AP Statistics Syllabus Course Title: AP Statistics Course Number: 474101A Course Credit: One Advanced Placement Elective Mathematics Credit Instructor: Mr. Crye Schedule & Availability: 1st-Geometry Rm. 205 2nd-AP Statistics Rm. 205 3rd-Geometry Rm. 205 Email: mjcrye@cps.edu 4th-Lunch Rm. 205 5th-Pre-Calculus Rm. 205 6th-Teacher Prep Rm. 205 ap Statistics Phone: 773.297.9741 7th-Geometry Rm. 205 8th-Teacher Prep Rm. 205 After School-Tue/Wed Rm. 205 AP STATISTICS TEST: Friday, May 9, 2013 at 12:00 p.m. COURSE DESCRIPTION: The purpose of this course is to introduce students to the major concepts and tools for collecting, analyzing, and drawing conclusions from data that would be introduced in a one semester, introductory college statistics course. Students will be exposed to four broad conceptual themes: Exploring Data through describing patterns and departures from patterns; Sampling and Experimentation through planning and conducting studies; Anticipating Patterns by exploring random phenomena using probability and simulation; and Statistical Inference by estimating population parameters and testing hypotheses. Students will design, carry out, and analyze results from surveys and experiments done about and inside our school community. Students will use a variety of technology to investigate statistical concepts and complete assignments including: daily use of the TINspire graphing calculator, Fathom, Web-based java applets and output from statistical software such as Minitab (found in the Technology Corners of the textbook). Throughout the course, students will frequently communicate statistical practice by preparing written and oral analysis of real data collected from media and community sources. COURSE OBJECTIVES: In AP Statistics, students are expected to learn: Skills To produce convincing oral and written statistical arguments, using appropriate terminology, in a variety of applied settings. When and how to use technology to aid them in solving statistical problems. Knowledge Essential techniques for: Producing data (surveys, experiments, observational studies), Analyzing data (graphical and numerical summaries), Modeling data (probability, random variables, sampling distributions), and Drawing conclusions from data (inference procedures—confidence intervals and significance tests). Habits of Mind To become critical consumers of published statistical results (studies, advertisements, news reports, etc) by heightening their awareness of ways in which statistics can be improperly used to mislead, confuse, or distort the truth. Common Core State Standards: This course is aligned to the following Common Core State Standards S-ID.1-9: Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data S-IC.1-6: Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions S-CP.1-8: Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability S-MD.1-7: Using Probability to Make Decisions RI.1 Cite strong textual evidence to support analysis of what the text says explicitly as well as inferences drawn from the text, including determining where the text leaves matters uncertain. W9. Draw evidence from literary or informational texts to support analysis, reflection, and research. TEXTS: Textbook: The Practice of Statistics for AP* (4th edition), by Starnes, Yates, and Moore, W.H. Freeman & Co., 2010. Additional Reading: Huff, Darrel. How to Lie with Statistics. Illustrator Irving Geis. New York: Norton, 1993. Print. REQUIRED STUDENT MATERIALS: Textbook Notebook Folder/Binder with Loose-Leaf Paper Scientific Calculator (for home use) TI-Nspire Calculator (for class use) Formulas Sheet CLASSROOM EXPECTATIONS: 1. Be Respectful by interacting respectively and safely with everyone in all circumstances. 2. Be Self-Disciplined by keeping your workspace clear and organized throughout class. 3. Be Excellent by actively participating in class activities, discussions, and practice time. 4. Take Ownership by turning in your completed homework daily. 5. Be Prompt and Prepared with all your required materials (see above) and seated when the bell rings. Attendance and Tardy Policy: As an Advanced Placement class, we will be learning a lot of material every day. Therefore, it is crucial to be present and on-time every day for class. More than six absences for the year will be very detrimental to your progress! Therefore: You are responsible for completing your homework and projects whether in attendance or not. Late homework and projects will be deducted 10% per day they are late. For excused absences, you will have an equal number of days absent to make up any class work for full credit. For unexcused absences and tardies, you will not be able to make up class work for credit. Your weekly class-participation grade will be negatively affected by this lost time in the classroom. If a pattern of unexcused absences and/or tardies has developed, you will participate in interventions such as detentions, parent conferences, and attendance contracts. Assignments, Homework and Grading Policy Grading Categories and Weights Class Participation 30% Homework 30% Tests, Quizzes, Projects 20% Semester Final 20% Total 100% Grading Scale A: 90% ↑ B: 80-89% C: 70-79% D: 60-69% F: 59% ↓ G.P.A. Points A: 6.0 B: 5.0 C: 4.0 D: 1.0 F: 0.0 Class Participation includes in-class assignments, bellringers, preparedness, and participation. Homework will be assigned every night and due at the beginning of class the next day. o Each assignment should: Have a header including your name, date, and assignment title. Be on loose-leaf paper. Be legible and organized. Each unit will conclude with a unit test consisting of both multiple choice and free-response questions about the material in that chapter. Projects will be assigned as indicated in the course scope and sequence. Projects are designed for students to practice statistics in real-life settings. The First Semester Final will simulate the AP Statistics Test. The Second Semester Final will consist of the AP Statistics Test and a Final Project after the Test. Academic Dates Weeks AP Statistics Scope & Sequence Unit Title Chapter 1: Exploring Data Boot Camp & Week 1 8/26-8/30 S-ID.1-3. Summarize, represent, and interpret data on a single count or measurement variable. S-ID.5. Summarize, represent, and interpret data on two categorical variables S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. RI.1 Cite strong textual evidence to support analysis of what the text says explicitly as well as inferences drawn from the text, including determining where the text leaves matters uncertain. W9. Draw evidence from literary or informational texts to support analysis, reflection, and research. Assessments Daily Homework Unit Test Exploring Quantitative Data Project Due Date: _______________ Assessments Chapter 2: Modeling Distributions of Data 2-3 9/3-9/13 S-ID.4. Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Assessments Chapter 3: Describing Relationships 4-6 9/16-10/4 S-ID.6. Summarize, represent, and interpret data on two quantitative variables S-ID.7-9. Interpret linear models S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Daily Homework Unit Test Daily Homework Unit Test Assessments Chapter 4: Designing Studies 6-9 10/7-10/31 S-ID.9. Distinguish between correlation and causation. S-IC.3,5. Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances? 10-11 11/4-11/15 S-ID.5. Summarize, represent, and interpret data on two categorical and quantitative variables. S-IC. 2. Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. S-CP. 1-5. Understand independence and conditional probability and use them to interpret data. S-CP.6-8. Use the rules of probability to compute probabilities of compound events in a uniform probability model. S-MD.6-7. Use probability to evaluate outcomes of decisions. Daily Homework Unit Test Response Bias Project Due Date:________________ Assessments Daily Homework Unit Test Daily Homework Unit Test Daily Homework Unit Test Assessments Chapter 6: Random Variables 12-14 11/18-12/6 S-IC.2. Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. S-MD.1-4. Calculate expected values and use them to solve problems. S-MD.5. Use probability to evaluate outcomes of decisions. Assessments 12/9-1/10 Chapter 7: Sampling Distributions 18 1/13-1/15 1st 19 1/16-1/17 1st Semester Final 15-17 S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Assessments Semester Review Daily Homework Practice Test Assessments Chapter 8: Estimating with Confidence 20-21 1/27-2/7 S-IC.1. Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. RI.1 Cite strong textual evidence to support analysis of what the text says explicitly as well as inferences drawn from the text, including determining where the text leaves matters uncertain. W9. Draw evidence from literary or informational texts to support analysis, reflection, and research. Assessments Chapter 9: Testing a Claim 22-23 2/10-2/21 S-IC.1. Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. S-IC.4. Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Chapter 10: Comparing Two Populations or Groups 24-25 26-27 2/24-3/7 3/10-3/21 S-IC.5. Use data from a randomized experiment to compare two treatments; use simulations to decide if differences between parameters are significant. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Chapter 11: Inference for Distributions of Categorical Data S-IC.2. Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. 28-29 3/24-4/4 Daily Homework Unit Test Assessments Daily Homework Unit Test Daily Homework Unit Test Assessments Assessments Chapter 12: More about Regression S-ID.6.a. Fit a function to the data; use functions fitted to data to solve problems in the context of the data. Use given functions or choose a function suggested by the context. Emphasize linear, quadratic, and exponential models. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Daily Homework Unit Test Daily Homework Unit Test Assessments 30-33 4/8-5/8 Friday, May 9 at noon AP Test Review Daily Homework Practice Test Date:___________________ AP Statistics Test Assessments 34-38 5/12-6/4 Final Project Proposal Due Date: _______________ Final Project Due Date:_______________ August 26th, 2013 Dear Parents and Caregivers, Thank you so much for supporting the learning of your child! It is an honor for you to entrust me with the education of your child. I hope that you and your child are as excited about this upcoming year at Social Justice as we are. Let me introduce myself and the class that your child will be taking this year with me. I am Mr. Crye. This will be my seventh year teaching math at Social Justice High School and the third year I will be teaching AP Statistics. I will be making an extraordinary effort to prepare your child for the AP test and future college success. AP Statistics is a challenging course that will require a lot of commitment and effort. But with those challenges, there will also be a lot of support offered as well. Below are some of the expectations and supports for this class: Attendance is crucial for success! More than six absences for the year will be very detrimental to success in a class with this level of rigor. Homework will be given and must be completed daily! Much of the practice required to be successful in AP Statistics must occur outside of just our class time. It is crucial to support your child to have homework completion as a consistent practice and priority. Come to AP Support after school on Wednesdays! One of the most effective strategies for success is to work with others and seek help while completing the work. While class time will be one opportunity for collaboration, structured support and tutoring will be offered every Wednesday and will be a crucial if not required time to complete required work. Use the class website, textbook, and syllabus to stay on top of work! Students are responsible for completing the homework even if they miss all or part of a class period. In addition to learning that happens in the classroom, students are expected to continue that learning on their own outside of the class as well. The syllabus and other resources are important supports to help students stay on top of their work. On the reverse side is a Parent/Guardian & Student Agreement Form. Please complete the section with contact information and sign and date that you have read the syllabus. Cut off the bottom portion with my contact information for your reference and return the Agreement to me with your child. Thank you for all that you have and will do to support your child’s success! Please contact me with any questions, concerns, or insights at any time. Sincerely, Matt Crye AP Statistics Teacher Social Justice High School ap Statistics AP Statistics Parent/Guardian & Student Agreement Please fill out the contact information below and return this form to Mr. Crye Student Name/Nombre del Estudiante Nombre del Padres/Guardian(s) Name Student Phone Number (optional)/ Número del teléfono del Estudiante Número del teléfono del Padres/Parent’s Phone Number Student Email/Correo electrónico del Estudiante Correo electrónico del Padres/Parent Email Student Agreement: I have read the description and syllabus for AP Statistics, am familiar with the course expectations and accept its academic challenges. I agree to organize my time and efforts to successfully complete the course. Due to the increased rigor and challenges of this course, I will notify the teacher, request help, and attend tutorials or study sessions if I fall behind in class assignments or have difficulty with course content. I understand that my success in AP Statistics is primarily my responsibility. I also commit to taking the AP Statistics test as a requirement of this course. _______________________________ Student Signature ______________________ Date Parent Agreement: I have read the description and syllabus for AP Statistics, am familiar with its requirements, and agree to support and encourage my son/daughter in his/her endeavors in the course. I will notify the teacher immediately of any concerns I have relating to AP Statistics or my child’s progress. _______________________________ Parent/Guardian Signature ______________________ Date _______________________________ Parent/Guardian Signature ______________________ Date Please cut off and keep the bottom portion of this form for reference throughout the year. -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------AP Statistics Contact Information Mr. Crye mjcrye@cps.edu 773.535.4300 (school) 773.297.9741 (cell) Class Website www.lvlhs.org (school website—follow the links to find the class website for AP Statistics) Go directly to the class website with this direct link: http://sj.lvlhs.org/apps/classes/show_class.jsp?classREC_ID=414631 Checking Grades www.cps.edu (follow the link to “Check my child’s grades” and the Parent Portal) ap Statistics