e-Readiness analysis for Economic and Social Opportunities: A perspective for Systems Development in e-Government Rembrandt Klopper1 and Sam Lubbe2 1 School of IS&T, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, 4000, South Africa 2 School of Computing, UNISA, P O Box 392, Muckleneukrant, 0003, South Africa rklopper@gmail.com lubbesi@unisa.ac.za “We are all dead men on leave” – Eugene Levine. Abstract During the last decade leaders in government, business, and social organizations worldwide have considered how best to harness the power of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) for systems development. Experts have pointed out that in order for organisations to put ICT to effective use, they must first be "e-Ready" in terms of ICT infrastructure, the accessibility of ICT, the legal and regulatory framework, computer skills and above all, end users’ attitudes towards electronic information and communication technologies. Managers in Government and non-governmental organisations (NGO’s) have been urged to use e-Readiness assessment to measure and plan for ICT integration, focus efforts from within, and identify areas that can be used during systems development. Several e-Readiness initiatives have been launched to help organisations and countries in this respect, and numerous e-Readiness assessment tools have been created and used by different groups, each tool looking at various aspects of ICT, society, and the economy (Bridges.org, 2005). The underlying focus of the study was to look at the potential of being e-Ready in conjunction with the social and economic success that the government can achieve in sustaining ICT initiatives. e-Readiness analysis includes a comparative analysis of the economic and social statistics of South Africa supported by the statistical calculations of the data collected by means of a questionnaire. The researchers agree with the observation of the International Telecommunication Union (2003) that to measure the ICT picture in full, new multi-stakeholder partnerships will be required, involving not only the statistical agencies that are traditionally responsible for conducting surveys, but also policymakers, the private sector, civil society, multilateral organisations and others involved in the ICT arena. The potential of being e-Ready in conjunction with the social and economic success that the government can achieve in sustaining ICT initiatives seems to be a difficult but a worthwhile achievement. Keywords e-Government, e-Readiness, ICTs, Internet, NGO’s, systems development 1. Introduction Gillis and Mitchell (2002) explain that proper ICT development can be framed and applied as a tool in reducing poverty, extending health services, and expanding educational opportunities. ICT has therefore been identified as a key enabler in the achievement of regional and rural success, particularly in terms of economic and business development. (Information Technology Group, 2000). CSPP (2000) describes this as the Networked World, which entails a transformation in the nature of economies, societies and governments, as well as interpersonal and international relations (Bridges.org, 2001). e-Readiness is generally defined as the degree to which a society has been prepared to participate in the local and global digital economy with the underlying concept that the digital economy can help to build a better society. The Researchers conclude that e-Readiness is generally defined as the degree to which Government is prepared to participate in this so-called Networked World (Information Technology Group, 2000). Docktor (2002) argues that an organisation needs to be e-Ready so that they can put ICT to effective use, in terms of infrastructure, the accessibility of ICT to the population, and the effect of the legal and regulatory framework on ICT use. Depending upon the objective for assessment, an attribute is chosen and indicators under the same worked out for the assessment. 2. South African Perspective The ebusinessforum (2005) noted the following statistics of South Africa. South Africa has a population (m) of 46.8; Working population (m) of 30.8; Nominal GDP US$237.6bn, US$522.8bn (at PPP); GDP per head US$ 5,080.0, US$11,170.0 (at PPP), Inflation at 4.3%; Average Wage (monthly) US$ 1,070; National Corporate Tax Rate 30%; Indirect tax 14% (VAT) and Currency is the Rand. South Africa’s 2004 Connectivity Statistics were: Number of telephone main lines (per 100 people) 9.1; Number of mobile subscribers (per 100 people) - 39.9; Number of Internet users (per 100 people) - 8.1; and Number of personal computers (stock per 1,000 population) – 109. The Digital Access Index (DAI) of South Africa is an index value of 0.45 and an index ranking of 78. The index measures the overall ability of individuals in a country to develop, access and use ICTs. The DAI embraces eight indicators grouped into five categories: infrastructure (0.23), affordability (0.85), knowledge (0.83), quality (0.26) and usage (0.08). Bridges.org (2003a) conclude that there is evidence of growth in the e-Commerce sector, notably in South Africa, which is forecast to generate $ 0.5 billion worth of business in 2002 and to grow to $ 6.1 billion by 2006. However, they conclude de that if this level of growth of Africa's share of global eCommerce in 2006 would only be 0.05% of the world's total. Bridges.org (2003a) states that South Africa, have already enacted legislation designed to facilitate the growth of e-Commerce, and all have high rates of fixed and mobile teledensity. The Economist Intelligence Unit (2004) states that Internet services have been modest in South Africa, at 7% of the population due to the high cost and inadequate coverage of high-speed connections. 3. e-Readiness Policies, Initiatives and Strategies Bridges.org (2003a) notes that the framework for the analysis of e-Readiness policy issues first presented in the World Economic Forum-SADC report has been the basis for examining key issues with an African perspective and drawing comparisons between NEPAD countries. In addition, the framework helps stakeholders to frame a dialogue on issues that apply to groups of countries at comparative levels, so they can learn from relevant experience and best practice. Bridges.org (2001) deduces two lessons from comparing assessment models: First, the chosen eReadiness assessment tool must fit the user's goal. The second lesson is that there is a wide range of e-Readiness assessment models available, but each has limitations. They conclude that the ready-touse tools are either limited in scope or lack detailed description on how to use the tool in practice. 2 4. Research Questions The following are Research Questions that the researchers will use in this study: 1. Can ICT develop/stimulate e-readiness? 2. Do KwaZulu-Natal organisations have the necessary development mentality to provide such ICT Initiatives to support e-Readiness? 3. What are the benefits of e-Readiness or being e-Ready for South African organisations (in the province of KwaZulu-Natal)? 5. Research Methodology The Target Population who participated in this study were the managers of Provincial Government in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. The population size was 63. The questionnaire that the researchers formulated consists of three parts: Part 1: Asks permission to use responses for academic research. Part 2: Asks general personal particulars like age, gender and home language. Part 3: Asks about your understanding of e-Readiness and measures capacity of being eReady, by assessing the following attributes of e-Readiness: Network Access, Networked Learning, Networked Society, Networked Economy and Network Policy. The data collected from the Questionnaire were entered into XLStat where this data were analyzed and computed in forms of tables, graphs and charts. There will be a comparative data analysis between indices of economic statistics obtained. 6. Data Analysis 35 30 25 Respondents African 20 White 15 Indian 10 Coloured 5 Asian 0 African Indian Asian Respondent Race Figure 2: Respondents’ Race The census included 63 managers from KwaZulu-Natal (KZN). Figure 2 illustrates the racial connotation of the respective respondents (this has no meaning towards racial discrimination). 3 Respondents; this was due to the small sample being taken and the lack of time. According to Maplecroft.Net (2005), South Africa has a population of 46.9 million, with the following groups – Black (75.2%), White (13.6%), Coloured (8.6%) and Indian (2.6%). 6.1 Respondents Understanding of E-Readiness Twenty one (33%) of the respondents stated that they understand the meaning of e-Readiness or being. According to the ITU (2004) DAI – South Africa has an adult literacy rate of 86 % and a Knowledge index of 0.83. This questions the awareness of such an emerging topic about being eReady or the knowledge of the benefits of being e-Ready in relation to ICT initiatives. The knowledge level of a country has an impact on the ability to use technology (ITU, 2003). 6.2 Using ANOVA to analyze the Respondents Understanding of e-Readiness or being e-ready In this set of data, since the calculated F = 0.64 is less than the tabled F (Fcrit = 9.55), the null hypothesis is accepted that the respondents’ do not understand the meaning of e-Readiness or being e-Ready is all-dependent on those that do. However, the alternate hypothesis is that on average a lot of respondents do not understand the meaning of e-Readiness or being e-Ready is not independent on the number of respondents that do (Leedy & Ormrod, 2005). Table 1: ANOVA – Understanding of e-Readiness 6.3 Participation of Networked Learning Of 63 respondents – 35 (56%) noted that they are provided with the knowledge and right tools. Fortyone (65%) of the respondents use the facilities available to them often. Although, managers have been used in this research study due to their job the majority of the respondents - 39 (62%) used an Online Learning System (OLS) and 12 (19%) conducted Online-tutorials and technical training programs. Although 22 (35%) of the respondents never use the facilities available to them to conduct learning, without an educated society, no community can fully participate in the Networked World (Information Technology Group, 2000). 4 Those that felt that their LANs were not available to them to use, preferred to use the Internet (based on Internet Connection Speed) at times most respondents used the Internet. From those 48 (76%) respondents that marked that computers in their LAN was always available to them – 21 (44%) use the Internet in the morning, 8 (16%) use the Internet in the afternoon. Sixty (95%) respondents noted that the Internet Services in terms of quality, reliability and availability were efficient. The results yielded a perfect correlation and the entries on the diagonal of the correlation output table are all greater then 0.05 (Alpha). The hypothesis is therefore rejected indicating that time chosen by the respondents to use the Internet affects the availability of computers. Table 2: Correlation-analysis of the availability of computers based on time chosen to use the Internet 6.4 Participation in the Networked Society Table 3: Different activities that the respondents conduct with a computer WORK RESEARCH GAMES MOVIES MUSIC E-MAIL BROWSING OF WEBSITES 41 % 56 % 18 % 3% 5% 40 % 13 % LOOKING FOR JOBS 24 % The Information Technology Group (2000) notes that e-Readiness depends upon the community’s incorporation of ICTs into the foundation of its activities in order to make the most of the benefits available. Sixty-three (100 %) of the respondents use a computer everyday. According to the ITU (2004) DAI, South Africa has a Computer Usage Index of 0.08 that is low (Information Technology Group, 2000). The researchers note that apart from research (56%), work (41%) and e-Mail (40%) most of the respondents spend their time on a computer looking for other jobs (24%). The different uses could be a good enabler to help disadvantaged individuals. According to the ebusinessforum (2005), the number of personal computers (stock per 1,000 population) is 109; while according to ITU (2004), the number of PCs per 100 inhabitants in South Africa is 8.3. Table 5 illustrates personal computer ownership at home depending on whether the respondent is from a rural or urban area which might indicate that the sample’s profile is different from a normal one. 5 6.5 t-Test to analyse ownership of Personal Computer (PC) Table 4: t-test - Ownership of Personal Computer (PC) The t-statistic is 0.70. A two-tail test was used since the researchers were comparing those respondents that owned a PC and those that did not own a PC living in both rural and urban areas. The p-value of the observed statistic is therefore 0.61. Since this value is greater than 0.05, it indicates that on average, respondents from urban areas have a higher rate of PC ownership as compared to respondents living in rural areas. According to the ITU (2004) DAI, South Africa has an Affordability Index of 0.85. From the 63 respondents –1 used the Local Library, 20 (32%) used the Internet Café, 15 (24 %) used the Work and the majority (42%) respondents used a Computer Lab as alternative place to access a computer. The ITU (2003) note that most developing nations tend to have data on the “older” ICTs, while most developed nations focus on the newer ones. The biggest stumbling block to penetration of these ICTs in the lowest income nations appears to be electricity. 41 36 Internet Services Usage Very Often Internet Services Usage Often 20 16 11 Internet Services Usage Device Usage Never Never Very Often Often 2 Very Often Often 45 40 35 30 25 Respondents 20 15 10 5 0 Internet Services Usage Never Device Usage Very Often Device Usage Often Device Usage Never Figure 2: Internet Services and Information Device Usage 6 Of the 63 respondents, 52 (82 %) use the Internet Services that are available to them and sixty-one (97 %) of those respondents use information devices. Table 5: Belief that the use of ICT is integrated into everyday life ATION OF ICT INTO EVERYDAY LIFE Totally Integrated 29 (46 %) Partly Integrated 26 (41%) Not Integrated 8 (13 %) OWN A PC USE INTERNET SERVICES USE INFORMATION DEVICES 26 (90 %) 26 (90 %) 29 (100%) 19 (73 %) 21 (81%) 25 (96 %) 3 (38 %) 5 (63 %) 7 (88 %) Fifty five respondents – 29 (87%) believe that the use of ICTs has been integrated into their everyday life. Of those respondents that believe that the use of ICTs has not been integrated at all into their everyday life – 4 (50%) respondents are from an urban area and the other 4 (50%) are from a rural area. 7. Using ANOVA to analyze use of ICTs and integration of ICTs into everyday life The null hypothesis is that the use of ICTs is all-dependent on whether the respondents believe or are aware that the use of ICTs is integrated into their everyday life. However, the alternate hypothesis is that the use of ICTs is not independent on whether the respondents believe or are aware that the use of ICTs is integrated into their everyday life. In this set of data, since the calculated F = 0.11 is less than the tabled F, Fcrit = 5.14, therefore we accept the above null hypothesis. Table 6: ANOVA - use of ICTs and integration of ICTs into everyday life 8. Understanding and Participation of Networked Economy When the researchers asked the respondents whether they believe there is a thriving job market for ICT-professionals – 52 (83 %) of the respondents marked yes. Access to ICTs in Business, Education 7 and Government is important for development of the Information Society and e-Readiness. IT in these sectors boosts efficiency and transparency, provides opportunities for the public and private sector and for individuals in a society to interact online, and offers access for those who do not have ICT access at home (ITU, 2003). From the 31 (49%) of the respondents that are female – 28 (90%) believe that there is a thriving job market for ICT-professionals, while 3 (10%) do not believe that there is a thriving job market for ICT-professionals. Compared to the rest of the respondents – 32 (51%) that are male – 24 (75%) of the male respondents believe that there is thriving job market for ICT-professionals, while 8 (25%) do not believe that there is a thriving job market for ICT-professionals. From the above results, the researchers note that ICT’s do not have a reducing gender inequality - there is no belief that ICT’s have a reducing influence on gender inequality. 7. Using Covariance to analyze Respondents’ Gender in relation to belief of thriving job market for ICT-professionals Table 7: Covariance analysis of the respondents’ gender in relation to belief of a thriving job market for ICT-professionals Table 7 shows the covariance between each pair of measurement variables that is the respondents who are female and believe that there is a thriving job market for ICT professionals; and respondents who are male and also believe that there is a thriving job market for ICT professionals. The difference between covariance and correlation is that correlation is scaled to lie between -1 and +1 inclusive whilst covariances are not scaled. Both the entries on the diagonal of the covariance output table are greater than 0.05 (Alpha) which means that the hypothesis is rejected that the belief in a thriving job market is related to the respondents’ gender – whether the belief differs depending on whether the respondents is female or male. 8. t-Test to analyse Conducting of online-transactions Table 8: t-test – Conducting of online transactions 8 The mean and variance are given in the first three rows of Table 8. The fourth row gives the estimated variance calculated from both samples. The observed value of the t statistic is -2.93, this is negative because the number of respondents that conduct online transactions are lower than the number of respondents that never conduct online transactions. The two-tailed p-value is 0.099, and so we cannot conclude that there is a significant difference in the number of respondents that conduct online transactions depending on whether the respondent is employed or unemployed. In order for the Number of Respondents difference to be significant, the magnitude of the t statistic would have to be 4.303. 20 18 16 14 12 Security Concerns No Knowledge 10 8 6 4 No Money No Credit Card No Response 2 0 Security Concerns No Money No Response Figure 3: Why Respondents do not conduct Online – transactions From the 63 respondents, two respondents that conduct online–transactions often, noted that it is because they do not have any money. The reason why, 44 (70 %) of the respondents do not use the Internet Services provided to conduct online transactions such as e-Banking and purchasing of goods and services is because – 20 (46 %) do not have a credit card, 14 (32 %) have security concerns, while 2 (4 %) have no knowledge to perform such actions. The availability of ICTs in public administration also has social implications, since government workers can develop ICT skills and Number of Respondents access the Internet from the workplace (ITU, 2003). 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Yes No Yes No e-Govenrment Services Figure 4: Awareness of e-Government services 9 The Information Technology Group (2002) notes that ICTs can also make government activities more transparent to citizens and other observers. From Figure 4 the researchers notes that only 16 (25 %) of the respondents have used or are aware of e-Government services available to the public. 9. Awareness of Network Policy Number of Respondents 45 40 35 30 25 20 Yes No 15 10 5 0 Yes No Awareness of Policies Implemented Figure 5: Awareness of Policies Implemented regarding Student and LAN usage From the above 44 (70%) of the respondents were aware of the policies implemented, regarding student and LAN usage at UKZN. Eighteen (29%) of the respondents believe that these policies are implemented properly, and 31 (49%) do not believe that that these policies are implemented properly. 10. Conclusion Using the data analysis, the researchers can note that there is a lack e-Readiness and the awareness of ICTs used in everyday life. Existing indicators are therefore often infrastructure-based, measuring such variables as the number of main telephone lines, and typically use telecommunication operators’ data. However according to the ITU (2003) and that the data analysis supports, that there is growing evidence that other factors, such as affordability and knowledge, are an important part of accessibility. There are many factors that influence the degree and pace of social and economic development - not least political stability, physical infrastructure, basic literacy and basic access (Accenture et al., 2001). There is no suggestion that ICT can eliminate the need for these or offer a solution for all development problems according to Accenture et al. (2001). The real benefits lie not in the provision of technology as such, but rather in its application to create powerful social and economic networks by improving the exchange of information. 11. Research Questions 11.1 Can ICT develop/stimulate e-Readiness? Accenture et al. (2001) notes that ICT can be an enabler of development goals because its characteristics can improve communication and the exchange of information to strengthen and create new economic and social networks. It can do so at all levels by increasing the effectiveness and reach of development interventions, enhancing good governance and lowering the costs of service delivery. 10 11.2 Does KwaZulu-Natal have the necessary development mentality to provide such ICT Initiatives to support e-Readiness? The researchers noted that the KwaZulu-Natal Department of Economic Developments’ core Business is in line with the recommendations for e-Readiness given by the SADC e-Readiness Task Force (2002). The core business of the Department of Economic Development and Tourism relates to its desire to: Be a one-stop economic information shop. Contribute to the formulation of economic policy development and articulate the economic development strategy for KZN. Promote fixed investment into the province; economic development through the championing of public-private partnerships. Promote small and medium enterprises (SME) development and technological innovation and increasing competitiveness in key sectors of the economy. Champion initiatives, which improve the province's logistics capabilities and enhance key supply chains. Ensure effective and prudent business regulation in the province (KZN DEDT, 2002). 11.3 What are the benefits of e-Readiness or being e-Ready for South Africa (and in the province of KwaZulu-Natal)? Bridges.org (2005) points out that experts have noted that in order for organisations in developing countries to put ICT to effective use, they must first be "e-Ready" in terms of ICT infrastructure, the accessibility of ICT to the population, and the legal and regulatory framework. The Information Technology Group (2000) note that getting ready for the networked world in terms of being e-Ready creates opportunities for organisations and individuals in the developing world, eliminate barriers that stifled flows of information and goods to and from developing nations, and promotes efficiency. 12. Recommendations The researcher’s underlining focus was to look at the potential of being e-Ready in conjunction with the social and economic success that the society can achieve in sustaining ICT initiatives. The researchers note from Maplecroft.Net (2005) that e-Learning is about using multimedia technologies and the Internet through, for example, 'virtual classrooms' and online curricula. The researchers share the same view as the Information Technology Group (2000) and recommends that the following actions should take place, concerning the area mentioned: Schools’ Access to ICT. Enhancing Education with ICTs. Developing the ICT Workforce. Illiteracy and ICTs. 11 There are 11 official languages in South Africa and it is important to bridge this with digital media to enhance and promote Internet usability. Also to bridge the divide of integrating ICTs into everyday life and the awareness of e-Government– thereby providing proper educational initiatives, promoting the awareness and use of ICTs. 12.1 Eliminating Network Access The following factors are important for economic development in general because they play a role promoting Networked Readiness: provide efficient Transport Infrastructure; provide better distribution channels; provide Electricity and concern yourself with the Local Conditions, (Information Technology Group, 2000). 12.2 e-Business and e-Government Awareness (Networked Economy) The 11 official languages of South Africa should be integrated to provide an understanding and knowledge of the awareness and promotion of e-Business and e-Government Services. Proactive governmental organisations are working in partnership with humanitarian organisations to deploy ICTs and expertise as part of the disaster relief effort (Maplecroft.NET, 2005). The researchers agrees with Vosloo (2004), that e-Government should follow an evolutionary path of publish, interact and transact. The researchers share the same view as Maplecroft.Net (2005) when they noted that business can facilitate digital inclusion, by presenting examples of the different technologies that might be utilised and the projects they might be used in. Successful engagements require a partnership-based approach – delivering strategies that benefit stakeholders. 12.3 Improvement of Network Policy The researchers shares the same view as the Information Technology Group (2000) that the following factors should be considered because they are often influenced or determined by national policy: perceived political risk; predictability of the legal environment; openness to foreign direct investment; convertibility of local currency; restrictions on capital flows; credit card usage; access to credit; entrepreneurial culture; access to start-up capital and regulations and restrictions on small business. In dealing with issues such as Internet taxation, online privacy and intellectual property rights, the researchers agree with the Information Technology Group (2000) that the following guidelines should be followed: Internet tax policy should neither penalize the online trade of goods and services. Measures should exist that safeguard the privacy of end-users in the community. The question of how to address intellectual property rights in a policy framework must be carefully addressed. 12.4 Improving the social and economic developments with the use of ICTs The researchers conclude that the following factors should be considered to effectively integrate ICTs into society and used by people to improve their lives – Infrastructure; Access; Affordability; Capacity building; Relevant content; Socio-cultural factors; Regulatory framework (Maplecroft.NET, 2005) 12 Developing human capacity – skills and knowledge Cost effective and ubiquitous ICT network infrastructure Sustainable growth of the domestic ICT industry Diffusion and adoption of ICTs through the economy Government: a model user of ICTs Enhanced innovation and R&D capabilities Proactive, coordinated, and transparent policy and implementation processes 13. Conclusion This result of this study has shown that there is a lack of the understanding of e-Readiness or being e-Ready. All of the respondents use a personal computer everyday, while some of the respondents who grew up in a rural area – do not own a personal computer. The results have shown that the use of ICTs is integrated into the everyday life of the individuals measured. As concluded by the SADC e-Readiness Task Force (2002), South Africa is at the forefront of the SADC region with regard to ICT development, although further development in the ICT, as well as the economic arena, must take place before South Africa can be compared to the developed countries, or some developing countries in Asia and South America. It can, however, immediately provide a role model to, and render assistance to, fellow member states in the SADC region. Moreover, Africa's leaders recognize the part that ICT has to play. Indeed, it is seen as the cornerstone on which many of the solutions to the problems facing Africa will be built. However, ICT has to be more available to people in terms of physical access, affordability, appropriate technology and locally relevant content. Achieving e-readiness across Africa will require bold and ambitious steps. Legal and regulatory frameworks will need to be overhauled, sometimes in the face of opposition. Innovative uses of technology will need to be found to deliver ICT where it is needed most. Understanding the problems, and having a range of recommendations and solutions that are in a local context, will help Africa's current and future leaders and administrators to achieve their aims (Bridges.org, 2003). The solutions to Africa's problems must come from within the continent, and Africa is ready to rise to the challenge (Bridges.org, 2003). 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