Chignik Regional Aquaculture Assoc. January 2015 – Newsletter CONTENTS Annual Meeting –------------ Page 1 CRAA Website --------------- Page 1 2015 Chignik Forecast – Pages 1-2 Low Smolt Outmigration - Pages 2-3 Black Lake Monitoring - Pages 3-5 CIAP Smolt Grant Update ---- Page 5 Financial Snapshot ----------- Page 5 Salmon Plans & RPT’s -- Pages 6-7 ADF&G Grant for Genetics – Page 7 Pebble Grant Update – Pages 8-9 Board of Fisheries ------ Pages 9-10 Calvin Skonberg Retires -- Page 9 CRAA Election Results --- Pages 9-10 Annual Meeting This year’s CRAA annual meeting will again be held at the Westmark hotel in downtown Anchorage. The meeting will take place on February 16th & 17th 2015. Interested parties are encouraged to attend the informational presentations on th. Monday, February 16 Presentations will start around 8:00am. See CRAA’s website for additional information. Last year’s annual CRAA Board of Directors Meeting was held in Anchorage at the Westmark hotel on February 21st & 22nd 2014. The meeting was well attended with the following groups having representation: CRAA (9 out of 10 board members & staff present), ADF&G (Alaska Department of Fish and Game), UW/FRI (University of Washington – Fisheries Research Institute), ISA (International Seafoods of Alaska), & USFS (United States Fisheries - Subsistence), and many Chignik fishermen. The overall meeting was highly informational with numerous agency presentations, and the CRAA BOD reaffirmed its mission to continue monitoring the Black Lake system for geomorphic changes and the Chignik sockeye salmon smolt outmigration, annually. Sam Rabung, ADF&G’s Hatchery Programs Manager, presented information centered on the steps necessary to start a hatchery program. Minutes from the meeting are available upon request. Ψ CRAA Website Please visit CRAA’s website at http://chignikregional.com. CRAA will attempt to keep its website current with relevant informational posts. Also posted are CRAA’s current board of directors, contact information, ongoing projects, newsletters, and the goal & mission statement. Check it out today! Ψ Better Than Average 2015 Sockeye Fishery Expected Chignik fishermen can expect a better than average sockeye salmon season this year. This is good news as last year the fishery was nothing short of a disaster with the absence of any early-run fishing in the Chignik waters and elsewhere including the SEDM and Igvak. For 2015, ADF&G forecasts a 2.5 million sockeye combined early and January 2015 CRAA Newsletter late run (Table 1). the 2015 Chignik lakes system run using Chignik smolt and adult return numbers, and by this method they project a 3.0 million total run. This is 0.5 million more than calculated by ADF&G from adult ocean-age adult return numbers and ocean temperature information. While we are hopeful that the smolt generated forecast is acurate in 2015, lower confidence in this forecast is warranted due to statistical issues more so than those associated with the formal FRI and ADF&G forecasts of 2.85 million and 2.54 million respectively. Be safe and fish well! Ψ ADF&G FRI ADF&G Method Brood Yr1 Brood Yr1 Smolt2 Late Run (Chignik L.) Agency Early Run (Black L.) Table 1: 2015 Chignik sockeye salmon forecast in thousands of fish. 1,320 1,217 1,515 1,335 Total 2,536 2,850 3,030 1: Brood Year Return Data 2: Smolt Outmigration Data Note: Run = catch + escapement; fishery to be managed for a 400k early run and 300k late run escapement FRI estimates the total run to come in at 2.85 million. Both the early and late Chignik runs should offer a liberal amount of fishing time. The early run is projected to be about 1.4 million fish strong (ADF&Gs forecast 1.3 million; FRI 1.5 million). The late run is expected to be slightly greater than 1.2 million fish (ADF&G forecast: 1.2 million; FRI’s: 1.3 million). 2014 Salmon Smolt Out Migration is Lower than Average ADF&G estimated that conservatively 4.3 million sockeye salmon smolt out-migrated from the Chignik lakes system in 2014. Most of the migrants entered Chignik Lagoon in the first two weeks of May, earlier than average attributed to an early spring and warmer water temperatures. About 66% of the smolt were age-1’s produced from the 2012 parent escapement of 712 thousand fish. 33% were age-2 smolt from the 2011 escapement of 754 thousand. Most of the age-1 and age-2 smolt were less than average in size and weight. Based on the Board of Fisheries allocation plan for Chignik sockeye salmon, Chignik fishermen should expect a harvest of 0.7 million early run fish and 0.8 late run fish for a total sockeye catch in the Chignik Management Area of about 1.5 million. This assumes that not only the forecasts are fairly accurate and the Igvak and the SEDM fisheries are properly managed, but that ADF&G management delivers a 400k early run escapement and a 300k late run Chignik escapement which have been the respective escapement levels recently reached. 2014 marks the fourth smallest sockeye smolt migration from the Chignik lakes system of record. The average is 14.8 million (1994-2014), a level more than three times the conservative 2014 smolt estimate of 4.3 million. Most of the 2014 smolt that survive ADF&G has alternatively forecasted 2 January 2015 CRAA Newsletter ocean-rearing can be expected to return as adults in 2017 at age 1.3’s and age 2.3’s. Average ocean survival from smolt to adult is 25% for Chignik sockeye salmon. two gear types is found an alternative sampling program will need to be considered and/or a change in the location of the traps to an area of greater water velocities so as to reduce trap avoidance. Why did so few sockeye salmon smolt out-migrate from the Chignik lakes in 2014 as estimated? Alternatively, did most of the Chignik smolt migrate well before the sampling traps were operational and/or were the traps potentially selective toward smaller and less vigorous fish therein missing large smolt? Ample evidence exists that some smolt migrated in 2014 before the traps were fishing on 1 May based on the numbers of fish caught in the first week. A time-series analysis by the Department indicates that about 1 million smolt exited in late April which is included in the 4.3 million estimate. Food availability in the two Chignik lakes does not appear to be a major factor in the low smolt numbers as zooplankton levels were essentially normal through the 2013 growing season. The abundance of competitor species including pond smelt and stickleback likely limited smolt survival and growth coupled with the mild winter conditions of 2014 which expectedly resulted in a greater energy expenditure and higher winter mortality. The question of possible trap selectivity is a concern, and for the 2015 season CRAA has asked that a fyke net be deployed behind the Chignik weir on a few of the same nights when age, length, and weight data samples are collected at the traps upriver. If a significant difference in fish size between the Often it is asked whether it necessary to annually sample/quantify Chignik smolt? Yes, if the intent is manage the Chignik lakes for optimum sockeye salmon sustainability. Smolt numbers and their growth characteristics measure the health of the lake system and the consequences of changes in escapement levels and natural habitat such as the 25-40% volume reduction that has occurred at Black Lake since the mid 1960’s. The smolt program is an investment. Absent of smolt monitoring it would not be possible to determine how the Chignik lakes system is responding to changes at BL and elsewhere in the system including escapement levels but also how well Chignik sockeye are faring in the ocean environment. Another benefit of smolt monitoring is that the data provides a tool for forecasting future runs well in advance of the more typical method using adult brood table data like the relationship between 2-ocean and 3-ocean age adults. Ψ UW-FRI Black Lake/ Black River/ Alec River Monitoring in 2014 by Tim Walsworth The University of Washington – FRI continued to monitor geomorphic changes in Black Lake, Black River, and the Alec River in the summer of 2014. In summary, major winter 3 January 2015 CRAA Newsletter flooding appeared to move sediments in both the Alec and Black Rivers, putting more discharge into the South Alec Channel relative to the North Alec Channel, and lowering river bed elevation in reach 3 of the Black River. However, while Black Lake surface elevation was low throughout summer of 2014, the lake elevation was within the range observed in recent years, suggesting no loss of rearing capacity for juvenile salmon. Additionally, FRI researchers conducted cross-section analyses of the Reach 3 section of the Black River (between the outlet of Black Lake and the confluence with Chiaktuak/Red Salmon Creek). Three cross sections were analyzed with laser level to determine river bed elevation. Cross-section measurements tied to USGS Elevation Markers indicated that channel and thalweg elevations had dropped at each location, likely resulting from sediment movement during major winter flood events. Cross-section measurements will be repeated during summer 2015 to confirm these observations Black Lake water elevation was monitored in the outlet bay of the lake thus extending the data collection started by the Army Corps of Engineers. Black Lake experienced two large floods in the winter of 2014, demonstrating the highest water surface elevations measured since 2010 when continuous lake level monitoring began. During these floods the surface of Black Lake increased approximately 4 feet above the average water levels observed in recent winters. However, low winter snowpack led to low water levels throughout the summer, with very little snowmelt flood pulse. While water levels at the beginning of the summer were nearly as low as the end of summer 2013, they held relatively stable throughout the summer, declining slowly until the end of August when lake level loggers were last downloaded and relaunched. Lake surface elevations remained within the range observed in recent years throughout the summer. Lake level monitoring is ongoing and will continue through 2016. Alec River discharge was sampled repeatedly throughout summer 2014 and has now occurred for seven consecutive years. The percent of discharge in each of the North and South Alec River Channels has demonstrated a historic shift towards more flow in the south channel, particularly during low flow periods. As there was not a significant snowmelt flood in 2014, total discharge remained near the low end of the range of discharges detected in the previous seven years. More than 60% of Alec River discharge flowed through the South Channel throughout the summer, and the highest proportion of water in the South Channel relative to the North Channel since 2009 was detected in 2014. Sediment movement from winter flood events likely piled sediment at the entrance to the North Alec Channel, as indicated by larger sand bars than previous years at the entrance to the North Alec 4 January 2015 CRAA Newsletter Channel. Ψ Program (CIAP) provides federal grant funds derived from federal offshore oil lease revenues to oil producing states for conservation, protection, or restoration of coastal areas including wetlands for the mitigation of damage to fish, wildlife, or natural resources. Alaska has a Statewide CIAP plan that includes distributions to the Lake and Peninsula Borough. As part of the Borough’s plan on how to use CIAP funds, they have included funding Chignik smolt studies. Ψ CIAP Grant Project Update This project has been successfully completed and the grant funds have been received. In August 2012 the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) approved CRAA’s grant application for a Biological Assessment of Rapid Habitat Evolution in the Chignik Lakes System, in the amount of $107,800.00. This Coastal Impact Assistance Grant was used by the State of Alaska, Lake and Peninsula Borough, and CRAA to perform a biological assessment that would advance the cause of the long range project to ensure and mitigate the impact that the reduced volume at Black Lake is having on area fish, wildlife, and other natural resources in the Chignik area. Financial Snapshot CRAA received state grant funding amounting to roughly $619k which was paid on July 31st, 2014. Annually, CRAA spends on average about $80k internally for meetings, office space, staff salaries, supplies, and miscellaneous expenses, and spends about $125k for external contract services (consulting, contracted services, studies, and projects). CRAA is always exploring alternative funding sources in the form of grants to offset annual expenses, most notably the spring smolt study. Recently, CRAA has secured grants from the Pebble Partnership Fund (35k) and CIAP(107k) to help offset the cost of the smolt study, the overlap-period genetic study, and the video monitoring of the escapement counts. Over the past five years, CRAA's operating budget has been scrutinized to insure financial prudence, accountability, and the best possible return on the funds expended. Ψ The CIAP grant helped fund the 2013 and 2014 seasons of enumerating out-migrating sockeye smolt and CRAA has recently received the grant funds in the amount of $107,800. ADF&G, which CRAA contracted to conduct the study, will be presenting the findings of the 2014 smolt study along with information on current sockeye fry rearing conditions in Black and Chignik lakes at the upcoming CRAA annual meeting in Anchorage on February 16. The 2013 smolt report is available online at http://chignikregional.com and the 2014 smolt report will be available when the draft report is finalized by about mid-March. The Coastal Impact Assistance 5 January 2015 CRAA Newsletter Comprehensive Salmon Plans & the RPT Process enhancement services (conduct business, operate an enhancement project). by Sam Rabung The first step in developing a salmon fishery enhancement program is the drafting of a CSP by the RPT. This ensures that enhancement activities are developed and supported locally, utilizing local and traditional knowledge, and based on meeting the needs of the region. These plans also document enhancement efforts, set production goals, and identify potential for new projects. The RPT plays a coordinating role in the fisheries enhancement program by developing CSPs that establish production goals, objectives, and guidelines that are reflective of the desires of salmon users within the region. The RPT additionally provides oversight to insure that proposed projects are consistent with the CSP and that they will provide public benefits without significant negative effects on natural stocks. RPTs typically meet one to two times per year and make recommendations to the commissioner regarding the CSP, hatchery permit applications and permit alteration requests, annual management plans, and some fish resource permits (FRP). The intent of the salmon fisheries enhancement program in Alaska is to provide benefit to the public through additional harvest opportunities for salmon fisheries without adversely affecting the production and harvest of naturally occurring stocks. The authorization and guidance for the program are addressed in Alaska statutes, regulations, and policies. Alaska’s modern salmon fisheries enhancement program is stakeholder driven, with provisions for planning and oversight by representatives of regional user groups. To facilitate this, the state is divided into several salmon planning regions designated by the commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game (ADF&G). Each region has one Regional Aquaculture Association (RAA) authorized by the commissioner. Regional salmon fishery enhancement efforts are guided by Regional Comprehensive Salmon Plans (CSP), which are prepared by each region’s Regional Planning Team (RPT). The RPT consists of six voting members; three are ADF&G personnel appointed by the commissioner, and three are appointed by the board of directors of the qualified RAA for the region. The RAA serves in an advisory capacity to the commissioner regarding salmon fishery enhancement activity within the region through participation on the RPT. If the RAA becomes a nonprofit corporation (per AS 10.20) it may provide salmon fishery Nearly all of the established regions have CSPs in place, however, many are out of date and no longer reflect current conditions and desires of fishery stakeholders. CSPs are intended to be adaptive to the changing situations and needs of a region and so may be amended or updated as often as is deemed necessary by the RPT. The process of drafting or updating a CSP is 6 January 2015 CRAA Newsletter Grant Awarded for Genetic Sampling Chignik’s Two Sockeye Runs unique to each RPT with the exception of the requirement for ADF&G and public reviews, and final approval by the ADF&G Commissioner. Typically, the RPT will contract an individual to draft the plan subject to guidance and approval by the RPT at scheduled meetings. All RPT meetings are open to the public and must have public notice. Additional public outreach during CSP drafting often entails public meetings held in communities within the region to solicit stakeholder input, postal surveys, and a public review and comment period. This process can take from several months to years, depending upon the amount of drafting necessary, the level of involvement by stakeholders, and the available financial support for the work. ADF&G has received a three-year federal grant to fund genetic sampling of the two Chignik sockeye salmon runs in-season from late June through early July, the time when the Black Lake and the Chignik Lake stocks overlap. This is a plus for Chignik. Separating the two Chignik sockeye runs inseason using real-time genetic results rather than assuming a constant July 4th transition date from one year to the next will provide accurate information for day-to-day management of the two sockeye runs thereby ensuring proper escapements and that surpluses are readily available to local subsistence users and the commercial fishery. Of further advantage is that neither ADF&G nor CRAA will be saddled with any expenses for sampling or the analysis. Once a CSP is approved, it serves as a guide to appropriate salmon fishery enhancement efforts for the region. Marybeth Loewen with the assistance of Birch Foster (both ADF&G research biologists) were responsible for securing funding for six genetic sampling events each season for the next three seasons starting this year (2015). Sam is the hatchery program coordinator for the State of Alaska. Sam has long worked statewide in the aquaculture field and is known as the “go-to-man” for how the State works with regional aquaculture associations through regional planning teams to update comprehensive salmon plans and planning, permitting and building salmon hatcheries. Ψ On behalf of those that depend on Chignik’s two sockeye runs, CRAA staff thanks ADF&G for securing this grant. Ψ 7 January 2015 CRAA Newsletter Pebble Grant Project Update own estimates. This results in public doubt about the accuracy and trustworthiness of ADF&G’s method of counting fish. ADF&G employs underwater video cameras that continuously record the salmon passing through two weir gates that are open 24 hours a day. The basic idea behind this project is that when the live video from those weir cameras is live streamed to the public that fishermen would then be able to see what the biologists are seeing at virtually the same time as they are seeing it. That would give the public a powerful tool to compare their own personal ways of estimating how many fish are moving through the weir with what they can see moving through the weir on the weir cameras. Chignik Lake Village has partnered with CRAA on a $35,000 Pebble grant project titled “Improving Chignik Salmon Management through In-Season Genetics & Live Streaming the Weir Escapement” that was awarded on October 16, 2013. CRAA has administered the grant for the Village, subcontracted the in-season genetics to the ADF&G and prepared the grant reports to the Pebble Fund on behalf of the Village. The Genetic Study ADF&G completed the 2014 inseason genetic study, and the information was used in real time management decisions for optimizing the escapement and harvest of the first and second runs. This is a vast improvement over the assumption that the 50%-50% mark for the first and second run happens on July 4 every year. The preliminary results are on CRAA’s website and are shown below: The underwater cameras record 24/7 and the ADF&G biologists observe the camera video output during the first 10 minutes of each hour per gate and the results are then tabulated. Those numbers are expanded to a full hour estimate of the escapement by multiplying each ten minute count by six. Since there are two gates in the weir it takes 20 minutes of viewing to estimate the escapement for each hour that the weir is open. At that rate it takes 8 hours of counting per day to get the escapement estimate for one day (10 minutes times 2 cameras times 24 hours equals 8 hours), and that doesn’t account for adding in the number of replays necessary to verify that every fish is counted and the species identification is correct. The method described above has been tested at many counting tower Video Steaming the Weir counts Local fishermen often observe that the escapement counts from the ADF&G weir are at odds with their 8 January 2015 CRAA Newsletter locations in Alaska, the closest being in Bristol Bay and found to be about 95% accurate for gauging, not necessarily hourly, but total daily escapement numbers. Peninsula. The most recent genetic (WASSIP) study indicates that even in weak years Chignik sockeye dominate the catch and local South Peninsula stocks barely contribute (>4%). Options for putting the brakes on what some call a “pirate fishery” include: restricting fishing time; setting an upper harvest limit; keeping the area closed or severely restricted when the Chignik harvest is likely to be less than 300k by July 8th and 600k by July 25th; and classifying the Dolgoi Island as an exclusive registration area so as to block SEDM fishers from fishing there when the SEDM waters are closed. Unfortunately this project of livestreaming of the underwater video cameras at the weir has proven to be much more challenging and expensive than originally anticipated. After a lengthy period and many conversations with technology experts, CRAA finally identified the equipment best suited for the project. CRAA selected microwave technology to beam the “line of sight” signal from Chignik Weir to sites in Chignik Lagoon and/or Chignik Lake. However when CRAA went to order the equipment, it found that the equipment was so popular that the units were on back order and would not be available until well into the salmon season. CRAA then requested a grant amendment for an extension of the installation date per the terms of the grant. Chignik area proposals to consider include: re-opening fishing on the Kupreanof line and redefining pink and chum salmon management to promote greater harvest opportunity while ensuring that proper escapements but not excessive escapements are reached, the latter generally being the norm in recent years. Another potential for advancing Chignik fishing opportunity is for the BOF to authorize an experimental Pacific cod fishery with purse seine gear to operate from about 1 May to early June under the jig quota which typically is not used. The intent is to provide greater opportunity to the salmon fleet while reducing salmon fry and smolt predation in the Chignik nearshore waters. A provision that all incidentally caught salmon be released unharmed would be beneficial to passage of the proposal. Ψ CRAA secured the grant amendment, purchased the equipment, and is now looking for partners to contribute to the cost of installing the system. Ψ Deadline Nearing for Area M and Chignik Board of Fisheries Proposals April 10th is the deadline for Board of Fisheries finfish proposals for Area M and Chignik both. Several management changes might well be worth considering. These include limiting sockeye harvest in the Dolgoi Island area of the South 9 January 2015 CRAA Newsletter George Anderson Commercial Seat (since 2014) CRAA Director Retires CRAA thanks Calvin Skonberg for his years of dedicated service. Calvin held one of the six CRAA commercial seats from 2006 through 2014. His presence and participation will be greatly missed. Ψ Elliot Roger Lind Commercial Seat (since 2005) Harry Kalmakoff, Jr. Native Corporation Seat (since 2007) Don Bumpus Local Government Seat (since 2010) CRAA Election Results Don Lind Sport Fish Seat (since 2012) CRAA’s election for 2015 officers was certified on January 10th 2015 by a private CPA firm. Both Ernie Carlson and George Anderson retained their commercial seats; both Don O. Lind and Al Anderson retained the Sport Fish Seat and the Subsistence Seat, respectively. All terms are for three years. Ψ Clyde Pedersen Seafood Processor Seat (since 2011) Disclaimer: Except where otherwise noted these news articles were written by CRAA staff: Bruce Barrett, Matt Siemion, and Chuck McCallum. Nothing in this newsletter necessarily reflects the opinions of individual CRAA directors. CRAA’s Board of Directors and Staff - 2015 Charles McCallum Chief Executive Officer (since 1990) Bruce Barrett Chief Biological Consultant (since 2001) Chignik Regional Aquaculture Association Al Anderson Subsistence Seat & Vice President (since 1991) Box 46 Chignik, AK 99564 or Matt Siemion Commercial Seat & Secretary & Treasurer (since 1997) 2731 Meridian Street suite B, Bellingham, WA 98225 Tel: (360) 647-2401 chuckmccallum@gmail.com H. Gary Anderson Commercial Seat (since 1994) (907) 351-9107 (Chuck’s Cell) Paul Johnson Commercial Seat (1994-2009 & since 2013) Ernie Carlson Commercial Seat (1991-2004 & since 2009) 10