EXPERT WITNESS REPORT OF: Pamela S. Erickson, M.A. President/CEO Public Action Management, PLC September 30, 2011 Maxwell’s Pic-Pac, Inc., et al., v. Robert Vance, et al. CIVIL ACTION NUMBER: 3:11–CV-18-H IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT WESTERN DISTRICT OF KENTUCKY AT LOUISVILLE 1 Scope of Opinions and Disclosures This report represents my opinion regarding the impact of permitting the sale of wine and distilled spirits in grocery stores and stores selling gasoline and lubricating oil in Kentucky. This opinion is based on: (i) seven years liquor regulatory law enforcement experience as Executive Director of the Oregon Liquor Control Commission and business experience operating and managing the State’s distilled spirits business including 240 retail stores and a wholesale operation; (ii) fifteen years experience in efforts to reduce underage drinking through regulation, media advocacy and public education; (iii) four years experience developing and managing a national educational program designed to foster a “Healthy Alcohol Marketplace” by explaining how regulations work to further public health and safety; (iv) a detailed review of relevant research, historical documents and reports I have written in the area of alcohol regulation; and, (v) a review of documents of record and deposition testimony from the present lawsuit between Maxwell’s Pic-Pac, Inc. et al. and Robert Vance, et al. Endnotes reporting source information used to generate this report are shown in Appendix B. Qualifications As an expert witness, I offer experience and knowledge in the areas of law enforcement, the operation of alcohol regulatory systems, the alcohol industry, and research about the effects of alcohol regulation and deregulation. A full description of my qualifications can be found in Appendix A. Law Enforcement: I began my career in law enforcement and criminal justice research. I served as a deputy sheriff in Multnomah County (Portland, Oregon), worked on a landmark study of Policewomen on Patrol in the District of Columbia, administered criminal justice grants and contracts for the U.S. Department of Justice and worked for seven years at the Oregon Law Enforcement Council where I administered grants and produced statistical analyses and reports. Research: I have a B.A. in political science and an M.A. in government. Each of those degrees involved learning about research technique and statistical analysis. I worked in Washington D.C. for the Urban Institute’s research staff to evaluate the performance of 100 police women compared to 100 police men who did uniform patrol work. This was a comprehensive study employing survey research and structured observation. I worked briefly for the U.S. Department of Justice to administer criminal justice grants and contracts and subsequently worked for the State of Oregon’s Oregon Law Enforcement Council for seven years in the areas of comprehensive criminal justice planning, research and statistical analysis. As a prevention advocate working to reduce underage drinking, I became knowledgeable of the body of research on the topic of underage drinking. Alcohol business: Oregon is a control state which means it owns and operates the distilled spirits business. As Executive Director of the Oregon Liquor Control Commission, I was tasked with directing and managing that business. The business included a wholesale operation with a large warehouse, a distribution operation using common carriers, and a retail business using private contract agents for 240 liquor stores statewide. Under my direction, the business developed a business plan to 2 modernize and upgrade all facilities. I maintain my expertise in the alcohol business by daily review of news articles and on-line newsletters. Regulation: I spent seven years as the Executive Director of the Oregon Liquor Control Commission. This involved licensing approximately 10,000 retail and wholesale businesses and issuing permits to well over 20,000 alcohol servers. I was tasked with enforcing all alcohol regulations with a staff of approximately 40 liquor inspectors. I increased my understanding of alcohol regulation once I left the liquor commission and joined a non-profit to help reduce underage drinking. In that position, I became acquainted with the large body of research concerning what is effective in alcohol regulation. Since then, I formed a new business which is currently dedicated to enhancing knowledge and understanding of alcohol regulation and how it works to foster public health and safety. I formed a national education program which includes a monthly newsletter, several reports, and a website. I frequently speak at national conferences and have given expert testimony in several states and to a Congressional committee. Publications within the past 10 years: “The Danger of Alcohol Deregulation, The United Kingdom Experience,” “The High Cost of Cheap Alcohol,” and “2011 Issue Briefs for States.” Since 2008, I have produced an on-line newsletter. At the present time, it is issued monthly to an email list of over 2,600 addressees nation-wide. I have produced PowerPoint presentations for testimony and speeches as well as written testimony to the U. S. House of Representatives, Judiciary Committee, Subcommittee on Courts and Competition. All reports, newsletter editions, and some PowerPoint presentations are available free of charge at www.healthyalcoholmarket.com. Exhibits Used: The publications/endnotes listed in Appendix B plus the following substantive reports of my creation constitute the exhibits that were used as general background and which help summarize or support my opinions: “The Danger of Alcohol Deregulation, the United Kingdom Experience” (September 2009); “2011 Issue Briefs for States“ (February 2011); and “The High Cost of Cheap Alcohol” (April 2011). Copies of exhibits will be made available as appropriate. I reserve the right to supplement this report to include additional exhibits to support additional opinions, if any. Other cases in the last four years where I testified as an expert witness: None. See Appendix A. Compensation to be paid for the study and testimony in the case: I will be paid at the rate of $250 per hour with a retainer of $2,500 to begin work. 3 Statement of Opinions and Data/Sources of Support My opinion is that eliminating the challenged statutory and regulatory provisions, namely KRS 243.230(5) and 804 KAR 4:270, will seriously weaken Kentucky’s alcohol regulatory system. Pulling a single regulation out of Kentucky’s regulatory system will create a domino effect and result in increased social problems due to alcohol. This will occur by making all forms of alcohol more available; by increasing the availability of more dangerous, higher alcohol content products; by lessening controls provided by clerks; by decreasing the deterrent effect of liquor store age restrictions; by increasing the promotions which use price to induce high volume purchase; and, by decreasing the ability of law enforcement to maintain its current level of enforcement. The challenged law is a key element in a system of alcohol control that is highly complex and includes a series of checks and balances designed to achieve a balanced market, one which prevents sales practices that lead to social problems. The evidence in support of this opinion requires a brief history of alcohol regulation, a comprehensive explanation of the system and how it works to reduce problems, a more detailed explanation of how KRS 243.230-(5) and 804 KAR 4:270 work in concert with Kentucky’s regulatory system and a description of modern alcohol marketplace problems that pose additional problems if regulations are weakened. 1. In my opinion, based on a review of national and Kentucky historical documents, Kentucky’s alcohol regulatory system, like most states, is based on a well-researched study published in 1933 which aimed to limit alcohol consumption and foster moderation. A key element of that study was a recommendation to make products of lower alcohol content widely available through sale in grocery or convenience stores and “stronger” products less available through a limited number of “package” or liquor stores with a more controlled sales environment. From the outset, Kentucky adopted the principle of tighter control over products of high alcohol content in an effort to control excessive consumption and promote public safety. Kentucky has maintained this principle as a method of alcohol control ever since. Prohibition was an extreme solution. But so were the problems it was trying to alleviate. As Historian W.J. Rorabaugh reminds us, “For generations, Americans had been heavy drinkers, and by 1900 saloons were identified with political corruption, prostitution, gambling, crime, poverty and family destruction.” (1) Prior to Prohibition alcohol was sold in a free-market scenario with little regulation. National manufacturers controlled the industry and owned retail saloons—called “tied houses”—where almost all alcohol was consumed. To compete, each national company saturated neighborhoods with multiple outlets which were often located near factories to attract workers. Aggressive promotions encouraged high volume consumption and money was used to dissuade politicians from crack-downs. Prohibition did reduce alcohol consumption and many of the public disorder problems. But, it didn’t stop drinking and created a new problem of considerable lawlessness. Prohibition became very unpopular, was poorly enforced and spawned a major organized crime industry that was often violent and unruly. 4 Passage and ratification of the 21st Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, ended Prohibition and, in Section 2 of the Amendment, gave the task of regulating and controlling alcohol to the states. It was a recognition that a federal solution with “one size fits all” wasn’t very workable and that when alcohol problems occur they primarily impact local communities. But, states had no real experience with such regulation. As a result, all of our states, to one degree or another, relied upon the recommendations of a major study financed by John D. Rockefeller, Jr., a prominent entrepreneur of the day. This study was published as a book entitled, Toward Liquor Control, authored by Raymond B. Fosdick and Albert L. Scott. (2) For the study, the authors examined how alcohol was regulated in all Canadian provinces and several countries in Europe (Norway, Sweden, England, Holland, Russia, and Finland). (An extensive discussion of the history and original purpose for design of the alcohol regulatory systems can be found in Wendell J.Manuel dba Jungle Lounge & Restaurant, et al v. State of Louisiana, Office of Alcohol and Tobacco Control, et al.) Fosdick and Scott recommended that states adopt an alcohol control system, not just one or two regulations. They offered two plans—a system where the state maintained ownership of alcohol sales and a system where licensed businesses sold the products. They understood that social problems are complex and a system of control must involve a set of regulations which work together. Each of the two plans proposed regulations for manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers. As they noted, “…the objective is the same under both plans, namely to place the sale of liquor under a series of restrictions devised to curtail excessive consumption.” (2, p. 51) It should be noted that several states followed a third path for a number of years. That was to simply remain “dry.” However, all states have now abandoned that policy, Mississippi being the last to change in 1966. Thirty-three states do permit local communities to vote to be “dry” (prohibit all alcohol sales) or “moist” (prohibit some alcohol sales). Kentucky has that provision and as of August 2011, 32 counties are wet, 39 are dry and 22 are moist (with a wet city located within its boundaries) and the remaining counties are dry with various exceptions for restaurants, golf course, wineries and historic sites. (3) After Prohibition, the states had a truly unique opportunity. Each state could design a regulatory system that could shape the alcohol marketplace in a way that fostered moderation in consumption. Fosdick and Scott were particularly concerned with the retail aspect: “Virtually all the individual and social evils of the liquor traffic arise from an inadequately regulated and overstimulated retail sale.” (2, p. 42) Lest we think this couldn’t happen in modern times, we only need recall our recent experience with an “inadequately regulated and overstimulated” mortgage market or look across the Atlantic at the United Kingdom’s current alcohol epidemic which occurred after 50 years of deregulation. With regard to retail regulation, one of Fosdick and Scott’s key recommendations was to make products of high alcohol content less available: “The sale of stronger drinks should be 5 regulated under a program which so far as is practicable, discourages consumption with increasing strictness as the alcoholic content increases.” (2, p. 20) Most states adopted some kind of “package store” system which embodied that idea. In 18 states, the package stores were a part of a state monopoly where products of higher alcohol content were sold in “state stores.” The remaining states developed licensed liquor store systems which specialize in the sale of alcohol. Such liquor or “package” stores are usually subject to tighter controls over how products are sold. Most have curtailed hours of sale and some are not open on Sunday or holidays. The locations are often limited by population or by local control. Age restrictions usually exist to prohibit minors from being present in such stores and clerks usually have to be 21 and have a clean criminal record. This allows the stores to focus on alcohol sales within regulatory boundaries. Staff are trained and/or become skilled through experience to assess age, check identification, and identify intoxicated individuals to whom they may not sell. Many states prohibit liquor stores from selling other products. By limiting other types of products for sale, it is more difficult to use temporary price reductions or “loss leaders” to induce high volume sales. In my opinion, America’s alcohol regulatory system has been a success. We learned from Prohibition that an extreme solution won’t eradicate problems with alcohol. What we’ve learned since then is that we can minimize problems. Our regulatory system has been successful in changing Americans’ drinking habits from primarily consuming distilled spirits which was the common drink during Prohibition to primarily consuming beer. That pattern persists today. In addition, per capita consumption remained at moderate levels until regulations were liberalized in the 1970’s and 1980’s. (4) But, the problems of highway deaths lead to the creation of Mothers Against Drunk Driving and other groups that fought to toughen alcohol laws once again. Consumption and problems eventually declined. Today most Americans who drink do so in moderation. Thus, we have found that we can continue to modify our systems, but if things go array we can make a course correction. I find that our system stacks up well versus other countries. The United Kingdom is a prime example of what can happen when alcohol is deregulated. (5) In the early 1900’s, that country had managed to quell severe alcohol problems with a comprehensive tax and license system. In 1933, this was one of the models used by Fosdick and Scott to develop their recommendations. But, over 50-60 years, the United Kingdom deregulated alcohol to the point where all forms of alcohol are sold 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Their market is dominated by large retailers who aggressively promote cheap alcohol in an overstimulated market. As alcohol was gradually deregulated in the UK, problems increased. Their rates of underage drinking are approximately twice ours and their hospital admissions for liver disease and acute intoxication have doubled in just ten years. They have one of the highest rates of alcohol consumption in the world. In contrast, the US ranks 27th compared to a list of 43 countries… well below such countries as France, Spain and Germany. (6) 6 A review of Kentucky’s legislative history supports my opinion that KRS 243.230(5) and 804 KAR 4:270 represent a key element of the alcohol regulatory system adopted from the beginning. In 1933, Governor Laffoon appointed the “Kentucky Liquor Control Committee” and charged them to study the “conditions resulting from the repeal of the Eighteenth Amendment and recommending legislation to meet those conditions.” (7) This was a particularly difficult task as the Seventh Amendment to the Kentucky Constitution (Ky. Const. Section. 226a) prohibited the “manufacture, sale or transportation of spirituous, vinous, malt or other intoxicating liquors, except for sacramental, medicinal, scientific or mechanical purposes…” Further, a state law, known as the Rash-Gullion Act, provided for enforcement of the Seventh Amendment. The Committee was divided on how to handle this dilemma and, thus, produced two sets of statutory proposals. Nevertheless, they were united on the idea that distilled spirits was the most serious problem and needed to be more tightly regulated. And both took the tact of considering beer and light wine as “non-intoxicating.” The majority report “Conclusion” section notes that the committee “has addressed itself to what it considered the central problem, that is, the consumption of liquor for beverage purposes.” (7, p. 11) Legislation proposed by the majority focused on permitting liquor consumption in clubs, hotels and restaurants which the Committee thought would help reduce excessive drinking, “To do this it is necessary to bring the supply of liquor out into the daylight, where it can be properly restricted and watched and policed and taxed.” (7, p. 5) Off premise would be allowed in places where other business was conducted. The minority adopted the approach of considering beer up to 4% alcohol and wine up to 14% non-intoxicating and provided a regulatory scheme for manufacture and sale of those products. All other alcohol products would have been illegal under that scheme given the prohibitions in the Seventh Amendment. The idea of limiting sale of light alcohol beverages to grocery stores and drug stores is part of the minority report legislation. These were the only places one could obtain an offpremise permit. (7, p. 43) The minority report also clearly states the purpose of legislation. After acknowledging that legislation will not cure or prevent all the problems of alcohol, “Legislation, however may mitigate them and should be for the benefit of society, not in the interest of those who pursue the traffic. Temperance should be promoted wherever possible by removing the temptation to over-indulgence. The use of beverage, such as beer and wine of lesser alcoholic content, than ardent spirits should be encouraged. To this end, light wines and beer should be defined as non-intoxicating.” (7, p.13) In 1934, the Kentucky legislature repealed the Rash-Gullion Act and passed an alcoholic control act as a stop gap measure until the Constitutional Amendment could be repealed, which occurred in 1935. Finally, in 1938, an Alcoholic Beverage Control Law was passed that continued the principle of not permitting high alcohol content beverages to be sold in grocery stores or gas stations.(8) Those places were reserved for the sale of light alcohol products. 1938 Ky. Acts Article II, Section 54-(8) states “No Retailer Package License or Retail Drink License shall be issued for any 7 premises used as or in connection with the operation of a grocery store or filling stations. ‘Grocery Store’ shall be construed to mean any business enterprise in which a substantial part of the commercial transaction consists of selling at retail products commonly classified as staple groceries. ‘Filling Station’ shall be construed to mean any business enterprise in which a substantial part of the commercial transactions consists of selling gasoline and lubricating oil at retail.” (8) As this history reveals, Kentucky chose the license system of alcohol regulation along with allowing local communities to prohibit some or all alcohol sales. For retail sales, two basic licenses are offered: a generic malt beverage license and a distilled spirits and wine license for package liquor stores. While malt beverage licenses are readily available, a quota system exists for package store licenses. The reference in the statute to places with a substantial business in “staple groceries” is merely a practical way to define grocery/convenience stores. Since the idea is to make “light beverages” more available, licensing grocery stores for this purpose is a very practical way to ensure that most communities have access to these beverages. The prohibition for gas stations as places to sell spirits and wine is a common practice among states operating both as a deterrent to drinking and driving and to limit availability. In my opinion, Kentucky’s alcohol control system is highly effective in its objective to mitigate problems. Kentucky has some of the lowest rates of consumption, binge drinking, drunk driving and alcohol dependency in the nation. Nationally, 52% of those over 12 report drinking in the past 30 days. That compares with 39% in Kentucky. Likewise rates of binge drinking (24% U.S. v. 20% Kentucky), underage drinking (27% U.S. v. 24% Kentucky) and underage binge drinking (18% U.S. v. 16% Kentucky) are all lower than the U.S. average based on estimates for 2009. Kentucky ties with Utah for the lowest rate of alcohol dependence and abuse. (9) Mothers Against Drunk Driving ranks Kentucky second best in the nation with regard to drunk driving prevention/reduction. (10) This is a sterling record that protects children, saves lives and jobs and reduces costs for the Kentucky taxpayer. 2. In my opinion, U.S. alcohol control systems—including Kentucky’s system—are effective in reducing consumption and attendant problems by limiting availability, curtailing promotions, controlling dangerous products, balancing prices, and restricting sales to minors/intoxicated persons. It is important to recognize that these regulations work together to achieve their aims. Support for this opinion comes from scientific research including the World Health Organization which recommends that alcohol strategies “…have the greatest potential to be effective when prior scientific evidence is utilized and multiple policies are implemented in a systematic way. Complementary system strategies that seek to restructure the total drinking environment are more likely to be effective than single strategies.” (11, p. 12) To understand how alcohol regulation works it is important to realize that several common business practices—perfectly legitimate for other commodities—can create social 8 problems. For example, it is a common business practice to focus sales efforts on your “best customers”, i.e. those who buy the most of your product. Unfortunately for alcohol, those who buy the most alcohol include underage drinkers, alcohol abusers and alcoholics. For that reason, common methods to enlarge the “best customer” category are to be discouraged. Such common inducements include temporary price reductions to promote high volume purchase, discounts for frequent purchasers, and marketing to new generations of customers (youth). Alcohol regulations focus on the “Four P’s of Marketing—Price, Place, Product and Promotion.” They also have special regulations for high risk groups, particularly underage youth and intoxicated persons. A review of each element is warranted along with any evidence of effectiveness. Price: Study after study has confirmed that price is an exceptionally strong control over alcohol consumption and problems. Alexander C. Wagenaar, Professor at the University of Florida College of Medicine, is a prominent scholar on this subject. After reviewing 112 studies, Wagenaar stated, “Our meta-analysis cumulated information from all the published scientific research on this topic over the past half century, and results clearly show increasing the price of alcohol will result in significant reductions in many of the undesirable outcomes associated with drinking." (12) Alcohol control systems keep prices from becoming too cheap by levying taxes, instituting price policies which curtail price competition. Such policies include a requirement that wholesalers sell at the same price to all retailers, prohibiting “sale below cost” or prohibiting volume discounts. Kentucky levies both an excise and sales tax on alcohol and prohibits alcohol sales below cost. All of these measures keep prices from increasing consumption. Place: The availability of alcohol is reduced by limiting the number of alcohol outlets and the hours and days of sale. Recently, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Task Force on Community Preventive Services recommended “the use of regulatory authority (e.g., through licensing and zoning) to limit alcohol outlet density on the basis of sufficient evidence of a positive association between outlet density and excessive alcohol consumption and related harms.” (13) Kentucky’s alcohol control system relies heavily on limiting availability. This is done by allowing communities to prohibit or severely limit alcohol sales; by a quota on the number of package store outlets; and, by limiting the hours of sale. Product: Most states, including Kentucky, recognize that some alcohol products are more dangerous than others due to their higher alcohol content. Some ban the most dangerous products such as 190 proof grain alcohol. Most states, including Kentucky, require higher alcohol content products to be sold in “package” or liquor stores with greater restrictions. In other countries, it is common to tax high alcohol content products at a higher rate. The strategy of making products of higher alcohol content less available is recommended as an effective strategy by an international collection of scholars in the book, Alcohol No Ordinary Commodity, Research and Public Policy. (14, p. 249) 9 Promotions: Many states ban promotions such as selling below cost, using coupons for alcohol or reducing prices for high volume purchase. All of these practices lower the price. As noted above, pricing studies indicate that lower prices induce increased consumption. According to the World Health Organization, “These kinds of studies strongly indicate that heavy and dependent drinkers are at least as responsive to alcohol price increases as are more moderate consumers, and furthermore, that price increases via excise duties on alcohol beverages have a particular effect in reducing youthful drinking.” (11, p. 7) 3. In my opinion, elimination of KRS 243.230(5) and 804 KAR 4:270 would increase the availability and decrease controls over a more dangerous product. This will likely create more social problems for Kentucky. Of particular concern is underage drinking because youth are increasingly switching to a preference for spirits. A review of the strength of different alcohol products helps illustrate the common sense notion that greater controls are needed for products that are potentially more dangerous. According to the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (15), these are the typical alcohol content measures of beer, wine and hard liquor products based on “standard drink size” equivalents: Beer (12 oz) Malt Liquor (8-9 oz) Table wine (5 oz) Fortified wine (3-4 oz) Liqueur (2-3 oz) Brandy (1.5 oz) Hard Liquor (1.5 oz) 5% 7% 12% 17% 24% 40% 40% While the most common beer products are sold in 12 oz, single serving sizes, other products are not. Therefore, it is easy to misjudge the amount of consumption and more difficult for an individual to manage his or her drinking. There is evidence that products are often “over-poured,” which means the drinker thinks they are consuming one standard drink when they are getting more. This idea was tested in Scotland where a sample of the population was asked to pour their “usual drink of wine, and then spirit, into a glass.” Among drinkers, the mean amount of alcohol poured for “one drink” was 1.92 and for spirits it was 2.3 standard UK drink units. (16) While 1.5 oz of spirits is considered a standard drink, as a liquor regulator I became keenly aware of the popularity of multi-shot drinks. For example, one of the common drinks is a 10 Long Island Iced Tea. This is served in a single drink container but typically has 3-5 shots. This means someone is drinking the equivalent of 3-5 standard drinks. Often bars that were cited for patron violence or disturbances were serving multi-shot drinks late into the night at decreased prices. We typically required that they stop selling these drinks until they were able to assure us that the premise was under control. Ultimately, we banned these kinds of drink specials after midnight when most of the problems occurred. In recognition that wine and spirits are products of higher alcohol content and, thus, potentially more dangerous, Kentucky has several additional controls for package store licensees. Those under 21 are generally not permitted to be in the store at all and clerks must be at least 20 years old. Grocery stores and gasoline stations do not have age restrictions for patrons. KRS 244.087 does allow an underage clerk to handle beer but not to actually make the sale. Local communities may adopt more restrictive closing hours for package stores than are permitted by state statute. There are quotas for package store licenses that limit availability, but not for malt beverage licenses. In my opinion, these controls and limits have contributed to Kentucky’s success in achieving low rates of consumption and binge drinking. And, they act as a deterrent to underage sales. In my capacity as director of a control state system, I managed 240 liquor stores. I don’t recall ever seeing an underage person in a store. I have seen youth in grocery stores and quite frequently in convenience stores. These later locations present a substantial vulnerability to underage sales. There is now evidence that the underage drinker has switched from a preference for beer to a preference for spirits. In 2010, an analysis was performed using 2007 data from the national Youth Risk Behavior Survey in eight states. They found that “Liquor was the strongly preferred alcoholic beverage of choice (43.8%), followed by beer (19.2%) and malt beverages (17.4%). (17) In a comprehensive study of teen culture, funded by The Century Council, the authors found that “Teens tend to drink whatever alcohol is available. Their preference is liquor, particularly vodka, because it can be mixed with juice and has its effect more quickly.” (18, p. iii) As the CDC’s Community Guide website reports, “People aged 12 to 20 years drink 11% of all alcohol consumed in the United States. More than 90% of this alcohol is consumed in the form of binge drinks.” In my opinion, allowing wine and spirits in grocery stores and gasoline stations will increase problems with underage drinking and adult consumption. These places lack the controls on outlet density, hours of sale and patron and clerk age restrictions. Distilled spirits would become substantially more available just at a time when youth are switching their preference to spirits. Compliance check programs sometimes show that liquor stores and convenience stores sell to an underage decoy at the same rates. However, these compliance checks do not test the deterrent effect. They test the performance of the licensed establishment in their duty to avoid sales to minors. My experience as a liquor regulator who conducted many compliance checks is that store performance is contingent on management 11 training and supervision of clerks as well as frequency of compliance checks. Licensees with the best performance have clear company policies about sales to minors, train their employees well, regularly reinforce the policies and conduct internal tests to ensure clerks do their jobs properly. While youth often get alcohol from non-commercial sources, it is exceptionally important that our licensees do not sell to minors. It cuts off a source of supply and it sends the message to our youth that we care about them and are serious about reducing underage drinking. It should be noted that the clerk’s job is not easy. They must be able to judge age and identification of age, recognize alcohol products, review and analyze identification and sometimes withstand intimidation from aggressive customers. There is an increasing array of alcohol products that are not packaged in the traditional way such as alcohol energy drinks, alcohol tea drinks, sparkling sake, and wine in soft packages. Many clerks have mistaken these drinks for non-alcohol products. To dramatically increase the types of alcohol products in poorly controlled grocery and gasoline station environments will make that job much more difficult. Finally, there is the issue of self-service check-outs. In my opinion, self-service stations are not practical for selling alcohol. Most modern supermarkets use self-service and rely on a protocol that requires a clerk to check ID when alcohol is sold. As two California studies reveal, this protocol doesn’t always work (19). Clerks are often busy or distracted and youth have been able to fool machines by swiping a package of soft drinks or similar non-alcohol product and then substituting alcohol. Moreover, it seems unlikely that these systems can be used to prevent sales to intoxicated persons which are illegal in most states. This really requires a certain amount of close-up human interaction. Such interaction is not likely to occur in selfservice. Recently, the California legislature passed a bill to outlaw self-service alcohol sales. The bill, currently awaiting the Governor’s signature, has a broad coalition of support including MADD, police chiefs and faith community members. 4. In my opinion, modern retail market trends pose special problems for alcohol control and, permitting the sale of wine and spirits in grocery and convenience stores associated with gasoline stations will exacerbate problems. Today’s grocery marketplace is extremely competitive and relies on high volume sales for profits. Since the recent recession began, the market has become even more competitive with shoppers now going to 2-3 stores to find the lowest prices. Of particular concern for alcohol is the increasing dominance of the “big box” supermarket. These large grocers do not make their profit on “mark-up.” According to the Food Marketing Institute (FMI), “The intense competition among food retailers for the consumer dollar is best demonstrated by profit margins that continue to be less than 2 cents on each dollar of sales.” (20) They explain that supermarkets count on selling in high volume to survive: “To earn a dollar, supermarkets would 12 rather sell a $1 item 100 times, making a penny on each sale, than 10 times with a dime markup. Low markup to stimulate high volume is the fundamental principle of mass merchandising, which the supermarket industry introduced to the marketplace in the 1930’s.” (20) If grocery stores and gasoline stations were permitted to sell wine and spirits, the availability of all forms of alcohol in poorly controlled environments would be dramatically increased. In addition, it would likely create a market scenario where prices are reduced. Large global grocery chains, such as Wal-Mart, Costco, Kroger, have significant purchasing power and major advertising budgets. This would allow them to undercut others by using “loss leaders” or sale just above cost and other promotional price mechanisms to bring shoppers in the door. “Mom and pop” grocers may not have the wherewithal to create this benefit for themselves, but no distinction in size is made by the Plaintiffs in this action. Given that price is the most powerful driver of alcohol consumption, Kentucky’s consumption rates would likely rise. In addition, some of the current package store licensees would likely fail as they could not compete on price or promotion. Our alcohol regulatory systems were specifically designed to prevent these kinds of sales tactics that would result in decreased prices and price wars. In my recent experience, the public understands the concern about making high alcoholcontent products more available. According to Steve Gross, State Relations Manager for The Wine Institute, the last state to open their food stores to wine was Iowa in 1983. (21) Several states have seen measures to add wine defeated including Colorado, Massachusetts, Tennessee, New York, Kentucky and Kansas. Other states have faced privatization efforts which would put wine and spirits in private stores including grocery stores. For several years, I worked as a technical expert with the alcohol abuse prevention community in Washington State. Recently, a ballot measure sponsored by Costco would have allowed any off-premise beer and wine licensee to sell spirits. The measure was defeated in large part because the public feared that increased outlets would lead to more underage drinking and other public safety problems. A random sample survey conducted right after that defeat found Washington citizens quite satisfied with their current system and felt that the number of liquor store outlets was about right. Virginia and Pennsylvania had legislative privatization measures that did not get anywhere. 5. In my opinion, Kentucky is well justified in having comprehensive controls over a product which creates considerable harm and cost to the public. Each year alcohol claims an estimated 79,000 lives in our country. It is the third leading lifestylerelated cause of death, meaning they could have been prevented. In 2005, 1.6 million hospitalizations and 4 million emergency room visits occurred due to alcohol. (22) To put these figures in perspective, slightly over 6,000 lives have been lost in the Iraq and Afghanistan wars and an estimated 3,000 people die each year due to food borne illness. (22) 13 Alcohol is related to crime and other social problems. Alcohol was a factor in 19-37% of violent crimes during 1997-2008 and alcohol related crimes were more likely to result in injury and involve intimates than other types of violence. (23) While underage drinking has dropped in recent years, 27% of 12 graders reported being drunk in the past 30 days (24). Youth who drink regularly are more likely to experience a host of problems including failing grades, criminal involvement, traffic crashes, unwanted sex and damage to their developing brain. (22) Problems with alcohol touch many Americans. When asked in a Gallup poll, “Has drinking ever been a cause of trouble in your family?” 31% said “Yes.” (25) While Kentucky has lower rates of binge, heavy and underage drinking than the national average, alcohol harm still costs Kentucky citizens dearly. According to the Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, the cost of underage drinking in Kentucky alone was $752 million in 2007. This included medical, work lost and pain and suffering costs. There were substantial harms related to traffic fatalities and injuries, violent and property crimes, teen pregnancies and risky sexual acts. (26) Conclusions: Based on my professional experience, study of relevant research, and review of historical documents, I have reached the following conclusions: 1. Kentucky’s decision to treat the retail sales of malt beverages differently from wine and spirits was a very reasonable decision based on study of other countries’ experience. This strategy is widely used throughout the United States and other countries and its effectiveness in curtailing excessive drinking is confirmed by modern research. 2. Kentucky’s purpose in making malt beverage more available and wine/spirits less available was to reduce excess consumption and foster moderation. Because excess consumption leads to public health and safety problems this is an extremely important public policy goal. Kentucky has not wavered in its dedication to this strategy and its public policy goal. This strategy in concert with other regulatory provisions has been responsible for one of the best records of alcohol control in the United States. 3. Removal of a key regulation, specifically KRS 234.230-(5) and 804 KAR 4:270, from a system of alcohol control will create a domino effect that will likely lead to increased consumption, greater underage drinking and further social problems due to alcohol. 4. There is no evidence that public convenience or public support compels a need to change KRS. 243.230-(5) and 804 KAR 4:270. A majority of Kentucky’s citizens do not drink alcohol and, thus, do not require greater convenience. Those who do drink consume it at rates below the national average suggesting that additional convenience is not worth the trade-offs in social problems. 5. Allowing grocery stores and gasoline stations to sell alcohol will increase availability particularly for underage drinkers. The research shows that youth prefer distilled spirits due to the ability to 14 get intoxicated more quickly. When spirits are more available, that is the drink they will select. It is unwise to risk additional harm to Kentucky’s youth by making dangerous products more accessible. These conclusions are based on the research and information I have reviewed. I reserve the right to re-address and potentially change my conclusions in the event that additional information is obtained or reviewed. __________________________________________ Pamela S. Erickson President/CEO Public Action Management, PLC 15 APPENDIX A Witness Qualifications for: Pamela S. Erickson President/CEO Public Action Management, PLC P. O Box 4364 Scottsdale, Arizona 85261 (503) 936-0443 www.pamaction.com www.healthyalcoholmarket.com Experience: 2007 to present: President, Public Action Management, PLC Business dedicated to addressing alcohol problems through public education and public policy development. Projects include: Designed and, currently manage, national educational campaign to educate policy makers about alcohol marketplace regulation. Includes monthly newsletter and website with extensive educational materials: healthyalcoholmarket.com. Produced and published three reports: “The Danger of Alcohol Deregulation, the United Kingdom Experience,” “The High Cost of Cheap Alcohol,” and “2012 Issue Briefs for States” Frequent presentations to national conferences on regulation topics as well as media Work with over ten states on alcohol regulation including expert testimony to legislative committees, public speaking, assisting with customized educational pieces and work with local coalitions. 2003 to June 2007: Advocacy Director, Oregon Partnership Oregon Partnership is a statewide non-profit dedicated to alcohol and drug abuse prevention and referral. Designed and directed “Face it Parents”, Oregon’s statewide media campaign designed to reduce underage drinking. Created Leadership for Alcohol Free Kids, a statewide task force that developed recommendations for Governor Kulongoski. Governor accepted and implemented many recommendations. 16 Developed program that changed national alcohol advertising and retailing practices. Used a system of “Action Alerts”, a national email network, and media relations to call attention to products that encouraged teens to drink heavily. Several retailers, including Macy’s and Kohl’s, removed products from their stores. Others dropped sale of t-shirts encouraging underage drinking. Obtained grant funds to run two large media campaigns aimed at reducing underage drinking. Developed media partnerships with radio and TV companies that resulted in large pro-bono match for small expenditures in advertising. Acted as media spokesperson on youth substance abuse. Developed statewide youth action program to engage youth to write and voice radio and TV ads for media campaign. TV ad received regional “Youth Emmy” award. 1996-2003: Executive Director, Oregon Liquor Control Commission, Portland, OR Oregon Liquor Control Commission is the state alcohol regulatory agency for Oregon which includes a state controlled distilled spirits wholesale and retail business. Transformed antiquated bureaucracy into a high performing, results oriented organization through strategic planning, stakeholder involvement and team building. Completely modernized the distilled spirits business. Developed business plan with social responsibility and service ethic. Replaced all warehouse equipment using manual forms to scanning technology using bar codes. Upgraded retail stores by focusing on store appearance, location and customer service. Added stores for first time in 20 years. Managed large agency of over 450 employees/contractors and a $250 million annual budget. Operation included 240 retail stores, a wholesale distribution center, 10,000 liquor licensees, and 24,000 alcohol server permittees. Initiated complete review of enforcement operations to focus on evidence-based practices including minor decoy operations and other measures to reduce illegal sales of alcohol to minors. Created citizen/stakeholder task forces to propose major changes in rules and laws. Chaired Oregon Coalition to Reduce Underage Drinking, a Robert Wood Johnson Foundation funded coalition dedicated to reduction of underage drinking. 17 1991-1996: Planning Manager, METRO/Metropolitan Exposition-Recreation Commission, Portland, OR METRO is Portland’s regional government. Produced business plan for four large facilities (convention center, exposition center, stadium, basketball arena) Each plan used a citizens’ committee to review and support business plan efforts Conducted extensive financial analysis of each facility to find additional revenue and areas for cost reduction. Initiated Portland’s first sports marketing organization. Created a citizens’ committee to shepherd its development into a non-profit aimed at attracting major sporting events to the community. It has since enjoyed many years of success. Managed citizen committees to plan a convention center expansion (now complete) and develop revenue sources for support of large facilities, sports and art programs 1984-1991: Assistant Administrator (major department head) Oregon Employment Division, Salem, OR Oregon Employment Division is a state agency managing Unemployment Insurance and statewide job placement. Created new management structure for Administrative Hearings Unit and restored its reputation for fairness. Invited to join faculty of National Judicial College. Taught class on Administrative Law, High Volume Proceedings. Efficiently managed 25 lawyers who conducted 10,000 hearings per year. Directed Field Operations Division consisting of 30 local offices and 900 employees. Created public-private partnerships to raise private dollars for Oregon Youth Conservation Corps. Did extensive public speaking to raise money for youth corps environmental projects. Positions prior to 1984: Deputy Administrator Oregon State Wage and Hour Division Deputy Administrator Oregon Criminal Justice Commission Research Analyst, National Institute of Law Enforcement and Criminal Justice, Washington, D.C. Research Staff, The Urban Institute, Washington, D.C. Deputy Sheriff, Multnomah County, Oregon 18 Education: B.A. Portland State University, Political Science (With Honors) M.A. Georgetown University, Government/Public Administration (Honor Society) Publications: “The Danger of Alcohol Deregulation: The United Kingdom Experience” (Published by the Center for Alcohol Policy, 2009). “2011 Issue Briefs for States, Brief Explanations of Common Alcohol Regulatory Issues Facing State and local Communities,” January, 2011. “The High Cost of Cheap Alcohol,” April 2011. “Campaign for a Healthy Alcohol Market Newsletter,” 27 editions, September 2008 through September 2011 available at www.healthyalcoholmarket.com. “Police Women on Patrol”, with Peter Bloch and Deborah Anderson (authored under former name of Pamela Gervais), The Urban Institute, 1973. Presentations/Testimony: 1. “Preserving a Healthy Alcohol Marketplace: Why can’t we sell alcohol like tires and mayonnaise?” Basic presentation customized and presented to: Oregon prevention, enforcement and moderation groups-2008 Washington prevention and moderation groups-2008 NABCA Board of Directors, January 2009 NABCA Legal Symposium, March 2009 NCSLA Annual Conference, June 2009 Indiana Legislative Committee, September 2009 American Public Health Association Annual Conference, November 2009 Wine and Spirits Wholesalers Association State Policy Conference, Dec. 2009 Tennessee Legislative Committee, December 2009 Oregon Webinar for prevention specialists, April 2010 Kansas Legislative Committee, March 2010 Illinois Beer Distributors, Feb. 2010 Montana Legislative Committee, April 2010 National Leadership Conference, Enforcing Underage Drinking Laws, August 2010 2. “The Danger of Alcohol Deregulation: The United Kingdom Experience,” Basic presentation customized and presented to: NBWA Annual Convention: September 2009 Western States NCSLA Conference: September 2009 Webinar for Arizona prevention specialists: October 2009 Center for Alcohol Policy Law Symposium, October 2009 19 Beer Industry League of Louisiana, July 2010 Center for Alcohol Policy, national webinar, November 2010 Alcohol Policy 15 (World alcohol policy conference), December 2010 3. “The High Cost of Cheap Alcohol,” Basic presentation customized and presented to: Western/Central States NCSLA, October 2010 National Leadership Conference, Enforcing Underage Drinking Laws, August 2011 4. “The Important Role of Tied House Laws in Today’s Market,” NABCA Administrators’ Conference, October 2010 5. “24/7 Openings: Panacea or Curse?” NABCA Legal Symposium, March 2011 6. “Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics…so what are they good for?” NCSLA Annual Conference, June 2011 7. “How Control Systems Address Public Health Concerns,” Center for Alcohol Policy Alcohol Law Conference, October 2011. 8. Congressional Testimony: “The Danger of Alcohol Deregulation: The United Kingdom Experience”, oral and written testimony Written Statement of Pamela S. Erickson, Chief Executive Officer, Public Action Management, Scottsdale, Arizona to the Subcommittee on Courts and Competition Policy, Committee on the Judiciary House of Representatives, US Congress, Hearing on: “Legal Issues Concerning State Alcohol Regulation” March 18, 2010 Additional Statement Regarding Court Decisions Which Adversely Impacts State’s Ability to Regulate Alcohol, By Pamela S. Erickson, Chief Executive Officer, Public Action Management, Scottsdale, Arizona to the Subcommittee on Courts and Competition Policy, Committee on the Judiciary House of Representatives, US Congress Hearing on: “Legal Issues Concerning State Alcohol Regulation” March 18, 2010 9. Affidavit of Pamela S. Erickson, In the United States District Court for the Northern District of Illinois Eastern Division, Anheuser-Busch, Inc. et al., v. Stephen B. Schnorf, et al., Case No: 10-CV-01601, May 2010. 20 APPENDIX B--ENDNOTES (1) “The Origins of the Washington State Liquor Control Board, 1934”, By Rorabaugh, W. J., Pacific Northwest Quarterly, Fall 2009.Guide to Community Preventive Services. (2) Toward Liquor Control, by Fosdick, R.D. and Scott, A.L, originally published in 1933, reissued by Center for Alcohol Policy, 2011. (3) Commonwealth of Kentucky, Department of Alcohol Beverage Control website www.abc.ky.gov. (4) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Apparent Consumption in the US, 1850-2006.” (5) “The Danger of Alcohol Deregulation: The United Kingdom Experience,” by Pamela S. Erickson, www.healthyalcoholmarket.com. (6) WHO Global Data Base, 2003. (7) Kentucky Liquor Control Committee, “Report of the Liquor Control Committee appointed by the Governor of the Commonwealth of Kentucky, Together with a Minority Report and Drafts of Two Bills,” January 27, 1933 (8) 1938 Kentucky Acts, Article II, Section 54 (8) (9) Source: SAMHSA, Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, NSDUH, 2008 and 2009. (10)MADD state rankings are available at www.MADD.org (11)“What are the most effective and cost-effective interventions in alcohol control?” World Health Organization, February 2004 (12)“Effects of beverage alcohol price and tax levels on drinking: a meta-analysis of 1003 estimates from 112 studies,” by Alexander C. Wagenaar, Matthew J. Salois & Kelli A. Komro; University of Florida, College of Medicine, Department of Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Gainesville, FL, USA. (13)Preventing excessive alcohol consumption: regulation of alcohol outlet density. www.thecommunityguide.org/alcohol/outletdensity.html (14) “Alcohol, No Ordinary Commodity”, Second Edition, Thomas Babour et al, (15) “Rethinking Drinking, Alcohol and your Health,” Research-based information from the National Institutes of Health, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, available online at rethinkingdrinking. niaaa.nih.gov. (16) ”Variation in the alcohol content of a ‘drink’ of wine and spirit poured by a sample of the Scottish population,” by Jan S. Gill and Marie Donaghy, Health Education Research, (2004) available on-line at her.oxfordjournals.org. (17)”Competition and Profit,” Food Marketing Institute, Web site PDF (18)“Alcoholic Beverage Preferences and Associated Drinking Patterns and Risk Behaviors among High School Youth,” Michael B. Siegel et al, American Journal of Preventive Medicine, April 2011. (19)“Final Report, Understanding Teen Drinking Cultures in America,” David S. Anderson et al, George Mason University, 2010. (20)“Self-checkout: Is it Reliable for Selling Alcohol?” Community Economic Development Clinic at the University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles Alliance for a New Economy. And “Self-Checkout supermarket Lanes: A Potential Source of 21 Alcohol for Minors,” by John D. Clapp and Brandi Martell, San Diego State University , Center for Alcohol and Drug Studies. Health Behaviors of Adults: United States, 2005-2007, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (21)“Should Wine be Sold in Supermarkets,” by Matthew Daneman, USA Today, March 2, 2009. (22)Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website (www.cdc.gov/alcohol ), “Alcohol and Public Health,” estimate of deaths uses the Alcohol –Related Disease Impact (ARDI) tool from 2001-2005. Estimates of foodborne illness from website article, “Estimates of Foodborne Illness in the United State.” www.cdc.gov/foodborneburden/. (23)“Alcohol and Crime: Data from 2002 to 2008”, by Michael R. Rand, William J. Sabol, Ph.D., Michael Sinclair, Howard N. Snyder, Bureau of Justice Statistics websitewww.bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov. (24)"Marijuana use is rising; ecstasy use is beginning to rise; and alcohol use is declining among U.S. teens." By Johnston, L. D., O'Malley, P. M., Bachman, J. G., & Schulenberg, J. E. (December 14, 2010). University of Michigan News Service: Ann Arbor, MI. Retrieved MM/DD/YYYY from http://www.monitoringthefuture.org (25)Sourcebook of Criminal Justice Statistics Online,www.albany.edu/sourcebook/pdf (26)“Underage Drinking in Kentucky, The Facts,” Produced by the Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation (PIRE) with funding from the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP) November 2009. 22