Outsourcing the Future The outsourcing movement has been with us now for some ten years and show no sign of abating. As this is one of the most powerful trends in modern industry worldwide it may be worthwhile revisiting the issue to consider how it might develop in the future. The fundamental principle behind business success is competitive advantage, and where this advantage is sustainable a business can fend off the competition and remain ahead of the field. The nature of competitive advantage lies in the achievement by the organisation of a distinctive competence by excelling in one or more areas of business activity. According to Slack et. al. (2000) distinctive competence derives from excellence in five main operational areas; speed (the ability to produce quickly), flexibility (the ability to bring new products to the market quickly), reliability (reliable delivery), quality (consistency of quality in products) and cost (the ability to tightly control costs). If these five sources of distinctive competence are considered in any depth it would seem that they are based upon areas of activity that are central to the functioning of the organisation, hence related business functions tend to be referred to as core activities. In brief a distinctive competence is something that an organisation is better at than its competitors. In terms of outsourcing therefore it is commonly the areas in which an organisation has no distinctive competence that should be outsourced i.e. none core activities. If these are outsourced to organisations that do have a distinctive competence in the production of these functions we should in principle be able to “hijack” their distinctive competence, build it into our own and improve our competitive advantage. The “cardinal sin”, however, according to Cox, A (1997) is to outsource something in which we do have a distinctive competence. This approach to the outsourcing exercise based upon core and non activities has resulted in the usual lists of candidates for outsourcing, such as catering, security, facilities management, logistics and so on. Outsourcing these activities allows managers to focus on strategically more important issues and thereby improve performance and profitability. To this extent outsourcing conforms to the best principles of lean enterprise. It is interesting to conjecture at this point as to where outsourcing may develop in the future. We loosely defined distinctive competence it as something we do that we do better than anyone else, or something that sets us apart from the others. This is closely allied of course to the concept of mission, which should clarify what the organisation is about. There are indications that the emerging trend is towards the outsourcing of manufacturing itself. If we take any well-known brand or marque and ask what the nature of it is, we can often conclude that manufacturing activity is not an essential component of that brand. Consider a leading brand of car manufacturer such as Fords, what really gives them competitive advantage? It is probably the ability to bring out new designs quickly, to be highly innovative in those designs, and to market them effectively. Is it necessary therefore to be involved in their manufacture? The answer to this question is probably no, in fact a view could be taken that being involved in manufacturing merely slows the organisation down and makes it less adaptable and innovative. If we look at some of the current trends this can already be observed. Several years ago Fords ceased the production of engine blocks at Dagenham, and in Ford’s new Brazilian plant there are plans to give suppliers and contractors a greater role in the assembly of its cars. Volkswagen has already introduced limited assembly outsourcing at its Brazilian plants, and Daimler- Chrysler has increased the use of contractors in production of its two-seater Smart cars in Europe. The move towards the outsourcing of final assembly is naturally one which highly contentious with the labour force. The same trend is evident in the electronics industry. A developing characteristic in the electronics industry is the emergence of large scale “manufacturers”, known as electronic manufacturing services (EMS), which will manufacture for anyone to a performance specification and badge the product accordingly. A prime example here is that Microsoft wanted nothing to do with the manufacture of the new X-Box, they came up with the concept and performance requirements and left the production to their supplier in Hungary while they moved on to the next project. The Swedish company Ericsson have ceased the manufacture of handsets which has been transferred Flextronics, a Swedish company with divisions in Brazil, Malaysia, The USA and the UK. Ericsson will instead focus on technology and development. Ericsson have also entered a deal with Arima in Taiwan for the development of their internet phones. Motorala have similar deals with EMS companies Celestica and Flextronics. A similar trend towards the outsourcing of manufacturing is emerging in the Pharmaceuticals industry. The distinction between core and non core activity may however not always be that simple and as pointed out by Jane Linder (2002) what is non core today may be core tomorrow and vice versa., for example, in the USA on September 9 airport security workers were non core; on September 12 they were core to the federal governments ability to provide security to the nation. The advice given by Insinga, R.C and Werle, M J (November 2000) is that companies should monitor the situation constantly and adjust accordingly. They quote the example of Coca Cola, which decided to stay out of bottling activity in the early 1900’s, partnering instead with independent bottlers and quickly building market share. The company reversed itself in the 1980’s when bottling became a key competitive element in the market. From a practical contract negotiation standpoint it is probably advisable therefore to ensure that an escape clause is incorporated into any long-term contract for outsourced activity. Cox, A Supply Management May 1997 How to think strategically about outsourcing, Cramer, M. Harvard Management Update May 2002 Linking Outsourcing to Business Strategy, Insinga, R C and Werle, M J Academy of Management Executive Vol 14, No 4 November 2000 Operations Management, Slack, Chambers, Harland, Harrison and Johnson, 1989