September 20: Origins and Evolution Hamilton: Federalist 70 -necessity of energetic executive -energy comes from unity, duration, support, competent powers. -safety: dependence on people, responsibility -a single executive and numerous legislature: exec needs energy, leg adapted to deliberation and wisdom -unity can be destroyed in two ways: 1. vesting power in 2+ magistrates of equal dignity and authority 2. vesting power in one person subject to control and cooperation of others -experience of other nations tell us that plurality in exec is bad -dangers of having plurality in exec: 1. difference of opinion 2. animosity 3. disagreements lessen respectability, authority, delay plans, etc 4. doesn’t facilitate fast action in an emergency 5. could split the community into factions 6. tends to conceal faults, destroy responsibility Madison: Federalist 47 -Madison responds to objections that the Constitution violates the maxim that legislative, executive, judicial departments must be separate and distinct -Two arguments that depts aren’t completely distinct but have influence on each other: 1) Montesquieu (author of separation maxim) didn’t mean that departments have no partial agency in, or control over, other departments -Evidence: British Constitution doesn’t have completely distinct leg, exec, and jud branches 2) As understood in America , maxim hasn’t meant complete separation -Evidence: Madison goes through the Constitutions of all the states, cites their language on separation, then the actual involvement of the three branches with each other—claims that they show the haste and inexperience with which they were written The United States Constitution I’ll assume that everyone knows the general ideas behind the Constitution so I’ll focus mainly on Article II which deals directly with the presidency. The first section just explains the basics of the office, 4 year terms, elected by electoral college, who is and isn’t eligible to run, what to do if he dies in office, and describes how his pay will work. Section 2 enumerates most of his direct powers. Commander in Chief of all armed forces, including the militia if its called up. Can demand written reports from the principal officer of any executive office on anything pertaining to their job. He can grant pardons and reprieves to anyone except in cases of impeachment. He can make treaties if two thirds of the Senate agree. He can nominate, and with Senate approval appoint ambassadors, other public ministers and consuls. Members of the Supreme Court, and all other officers of the United States that Congress decides he should be in charge of. They can decide to allow someone else to appoint newly created offices. He can fill vacancies in the Senate with people whose terms will end when the session ends. Section 3 deals with his dealing with Congress From time to time he must inform Congress of the state of the union. He can call on Congress to consider measures he feels are necessary and important. On extraordinary occasions he can call both or either Houses, and he decides when and if there will be an adjournment. He’ll receive ambassadors and other public ministers. He’s to make sure the laws are being executed. He’ll commission all officers of the United States. Section 4 states the pres., vice-pres., and all civil officers can be impeached and removed from office if convicted of treason bribery or other high crimes and misdemeanors. The rest of the Constitution deals with the other powers of the government, but all the president’s stuff is listed here. Forrest McDonald: The American Presidency: An Intellectual History Chapter 7: The Convention Though deriving their views largely from a common set of theorists and experiences, the delegates at the Constitutional Convention held widely divergent views with respect to executive power and how it should be distributed within the new government. The collection of delegates supporting a strong executive was both larger and more prestigious than the collection against one, but the group of delegates that came to the convention undecided outnumbered the two sides combined. The undecided delegates were open to the opinions of either side so long as the abstract principle came attached to a specific plan for an executive with sufficient strength to implement required duties and sufficient restraint to avoid the trap of tyranny. The details of the executive office considered during the convention revolved primarily around three issues: the method of selection, the structure of the office, and the powers granted to the office. The confusion present in the decision of any one issue was aggravated by the fact that each issue was a qualifying factor in the appropriate resolution of another. For this reason, some delegates wanted to delay the consideration of one problem until another had been resolved, and all early solutions were reconsidered many times as the context provided by the shifting outline of the constitution changed over the course of the convention. To further complicate matters, a similar interdependence of decisions also existed between the general design of the executive branch and the other components of government. With respect to the issue of executive selection, major considerations included the body that would choose the executive, the length of the term, the method of removal, the line of succession, and the possibility of reelection. On the issue of the form of the executive office, the primary concerns were whether it was better to have one executive or several and what sort of executive council might exist alongside the main executive. Concerning the delegation of powers to the executive, the central line of debate was to what degree executive authority or federative powers ought to be distributed between the executive office and the senate, and to a lesser extent, other components of government. Discussions about the executive office took place primarily in early June, mid July, and late August of 1787 with cascading changes in proposed policy occurring just as frequently. At the end of August the proposed government placed congress at the clear center of power and left the executive in a position far weaker than in the final draft of the constitution. At that point, a solution to the nagging concern of election was offered in the form of the Electoral College. From this idea sprung a final shift in the planned structure of the executive office, and by mid September it took the form finally released for ratification. Chapter 8: Ratification Due to the wild swings in proposed governmental form during the Constitutional Convention and the suggestion of the finalized version so late in the process, the debates between the delegates are not particularly useful tools in the interpretation of the constitution at the time of its inception. A more meaningful resource in such interpretation is provided by the debates surrounding the ratification of the constitution in the months following the convention. These debates applied exclusively to the finished product of the Constitutional Convention and drew from a wide body of people interested in finding all possible strengths or weaknesses in the constitution consistent with contemporary interpretation and depending on whether or not they supported its ratification. The ratification process as a whole draws further authority as a source of constitutional interpretation from the fact that the interpretation of the ratification delegates is what the people considering a new government actually believed they were accepting or rejecting. The two defining camps in the ratification debates were the federalists who supported the constitution and the anti-federalists who tried to prevent its ratification. The debate primarily involved the anti-Federalists attacking the constitution and Federalists countering the attacks. Since the Federalist arguments were largely reactive, most supporters of the constitution were relatively passive in the early stages of the ratification process when a series of state conventions easily ratified the constitution. As a result, the debate was initially dominated by well-organized anti-Federalist propaganda under George Clinton. When general support began to falter one state short of the nine required to activate the constitution, the Federalists increased the intensity of their responses and thus rounded out the analysis of the constitution available from the time of its ratification. Arguments against the constitution held it to be flawed in variable and sometimes opposite directions depending on the specific detractor and audience. As a case in point, it was argued both that the Senate would become a weak group of presidential minions and that that the president would become a mere puppet of the Senate. Regardless of the particular shift in power, it was widely believed by anti-Federalists that the distribution of executive and federative powers between the president and Senate combined with the power of the Senate to remove the president or not and the power of the president to pardon anyone not being impeached including senators would naturally lead to a treasonously tyrannical cabal with these two groups at the center. Even without this concern, the fact that attacks focusing on specific presidential powers were used to separately describe the presidency as both too strong and too weak resulted in a rhetorical out flanking of the Federalist positions. In addition to these attacks, separate but equally concerning objections, with a particular focus on the lack of a bill of rights, were raised in an attempt to discredit the constitution. Briefly put, the Federalist defenses focussed on a discrediting of the applicability of historical failures in partially similar systems of government such as the British monarchy by focusing on key differences such as the election of and removability of the highest executive. Specific concerns such as the Senate wielding undue influence through impeachment were addressed with equally specific technical counters such as the necessity of charges being introduced by the House. General support of the plan was tricky because of the rhetorical flanking, but there were a few strong cases of this such as in Hamilton’s Federalist Papers. Hamilton ultimately emphasized the need for the executive to have wide leeway in taking action on behalf of the country, thus attributing a broad interpretation to the general statement in article two of the constitution: “The executive Power shall be vested in a President of the United States of America.” William Leuchtenburg: "The Twentieth-Century Presidency" A VERY condensed history of the presidencies from McKinley to Clinton (mainly a history article, not an idea/theory article). Broadly looks at how the office has become more powerful during the century. Notes powers of presidents have been expanded most in this century by its wars, particularly World War I and II. Notes presidential prestige peaking in 1965. In fact, presidential scholars completely shifted courses in 1970s, and went from lauding the forcefulness of the FDR presidency to warning of "imperial presidency.@ Led to declining expectations of presidency in final 25 years of century. Yet still an institution which looms large and will continue to do so in the 21st century (not going to diminish significantly). The Two Constitutional Presidencies Essentially the main point of this article is that presidential action is restrained by and presidential behavior shaped by two “constitutions.” The first constitution is the original Constitution, which set up the core structures of the presidency and remains more or less unchanged. The second constitution involves the change in the way the president and the public understand the constitutional system, and the president’s role in it. Central to this second constitution is tension with the original constitution and direct opposition to the founder’s view of the office of the president. Backed by the proliferation of primaries and a dramatic increase in the power of the media, the second constitution puts a premium on active and continuos presidential leadership of public opinion. The Federalist papers were looked at to describe the founder’s and original constitution’s view of the presidency. A. Demagoguery = leadership that attempts to sway popular passions 1. The Founders worried especially about the danger that a powerful executive might pose to the system if power were derived from the role of popular leader. 2. They attempted to narrow demagogues avenues of attack by founding a stable government, and to mitigate their effects by forcing them to go through the institutions they created. It isn’t terribly clear, but that’s what the author said. B. Representation 1. The founders had a distrust of “direct” or “pure” democracy. 2. Felt there were two requisites to good government, attention to the desires and interests of the citizenry, and deciding how much weight to give popular opinion. 3. Came up with four devices to accommodate those requisites. a. They established popular election as the basis of the Constitution and the government’s legitimacy. b. They established different lengths of term for various offices depending on the office’s assumed proximity to the people. House members were to be elected every two years, the pres. every four etc. c. The formal power of institutions derived ultimately from the people, but immediately from the Constitution. d. They envisioned that the sheer size of the nation would insulate gov. officials from shifts of public opinion. 4. All of this was done to keep the “passions” of the people away and allow the “reason” of the people to be in charge. C. Independence of the Executive 1. To “withstand the temporary delusion” of popular opinion the executive was ade independent. 2. The office was to draw its power from the Constitution rather than from another branch of the government. D. Separation of powers 1. Powers were separated and structures of each branch differentiated to allow each branch to perform different tasks. 2. Each branch would be superior, but not omnipotent in its own sphere and in its own way. 3. The purpose of the separation was to make effective governance more likely. I. Woodrow Wilson’s critique of The Federalist is used to explain the 2nd constitution’s view of the presidency. (things are looked at in a different order from the first part) A. Separation of powers 1. For Wilson separation of powers was the central defect of American politics. 2. He was the first and most prominent guy to call it a system of checks and balances. 3. Felt that Congress was too powerful, and was no longer a “deliberative” body. 4. Called for presidential leadership that would force Congress to be a more deliberative body. 5. Basically he disagreed with the founders, because he thinks strong presidential leadership is necessary for Congress to be a deliberative body. B. Representation 1. Wilson gives more weight to public opinion that the Founders did. 2. Favored interplay between representative and constituent that would educate the constituent. 3. Leadership was supposed to focus on “interpreting” the public’s desires even if the public didn’t know what they were. 4. Activities of the government would be more open leading to a more interested and involved citizenry which would lead to even better government. C. Independence of the Executive 1. Wilson wanted people to view presidents as receiving their authority through a mandate from the people. 2. The leader was supposed to sift through the various and contradictory views of the people, and then interpret what exactly the majority wanted even if it wasn’t aware of what it wanted. D. Demagoguery 1. His views lead to the problems of demagoguery. 2. A number of questions about the likelihood of demagogues under his system arose so he thought of three ways in which they would be prevented. a. His doctrine had an “ethic” that could be passed on to future leaders, basically he wanted to redefine politicians’ ideas of “success.” b. He trusted the people’s ability to judge character. c. He felt the natural conservatism of public opinion would prevent trouble because it opposes any innovation that moves too quickly. 3. None of his answers are terribly convincing. II. Both constitutions were supposed to support an energetic presidency, but they differ over the sources and virtues of popular leadership. The Founders believed presidents drew their energy from their authority, which rests on their independent constitutional position. Woodrow Wilson saw power as being conferred directly by the people. The second constitution has not replaced the first but has been superimposed over it, altering without obliterating it. September 22: Presidential Power: An Imperial Presidency? Richard Neustadt, Presidential Power and the Modern Presidents page 1-90 Intro Neustadt defines power as personal influence that has an effect on governmental action different from formal power Theme of Presidential Power = presidential weakness: the gap between what is expected of the president and the “assured capacity to carry through.” Neustadt sees expectations and clerkly tasks rising while support weakens (foreign alliances loosening and political parties decreasing). Moreover, the central weakness that Neustadt identifies is: President’s power is shared, and “to share is to limit” so the president’s power is dependent on the consent from others, and he must use the power of his reputation and prestige to make policy. Neustadt sees says that presidents must be forward-looking (“maximize prospective influence”) and strategic about their power to be more effective. “The pursuit of presidential power, rightly understood, constitutionally conditioned, looking ahead, serves purposes far broader than a President’s satisfaction.” CH 1 The strength or weakness of a president “turns on his personal capacity to influence the conduct of the men who make up government.” (4) Neustadt looks at the strategy of presidents, at how they can maximize their influence. Neustadt terms Truman and Eisenhower the “mid-century presidents, and describes midcentury as a time when emergencies of past years become commonplace [what was once exceptional is now routine]. Innovation caused rapid changes and confusion became a commonplace part of politics, parties weakened, personality became emphasized, world events changed rapidly, public mood also changed rapidly, and “ticket splitting.” Neustadt constantly refers to the presidency as a clerkship. President’s clerkship reflects pressure from “executive officialdom, from Congress, from his partisans, from citizens at large, and from abroad.” Key point: The strong behavior of our past presidents in economics, foreign policy, legislation, mass communication, is now a requirement. Meanwhile: “The same conditions that promote his leadership in form preclude a guarantee of leadership in fact.” because he is obligated to everyone and he alone has that vantage-point, he becomes limited by the weight of his obligations. Translation: pressure and expectations on the president have increased steeply while his personal ability to carry out policy and changes has decreased. CH 2 Key phrase of chapter: “Presidential power is the power to persuade.” –originally said by Truman, but emphasized multiple times by Neustadt. His “’Powers are no guarantee of power; clerkship is no guarantee of leadership.” Neustadt discusses 3 cases: the MacArthur case (Truman and Korean War), the steel seizure (Truman, Wage stabilization board, T seizes mills ad orders employees to work as gov employees, strikes), and the Little Rock case (Eisenhower, Faubus, school integration). These three cases are examples of when the President’s orders brought immediate action: “self-executing.” Five reasons why this apparent ‘self-execution’ occurred: 1) President’s involvement was unambiguous (they were his personal orders), 2) his orders were unambiguous, 3) orders were widely publicized, 4) men who received orders had full capability to carry them out, & 5) they didn’t doubt his authority to give them those orders. When these factors do not occur in combination, there will not be automatic execution of the task. These three cases are also each examples of costly last resorts: the failure of attempts to gain an end by softer means. Neustadt makes clear however that these drastic actions, while costly, are necessary and appropriate in some situations. Conclusion: “Truman was quite right when he declared that presidential power is the power to persuade. Command is but a method of persuasion, not a substitute, and not a method suitable for everyday employment.” CH 3 Constitutional convention of 1787 created a government of separated institutions sharing powers (not separate powers). Executive power is shared/checked by Congress, Federalism, the Courts, the Bill of Rights, the Press. Persuasive power is more than charm and reasoned argument, it is reinforced by the status and authority of the President’s office: those in government realize that their jobs and future ambitions may depend on the President; this fact benefits the President in negotiations/decisions. Meanwhile, his power is checked by theirs, because it is a relationship of mutual dependence. Ex. Prez and congress: dependent on each other to get things accomplished: constant negotiation. Know and understand this sentence: “Power to persuade is the power to bargain.” Even within executive branch, relations with cabinet members, etc., there is give and take… “Real power is reciprocal and varies markedly with organization, subject matter, personality, and situation….The probabilities of power do not derive from the literary theory of the Constitution.” People in government often act as if they are in business for themselves, not part of a team, depending on what their responsibilities are [This somewhat contrasts Porter’s comments in lecture about everyone being behind the President.]. Outside the executive, loyalty to the Prez “may often matter less [emphasis his].” Congressmen act in accordance with what they think they have to do to get reelected. Therefore, Prez must induce others to believe that what he wants is what their interests and responsibilities require to do. Even when politicians agree on the ends to achieve, they differ and negotiate on the means to achieving it—how will it be done, who gets credit, etc. Ex. Truman and the Marshall plan: “Truman, in effect, lent Marshall and the rest the perquisites and status of his office. In return they lent him their prestige and their own influence.” The result: a massive 1948 European aid program. Presidents can maximize prospects for effectiveness and minimize chances that he will fail to persuade others by guarding his power prospects in the course of making choices. Truman’s past actions had led the way for his current bargaining: “his power was protected by his choices.” “A President’s own choies are the only means in his own hands of guarding his own prospects for effective influence. He can draw power from continuing relationships in the degree that he can capitalize upon the needs of others for the Presidency’s status and authority.” CH 4 President’s persuasiveness depends on the opinion that the men he aims to convince hold about whether he has the skills and will to use his bargaining advantages (whether they expect him to be able to and to have the tenacity to follow through). “Reputation itself does not persuade, but it can make persuasion easier, harder, or impossible.” Negative example: Eisenhower’s second term = way in which reputation should not be guarded. Professional reputation of Prez is made by him—this an opportunity or risk. It is not made by one move—it is changed through a pattern of action [example= Eisenhower]. A president’s “general reputation will be shaped by signs of pattern in the things he says and does”—the choices he makes every day. CH 5: Public Prestige Reputation (and therefore effective bargaining) also depends on President’s standing with the public outside Washington: “Popular prestige.” Reputation and prestige both affect the Prez’s power through the mechanism of anticipated reactions: for prestige, Congressmen will go along with a plan more readily if they think that the public’s reaction to what the Prez proposes will be positive. The Prez’s public standing sets a tone for what Washingtonians will do for him. The president’s options are reduced, his opportunities diminished, his freedom for maneuver checked in the degree that Washington conceives him unimpressive to the public.” If he is unpopular, he will have to rely more on vetoes. In terms of both trying to gain votes and trying to get “special publics” to follow a course of action that he wants, the president works within the boundaries that his prestige sets for how much the public will respond to his appeals. Nice quotation: “Presidential standing outside Washington is actually a jumble of imprecise impressions held by relatively inattentive people.” Neustadt only deals with the domestic angle of the Prez’ public prestige because “even though a President’s position overseas affects all sorts of judgments made in Washington, his standing with home publics is a matter of more moment to most Washingtonians.” Personality factors into prestige, but is rather static—people form a public image of the Prez when they first perceive him as President, and rarely change their image of him afterward. As Neustadt writes, “an image of the office, not an image of the man, is the dynamic factor in a President’s prestige.” Neustadt talks about gallup polls changing a lot early in 1951 and in the spring of 1958. In both of these times it fell because government action was associated with large disturbances in the private lives of Americans. This demonstrates that as private prospects are upset, men’s expectations of the president increase, and their appraisal of his performance follows accordingly. “The moving factor in prestige is what the people outside Washington see happening to themselves.” In this way, events in which the President plays no part can affect what his constituents think and therefore affect his power (in a very meta kind of way). Presidential teaching is a way for Presidents to avoid the negative effects that bad events can have on his prestige. Presidential teaching 1) is aimed at students who are habitually inattentive, 2) only gets attention when what he is teaching about is on the minds of his students for reasons other than his talking about it, 3) he teaches by doing more than by telling, and 4) his prior actions figure into how this doing is perceived. Actions are always stronger than words, however, so Neustadt talks about how Truman’s efforts to teach in 1950 were undermined by his own prior words and actions. Key idea: the prestige of the President depends on what the public thinks it wants, and what they think they got. Therefore, beyond his self-executing orders, the President’s influence is regulated by his choices of objectives, of timing, and of instruments, plus by what he chooses to avoid. September 27: Presidential Power: The Three Presidencies Presidential Leadership in Political Time-Stephen Skowronek Three general dynamics evident in presidential history: 1. Constitutional separation of powers-struggle over definition of institutional prerogatives 2. Modernization of the Nation-evolutionary sequence ending in "modern Presidency" 3. Changing shape of political regimes that organize state-society relations and links presidents at junctures in "political time" Periods are marked by the rise of a new political coalition, one of which exerts a dominant force on the federal government. From the outset, conflict among interests within the dominant coalition threaten to cause political disaffection and may weaken regime support. The longer a regime survives, the more its approach to national affairs becomes encumbered and distorted. Leadership situations can differ within a historical period whether one is a regime outsider (nixon) or an insider (JFK), or after some time (FDR and Carter). Analysis of three pairs of Presidents: FDR and Andrew Jackson; JFK and James K. Polk; Jimmy Carter and Franklin Pierce. All were democrats and affiliated with the dominant coalition of their time, none took a passive view of the office, each aspired to great national leadership. CONSTRUCTING A NEW REGIME: Roosevelt and Jackson Both presidencies were launched after a major political unheaval. The old ruling party suffered a stunning defeat, and lost both Congress and the Presidency. Social conflicts had increased since the panic of 1819, and Jackson gained greatly from the 1824 corrupt bargain election. 1828 he launched a campaign against "corruption of manners" in Washington. Great Depression was the major impetus for FDR in 1932. The president as regime builder grapples with the fundamentals of political regeneration--institutional reconstruction and party building. Success is hardly guaranteed. Jackson "republican renewal": Determined to get rid of political and institutional corruption, he purged incompetance from the Civil Service, initiated fiscal retrenchment in national projects, and revived federalism for state based government. Jackson appealed for a return to Jefferson's ideas on government and was careful to yield his opposition any ground. He created his position as the nation's crusader in reform. Wanted to reform the Bank of the United States (BUS), but decided to wait until after reelection in 1832. However, Biddle and Clay joined forces and pressed the issue of the BUS; Jackson vetoed extending the life of the BUS and appealing to the "common man" won reelection. He wanted to move funds from BUS to state banks (pet banks) and succeeded after undertaking a major grassroots party-building effort in the midterm elections of 1834. The infusion of federal deposits in pet state banks led to a speculative boom and threatened major financial collapse. Institutional ties between state and society emerged as the weak link in the new order. Roosevelt "the more I learn about Andy Jackson, the more I love him": 1934-5 he was faced with mounting discontent among the old order. Challenged with either reconstructing the political and institutional foundations of the national government or abandoning the initiatives he had sustained in his early years in power, FDR adopted the role of bipartisan national leader reaching out to all in a time of crisis. He restructured institutional relations between state and society by reaching out to the radical and zealous congress ('35-'37) and offering it direction. After reelection in '36 he tried to neutralize the remaining threat in the government (as jackson had--the bank) by packing the Supreme Court. The scheme failed, but the court capitulated, so in '38 at the midterm elections, FDR failed in major party building. The creation, however, of the EOP closed the New Deal with a fitting symbol of the new state of affairs. Opposition from the favored interests of the old order and their supporters forced these presidents from an original program to meet the crisis at hand and place institutional relations between state and society on a new footing. After a second election, both moved to consolidate the new order by eliminating institutional opposition and forging a better base of party support. MANAGING AN ESTABLISHED REGIME: Polk and Kennedy Regime builders leave a more constricted universe for political leadership. Polk and Kennedy promised to reaffirm the commitments and revitalize the program of the dominant regime; what they lacked in deep political loyalties they made up for with their freedom to cultivate widespread support. They endorsed their party's most divisive issues and didn't lose support (texas annexation, and civil rights). Polk: Pledged not to run again to build party unity. Opened his administration saying he knew no divisions within the democratic party. Reached out to north and south with lower tariffs and land price reform. Supported Manifest Destiny. Pledge to get all of oregon failed and radicals turned on him. The war with mexico seemed to some a conquest for the south west. Polk got peace, California, Texas, Tariff revision, an independent treasury, warehouse storage system, and Oregon. But the failure of interest management led to political disaster for the democratic party. Kennedy: Promised to "get the country moving again." He courted both northern liberals and southern conservatives, and his New Frontier gave him the high ground as an individual with a truly national vision. Avoided Polk's tactics and decided to be more cautious in pursuit of initiatives. Put minimum wage, housing, aid to education, mass transit , health care on agenda. Left off civil rights initially. However he pushed civil rights and wanted to wait until the right time for legislation. He isolated Wallace as radical right and sent civil rights legislation to congress. At his death, he had to deal with conservative reactions, party schism, and the need to hold a base in the south. Leadership was circumscribed by a political test of aggressive maintenance and dilemmas of interest management. They set in motion a pivotal turn toward sectarianism. LEADERSHIP IN AN ENERVATED REGIME: Pierce and Carter Dark horses, each was a minor figure far removed from centers of party strength and interest. Neither could find secure ground on which to make a stand and limit the political unraveling that comes with executive action. What began in expedience simply dissolved into irrelevance. Pierce: Unraveling began with Pierce's offer to forget the free soil heresy of 1848 and provide all factions with some presidential favor. Within months of inauguration, Pierce's strategy for establishing his credibility as a leader was in shambles. In his first legislative decision-kansas nebraska bill-- he was told to disregard his electoral pledge not to reopen the issue of slavery. Pierce lost credibility in 1854 after passage of K-N act. Northerners turned on him, southerners had no use for him. After this, Pierce seemed to gain sense of purpose...he appealed to the nation to reject treason in Kansas, wrapped the party in Constitution, and cast its enemies as disunionists bent on civil war. Democrats took up his charge but hastened to bury the man who had articulated it. Carter: Called attention to moral degeneration in government and tried to fix the bureaucrativ inefficiency that left the people estranged from government. The 1977 Bert Lance affair put Carter's leadership in shambles. After mixed success with congress, in '79 he appealed to nation on the crisis facing it. He embraced the repudiation of an entire political institutional order but the party revolted against his sentiments. MOE and HOWELL – Unilateral Action and Presidential Power: A Theory One of the distinctive features of the modern presidency is the president’s formal capacity to act unilaterally and make law on his own. The authors suggest that this power stems from the fact that the Constitution is ambiguous in regards to unilateral action. Furthermore, the president has incentives to pursue this power and Congress and the Courts are unlikely to stop him. -presidents can and do make law without the explicit consent of Congress -the Constitution is (purposefully) ambiguous – the actual powers of the 3 branches must be determined from the ongoing practice of politics thus there is a struggle over the allocation of power and the right to exercise it -presidents are always, at their core, seekers of power -this is especially true in the modern presidency – b/c of weakened parties, b/c stand as symbol of national leadership, b/c the public holds presidents more accountable Congress -The president is not Congress’ agent – he has independent authority - President as executor has the operation of the government in his hands – manage, coordinate, respond “when presidents feel it’s in their pol. interests, they can put whatever decisions they like to strategic use” - Presidents have tremendous resources available, and greater opportunities for aggrandizement - Presidents are ideally suited to be first movers and to reap the agenda powers that go along with it -- if other branches don’t respond effectively or quickly, the president wins by default -the Constitution virtually invites presidential imperialism -Congress is burdened by collective action problems and heavy transaction costs -statutory constraint on presidential action can exist, by virtue of specific words and requirements -yet doesn’t work so well on unilateral action -often, legislators prefer broad delegations of authority, giving P discretion to act unilaterally -presidents have veto power, and Congress takes this into account when drafting bills (more aligned w/ P) -Congress can’t really ensure that presidents stick to restrictions or execute laws - President is empowered by the proliferation of statutes over time – b/c increase P’s total responsibilities and give him formal basis for extending his authority, also create more ambiguity over “take care” clause -Congress consists of many members with different agendas -thus when president acts unilaterally, Congressional response will be rooted in constituency -Congress unable to take coherent, forceful action thus Congress will usually take no action -President gains power and agenda control by taking unilateral action and shifting status quo more towards his goals -yet presidents must be careful when they want to act unilaterally – on issues that don’t have strong constituencies -foreign policy is a better area to take unilateral action -Congressional trump card Congress has the constitutional power to appropriate money The Courts -Supreme Court has the right to say what the Constitution means, to resolve ambiguities -S.C. has the autonomy to act according to own ideologies and agendas, also to protect their prestige by responding to public opinion and the political environment thus will enhance prestige by declaring unpopular unilateral actions as unconstitutional and declaring popular actions as constitutional the Courts are a wild card -on the whole, S.C. more likely to support and legitimate presidential imperialism -b/c presidents appoint justices with similar ideologies -b/c Courts must rely on executive branch to enforce its decisions – S.C. has incentives to choose cases and decisions with reference to whether and how well they are likely to be enforced their decisions are attuned to the politics of the executive, have incentives to be friendly to presidents -S.C. more capable of limiting power of unilateral action than Congress, yet most likely will support P expansionism Conclusion Moe and Howell take an institutional approach to presidential power (not focusing so much on personality, skills, experience). They assert that this power stems not just from formal powers, but also significantly from structural ambiguities. Presidents have incentives to expand their institutional power – these are heightened by ambiguities and by the presidential resources and opportunities. Congress has only a weak capacity to stop unilateral action b/c of collective action problems, and the S.C. is unlikely to want to stop presidential actions. Presidents move strategically and moderately to promote their imperialistic designs. II. The Road to the White House September 29: Getting Nominated Michael G. Hagen and William G. Mayer, "The Modern Politics of Presidential Selection: How Changing the Rules Really Did Change the Game," in William G. Mayer, ed., In Pursuit of the White House 2000, (Chatham House, 2000) pp. 1-43. Argument: the delegate selection ruled and campaign finance regulations enacted in the early 1970s had a very significant impact on the nature of the presidential nominating process: changing the rules really did change the game. Question: What really is distinctive about the current era in presidential nominating politics? McGovern-Fraser initiatives (requirements for state parties to have candidates at 1972 convention): have “explicit, written rules” forbid proxy voting forbid the use of the unit rule ensure that party meetings were held on uniform dates, at uniform times, and in public places of easy access ensure adequate public notice of all meetings involved in the delegate selection process prohibit the ex-officio selection of delegates conduct the entire process of delegate selection…within the calendar year of the Convention Federal Election Campaign Act (1974) Passed by Congress Established contribution limits of $1,000 for individuals and $5,000 for political action committees Provided federal matching funds to candidates who met minimum requirements Aimed to take political contributions from back room into the public spotlight Have created more bureaucracy with campaign accounts charged with keeping everything legal Critics: blamed new rules for weakening of political parties increasing power of special interest groups nomination of candidates who were ideological extremists or who lacked governing experience increasing tension between the legislative and executive branches declining voter turnout central role in nomination politics played by the news media Major differences between the Presidential nominating process of 1953-68 and that of 1972-96 Pre-Reform Limited 1. Use of primaries 2. Nonprimary selection procedures 3. Favorite son Common candidates When most In the election year candidates announce itself or the final months of the preceding year When most After the end of the candidates withdraw primary season Primary calendar Back-loaded 4. 5. 6. Party-controlled Post-Reform Predominant mode of delegate selection Public: open to anyone who wants to participate Nonexistent More than a year before the convention starts Shortly after the primaries begin Front-loaded Richard Pious, "The Presidency and the Nominating Process: Politics and Power," in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 195-218. Argument: in the primaries-dominated process, those who emerge with the nomination lack national executive experience. Need to restore some peer review and a greater role for party professional and members of Congress – the same groups that dominated earlier nominating processes – to yield more qualified presidential nominees. Transformation of the Nominating Processes King Caucus: Nomination by Congressional Party 1800-1824 Party members in Congress would meet after the congressional session was over, with Federalists in one party caucus and Republicans in another Each caucus would endorse a contender by plurality vote of those present and send word of its endorsement to state parties. Result: President often had experience in Congress. Would promise cabinet position to prominent congressional party leaders or friends. Developed into cabinet government with officials with own followings in Congress. Result: President had to get cabinet support for most of his decisions. Made for weaker government. Nominating Conventions: nomination by State Party Organizations 1824: Andrew Jackson did not win the congressional caucus endorsement, but did win pluralities of the popular and electoral college votes. In contingency election that followed, House chose John Quincy Adams, who also had not won the congressional caucus endorsement. Adams picked House Speaker Henry Clay to be his secretary of state and thus presumed successor. Jackson claimed that deal between Adams and Clay had denied him the White House 1928: Jackson ran again. Did not try to win endorsement from King Caucus but instead accepted endorsements from some state conventions and state legislatures. Jackson was elected. Result: downgraded the cabinet because no need to have congressional leaders in it to win nomination. Expanded presidential powers. 1836: all the candidates of major parties were nominated by the convention system. Not democratic expressions of people’s will: bosses bargained Delegates favored nominees of mediocre ability who often lacked national government experience but whom state party bosses knew to be reliable team players. Governors and senators dominated the field The Primary and Caucus System: Nomination by the Party in the Electorate 1968-1972: Democrats transferred the power to decide on the composition of a state’s convention delegation from the state party organization to its supporters in the electorate Primary contest – a vote within a party to determine the preferences of its members McGovern-Fraser commission: state parties required either to hold primaries to select delegates to the national convention or to hold open caucuses (meetings at which any registered Democrat could participate) to select delegates to state conventions that would choose delegates to the national convention. Under current system, political can run for president without the backing of state party leaders by appealing to voters directly in primaries and caucuses. Need for cash Exhausting campaigns Candidates often don’t have experience in national government, particularly within executive branch or in conducting foreign or economic policy Primary electorate is unrepresentatively skewed toward voters from higher socioeconomic groups. Also, does not represent the racial diversity of the population, as Iowa and New Hampshire are disproportionately white. These states winnow the field, and they disadvantage voters from states with more minority and urban voters that hold contests later. Also ideological distortions: Democratic primary voters are more likely to be liberal, Republican primary voters more conservative. Result: front loading National Conventions function by creating platforms and approve the candidate’s choice of a running mate. Also, win over national television audience. October 4: Getting Elected Andrew Kohut, “The Long and Winding Road to the Presidential Election,” Miller Center Report, vol. 20, no. 1 (Spring/Summer 2004), pp. 35-40. In his article The Long and Winding Road to the Presidential Election, Andrew Kohut gives a perspective on how voter attitudes were different in 2004 than they have been in previous election seasons. 1. First, a few observations: a) The voters decide who the candidates will be, not the press, pundits or pollsters (i.e., Voters shot down Dean despite his support in the press and polls.) b) The electorate is polarized more than ever in 2004. i) Democrats disapproved of Bush in 2003 as strongly as republicans disapproved of Clinton in 98. c) The default position of the American Public is always to stay the course, not to change horses. i) this is especially the case with second term elections when people ask, “Does the president deserve his job?” i.e., Bush. d) The new concept of terrorism makes the 2004 election unique. i) In terms of security issues, the incumbent always has a stature advantage over the challenger. ii) Voters always come to the side of the President when they see their troops under attack (Iraq). e) Deficit’s have become associated in the public’s mind wit deeper problems in the economy. i) Bush had an uphill battle in 2004. f) Although people believe that legalizing gay marriage is unacceptable, they draw the line at a constitutional amendment – Americans don’t like the constitution to be changed! g) At the time Kohut wrote the article, he viewed Bush as falling and Kerry as rising; however, he notes that the election will hinge on perceptions of the conditions of Iraq, the economy and social issues in the months closer to the election. He also concludes by making the point that the American public has begun to view the media in much more partisan terms. The public wants an independent media, not one that chooses sides. John H. Aldrich, John D. Griffin, and Jill Ruckershauser, “The Presidency and the Election Campaign: Altering Voters’ Priorities in the 2004 Election, in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 219-234. The summary at the beginning of the chapter (which does a reasonably good job) reads: “Presidential campaigns “are consequential,” argue John H. Aldrich, John D. Griffin, and Jill Rickershauser. Most scholars agree that the campaigns the candidates wage help to shape the policy agenda in Washington for the following four years. But some have expressed doubt that what the candidates say and do has much effect on the outcome of the election itself. Instead, these scholars argue, economic and political conditions prevailing before the campaign even begins determines [the winner]. This chapter disputes this argument. The authors show that prevailing conditions only have electoral meaning if the candidates discuss and debate them. … [The authors] describe how each candidate tried, with considerable skill, to focus the voters’ attention on the issues that were most favorable to him and his party.” I will attempt to refrain from repeating facts above, but other important information includes: Shaping Priorities Although the candidates are unable to change the minds of voters, they are frequently able to alter the public’s perception of what is important in the election. By choosing to focus on specific issues, the candidates can “shape voter’s priorities” by forcing those issues to become more prominent in the election. Within issues, candidates frequently highlight those parts of the issues that are most beneficial to their campaign. In the 2004 election, this was seen predominantly within the issues of terrorism, the economy, and Iraq. The candidates tend to be more successful when they highlight “party strengths” or attributes which the public readily associates with a given party. Issue Ownership According to issues ownership theory, “the goal [of a campaign] is to achieve a strategic advantage by making problems which reflect owned issues the programmatic meaning of the election and the criteria by which voters make their choice.” Ie. Parties will tend to play to their strengths within issues “owned” by particular voting blocks. In this view, the a priori conditions of an election are not determinative—they merely provide the raw materials the candidates must utilize. This view also implies that campaign strategy is determined by the views of the voters before the election, as candidates select issues that will speak (and largely to their base, though perhaps also to targeted voting blocks and independents). However, in the 2000 election, this situation rarely arose—in fact, 2/3 of the most prominent issues belonged to independents (healthcare and education). The authors concede that the 2000 election was unusual—both Bush and Gore were relatively unconstrained in the issues they could select both because neither was a president seeking reelection, and there were no “obvious issues.” The authors therefore turn to the 2004 election as a much more sensible test. In 2004, there were obvious issues. Terrorism was on the radar screen, the economy hit a severe downturn earlier in Bush’s administration, and the US was engaged in Iraq. Beyond this, Bush was not popular enough to make the campaign completely asymmetric (as Reagan has done in 1984). Examining the Voters Data reveals that voters make their minds up fairly early in the election—less than 1/5 make their decision within 2 weeks of the election. Partisans, as expected, tend to decide earlier than independents. By collecting data from the 2000 and 2004 elections, we learned that there were fewer undecided voters for Bush and Kerry to court than there were in 2000, but more of those voters were independents than partisans. Therefore, an “issue ownership” approach would suggest great incentives for Bush and Kerry to target issues owned by Independents. 2004 Data Early in the 2004 election, voter surveys established that the most important issues were the economy (D), unemployment (D), terrorism (R), national security (R), and the war in Iraq (D). These issues in turn were “owned” entirely by Republicans and Democrats (see letters next to each issue). Towards the end of the election, however, these priorities had shifted. The study was repeated, and it showed that all three groups of voters were less concerned with the economy, and more concerned with Iraq and Terrorism. Coding Speeches There are some neat graphs in the book (pp. 227-231) that reveal the individualized data—if you’re interested, you can look there. I will only summarize the conclusions. The authors looked at the candidates speeches and looked at 14 issues. Looking at the percentage of the candidates’ rhetoric devoted to each issue, and comparing that to voter priorities, the authors made two conclusions: Candidates’ emphasizing particular issues strongly corresponded with those issues voters identified as the most important issues. As the candidates altered rhetoric and focused on different issues, the voters’ priorities shifted. For example, in September, both candidates emphasized healthcare, when the candidates turned away from the issue in October and November, however, so did the voters. Similarly, Bush’s consistent rhetoric on the economy eased concern among republicans that there was a problem. Kerry’s “more erratic attempts” were less effective. Conclusion Even though the 2004 election was constrained by the pre-selection of particular issues, and to a degree by the president’s tenure to that point, the candidates maintained room for strategy through reshaping voters’ priority issues. Patterson: OUT OF ORDER. Chapters 1-2. Thesis: in the last 100 years the press has come to take the place of political institutions, and it is not up to this role Chapter 1 The role of the press in politics, especially since the advent of television, has been greater than intended by the Framers. Journalists have usurped the role of party leaders in assessing electability, fitness for governing; now performs screening for potential candidates; e.g. Jimmy Carter not meeting party leaders, but meeting journalists in 1975—before he met them he was a longshot, but because of his good impression he rose to be the party’s contender Some journalists have taken the role of advocate instead of objective observer; e.g. Henry Luce and Wendell Willkie in 1940, Jimmy Carter and NYTimes story in 1975 Press used to be watchdog, conduit for candidates expressing opinions; now press molds voters’ minds Press doesn’t have necessary capabilities to create electoral opinion: can’t see larger picture, isn’t accountable, isn’t able to see the interests guiding it Presidential election system has become unpredictable; e.g. Sen Edmund Muskie in 1972: after commanding lead, he wins the NH primary—press brings him down every step of the way to raise George McGovern up; nominating phase especially volatile In the middle of the campaign, most rank-and-file voters from each party don’t know where their party’s candidates stand Grueling campaign schedule eliminates candidates who are still in another office serving out the term; is the system screwy for eliminating good candidates or is it competitive for screening out people not vigorous enough for the campaign? Without parties, candidates need support from interest groups for early commitments and early money “Journalistic values and political values are at odds with one another, which results in a news agenda that misrepresents what is at stake in the choice among the candidates. “Journalistic values, though supposedly neutral, introduce an element of random partisanship into the campaign, which coincidentally works to the advantage of one side or another. “Election news, rather than serving to bring candidates and voters together, drives a wedge between them.” (all from page 52) Chapter 2 Voters care about policy issues, competency, and intelligence and want to consider these factors when they vote; the press cares about the campaign, strategy, and personality—people do not get what they want Voters want politicians to solve their problems and be world leaders, whereas the press wants someone to win Press mixes fact with interpretation in most articles News coverage of politicians during campaigns used to focus on facts, with block quotes from speeches and separate sections for ‘news analysis’, where the journalists would focus on campaign strategy The game used to be a means to an end—now it is the ends The press’ reporting of stories tends to seem strategic—as if the press picked a candidate at the beginning of the season and then made the rest of the stories to mimic that Part of the shift toward coverage of the strategy element of a campaign came from the deterioration of the role of the political parties in electioneering—more of that power came to candidates themselves Also came from “celebrity” journalists who wanted to frame and create the news, not just report on it; they wanted to ask and answer the questions; bolstered by Watergate More emphasis on narrative journalism Opinion polls and advances in statistical technology has also increased the game element of campaign coverage Upon hearing coverage of the game aspects of the campaign, voters lose interest and become resigned at the behavior of the politicians Possible Ids: Schema—a cognitive structure that people use when processing new information and retrieving old information; governing schema and game schema Stephen J. Wayne, “Reforming the Electoral System” Ch9 in The Road to the White House, pp. 303 – 330 Introduction Current Electoral Process Pros more democratic than ever more people involved at nomination stage lesser-known candidates have opportunity to demonstrate competence, endurance, leadership, etc.. Cons too long, costly and burdensome dulls voters and candidates which results in mudslinging and soundbites too little substantive debate Changes in Party Nomination Party Nomination Rules Election Reform(1968)— McGovern-Frazier Commission Moved selection process from party conventions where nominees were voting on by delegates who were mostly controlled by the party leadership to popular primaries which chooses the delegates designed to encourage grassroots participation designed to broaden the base of representation resulted in lengthening nominating process resulted in more expensive campaigns resulted in candidate-based campaigns resulted in weakened influence of state and local party leaders resulted in loosened ties between parties and nominees (conventions are coronations) Striking balance between party leadership and rank-and-file rank-and-file want more primaries which select more delegates so there are more pledged delegates at the convention party leaders want opposite this can be achieved with soft money and by giving all federal funds to party committees eliminate crossover voting—so not allowing nonpartisans(Independents and members of opposing party) in primary elections, forcing candidates to remain truer to the party Delegates allocated by proportional or winner-take all Proportional is in favor of citizenry, but may delay consensus of nominee, thus weakening chances in general election Time of nomination campaign Critics maintain the current time is too long—turns public attention to campaign news rather than government issues Frontloading Early primary elections with extended media coverage give disproportionate weight to votes in NH and Iowa because the field narrows as time goes on and the nominee is pretty much a forgone conclusion by the time states like Hawaii and Alaska have their primaries—so states move their primaries to the earliest possible date Helps nationally recognized and well-financed candidates, not upstarts Moves start of campaign further from convention, so hurts those who want a more democratic approach to nominations, because by the time the majority of the electorate tunes in, the decision is pretty much made Little incentive for public to remain attentive or even vote in later primaries Possible Options primaries by size Group states into 4 groups by size primaries over 4 month period Smaller states go first, larger states last But opposition by larger states which feared loss of influence by going last Some saw increased reliance on mass media thus helping those with national name recognition and lots of money Tries to offset advantage of numerous delegates in large states by making them go last Rotating regional primaries Primaries over 4 month period Region that begins voting is rotated Candidates can focus on regional concerns Attempts to create more equity among the states Ensures broad geographical support which is needed in general election for the candidate But again favors national recognized candidates and those with large coffers National Primaries Held in late spring or summer before conventions Whoever won majority would automatically receive nomination Consistent with “one person, one vote” Possibly increase turnout Possibly would accelerate a nationalizing trend Results would be unambiguous Again this would also strongly favor candidates with national reputations and a large treasury Also winner might not be party’s strongest candidate in general election Finance laws Reform in 1970s Aimed to take political contributions from back room into the public spotlight But have created a lot more bureaucracy with campaign accounts charged with keeping everything legal Aimed to improve accountability, reduce spending, subsidize nominations, and fund the general election Loopholes Nonprofit organizations can raise and spend unlimited and unreported amounts of money as long as they don’t advocate a particular candidate Limit on amount people can donate to individual candidates(hard money), but not on amount given to the party’s soft money account(which is the money the party can spend as it chooses) Sets spending limits on those receiving federal funds, thereby limiting those who do not have the resources to campaign without the aid of government matching funds Failed to reduce or control spending Rising expenditures on polling, media, fund-raising, and other campaign activities has increased the amount of money campaign organizations believe they need to compete effectively Combined with contribution limits, candidates must now spend a lot more time fundraising Unintended consequences of finance reform (i.e. loopholes, more fundraising, etc…) have undermined public support for the electoral process and public financing system Possible changes Eliminate soft-money But parties would have to find other ways of getting money Much less issue oriented advertising Increase amount of individual or group contributions during nomination phase Helps because purchasing power has decreased since limits were set But wealthy would gain greater influence Force TV to give free air time to candidates But TV won’t sell time to other political groups(NRA, AFL-CIO, etc) if they have to give it free to the candidate 24 hour news cycle already gives plenty of coverage to candidates some say more money is needed only $30 dollars per voter was spent in federal elections Problem of Political Action Committees Not very independent since often party suggests where and how PAC should spend its money Buckley v Valeo –equates free speech with campaign donations Also those that control the legislation about PAC and campaign finance are the ones who benefit most from it (established Democrats and Republicans) News Media Coverage Essentially free publicity for candidates, but at the same time the media is free to choose who, when , and how its going to cover the candidates With streaming news, often approaches politics as a game and analyzes campaign strategy rather than policies put forth Enhancing Electoral Choice Voter Turnout In 1996 more than half of eligible voters chose not to vote In 2000 51% chose not to vote “decline in intensity of party allegiances, the shift from party-centered to candidatecentered campaigns, growing levels of mistrust and lower confidence in public officials, and then weakening sense of efficacy on the part of many people have all contributed to lower turnout and produced a ‘disconnect’ between American citizens and their political system” Possible solutions Legislation to ease registration(automatic registration) Make election day a national holiday Extended voting period Downside is fear of fraud Penalties for those who do not vote(legal requirement to vote) Those who do not vote as frequently: “the poorer, less educated, less fortunate, and younger” Electoral College Reform Automatic Plan Forces members of electoral college to submit votes for the states popular vote winner Removes problem of faithless college members, but would do little to change current system Proportional Plan College votes would be the same proportion as the popular vote Removes disenfranchisement of losing party voters Encourages more campaigning by parties that historically lose there under the winner take all system This would decrease influence of competitive states and increase influence of states where voters tend to be more homogenous Could strengthen other parties District Plan Two electoral votes would be allocated (corresponding with the two Senate seats) the rest of the votes would be allocated by popular vote in each congressional district(corresponding to the Representatives’ districts) Loser would be larger states, in particular the cohesive, geographically concentrated groups within the states Winners would be small states Direct Election Direct popular vote Eliminates the college Party competition would increase Bigger states would lose some electoral clout Might also weaken the two-party system III. Organizing the President's Domain October 6: The President and the Executive Branch Andrew Rudalevige, “The President and the Cabinet,” in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 533-556. Main argument: Cabinet govt. is a fiction, but govt. can’t function without cabinet. Washington relied on cabinet to help with enormous job. Truman claimed cabinet was fundamental to policy formulation While there are exceptions, cabinet mostly does not do too much. Evolution of the cabinet Cabinet anticipated, though not explicitly, in Constitution. In part, to put a check on single executive. State, War, Treasury, and AG in1789 by Congress. More through the years. These form inner cabinet. The only ones that still have any real contact with the President. Cabinet Government Some say cabinet not “institutionalized,” since role and power varies from President to President. Rudalevige says cabinet as institution has deep roots and broad scope. Into mid 20th century, many cite cabinet as crucial for functioning government. Every modern president claims he will get cabinet more involved. A promise rarely kept. Reasons for cabinet weakness Cabinet is often selected as political favors. Nominees must secure Senate confirmation. Presidents cannot compel anyone to join their cabinets. Once all of these accounted for, may not have President’s trust. Even without all these problems, cabinet still has structural problems. Cabinet is too big for detailed conversation. Too diverse a group for productive debate. Cabinet members don’t want others commenting on their problems. Presidents have to consider divided loyalties of secretaries. Constituencies, Congress, courts, and “national interest.” Much more attractive than cabinet is presidential and exec office staff. More loyal, fewer complications, less personal ambition. Conclusion: Presidents like cabinet government in principle but not practice. “Cabinet Government” in the Modern Presidency Andrew Card: advise president and implement his decisions. Cabinet members are either Specialists, substantive stuff. Generalists, managerial stuff. Liaisons, political attributes. The Representative Executive. Cabinet used to please different constituencies. Regional diversity. Recently racial and gender diversity. Cabinet symbolizes openness and inclusivity. The Cabinet as Lightning Rod. Cabinet members rarely vocal. Not often good when they are. Can be used by presidents to give out bad news, deflect blame. “presidential lightning rods.” “Real Loyalty”: The Quest for Bureaucratic Control Nixon valued loyalty so much that he put low profile people in positions, relying on their loyalty and lack of personal ambition. Some presidents have been more controlling than others in terms of appointing cabinet assistants. The President’s Program: Formulation, Passage, Implementation President’s staff relatively small compared to rest of executive branch. Needs cabinet resources and manpower. Departments play important role in forming ideas for policy. Have expertise. Cabinet councils have been used to try to deal with overlapping issues. Effective when small. Gave depts. Real voice. Conclusions: “Creative Confrontations” and Presidential Governance Cabinet destined for failure as decision-making body. Still, some write off cabinet as not being useful, which is not true. White House staff cannot replace cabinet’s implementation. Cabinet meetings are generally not useful, but councils can be. Keeping communication channels with cabinet open is important for President. Cabinet crucial for creating constructive conflicts, and as a result, giving President good advice Presidential Decision Making: The Economic Policy Board, pp. 5-29: “Organizational Challenges” 1980 – Roger Porter Introduction The communications revolution has focused increased attention on the President as the single most powerful figure. A president’s capacity to meet the unrealistically high expectations that are placed upon him is directly related to how organized he is to make decisions. Why study economic policy? 1. Both foreign and domestic policy has become increasingly important since FDR, and consumes large amounts of his time (read: organization is key to success) and 2. Has received relatively little attention from scholars. The Interrelatedness of Issues Three reasons for recent increased complexity and interrelatedness of policy making: 1. Expansion of Gov. activity (domestic spending: 9% in 1929, 17.5% in 1960, 1976: 28%) o Result: increased demands on the president; fewer problems fall within a single agency or department’s province. o Result: President responsible for administering the increasing number of problems, and also for resolving expanding conflicts between their objectives and priorities. 2. Sheer growth in number of issues to understand and organize. o i.e. environment, energy, consumer interests 3. Blurring of traditional distinction between domestic and foreign economic policy since the 1950s. o Businesses are increasingly multinational, and thus global. Thus nat’l economies (incl. US) are more concerned with the economies of their trading partners, which results in increased openness of the US economy. + openness+interdependence+vulnerability Thus, domestic economic policy must involve foreign economic policy, and as such, they are now increasingly intertwined. An example is agricultural policy: at once foreign (sanctions, imports) and domestic (import activity affects farming, general food supply). Issue interrelatedness means that departments and agencies are less likely to be aware of all of the overlapping elements of problems. Thus, OMB and WH staff are increasingly useful for identifying interrelationships b/w issues and interests. A Fragmented Executive Branch “A many splintered thing” (Stephen Bailey) Presents an organizational challenge: People who do not know each other across the fragmented top layers of the branch are less likely to be able to coordinate operations, information, planning, etc. Thus mutual understandings of issues are much more difficult. Departmentalism For efficiency purposes, decentralization is key. However, some aspects of departments different than the Presidency: o More parochial view, by definition of being departmentalized. o Department staffers narrow-mindedly aim to protect and progress their respective department, issues, etc. o Relationships b/w interest groups and agencies/departments extend beyond a single presidency. Professionalism has maintained departmental influence. o Bureaucratic core of departments are experts and professionals in particular fields. o Harold Seidman’s Iron Triangle of political power: these professionals, interested legislators (i.e. subcommittees), and spokesmen for groups benefiting from relevant gov’t programs. Mutual dependence (constituency groups on departments) encourages mutual support (departments supported by constituency to increase authority in the executive branch) o Departments represent specialized constituencies rather than holistic American ideology. Ex: Ag. for farmers. Career bureaucracy: unlike UK, most servants remain in same department. o Specialized expertise, but narrow perspectives o Career civil servants depend on the health of their department, so they are biased to preserve their institution, and expand its autonomy. Unity across horizontal lines of leadership is hampered since each is loyal to their department before the whole administrative team. The Cabinet Secretary at the Crossroads New cabinet secretaries typically face career bureaucracies resistant to change, yet must manage departments that contain multiple conflicting viewpoints. Most secretaries have short tenures (average of 4 mos. from 1933-1965, 18 mos. during Nixon) Three main pressures on secretaries: 1. Advocating their departments and programs o Charles G. Dawe remarks that because of this, “the members of the Cabinet are a President’s natural enemies.” 2. Having close ties with constituency. Ex: Ag must have ear and more to farm community. o This is most often the overriding attribute in selecting secretaries: the likelihood of them meshing with their respective constituencies. 3. Having a good relationship with Congress. o Congress confirms secretary, passes her legislation, oversees administrative performance, appropriates funds, etc. Independence: while conflicting pressures present crossroads w/in Departments, secretaries are afforded independence, which means that he can single-handedly influence anything that applies to his Department. How secretaries spend time: largely administrative tasks, meetings to push programs and policy, little time for reflection, and seldom confronted by peers. The View from the White House Has a unique role in the American political system: National constituency broader policy perspective than cabinet. Congress and the nation expect initiative and direction from POTUS. The national public status and following gives POTUS more leadership, bargaining, and persuasion resources than anyone. Because of the breadth of his role, 2 key organizational interests: o 1. Integration of policy: with diffused power, a unified message is efficient but difficult to achieve. o 2. Balancing competing forces and interests in the major policy areas: results in better informed policy advice Two prescriptions for overcoming or transcending departmentalism: 1. Consolidating departments 2. Cabinet government: held less for issue-oriented discussion, but for exchanging information and getting direction from the President. Most secretaries lobby WH staff because they know the President rarely seeks policy advice from the secretaries, mostly because he knows their views, and knows them to be too narrow for his broader responsibilities. Organizational Alternatives 1. Adhocracy President distributes assignments and selects who he listens to and when. Involves few regularized channels Frequently results in jurisdictional quarrelling, chaos. Typically used in transitional periods, figuring out who will do what. Still exists, though less random than in FDR’s time: now, OMB, NSC, and other WH offices check and balance such tasks. 2. Centralized Management Heavy reliance on WH staff and EOP, to filter ideas, proposals, and recommendations before they reach the President. Grounded in desire for advice from advocates. 3. Multiple Advocacy Relies on an honest broker to ensure a full and balanced debate on issues. Based on commitment to competition of ideas as best method of policy development. Such honest brokers are supposed to insure o Due process: everyone with an opinion gets a fair shot o Quality control: the information fed to the President is high-quality, relevant, and structured. Rarely are only one of these approaches implemented, usually it is a combination of two or all three or simply variations. Porter supports multiple advocacy the most: It’s theoretically promising, but largely unexamined in practice. Theoretically, it provides all points of view, bridges the gap between policy formulation and implementation, and allows the expansion of the President’s influence: he can tap a plethora of individuals in the Executive Branch for advice. Thus multiple advocacy is the most inclusive of the three. However, it is difficult to implement because it depends on officials playing nice and working together in groups. For example, the NSC. o Such “fixed membership superstructures” have 5 operational problems according to Francis Bator: 1. Substance is watered down because secretaries, etc. represent many people. 2. Such groups never stop growing, reducing each member’s share of facetime and productivity. 3. Subordinates tend to replace heads in such meetings. 4. Leaks common 5. Most real bargaining gets done outside the boardroom, in informal, interpersonal interactions. Porter also adds that most often, a single personality dominates the discussion although on paper everyone gets a fair shot. The Economic Policy Board, according to Porter, circumvents all of these problems because it actually achieves the theoretical goals of multiple advocacy. October 11: The President's Domain I: White House Organization James P. Pfiffner, “The White House Staff and Organization,” chapter 3 in The Modern Presidency, 4th edition (Wadsworth, 2005). White House staff system is one of defining characteristics of modern presidency Argues that WH needs the firm control of a chief of staff, but too domineering approach to job will result in trouble Evolution of White House Staff very small during early years of country, paid for by President. Dramatic shift under FDR and birth of modern presidency Huge staff needed for New Deal Brownlow Committee proposed that president should be center of control in the executive branch Seen as power grab by Congress, approved two of its proposals with provisions creating positions for 6 administrative assistants to the president. Committee Report would have major repercussions over the years as it articulated justification for an active staff to serve president and laid foundation for growth in numbers and power of the WH staff in the modern presidency. WH staff has grown from relatively small staff of FDR to more than 500 in the 1990s. How Presidents Managed their Staff FDR Gave out assignments on an ad-hoc basis (adhocracy) Legendary for manipulation of his staffers, thrived on conflict in his staff and used it be a more effective decision-maker. Truman Uncomfortable with personal conflict Did not give out overlapping assignments or encourage conflict/disagreement on his staff Truman WH began trend toward functional specialization that has come to characterize modern presidency. Layering of WH staff began in Truman WH as a result of this specialization Eisenhower Institutionalized the presidency Most important and lasting contributions to organization of presidency was the office of chief of staff JFK Took more active role than Ike, eliminated chief of staff Set up president at hub of the wheel for his WH JFK used loose organizational approach but increased centralization and WH capacity. LBJ Similar approach as JFK’s. Jealous of staff publicity, would cut them down to size. Nixon Wanted to give more power to cabinet/other agencies in executive branch because he wanted them to focus on running the country while he could focus on domestic issues. Changed strategy while president; brought the work of the deperatments and agencies in the WH. Isolated himself and WH Ford Started off with spokes-of-the-wheel approach Didn’t work, needed a strong chief of staff to filter out people/issues Carter Did not want a chief of staff; thought he could do it himself. Eventually admitted that a chief of staff was necessary Ford and Carter presidencies proved that the modern WH cannot function effectively without a chief of staff Reagan Passive, liked to delegated a lot of responsibility to his staff, Because of that, his staff was crucial to his presidency in a way that was not true of FDR, JFK, or Bush I. Bush Strong chief of staff but kept lines of communication open with cabinet, other members of executive branch/administration Conclusion WH staff and organization will faithfully reflect president, but should strive to counter presidential weaknesses WH needs a chief of staff; someone short of the president must be in charge No president has successfully run WH without a chief of staff since 1969, and since 1979 no president has tried. Chief of staffs must be honest broker and coordinator of administration policy. Cannot be soft but nor can they be tyrannical, arbitrary, and egotistical. Ultimately, there is no salvation from staff. Buck stops with President. John P. Burke, “The Institutional Presidency,” in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 383-409. Overview John Burke argues that the size and complexity of the modern presidential staff have caused the White House itself to take on the character of a bureaucratic organization. In this chapter, he chronicles a number of strategies presidents have adopted to make good use of their staffs. Introduction The White House staff is made up of around 2,000 employees in significant policymaking positions and can serve as an organizational context that can set limits on what a president can do and sometimes thwart even the best of presidential intentions It is necessary to now recognize the American executive as an institution – a presidency, not merely a president, and in doing this we can better understand the office, how it operates, the challenges it faces, and how it affects our politics The Institutional Presidency The concern of this chapter is to understand the organizational character of the presidency – its growth in size, the complexity of its work ways, and the general way in which it resembles a large, well organized bureaucracy Complex Institution: The first aspect of the complexity of this institution is the increase in size which can be seen by comparing the White House staff of FDR to that of Clinton’s or Bush’s. One of the primary causes of growth has been the addition of these units: Office of Management and Budget (formed as Bureau of the Budget in 1921), the Council of Economic Advisors (1946), the National Security Council (197), the Office of the US Trade Representative (1963), the Office of Policy Development (1970), the Council on Environmental Quality (1970), the Office of Science and Technology Policy (1976), the Office of Administration (1977), and the Office of National Drug Control Policy (1989). In the institution of the presidency, there is the presence of a central authority that coordinates the contributions of the institution’s functional parts – the Chief of Staff. Differentiation from Environment: The complexity of the presidency and its reliance on expert advice have given the institution a unique place in the policy process, differentiating it from its political environment. One way this has occurred is through increased WH control of new policy initiatives Those seeking to influence national politics try to cultivate the people who have the most to do with policy proposals: the White House The second aspect of the presidency that differentiates it from the surrounding political environment is the way parts of the staff are organized explicitly to manage external relations with the media, Congress, and various constituencies. The Effects of an Institutional Presidency Do the presidency’s institutional characteristics, as opposed to the individual styles, practices, and idiosyncrasies of each president matter? It is the personality, character, and distinctive behavior of each of these presidents that have generally attracted the attention of press and public However, since the institutionalized daily workings of the presidency transcend the personal ideologies, character, and idiosyncrasies of those who work within it (esp the president), it makes sense to analyze the presidency from an institutional perspective. External Centralization: Presidential Control of Policy Making: The large presidential staff ahs centralized much policy-making power within the presidency, and this has both positive and negative effects Positive: centralized control can protect the programs that the president wishes to foster new political initiatives usually not received well in DC Negative: WH control of the policy process can cause the institution to diminish or even exclude other sources of advice Internal Centralization: Hierarchy, Gatekeeping, and Presidential Isolation The centralization of policy-making power by the WH staff has been accompanied by a centralization of power within the staff by one or two chief aides, which also affects the way the institutional presidency operates, providing both opportunities and risks for the president. Positive: this can ensure clear lines of responsibility, well-demarcated duties, and orderly work ways. FDR’s staff is an example of the problems that can arise from lack of effective organization. It can also protect the president’s political standing by giving the highly visible staff member a significant amount of authority which acts as a lightning rod, handling politically tough assignments and deflecting political controversy from the president to himself or herself (Eisenhower’s presidency was like that) Negative: Corruption and the abuse of power (when Sherman Adams under Eisenhower was accused of accepting gifts from a New England textile manufacturer). Also, a highly visible assistant with a large amount of authority can act as a gatekeeper, controlling and filtering the flow in information to and from the president (Jordan under Carter and Regan under Reagan were criticized for limiting access to the president and selectively screening the info and advice the president received). Another downside is that presidents can find themselves isolated, relying on a small core group of advisers. If that occurs, the information the president gets will already have been selectively filtered and interpreted, and discussions and deliberations will be confined to an inner circle of likeminded advisers (Pres. Bush has been criticized of this). Bureaucratization: As the top levels of the WH staff have gained authority and political visibility, the rest of the staff has taken on the character of a bureaucratic organization. What develops as a substitute for work satisfaction or personal proximity to the president are typical patterns of organizational behavior: WH staff members often compete for assignments and authority that serve as a measure of their standing and prestige on the staff and ultimately with the president. They also care about how they are perceived by outsiders, ie the press, Congress, lobbyists, and other political influentials. Politicization In response to this bureaucratization, presidents are increasingly politicizing the institutional presidency meaning they are attempting to make sure that staff members heed their policy directives and serve the president’s political needs rather than their own. To advance their goals, presidents need broad agreement among their aides and assistants with their political programs and policy goals. Excessive politicization can limit the range of opinions among the staff and can weaken the objectivity of the policy analysis at the president’s disposal. The Office of Management and Budget has been the most politicized part of the president’s staff. Putting the President Back In Since its inception under FDR, the institutional presidency has undoubtedly offered presidents some of the important resources they need to meet the complex policy task and expectations of the office. As we have seen, however, the by-products of an institutional presidency – centralization of policy-making in the WH staff, hierarchy, bureaucratization, and politicization – have detracted from as well as served the president’s policy goals. Although the presidency is an institution, it is an intensely personal one, which can take on a different character from administration to administration – presidents and their staff are by no means hostages to the institutions. The most obvious management task a president faces is to recognize on first being elected that organizing and staffing the WH are matters of highest priority Beyond striking a good balance between loyalty on the one hand and DC experience and policy expertise on the other, the presidents must also be aware of strengths, and especially the weaknesses of the various ways of organizing the staff members they have selected. Presidents can also take steps to deal with the bureaucratic tendencies that crop up in their staffs All presidents also have the capacity to choose how they will act and react within a complex political context populated by other powerful political institutions, processes, and participants. Too much politicization weakens any special claims of expertise, experience, and institutional primacy that the president might make in a particular policy area. Too much centralization eclipses the role of other political actors in a system that is geared to share, rather than exclude, domains of power; it may also set in motion a powerful reaction against the president. Presidents need to know that the character and intended audience of persuasion must be tailored not just to the requirements of legislative bargaining and enhancing popular support but to the institutional character of the presidency itself. October 13: The President's Domain II: The Executive Office of the President Price, “The Institutional Presidency and the Unwritten Constitution” *Price supported the establishment of EXOP and its objectives, but argues that it has turned for the worse, not because of a failure to follow the plan, but because of the science of administration and power distribution – under the “unwritten Constitution” - Executive Office of the Presidency has lost original principles - set up in 1939 – before, Congress thought prez didn’t need more than a few secretaries - Brownlow Committee decided prez needed help: EXOP would have 6 personal assist., Bureau of Budget, and institutions for planning and managem’t - Original objectives have been lost Obj. 1: must stay small…But: doubled since WW2 Obj. 2: members can help prez, but have no authority…But: they try to use authority over cabinet members Obj. 3: only dept. heads have direct access to prez…But, many people have access Obj. 4: career and merit staffing…But, many non-career appointees in EXOP Obj. 5: only work on Pres. issues that can’t be delegated…But, Congress throws unwanted work to EXOP The practice does not equal the theory - Need: Institutional presidency with system of organization and professional personnel, and coherence and continuity of policy -Brownlow’s objectives of business efficiency and separation of policy and admin. Backfired: 1. Purpose of gov’t reorganization became eliminating duplication of jobs, not policy 2. BoB – negative and restricted outlook 3. Career officers concerned with policy, not detail 4. Lack of generalist staff for broad policy development Why didn’t it work? 1. managerial efficiency does not change economy 2. special interest groups were using influence in EXOP 3. Congress gained more influence over EXOP 4. Prez compensated by appointing more non-career appointees 5. Reform groups supporting EXOP have conflicting platforms (legalism, scientism, nonpartisan reform) What to change? Need accountability. And, stop talking about sep. of powers and acknowledge integration and lack of independent authority. Need to consider: 1. Number of legislative checks 2. Legal or political checks (formal or informal) 3. Procedures for initiative – veto right for congress/ prez 4. Distinction btwn discussion and determination of policy - When is accountability excercised? 5. Political and Career Staff – Who is accountable? (Need less appointees.) 6. Size of EXOP – small, so they know the prez or big, so they can respond to more questions from Congress In Sum, the executive office of the President, the core of the intuitional Presidency, has turned out to be much bigger than its inventors expected, but at the sacrifice of its basic principles. - Before it was set up in 1939 Congress did not believe that the President’s duties as chief executive justified the establishment of an official staff for policy planning and of managerial control over the Exec Dept. and agencies. - However, in 1939 the Brownlow Committees recommendation changed this and set the Executive Office up by Reorganization Plan in 1939. - Brownlow report was based on the following principles: 1) the exec. office agencies were to help the President, but not to have any authority in their own right, nor to be in a chain of command b/w the president and the heads of exec depts. 2) they were to deal only with issues of such importance to the President that they could not be delegated 3) the dept. heads, and not the members of the exec office were to be the principal political lieutenants of the President, and accountable to Congress 4) the Exe office except for a small number of political aides in the White House office and the heads of the institutional staff agencies like the budge bureau was to be staffed on a career and merit basis. - Unfortunately in “all of these respects things have gone wrong” – personnel in the office has doubled - Price then asks on what basis and for what purpose should we devise a new set of principles or reaffirm the old? - Brownlow’s committees sales pitch depended on two ideas: 1) efficiency and economy in govt. are important and should imitate private business 2) a desire to reorganize the distinction between policy, the preserve of the legislature and administration, which should be left to the executive . - These two lines of argument – business efficiency and the separation of policy from administration led to distortion of the original principles of the executive office in several ways: 1) the purpose of govt. reorganization resulted in the elimination of overlapping and duplication in an effort to achieve economy – yet the complexity of modern economic and social systems has forced an interlocking - - - - and interdependence of govt. agencies – we shouldn’t focus on separating their function rather making sure that there is a ‘coherent meshing’ 2) the old Bureau of the budget was committed by these ideas to tend, in most of its parts to a negative and restricted outlook. 3) the implicit distinction b/w administration, as something to be left to career officers, and policy, which should be the province of political appointees may well have discouraged the development of a strong career staff w/a good institutional memory. 4) most conspicuous of all the emphasis on business principles restricted the development of a career generalist staff with an aptitude for broad policy development. After the original conception of the executive office as an institution it became clear that the original principles of the brownlow and Hoover reports were progressively made more obsolete by successive presidents. Why did this happen: 1)economies were not to be effected by managerial efficiency 2) Exec Office staff agencies had no real power but they had a great deal of influence – special interests in Congress used this to their advantage. 3) As congress attempted to exert control over the internal structure of the office the president compensated by increasing the number of political appointees. Price states “ I believe that the exec office could not be made to conform to its original principles, not because they were wrong but because of fundamental contraction b/w the principles – these ideas, in caricature, were the beliefs in legalism, scientism, and nonpartisan reform. In conclusion, the “main problem is not with our written Constitution but our unwritten constitutions, which Congress may change if it wishes – the first step in the right direction will be to quit talking about Constitutional separation of powers and acknowledge that in all major issues of management both Congress and the president are involved in the direction and control of depts. and agencies. In order to determine the status and role of the executive office we have to ask our selves a number of questions related to number of legislative checks, legal or political checks, procedures for initiatives, distinction b/w discussion and determination of policy, Political and Career staff, and the size of the executive office. Lecture 8 Super Brief summary – Bold terms are possible ID’s -In this lecture we discuss the Staff secretary – very important determines who gets to see the president - Goes into detail regarding the care and feeding offices related to the president. - There is a third set of offices known as packaging and selling. - The myth regarding WH staff is that it has grown too much – myth is far from reality. - He then ends the lecture discussing vertical coordination w/in the offices and concludes that horizontal coordination is far more difficult. Roger B. Porter, "Presidents and Economists: The Council of Economic Advisers," American Economic Review, Vol. 87, No. 2 (May 1997), pp. 103-106. In this article Porter just examines the history and growth of the CEA and whether it is still needed today. Since the CEA was created by congress (in the Employment Act of 1946, holding the President liable for the employment and general prosperity of the Union) and not even really wanted by President Truman, its survival is remarkable given the large mortality rate among EOP departments. It has lasted for four reasons, according to Porter. First, it has maintained a small staff, making it relatively innocuous for those wanting to streamline government agencies. Second, the CEA offers a professional, non-partisan staff. Third, the economists focus strictly on what they do best, without a desire to oversee the operational responsibilities or become a bureaucratic threat to other departments. Lastly, the CEA provides the president with the kind of economic analysis he needs on a day-to-day basis, avoiding long-term studies and overly academic reports. When it was created it had a monopoly on providing economic analysis in the executive branch. Now that every department seems to have its own group of economists, some might argue the CEA is no longer needed. However, with so much advice coming from different sources, the need for the consistent and sound economic analysis provided by the CEA is still needed today. The economists are vital in shaping economic policy, and resolving differences that arise among the increased number departmental economic staffs. In this sense, the greater number of economic analysts within the departments has created a larger role for the CEA, as a central and competent source of guidance for the President. Having found its place in the Executive Office and developed a close working relationship with the President, Porter concludes “the experiment has proved a success.” Possible Ids: CEA - The Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) was created by congress in the Employment Act of 1946. Four key reasons why the CEA has survived as an important part of the executive office o It has maintained modest size comparable to other executive offices o The CEA has maintained a professional, nonpartisan staff with a reputation for high-quality analysis o The CEA has avoided operational responsibilities (stayed advisory only) and has thus concentrated on what they do best- the CEA has not tried to exceed its responsibilities o The CEA has concentrated its energies not on long-term studies or detailed reports, but on the steady stream of day-to-day economic decisions - - - One of the primary reasons why the CEA has remained important and relevant throughout various administrations is the fact that the information they provide has remained consistent over the years. Examples of positive functions the CEA has facilitated: o Deregulation of industries o the clear air act of 1990 o the collecting and disseminating of economic statistics Pretty much all presidential administrations have had positive relations with the CEA; most chairman and top advisors in the CEA have had close working relationships with the president as well James P. Pfiffner, "OMB: Professionalism, Politicization, and the Presidency," in Colin Campbell and Margaret Jane Wyszomirski eds., Executive Leadership in Anglo-American Systems, (University of Pittsburgh Press, 1991), pp. 195-217. Summary: Examines the development of the Office of Management and Budget (formerly Bureau of the Budget until 1970) with respect to Professionalism, Politicization and the Presidency. BOB created in 1921 and brought to the Executive Office of the President in 1939, at the request of the Brownlow Committee. Comprised of career civil servants, OMB was intended to be an objective institutional staff resource that advised the President on all budget issues. Professionalism- Traditionally, the OMB/BOB was intended to be an “impartial, impersonal and nonpolitical” aid to the president. In recent years it has received some criticism that it is too responsive to individual presidents instead of the best interests of the presidency as an institution. It derives the majority of its power from its control of the executive budget. It has become increasingly involved with getting the budget through congress. While the career staff of the OMB used to shy away from advocating policy, they now share a more active role in advocating the budget. The control the OMB has over the budget makes it an important tool for the President in controlling the executive branch. Secondly, the OMB is responsible for government-wide management issues. OMB sets procedural programs, creates initiatives, and can be charges to streamline the cost of administration in this increasingly politicized era. Last, OMB handles legislative clearance, ensuring that all proposals sent to Congress can be funded and are consistent with the program and policies advanced by the President Politicization: In recent years many have criticized the OMB for having grown politicized in such a way that harms its intended role as a presidential staff agency. Essentially the increased advocacy and political sensitivity of the OMB as a result of more political appointees and public visibility has endangered the office’s credibility as a source of professional objective analysis. Presidency: These changes in the OMB have been part of a broader trend in the executive branch where the president has tried to centralize power closer to the White House. The OMB has just had to adapt to the changing needs of the president, serving more as staff advisors than institutional and objective analysts. Possible IDs: OMB, Professionalism, Politicization - - - - - The Bureau of the Budget was formerly the Treasury Dept. However, the BOB gained importance and presence in becoming part of the Executive Office of the President in 1939. The Bureau of the Budget was renamed the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in 1970. The BOB’s official responsibility is offering nonpartisan service to the President in the pursuit of economy and efficiency; they are also the most important political body in terms of ensuring that the transition between changing administrations runs smoothly The OMB has undergone extensive criticism for the fact that they have been too responsive to individual presidents and their personal political agendas The OMB’s primary power is its control over the budget of the executive branch. The OMB’s power is based on their familiarity with agency budgets and requirements The OMB (primarily in the 70’s and 80’s) became more concerned with saving money than with effectiveness The OMB has become much more involved over the years in getting the president’s budget pushed through congress The OMB is given “central legislative clearance” whereby all agency proposals for legislation that may have a bearing on the treasury (or funds) has to be cleared by them. The OMB has been effective in maintainin its role in presidential management through its regulatory review process, however has fallen short in the organizational planning and help necessary to help other agencies. (pg. 243) There are three main ways in which the OMB has become more politicized over the years, thus facilitating the president’s agenda; o The transition from institutional to personal staff in the agency o The creation of the positions of Program Associate Directors (PAD’s); these presidential appointees are directly in charge of examining divisions in an attempt to make the OMB more directly responsive to presidential political priorities o The third element of OMB politicization is its increasing public advocacy and visibility; the OMB has adjusted information in its attempt to support the president, and has downsized its permanent “career” staff. It’s role in supporting the president has basically become more blatant - IV. The OMB has continued to expand its role in adapting to the needs of the president; furthermore, presidents have become more interested in centralized control of the executive branch, than with governance (pg. 250) Presidential Decision Making October 18: Presidential Decision Making Approaches and Models Presidential Decision Making, Appendix Eisenhower – highly structured, less involvement with detail FDR – loosely structured, much detail work, micromanagement -Presidents need to know the vital information while avoiding the inconsequential details, they need to know the advantages and disadvantages of each course of action. The three decision making models outline methods for achieving these results. Adhocracy -president himself distributes assignments, decides whom he will listen to, and when -competitive/transition/traditional adhocracy – diff’t types. -most presidents have a transitional adhocracy for a while, but traditional is the conscious choice, while competitive involves one-on-one meetings with different staff assigned to the same problems -multiple bilateralism = competitive adhocracy [note: departmental or staff groups make prez aware of potential problems, then prez himself assigns people to work on them] ADVANTAGES: flexibility, confidentiality, quick response, commanding image DISADVANTAGES: randomness, unevenly treated issues, heavy burden on prez’s time 1. does not gather knowledgable people together in stable relationships 2. requires many individual contacts between prez and advisors 3. prez must make many more decisions, major/minor issues are undifferentiated\ 4. may accidentally exclude relevant parties Centralized Management -heavy reliance on staff of EOP with hope of avoiding advocacy from departments -objectivity of EOP may be an illusion, since they may become advocates -decreases morale among departments -should provide prez with a loyal and competent resource that will respond quickly Multiple Advocacy -prez listens to diff’t views and opinions simultaneously. Supposed to allow him to consider all options evenly -promote genuine competition of ideas and quality control -difficult to successfully operate -“the most formidable debater is not necessarily the best informed, and the most reticent may also be the wisest” – Theodore Sorensen -“Multiple advocacy maximizes the use and participation by departments and agencies and minimizes the role played by the White House staff. Centralized management reduces dependence on departments and agencies and emphasizes the role of White House and EOP staff in developing policy alternatives.” (252) -“President should not opt exclusively for only one of these models; rather, he should be versatile and adaptive in making intelligent use of all theree from time to time.” - [note table: p250] The Three Presidential Decision Making Styles: Adhocracy Not a formalized system Relies heavily on delegation and prioritization by the President President assigns responsibilities to advisers or “Experts” Two types: o Transition Adhocracy: Typifies decision making during early monthes of presidency Characterized by newness Relies on individuals over institutions o Traditional Adhocracy: Can occur at any time in an administration Can involve competing assignments (Roosevelt) Few regularized channels Assignment can be given to interagency groups responsible only for specific tasks Open jurisdictional boundaries More likely to settle issues bilaterally o Can also turn into “multiple bilateralism” President personally assigns the problems to someone or the problems are raised by his advisers Then creates multiple advocacy situation by seeking advice from other interested parties Leaves President final decision maker o Image of President as “Commander in Chief” Strengths: o Flexibility o Increased confidentiality o Ability to respond quickly o Image of President in command Weaknesses: o Heavy demand on president’s time o Burden on president to integrate policies o Fails to differentiate between major and minor issues o Potentially excludes major interests o Lacks provisions for comprehensive policy examination o Scope for 1 on 1 pleading with the president Centralized Management Heavy reliance on the White House Staff and Executive Office to filter ideas, proposals and recommendations before they go to the President Indicates desire for advice and analysis from those who share the president’s political views and know him best Ordered and Rational Driven by white house staff Shields president from raw decisions over policy—distills the information he receives Concentrates power in 2 or 3 individuals who can become advocates Departments and agencies play secondary role Strengths o May have issues brought to his attention that would not otherwise see o Loyal and competent resource dedicated to him alone o Increases likelihood of controlling timing and announcement of new policies and initiatives Weaknesses o Alienates departments and agencies, reducing their morale o Objectivity of staff can be an illusion o Small resources o Does not reflect diversity of concerns or opinions o Enormous burden on Chief of Staff o Decisions will be made before some things get to the President o Widens gulf between implementation and formulation o Widens gulf between departments/agencies and white house staff/President Multiple Advocacy “Open system based on inclusion.” Competing viewpoints presented to the president to expose him to a wide variety of opinions by advocates and frequently hear them argue in front of him Relies on honest broker to make sure all sides are represented and process runs smoothly President hears all sides, asks questions and weighs options before making decisions Executive director and staff ensure “due process” and “quality control” Consistency amongst advisers Strengths o All points of view represented and considered o Improves quality of alternatives and of supporting arguements o Bridges gap between formulation and implementation Decision less likely to be undermined if had say in making the decision. Quality of decisions improves with more info Increases support for president in executive branch o Mirrors forces in Washington o Strengthens presidential influence Give power to cabinet officials who can then influence Sensitizes officials to broad range of interests Weaknesses o Difficult to operate o Disparities in resources and talent may distort o No guarantee all viable options will be represented o o o o o o Agencies can withhold info Group ideology may emerge Full participation takes lots of time Leaks likely Forces decisions to the top Weakens ability of senior executives to deliver on commitments to constitutents Models can be used together Three fundamental differentiating characteristics Continuity Individual responsible for organizing information president receives Participation pattern of white house staff, agencies and departments Wide variations in execution of all styles, and wide room for flexibility October 20: The President and National Security Policy Summary of Kessel’s Presidents, the Presidency, and the Political Environment Chapter 4: Foreign Policy - Presidents must be concerned with foreign policy because the United States is so involved in the outside world - Even presidents who come into office wanting to focus on domestic affairs, like Ford and Clinton, must immediately become involved with foreign affairs - Presidents also become more attentive to foreign policy as their term progresses Guardians of American Interests - The National Security Council NSC is composed of senior officials and chaired by president NSC staff is composed of foreign policy experts under direction of the national security assistant NSC was created in 1947 by National Security Act, along with Department of Defense and the CIA NSC has 4 statutory members—the president, VP, secretary of state, and secretary of defense—and 2 statutory advisers—the chairman of the joint chiefs and the director of the CIA Presidents have used the council in many different ways. Some, like Eisenhower and Nixon, have made it dominant in foreign policy decisions. Others, like Kennedy and Johnson, have used it only informally. Some national security advisers have been highly visible, like Kissinger, and others have been low-key, like Scowcroft under Bush. In short, the office is malleable: the president can use it as it suits him - The Department of State Much larger than the NSC staff State implements policy, while NSC is somewhat abstract State is made up of FSOs (foreign service officers), who are usually more attuned to foreign interests and long-term interests than the NSC staff because the FSOs are far removed from the president and the political scene FSOs usually carry out policy much as military people would carry out an order, so they can be trusted by president There is a lot of mobility between the State Dept. and the NSC: people often move between agencies The Secretary of State often acts independently of the rest of the department and tends to deal only with the president - The Department of Defense Created in 1947 to help unify armed services Consists of Depts. of the Army, Navy, and Air Force, is all overseen by secretary of defense, and is alongside the Joint Chiefs of Staff Has more independence than State Dept., because it is often tough to argue with the secretary of defense or his staff because the issues are so complex and important to the country Chair of Joint Chiefs of Staff became more powerful after passage of GoldwaterNichols Act in 1986: made the chairman the chief military adviser to the defense secretary and the president - Central Intelligence CIA is still evolving; Director has not yet gained prominent status like that of Chairman of Joint Chiefs CIA gathers most of its information through technology (aircraft, satellites) Must cooperate with Defense Dept. to get funding The analysis of intelligence by the CIA ranges from very good (U-2 photographs in JFK’s term) to very bad (didn’t think that Gorbachev would cause major changes in Russia) - Coordination among these groups can be produced in three ways: National Security Council Meetings For example, Eisenhower formed policy by letting everyone debate during NSC meetings Coordination through Committees Many administrations have created organizations to substitute for the NSC in coordination This helps delegate responsibility away from the president Avoiding the NSC Many presidents use informal approaches/adhocracy to keep policy business away from the NSC Johnson used Tuesday lunches; Carter used Friday breakfasts This approach can be used to exclude a certain member of the NSC, like VP Humphrey under Johnson Foreign Policy Activities - Custodian Many people think that the national security assistant should avoid becoming an advocate and should instead be “a neutral guardian of the decision-making process” Eisenhower’s national security adviser, Robert Cutler, followed this model - Policy Advocacy National security assistant can also have role as an advocate, because the advice of the departments might be unwise, or because he may be in the best position to suggest alternatives due to his coordinating responsibilities It can help for national security assistant to give the president an independent perspective, as Brzezinski did under Carter - Planning Under Eisenhower, all policy had to be planned extensively before it could even be considered Nixon and Kissinger began planning even before Nixon was inaugurated - Negotiation National security assistants are often sent on negotiating missions Kissinger was the best example of this: went to Vietnam and China Problems can arise if the national security assistant undercuts the efforts of foreign service officers - Symbol Manipulation National security assistants devote varied amounts of time to publicity Kissinger and Brzezinski were constantly involved with the press, while others like Scowcroft and Powell were not If national security adviser focuses on publicity, he or she can control public opinion to some extent - Defending the President “The fates of the national security assistant and the president are bound together.” National security assistant can maximize his abilities by helping the president - Foreign Economic Policy Used to be decided to a large extent by the State Dept. or the NSC, but is now mostly handled by economic groups like the Treasury Dept., the US trade representative, and others. - Information Gathering in Foreign Policy Presidential decision making is often done with much uncertainty because sufficient information is lacking Due to modern technology, information coming to the president may come too fast or be too fragmented to allow the president to make a good decision. Sometimes, “new” information turns out to be old info that has been overlooked. Advisers to president must therefore have a comprehensive understanding of foreign policy, know how their president likes to work, and try to give meaning to fragmented information - Decision Making in Foreign Policy President can never take decisions lightly because so many lives can be at stake in making foreign policy. Presidents must often make decisions in crises, ranging from wars to economic collapses. Policy is constantly changing, so decisions are constantly being made. Decisions can be shaped on many different levels depending on their importance, but the ultimate decisions are made by the president. - Exerting Influence in Foreign Policy It is difficult to exercise influence overseas President can actually meet with foreign leaders on important issues. Otherwise, emissaries can be sent to hash out details, etc. In order to have influence on a foreign country, the US must convince them that it is in their interest to do what we want them to do, which is normally quite difficult John P. Burke, “The Neutral/Honest Broker Role in Foreign-Policy Decision Making: A Reassessment,” Presidential Studies Quarterly (June 2005), pp. 229-258. The case for the Broker Role George – 6 tasks required of managerial custodian: o Balancing actor resources within policymaking system o Strengthening weaker advocates o Bring in new advisers to argue unpopular options o Setting up new channels of information o Arranging independent evaluation of decisional premises and options o Monitoring the workings of the policymaking process What is Neutral/Honest Broker? o At minimum encompasses narrow notion of policy administrator eg o NSA – briefing president, representing departmental proposals and viewpoints, scheduling matters for presidential decisions, monitoring NSC directives o Neutral =/= honest broker o Neutrality – ensuring quality and coherence of decision making process – quality control o Honesty – ensuring all relevant views represented – due process o 1960s – policy advocacy came to fore from NSC adviser Why the Broker Role Matter o Positive contributions of the role to presidential decision making o How decision making process would suffer without it o Contrast Eisenhower's decision not to intervene in Indochina in 1954 NSC assistant Cutler moved in positive direction, not a policy advocate, effective broker LBJ's decision to escalate forces in Vietnam in 1965 Absent an affective broker, poor resultant decision o Janis – criteria for ranking decision making Correlations between quality of decision process and success of decision – suggests success where brokerage is present Brokerage Problems: Iran-Contra o Machinations of NSC staff and NSC advisers out of control o Tower – problem where NSC had operational control o Tower - NSA responsible for duties to all of NSC not just President Brokerage Problems: George W. Bush National Security process o Brokerage needed – GWB had little foreign policy experience and cabinet and advisers all old hands and powerful – no dominant leader or clear presidential direction o Rice Drives towards clarity, Bush decides on the consensus But she acted as advocate – counseled and advised GWB Interpersonal tensions between principals – her job to resolve these o Decision to go to war "slipped into" – not clear was well structured debate and whether, not how, to go to war Is the Broker Role Outdated? o Presidents find needs best served from within WH o Organization and structure of decision making has varied by President and appointments – individuals matter o Different roles for different NSC advisers o "where you stand depends on where you sit" o NSC adviser best to institute brokerage Expanding the Broker Role George says should not be categories about to mention b/c of role conflict and overload Policy advocacy o Brokerage and advocacy difficult and combustible mix – personal advocacy may compromise adviser's neutrality among principals which is central to effective brokerage o The two can coexist, although honest brokerage is the more fundamental o Appropriate if Effective brokerage generates trust and confidence in process Competing views fairly and fully represented Participants have right of appeal NSC adviser not perceived as pursuing wholesale policy agenda Advocacy is discreet Advocacy seen as representing President's unique, broader strategic interests Visibility o Differing opinions – passion for anonymity v spokesperson o Appropriate if Secs of state and defense are administrations principal spokesmen Other principals comfortable with NSC adviser's role Reality of media requires multiple spokespersons NSC adviser is effective public presence Public activities carefully orchestrated within broader communications strategy Political Watchdog o George – political calculations belong to others than the NSC adviser o Appropriate if NSC adviser uniquely positioned to offer certain forms of political counsel Issues dealing with political impact not presented by counsel of others More public activities directed at explaining/defending administration's positions Implementation and Operations o Tower – implementation strength and responsibility of agencies – cant be honest when implementer o May require some degree of involvement in oversight though o Could compromise claims to executive privilege and shield from congressional scrutiny o Limited activities feasible if Directed at monitoring and oversight Result from special circumstance such as foreign govt expectations rather than routine practice Avoid freelancing and principals are informed about and agree with actions Actions carefully weighed against brokerage role Broader Contextual Fit Broker role and presidential needs and expectations o NSC staff must mould selves to personality and desires of president – need a good fit o Open leaders (thrive on advice and information) v closed leaders (more comfortable in restricted setting) o Broker role largely concerned with quality not quantity of information Broker Role and Types of Advisory Structures o Organizational structure largely up to president – formal hierarchical v informal collegial o Individuals matter greatly, as do institutions and structures Leverage, effectiveness and Presidential Responsibility o Super-custodian = largely powerless, ie pure broker will lack bureaucratic leverage o Needs presidents confidence o Leverage depends on will of President Conclusions Significant expansion of broker's role since Ike Broker role might be expanded to a degree, but should remain bedrock of responsibilities Effective brokerage requires interpersonal trust and confidence in the integrity of decision making process that allow introduction of some policy advocacy, public visibility and other activities. I.M. Destler: A Government Divided: The Security Complex and the Economic Complex. Destler describes the separation between the foreign economic policy complex and the national security complex that has evolved in the White House. Bush’s two groups were so detached from each other that people often said that there were “two George Bush’s.” Destler also warns that this separation is dangerous because it has led to major decisions in the past that were “taken in one sphere without sensitivity to their implications to the other.” Some exaples he gives include Carter’s initiation of a grain embargo on the Soviet Union after they invaded Afghanistan and Bush’s penchant for ignoring economic advice when deciding on sanctions to be placed on Iraq. Destler then goes on to describe both the Security Complex and the Economic Complex. America’s Security Complex dates back to the National Security Act of 1947 which created the NSC, the CIA, and coordinated the military under the secretary of defense and the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Together with the State Dept. these became the preeminent institutions of postwar foreign policy making. The NSC since then has risen commensurately in influence since then. The Economic Complex dates to The Employment Act of 1946 which made prosperity an explicit government goal by creating several institutions to help achieve it (like the CEA and the Joint Economic Committee or JEC). The CEA focused on fiscal policy but played no operational role. Instead, its chair worked closely with the director of the Bureau of the Budget and the Secretary of the Treasury thus giving rise to the “Troika” which later expanded to the “Quadriad” when they were joined by the chair of the Federal Reserve Board. During the first two decades of the postwar era international influences on the economy were not significant factors and thus foreign economic policy was placed in the domain of the security complex. This changed during the 70’s when trade became much more important; foreign economic policy was now, out of necessity, placed under the realm of the economic complex. Destler contends that it is striking to see the degree to which both complexes operate independently and autonomously. Another striking feature is the fact that the security complex is typically much more centralized. The economic complex is quite fragmented, driven by institutional and policy subgroups covering trade, finance, macroeconomics etc. In both complexes shortterm coping has taken precedence over long-term strategy—a tendency that has been particularly true for the economic complex. The security complex receives more press coverage and coverage in campaigns, debates etc. and also usually prevails when the two complexes collide on issues. Destler describes this interplay between the two complexes as “competitive interdependence.” Clinton recognized the dangers of the separation of the spheres and chose to create the Economic Council, parallel to the NSC, to deal with both domestic and foreign issues. There is still a necessity to bridge the gap between economics and security in this system and Destler contends that this can be done by: the President himself becoming more engaged in the economic complex than his predecessors instead of favoring the security sphere, by the Chief of Staff coordinating the coordinators of each sphere to meet and discuss issues, or by creating an overlap between the two spheres by placing economists in the NSC and some national security experts in the Economic Council. October 25: The President and Economic and Domestic Policy Kessel Chapter 5: Economic Policy Employment Act of 1946: this basically made it the President’s responsibility to “use all practicable means to promote maximum employment, production and purchasing power”. The Major Players: Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) Treasury Federal Reserve – independent from presidential control But remember that economic issues involve many departments/agencies, for example: Commerce Department Labor Department Agriculture Department Treasury Department: Large department with 160,000 employees and $300 billion budget (which is the second largest cabinet budget) Responsibilities center around tax and financial policies, ie: tax collection, disbursement of funds for federal government, debt management, international trade Good secretaries of treasury have corporate or financial backgrounds b/c they need to be in touch with the financial markets OMB: Created with the Budget and Accounting Act of 1921 – originally named the Bureau of the Budget and was a part of the Treasury Dept. 1939 – Bureau of the Budget moved into the Executive Office of the President Bureau’s power was based on 3 functions: Development of president’s annual budget Responsible for legislative clearance If White House staff is small, the OMB has no institutional rivals dealing with economic and domestic policy 1970 – Ash Commission recommended that the Bureau do more managing and the Bureau of the Budget became the OMB OMB has gone back and forth struggling to get a balance between budgeting and managing OMB has become more of an advocate, tending to support the president more than providing a neutral competence – part of this is due to the fact that the director is a political appointee OMB staff has about 500-600 staffers Council of Economic Advisers: Created as a part of the Employment Act of 1946 CEA has about 40 employees – about 12 economists, 3 council members, and younger economists (smallest of the economic units) President appoints the chairs of the CEA – chairs come from major universities, current CEA members, or economists from business world Few defined responsibilities: writes annual Economic Report of the President, transmits economic data to the president, analyses economic effects of different policies CEA’s power/influence depends on whether the president is interested in economics and if he trusts the CEA Ex. Eisenhower met with his CEA director every week and he guided the President through the 1954 recession, Bush didn’t pay attention to his director and the economy in 1992 was a mess CEA members are academic economists – tend to favor policies that will reduce unemployment and stimulate growth Federal Reserve Board: 1913 – created by Congress to regulate supply of money and credit Chairman is the voice/face of the Fed – the dominant figure – must be able to assess economic circumstances and current political forces and make a coherent monetary policy About 200 economists in size Fed insulated from politics in 3 ways: Governors’ terms don’t coincide with president’s – chairman has 4 yr. Term, the seven governors of Federal Reserve have 14 yr. Terms Policies must be approved by majority of governors, some by Federal Open Market Committee too Fed is self-financing Coordination: Tensions occur btwn. Treasury and CEA – Treasury prefers low taxes/low interest rates, CEA prefers economic growth/low unemployment rates Fed and the Treasury work closely and usually have the same views Kennedy created a lasting system for coordination – the Troika (Sec. of treasury, OMB director, CEA chairman) and quadriad (troika plus Fed chairman) Many variations and additions to Kennedy’s system: Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon – troika and quadriad; Carter - Economic Policy Group (troika plus domestic staff head, undersecretary of state for economic affairs, and Henry Owen, an expert on international economic affairs); Reagan - Cabinet Council on Economic Affairs for 1st term and then a group of well known heavyweights (ex. Baker, Regan, Shultz, Volcker) for 2nd term; Ford – Economic Policy Board (EPB); Clinton – National Economic Council (NEC) Economic Activities: Fiscal Policy –spending and revenue or budgeting and taxation Budgeting Timeline: Summer – agencies prepare budget requests; September/October – OMB reviews agencies’ requests; November – OMB director reviews requests; December – President reviews director’s recommendation Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act of 1974 – created Congressional Budget Office, which means that now budgeters must consider congressional actors More people involved in budgeting + limited funds due to budget deficits = perpetual negotiations over budgets Taxation – episodic, not continuous like budgeting Policy makers need more revenue but are reluctant to raise taxes – try to increase taxes on less visible things like gasoline or cigarettes Problems with fiscal policy: Hard to adjust taxation and spending in a coordinated way Large lag time – takes long time to pass a tax bill or go through appropriations process Only 1/3 of the budget is not already appropriated Great resistance to raising taxes Monetary Policy – controlled by the Fed Fed controls money supply in 3 ways: Buys and sells government securities Sets the discount rate (the interest rate at which banks borrow money) Sets the reserve rate for banks Less of a lag than fiscal policy and it’s independent of politics (although many of its members are bankers Problems with monetary policy: Hard for it to work without congruent fiscal policy – can’t do the job by itself if there is too much pressure against it Hard for monetary policy to cure a recession Forecasting: Hard to accurately forecast because everything depends on hypothetical situations Administrations with clear economic ideologies: Eisenhower – orthodox capitalism, balanced budgets, low govt spending Kennedy – Keynesian (using fiscal and monetary policies) very textbook Reagan – cut taxes and domestic spending, greater independence for the market (Not having a clear policy can be more pragmatic but can make president the pawn of party demands and election cycles) Political Business Cycles: presidents deflate economy early (keeps inflation low but increases unemployment), and then inflate it right before an election (increases income and decreases unemployment) to win support of the people - the problem with this theory is that it assumes that the president has the tools to accurately induce this type of cycle Decision Making: President’s biggest problem is reconciling economic and political advisors Ex. Bush who had to deal with a long-term deficit and a short-term recession and a political promise no to raise taxes Hard because many economic prescriptions are politically unpopular If presidential aides are included in the decision-making process they will usually support the result (multiple advocacy argument) President can make economic decisions but 93% of economic decisions are made by other parties, 82% of which are made by the private sector – therefore President might have to persuade other economic actors to cooperate, must appeal to their self-interests Kessel: Presidents, the Presidency, and the Political Environment; Chapter 6 Katherine Rose (kdrose@fas) Domestic Policy Coping with Complexity Domestic policy is a very complex business, it must incorporate Agricultrue, Interior, Energy, Commerce and Labor, Dept. of Healt and Human Services, Education, Justice, Veterans Affairs, Housing and Urban Development, and Transportation Dept. and all their resource needs. Kessel contrasts domestic policy with foreign and economic policy stating that there is a “core knowledge” that is shared by all economic policy experts, but the expertise needed for domestic policy is incredibly diverse, necessitating different kinds of expertise. This problem of complexity is made worse by the fact that the Pres. doesn’t have as much time for the cabinet members of “outer cabinet” (everyone except sec. of state, defence, treasury, attorney general, and senior white house staff). Also, outer depts can all of a sudden take center stage (e.g. Exxon Valdez) making the pres’ staff learn quickly about it. Kessel presents 3 (of course) questions regarding dom. policy: Should decisions be made in the White house or should they be left to the departments? What kind of expertise is required of those who formulate domestic policy? Can the presidential staff maintain any control over such a complex area as domestic policy? The Locus of Decision Making Basically the debate is whether decisions should be made in dept or in the white house. For departments: the white house staff does not have enough information to make informed decisions, have to many problems to deal with and therefore act too quickly. For white house: issues often involved more than one dept. and they’re not very good at talking to each other, white house can coordinate them; president needs to review decisions himself—must be looked at from presidents view, can only be done in white house; white house gives “political twist.” Summary: “the greater expertise and larger staff in the departments is contrasted with the greater sensitivity to presidential wishes and political currents in the white house. Generalists or Specialists Domestic policy advisors are often lawyers because if the white house is to weigh what the departments says with what the president needs, their analytical skills are beneficial. However, not all are, example being Roger Porter. The Danger of Disorder Doemstic policy can degenerate into chaos easily in administrations that don’t spend a lot of time on it or when responsibility is spread very thin. The Evolution of Domestic Staffing This section just discusses how a distinct domestic advisor started in 1943 under Roosevelt who only had one advisor. This pattern of one or two domestic policy staff continued until LBJ who increased staff and had a policy making team in the white house. This brought domestic decision making into the White house. Under Nixon the Domestic Council was created which was supposed to be like the NSC for dometic affairs. Under Reagan, chaos erupted in domestic policy—he had too many players involved. When George Bush took office he used the idea of the “honest broker” and chose our very own Roger Porter as his economic and domestic policy advisor. He was used to make sure everyone who should be involved was at the table, to make tentative decisions for the pres and to report to the pres the views of involved parties. Coordination Most issues that need the president’s involvement pertain to multiple departments. The white house should be a neutral turf where constiuency whishes have no effect. Fights between agencies often break out while trying to protect their own agenda. If the disputes can’t be worked out, then the pres is involved. Coordination through Decision Processes Because presidential decisions are binding across all government, it is very important that right decision is made. Thus all the players involved must be able to express their view. This is sometimes achieved through task forces composed of members from the different agencies and a domestic council staff member in charge. (these tasks forces can also operate within the council itself). If pres needs to make decision they try to narrow the decision and provide him with a lot of info (e.g. from OMB, economic advisors, legislative liason office etc.) This makes the DC staff into gatekeepers. Domestic Policy Activites Monitoring the Departments Because the white house controls domestic policy, they must know what is going on. This contact between WH and the depts is handled by assistant secretaries. They reserve involving the secretary for big issues. It is impossible for the DC staff to monitor everything, they focus mostly on issues the pres is interested in. What happens to the rest of the stuff departments are doing? The OMB monitors that. DC says, “We watch out for the things the president has told us to watch out for, and they [OMB] watch out for the whole government. OMB is much large therefore easier to effectively moderate, but in comparison with staff of depts is very small, so monitoring is never complete. Fire Fighting This section was dumb. It talks about how white house staff members have to control many issues before they get to large to control, and this must be done without involving the cabinet. Apparently they do it a lot. Information Gathering in Domestic Policy Important: “The domestic staffers form the junction between the presidnet and all the domestic agencies.” They need to take all the info they get, decide what is important, and present it to the president in a clear consise form. A head of the domestic council whom the president trusts is essential to the system working properly. If the pres trusts them, he/she will study the info, if not, may overlook it. Decision Making in Domestic Policy Policy making is like a triangle. The large part, at the bottom is a large number of people involved in the formulation. It narrows until just prior to the decision the pres is meeting with his cabinet officers. This way of making policy provides stability of the decision. As it moves up, everyone is aware of pros and cons, so a decision is less likely to be challenged. Some policy is made without president, often if the players all agree, not necessary to involve pres. Exercising Influence in Domestic Policy Once the pres makes a decision, it must be implemented. Inside white house, his decision is a command, but outside, must pursuade agencies to support decision. “Several techniques are used to ensure agency support of an administration policy. The most important is to include the agency in the determination of the polic” Another strategy is bargaining…”if the policy has been modified so as to make it easier for the deparment to deal with its constituency, the dept is going to…[administer] the policy.” Sometimes have to start calling people and banging on their desks to make them act. Dealing with congress is different. Top domestic assistants must be involved because they can discuss the detail of the legislation in relation to larger program. Stuart E. Eizenstat, "Economists and White House Decisions," Journal of Economic Perspectives VI, (Summer 1992), pp. 65-71. Context: Stuart Eizenstat served in the Carter administration as the Assistant to the President for Domestic Affairs and Policy. While he himself is a lawyer, here he reflects back upon the role that economists played in the Carter White House. He asserts that government has not yet provided economists with a suitable niche, and that many of the Carter administration’s greatest mistakes could have been avoided had the role of administration economists been more clearly defined. The Question: “What is the appropriate role for economists in the White House? What can they realistically be expected to do?” The Answer: The Council of Economic Advisors is perhaps the most valuable arrow in the President’s economic quiver, for the following reasons: 1.) It serves as a “counterweight for the competing, interest driven recommendations of the departments and agencies of the Executive Branch. 2.) It drives constantly for economic efficiency in government operations… something that individual departments aren’t inclined to do. 3.) It gives the President a realistic sense of where the economy is headed in the long-run, and how his policies will effect its course. While the CEA is good, it is not the end-all solution to Presidential economic problems for the following reasons. 1.) Often, administrations set out to fulfill campaign promises before they attain a grasp of what it takes to manage the national economy. 2.) Economists have a set of “imperfect tools” that they must utilize to the best of their abilities, but these tools do not give them economic clairvoyance. 3.) The President’s economic decisions will invariably reflect his own personal political inclinations (duh) The following lessons can be drawn from Carter’s economic mistakes: 1.) Administration economists must be “team players” 2.) The White House needs a economic policy coordinator “to integrate economic policy and politics for the President,” (p 69). 3.) The President needs to REALLY REALLY like and trust his Secretary of the Treasury, because (s)he is the President’s spokesperson for all things economic. 4.) Economists should concentrate less on tinkering with the economy, and more on identifying broad trends. 5.) Economists should be involved in every level and type of administration policy making. 6.) Economists cannot effectively “stand in” for a President who is not interested in economic affairs. Porter: “Economic Advice to the President from Eisenhower to Reagan” Article Structure: First, the article reviews the creation of three entities which give the President economic advice. Second, the article discusses three broad issues that confront the President when he makes economic policy, and recommends ways in which these problems can be addressed. Part I: History and Structure of Economic Advisory Entities: The Council of Economic Advisors: This three-member panel was created by The Employment Act of 1946. Its members are typically academic economists who serve short (approx. 2 year) terms. It is served by a “highly qualified”12-20 person staff. The CEA is wonderful because its only constituency is the President, and it can thus give him sound economic advice without catering to anyone else’s agenda. Interdepartmental Committees: Porter traces the history if interdepartmental economic committees from the Eisenhower White House to Reagan on pages 6067 of Packet #3. These committees have ranged from structured, official bodies (under Eisenhower) to completely ad-hoc informal advisory groups (Kennedy). These committees tend to be problematic because they don’t survive from administration to administration, and because they often lack sufficient contact with the President himself. Porter points out that these problems reflect the need for an economic committee that would be equal in stature to the National Security Council. (Clinton created such a council, presumably after this article was written…). A White House Assistant for Economic Policy: The first person to fill such a role was Arthur Burns in 1970 under Nixon. Republican Presidents have tended to opt for Assistants for Economic Policy, while Democrats have shied away from creating such a position. (See below for issues related to the merits of this position). Part II: Issues in Economic Decision Making Developing Coherent Economic Policies: Porter asserts that the CEA is awesome, but that it is too small to facilitate interdepartmental coordination and integration of economic policy. He proposes four potential ways that this integration could be brought about. 1.) Creating a Super-Department consisting of the current Departments of Labor, Commerce, Agriculture, and Transportation. 2.) The (perhaps unofficial) appointment of a “Czar of Economic Affairs” to oversee all economic policy in the executive branch. Nixon’s Secretary of the Treasury, John Connally, essentially played such a role. 3.) Creating a National Economic Council staff that would follow Porter’s “centralized management” model. This would consist of 40-50 individuals who would work in the White House specifically on economic policy- similar to the staff that served the Nixon/Kissinger National Security Council. 4.) Establishing a Cabinet-level economic policy group that would follow Porter’s “multiple advocacy” decision-making model. Coordinating Foreign and Domestic Economic Policy: Foreign economic policy is becoming increasingly important, and there is mounting support for the creation of a separate advisory body for the President that would deal exclusively with foreign economic affairs. It might, however, be difficult to differentiate between “domestic” and “foreign” economic policy. A White House Economic Policy Assistant: This role has existed mainly in Republican administrations, and there is still disagreement about its merit. Some critics point to the potential for tension between the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors and an Economic Policy Assistant. Ultimately, the value of such a position depends upon the structure of each particular administration. Presidential Decision Making Ch 3: EPB Operation, Organization, Functions The Economic Policy Board: Operation, Organization, and Functions --The EPB’s primary function was organizing the flow of information and advice to the President for his decisions on economic policy issues. The Executive Committee also produced and cleared presidential speeches and messages exchanged information among the leading economic officials coordinated presentations to congressional committees resolved disputes served as place where major White House policy-making entities met to coordinate their activities. Meetings and Operations Daily (3-4 times a week) executive meeting held at 8:30 A.M. Far more active than the other four presidential councils (OMB, NSC, Domestic Council, Energy Resources Council) Executive Committee meetings were restricted to members, allowed one staff person to assist you in meeting but no one else (to reduce leaks to press) 1. When issues affecting your department were in question, you could attend Exec. Comm. Meetings Agendas released one week prior to the meeting, and the process was very smooth Minutes were later approved by Executive Director (ED) for public dissemination Purposes of Minutes: 1. Insure appropriate follow-up on Committee Decisions 2. Acted as definitive record for disputes 3. Primary information source for exec branch economic comm. 4. Clarified outcome of certain decisions Agenda items originated from a number of sources: 1. Any member department or agency could request the EC to consider an issue 2. The EC had a dozen task forces, on various issues, submit issues 3. Requests from the ED to a dept. to report on a subject 4. Issues from Polling results from surveys taken every 3/6 months Full Board Meetings Initially they were held monthly, but later moved to 3-4 times a year Served two functions: to inform and to explain Included a general discussion of likely major proposals, but was not a forum for making decisions Economic Policy Reviews and Special Sessions EC also organized two types of meeting to supplement the daily sessions: quarterly economic policy reviews and EC special sessions Quarterly reviews: assessed overall economic outlook, last 2-3 days 1. Brought in 10-12 non-governmental economists for their outlook on the economy and possible mechanisms to enhance economic performance 2. Troika II group presented a forecast of the economy, discussing macroeconomic policy as well as considering problematic sectors 3. Scrutinized particular problems, planning began 8-10 wks ahead of time 4. Attended by Chairman of Fed Special Sessions: focused on a single issue; allowed further discussion Presidential Meetings and Paper During 1974-1975, EPB met with the President more than once a week Briefing sent to President which contained: 1. Issues the EC had considered in the past week and action taken 2. Activity summary of task forces that had reported 3. Major upcoming agenda items 4. – Succinctly summarized the most recent developments in prices, employment, certain key economic sectors EPB Organization Consisted of: 1. Quasi-informal subcabinet groups convened by EC a. Members selected by individual expertise to represent a dept. b. These people were close to dept. head, could mobilize people 2. EC established six permanent sub-cabinet level committees, each responsible for a policy area or range of issues a. Troika II b. EPB/NSC Commodities Policy Coordinating Committee c. EPB Subcommittee on Economic Statistics d. EPB Task Force on Small Business e. Food Deputies Group 3. EC formally created a large number of interagency committees and task forces to develop policy alternatives on specific issues. (Nearly 20 created, such as “task force for improving government regulation” or “task force for “Questionable Corporate payments abroad” All committees or task forces represented a primary interest in the subject matter, not by the White House Representatives of dept. were almost always assistant sec. or higher The permanent EPB committees reported biweekly or monthly Work plan was created by the EC for each committee or task force each quarter Helped generate an agreed upon data base and analysis of policy issues, shaping alternatives The Executive Director In his dual capacity, William Siedman (1974-1975) performed ten basic roles: 1. Clerk – Responsible for day-to-day operation of EPB 2. Policy Manager – Perhaps the most important function – insured that all interested parties in the executive branch were included in discussing issues. Decided which issues went to President. 3. Catalyst – Initiated study on numerous topics. Since his interest in an issue was interpreted as a president’s interest, he was effective in getting a response 4. Implementor – Responsible for seeing presidential decisions implemented. 5. Mediator – Many disputes, although minor, were resolved through him 6. Arbitrator – Reluctant role, when mediation did not work. Decision could be appealed by the President, but rarely done 7. Presidential Sentinel – Kept President informed on economic developments with periodic memorandums assessing key economic indicators. Worked with Chairman of CEA to keep president informed. 8. Presidential Guardian – Protected the integrity of the work that went out under the President’s name. Checked all reports out from White House. 9. Presidential Representative – Addressed issues that the President had not gotten to 10. White House Link to the Outside World – Worked to enhance link with other government administrations and corporations Did NOT act as an advocate or spokesman for any issue Staff Remained small (10 people) despite numerous efforts to increase the size Why? For three reasons: 1. Concerned about influence on staff size and honest broker role 2. Fear of large staff being viewed as competitor to other groups 3. It would be easier to increase staff than decrease it, he thought Supplemented by Council on International Economic Policy (CIEP), but not joined together Staff worked very fluid and well together Functions of the EPB The EPB’s primary function was organizing the flow of information and advice to the President for his decisions on economic policy issues. The Executive Committee also produced and cleared presidential speeches and messages exchanged information among the leading economic officials coordinated presentations to congressional committees resolved disputes served as place where major White House policy-making entities met to coordinate their activities. Scope of Activities Responsible for overseeing the formulation, coordination, and implementation of all U.S. economic policy, foreign and domestic, was a quite broad mandate EPB was unique among economic policy entities in the level of its activity and the breadth of its mandate: 1. Devoted continuous attention to a wide range of policy areas 2. Addressed special problems or crisis issues 3. Undertook long-term studies and projects Regular Policy Areas Not only considered domestic and foreign economic policy issues, but others o Procedural issues, including organizational questions o Agricultural policy issues o Tax Policy Issues o Employment and Unemployment issues o Governmental Regulation issues o International Investment Issues Special Problems and Crisis The EPB did not spend large amounts of crisis management, but was involved in many special problems that had an economic impact Long-term Projects and Studies Organized several long-term projects, such as railroad reorganization, multilateral trade negotiations Met 520 times regarding 1,539 issues in 2 and one quarter years of existence. Met with the President nearly 100 times, had much access to him. Exercised responsibility for both domestic and international economic policy. October 27: Styles and Advisors Neustadt: Presidential Power, ch. 7 -Presidency’s clerkship can’t be performed without the staff support the President now gets -President needs help performing chores, seeing personal stake in his acts of choice -biggest need is information—details and a frame of reference -priorities aren’t set by relative importance, but relative necessity (i.e. deadlines: dates, events) -self-imposed deadlines are helpful to make sure important things get done -FDR’s competition (Porter’s competitive adhocracy)—more than one person gathering the same info, competitive personalities in competing jurisdictions -Eisenhower’s “staff system” (like Porter’s centralized management)—danger: staff becomes only source of info and issuesdelegations are irreversible -FDR as politician seeking personal power vs. Eisenhower as hero seeking national unity -Eisenhower sees himself as good man above politics—doesn’t focus much on political issues, but big on “peace with honor both at home and abroad”—everything else he leaves to advisors -Truman: personalities over jurisdictions, improvised solutions rather than fixed procedures, liked to make snap decisions -Truman—protective of what he sees as his duties -Eisenhower—see his place as above the struggle -FDR—best at protecting personal power -in short: “his power is the product of his vantage points in government, together with his reputation in the Washington community and his prestige outside.” Porter: Gerald R. Ford: A Healing Presidency -focus on two aspects of Ford’s leadership that come with every Presidency: transition to Oval Office, and organization of administration’s policy development -came into office w/o campaign promises, debt -task for transition: provide stability, hasten recovery (from Watergate, economic crisis), differentiate himself from Nixon -Ford’s 4 member transition team: need to elevate role of dept and agency officials, reduce seemingly dominant role of White House staff -changes personnel slowly to maintain sense of continuity -symbolic changes to establish difference—change portraits, etc -theme of administration: “accessibility and openness” -no chief of staff at first—interim staff organizer instead -gives Cabinet members more power -explanation of three kinds of presidential decision-making models: adhocracy—policy shaped on case-by-case basis centralized management—responsibility concentrated in a few hands, usually in EXOP multiple advocacy—consciously includes dept and agency officials in deliberations -Ford adopted different decision making techniques for national security, domestic policy, and economic policy: -National Security policy: Ford works very closely with Kissinger -Domestic policy: delegates responsibility to VP. Ad hoc approach. -Economic policy: creation of Economic Policy Board as the only formal vehicle for economic policy advice. In general, used multiple advocacy to get most out of economic advisors Porter: I. II. Presidential Decision Making ch. 8: Organizing the White House for presidential decision making Organizing the White House for Presidential Decision Making A. Growth, Complexity of Government, interrelatedness of many important issues, competing demands for scarce resources, and high expectations for presidential performance have contributed to renewed interest in organization, particularly in the White House. 1. This study concerned with organizational arrangements, procedures, and process. 2. There are two dangers with this emphasis. i. Concentrating on the process by which decisions are made and advice is organized may overemphasize the importance of procedures and underemphasize the importance of people. ii. Second is assuming that structure is decisive, that if one could just get things organized properly, then good decisions would automatically follow. Thus, good organization does not guarantee good decisions. Structural Principles for Multiple Advocacy A. Multiple Advocacy was the characterized by the Economic Policy Board’s structure and operation. Multiple Advocacy in theory is a potentially successful arrangement for systematically advising the President if certain conditions are met. B. What organizational principles can one distill from the EPB experience as guidelines in organizing multiple advocacy? 1. A White House policy council’s effectiveness depends on its having the President’s imprimatur. President must demonstrate by the way he makes decisions that he relies on the policy council. 2. The policy council must meet and operate at the cabinet level. Must operate at cabinet level so that the participants can speak authoritatively for their department or agency. III. 3. The honest broker should control the policy council’s operations. Whoever is in charge of the multiple advocacy entity must be seen as an honest broker. The honest broker should not have other responsibilities that would prevent him from devoting sufficient time to managing the policy development process. The honest broker must be free from any institutional tie that would compromise his position or represent a conflict of interest. He must be intelligent and capable enough to be accepted as a peer by the other members of the council. He must have all the skills of an effective advocate, yet consciously eschew that role and genuinely accept the role of honest broker. The honest broker’s effectiveness also requires that he enjoy the President’s confidence. He must be perceived as close to the President. Finally, the successful broker must be willing to function as an advocate if the discussion is not sufficiently balanced and the President needs to hear an underrepresented point of view. 4. The policy council staff should be small and consist of generalists. Larger groups developed specialized areas and thus this would lead specialists to advocate one particular point of view. A small staff has the advantage as not being viewed as a competitor by member departments. Finally, a large, independent staff attached to the manager makes it possible for him to end run the system himself. On balance, then, the advantages of a small staff of generalists outweigh the benefits of a relatively large staff independent of member departments or agencies. 5. The policy council should have responsibility for advising the President over a broad policy area, such as economic policy or national security policy. This helps ensure coordinated policies. This also helps insure that the policies will be comprehensive. Fragmenting responsibility among several departments or groups weakens accountability. 6. The policy council’s deliberations should include all departments and agencies with a legitimate interest in an issue. Legitimacy of a process depends on it reputation for fairness. 7. The size of the core group or executive committee of the council should be kept reasonably small. Small groups are generally more flexible and efficient that large ones. 8. The policy council should be established by executive order and should function as a nonstatutory body. White House Organization: The Quest for Integration. A. Several scholars have urged the establishment of cabinet level interdepartmental entities-some new in scope and composition, some modifications of existing arrangements. B. There is an interest in integrating international and domestic considerations by combining specialized councils and committees into a single entity. C. Three questions underlie any proposal to organize the White House for presidential decision-making. 1. How many channels for policy advice should report to the President? 2. What policy areas should they cover and what should be their composition? 3. What relationship should they have with one another? IV. Organizing for Presidential Decision Making: A Proposal A. One major consideration in organizing the White House is policy integration. B. Second Structural consideration is what policy areas should policy councils cover? 1. One should avoid divisions that are likely to produce consistent overlaps and jurisdictional battles. 2. The more closely a policy council’s work is tied to a regular workflow, the more easily its members will develop a sense of collective responsibility. C. Thus, Porter recommends a fourfold division-Budget, national security, economic, and social policy. Taking the Reins - Presidential Transitions Neustadt: Ch. 11--Hazards of Transition --The hazards of transition rise as “atomization” proceeds --atomization-- 1) Congress is more dispersed—i.e. there were two times the number of subcommittees in Johnson’s time as in Truman’s 2) increase in the number of president’s senior officials—i.e. a larger administration, with turnover every other year 3) proliferation of interest groups that have increasing permanence, as well as an increase in single-interest groups 4) increase in staffs everywhere --Transitions: Carter --put a lot of money in, but had problem with parallel staffs—i.e. totally separate campaigning and transition teams, which led to friction --should have kept it informal and anonymous before election, the begun by organizing initial staff with the assistance from white house veterans after the election --Transitions: Kennedy—Bay of Pigs, an example of ignorance --after every campaign, the election imparts the sense of hubris: they couldn’t do it, but we will! --emphasizes the importance of television skills for candidates: the president should utilize those skills to turn viewers into lobbyists possible term: contrived consensus: a consensus (among the populace) that arises without crisis (his example is the 1960s). Porter: paper on Neustadt: Of Hazards and Transitions (this is the one to read) --transitions are frequent and of greater import than ever due to media and public scrutiny --Neustadt believes the presidenct involves much experiential learning—the eleven weeks between election and inauguration is too short --presidential aspirant should: keep transition planning informal and anonymous before election, spend timewith stagg before inaugural and organize and insulate the staff soon thereafter --ambitious economic and domestic policy is characteristic of presidents soon after they take office --“keepers of the campaign promises”—yougn staffers who worked on the campaign have much influence at the beginning of the term, explaining the commitments made to groups during campaign. White house veterans also have a say. --3 hazards of transition: Neustadt: ignorance, haste, hubris; and Porter’s fourth: overreaching 1) ignorance: Bay of Pigs for JFK—a new president faces the momentum of a plan already in motion, and isn’t prepared to deal with it. --3 forms of ignorace: limited knowledge of DC; limited understanding of the nuances of foreign policy; limited understanding of the nature and nuances of the executive branch capabilities, sensitivities, inclinations, routines and relationships (particularly in foreign affairs) 2) hubris: failure to learn from those leaving; failure to learn from those who remain; superiority belief that previous adminsitrations ignored important problems and the new administration must raise ethical standards (i.e. they think they’re so much better than predecessors) 3) haste: jumping in unprepared, essentially 4) overreaching: overloading the agenda --the desire to launch a host of new initiatives seems overpowering (Carter was a victim of this); this results in lauching many proposals simultaneously and thereby overloading Congress, and in refusal to identify priorities --Neustadt believes in learning on the job, so why not proceed cautiously at the beginning? -----Pfiffner thinks the first few months is the most powerful time --Porter says: transitions ar a time of great opportunity. They may be crucial in building a president’s professional reputation and public prestige. --3 areas of transition deserve attention: symbolic actions, organizational arrangements, legislative initiatives --symbolic actions: Reagan inviting the Democrats to dinner, how and where he spends his time, and with whom—all make an impression, and early impressions of everything, including work habits and priorities, are particularly important for the public and Congress --organizational arrangements: the way a president organizes ought to reflect hhis personal style, habits and decision making preferences --legislative initiatives: transitions are a time of great legislative opportunities. Presidents rarely have as much leverage with Congress as they do at the outset of their term. Members of the president’s own party are anxious to help him succeed and want him to be viewed as successful. --members of Congress want to maintain good relations wiht the White House during the crucial early months, while appointments and such are going on. --declining presidential leverage results from reality kicking in and disappointments inevitably cropping up. Porter mentions again the cycle of decreasing influence from Paul Light. --transitions are a time for caution, yes. And they are also a time of great opportunity, not only for presidents to select officials who will work well together but to organize them and relations between officials in executive departments and on the white house staff. Transition offers the chance to advance a focused legislative program that can build momentum for a new president. Presidents want and need to strengthen their professional reputation and public prestige during this time, and to do so requires avoiding hazards but also seizing opportunities. Martha Joynt Kumar, George C. Edwards III, James P. Pfiffner, and Terry Sullivan, "Meeting the Freight Train Head On: Planning for the Transition to Power," in The White House World, edited by Martha Joynt Kumar and Terry Sullivan (Texas A&M University Press, 2003), pp. 5-23. This article outlines an approach that incoming administrations can take to ease their transition to power. The authors assert that the opening days and months of a Presidency are perhaps the most crucial, and that certain key steps must be taken early on in order to take full advantage of the opportunities presented to any administration at the beginning of its tenure. Their advice is as follows: During the campaign, quietly begin planning the process that will be used to fill the most important transition posts in the administration. How will the campaign effectively deal with the thousands of job applications that will begin to stream in after Election Day? Also during the campaign, avoid making promises that will constrain your administration during its early days. Clinton’s promise to cut the size of the White House staff by 25% is a prime example of such an unnecessary constraining promise. Once an election has been won, the President-elect needs to focus all of his/her attention on filling the top White House staff positions. Filling these positions will help with later appointments, and will allow the administration to quickly become unified and coherent. These six posts are: -Chief of Staff: Without one, there will be constant unproductive jockeying for power among new appointees. -Personnel Director: This person will spearhead the administration’s hiring effort. The job is particularly tough because the personnel director faces the biggest flood of work right at the beginning of his/her term. -Legislative Affairs Coordinator: Presidents-elect usually meet with congressional leaders soon after the election, and getting off to a good start with them can help to determine the administration’s early legislative success. -Counsel to the President: The President needs a good lawyer early on to plan the details of the screening process for important nominees, create record-keeping guidelines for the new administration, and advise the President-elect about the legality of any early executive orders that he might be planning to give. -Press Secretary: From day one, the President-elect needs someone to speak for him or her. -Office of Management and Administration: Handles the nitty-gritty details of filling lower-level positions, determining who gets what office, and making sure that everyone gets paid. The incoming administration needs to do as much as possible to learn from predecessors in order to avoid repeating their mistakes. Incoming administration members should talk to their counterparts in the outgoing team. Moreover, some staffers should be brought in who have past Washington and White House experience. Finally, career staffers should not be forced out of their posts, as they are a valuable source of institutional memory. Once key staffers are in place, the administration should go about creating an overarching strategic plan for advancing some of its policy proposals. These should be handpicked to be important enough to garner attention, but not controversial enough that they are likely to lose. The administration’s long-term success depends upon its perceived effectiveness at advancing its agenda during the early days and months. If these steps are taken, the authors assert that the new President will be well positioned to fully seize the opportunities presented by a new term. Paul Kengor, "Cheney and Vice Presidential Power," in Gary L. Gregg II and Mark J. Rozell, Considering the Bush Presidency (Oxford University Press, 2004), pp. 160-174. This article outlines the Vice President Cheney’s powerful position in the Bush administration, and contrasts it against the historically negligible role of Vice Presidents. Through the Vice Presidency of Harry Truman under FDR, the Vice President had little formal responsibility. John Adams complained: “My country has in its wisdom contrived for me the most insignificant office that ever the invention of man contrived.” Harry Truman’s experience of being kept in the dark about foreign and defense policy developments during WWII encouraged him to make the Vice Presidency a more active office. Truman had not known about the important secret talks between Churchill, Stalin, and FDR, which were to determine how to partition Europe, and under Truman’s watch would come to define the initial conditions of the Cold War. Truman had also been kept in the dark about the development of the atomic bomb. Under Truman’s watch, the Vice President gained several important official duties, most notably a seat on the National Security Council. Eisenhower continued the trend of expanding the importance of the Vice Presidency by sending Nixon on numerous foreign emissary missions, most notably a meeting with Khrushchev. Since then, individual Vice Presidencies have varied in importance, but the past fifty years have certainly seen an overall rise in the prominence and importance of the office. The Vice President is usually seen as a high ranking “generalist,” but Cheney’s time in the office has been quite different from that of other Vice Presidents. Here are some points that the article highlights: Cheney is by far the most accomplished person to have filled the Vice Presidency. He was Minority Whip in Congress and chairman of the Republican National Committee. He also served as Secretary of Defense during the first Gulf War. Rather than serving to garner votes from a particular region, Cheney was invited onto the Bush ticket specifically because of his skills and expertise. Post 9/11, Cheney has served primarily as a “Secretary of War,” filling a much more focused, specific, and powerful role than any other Vice President in history. The article highlights Cheney’s time as Secretary of Defense, and his chairmanship of the energy company Halliburton, as reasons that he is perfect to conduct wars and counterterrorism operations in the Middle East. Cheney was the driving force behind the Department of Homeland Security. Cheney already had personal relationships with many Middle Eastern leaders because of his involvement in orchestrating the first Gulf War. After 9/11, he spearheaded many diplomatic missions to the Middle East to discuss the war on terrorism with those same leaders. All of the above factors make Cheney’s Vice Presidency completely unique in history, and one wonders if his example will be repeated by future Vice Presidents. Shaping the National Agenda Roger B. Porter, "The President and the National Agenda," in James P. Pfiffner, ed., The Managerial Presidency, pp, 319-333. Heightened expectations – increase in size and complexity of government has put focus on President to develop a comprehensive and coherent agenda, campaign promises as a source for expectations, past success of presidents has caused us to expect success, revolution of communications has made it possible for him to influence more people 3 Kinds of Issues (possible IDS) - Electoral Issues - campaign promises, these commitments play a powerful role, but over tie, the electoral mandate fades, and people forget, so a President must act fast if he wants any campaign commitments to see fruition ( as long as you don’t promise to not do something i.e. “read my lips no new taxes”) - Maturing Issues – these are issues that are debated over an extended period of time, crucial to act on these once they hit the end of their “gestation periods” (possible ID), example Tax Reform Act 1986 that Porter negotiated for Reagan - Crisis Issues – definition of crisis “crisis issues aer issues where advocates for change are able to demonstrate convincingly that failure to act immediately will result in a significant deterioration in the underlying situation” these issues are very few, especially domestically CONC – the central task of the president is less one of advancing fresh, imaginative approaches to problems, and more one invlovling definition timing and the building of coalitions James P. Pfiffner, The Strategic Presidency: Hitting the Ground Running, 2nd edition, chapter 6, pp. 111-127. Moving the President’s Legislative Agenda - presidential success is determined by factors not under the president’s control (such as partisan majorities in each house) and that presidents can exert very little influence on Congress as a result - early mistakes can hurt a president in Congress - - Reagan has shown that you can overcome a large partisan disadvantage in one house The importance of a fast start – blunders by Carter in legislative liaisons by Frank Moore caused irreversible damage, whereas Reagan had a professional liaisons division Reagan included congress in pre-election and pre-inauguration activities highly specific and focused (he had rifle strategic choices, rather than the shotgun approach of Carter which caused all his bills to get bottlenecked and nothing got done) legislative agenda, another thing Carter did not have Must create an atmosphere of cooperation and service with favors to politicians Using public: must stick to your guns once you proclaim something publicly, also can use public support for a mandate, don’t use it as a threat before veto (delicate “The President, Congress, and Trade Policy” by Roger B. Porter, p.165-184 - Three characteristics of how congress and the President shape trade policy: divided institutions, democratic participation, and deliberative processes - Divided institutions: differences between federal and state and local trade habits (analogous to trade under articles of confederation, but much less exaggerated) - Constitution originally envisioned congress having primary trade policy role - Increasing role of US in international economic affairs since WWII has shown that deliberation in congress is crippling to effective and timely decisions Democratic Participation – role of press as public has knowledge of what is going on, and interest groups ability to influence decisions Deliberative processes – “we are drowning in law” There are also persistent tensions that have a stake in what the president ultimately does: - micro and macro-economic management - national security and economic policy considerations - trade as a foreign policy tool (embargos, boycotts, sanctions) - Different Criteria and Divergent mandates - Institutional bias (some agencies tend to do some things before others, i.e. congress not concerned with cost of new policy) - Ways Congress and President View one another Ebb and Flow of Policy – has caused extensive delegation of power from congress to President CONC – allows for decisions over a large array of issues with lots of consideration from various groups, with extensive analysis. Also, policy formulators have ample scope (and limitations) Pfiffner The Strategic Presidency pp. 111-127 -New president in ideal position if: wins by landslide, runs ahead of most members of Congress, has large partisan majority in Congress, and maintains hi levels of public approval once in office -Changes in Congress recently have made it more difficult for pres to win approval of legislative programs -Congress more assertive since Vietnam and Watergate -increased fragmentation -decreased political party strength -increased number of interest groups -Factors of presidential success: 1. quick start: early legislative action -sets the tone so for ex. if pres gets along with congress in the beginning, it is likely this relationship will carry over -pres must move quickly to take advantage of a “mandate” from the voters people…because of “The policy cycle of decreasing influence” -pres popularity will decline with time and they will lose seats in house too -therefore much better to introduce legislation early on, and in order to do this must have established priorities early on… “pre-inauguration planning” 2. Setting up legislative liaison Operation (i.e. Establishing relations with Congress) -must be done early on -pres must designate director of lefislative liaison and set up a team that will regulate communication between pres and congress -early organization is necessary because of the flood of communications that require immediate attention -Need experienced people -Reagan had well-organized legislative operation: experienced staff, organized along political issues, WH selected the heads of legislative liason in cabinet departments 3. Courting Congress -This entails creating an atmosphere of cooperation and service -Doing favors, so that later they will be returned -Creates a friendly atmosphere…the “little things” count: -E.g. Raegan made small talk with congressmen, invited them to dinner, visited the Capitol -Bad e.g. Carter had an air of superiority, showed disdain for politics and threatened Congress if they disagreed 4. The Rifle or the Shotgun -must make choices regarding the range and volume of issues to be included in the agenda -Carter used the shotgun approach: took on too many issues and did not prioritize he should have introduced legislation in careful and spaced out phases instead of in such a rush Carter’s water projects: eliminated 19 water projects in his budget proposal in the first month of his adminstration…he did this in order to show the congress who was in charge, and by doing so alienated a huge percent of congressmen - the problem was that C had little advising on this decision and little support - he knew the congress would oppose this - in the end he didn’t stick to his guns and adhered to congress’ idea Reagan – rifle approach…he focused his efforst on economic program -early on he approached congressmen and talked to them about his plans - -his actions were characterized by their speed and focus - also he personally involved himself in these programs - his first year he spen more time on congressional affairs than at any other of his reponsibilities - he was better able to bargain with congress, because he only stuck to his guns on narrow range of his priorities also successful because he included members in preelection activiites November 15: The President and the Congress: Who Leads? John H. Kessel, Presidents, the Presidency, and the Political Environment, chapter 2, pp. 21-52. There are several factors that affect a president’s ability to deal effectively with Congress: 1. Public Support for the President: a. The size of a president’s victory is a poor predictor of congressional success. What is more important is whether or not a president’s victory increases his party’s standing on Capitol Hill, thereby affecting the partisan balance in Congress. On average, a president’s party can expect to gain eight seats in the House and one seat in the Senate, which on the whole means very little. Reagan in ’80 and Johnson in ’64 are rare examples of parties making huge gains in Congress when it won the White House. b. Public approval ratings are important for a president’s legislative success. When approval ratings drop off, lawmakers are more likely to oppose the president. 2. Party Support in the House and Senate a. Recall that of the 24 Congresses since 1952, 13 have been controlled by the party opposing the president. Most presidents get approximately the same degree of backing from their own party. On average, presidents could expect the votes of 66% of their fellow partisans in Congress from 1953-80 and 75% from 1981-1996. Consequently, presidents usually do better by increasing the size of their party than by trying to woo the opposition. c. Along with size, the party’s composition is also important. Kessell says that Congressional parties are coalitions of “issue groups” which may not always agree. Congruence of the Presidential Agenda a. Presidential persuasiveness depends on the congruence between his policy preferences and those of the issue groups on Capitol Hill. If the president’s party has a decided majority, then the “preference structure” within that party will be the most important consideration. If not, he needs to pay attention to what the opposition wants. Kessell cites Carter as a failure here b. Scope and novelty of agenda: a president’s agenda may consist of large new, large old, small new, and/or small old programs. Small old=safest and easiest to push through. Only if the legislative terrain is favorable can the scope and novelty of a president’s program increase. The Legislative Leaders a. Kessell accords a great deal of power to House and Senate leaders, claiming that the president and his aides must work through them. b. Two-way communication is important—president should give leaders advance notice of his plans, and leaders ought to give pres accurate vote counts so he can plan accordingly. b. 3. 4. Who are the players in the executive branch that interact with the Congress? 1. The White House Legislative Liaison Office: these are the agents who speak most directly for the president and who are most concerned with his high-priority legislation. 2. The Departments: The departments maintain their own Congressional liaison offices to look out for bills that are of particular interest to the departments they represent. Each department has an assistant secretary in charge of legislative liaison who advises the secretary in legislative affairs. 3. Office of Legislative Reference: judges all legislation to determine whether or not it is in accord with the president’s overall program, and tracks it thereafter. Also compiles the views of all the agencies on whether or not a president should sign or veto a bill sent to the White House by Congress. How are the key players coordinated? 1. Regular White House meetings between president and key congressional leaders to coordinate White House and congressional strategy at the top. 2. Tuesday Meetings: where president’s chief legislative assistant coordinates efforts between his/her staff and the departmental legislative offices. The Responsibilities of Congressional Liaisons: 1. Make sure the president and his administration are aware of the legislators’ proposals. 2. Channel their requests for projects, patronage, money, etc. to administration decision makers. 3. Help members obtain campaign help 4. Maintain members’ goodwill towards the administration 5. Help with the head counts that are crucial for helping the president and congress to decide whether to try to pass a bill or give it more time. Also help bargain with specific members for votes to push a bill through. Presidential Decision Making in Congressional Relations: 1. How a President chooses to organize the people he entrusts with legislative affairs can and does vary from president to president. Reagan had a “legislative strategy group” (LSG), composed of his chief of staff, cabinet secretary, and senior troika, with cabinet members invited to join meetings. The president’s chief of staff has been very involved in congressional relations in recent presidencies. Exercising Influence in Congressional Relations: 1. Virtually all presidents make direct appeals to congressmen. But don’t want to overuse the “direct appeal,” or else members may be unwilling to deal with anyone other than the president. 2. Presidents can also exert influence on Congress by working with interest groups and by appealing directly to citizens. “House Democrats Under Republican Rule: Reflections on the Limits of Partisanship” by David E. Price main point-increased partisanship in the House has created the opportunity for manipulation. Partisan control drives most actions. -members began to see pluses in strengthening parties in order to achieve goals b/c of: -1958, ’64, ’74 elections that brought large numbers of liberal Dems into House -“black enfranchisement and party realignment in the South” -major changes: took committee-assignment capability away from Ways and Means Dems and gave it to Steering and Policy Committee and gave Speaker power to nominate chair and Dem members of Rules Committee -“The effect, in any event, was to strengthen the party involvement of younger members and to engance the role of the leadership, even as the actual decisions of the caucus were helping atomize congressional power.” (p. 22) -increase inter-committee tasks forces, but decreased “deference paid” to committees -importance of 1987-1988 100th Congress -“most productive since Great Society” b/c of strong leadership in the House -Gingrich manipulation committee assignments so people indebted to him were in key positions-ignored seniority-big no-no -election of George W. in 2000 “brought further consolidation of power in House GOP leadership” -Bush governed from “right in” not “center out” and House followed -White House and House wanted to start from as far right as possible w/Senate -“has exacted a high price in terms of party polarization” -focusing leadership efforts in keeping Repub maj in line -chart on p.24 shows-“the upward trend since the mid 1970s reflects increased party polarization in the electorate and among party elites, together with redistricting practices that have given members safer partisan seats.” -dedistributive-coined by Paul Light-policies that don’t redistribute or distribute, but b/c they have to cut back by increasing taxes and/or reducing benefits, imposing costs and lowering expectations -partisanship -even if everyone knows they have to act, remove decision from Congress and scrutiny to bipartisan committee -example of ’98 impeachment hearings -what DeLay did-page 25 -how Bush has taken “tactics of partisan control to a level unprecedented in modern history of the House:” 1) pres. agenda on the right 2) narrow Repub maj. 3) conservative Repub Conference 4) assumed role as counterbalance to Senate, even after Repubs got maj. -ex of Repub roll call tactics -“The Republicans had better hope that the Democrats never regain the majority” -Senator John McCain, late 2003 -questions of fairness and House being able to address issues and concerns of the parts of the country they represent 8 Matthew Dickinson, "The President and Congress," in Michael Nelson, ed., The President and the Political System, pp. 455-480. “The President and Congress” by Matthew Dickinson in The Presidency and the Political System main point: “Presidential influence in Congress-always problematic in the American system of government-has become even less effective than before. This development is largely due to the growing ideological polarization of the political parties, especially since 1992 (p.458-459 of the 7th edition).” “The Bush Presidency: A Tepid and Short-Lived Honeymoon” -President and Congress examined through Pres. Bush’s presidency -Sen. Jeffords of Vermont left for Dem. Party b/c he thought Repub party was too conservative---Repubs lost maj in the Senate- Bush’s short honeymoon -Dems became more “confrontational” b/c thought Bush wasn’t interested in a more “bipartisan governing strategy” -belief that Bush had no real electoral mandate -then, no one wanted to compromise b/c everyone concerned with 2002 midterm elections -September 11th happened, but still partisan conflict concerning domestic issues “Congress, the President, and Political Parties, 1789-1960” -House more responsive to “prevailing political passions” b/c elected every 2 years -Original Constitutional plan for Congress and Pres had some problems: -Pres. selection system didn’t give pres. strong enough electoral base to resist “Congressional encroachment” solution=political parties “parties rescued the office from its dependence on Congress “The Era of Incumbency and Insulation, 1960-1900” -candidate centered campaign replaced party centered campaign -primaries weakened party leaders’ traditional role of “gatekeeper to nominations” -higher incumbency effect -legislator’s started to use casework to “bolster” their name recognition and get support from constituents -by 1980s-pres and congress really separate again- solution=return to strong political parties -population shifts: -from East and Midwest to West and South -moderate Repub base moved to conservative South and Rocky Mt. areas -hypothesized that people not happy with “partisan and ideological tone” of debates, so less people voting “Politics, Partisanship, and Presidential Influence in Congress: Speak Softly and Carry a Big Veto” -to draw attention to their agendas, Pres can make public appearances -ex of Reagan’s tax and spending bills in his first term -Bush’s desire to not wanting to lose his conservative base often stands in opposition to negotiating with Congress to get things done -veto might be his best option -in reaction, Congress passes omnibus legislation -other option-convince legislators that it is in their best interest to “pursue a politics of accommodation and compromise” -so as not to anger electorate The President and the Congress: Mutual Oversight Louis Fisher, "Congress as Co-Manager of the Executive Branch," in James P. Pfiffner, ed., The Managerial Presidency, second edition, pp. 300-318. Congress is denounced for being too involved with executive branch decisions, but if they were less so they would be accused of failing to supervise agencies. So, the rest of the article discusses why Congress remains involved, and to what extent. I’ve outlined the main points: · A good case can be made that the framers did not want Congress involved in administrative details. However, Congress has always had ample means to hold executive agencies, especially in cases of corruption. · Since 1932, legislative vetoes have been an important means of reconciling legislative and executive interests. "The executive branch wants to retain access to discretionary authority; Congress wants to control some of those discretionary decisions without having to pass another public law" (308). · However, in the 1980s, Chadha held that the legislative veto was an unconstitutional means of influencing the executive branch. Similarly, Bowsher v. Synar (1986) announced a much stricter separation of powers in a case concerning the budget. Despite such rulings, though, legislative veto has remained an integral part of the governing process. · Congress is involved in the executive branch for both constitutional and policy reasons, such as: constitutional responsibility to oversee public funds, responsibilities to constituents, to ensure that laws are faithfully executed (e.g. Grand Jury in Iran-Contra affair). · In reference to Iran-Contra, Reagan never notified Congress that arms had been sent, and they were unaware as long as the public—until they read about it in the newspaper about ten months later—this was a violation of the clause instructing the President to notify Congress in a "timely" manner of covert activities—catalyzed change in wording to the more specific "within 48 hours." · Limits on intervention that Fisher touched upon were the bribery statute and the speech or debate clause. In summation, Fisher’s main point is encapsulated in this quote: "Workable government requires that Congress maintain a strong interest and involvement in the executive process" (317). G. Calvin Mackenzie, "The State of the Presidential Appointments Process,” in Innocent Until Nominated edited by G. Calvin Mackenzie (Brookings Institution Press, 2001), pp. 1-47. Introduction Thesis: America is unique in its political makeup, allowing non-government workers to rise to the highest positions and completely changing the top government officials every 4 years. Across the rest of the world, “Government is the business of professionals.” 4 of 5 last presidents from outside Washington. Vincent Fox of Mexico, Alberto Fujimori in Peru. Both from private sector but accompanying them were many experienced civil servants. Why do we use this form of government? The framers of the Constitution considered several models of appointment but never truly discussed the executive branch. As government grew, no re-evaluation took place to remove the pressure of appointment of these new officials from the executive branch. Benefits of system? Allows fresh ideas and fresh blood to the system, changing mindset of those “inside the beltway” every four years. Allows presidents top gain power over hostile bureaucracies. Appointment process sparks public motivation in politics. Conclusion: no real movement to re-organize the process. “Few defenders, few attackers.” But does process really work, does it do a good job completing the job? Changing Context: Political Appointments are political, but the government has changed over two centuries, by: 1) expanding role of government, increasing number of positions to fill 2) deterioration of political parties, eliminating the parties usefulness in nominating candidates 3) news explosion, supplying more information to the public regarding the process and causing higher scrutiny onto each candidate 4) growth in special interests groups and move to Washington, causing more congressional time spent on interest groups, and interest group persuasion and power into the appointments process 5) diminishing trust in government (Vietnam, Watergate, causing Ethics and Government Act of 1978), causing increased inspection of candidates by FBI and legal restrictions on post-government employment of most appointees A History in Five Acts: The appointments process evolves Appointment process has changed rapidly over the past three decades of the twentieth century. 1789-1800 – “the governing elite,” the government of run by a very small group of men in the upper class. 1800-1950 – “the patronage”, political parties began to emerge and appointments became contentious between senators and presidents, and choices became to be chosen to avoid shaky Senate confirmation. 1820 Four Years Act limited the term of appointees to four years, increasing Senate power because it allowed senators to make more appointments in their career. Intense politicization of appointments marked this time. Jackson first to appoint friends, but “narrowed gap between people and government.” 1958-1974 – “nascent corporatism” appointees became better trained from the private sector, and required more experience to run a changing government, economy and world. Eisenhower began the push to restructure appointments process and create a personnel management or appointments position to the White House 1975-1987 – “scandal proofing and divided government” divided government became more of a reality and congress needed a way to increase power. Where budget must be finished for example, appointments became a place where executive-legislative fights could reside. At same time, senate was being accused of “rubber-stamping” nominations. The Ethics Acts passed earlier also started to have more significance. After 1987 – “the Battleground,” beginning with Reagan’s nomination of Bork, Supreme Court nominee. Due to 5 reasons listed above, but also deteriorating central control in Senate (harder to guarantee party votes) Characteristics of the Contemporary Appointments Process Everybody fights: presidential appointments are not necessarily just about the nominee, but a stage for political arguments. This has also been the case, but “Sunshine movements” which opened up the ledger of congressional votes up to public scrutiny made fights more open. This has been countered through the following tactics of congressional opposition to nominations: (1) filibustering, (2) holds, (3) packaging, and (4) delays. (all defined on page 31-36). The Process keeps Growing and Growing: four times as many appointees in 2000 as in 1960. The Process is Visible, Transparent and Permeable: earlier in history, votes in appointments were rarely recorded. Today, things rarely get to a vote, because each vote is so public that problems are dealt with before reaching a vote on the congressional floor. The number of people involved in appointments is also increased. By increasing the process before the vote, confirmations more regularly pass and avoid conflict The Process is Thick and Slow: started as an artifact of FBI checks during the McCarthy era, but today’s FBI check is much more intensive. Delay in confirmation weaken the power of the president to work with his team early in the administration however. Conclusion: Appointments process needs overhauling Richard E. Neustadt, Presidential Power, chapter 12, pp. 269-294. This chapter focused on the Reagan administration, and was largely an account of Reagan’s treatment of the Iran-Contra affair. However, Neustadt devoted the first part of the chapter to discussing unique aspects of Reagan’s personality. He said that: 1. Reagan was the last "Roosevelt Democrat" we’ll ever see as President, despite being a Republican. Reagan prioritized popularity, influence, and initiative. 2. Reagan was the first President to be trained as an actor and a televised spokesman. He had an ability to take full advantage of the rises in communication technology. Reagan drew much confidence and satisfaction from positive audience reaction. 3. Reagan embodied a unique combination, of a lack of intellectual curiosity and absence of attention to detail, paired with strong convictions without evidence. 4. Reagan’s combination of strong resolution formed without attention to detail was extremely risky, because while it often worked on the surface, it exaggerated the threat of imperfect information. According to Neustadt, Reagan’s combination of "ignorance with insistence," was manifested in the Iran-Contra affair. After explaining these points, Neustadt then devotes the vast majority of the chapter to a very dense account of the Iran-Contra affair. I’m going to try to write as brief a summary as possible, after first stating that Neustadt seems to tell the story to make the point that Reagan’s failure to pay attention to details was the chief cause. (probably why the title of the chapter was "A Matter of Detail"). He also mentions that Reagan’s reputation, while temporarily damaged, recovered successfully in the long run. Okay, so here’s the Iran-Contra stuff: Only fourteen years after the Nixon scandals, more bigger and enduring covert operations developed under Lieutenant Colonel Oliver L. North. William Casey, director of Central Intelligence (and Reagan’s campaign manager in 1980), "helped to install and virtually direct North’s activities, so North had testified, including arms sales to Iran. Casey did so even though the secrecy of those sales could be blown at any time by any of the factions in Tehran, as indeed it was, exposing all of North’s affairs. Thereupon public opinion assigned Reagan both responsibility and knowledge…" (Neustadt 280). North testified that Casey was in strong favor if the idea of arming Nicaraguan Contras, even though it was illegal to use public funds from profits on arms sold to Iran. Casey was admired by many and trusted by Reagan, so when he hid his role in North’s activities, he was not questioned. It seems that Reagan did not worry about what North was doing because he assumed that if Casey knew he didn’t have to worry about it. In other words, Reagan was not paying attention to the details. The rest of the chapter is primarily a step-by-step account of the entire Iran-Contra affair, followed by Neustadt pointing out the lack of well-researched decisions in modern history. David A. Yalof, "The Presidency and the Judiciary," in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 481-507. David A. Yalof - The Presidency and the Judiciary This reading talks about the divide in government between congress and the president. Before President Nixon there was never really a “divided government” where the party of the presidency was split from the party that controlled congress. Having to deal without a “united party government” was a real challenge for President Nixon. Yalof shows that divided government also had a great impact on the politics of judicial appointees. Before 1968 judicial appointees were chose mostly from the political arena, since then they have come exclusively from the ranks of sitting jurists. Yalof finds that a court dominated by justices without extensive political experience have been less willing than high courts in the past to defer to congress and the president on matters of constitutional and political importance. Justices votes are consistent with their political leanings, notwithstanding the words of statues, constitutional text, or judicial precedents that they support to be interpreting. Bush V. Gore – so politically significant because the decision boldly proclaimed the ascendancy of a new relationship between two of the three branches of government. The courts willingness to enter the national political thicket jettisoned all popular notions that as an institution the Supreme Court transcends politics. The partisan cliques that emerged among the justices were simply too neat to be dismissed as a matter of coincidence. Since warren court, Supreme Court has intervened in sensitive state political matters, but the workings of the government and especially the presidency has been off limits. Even in case in the past with Truman and the steel mill and Nixon and the tapes the Supreme Court was still very cautious. Before the 60’s the majority of the members of the Supreme Court were political insiders usually coming directly from the legislative or executive branch of the federal government. Nixon changed this all by electing federal circuit judges he barely knew instead of his stalwart republican friends. This new Supreme Court made up of past jurist has given the president and congress opposition over the past and has not defended it as was usually done in the past. Presidential Campaigns and the Judiciary Judicial issues can be very significant during campaigns – Alien and sedition act (Thomas Jefferson), Dred Scott (Abraham Lincoln) Roe V. Wade (Reagan). Issues are very sensitive and presidents can use them to sway voters. “Like a bolt of lighting?” Presidential appointments to the federal judiciary “ Selection to the Supreme Court has been likened to the spin of a roulette wheel or a bolt of lighting that can strike anywhere without warning” The selection process is a matter of chance Someone who gets appointed it usually someone who has very good political acumen. They have the ability to maneuver and gain the trust of many individuals. Appointments used to be a private affair handled just by the president and advisors – GW worked alone after his inauguration to figure out who he should put in the Supreme Court. Factors that have transformed the process of recruitment of supreme court candidates Growth and bureaucratization of the justice department – the justice department has grown into a mammoth enterprise. Office of legal council (OLC, created in 1939) was conceived as a bureaucratic resource for the attorney general. Presidents have relied heavily on the OLC to generate lists for candidates of the federal judiciary. This has made the white house more involved in the litigation that flows to the Supreme Court. Growth and Bureaucratization of the white house staff – the White house staff has gown dramatically and now president rely on in house lawyers for advice. Growth and size and influence of the federal judiciary – Congress’s creation of new federal judgeships during the 20th century have affected the process because president have the ability with the 862 federal judges to rely make an imprint on judicial policy making. Divided party government – with all the politics involved it is very difficult for a appointee to get approved with divided government 13 Increased participation by interest groups, including the organized bar, in the selection process – negative or even unenthusiastically positive recommendation by interest groups can damage a nominee substantially Increased media attention before and during the Supreme Court nomination – amount of media attention can affect a candidate in positive or negative ways. Campaign for and against will be launched for the whole country to see. Advances in legal research technology – programs such as lexis/ nexis have been able to research a judicial appointees past to try and find glitches in past voting records All of the process have changed the way that candidates are nominated and eventually selected or rejected. In 1985 under the Reagan administration a justice of department’s officials was formed to define the criteria’s of an ideal candidate for the supreme court position. “awareness of the importance of strict justifiability and procedural requirements” “refusal to create new constitutional rights for the individual” “Deference to states in their spheres” Appropriate deference to agencies” “Commitments to strict principles of nondiscrimination” “Disposition towards less government rather than more” “Recognition that the federal government is one off enumerated powers” “Appreciation for the role of free Markey in our society” “Respect for traditional values” “Recognition of the importance of separation of principles or president authority” “Legal competence” “Strong leadership o the count / young and vigorous.” Presidential Influence on the Judicial Process Mark Galanter – executive branch is a “realist player”- it is a litigating actor engaged in many similar cases over time The government had “bargaining power” and the “ability to play the odds” for advantages that may accrue only in later cases. Joseph A. Pika and John Anthony Maltese, "Judicial Politics," in The Politics of the Presidency, revised sixth edition, pp. 257-291. This article is basically a summary of the President’s relationship with the judiciary. The main areas of discussion are President’s Role in Judicial Appointments, President’s Role in Supreme Court Decisions, President’s Role in Enforcement, and Judicial Influence on the President. President’s Role in Judicial Appointments The article opens with a description of Clarence Thomas’ appointment. Scandal surrounded the process, especially after the Anita Hill sexual harassment story came out, and when Thomas was finally confirmed, it was on a Senate vote of 52/48, the narrowest confirmation in US history. The relationship between the President of the United States (POTUS) and the judiciary depends on the Founding Fathers’ intent for the branches. There aren’t a lot of differences between the roles lined out for the executive branch and the judicial, although the judicial is supposed to be more based on “judgment” than on “force or will.” The question of the final interpretation of the Constitution is left open, which has led to some controversy in the past. Presidential appointment power is the greatest impact POTUS can have. Courts are divided into upper and lower courts, with lower being federal district courts and appellate courts, and upper being the US Supreme Court. The power for district courts is very state-based, with much leverage and consideration given to senators and judges from the nominee’s states. Senatorial Courtesy: The Senate will traditionally refuse to confirm a candidate who doesn’t have the support of the senator of the President’s party from that state. Few senators invoke senatorial courtesy, but the power is there nonetheless. POTUS generally delegates lower court appts, having lots of other things on his mind. He has a bigger hand in appellate decisions because they have more national impact. Reagan, Carter, Bush, and Clinton have all made large numbers of judicial appointments. Reagan really started using courts to further his political agenda. He raised Rehnquist to Chief Justice and appointed SD O’Connor, Antonin Scalia, and Anthony Kennedy. Bush appointed David Souter and Clarence Thomas Clinton appointed Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Stephen Breyer, made effort to increase diversity by appointing people who weren’t white males (Carter did the same, Reagan apptd the first woman, and Bush the second African American) Similarities in lower court judges include that they are all lawyers (although this isn’t a requirement) and are generally involved in politics. Many have held court-related positions, working for city or state courts, etc. Voting Along Presidential Appointment Lines Studies show justices tend to vote along the political lines of the POTUS who appointed them, although Johnson was the last POTUS to know his appointees closely. In upper courts, the candidates themselves and party leaders have very little say. Lower courts have a small amount of campaigning for the jobs and some party influence, but in the Supreme Court, the “Post should seek the person,” and so there’s less influence. The American Bar Association has a Standing Committee on the Federal Judiciary who is consulted depending on how much the sitting president likes them. The Senate must confirm all appointees, and they reject about 30% of nominees. Rejections are more common in pre-election years when the Senate is trying to save spots for the next POTUS, and also when nominees have been involved in controversial politics. Supreme Court justices are lawyers, come from the executive branch, state courts, lower fed. Courts, elected officials, and private law firms. Some spots have been tagged as “Catholic,” “Jewish,” and “Black.” ¾ of the time, the POTUS gets what he expects from his confirmed nominees (voting along ideological lines, etc) according to research by Scigliano. Stuart Nagel says justices apptd by POTUS are more likely to support his decisions. When justices do unexpected things, it’s generally because the POTUS didn’t take enough time to familiarize himself with their ideology, or their political views/ judgment changed over time. Solicitor General The solicitor general is like the government’s lawyer. He decides which of the cases the government loses in lower courts are going to get appealed, and what arguments will be made when they are appealed. He also decides when to file Amicus Curiae briefs. AC briefs (Friend of the Court) are filed on behalf of one party when the government is not directly involved in the case. The government mostly wins the cases it takes on because they have lots of experience in court, they tend to have a good reputation with the Courts, and more often than not they agree with the justices. The Solicitor General is an employee of the Exec Branch, not Judicial, so he can be strongly influenced by POTUS (Reagan first to use S.G. to further his political agenda). President’s Role in Supreme Court Decisions POTUS can affect number of judges by influencing Congress to reduce or increase the number of justices. The number has changed over 10 times, mostly when POTUS felt threatened by the possibility of losing his cause in the Supreme Court. POTUS can also use Congress to change the SC’s jurisdiction over a situation to suit himself or his pet causes; he can also use veto power to overrule Congressional decisions that were made based on SC rulings. President’s Role in Enforcement The POTUS can choose to ignore SC rulings or enforce them. Rarely are they ignored, although Lincoln chose not to give someone a trial even though it had been ordered. Tradition, especially recently, is to enforce SC decisions. Judicial Influence on the President Only 4 POTUS’s have been invalidated in their actions by the SC. 3 of them (Lincoln, Truman, and FDR) were about executive privilege in war/national crisis/extraordinary times. Each of these was disputed and eventually overturned. The only unanimous decision was against Nixon, who attempted to invoke Exec. Privilege in general without extraordinary circumstances. The court ruled that the immediate need for trial evidence (Tapes) was more overruled general Exec. Privilege. SC has declared presidential action unconstitutional in only 11 cases in over 200 years. They are generally reluctant to do so, especially during war. Other options they have taken include supporting the POTUS, postponing adverse decisions until after the crisis has passed, or simply declaring a matter political and not judicial (like Truman and the atomic bomb). SC ruled that POTUS has absolute immunity from damages resulting from Presidential actions, like getting sued for firing someone on security grounds. This doesn’t apply to nonpresidential actions, so Clinton/Whitewater, etc don’t count. He’s on his own for that. Reagan was most ambitious in his court strategy, attempting to use the courts to further his ideology. Bush screened for ideology as well, although Souter ended up being more liberal than expected. Clinton, according to this article, had no agenda other than promoting diversity in the courts. Right. November 22: Presidents, Parties, and Interest Groups 14 Daniel J. Tichenor, "The Presidency and Interest Groups: Allies, Adversaries, and Policy Leadership” in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 311-340. Presidential wariness of organized interests is accentuated by the fact that entrenched Washington lobbies frustrate the president’s programmatic goals. Gaining access to the Whitehouse can be tough for lobbyists because of enormous constraints on the time and attention of presidents and their advisers. Relationships with congressional members and federal bureaucrats with interest groups are longer lasting and more reliable because there are more members. Interest groups provide money, organized support and votes for presidential hopefuls during their primary. Presidential interest groups relations explore election campaigns, party politics, executive appointments, judicial nominations, executive orders, major legislation and related issues. More than a few organized interests in the Progressive Era perceived the rise of the modern presidency as potentially important opportunity to advance their agendas. One way to generalize about the interactions between presidents and interest groups is to focus on two factors that help structure presidential-interest group politics: 1) the relationship of interest groups to the presidents party 2) the relative opportunities for presidential policy leadership. - collaborative breakthrough politics involves Whitehouse sponsorship and cooptation of interest group allies. - Adversial breakthrough politics places interest groups opponents in the difficult position of challenging presidents who have enormous political capital. There are examples of Presidents and the different types of relationships they have w/ IG -Roosevelt and Industrial Unionism; Collaborative Breakthrough Politics -Reagan and the Christian Right: Collaborative Breakthrough Politics -Roosevelt and the American Liberty League: Adversial Breakthrough Politics -Reagan’s assault on Liberal Citizen Groups:Adversial Breakthrough Politics II -Bush Centrist Reform and the Competitiveness Council: Collaborative Politcs as usual Conclusion: -by studying presidential-interest group relations in light of executive leadership opportunities and the partisan and ideological affiliations of interest groups, we can draw comparisons and recognize patterns. -Interest groups are most rewarded for collaborative relations with the WH during those rare historic moments when breakthrough presidents dominate American governance. Haynes Johnson and David S. Broder, The System: The American Way of Politics at the Breaking Point (Little, Brown, 1997), chapter 10, pp. 194-224. Special Interest Groups and Washington (specially during Clinton’s administration) The article primarily uses the defeat of Clinton Healthcare plan as example of the how much influence special interest groups can have on government policies. Players: Bill Clinton – President – proponent for Healthcare Reform Hillary Clinton – First Lady – proponent for Healthcare Reform Bill Gradison – President of the Health Insurance Association of America (HIAA) – against Healthcare Reform, former House Representative Chip Khah – Gradison’s side-kick Ira Magaziner – spokesman for Clinton, assigned to speak with Gradison to reach a compromise on the Reform Harry and Louise – names of the characters who acted as a middle-age couple against the Healthcare reform in television ads, this was financed through the HIAA John Motley – chief lobbyist for the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) – against Healthcare Reform Jack Faris – President of NFIB Johnson and Broder introduce the chapter by discussing how sophisticated special interests had become and the power they brought to Washington. They use the war on Clinton’s Healthcare Reform to demonstrate how powerful special interest groups were. Up to the time of the article the lobbying against healthcare cost was the most ever spent on the part of special interest groups, estimated between $100 million and $300 million. And this money was not only spent on buying politicians’ time but on grassroots efforts to get the American public to support their war against universal healthcare. The organizations most against it were the Health Insurance Association of America (HIAA) because they didn’t want to lose control over the market. And the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) didn’t want it because they didn’t want to have it to be mandatory for small business owners to provide health insurance to their employees. HIAA at first tried to speak with Hillary to see how they could work out a plan together, but she refused to meet with them. So they began ad campaigns to get the public to stand behind them and against universal healthcare. They used two characters, Harry and Louise, to depict middle-class Americans who questioned the actual benefits of the Healthcare policy. This in turn left questions in the mind of American television watchers who didn’t want the government to take something over it may not do well. Hillary was extremely upset about these commercials and openly attacked HIAA for telling lies to the public. This only got HIAA even more upset and determined to win their battle. Another large special interest group involved in defeating Healthcare was NFIB. They didn’t like universal healthcare mandates because it would mean hurting small business owners who would not be able to afford it. Clinton was more open to speak with members of NFIB and gained the opportunity when Faris asked him to speak. But the members were unimpressed. Furthermore, Motley initiated a successful movement of small business owners in Montana, a state with a large percentage of small business owners to back him up. Then he carried this into Louisiana, Washington, Georgia, Oregon, Pennsylvania, and Florida. With the strong support of special interest groups against Health Care Reform (Clintoncare), Clinton and Hillary lost their battle. Sidney Milkis, "The Presidency and the Political Parties," in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 376-413. Thesis: The modern presidency has led to a weakening of political parties beginning with FDR and continuing with Nixon and Johnson, while Reagan and Bush have tried to revamp parties to give them more strength, with limited success. FDR: While Wilson suggested that the parties would lose influence with a stronger president, he didn't put this into action very well, however FDR did. FDR filled the positions around him with "New Deal" people versus strictly Democrats and never organization Democrats. He also let a wide scale campaign to unseat Conservative Democrats in 12 states. However, he was only successful in 2 of those 12 states and had difficulty fighting the party establishment. By being a strong president he weakened party control and destroyed party unity. The administrative reform bill of 1939 (a compromise of the failed version of the bill in 1938) "represents the genesis of the institutional presidency" by creating the Executive Office of the President including the White House Office and strengthening the Bureau of the Budget. LBJ: There was fear in the Johnson White House that the Democratic Party could not be trusted to convey the message of the Great Society to the American people. Humphrey thought they weren't intellectually equipped to handle the explanations. Johnson attempted to de-emphasize the traditional role of the party and severely attacked the Democratic National Convention, slashing its budget and eliminating several of its important programs. He even left an ineffective leader but put the White House liaison in control of the new, scaled-back activities. Johnson also increased the power of the presidency by creating task forces made up of academics outside of politics in virtually all areas of public policy. These reports later made up the majority of the Great Society. Nixon: Continued separating the presidency from party politics though with a conservative bent but especially through the Watergate scandal disassociating the party from the president. Reagan: Brought the party back to the presidency by playing a large role as the leader of the party. He fund-raised and reversed much of the institutional legacy of the New Deal. He was so popular that he used that to rally support for the Republicans and get them seats in Congress and funds. His conservative movement was a forceful political movement that became part of the Republican Party due to the institution already set up versus anything Reagan really tried to do. Bush: Continued to try and get Republican support and strengthen the party. Put his chief advisor as RNC chair instead of in the White House and led aggressive party political campaigns. However, the difficulty he had in rallying support showed how hard it is to have a President as a strong party figure. Clinton: Perot's showing of 19% showed how much the Pres was separated form the party system. Clinton tried to bring the party back and get support of the party-president relationship but had some trouble early on getting support for his programs and made it a bitter partisan fight over some issues. However as time progressed he did a better job of getting strength for the party and shifted the Democratic Party toward the middle with moderate programs aimed at making parts of both parties happy. Conclusion: Clinton may have forged a common ground as a moderate but the scandals that plagued the end of his presidency have led to a reversion to the party distancing themselves from the president so the author says he's not sure what the legacy will be. Samuel Kernell, Going Public: New Strategies of Presidential Leadership, chapters 1-2, 4-5; pp. 1-64 and 1-2 Kernell’s thesis: a change in the degree of going public and inferring a change in the character of leadership. Going public: strategy whereby a president promotes himself and his policies in Washington by appealing to the Amer. people for support strategy: (1) place president and his messages before the Amer. people in a way that enhances his chances of success in Washington. (2) force compliance from Washingtonians by going over their heads to appeal to their constituency. (eg) televised press conference, address to the nation, speech, visit, White House ceremony. RARE pre-1960: Teddy Roosevelt’s “bully pulpit,” Woodrow Wilson’s whistle stop tour of the country on behalf of his League of Nations Treaty, FDR’s radio “fireside chats.” Going public violates Neustadt’s president “power to bargain.” ---superficial compared with substance of traditional political exchange. ---fails to extend benefits for compliance, but freely imposes costs for noncompliance. ---to the extent that it fixes the president’s bargaining position, public posturing makes subsequent compromises with other politicians more difficult. ---*undermines the legitimacy of other politicians. Explanation for the rise of going public (1) Technology: advances in transportation and communication (2) Reformed system of nominating candidates through primaries produces presidents with tremendous campaigning/public relations experience, BUT weak party ties and little Washington experience. Rather than negotiate with Congress, post McGovern-Frasier pres. will go public as he did to get elected. (3) In recent era of divided government, going public offers better prospect of success. more difficult to bargain when party controlling Congress opposes the pres. ID “institutionalized pluralism” (Kernell) Stable bargaining state of Washington institutionalizes informal rules (such as reciprocity) that regulate behavior and reduce uncertainty. Within framework of institutionalized pluralism, the president is in a uniquely well-suited position to construct coalitions across the broad institutional landscape of Congress, the bureaucracy, interest groups, courts, and state governments. President within framework of “separated institutions sharing power” (Neustadt) checks and is checked by relationships of “mutual dependence.” (Neustadt) The ideal president is one who seizes the center of the Washington bazaar and actively barters with fellow politicians to build winning coalitions. Institutionalized pluralism decayed because of the decline of political parties inside and outside of Washington, which meant the erosion of friendly relations among political elites within and across institutions that made bargaining easier and occasionally unnecessary. Decline of parties, president must depend on looser, more individualistic political relations—go public. Presidents from Carter through Clinton have all had White House pollsters taking continuous—weekly, even daily—readings of public opinion. Before recommending a policy course, they assess its costs in public support. Neustadt’s importance of public prestige: Because most members of the Washington community depend on the public to support them or their interests, Washingtonians anticipated reactions of how the public views the President influences their willingness to give the President what he wants. Reforms changed Presidential Nominations. 1972 Democratic convention adopted the proposed reforms of the McGovern Frasier Commission. Effect of the reforms has been to transfer the nomination of the party’s candidate from the party leaders at the convention to the mass electorate in primary elections and caucuses. Erode parties’ presence: From 1960 to 1980, the percentage of Democratic senators attending their party’s convention fell from 68 to 17 percent, and for representatives, from 45 to 11 percent. CHP 4 I. Intro - The more recent the president, the more often he goes public. - Often presidents will go public to solicit support for a legislative program stalled in Congress or to define US position in an international crisis. - “public relations”- the routines by which presidents go public; public relations perform the homeostatic function of maintaining public support for the President. Examples of public relations include: public speaking, political travel, & appearances before special constituencies outside Washington. II. Trends in going public A. Public Addresses -Appeals for support to constituencies outside Washington are the core activities of going public. -2 types of public addresses: major and minor; major- when president speaks directly to national audience over radio or television; minor-when president speaks to a special audience either in person or via some broadcast medium. B. Public Appearances -At times visual images can convey messages more effectively than talk -Appearances can be distinguished by locale-the number of public appearances outside DC generally reflects the president’s non-Washington origins and divided party control of government. C. Political Travel - Travel abroad to appear presidential more and more common. - Ex. Nixon’s visit to China-networks broadcast over 41 hours of the 7 day trip III. Incremental Growth in Going Public A. “Rise of going public has proceeded more or less incrementally w/ each president taking advantage of the precedents & extensions of the public activity offered by his predecessors.” Reasons for this growth: 1. Technology: Continuous technological advances in transportation & mass communication during past 6 decades 2. Growth as a function of politics: decline of party & institutional leadership in Congress & the rise of divided gov’t have made the DC community more susceptible to public opinion & forced presidents to go public. 3. Resistance to Innovation in Going Public: has led to incremental versus dramatic increase because in DC people like stability & presidents must be cautious in the way they choose to use new methods of going public. IV. Conclusion The style of leadership in the White House is changing. Modern presidents rely upon public opinion for their leadership in Washington. Every President since Teddy Roosevelt had used public opinion & drawn on the precedents and departed only marginally from the public acts of his predecessors. During the past half century trends in presidents going public-from political travel to public addresses and appearances have moved steadily upward. CHP 4 (repeated) I. Intro - The more recent the president, the more often he goes public. - Often presidents will go public to solicit support for a legislative program stalled in Congress or to define US position in an international crisis. - “public relations”- the routines by which presidents go public; public relations perform the homeostatic function of maintaining public support for the President. Examples of public relations include: public speaking, political travel, & appearances before special constituencies outside Washington. II. Trends in going public A. Public Addresses -Appeals for support to constituencies outside Washington are the core activities of going public. -2 types of public addresses: major and minor; major- when president speaks directly to national audience over radio or television; minor-when president speaks to a special audience either in person or via some broadcast medium. B. Public Appearances -At times visual images can convey messages more effectively than talk -Appearances can be distinguished by locale-the number of public appearances outside DC generally reflects the president’s non-Washington origins and divided party control of government. C. Political Travel - Travel abroad to appear presidential more and more common. - Ex. Nixon’s visit to China-networks broadcast over 41 hours of the 7 day trip III. Incremental Growth in Going Public A. “Rise of going public has proceeded more or less incrementally w/ each president taking advantage of the precedents & extensions of the public activity offered by his predecessors.” Reasons for this growth: 1. Technology: Continuous technological advances in transportation & mass communication during past 6 decades 2. Growth as a function of politics: decline of party & institutional leadership in Congress & the rise of divided gov’t have made the DC community more susceptible to public opinion & forced presidents to go public. 3. Resistance to Innovation in Going Public: has led to incremental versus dramatic increase because in DC people like stability & presidents must be cautious in the way they choose to use new methods of going public. IV. Conclusion The style of leadership in the White House is changing. Modern presidents rely upon public opinion for their leadership in Washington. Every President since Teddy Roosevelt had used public opinion & drawn on the precedents and departed only marginally from the public acts of his predecessors. During the past half century trends in presidents going public-from political travel to public addresses and appearances have moved steadily upward. CHP 5 President Reagan and His First Three Budgets: A Classic Case of Going Public in Action -As president, “when presented at critical moments with the choice to deal or to go public, he preferred to go public-sometimes exclusively, other times in combination with bargaining.” -“Ronald Reagan’s first three years contained all the variation in prestige and legislative accomplishment necessary to study the downside as well as the upside of public leadership. Success came early and in heaping portions, but it did not last. By the beginning of his third year, with his popularity spent, the president struggled to preserve the earlier budgetary achievements of real growth in defense expenditures, reductions in social programs and, and a 25 percent cut in income taxes…The politics that ensued in each of his first three budget seasons differed greatly, however. And yet they did so in a manner altogether consistent with the theory of individualized pluralism” Reagan as an Outsider -Previous career in movies, television and public affairs -Spokesman for General Electric traveled across the country giving speeches and personally meeting with employees. -1967 starts career in politics as governor of California “He skipped those formative experiences that take place mainly in legislatures- city councils, state assemblies, and Congress-and that expose a politician to bargaining and to Compromise.” -Extensive campaign experience as a presidential candidate -Political ideology further distanced him from Washington-Republican conservatism The Great Communicator-Reporter Lou Cannon described Reagan using this term. He wrote, “with the forum of national television available to the President, Reagan was certain that his own communicative skills were sufficient to persuade Congress and the country to do whatever it was that was asked of them.” Reagan’s Three Budgets -Initially Reagan found great success pushing planks of his campaign platform: budget reductions, increased military spending, and a massive three-year tax cut. -1981, Reagan faced low approval ratings after unveiling his package of tax cuts and spending reductions. However, after the assassination attempt in March approval ratings rose and Reagan took advantage of the opportunity and strategically conducted his economic program as a national political campaign. -Sent party officials to the South to stimulate grass-roots pressure on Democratic representatives whose districts had gone heavily for Reagan in the November election –grass-roots campaign. -Increased popularity within Congress and with the public-legislative successes -Dramatic public appeals within a week of House votes -In order to push the Kemp-Roth Bill (Massive tax reductions which would cause huge decline in government expenditures) Reagan went public, giving a speech that caused wavering representatives to side with the president. -By 1982, however his standing in Washington and in the country had weakened and after his Social Security and budget-cutting proposals received criticism inside and outside of Washington, his popularity began a descent that would continue through 1982. -“When the president unveiled his economic program in the spring of 1982 before the lawmakers who had the previous year given him a rousing greeting, it was clear to everyone in the audience…that contrary forces of political economy were at work…The president’s budget found few takers” -He set off on another public appeal, scheduling himself for major television addresses and live radio broadcasts, and sent his lieutenants to engage in budget negotiations with the House Democratic and Senate Republican leadership and used their failure to try and provoke public support… “For a president who goes public, failure at the bargaining table may be rewarded with success in the public arena” -However, President Reagan exerted far less influence over the budget in 1982-both its substance and politics- than over the preceding year…”In large part this change in fortune must be credited to his reduced political capital with Congress. The further he cut domestic spending, the fewer the number of natural allies that remained. Budget politics in 1982 reflected the president’s decline in public opinion. High interest rates and unemployment rates and swelling projected deficits had sapped his popularity.” -By 1983, even after again trying to use public appeals to influence Congress, Reagan failed to sway the 98th Congress and “for the first time since Ronald Reagan had entered office, the Democrats would take to conference a budget of their own making” -“By the close of the 1983 budget season, President Reagan had assumed a defensive posture, threatening vetoes and promising public appeals at least on those issues where even an unpopular president might be able to elicit a favorable public response.” The Lessons of Reagan’s Budgets -Radically altered the strategic routines of presidential leadership -Preferred going public to bargaining, but occasionally bargained on the side -When he remained popular, going public rewarded Reagan (97 th Congress), but his second budget in 1982 was not nearly as successful as unemployment and the deficit both increased, and by 1983, partly because of his diminished popularity, his rallies for public support failed to help him in dealing with Congress. -Conduct of office resembled a campaign-heavy political travel, numerous appearances before organized constituencies, and extensive use of television. -Policy questions become overly simplified and stylized to satisfy the cognitive requirements of a largely inattentive national audience. -He established presence with the 97th Congress in 1981, exhausted his popular support by 1982, and yet still in 1983 he went on to win his reelection campaign. -Volatility of a marketplace driven by public opinion 1) Can’t go public too often 2) Cannot do it in places where approval is low a) Cannot say different things to different people 3) The Congress has become more fragmented in its power 4) What conditions is going public effective? 5) Why do you bargain? When? 6) Operational code 7) Takeaways a) Marc Bodnick, "Going Public Reconsidered: Reagan's 1981 Tax and Budget Cuts," Congress and the Presidency, Vol. 17, No. 1 (Spring 1990), pp. 13-28. Abstract “This paper examines the thesis of the public presidency. In light of the success of Ronald Reagan, many revisionist scholars have criticized traditional models of presidential politics. Whereas traditional views emphasized the bargaining presidency, these recent scholars now argue that, today, the politics of rhetoric dominate the politics of bargaining. This paper examines the central case study of the going public model, Reagan's 1981 tax and budget cuts, a critical case because it represents Reagan’s central legislative success and because many scholars and pundits have credited this success to Reagan’s frequent televised public appeals. The case reveals that a strong bargaining dynamic played a part in the 1981 process, and that going public strategies were not as dominant as previously thought.” This article directly attacks the arguments presented by Jeffery Tulis (Rhetorical Presidency) and Kernell (Going Public) and specifically counter-argues their theories. He argues that going public was simply not as important to the passage of the 1981 tax and budget cuts, as revisionist view would believe. Rather, traditional bargaining was almost always the primary tool, and going public largely a secondary tool, used principally to reinforce preexisting coalitions. This agrees with Neustadt in that nothing replaces bargaining, and this bill and all legislation are formed through a process of bargaining. John H. Kessel, Presidents, the Presidency, and the Political Environment, chapter 3, pp. 5390. Working with the Media John H. Kessel, Presidents, the Presidency, and the Political Environment, chapter 3, pp. 53-90. For summary, see pages 89-90 Voices of the Presidency The Press Secretary: o Origins of the office Contact between the press and the president have existed for a long time Growth of the press in late 1800s meant contact between press and President more organized Presidents only had one secretary to assist them By 1900 reporters had work space in the white house, received news regularly, and could corroborate reports Theodore Roosevelt was able to use the press to help transform the office of the presidency and become more activist George Akerson referred to as Press Secretary in 1929 under Hoover Stephen T. Early was the first person to be formally appointed to the office in 1933 James C. Haggerty Eisenhower’s press secretary Appointed in 1953 Defined responsibilities Issued press releases Gave daily press briefings Alerted president to questions that could come up in news conferences Dealt with crises Handled logistics for reporters traveling with president Had a staff of seven: one assistant, one personal secretary and five stenographers o Vietnam and Watergate Changed the way the press viewed the presidency Made the relationship more adversarial Relationship symbiotic: both sides need each other but have different goals The president wants a favorable story Press wants all the information, even when unfavorable White house press corps became much less trusting after Pentagon Papers and Watergate Press became more prosecutorial than inquisitive o Growth of the Press Corps Press corps have grown a lot recently 15-20 covered White House under Roosevelt 100 covered Carter 1,700 cover White House today Size means more formal briefings are necessary Reasons for expansion Rise of TV Increasing importance of federal govt Interest of foreign media Desirability of beat White House press staff has grown as a result o The Modern Press Office Upper press office- located on first floor of West Wing Lower press office- adjacent to area where White House based reporters work Answers routine questions, makes info available, schedule, etc. News summary Originated in Nixon administration Summary of major TV newscasts, wire stories and stories in papers across the country Prepared overnight Press advance office Handle logistics for media Photo office Supplies photographers Press corps’ judgment still rests on having confidence of president, being well informed about events and attending to reporters needs well The Office of Communications o Created at the beginning of the Nixon administration o Herbert Klein first communications director o Responsibilities of communications director vary o Depend on skills and power structure in white house o Office of Media Relations Handles out of town press Holds news conferences for local press on the road Invites out of town press to events at the White House o Television Office Formally created in 1971 Helped give president advice on how to look good on TV Remake president’s tv image o Speechwriters Part of white house staff since Harding administration Multiple speechwriters One usually chief Coordination o Degrees of Control Coordination of press relations in 1950s carried out by press secretary Facilitated coordination, but left assistants unknown Pierre Sallinger (JFK’s secretary) open beat LBJ and Nixon- greater control Reagan – open beat first term, closed beat second term o “Line of the Day” Developed by Nixon White House Coordination mechanism Control news media by giving single theme to write about Not used by Carter and Bush I, but used by Ford, Reagan and Clinton o Meetings and the Chief of Staff “Line of the Day” signaled greater concern with public relations and the emergence of the chief of staff in communications strategy When Chief of Staff makes decisions, implementation handled by Press Secretary and/or Communications Director 1990s- things complicated by 24 hour news cycle Need to comment on just breaking news Clinton administration used morning meets to coordinate pr with policy Media Liaison Activities Press o o o Briefings Principal means of disseminating information to media Times of press briefings vary by administration Nixon- one midday press briefing instead of two Single briefing gave less opportunity for reporters to ask questions New larger briefing room More formal setting o Begin with statements by press secretary, outline of president’s schedule and announcements o Reporters questions fill most of briefing Press Conferences o From Harding to Eisenhower, generally published in third person o Haggerty allowed transcripts of press conferences to be printed and allowed the use of direct quotations o By 1955, print stories were supplemented by television coverage on the news o Live TV coverage began in 1961 Pro: Kennedy could speak directly to American people Con: addressing multiple audiences could lead to miscommunications Kennedy held live press conferences every other week No one else did o Preparation for press conferences varied by president Extensive preparation began with General Marshall during WWII Reagan required the most preparation o From 1969 on, the frequency of press conferences has declined Discouraging Important way for President to gain information and knowledge about what is going on Speeches o When should president give a major speech? If speaks too often, lose effect If speaks too rarely, loses opportunity Decision to speak depends on topic Presidents tend to speak when approval rating has changed or when military crisis is receding Presidents do not tend to speak during times of inflation or high unemployment rates o Different kinds of speeches o Major policy speeches: Initial draft circulated, comments gathered, recirculated and eventually sent to the president Presidents vary in participation Complexity of the speech is a consideration If very complex, agencies compete for coverage If short, individual agency will do much of the work Conflict between memorable imagery and prudence Ideal: graceful phrases that will not conflict with political needs Coping with Crises o News crisis develops when unintended event develops and is important enough to become a major news story Press secretary and press corps lack information Press wants information immediately o Sometimes the facts are not known o Other times, issues of national security may lead to a need for things to be kept secret Information Gathering in Media Relations o Must gather lots of information and know what talking about o Briefers must be knowledgeable about developments and able to anticipate questions o If misinformation provided, will be held responsible. o Presidents can call stories to press secretary’s attention o Spokesmen’s standing amongst staff members is important in gathering information Particularly important when secret matters are being discussed If there is trust, the press secretary will have access In other cases, he is shut out Access to information is very important as is the ability to sit in on meetings Decision Making in Media Relations o Administrations must decide what information to release o Presidents have the right to withhold information in cases of national security What constitutes national security? Wartime best case for secrecy Confidential negotiations with foreign power another case for secrecy o Also need to not compromise privacy of an individual (for example, in appointments) o President’s health is another difficult case o Should a press secretary reveal policy alternatives? o Should a press secretary say anything until policy has been definitively decided upon? o “To whom should information be released?” o Press secretary in difficult position: if reveals too much, can damage president. If reveals too little, loses credibility with reporters who must trust him if he is to be successful Exercising Influence in Media Relations o White house has some ability to influence reporters but cannot command that story be told in a particular way o The press secretary is not the only link to the media o Different resources—media decides on its own which stories IT thinks are important o White house controls visual content, but reporters have more control over verbal content o Both sides believe reacting to one another and that neither being manipulated o Limits to White House’s ability to manipulate the media o White House advantage: President President is news If the president reports on something, it will be covered How statement received depends on how president’s perceived. Is he honest? o Other options for White House to get stories out if they are not important enough for the president to announce. o Complex stories Substantive policy proposals Reporters don’t usually have necessary background Officials may brief Reporters get fact sheet Walked through and given clarifications Reliance on experts o Often works through press corps structure Some news organizations more important than others Particular attention to them o Influence TV coverage by providing pictures o Can the White House prevent coverage of unfavorable stories?: Release information when unlikely to get covered If president or aides are candid, reporters may kill a misleading story White House can appeal on behalf of national interest Can offer another story to try to detract attention from coverage of other story Lawrence R. Jacobs, “The Presidency and the Press: The Paradox of the White House Communications War” Jacobs gives an account of health care reform and Social Security reform during the Clinton presidency to demonstrate that adversarial strategies of dealing with press don’t necessarily work as well as cooperative strategies Clinton’s reaction to hostile media coverage in the first six months of his presidency was “to launch a ‘communications war’ that would ‘use the power of the White House to control the message’ through presidential speeches and actions to dominate press reporting and drown out critical commentary by journalists and political opponents.” This communication’s war—what Jacobs calls “pounding the press”—has 3 major objectives: o bring media attention to specific areas and divert attention away from other areas (in Clinton’s case, to health care reform and away from the middle class tax cut and Whitewater); o encourage the media to use presidential “friendly sources,” usually members of the administration and friends of the president; o get the media to cover substantive policy, not the horserace or political strategizing. Instead of accomplishing these objectives, “the flaw in the White House strategy is a radical underestimation of the costs—namely, expansion of the media’s coverage of these strategies and of oppositional viewpoints—and an unrealistic confidence in its own ability to ‘get away with anything.’” Reporters, aiming to increase audience size and increase profits while delivering non-partisan news to the public, work within “standard organizational routines and operations that structure the subject, sources, and flow of news reports.” (i.e. news “beats”) The White House has more journalists assigned to cover it than most other “beats” and therefore is the subject of more press reports. Reporters, attempting to cover all sides of an issue, inevitably go to the opposing sources who are eager to share their views. Also, while the president intends to draw more attention to the substance of a contentious issue by pounding the press about it, his actions have the opposite effect of drawing attention to the motivations and incentives of the different policy advocates. (i.e. the “horserace”) Jacobs uses two examples, Clinton’s health care reform package and his Social Security policy to demonstrate different consequences of the communication’s war approach and its alternative, respectively. o Clinton faced “strong political counteraction” to his efforts to ‘hammer home his message” on health care; however, on Social Security he “pursued an accommodating strategy” that was better received by the press. The Health Care Wars Clinton’s health care reform plan was introduced by an intensive media campaign, beginning with a nationally televised speech in the House of Representatives, and a constant stream of press reports and additional speeches. o This ignited “counterstrategies” from all sides in the Congress and among interest groups. o Finally, while the president could not sustain his media campaign (an inevitable occurrence according to Jacobs) because of other pressing foreign and domestic emergencies and issues (Somalia/Whitewater), “his critics remained ‘on message’ and eager to take advantage of his absence to hammer his plan and outline their alternative plans.” Clinton’s attempt to rekindle his media campaign in his State of the Union in 1994 (threatening to veto any plan with less than universal coverage) were met with then Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole’s counterclaim that there was no health care crisis. Eventually, the campaign lost momentum again because the plan got caught up in Congressional Committees and the CBO. Finally, the plan died in the Senate, never even coming to a vote. “Little in the health care reform episode resembles the elaborate step-by-step white House plan for presidential dominance of press coverage. The White House consistently underestimated the media’s tendency to cover controversial presidential initiatives by increasing their use of critics or distracting independent voices as sources and their focus on political conflict and strategy.” The Search for Common Ground on Social Security Social Security and health care reform were both contentious issues that Clinton wanted to address. However, “what distinguished Clinton’s actions on Social Security is that he started by acknowledging and attempting to accommodate the viewpoints of a diverse set of political actors who had already expressed interest in reforming the program.” The key to Social Security was “compromise” as opposed to health care reform in which Clinton essentially gave his own plan as an ultimatum. Unlike in the health care situation, the White House did not attempt to dominate and control the press over the debate on Social Security: “The press was drawn to Social Security before Clinton’s States of the Union address [in 1998] by real world events (namely, the brightening budgetary outlook for Social Security) and by the actions of a diverse group of influential government officials—members of Congress, Greenspan, CBO officials and others.” Clinton merely helped guide the discussion as a “convener of major players” rather than as “communicator-in-chief.” The press responded to this cooperative approach, reporting on the substance of the policy, rather than on conflict and political strategizing. The Campaign to Privatize Social Security GWB declared the kind of communications war on social security reform which Clinton had on health care reform. Hope for reform pinned on saturating airwaves and rallying Americans to reform – key to success was seen as media blitz to inundate public through press with carefully sculpted speeches from administration. 3 steps to strategy: o Convey a sense of urgency and induce reporters to treat proposals as necessity o Saturate Americans with carefully chosen words while downplaying others – keep large scale details out of equation o Organize powerful coalition of allies to reinforce public communications WH felt approach successful – “The third rail is dead” but Communications was ignited critical reaction from Rs, Ds and Interest Groups – Republican Congressmen split – one issue was size of private accounts, another was assessment of size of risk of electoral backlash R doubts magnified by ferocious D criticism – press reported and highlighted partisan divide GWB increased volume of coverage but also that of criticism – critics claimed need for change modest not urgent and highlighted costs of reform GWB appreciated press’s tendency to focus on political strategy and so highlighted substance Collaborative Presidential Leadership Jacobs finally argues that presidents should “reconsider one particular leadership style (communications warfare) in favor of another—institutionally-based cooperative leadership.” He defines cooperative leadership as resting “on a philosophy of shared governance, common institutional interest, and a focus upon issues already of interest to other government officials.” - Leading cooperatively, presidents will actually accomplish the goals they set out to achieve, but eventually frustrate by launching a communication’s war. (For a great summary of Jacobs’ argument, read the brief section entitled “Collaborative Presidential Leadership”--bottom of p. 323-325) December 6: The Presidency and the Press Samuel Kernell, Going Public: New Strategies of Presidential Leadership 3rd edition, (Congressional Quarterly Press, 1997), chapter 3, pp. 65-103. The FDR style of handling the press is illustrated by an incident where one New York editor ran a story questioning Roosevelt’s health. The information was known by most in the immediate press family, but FDR had told them “off the record”, a phrase that used to be powerful enough to keep stories out of the newspaper. “institutionalized pluralism requires continuous face-to-face negotiations among partison participants and inculcates strong norms of propriety. Cordial relations are functional.” (66) the press is no different. Waldo was chased out of the National Press Club by his colleagues who sided with the president to avoid suffering a similar fate. “Roosevelt enjoyed a more productive relationship with the press corps, than any president before or since.”(67) Why was press important? Shaped and measured public opinion before polling existed. Uses of press coverage: “By making an issue newsworthy, he can force other negotiators to deal with it.”(67) Can also enhance his own position on any issue. Press can serve as an unofficial means of communication between the White House and the Congress and often precedes official meetings. Roosevelt’s success may have stemmed from his need to enlist many different persons to help with the New Deal. Negotiation was a key part, and thus the press was played a critical role in “selling” the New Deal. Roosevelt also understodd reporters’ professional interests, and thus reciprocity was born out of mutual back-scratching. History of DC Press: Increased professionalism can be explained both by the growth in the number of reporters and the lower turnover—veterans were valued more for their connections, and the stability of relationships contributed to professionalism that developed from the 1860’s through Roosevelt’s time. Reporters also started working for more than one newspaper, began to be less partisan so they could be hired by different newspapers: had to be flexible. Early relations: Johnson started doing interviews (mostly to defend himself during the impeachment trials). McKinley gave out his speaking schedule to reporters. T. Roosevelt gave more access in exchange for more control over the stories. Closest reporters were the most controlled. First to create insiders vs. outsiders. Wilson opened his weekly meetings to everyone, but had to abandon it later when his off-therecord stories leaked. Coolidge, hid behind his spokesperson alit, began to take heat from the press. Hoover makes the press angrier by reusing the insider-outsider tactics of T. Roosevelt. President criticized by the press more often. More FDR: With FDR the press got unprecedented access, along with openly conveyed hard news. Roosevelt strengthened the importance of the press conference. “Never let the reporter go home empty handed.” Treated critics fairly, blamed editors instead of reporters. Used press conference instead of private interview almost exclusively. First ever Press Secretary (Stephen Early). “President and press needed each other to accomplish their respective tasks.” FDR understood this reciprocity better than anyone. Truman, Eisenhower: Use the press less frequently, fewer conferences. Appeal through radio and television instead. Reliance on “Media” JFK: Publicly active president emerges. Uses rhetoric extensively. First live broadcast of president speaking on television. Televised press conferences puts pressure on reporters.. Loses favor with the press because he believes in speaking directly to the people. No more private press conferences. Conferences also less frequent and less important. Started to fail to produce “hard news”. Kennedy also invited regional papers to the White House, and used private interviews to get more control over the stories. Kennedy accused of replacing negotiation with public pressure in Washington circles. Many thought his use of media was “corrupt”. However, the presidents after Kennedy have basically followed his model of president-press relations. More use of local television coverage. Allows president to segment the market, and local tv is also more likely to be docile compared to the Washington press. Each president had his own style. Johnson had studio set up in the White House. Carter used town meeting settings a lot. Reagan used the radio. Bush was not good on television, so he went back to using the press a little. Most were short notice so tv crews couldn’t assemble. Used the informal approach over the formal, prime-time press conference. Summary: “With presidents increasingly going public and with a more assertive press, contention over control will remain a fixture of the modern system… Modern presidents are clearly opting for more controllable means to communicate their views to the American public… Presidents are also enlisting techniques that do not require the direct participation of reporters. [They now use] television and speeches to gatherings of special constituencies.” 96. Presidential Style and Character Michael Nelson: “The Psychological Presidency” –Summary Michael Nelson examines James David Barber’s theories on the psychological elements of the presidency and the need for political journalism to consider psychology in its coverage of presidential elections. Psychological Perspectives on the Presidency: Constitutional Perspectives— -framers wanted to limit power of any single man -framers vested executive power in a single person, in spite of potentially ruinous ambition, because (1) they knew Washington would be the first president, and “his personal character would ensure [the presidency’s] republican nature” (2) they provided for the election of a president by his peers (electors, House members) who would know his character, and (3) they believed the Constitution allowed the removal of “mad or wicked presidents” before they could do much damage Scholarly Perspectives— -now, framers’ defenses against President with defective character are gone -post-FDR, scholars (i.e. Neustadt) were unconcerned with destructive ambition—they exalted not only presidential power but ambitious presidents -scholars recognized people’s attitudes towards presidents were psychological as well as political; nationalistic emotions were directed toward presidency (not monarchy) Example: Kennedy’s assassination provoked strong feelings of personal grief James David Barber and the Psychological Presidency: presidency is an institution shaped by individual personalities and public feelings about the office Presidential Psychology— -psychological constitution based on worldview (adolescence-born politically relevant beliefs), style (“habitual way of performing 3 political roles: rhetoric, personal relations, and homework”—formed in adulthood), and character -character: enduring orientation toward life -formation of character produces self-esteem: if high, person is “active-positive” = ideal for presidency (FDR, Carter, Ford, Truman, Jefferson, Clinton) -insecurity has three forms, each producing a personality type 1) affection seeking: passive positives (Madison, Taft, Harding, Reagan)—enjoy office, but not hard-working 2) finding usefulness through duty: passive negatives (Washington, Coolidge, Eisenhower)— duty propels them into politics 3) dominance seeking: active negatives (Adams, Hoover, Johnson, Nixon, Wilson)—throw themselves into work compulsively, without satisfaction, and pursue disastrous policies because unwilling to lose control by conceding error -rarefied, courtlike atmosphere of presidency allows presidents to seal themselves off from harsh political reality Criticism: -psychology may not be everything; healthy political personality is no guarantee of success in office, and unsuitability does not correspond to failure -philosophy and skills can explain behavior as well as personality -subjective criteria—no clear standards against which to measure presidents The Psychological Presidency: 212-220 Michael Nelson Nelson dedicates this portion of his essay to three different aspects of James David Barber’s work: 1) Public Psychology; 2) Person, Public Mood, and the Psychological Presidency; 3) Barber’s Prescriptions. The first of these segments, Public Psychology, is focussed on Barber’s book, The Pulse of Politics: Electing Presidents in the Media Age. The novel theory in Barber’s book is that presidential elections of the twentieth century follow a 12-year cycle, one characterized by three different public moods: conflict, conscience, and conciliation. According to this schema, an initial conflict-election, in which the public yearns for a “blood-and-guts political contest”, is followed four years later by a conscience-election where the public seeks to restore high-minded principles to the country and the presidency. In the subsequent election, the public seeks to mollify the strains of four years spent devoted to moral and political stringency. This conciliation-election, in which the public seeks tranquillity above all else, is then followed by another conflict-election, and the cycle repeats itself. According to Nelson, Barber sees the “psychological pulse” (conflict-conscience-conciliation) found in modern elections as an extension of elemental human psychology. The Freudian terminology of ego, superego, and id are supposed to reflect the three distinct public moods found in modern elections. Moreover, each mood in the cycle is supposed to cause (in psychological terms) the next one, thus explaining why the cycle recurs throughout modern elections. Nelson criticizes Barber’s theory for two reasons. One, Barber does not include any sort of scholarly citation to back up his weighty psychological claims. And two, the theory itself does not account for the actual character of elections. (For instance, the acrimonious election of 1988 was supposed to be a conscience election according to Barber’s theory.) The second segment, Person, Public Mood, and the Psychological Presidency, examines both sides of Barber’s model: the character of the president and the mood of the public during the election cycle. According to Barber, each of the three public moods finds resonance with one of his distinct psychological characters laid out for the modern presidents. Thus the conflict-election calls for a president with an activenegative psychological character, the conscience-election for a passive-negative, and the conciliationelection for a passive-positive. Barber’s fourth psychological type, the active-positive, finds resonance in all public moods, and is considered a “president for all seasons”. However, Nelson points out that there is a very poor correlation between the public mood during a given election and the psychological type of the president elected, thereby further undermining Barber’s theory. The final segment of this essay, Barber’s Prescriptions, finds Nelson approving Barber’s ideas for reforming the electoral system. Though Nelson rejects much of Barber’s psychological framework for presidents and the election cycle, he agrees that media coverage of presidential elections should put greater emphasis on the candidates. According to Barber, if the media focused less on the horse-race aspect of elections and more on the characters of the candidates involved, the result would be a more informed and more interested electorate. Barber sees this step as an entirely pragmatic step with respect to the business of the media, which is to sell stories. More attention on individuals, their attributes of character, and their views will garner greater readership for media sources, according to Barber. Nelson agrees. James David Barber “Answering the Critics” (in The Presidential Character: Predicting Performance in the White House) Barber, in his influential book, The Presidential Character, categorizes Presidents based upon psychoanalytic analysis into 4 categories (Active-Positive, Active-Negative, Passive-Positive, and PassiveNegative), which are summarized by Michael Nelson in “The Psychological Presidency” (The Presidency and the Political System). In this article, Barber responds to those who have critiqued his original thesis along the following lines: 1. Bias - Some critics have argued that Barber only presents those facts that fit his theory. He responds by saying that the facts about presidential character and subsequent performance are all in public view and he encourages those who have alternative theories to test them against the facts. Personalism – Other critics blame Barber for focusing too much on the psychology of the individual Presidents but he counters that by the very nature of the American political system it is “an extraordinarily personalized office.” In reality, even the bureaucracy of the Executive branch (EXOP and WHO) and the press are all focused on this one person. 3. Citizen Shrinks? Scholars have argued that Barber has written too much for the public, and not in the language of social scientists, and therefore his work can not be serious. He believes that it is harder to write for the public, but that this is who must be addressed since the reality is that they are forced to make character judgments. Through his work he hopes to improve public deliberation and choice by encouraging better journalistic analyses of character and style, rather than merely focusing on the horserace and the issues. 4. Psychoanalytic mumbo jumbo? Barber feels that in the nuclear age, the need for a non-psychotic President is essential, however he believes the campaign self-selects these individuals. He disagrees with the over-interpretation of small errors by candidates but rather argues that citizens must look for discernable patterns, as psychoanalysts do, in order to evaluate a candidate’s character. 5. Iron Box Barber’s critics contradict one another in their views as to whether Barber overgeneralizes or gets too wrapped up in the specifics. He believes that the similarities between different presidents can lead to generalization and abstraction, which allows him to categorize them. Although each person exhibits some traits that contradict their category, he focuses on the dominant characteristics. 6. Fake active-positives? Some critics believe that Barber’s work has encouraged candidates to seem “energetic and optimistic” during the campaigns when they are not this way in reality. Barber believes, however, that campaigning and governing are very different and therefore one must look beyond how a candidate behaves during a campaign to longer-term patterns of character traits and behavior. 7. The Mechanists Barber dislikes the move towards mechanical research and modeling by political scientists. 8. Change in adulthood Although American culture values change, Barber believes that individuals are rarely transformed and therefore he emphasizes continuity and an individual’s character over change. 9. Downplaying world view Barber focuses more on character and style than a President’s world view because he says that this is the most likely to change since our political system values pragmatism over ideology. 10. Inside my head Some critics believe that Barber stole his theory from another scholar but they disagree as to from whom. He counters that it was the process of many years of research and study that helped him develop it, as opposed to a single individual. 2. Conclusion: Barber aims to improve the chances for a better Presidential choice by shifting the focus of both political journalists and the public to the importance of a candidate’s character, style and worldview in predicting their performance as President. He believes that the future will continue to be a “Presidential era.” Evaluating Presidents and the Presidency Michael Nelson, "Evaluating the Presidency," in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 3-28. -Nelson examines the way in which 5 different groups evaluate the presidency: scholars, journalists, the public, congressmen, and bureaucrats Scholars: Strength Amid Confusion Scholars in the 1950’s and 60’s looked most of all for strength and the desire to be strong in presidents This included ability to battle successfully against Congress and the Supreme Court They also held the president in a somewhat religious view “Savior” model: the president should be strong, omnipotent, and benevolent Said president had a lot of power and that this was good Scholars in the period immediately following the Johnson and Nixon presidencies used the “Satan” model Thought that president had too much power and that this power has harmful Some, like Barber, explained this theory through psychology, blaming it on “active-negative” personalities Others blamed it on the growth of the office After weak presidencies of Ford and Carter, scholars switched to Samson model Said that pres. didn’t have enough power, which was bad Said there was a gap between expectations and actual abilities of pres., due to weakness of parties, decentralization of Congress, fragmentation of bureaucracy, growth of media, etc. Despite the differences between all of these theories, they all seem to have the basic notion that strength in the presidency is a good thing (even the Satan model) Journalists: Strength Amid Cynicism Basic idea: Journalists are cynical of president, but like scholars, they encourage presidential strength Cynicism has two origins: One is the period involving Vietnam and Watergate, in which reporters were lied to The other is “status frustration,” which occurs because the members of the White House press corps are very important, highly paid, etc., but they still have to follow the president around and rely on him to give them the news Press coverage often becomes negative when the president’s credibility is in doubt (Nixon in Watergate, Clinton in Lewinsky scandal) Most presidents get generally positive news coverage, though They usually get even more positive coverage from the press when they show strength and decisiveness and other leadership qualities The media is often forced to rely on the president for stories, and this constant coverage of the president increases his prestige and apparent strength Media also examines issues in terms of winning and losing, which makes strong presidents look like good presidents Citizens: Strength Amid Contradiction Public’s expectations of president are contradictory because they want the president to be the chief of government and the chief of state Want him both to get things done and to be above the fray Public also expects president to get many contradictory policies done In theory, Americans are “philosophical congressionalists,” which means that in the abstract, they would prefer that Congress run the country In practice, though, Americans are “operational presidentialists,” which means that they like strong, forceful presidents who take the lead over Congress Americans are also “emotional presidentialists,” which means that almost all of their political heroes are presidents This emotional attachment helps give the presidency strength Members of Congress: Strength amid Constituency Centeredness Congressmen want to be reelected, so they must focus on pleasing their constituencies They therefore propose bills that sound good but won’t pass, and they also focus on programs that benefit interest groups and campaign contributors This would make it seem difficult for a president with a large national agenda to be held in high favor with Congress, but this constituency centeredness in Congress actually increases presidential strength in 3 ways: the power to initiate, the power of popularity, and power in foreign policy Power to initiate Since 1932, Congress has given the president more and more responsibility to initiate legislation in order to get things done, especially with regard to the economy (Employment Act of 1946 required pres. to monitor economy and fix it in times of distress) Power of popularity In order to be reelected, congressmen will often follow the president if he is considered popular by the public Power in foreign policy By focusing on domestic issues, Congress leaves foreign policy realm to Pres. Bureaucrats: Strength amid Careerism Career civil servants are often motivated by self-interest, which would seem to make them less influenced by presidential leadership Civil servants often do respond to presidential leadership, however, because doing so can often help them to get ahead and move up in their agencies if the president rewards them Conclusion All of these groups appreciate strength in the presidency, although they may not always want to do so Two cautionary notes, though: Each group has a slightly different idea of strength (i.e. public often sees unifying ability as a strength, while press sees defeating political opposition as a strength) When presidents focus more on being strong than on their true duties, it is bad for the country Possible ID’s: 1) Savior model of presidency: scholarly theory from 1950’s and 60’s that the president should be something like a Christ figure- strong, omnipotent, benevolent, etc. 2) Satan model of presidency: scholarly theory from 1970’s that the presidency was too strong and was therefore harmful Samson model of presidency: scholarly theory following Ford and Carter presidencies Arthur M. Schlesinger, Jr., "Rating the Presidents: From Washington to Clinton," Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 112 (Summer 1997), pp. 179-190. Schlesinger gives a fun, breezy rundown of how presidents have been rated in the past half-century and what major factors lie behind historians’ rankings of them. Modern ratings of the presidents began when Schlesinger’s father asked 55 leading historians how they rated the American presidents in 1948, garnering much interest and much controversy. When Schlesinger repeated his poll in 1962, it received the same response. In 1996, Schlesinger Jr. replicated the poll for The New York Times Magazine. Presidents were rated Great, Near Great, Average, Below Average, and Failure, and were judged on their performance while in the White House, not on lifetime achievement. Schlesinger then wanders off into a long discussion of why historians have the right to judge presidents in the first place—for many presidents, only presidents (those who have done the job, and completely understand it) are qualified to judge other presidents. As Coolidge wrote in an “unwonted lyrical outburst,” describing how it is to be president, “Like the glory of a morning sunrise, it can only be experienced—it cannot be told.” For other scholars, the Schlesinger polls were too subjective—but their longer, more complex polls yielded essentially the same results. Writes Schlesinger: “There have been nine Greats and Near Greats in nearly all the scholarly reckonings. Lincoln, Washington and F.D. Roosevelt are always at the top, followed always, though in varying order, by Jefferson, Jackson, Polk, Theodore Roosevelt, Wilson, and Truman. Occasionally John Adams, Cleveland and Eisenhower join the top nine. The Failures have always been Grant and Harding, with Buchanan, Pierce, Fillmore, Taylor, and Coolidge always near the bottom.” The best and worst presidents have remained fairly stable through the years, Schlesinger says; presidents in between fluctuate much more in the polls. John Quincy Adams, Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, and Cleveland have declined noticeably more recently, while Eisenhower has steadily risen from 22nd in Schlesinger’s 1962 poll to ninth in a Chicago Sun-Times poll in 1996. When historians are rating presidents, Schlesinger says, they face a few major dilemmas. First, some presidents are “schizoid”—Nixon with his brilliant foreign policy and disastrous Watergate dealings, LBJ with the impressive series of Great Society legislative victories and, at the same time, his Vietnam debacle. Second, he implies, they must rate the presidents based on a thorough knowledge of American history, not giving in to popular considerations. Polk’s high ratings—given for accomplishing the presidential objectives he set out to do—are usually not understood by laymen, while Harding was an exceedingly popular president while in office but is now universally derided by historians (think the Teapot Dome scandal). Schlesinger then gives a few concrete criteria for what make great presidents Great in the scholarly polls. First, they must have “an instinct for the dynamics of history”; “Great presidents have a deep connection with the needs, anxieties, dreams of the people.” Second, presidents must have a goal and must convince Congress and the public of the rightness of their course. Crisis gives presidents a chance to be great, but only if they are great will they rise to the occasion, as Lincoln and FDR did, and not falter, as Buchanan and Hoover did. Of national crises, war is the most common, and all of the top ten presidents except for Jefferson were involved in war before or during their presidencies. Finally, Great presidents cannot be middle-of-the-roaders. Writes Schlesinger, “Every president would like to be loved by everyone in the country, but presidents who sacrifice convictions to a quest for popular affection are not likely to make it to the top”; they must make decisive choices in pursuit of their ideals. “Judge me,” FDR said, “by the enemies I have made.” Schlesinger ends by analyzing what Clinton, then entering his second term, needed to do to make his mark on history. His analysis of Clinton’s strengths and weaknesses is perceptive, but more importantly, it underscores the lost potential of Clinton’s second term. “To make a mark on history,” Schlesinger writes, “Clinton must liberate himself from polls and focus groups. Let him put his first-rate intelligence to work on the hard problems.” But Clinton’s lack of self-discipline, as we all know, cost him much of the political capital of his second term, preventing him from even having the chance to tackle the hard problems—and for that he is destined to remain a very middling Average. Richard E. Neustadt, Presidential Power, chapter 9, pp. 167-182. Ch.9 was the first new chapter added for the second edition of Presidential Power. In it, Neustadt lists his criteria for appraising a president and clues to answering them. His criteria contains four questions: What were his purposes and how were they relevant to his time? What was his “feel”, his operating style? What was his stance under pressure in office? What was his legacy? Neustadt argues that the third, fifth and sixth years of a presidency are the most crucial for appraising a president. He explains why the other years are less indicative of a president’s success. Throughout the entire chapter, he uses JFK as his prime example and goes through the four questions and their respective “clues” to identify where JFK was successful and where he was not. Gienapp, William. “Abraham Lincoln and Presidential Leadership” I. Introduction: Despite all the trials and tribulations that a President faces, the presidency “remains the focus of the American political system and the most important source of national leadership.” Because of its importance, historians and political scientists have attempted for decades to determine a formula for evaluating a II. III. IV. V. President. The main conclusion that can be drawn from these studies is that there is no such formula. Gienapp believes the task of evaluating presidential leadership can be divided into 5 categories – the President as the leader of his administration, his party, the government, the military, and the American people. Because he made some of the most significant decisions during a major national crisis, many historians believe that Abraham Lincoln is the greatest President in American history. A. Yet Lincoln’s contemporaries, even members of his own party, did not share this opinion. B. Still, Gienapp believes that Lincoln’s pre-presidential career, while it seemed undistinguished, showed that he had the skills to be a great President. C. From the very beginning of his presidency Lincoln’s main goal was to preserve the Union. After the attack on Fort Sumter, Lincoln decided that military force was necessary to maintain the Union. “That he succeeded was his greatest accomplishment as president.” Lincoln as the leader of his administration A. Throughout his political career, Lincoln made crucial decisions completely on his own. Lincoln made decisions by gathering advice from various people, listening to opposing viewpoints, and then thinking about the issue and making up his mind in solitude. B. Lincoln appointed his major rivals for the 1860 Republican nomination to his cabinet, making it one of the more distinguished cabinets in history. He appointed his rivals because he intended to rely on his own judgment; the cabinet was never a policy-making body under Lincoln. Lincoln even made the decision to issue the Emancipation Proclamation completely on his own. Lincoln as the leader of his party A. He knew how to keep good personal relations with individuals and paid close attention to organizational details B. The patronage system was very important to him and he therefore devoted a lot of attention to federal appointments C. He was respectful of party critics, which helped hold the Republican party together during the war even when members were divided over the issues of slavery, war policy, and reconstruction. D. He could handle severe criticism and never became intimidated. E. He was easily renominated by the Republican convention in 1864. Lincoln as a leader of the government A. His relationship with Congress: 1. Lincoln left it mostly to Congress to make important legislation – He would recommend general policies but normally did not submit legislation to Congress 2. Lincoln did take an active role on legislation that involved slavery because this was part of the Union war aims. ( He put a lot of effort into getting the 13th Amendment, which abolished slavery, passed) 3. Because Lincoln found Congress difficult to deal with , his most decisive actions occurred while Congress was not in session, such as the initial call for troops, the institution of the blockade, and the suspension of the writ of habeas corpus. 4. Still, Lincoln’s tactful approach to Congress made sure that the relationship never completely broke down B. Lincoln lacked diplomatic experience and therefore took little interest in foreign affairs. VI. VII. C. Lincoln’s relationship with the military: Despite not having much prior experience with the military, Lincoln took an active role during the war, both in the selection of commanders and in the determination of strategy. He had a keen insight into military strategy: 1. recognized importance of the navy 2. realized that his army had to take advantage of the North’s numerical superiority 3. displayed “a considerable amount of tact” with his military commanders; how much he intervened with their plans depended on how much faith he had in them Lincoln as the leader of the American people A. amazing ability to read the public mood B. However, Gienapp believes that Lincoln should have made more speeches to gain popular support for his policies. Instead, Lincoln relied on written speeches. 1. Although he was mostly self-educated, Lincoln was a “literary craftsman” 2. Gettysburg Address, the most famous presidential speech, clearly stated the meaning of the war 3. The Second Inaugural, delivered just after victory, is known for its humility and compassion C. had a remarkable ability to reach out to the common people in his speeches – probably more popular with the people than with leaders of his own party D. very good sense of political timing, as demonstrated by his eventual adoption of emancipation as a war aim E. held onto what war was really about – an effort to preserve democracy in the land of opportunity Conclusion A. Contemporaries did not view Lincoln in such a positive way because of his undistinguished political career beforehand, his policies were controversial at the time and naturally offended many people, the increasing cost of the war and his failure to end the conflict for some time, and many just could not get passed his physical appearance. B. Historians, however, know the outcome of events and the significance of Lincoln’s decisions are captivated by his tragic death, understand the military difficulties he faced, and are fascinated by the power of his words.