‘Please sir may I have some more’: Multinational enterprises and regional integration in an African context Abstract: Despite the centrality of MNEs to global production networks little research has gone into understanding the role of MNEs in shaping the regional integration process and outcomes in Africa. Similarly, the impact which regional integration has on these same enterprises is explored only ever in passing. Combining regional integration studies with a value chain approach to productive networks, this paper develops a new theoretical framework in order to understand the impact of regional integration on MNEs and vice versa. The Lesotho-South Africa garment value chain in SADC illustrates several ways in which regional integration processes and regulations work to shape economic integration. Rules of Origin, preference erosion through inter-state competition for FDI, non-tariff barriers, the Common Monetary Area of SACU, SACU’s Duty Credit Certificate scheme, location proximity, and duty free access within SACU are all regional integration policies and processes which have substantially shaped the outcomes found in this value chain. The impact of MNEs on these processes and outcomes is, however, less obvious. The policy implications of these findings are explored further. 1 1. Introduction Regional integration studies have been characterised by a neglect on the role of the private sector in regional processes and outcomes (UNCTAD, 2013b). The rise of regionalization – de facto economic integration through market processes not reliant on formal institutions – in the context of Asian economic integration has changed this somewhat (Munakata, 2004). However, there has been little success in adapting this approach to the African context, despite several efforts (Hartzenberg, 2011; UNCTAD, 2013b). Regionalism, defined as the ‘formal institutions’ and political processes which guide regional integration outcomes, has long dominated the regional integration agenda in Africa. But due to the low capabilities of most African states, insufficient institutional capacity exists for states’ to effectively participate in the processes designed to shape regional outcomes. Low levels of national economic development and severe economic disparities between states compound this problem. A separate field of enquiry focusing on ‘value chains’ has emerged to try and explore if and how less developed nations can benefit from integration into global productive chains (Fukunishi and Ramiarison, 2011; UNCTAD, 2013; Humphrey and Schmitz, 2002). This approach is useful due to its emphasis on the linkages which are fostered by lead firms to external companies in the course of a single productive network (Gereffi, Humphrey, and Sturgeon, 2005). Very often these networks have a strong regional concentration, especially in the production and trade of intermediate goods (Baldwin, 2012; 2013). Despite this, regional integration studies (RIS) have not employed a value chain analysis to try and better understand the economic dynamics which generate different regional economic configurations. This may be because RIS have classically been preoccupied with political processes and the conditions for entry into more advanced regional economic entities (Bayoumi and Eichengreen, 1992; Mundell, 1961). The role of multinational enterprises (MNEs) in effectively linking economies and impacting regional integration has only recently been explored in the African context and not within value chains (UNCTAD, 2013b). The concomitant impact of regional integration policies and institutions on these productive networks has similarly been neglected. This study aims to better understand the impact of MNEs on regional integration in Africa and vice versa, as well as outline some of the policy implications for governments, intra-state institutions, and private sector actors. The case study of the Lesotho-South Africa garment value chain in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) shows quite clearly that regional integration is having a profound effect – both positive and negative – on regional productive networks governed by MNEs. The impact of this on the regional integration process remains uncertain. Few linkages have developed between South African firms in Lesotho and potential Lesotho clothing producers (Morris and Statitz, 2013). This bodes poorly for enhanced regional integration which requires a two way flow in goods and services. The impact of 2 South African firms moving to Lesotho will, however, work to shape the perceived common interests of South Africa and Lesotho in regional and bilateral forums. Section 2 of this paper details key concepts necessary to understand value chains, their governance and locational determinants. A theoretical framework is laid out for how regionalism (formal regional integration) may influence MNE activities; and how MNE activities may in turn impact not only regionalism but also regionalization (de facto economic linkages). The role of supply chains in shaping corporate networks and regionalization is highlighted. Section 3 provides an overview of the African corporate landscape. These corporates are the potential ‘system integrators’ for the region. Section 4 describes the South Africa-Lesotho garment value chain which we use to assess the impact of MNEs on regional integration in Africa and vice versa. Section 5 concludes. 2. Theoretical Framework 2.1. MNEs and value chains: internalize or externalize According to the OECD (2008:12) MNEs “usually comprise companies or other entities established in more than one country and so linked that they may co-ordinate their operations in various ways”. For Gereffi (1999:1) the idea of globalization itself presupposes a “functional integration between internationally dispersed activities”. Today MNEs manage thousands of tasks along an increasingly finely sliced value chain (UNCTAD, 2011:126). These tasks can be internalized within the MNE or externalized to an outside firm. Figure 1: Selected non-equity modes of production along a value chain Source: UNCTAD (2011:126) based on Porter (1985). While the ‘supply chain’ trade has grown dramatically, many of the resulting chain linkages are often regional in focus (Baldwin, 2012). While the networks as a whole are global in reach and are managed by a small group of ‘system integrator’ companies, or “businesses with dominant brands and superior technologies, which are at the apex of value chains that serve the global middle classes. These global businesses, in turn, exert enormous pressure on their supply chains, creating ever-rising consolidation 3 there, as well” (Wolf, 2013). These networks are in constant reorganization and can be managed through foreign direct investment (FDI) or outsourcing, or through a simple arms-length market relationship. FDI keeps the task internal to the firm. This is when a resident entity acquires a lasting interest in a nonresident entity. A minimum ownership of 10% of the voting power is generally the main criterion. External supplier capability as well as information complexity and the ability to codify it must not be sufficient to make externalizing production a more attractive alternative. Externalization leads to a non-equity mode of production (NEM). UNCTAD (2011) defines this as the externalization of a business’s operation in which a level of control or influence is extended over a hostcountry business by means other than equity holdings. This influence could include specifications on the design and quality of the product (standards) or what business model the firm should follow. Examples of NEMs are a contractual partner in manufacturing, licensing, or franchising. These are distinct from arm’s-length transaction networks. NEMs and FDI are often complementary (UNCTAD, 2011), such as the coexistence of a franchise outlet and retail outlet, or an owned procurement and distribution centre to support contract manufacturers. The successful growth and industrialization of a host of mainly East Asian economies through global value chains has led to a debate on whether Africa can follow a similar path to prosperity (UNCTAD, 2012; Kaplinsky and Morris, 2001). The role of regional integration in integrating Africa into more complex efficiency-seeking chains is explored further in sections 2 and 4. We now turn to some of the determinants of attracting a value chain. Upgrading is conditioned by the internal and external governance structures which affect the value chain. “The former are negotiated between firms within a GVC. The latter are set by governments and determine the environment within which the GVCs operate” (ODI, 2013). Internal governance structures are useful in understanding how and why firms organize their cross-border arrangements in the way in which they do, and how power and profits are distributed between chain actors. The two initial governance typologies used to explain the formation of different chain linkages were ‘buyer-driven’ and ‘producer-driven’. Buyer-driven chains reflect marketing and brands, in particular large retailers (Wal-Mart), marketers (Nike) and branded merchandisers (Levi Strauss & Co) (Gereffi, 1999). These buyers help to “create, shape, and coordinate the global value chains that supply their products, sometimes directly from overseas buying offices’ and sometimes through intermediaries…most notably trading companies” (Sturgeon, 2008:7). Few own their own factories. Labour intensive industries tend to be governed by buyers owing to the concentration of valuable property in the design and marketing (Sturgeon, 2008). FDI is less important here though does still occur. Producer-driven chains involve more complex production technology and processes (Gereffi, 1999). This leads to more complex supply networks, often created through foreign direct investment (Gereffi, 4 1999). Capital and technology intensive industries tend to be governed by producers, either internally or through closely affiliated ‘captive’ suppliers who are restricted in the use of the proprietary property which is shared with them (Sturgeon, 2008) In practice global production networks involve more complex linkage patterns between firms leading to a greater variety of governance types (Sturgeon, 2008). Linkage patterns are typically thought to be a function of supplier capability, and the extent of information complexity and its ability to be codified. Less noted is how maintenance of the lead MNEs proprietary property may shape linkages and influence distributional outcomes. The governance typologies (Table 1), as listed by Gereffi, Humphrey, and Sturgeon (2005), and summarised in Sturgeon (2008:10) are: 1) simple market linkages, governed by price; 2) modular linkages, where complex information regarding the transaction is codified and often digitized before being passed to highly competent suppliers; 3) relational linkages, where tacit information is exchanged between buyers and highly competent suppliers; 4) captive linkages, where less competent suppliers are provided with detailed instructions; and 5) vertical integration or ‘hierarchy’: linkages within the same firm, governed by management hierarchy. Table 1: Key governance types by complexity, ability to codify, and supply capabilities Source: Sturgeon (2008). Visually, we have the following five stylized linkage patterns (Figure 2): 5 Figure 2: Stylized linkage patterns/governance types of value chains Source: Gereffi, Humphrey, and Sturgeon (2005:89). Though power asymmetries are noted in Figure 2 as being lower the more market based the transaction, this is misleading. The market is the ultimate medium through which all unequal power relations are mediated and take advantage of. The framework also helps to explain when and why parts of the chain will be located at a distance or relatively close to the first tier supplier or lead firm (Table 2). 6 Table 2: Governance typologies and the internalization decision Type of linkage/governance Necessary proximity to relevant lead firm? Reason FDI Typical Nonequity mode Example Market No No None Agriculture Spot market Modular No No Co-location Contract manufacturing Full package producers electronics Relational Product specification simple or simple to transmit Easy to codify information Tacit information required Captive Maybe (monitor and control) Hierarchy Manufacture inhouse FDI No Small suppliers dependant on buyersï complex product spec; inability to codify Inability to codify and/or contract out Complex transaction; proprietary property If complementary required If complementary required If in-house capabilities are expanded in non-resident location Yes Garment manufacturers Contract Tiered supplier structure in automative industry No In-house design None Market-seeking subsidiary or branch. Source: Authors based on Sturgeon (2008); Gereffi, Humphrey, and Sturgeon (2005); and UNCTAD (2013). Note: Full package producers supply all component parts. As technology, supplier capability, and codification schemes change so too does the necessary governance type applicable to the chain linkage (Sturgeon, 2008). Given the weakness of pre-existing manufacturing capacity outside of Northern and South Africa, FDI is needed to establish firms in Africa with sufficient supply capabilities to undertake the task. An example is the recent investments by Samsung (assembly) and Honda (motorcycle production) into Kenya. The determinants of attracting FDI differ greatly by the underlying motive of the investment (UNCTAD, 2010, 2011). The primary motives are market-seeking (capture increased market share); efficiencyseeking (the vertical FDI commonly associated with global value chains) used to take advantage of differing cost and quality conditions in different locations; and resource-seeking. Especially for efficiency-seeking FDI, business environment and policy conditions which reduce risk, lower transaction and other costs, and raise the productivity of capital and labour are all important. In the case of Africa, FDI flows closely reflect market size potential, the distribution of economic competitiveness (located mainly in South Africa), and the incidence of natural resources. Similarly, NEMs can be looked at as having a market-seeking (brand licensing, franchising), efficiencyseeking (contract manufacturing, outsourcing), or resource-seeking (contract-farming) motive (UNCTAD, 2011:127). Resource-seeking NEMs are particularly common in Africa. 7 In Zambia, for example, 100% of cotton and paprika is produced through contract farming (UNCTAD, 2011). Studies on contract farming (e.g. Oya, 2011) do not, however, explore any cross-country dimensions of value chains. One such example is cocoa production in West Africa, which we explore in the final draft of this paper. 2.2. Regionalism as a determinant of MNE activities Formal regional integration processes (‘regionalism’) impacts the activities of MNEs directly and indirectly: directly through reducing tariff and non-tariff barriers (including rules of origin), and indirectly through improving the general business environment and policy conditions, including the incalculable benefits to member institutions’ from enhanced cooperation, coordination, and harmonization with a more advanced economy (Mundell, 1961; Krugman, 1993; Bayoumi and Eichengreen, 1992). Regional and national infrastructure cuts across these two channels as it can target tariff barrier specific assets as well as general business environment infrastructure. The institutional aspects of infrastructure management which relate to non-tariff barriers - so called ‘soft infrastructure’ - may be improved through both direct and indirect means. Drawing on Krüger and Strauss (2013), the impacts of regionalism on MNEs can be divided up between the five or so regional integration ‘stages’ (see Balassa’s forms of economic integration, 1961).1 Some regional integration efforts are not specific to any of these stages. A key requirement for these stages to be implemented effectively is the development of institutional capacity in weaker member nations. This is itself reliant on regional integration efforts involving a coalescing of weaker and stronger states (Krüger and Strauss, 2013). Table 3: African RECs and the 5 ‘stages’ of economic regional integration, 2013 RECs Date AMU CEN-SAD 1989 1998 COMESA EAC ECCAS 1994 2001 1983 ECOWAS IGAD SADC 1975 1998 1996 FTA Customs Union Common Market Monetary Union Political Federation Source: AfDB (2013a). Notes: Achieved (green), envisaged (blue), and not planned (grey). ‘Direct’ effects from regional integration will be felt predominantly at the stages of the free trade area and the customs union. However, non-tariff barriers may remain high, which can be especially important to allow for greater levels of economic development. Direct measures will affect different types of FDI 1 They were never referred to as ‘stages’ by Balassa. 8 and NEMs differently. MNEs from within the economic union will also be differently affected to those from outside it. Indirect impacts from regional integration, often the most important, take longer to have an effect and often have higher requirements for the level of economic development (and similarity) between member states. Market seeking FDI related NEMs (franchising) is significantly influenced by large reductions in tariff and non-tariff barriers. For non-member MNEs lower internal tariffs in a free trade area, encourage FDI and the consolidation of subsidiaries or branches between member states if high external tariffs exist and are maintained. For member MNEs lower internal tariffs in a free trade area, encourage the use of trade rather than the expansion of branches and subsidiaries and likewise a consolidation of subsidiaries or branches (te Velde and Bezemer, 2004). With respect to efficiency-seeking FDI and related NEMs (contract manufacturing and outsourcing), a free trade area can assist in the development of regional supply networks. A customs union deepens this by advancing the source of inputs from abroad more cheaply. Preferential market access agreements in place like AGOA may encourage continued FDI by foreign firms. However, strong competition effects can lead to industry consolidation or precipitate the movement of more foot-lose capital between states or abroad. A monetary and fiscal union can have other important effects on FDI, but which are not of direct relevance to us (Krüger and Strauss, 2013). 2.3. Impact of MNEs on regionalism and regionalization MNEs in turn can influence regional integration processes. MNEs may place pressure on governments to improve the enabling conditions for trade openness, especially cross border soft and hard infrastructure (UNCTAD, 2013). This effect cannot, however, be guaranteed. MNEs may choose to export abroad rather than to their neighbours. Moreover, the private sector might incentives to sustain the malfunctioning of ports and other infrastructure (World Bank, 2013). This is consistent with the agenda of an inward looking regional integration scheme or high levels of market concentration. Through income and wealth effects MNEs change country comparative advantage, and its ability to meet minimum economic membership requirements (Balassa, 1961). This will influence the type of regional integration advanced (outward or inward) and how specific sectors or issues are treated in institutional settings. The competition and linkage effects from MNEs can impact regional integration through several channels. Spillovers can occur to complementary and/or competing sectors which in turn can enable sufficient domestic supply capacity to demand goods and services from neighbours. The same effect can also lead to industry concentration which may increase the chances of agglomeration from increased 9 regional openness. A select group of ‘homegrown’ MNEs may dominate the regionalization process (as with South Africa and Africa) if expansion is primarily market-seeking and supply capacity is weak elsewhere. MNE activity may lead to linkages being developed. When this is a good or service with a more complex division of labour (usually manufacturing) then the greater the chance of market integration (regionalization) driving the regional integration process if member states have sufficient productive capabilities. One important way in which MNEs impact upon the regional integration process is through their sourcing policies. 2.3.1. MNE sourcing policy in Africa When a single MNE is responsible for governing productive networks which span several African countries, their supply networks effectively integrate producers into their markets. For example several global MNE auto part contract manufacturers have production facilities located in South Africa. ZF Friedrichshafen from Germany has 5 subsidiaries and Magna international has 2 (UNCTAD, 2011:220). As certain car dealerships or production facilities expand into Africa and require spare parts, they may source these inputs from South Africa, as is the case with the new Honda dealership in Kenya. Sourcing decisions are influenced by several factors. First tier suppliers often follow their lead MNEs. For example, South African firms supply certain mining MNEs even as they expand elsewhere into Africa. This, however, can have the effect of displacing local suppliers, as in Zambia (Morris, Kaplinsky, and Kaplan 2012). In addition, sourcing policy is influenced by the nationality of the MNE (Morris, Kaplinsky and Kaplan 2012); the capabilities of the domestic supplier; the cultural and language requirements of the country into which the MNE has expanded;2and the transportation costs from the supply base (Vink et al., 2006). Retail supplier networks are particularly relevant in the African context. The expansion of supermarkets into Africa has been driven by large South African modern retailers with some owner-operated franchisers. In 2010 Africa had 3800 franchise systems,3with 190 000 outlets, $70bn in sales, and 1.8 million employees (UNCTAD 2011:138). Of particular interest is that 70% of the outlets are ‘cross-border’ (Table 4). This is significantly higher elsewhere and perhaps due to the scarcity of modern franchises on the continent outside of South Africa (Dalberg, 2009). Table 4: Franchise Systems in the World and Africa, 2010 2 Based on company interviews. This consists of all the franchised units and united managed by the franchisor itself that operate under the same banner and business format, for example the KFC franchise system. 3 10 Region/economy World Development Economies Europe Japan United States Developing economies Africa Latin America & The Caribbean Asia South-East Europe and the CIS Number of franchise systems 30 000 12 200 7 700 1 200 2 500 17 400 1 600 3 800 11 200 800 Number of outlets (Thousands) 2 640 1 310 370 230 630 1 330 40 190 1 070 30 Sales ($ Billion) 2 480 2 210 340 250 1 480 270 30 70 170 5 Employees (Thousands) 19 940 12 400 2 830 2 500 6 250 7 540 550 1 810 4 810 370 Crossborder (Per cent) 15 10 20 5 5 30 70 20 25 50 Source: UNCTAD (2011). Note: A franchise system consists of all the franchised units and units managed by the franchisor itself that operate under the same banner and business format. Shoprite group4 is Africa’s largest food retailer. Unlike South African fast-food restaurants, ‘they have primarily expanded primarily through Greenfield and merger and acquisitions (M&A). Shoprite’s only franchise brand is OK. Driven by growing markets in Africa, fewer opportunities domestically, and the relatively undeveloped modern retail and franchise market on the continent, South African retailers and franchisers have rapidly advanced their footprint across the continent over the past decade. Figure 3: Regional spread of select South African retailers and franchisers, 2010 Source: UNCTAD (2011: 158). Shoprite has 1456 corporate and 380 franchise outlets in 17 countries across Africa with substantial amounts in other countries (see appendix and Shoprite, 2013). In turn Shoprite has contracts with 4 Shoprite includes: Shoprite, Checkers, Usave, OK Furniture, OK Power Express, House & Home, Hungry Lion, OK Franchise. 11 hundreds of suppliers from across the continent and abroad. Supply decisions are influenced by price and quality criteria related to supplier capabilities, transport costs in Africa and between Africa and abroad, and cultural considerations. The latter means that, in Angola for example, goods have to be displayed with a Portuguese label and products from Brazil and rice are preferred in the former Portuguese colonies. Some perishables might be sourced locally where possible, with smaller suppliers capabilities being developed where possible (a relational governance mode); while key fruits and vegetables will be transported by refrigerated container or truck, or flown in depending on the distance from South Africa and infrastructure conditions -- though many of the goods from South may come from abroad too. Canned goods, specialty items, and higher quality produce are generally transported from South Africa.5 Shoprite’s largest distribution centre is in Centurion where the main building of 114 000 m² is the largest distribution centre under one roof on the continent (Shoprite, 2013). Regional integration in this instance has been shaped by a confluence of factors and driven by the lead MNE and their first tier supplier. Agricultural producers in Africa not previously exposed to modern retailers have become inserted into such a chain and subject to new pressures (University of Pretoria, 2008). Captive chains exist at various points, driven by Shoprite’s enormous market power as a substantial purchaser of goods. In terms of franchising, profits are extracted especially through owning proprietary property (brands, recipes) and through renting out properties to franchisers. Relational chain linkages also exist between suppliers and have led to the emergence of more trained agricultural producers across Africa. 3. Africa’s corporate landscape: potential ‘system integrators’ The African corporate landscape describes the activities and current pool of the major and minor ‘system integrators’ operating across Africa. Africa’s corporate landscape is dominated in number by informal and small producers with low levels of technology (as reflected in regional integration statistics, AfDB, 2013). Major commercial networks which span across countries are all dominated by MNEs generally of foreign origin and ownership. Africa has historically had far high levels of foreign ownership in its capital stock (UNIDO and UNCTAD, 2011). Since 2000, the commodity boom has driven a substantial increase in FDI into the continent. Over time, the flows have been somewhat more diversified, especially into services (Ernest and Young, 2013). Africa’s growing consumer markets is partly responsible for the increased diversity of flows (UNCTAD, 2013c). The trend is reflective of improved fundamentals in Africa (Ernest and Young 2013), changing demographics, and possibly the changing geographical sources of FDI into Africa. 5 Interviews with Freshmark, Shoprites fruit and vegetable first tier supplier. 12 Many of the FDI flows are regional. According to Ernest and Young (2013:27)6: Intra-African contributions to FDI projects continue a strong upward trend, recording a high compound rate of 32.5% since 2007, compared with 15% CAGR for (non-African) emerging markets project investment into Africa, and only 8.4% for developed markets over the same period. South African firms are increasingly a driver of productive networks across the continent and is ranked fifth as a source country of Greenfield FDI project numbers into the rest of Africa since 2003. This has grown dramatically since 2007 (Ernest and Young, 2013). In Greenfield terms South African firms was the single largest investor (by number of projects) in Africa in 2012 after one removes investments from other countries into South Africa (Ernest and Young, 2013). In addition Kenyan firms emerge as an incredible ‘regional globaliser’ (Table 5). Notably absent are the North African firms. Table 5: Selected top sources of FDI into Africa, 2007-2012 Country United States South Africa Kenya Nigeria Complete Total New Projects (2007-12) CAGR % (2007-12) 516 11.20% 235 56.50% 113 60.00% 78 20.10% 4373 Source: Ernest and Young (2013). Major investors are larger firms. Only 0.36% of African firms are big corporates (probably MNEs) with annual operating revenues of more than US $50 mn. 38% of these major corporates are listed in South African, with the remainder mainly in North Africa, Angola, Ghana, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Côte d'Ivoire, and Zambia. The majority of the 686,625 firms in the sample cannot, however, be classified, probably due to their small size and informality (Orbis, 2013). Out of the top 132 African listed corporates by market capitalization (Orbis, 2013), less than half are listed on exchanges outside of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) in South Africa, with significant numbers listed in Nigeria, Morocco, Kenya, Egypt and even Swaziland. The top 10 ‘African’ listed MNEs by turn-over and market capitalization offers further insight into some the largest ‘African’ listed corporates governing productive networks on the continent. 6 Based on Financial Times fDi data on the number of Greenfield FDI projects. 13 Table 6: Top 10 ‘African’ MNEs by turn-over and market capitalization, 2013 Turn-over Market capitalization SASOL MTN GROUP THE BIDVEST GROUP NASPERS MTN GROUP SASOL SHOPRITE HOLDINGS DANGOTE CEMENT PLC STANDARD BANK GROUP STANDARD BANK GROUP IMPERIAL HOLDINGS VODACOM GROUP STEINHOFF INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS FIRSTRAND VODACOM GROUP KUMBA IRON ORE ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD THE ROYAL SWAZILAND SUGAR CORPORATION (RSSC) MASSMART HOLDINGS LTD BARCLAYS AFRICA GROUP LIMITED Source: Orbis (2013). Note: Companies had to have a minimum US$1 mn market capitalization to make either list. MTN – a South African listed telecommunications providers – is the largest corporate by market capitalization. Shoprite is number 4 by revenue and 15 by market capitalization. Almost all the top companies are significantly diversified in their geographical locations, expanding heavily into Africa. Many of these major MNEs are also integrated across their supply chain. MTN receives the majority of its revenue from outside of South Africa, having significant market share in Nigeria, Ivory Coast, Ghana, Cameroon, Sudan, and Uganda (and Iran and Syria), totaling 190 million subscribers (MTN Annual Report 2013). It addition it has its ‘small opco cluster’ of countries which comprises of operations in Cyprus, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Botswana, Rwanda, Benin, Congo, Liberia, Afghanistan, Swaziland, Yemen, Zambia and South Sudan. Dangote Cement is owned by the Dangote Group, the largest industrial corporate in West Africa with interests in cement, sugar, flour, salt, pasta, beverages and real estate, and new projects in development in the oil and Natural gas, telecommunications, fertilizer, and steel. 14 Several large South African listed are now truly global MNEs with their primary listing abroad. The big three are SABMiller, Anglo American, and BHP Billiton. Only their subsidiaries will be on the list (Anglo is the major share holder in Kumba Iron Ore). For both Anglo and SABMiller around half of their assets are now foreign, almost a half of sales, and almost a half of employment (UNCTAD, 2012). There is therefore no guarantee that developing ‘home grown’ MNEs will in any way place pressure on regional integration institutions (as argued by UNCTAD, 2013), nor that they will expand outwards into the continent, facilitating regional economies networks, rather than global networks. Without having to look at Table 7 below, the role of foreign based MNEs in Africa’s corporate landscape is already apparent. They have major subsidiaries listed on African stock exchanges and are majority shareholders of many major African listed companies. Almost every major global MNE has some presence in Africa. Table 7: Top 10 largest MNEs with a subsidiary in Africa, by turn-over and market capitalization, 2013 Turn-over Market capitalization WAL-MART STORES EXXON MOBIL CORP ROYAL DUTCH SHELL MICROSOFT EXXON MOBIL JOHNSON & JOHNSON BP WAL-MART VOLKSWAGEN AG GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY CHEVRON CORPORATION CHEVRON CORPORATION TOTAL S.A. WELLS FARGO & COMPANY TOYOTA MOTOR CORPORATION PROCTER & GAMBLE CO GLENCORE XSTRATA PLC TOYOTA MOTOR CORPORATION SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS NESTLE S.A. Source: Orbis (2013). Note: Companies had to have a minimum US$7.6 mn market capitalization to make this table. 15 Common to Tables 7 and 8 is their geographical reach. Large companies need large revenue streams and this comes with market share, which entails exports and/or FDI either within the continent or elsewhere. It is questionable though the extent to which all the major African listed corporates can be considered ‘system integrators’ (discussed previously). ‘System integrators’ are in fact few and far between. Note Martin Wolf (2013): Using data from 2006-09, Prof Nolan concludes that the number of globally dominant businesses in the manufacture of large commercial aircraft and carbonated drinks was two; of mobile telecommunications infrastructure and smart phones, just three; of beer, elevators, heavy-duty trucks and personal computers, four; of digital cameras, six; and of motor vehicles and pharmaceuticals, 10. In these cases, dominant businesses supplied between half and all of the world market. Similar degrees of concentration have emerged, after consolidation, in many industries. Much the same concentration can be seen among component suppliers. Look at aircraft. The world has three dominant suppliers of engines, two of brakes, three of tyres, two of seats, one supplier of lavatory systems and one of wiring. In the motor industries, as well as information technology, beverages and many others, the world has just a few dominant suppliers of the essential components. We now take a closer look at an important regional productive network governed by major South African retailers. 4. Regional integration and the South Africa-Lesotho garment value chain Clothing forms a central plank of Sub-Saharan Africa’s manufactured exports. Between 1995-2008 it consistently accounted for almost half of SSA’s exports of ‘narrow manufactures’ (Kaplinsky and Wamae, 2010). Kenya, Swaziland, Lesotho, Madagascar and Mauritius together accounted for more than 90 percent of SSA’s total apparel exports for much of the 2000s (Morris and Staritz, 2013). 16 Table 8: Importance of the Textile and Garments industry in SADC, 2009 Source: USAID (2011)7. South Africa accounts for the largest portion of intra-SADC clothing and textile imports, with Madagascar being the second largest, importing substantial quantities of fabric from Mauritius for further processing. Figure 4: SADC member shares’ in intra-SADC textile and clothing exports, 2009 Source: USAID (2011)8. Within the SADC their seems to be a clear distinction between countries such as Zimbabwe and Zambia which provide raw materials and Madagascar, South Africa, Lesotho, Tanzania, and others which concentrate on apparel exports (USAID, 2011). The case study below explores the creation of a new garment value chain in Lesotho driven by South African FDI, and governed ultimately by South African retailers. 7 Data to be updated for final draft paper. 8 Data to be updated for final draft paper. 17 4.1. From South Africa to Lesotho and back again At 18% of GDP, almost 70% of manufacturing production, and 60% of total exports the apparel sector is central to Lesotho’s economy and its efforts to reduce poverty, which remains widespread. Lesotho is the largest SSA exporter under AGOA to the USA, with its share growing since 1997 to 35% in 2011 (Morris and Staritz, 2013). Lesotho’s apparel industry was initially based on FDI that came almost exclusively from Taiwanese investors, with AGOA providing the impetus for its take-off and growth. Taiwanese firms were motivated by ‘quota hopping’ and preferential market access (Morris and Staritz, 2013). The Lesotho firms servicing this chain are basic cut-make-trim (CMT) outfits with key design, logistics, marketing, fabric sourcing, and financing being located in Taiwan. Exports are low quality bulk orders. In 2004/5 large waves of South African garment and efficiency-seeking FDI began to enter Lesotho. Unlike the Taiwanese firms, South African investors were not interested in using Lesotho as a production base to take advantage of AGOA. Instead, their investments were driven by the lower labour costs and unregulated working conditions. These served to shelter South African producers from increased competition from its cheaper Asian competitors for the orders from the major South African retailers (Woolworth, Edgars, Foschini, and Mr. Price). The retailers require smaller more time sensitive runs, and all within tight cost demands imposed by the threat of imports by the retailers from abroad. The key condition facilitating this move was duty-free market access to South Africa through the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). Moreover, South African producers were drawn to Lesotho by the geographical proximity to its retailers, as well as to the production houses’ head offices in South Africa. This provided a geographical advantage over the Asian-based networks based in Lesotho (Morris and Caritz, 2013); especially since the South Africa-Lesotho chain linkage was, to some extent, a ‘relational’ one which required South African lead producers to assist their Lesotho counterparts in meeting new and potentially challenging product specifications. Evidence suggests that some South African apparel manufacturers are aiming to transfer higher value-adding pre- and post-production functions (such as pattern making, fabric management, logistic coordination, etc.) from South Africa to Lesotho (Kaplinsky and Wamae, 2010). This governance structure stands in contrast to the hierarchical chain linkages typical between Asian firms in Lesotho and their counterparts in Taiwan. Lesotho’s garment sector nearly collapsed in 2004.The phase out of the Multi Fibre Arrangement (MFA) combined with several other factors to create a perfect storm for its industry (ODI, 2013; Morris and Staritz, 2013). Revisions to the global regulatory environment, especially those permitting the derogation for third country fabric (TCF) sourcing was one such factor; the ending of the Duty Credit Certificate (DCC) scheme run by SACU was another. The latter was “crucial” to the survival of Lesotho firms post-MFA (Morris and Staritz, 2013:9). The DCC was a rebate scheme set at 25 percent of the duty paid on imports of textile and apparel products based. This was based on the value of the goods exported outside SACU. It ran from March 2003 till 2011, being renewed twice during this period. The benefit earned by the exporter was determined by the degree of manufacture required to produce the finished good (SADC, 2003). As it happens only a minority of these DCCs were used for “own-account fabric imports; most were sold to South African retailers, which used them for apparel imports” (Morris and Staritz, 2013:9). Regulation changes in 2006 and 2009 meant that the DCCs eventually covered fewer product lines and were of less monetary value. In March 2011, the scheme was phased out and with it the effective export subsidy in the order of 14-25 percent of sales (Morris and Staritz, 2013). 18 South African apparel manufactures played an important role in stabilizing the Lesotho garment industry. Between 2006 and 2011 apparel exports from Lesotho to South Africa increased almost 27 times; and even more when cotton, yarn, knit and woven fabric are included (Morris and Staritz, 2013). The regional value chain was further strengthened when South Africa imposed quotas on Chinese imports in 2007 and 2008 (Morris and Staritz, 2013). For Lesotho this fortuitous import diversion was an unintended consequence of South Africa’s attempt to protect its South African based producers from cheaper Asian goods (Morris and Reed, 2009). The viability of the Lesotho garment industry remains precarious, however; dependant on cheaper and more productive labour for the survival of the South Africa value chain; and preferential market access for the Asian-AGOA value chain. Unless investments in infrastructure and firm level capabilities takes place in Lesotho, the long-term viability of the industry, as well as its effects of the economy as a whole, will remain weak. We now elaborate further on five or six ‘regional integration factors’ which impacted upon the South Africa-Lesotho garment value chain. First is the issue of the loti (Lesotho’s currency), which has a ‘hard peg’ to the South African rand on a 1:1 basis through the common monetary area between South Africa, Lesotho, and Swaziland. The appreciation of the rand was part of the ‘perfect storm’ which nearly decimated the industry in 2004. The issue for regional integration is if, and how, it can assist in better aligning South Africa and Lesotho’s business cycles to ensure that Lesotho’s loss of monetary policy is of less significance. This requires deeper and more coordinated integration. Second is the impact of regional integration in reducing non-tariff barriers. South African and especially Taiwanese firms listed high transport, logistics, and customs-related costs as key challenges to their business model. In addition to the above, South African firms cited a lack of skills as an important constraint and long lead times related to the unavailability of local and regional yarns and fabrics among their critical challenges (Morris and Statitz, 2013). This brings us onto the third regional driven issue affecting this value chain - restrictive rules of origin (ROO). The long lead times of local and regional yarns has been made an issue because of the restrictive ROO required for an SADC located firm to be eligible for duty-free imports when shipped from one SADC Member State to another (USAID, 2011). ‘Double stage transformation’ ROO requires intermediate inputs, such as fabrics, to be made in an eligible (i.e. member) country. SADC implemented such requirements partly in an effort to promote regional value chains through the purchase of further inputs at each stage of production from regional sources. In theory ROO are meant primarily to prevent trade deflection through low tariff partners. For SADC its implementation was also intended to prevent transshipment of garments from outside SADC (USAID, 2011). A number of SADC garment producers struggled to source sufficient amounts of quality fabrics and yarn from within the region to meet SADC ROO, owing partly to SADC’s limited current capacity for manufacturing fabrics and yarn. Liberalization of ROO to a ‘single transformation’ rule may have the effect of more effectively inserting SADC firms into global value chains, leading potentially to greater participation in global value chains, though at the cost of a drop in regional value added (UNCTAD, 2013: 126 for definitions). 19 Continuing from the above, the fourth relevant issue is member state industry level policy coordination. USAID (2011) finds that a key challenge in reforming SADC ROO is divergence in industrial policies toward the clothing and textile sector by member states which sees different margins of preferences – the difference between the most favored nation (MFN) rate and the preferential rate – being accorded to member states. The degree of the resulting duty preference depends on the external duty charged on third country imports by the importing member state. For example, countries such as Mauritius, Malawi and Madagascar which produce textiles and garments in export processing zones enhance the value of SADC preference to their garments exporters by not charging duties on imported intermediate inputs in the case of garments (USAID 2011). South Africa as the richer nation is able to go beyond financial (tax) incentives and provides a coherent package of additional fiscal incentives. That SACU countries have so far been unable to reach consensus on which ROO option to propose to SADC in the ongoing debates on this issue is indicative of the conflicting interests between its member states (SACU, 2013). Coordination on such an issue across industries requires, however, far deeper levels of integration. In the case of the EU, the Multi-Sectoral Framework on Regional Aid demands that the European Commission must be notified of all investment subsidies in advance, and can prohibit or modify them if they are in violation of EU law. Governments can only provide support to firms in proportion to the disadvantage of the region. The issue of destructive competition between REC members for FDI has arisen previously in the context of the East African Community (see Tax Justice Network-Africa & ActionAid International, 2012) This raises a far more fundamental question: what should long-term objectives should regional integration should be guided by? The creation of the Lesotho-South Africa regional value chain in garments has come at the expense of some South African producers who had higher labour standards and wage costs. Regional integration must aim to progressively expand the available economic opportunities. Doing so requires rules which differentiate competition that is unfair, as it competes in a zero-sum manner, and competition that is fair, as it facilitates the progressive expansion of the size of the economy (drawing on Joan Robinson cited in Brittan, 2013). Competition based on technological advances and improved quality is fair. They expand output and potentially benefit everyone. Beggar-myneighbor labour policies compete through lowering the real wage, worsening working conditions, and engaging in unfair trade practices. Balassa (1961) noted that regional integration can only promote its objectives if it pursues both the “lessening of discrimination” as well as its “suppression”. Discriminatory FDI incentives and footloose capital subsidies in deregulated economic zones certainly do not work towards these objectives. Finally, the obverse – the impact of MNEs on the regional integration process, is slightly less obvious. Though not mentioned so far, few linkages have developed from South African firms in Lesotho to other potential Lesotho clothing producers (Morris and Statitz, 2013). This bodes poorly for enhanced regional integration which requires a two way flow in goods and services. The impact of South African firms moving to Lesotho will play a role in shaping how the perceived common interests of South Africa and Lesotho play out in regional integration and bilateral forums. 4.2. From Mauritius to Madagascar Space permitting, this section will be explore the dynamics of the Mauritius-Madagascar regional garment value chain; its drivers and governance modes; the impact which the lead MNEs have had on 20 regional integration; and how regional integration has in turn influenced the dynamics of the chain. This draws on Morris and Kaplinsky (2009), Morris and Staritz (2013b), Fukunishi and Ramiarison (2011, 2012), and Kaplinsky and Wamae (2010) for the core narrative. 5. Conclusion The Lesotho-South Africa garment value chain highlights the potentially significant impact which regional integration may have in impeding or promoting regional value chains. The Duty Credit Certificate played a vital role in sustaining the Lesotho clothing industry; while the duty-free market access which SACU provides was essential to enabling the benefits of proximity to be utilized by South African firms. Proximity has shown to be especially useful given the potentially relational nature of aspects of the value chain. On the other hand Regional integration has possibly impeded the expansion of the garment chain through overly restrictive rules of origin, non-tariff barriers, and preference erosion arising from harmful inter-state competition for clothing and textile FDI. The policy implications of this for governments, intra-state institutions, and private sector actors are several. Intra-state institutions such as SACU and SADC need to come up with consistent rules of origin with each other and coherent in and of themselves. Part of the decisions must involve an evaluation of the implications of aligning their ROO with AGOA’s and the EPAs. Ideally the decision should not be a capitulation to any short-term protectionist needs of individual states but based on a coherent and mutually agreed upon regional plan for the clothing and textile industry. An analysis by the SADC secretariat on the effects of national industrial policy on the erosion of final preference margins needs to take place. The results of this should inform the orientation of policy makers towards these issues, with an eye to making regional submissions on the issue once sufficient consensus has been reached. Further research is required to assess the optimality of the continuation of a DCC like scheme in the future for the garment industry or any other sectors identified by the secretariat as requiring intervention and coordination. The various costs and benefits as well the distribution of these need to be properly weighted before any conclusions are reached. For this to occur national governments need to garner consensus from their own constituencies on the role of regional industrial policy in policy making, as well as on the specific points which are being suggested for the industry. National governments need to refrain from engaging in harmful financial, fiscal, and regulatory competition for foot-lose capital and FDI and perhaps explore many of the useful recommendations made by the IFC at the World Bank on this matter.9As stated indirectly in the SADC model bilateral investment treaty (BIT) template, tax competition between states should be minimized. Private sector actors need to focus on upgrading production, investing in sustainable business practices, and working with governments and regional institutions to develop business models which are 9 See for example: James, S. (2009). Incentives and Investments: Evidence and Policy Implications. World Bank. 21 sustainable and competitive for the region. Business plays a vital role in engaging with government. Government in turn must have appropriate consultative forums where both business and labour can make submissions and recommendations to be integrated into national industrial policy and where necessary, recommended for discussion in regional forums. Intra-state institutions need to properly monitor and communicate with national governments on these issues. The case study of the West African cocoa value chain (UNCTAD, 2008) governed across Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, and Nigeria by Archer Daniel Midland (ADM), Barry Callebaut, and a few other MNEs will be explored further in the final paper once company interviews have been completed. As illustrated here, there is significant potential for cross pollination between regional integration and value chain studies. 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