288 400 105 7,497 2,000 2,600 12,097 5 6 1,400 280 500 5 240 420 2,800 1,288 400 105 8,757 2,000 2,600 13,357 22,452 8,000 10,400 40,852 29,988 8,000 10,400 48,388 35,028 8,000 10,400 53,428 44,904 16,000 20,800 81,704 59,976 16,000 20,800 96,776 70,056 16,000 20,800 106,856 67,356 24,000 31,200 122,556 89,964 24,000 31,200 145,164 105,084 24,000 31,200 160,284 b) Investment in mechanisation (tractor and tools) In the region, typically, farms of a smaller size (with an area of less than 4 ha) do not have their own tractor, farms of average size have a tractor of between 35 and 45 HP (an average of 40 HP) and tools, whereas the bigger farms have tractors of 75 HP and the respective tools. On the other hand, regardless of the size, all fruit farms are mechanised. The smaller ones hire tractor, the average-sized and bigger farms have their own. This means an investment in tractor and tools according to options A and B described in table 3. 11 Table 3 - Investment in tractor and tools ($) Option A Tractor 75 HP Tractor 40 HP Cable 5,000 Kg Cable 3,125 kg Sprayer 1000 L with turbine Sprayer 400 L with turbine Scarificador Disk harrow Plough Other tools Total Option B 29,000 16,700 2,800 2,000 5,500 2,300 520 1,200 670 1,500 24,890 520 1,200 670 1,500 41,190 3.2. Farm costs and benefits The values given for the costs and benefits associated with the production of apples assume the following underlying data: - The orchards begin their cycle of production in the third year, reaching a stable production from the 5th year onwards. Between the 5th and 15th year the average production is 40 tons/ha. - Of the total production, 10% is sold as rejects/seconds for agro-industrial use (manufacture of cider) and the rest is sold for human consumption (consumed fresh). - The average selling prices on leaving the farm are: apple for human consumption, $235/ton; apples for industry, $36/ton. - Annually, fertilisation is done with organic matter and fertilisers. In the phase of full production this represents a cost of $240/ha. - The average cost of pharmaceuticals treatments for a full-production orchard is 13/14 per season, with an annual cost of $580/ha in pharmaceuticals. This may, however, vary according to the location and annual climatic conditions. - The average cost of energy used on irrigation is $200/ha. - The harvest insurance for production of 40 tons, where the producer must pay about 40% of the total premium (the other 60% is paid by the state) amounts to $310/ha. 12 - Where the farms own the tractors and tools, the cost ($2.6/hour) is only for the fuel and lubricants. Besides these costs, one still has to consider from the 3rd year onwards, there are annual maintenance and repair costs (4% of the value of the equipment). The same cost applies to drip irrigation. - The tractor and tools have a life of 10 years with a depreciation of 10%/year. - The life of the plantation investment is 15 years, the life of accessing and storage water and the materials for drip irrigation is also 15 years, with an annual depreciation of 6.67%/year. - As is the case for the investment, there can be technical and monetary economies associated with the increase in size in the variable costs, which are of little importance and which do not change the cash-flow. Tables 4 and 5 show bimonthly use of labour (man days) and mechanised traction (hours), as well as the respective variable costs until the year of stable production, at which point they too stabilise. Table 4 - Labour use and expenditure Labour use/ha (man days) - January/February - March/April - May/June - July/August - September/October - November/December - Total year Wage/day ($) Orchard with 4 ha - Labour use (days/year) - Expenditure ($) Orchard with 8 ha - Labour use (days/year) - Expenditure ($) Orchard with 12 ha - Labour use (days/year) - Expenditure ($) 1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 8 4 4 4 20 10 21 12 21 40 21 10 4 4 4 31 2 55 21 12 4 4 4 54 2 80 21 40 840 48 1,008 160 3,360 220 4,620 320 6,720 80 1,680 96 2,016 320 6,720 440 9,240 640 13,440 120 2,520 144 3,024 480 10,080 660 13,860 960 20,160 13 5th year Table 5 – Tractor use and expenditure 1st year Tractor use/ha (hours) - January/February - March/April - May/June - July/August - September/October - November/December - Total year Owned tractor -Cost/hour ($) Hired tractor – Cost/hour ($) Orchard with 4 ha - Tractor use (hours/year) - Expenditure ($) Orchard with 8 ha - Tractor use (hours/year) - Expenditure ($) Orchard with 12 ha - Tractor use (hours/year) - Expenditure ($) 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year 2 4 4 4 0 0 14 2.6 16 3 6 6 6 0 0 21 2.6 16 4 8 8 8 6 0 34 2.6 16 5 10 10 10 8 0 43 2.6 16 6 10 10 10 14 0 50 2.6 16 56 896 84 1,344 136 2,176 172 2,752 200 3,200 112 291 168 437 272 707 344 894 400 1,040 168 437 252 655 408 1,061 516 1,342 600 1,560 Table 6 shows other variable costs up to the point when the orchard reaches full production. Table 7 includes the gross benefits. Both the costs and the gross benefits are considered to be stable from the year of stable production onwards. Table 6 - Other variable costs ($) Fertilisation/ha Pharmaceuticals treatments/ha Electric power/irrigation/ha Harvest insurance/ha Total cost/ha Orchard with 4 ha Orchard with 8 ha Orchard with 12 ha 1st year 2nd year 3rd year 50 80 105 200 300 400 100 120 160 52 350 500 717 1,400 2,000 2,868 2,800 4,000 5,736 4,200 6,000 8,604 14 4th year 185 500 200 160 1,045 4,180 8,360 12,540 5th year 240 580 200 310 1,330 5,320 10,640 15,960 Table 7 - Gross benefits 1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year 9 1 10 18 2 20 36 4 40 2,115 36 2,151 4,230 72 4,302 8,460 144 8,604 8,604 17,208 25,812 17,208 34,416 51,624 34,416 68,832 103,248 Production/ha (tons) - For fresh consumption - Industrial use - Total Production value/ha ($) - For fresh consumption ($235/ton) - Industrial refuse ($36/ton) - Total Gross benefits ($) - Orchard with 4 ha - Orchard with 8 ha - Orchard with 12 ha 3.3. Net benefits and cash-flows Taking into account the values of the costs and gross benefits presented above (tables 7 and 8) and using as reference the investment in the intermediate situation of farms on flat soil (table 2), at this point we present the net benefit inherent to each type of farm (tables 8, 9 and 10). Table 8 - Net benefits, orchard with 4 ha on flat land ($) 0 year 1 – Gross benefits 2 – Investment 3 – Variable costs 3.1 – Labour 3.2 – Tractor 3.3 – Other variable costs 3.4 – Equipment maintenance (4%) 3.5 – Total (3.1+...+3.5) 4 – Cash-flow (1-2-3.5) 5 – Depreciation of assets 5.1 – Plantation (6.67%) 5.2 – Accessing/storage water (6.67%) 5.3 – Irrigation (6.67%) 5.4 – Tractor and tools (10%) 5.5 – Total (5.1+....+5.4) 6 – Net benefits (4-5.5) 1st year 2nd year 840 896 1,400 1,008 1,344 2,000 -48,388 3,136 -3,136 -48,388 2,000 533 694 0 3,227 -6,363 3rd year 4th year 8,604 17,208 5th year 34,416 48,388 15 4,352 -4,352 3,360 2,176 2,868 416 8,820 -216 4,620 2,752 4,180 416 11,968 5,240 6,720 3,200 5,320 416 15,656 18,760 2,000 533 694 0 3,227 -7,579 2,000 533 694 0 3,227 -3,443 2,000 533 694 0 3,227 2,013 2,000 533 694 0 3,227 15,533 Table 9 - Net benefits, orchard with 8 ha on flat land ($) 0 year 1 – Gross benefits 2 – Investment 3 – Variable costs 3.1 – Labour 3.2 – Tractor 3.3 – Other variable costs 3.4 – Equipment maintenance (4%) 3.5 – Total (3.1+...+3.5) 4 – Cash-flow (1-2-3.5) 5 – Depreciation of assets 5.1 – Plantation (6.67%) 5.2 – Accessing/storage water (6.67%) 5.3 – Irrigation (6.67%) 5.4 – Tractor and tools (10%) 5.5 – Total (5.1+....+5.4) 6 – Net benefits (4-5.5) 1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 17,208 34,416 5th year 68,832 121,666 1,680 291 2,800 2,016 437 4,000 6,453 -6,453 6,720 707 5,736 1,828 14,991 2,217 9,240 894 8,360 1,828 20,322 14,094 13,440 1,040 10,640 1,828 26,948 41,884 -121,666 4,771 -4,771 -121,666 4,000 1,067 1,388 2,489 8,944 -13,715 4,000 1,067 1,388 2,489 8,944 -15,397 4,000 1,067 1,388 2,489 8,944 -6,727 4,000 1,067 1,388 2,489 8,944 5,150 4,000 1,067 1,388 2,489 8,944 32,940 3rd year 4th year 25,812 51,624 5th year 103,248 Table 10 - Net benefits, orchard with 12 ha on flat land ($) 0 year 1 – Gross benefits 2 – Investment 3 – Variable costs 3.1 – Labour 3.2 – Tractor 3.3 – Other variable costs 3.4 – Equipment maintenance (4%) 3.5 – Total (3.1+...+3.5) 4 – Cash-flow (1-2-3.5) 5 – Depreciation of assets 5.1 – Plantation (6.67%) 5.2 – Accessing/storage water (6.67%) 5.3 – Irrigation (6.67%) 5.4 – Tractor and tools (10%) 5.5 – Total (5.1+....+5.4) 6 – Net benefits (4-5.5) 1st year 2nd year 186,354 2,520 437 4,200 3,024 655 6,000 9,679 -9,679 10,080 1,061 8,604 2,896 22,641 3,171 13,860 1,342 12,540 2,896 30,638 20,986 20,160 1,560 15,960 2,896 40,576 62,672 -186,354 7,157 -7,157 -186,354 6,000 1,601 2,081 4,119 13,801 -20,958 6,000 1,601 2,081 4,119 13,801 -23,480 6,000 1,601 2,081 4,119 13,801 -10,630 6,000 1,601 2,081 4,119 13,801 7,185 6,000 1,601 2,081 4,119 13,801 48,871 Table 11 includes the calculus of the labour net income yield per workman unit (LI/WMU), in the year of stable production, for each type farm type, on the basis of the respective cash-flows (tables 8, 9 and 10). We followed the methodology adopted by the European Union and then by Portugal in order to calculate the LI/WMU to evaluate the economic feasibility of farm projects. In this context: - No value was attributed to the land; 16 - An opportunity cost of 4%/year was attributed to the investment made in land improvements (to cover investment in plantations and supply and storage water); - An opportunity cost of 5% was attributed to the working capital (value of the equipment) and petty cash (this is equal to 50% of the annual variable costs, excluding depreciation); - Each WMU corresponds to 240 days or 1,920 hours of work /year. Table 11 - Labour net income 1 – Net benefits ($) 2 – Salaries paid ($) 3 – Rent paid ($) 4 – Equipment ($) 5 – Circulating capital –50% of the variable expenditures ($) 6 – Total of working capital 3+4+5 ($) 7 – Remuneration attributed to working capital, 5% of 6 ($) 8 – Land improvements ($) 9 – Remuneration attributed to improvements land, 4% of 8 (%) 11 – Labour income, 1+2+3-7-9 ($) 12 – Total labour used (WMU) 13 – Labour net income, 11/12 ($/WMU) Orchard 4 ha Orchard 8 ha Orchard 12 ha 15,533 6,720 0 10,400 7,828 18,228 911 37,988 1,520 19,822 1.33 14,903 32,940 13,440 0 45,690 13,474 59,164 2,958 75,976 3,039 40,383 2.67 15,125 48,871 20,160 0 72,390 20,288 92,678 4,634 113,964 4,559 59,839 4.00 14,960 In table 12 we present the annual cash-flows, the respective internal rate of return (IRR) at a constant price and also the critical point of production (CPP)8 in the year of stable production. The value of the cash-flows includes the purchase (replacement) of the tractor and tools in the 10th year, as well as their residual value (50% of the purchase value) in the 15th year. 8 The CPP represents the volume production for which the exploitation obtains zero profit, that is, PxQc = AVCxQc + FC (P - AVC), where: P = unit selling price; Qc = CPP; AVG = average variable cost; FC = fixed cost. It is necessary for the orchards to undergo maintenance annually whether there is production or not, so 80% of cost considered as variable (tables 8, 9 and 10) are considered fixed costs. That is FC is the sum of 80% of the variable costs of exploitation with the annual depreciation and the remuneration attributed to the working capital and land improvements. The AVC is the quotient of the variable costs and the respective volume of the normal production (160, 320 and 480 tons, respectively) 17 Table 12 - Cash-flows, IRR and CPP Year Orchard 4 ha Orchard 8 ha Orchard 12 ha -48,388 -3,136 -4,352 -216 5,240 18,760 18,760 18,760 18,760 18,760 18,760 18,760 18,760 18,760 18,760 18,760 -121,666 -4,771 -6,453 2,217 14,094 41,884 41,884 41,884 41,884 41,884 16,994 41,884 41,884 41,884 41,884 54,329 -186,354 -7,157 -9,679 3,171 20,986 62,672 62,672 62,672 62,672 62,672 21,482 62,672 62,672 62,672 62,672 83,267 16% 15% 15% 215 20 18,181 93 23 215 17 36,499 184 23 215 17 55,455 280 23 1 – Cash-flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 2 – IRR (internal rate return) 3 – CPP (critical production point) 3.1 – Unit price ($/Kg) 3.2 – Unit variable cost ($/kg) 3.3 – Total fixed costs ($) 3.4 –CPP (tons) = 3.3/(3.1-3.2), 3.5 – CPP/ha (tons) 3.4. Optimal dimension Theoretically, in economic terms, the optimal dimension, or the exploitation optimum corresponding to the optimal dimension, is the production volume, which allows production at a minimum unit cost (long-run minimum average cost). In competing industries, where the firm is price-taker, that level of production is simultaneously the most economic (average minimum cost) and the most profitable. In practice, it is not easy for the farming firms whose activity involves a multiplicity of elements and inter-relations, to determine the optimal dimension or the optimum combination of productive factors (figures 1 and 2). This is intimately related to the respective marginal productivity and with the prices/opportunity costs of the factors, 18 those that do not always have an objective or quantifiable character. Additionally, in fruit crops the sunk costs inherent in some components of the investment are not without value, which conditions farms entry into or exit from the activity, consequently influencing the optimal dimension. Therefore, in relation to this topic, we can conclude from the practice observed in the apple orchards in this region that: a) The way the activity is carried out, the technical economies associated with scale are low. The continuous exploitation of the area cultivated allows some technical economies, especially in the consumption of tractor use and labour, but this is of little relevance. b) The optimum level of operation is compatible with various dimensions, that is, the activity has a structure of costs of the type shown in figure 3. The long-run average cost (LAC) has the shape of a long U. $/Unit of output LAC Figure 3 – Long-run average cost for apple orchards Output c) In the choice of the adequate dimension, factors such as the availability of labour (especially in the case of farming households), tractor costs, the capital available, the activity carried out and the risk associated with the activity should be considered. d) Table 13 summarises the bimonthly labour availability in the case of 1, 2 and 3 WMUs and the use in the stable production year, for the types of farms 19 mentioned. A comparison between the availability and the consumption allows one to deduce that: the size of 4, 8 and 12 ha are compatible with farms with the availability of 1, 2 and 3 WMUs respectively, despite having to use external labour during the pruning and picking season. Excluding the peak season, there is always unused available labour, hence, the importance of complementing apple production with other activities. One of these activities may be the conservation and later the commercialisation of the apples (a typical case in most fruit farms of the region). e) When we consider the use of tractor and tools (table 13), in economic terms, comparing the fixed and variable costs of a self-owned tractor and one that is hired, we have the following situation: - Difference in the variable costs $13.4; - Fixed costs, 19% of the purchase cost (maintenance and repair - 4%, depreciation - 10%, imputed costs - 5%), giving $4,729 and $7,826 for option A and B, respectively; - It is only economically viable to buy a tractor and tools if these are used for at least 353 hours ($4,729/$13.4), 7.06 ha and 584 hours ($7,826/$13.4), 11.68 ha, in options A and B respectively Table 13 – Labour availability and use of labour and tractor January/ February Availability (man/days) - 1 WMU - 2 WMU 3 WMU March/ April May/ June July/ August September/ October November/ December Total 40 80 120 40 80 120 40 80 120 40 80 120 40 80 120 40 80 120 240 480 720 48 16 16 16 216 8 320 Labour use (man/days) - 4 ha - 8 ha - 12 ha Tractor use (hours) - 4 ha - 8 ha 12 ha 96 32 32 32 432 16 640 144 48 48 48 648 24 960 24 48 72 40 80 120 40 80 120 40 80 120 56 112 168 0 0 0 200 400 600 20 f) In reality, as long as there is a market in which to sell apples it and all the parameters referred to in this paper are met, namely at the production level and the sales prices, apple production is a profitable activity. This is clearly seen in the value of IRR. However, farms have to produce more than 23 tons/ha (CPP) in order to have a profit. g) Assuming that the farmer has enough know-how, namely professional training which allows him to carry out the activity, when deciding to invest in apple orchards the following inter-related determining elements (among others) must be present: - The production factors involved in the activity must be in good technical and economic conditions; - Technical and climatic conditions must be appropriate; - Land tenure secure for a period of at least 15 years; - Thorough analysis and choice of appropriate circuits of conservation, packing and commercialisation of the apple, not forgetting the influence of market factors; - Financial conditions of the farmer, namely available financial resources to invest and finance the farm deficit in the first years; we cannot forget that this is an activity with no immediate profits and that orchard maintenance with the underlying costs of the first years are determining factors in the success of the activity; - In order to reduce individual risks and strong negative variations in the income, it is absolutely essential that collective systems capable of financing these setbacks be set up, for example, harvest insurance. 4. Conservation, normalisation and packing plants As was mentioned in 2.3, there are three predominant types of plants linked to the conservation, normalisation and packing of fruit: incomplete vertical integration, complete vertical integration and horizontal co-ordination of commercialisation via firm/ 21 producer organisation. We shall now discuss the cost of the investment associated with each, and also the costs of conservation, normalisation and packing. 4.1. Investment We shall describe the initial fixed assets cost for each of the options. a) Farmers who proceed with an incomplete individual vertical integration, having the capacity to refrigerate 200 tons, selling the apples to intermediaries without normalisation or packing. The direct investment associated with this type is shown in table 14. Table 14 - Investment in storage plants of 200 tons Quantity Unit cost ($) Total cost ($) Warehouse/Construction (m2) 400 200 80,000 3 freezers (tons) 200 450 90,000 Plastic containers (tons) 200 140 28,000 1 15,600 15,600 Fork-lift of 1,500 kg a) Sub-total Overheads (10% de a)) 213,600 21,360 Total investment 234,960 b) Farmers who proceed with a complete individual integration. These have freezers with a capacity of 800 tons (600 tons normal temperature and 200 tons controlled temperature), selling the fruit in the final market after the indispensable processes of conservation, normalisation and packing. The direct investment associated with this is shown in table 15 22 Table15 - Investment in storage plants of 800 tons Quantity Warehouse/Construction (m2) Unit Cost ($) Total Cost ($) 1,200 200 240,000 6 Freezers (tons) 800 450 360,000 Plastic containers (tons) 800 140 112,000 Semiautomatic grading equipment (2 tons/hour) 1 73,000 73,000 Fork-lift of 1,500 kg 2 15,600 31,200 Scales 7,800 Lorries for transporting fruit 52,000 Office furniture 4,200 a) Sub-total Overheads (10% of a)) 880,200 88,020 Total investment 968,220 c) Farmers who commercialise their fruit via producer organisations. These have the capacity to refrigerate 3,500 tons (1,400 tons at a normal temperature and 2,100 tons at a controlled temperature), selling the fruit in the final market after the indispensable processes of conservation, normalisation and packing. The direct investment associated with this is described in table 16. Table 16 - Investment in storage plants of 3,500 tons Quantity Unit cost ($) Total cost ($) Warehouse/Building (m2) 4,000 200 800,000 12 freezers (tons) 3,500 295 1,032,500 Plastic containers (tons) 3,500 140 490,000 1 385,000 385,000 Automatic grading system (8 tons/hour) Scales 27,000 Automatic strapping 42,000 Fork- lift of 2,000 kg 3 Lorries for transporting fruit 20,900 62,700 104,000 Office Equipment 15,000 a) Sub-total Overheads (10% of a)) 2,958,200 295,820 Total investment 3,254,020 23 4.2. Conservation, normalisation and packing costs Table 17 shows the direct costs inherent to the conservation (refrigeration) of an average period of 6 months, normalisation and packing of fruit for each of the units mentioned. Firms with 200 tons capacity generally sell the stored fruit to intermediaries who will then have the cost of normalisation and packing. For those who integrate the whole circuit (this being the predominant situation) the apples are sold in non-reusable cardboard boxes. Table 17 - Unit costs of refrigeration, storage and packing apples ($/ton) 200 tons unit 800 tons unit 3,500 tons unit Initial storage labour 15 8 5 Electric power 35 30 20 Packing materials 50 50 Normalisation/packing labour General costs 30 15 20 10 Unit cost before depreciation 50 133 105 Depreciation (6.67%*Investment/tons) Unit total cost 78 81 62 128 214 167 5. Final remarks The aim of this paper was to characterise in microeconomic terms apple production in the north interior of Portugal (region of Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro) so that the indicators presented can be compared with those verified in other situations. Taking into account the complexity of the fruit cluster, where various conditioning factors intervene, we presented the framework of apple production in the north interior of Portugal (general aspects, typology of the fruit farms and the marketing chain) and evaluated, from a financial perspective, the feasibility of setting up apple orchards with 4, 8 and 12 ha respectively. In order to do so, we described and quantified in some detail the investment, current benefits and costs, cash-flows and net benefits involved and considered the optimal dimensions. Furthermore, we also described the 24 costs of investment and storage/packing associated with the predominant systems of conservation (refrigeration), normalisation and packing existing in the region. From the financial analysis carried out (IRR and LI/WMU), we concluded that, in the light of the parameters assumed, the apple orchard activity assures levels of reasonable profitability. However, in each specific case, it must be seen a complex system where various factors intervene, such as the professional training of the farmer, the availability of production factors, the climatic conditions of the farm, the market and the system marketing, the financing of the investment and the farming deficit in the first years of activity and the harvest insurance. These are the factors that need be carefully examined before any investment is undertaken. References Peterson, Christopher and A. Wysocky, 1998. “Strategic Choice along the Vertical Coordination Continuum”. Staff Paper #98-16, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. USA. Porter, Michael E., 1990. “The Competitive Advantage of Nations”. The Macmillan Press Ltd. London, England. Vitaliano, Peter, 1983. “Cooperative Enterprise: An Alternative Conceptual Basis for Analyzing a Complex Institution”. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 65(5): 1078-1083. 25