Financial Economics Econ 479 Simulated Stock Market Game Instructions Prof. Thornton Winter 2003 This assignment involves setting up and playing a simulated stock market game. You will play this game throughout the semester and compete against members of the class and other invited players. The game will be played on the VirtualStockExchange Web site. VirtualStockExchange was founded by alumni from Stanford and Cornell University as an educational tool to teach students about investing in the stock market. It is a simulated online brokerage firm that lets you do mock trading of all securities listed on the major stock exchanges in the U.S. Thus, you will be buying and selling stocks on the Internet just like you would if you had an account at an online broker. Membership Registration Go to the VirtualStockExchange Web site (http://www.virtualstockexchange.com). You are now at the VirtualStockExchange home page. Under VirtualStockExchange, click on Join Now. Under What is the Virtual Stock Exchange?, click on “Click here to register...” This takes you to the Registration Page. Fill out the registration form. Note that your username can be any name you choose. I suggest that you do not use your real name. This will help maintain your anonymity. When you are done filling out the registration form, click on the Registration button. You should now see the Welcome page. This page confirms that you are now a member of VirtualStockExchange, and gives your username and password. You will use these to login to your personal home page. Registering for the Economics 479 Stock Market Competition Click on the Competitions button at the top of the page. You are now at the Competitions home page. To sign-up for the Economics 479 Stock Market Competition, you need the following information. Competition Name: EC479 Private Competition Competition ID: emuecon Competition Password: drtecon In the box labeled “Enter the competition ID” in the middle of the page, enter emuecon and click the Go button. When the new page appears click, “Click here to join Econ 479 Private Competition.” In the box labeled “Competition Password” enter drtecon and click the Join button. You have now successfully joined the EC479 Private Competition. Rules of the Game You begin the game with an online brokerage account with $500,000 in cash. You can use this cash to purchase a portfolio of stocks. Any cash that is not currently invested in stocks will earn an annual interest rate of 4% in your brokerage account. When buying or selling a stock, you must submit an order. You can submit either a market order, limit order, or stop loss order. If you submit a market order while the market is open between 9:30 A.M. and 4:00 P.M it will usually be executed within 20 minutes. If you submit a market order after the market closes at 4:00 P.M. it will be executed when the market opens the following day. Each time you buy or sell a stock, you must pay a brokerage commission of $29.95. This commission is deducted from the cash balance in your account after each trade you make. This is the same commission that the discount brokerage firm Charles Schwab charges for online stock trades. Your brokerage account is a margin account, so you can buy stocks on margin or sell stocks short if you so desire. If you buy stocks on margin (i.e., borrow money from your brokerage firm to buy stocks) you must pay an annual interest rate of 6% on the amount of money borrowed. 1 Portfolio Constraint For this game, you must satisfy the following portfolio constraint: At least 25% of your portfolio must be invested in stocks and/or mutual funds. No more than 75% can be invested in cash. You have until Thursday, January 23 to meet this minimum portfolio constraint. Nature of the Competition You manage your personal portfolio that can include three types of assets: stocks, stock mutual funds, and cash. You must choose how much of your portfolio you want to hold in stocks, mutual funds and cash. You must also choose how many stocks to hold, which stocks to hold, and how many shares of each stock to hold. Your score for the game is determined by the performance of your portfolio. The performance of your portfolio is measured by the rate of return on your portfolio. The players in the game (i.e., students in the class and other invited players) are ranked by their performance. The player with the highest rate of return is ranked first, the player with the lowest rate of return is ranked last. At any time during the semester, you can obtain information on the rankings of all players, and determine your rank relative to other players. Rankings are displayed by your username, not by your real name. Therefore, if you don’t want other players to know your identity make sure that you do not reveal your username. The player whose portfolio has the highest rate of return on April 15 wins the game. Time Frame of the Game The stock market simulation game begins Tuesday, January 7 and ends Tuesday, April 15. Some Initial Suggestions You are free to make any choices you want about your portfolio. However, you may want to keep in mind some basic investment principles that emerge from Modern Portfolio Theory. 1. The risk of a portfolio is measured by the volatility of the return on the portfolio. The more volatile the return the more risky the portfolio. A high risk portfolio has the potential to make either a very high or very low return. Alternatively, a low risk portfolio has the potential to achieve a more moderate return. For example, the return on a high risk portfolio for the period January 7 through April 15 might range from a possible high of 100% to a possible low of – 50%. The return on a low risk portfolio for the same period might range from a possible high of 10% to a possible low of –5%. 2. A major way to adjust the level of risk of a portfolio is by changing the relative proportions of the portfolio held in cash and stocks. To increase the potential for a higher return, but also increase the chance of a lower return, you can invest a larger portion of your portfolio in stocks and a smaller portion in cash. For example, a portfolio that consists of 80% stock and 20% cash is more risky than a portfolio with 50% stocks and 50% cash. If you are a big risk taker, then you may want to hold your entire portfolio in stocks, and even borrow more money from your broker on margin to buy more stocks. While this increases the probability of making a big return, it also increases the probability of making a big loss. 3. It is possible to lower your risk without sacrificing your expected return by investing in a well diversified portfolio of at least 15 to 25 stocks and or mutual funds. Diversified stocks are stocks of companies whose stock prices and returns do not move closely together. For example, rather than purchasing a stock portfolio that consists of all technology stocks, you would purchase stocks of companies in different industries and sectors of the economy. Also, you would purchase stocks of large, medium, and small size companies, rather than purchasing all small size companies or all large size companies. 2 4. Keep in mind that each time you buy or sell a stock, you must pay a commission of $29.95. Commissions lower your returns. For example, suppose that you are an active trader and during an average week you make 20 trades. You will pay commissions of $599 per week. For the 3 month period of the game, you will pay total commissions of approximately $7,800. Everything else the same, this will reduce your annual return by about 1.5%. Thus, for active investors to outperform passive investors they must make higher returns on the stocks they buy and sell. If you have little or no prior knowledge about the stock market and choosing stocks, you might want to use one or more of the following strategies to decide what stocks to buy. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Buy the stocks of one or more of your favorite companies. Ask friends, relatives, and others for stock tips. Select a portfolio of 15 to 25 stocks at random. For example, you might tape the financial pages of the newspaper on a wall, shut your eyes, and throw darts. Whatever stocks the darts hit you included in your portfolio. Some stock market experts believe that this type of randomly selected portfolio will perform at least as well as stock portfolios of experienced traders. Use financial information and/or stock market analyst recommendations to choose stocks. Use the internet to obtain information on “Hot Stock Lists” and “Sample Portfolios.” Most investment Web sites have suggested portfolios of stocks based on different investment strategies, recommendations of stock market analysts, or stocks that have the biggest recent percentage gains. Investment Web sites that you might want to check out include The Motley Fool (http://www.fool.com), MSN Investor (http://www.investor.msn.com), Individual Investor Online (http://www.iionline.com), Market Guide Investor (http://www.marketguide.com), SmartMoney.com (http://www.smartmoney.com), Equis International (http://www.equis.com), and Hoover’s Online (http://www.hoovers.com). “Day Trade” stocks. This involves watching stock price movements during the day, betting on the direction in which the price of a stock will move, and buying and selling accordingly. This is a very risky strategy that is tantamount to casino gambling. It is not recommended by many stock market experts. As you learn more about the stock market in this class, you may want to modify your investment strategy or adopt a totally different strategy. The choice of what strategy to use throughout the game is yours. Requirements After you successfully register as a member of VirtualStockExchange, give me your username. Every other Thursday, beginning Thursday January 23, submit a print copy of your portfolio holdings page, detailed view. Good luck, have fun, and make lots of money! 3