San Antonio ASA Chapter Newsletter March 2009 Volume 22, No. 4 American Statistical Association www.amstat.org/chapters/sanantonio/ Joel Michalek to Speak at April Chapter Meeting You are invited to attend the April meeting of the San Antonio Chapter of the American Statistical Association. Please distribute the attached flyer to coworkers and others who might be interested. San Antonio ASA Chapter functions are always open to nonmembers and guests. Please consider bringing a colleague or friend! Title: Misclassification and Confounding in the Air Force Health Study Speaker: Joel Michalek, PhD Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, UTHSCSA Location: UT Health Science Center, 7703 Floyd Curl Dr Medical School Bldg, Room 309L http://utmaps.uthscsa.edu/?urlname=3&urlid=15 Date: Tuesday, April 7th Time: 7 pm (6:30 pm refreshments) Abstract: The Air Force Health Study was a 20-year epidemiological study of members of Operation Ranch Hand, the Air Force unit that sprayed Agent Orange and other dioxin-contaminated herbicides in Vietnam from 1962 to 1971. This talk summarizes decisions made during the study pertaining to exposure metrics and adjustment. In retrospect, the most recent Air Force Health Study journal publications suggest that confounders were missed and subjects were misclassified on exposure. This talk details the path from protocol development to the final journal article in 2008, summarizing changes in findings in cancer and diabetes to illustrate the time course of statistical adjustment during the 30 year period from 1978 to 2008. Parking: Visitor parking can be found in Lots 6 and 8. Conference of Texas Statisticians 2009 The Conference of Texas Statisticians (COTS) will be hosted by Sam Houston State University, Huntsville, Texas, on March 27-28, 2009. The conference chair is Dr. Melinda Miller Holt, mxm014@shsu.edu. Visit the conference website for campus maps, registration, hotel, and program schedule information: http://www.shsu.edu/~mth_fbb/2009cots/2009cots.html. Alamo Regional Science Fair Winners The San Antonio Chapter sent volunteer judges to the 2009 Alamo Regional Science and Engineering Fair at St. Mary’s University on March 10th to help select those senior high division projects that showed excellence in the use of statistical methods. Volunteer judges this year were Howard Monroe, Ken Williams, Carolyn Oakley, Keying Ye, Yi Cao, Mike Lecocke and Norma Ketchum. The San Antonio Chapter awarded First place and $250 in savings bonds to the team of Ernest Thomas and Huzeifa Badshah from Health Careers High School for their project titled "Minimizing Lawn Mower Emissions.” Second place and a $150 savings bond was awarded to Eric VanDyk from Churchill High School whose project was titled "Multitasking: Does Cell Phone Usage Affect Performance?” Third place and a $100 savings bond was awarded to Wolf Honore from Keystone High School whose project was titled "Effects of CO2 on the Nutritional Content of Brassica juncea.” Congratulations to all of the winners! The SA ASA Chapter would like to thank all who volunteered to judge. A special thanks goes to Howard Monroe for his work as Chapter science fair judging coordinator. 2010 Conference on Frontier of Statistical Decision Making and Bayesian Analysis In honor of James O. Berger and his contributions to the statistics community, this conference will be held at the downtown campus of the University of Texas at San Antonio on March 17-20, 2010. Also, on March 17, short courses on various statistical topics will be offered. The conference consists of plenary, invited, and poster sessions. Plenary speakers include Donald Berry, Lawrence Brown, Persi Diaconis, Stephen Fienberg, and Alan Gelfand. The conference will provide an overview of the past, present, and future developments of statistical decisionmaking and Bayesian analysis. For more information, contact Keying Ye. Upcoming Conferences in the Area (COTS) Conference of Texas Statisticians, Huntsville, Texas, March 27-28, 2009. Sam Houston State University, Chairman, Melinda Miller Holt http://www.shsu.edu/~mth_fbb/2009cots/2009cots.html __________________________________________ San Antonio ASA Chapter Officers 2008-2009 President: Jerry Keating, University of Texas at San Antonio (210) 458-5370 jerome.keating@utsa.edu Vice-President: Ram Tripathi, University of Texas at San Antonio (210) 458-5549 ram.tripathi@utsa.edu Secretary: Treasurer: Norma Ketchum, Brooks City-Base (210) 536-1962 norma.ketchum@brooks.af.mil Carolyn Oakley (210) 481-3473 cjo@texas.net COC Rep (2008-2010): COTS Rep (2008-2010): Bob Mason, Southwest Research Institute (210) 522-2671 RMason@swri.edu Peter Olofsson, Trinity University (210) 999-8244 polofsso@trinity.edu Webmaster: Ginny de Wolf, dewolf@ktc.com