Principles of Macroeconomics Time: M, W, F: 1:30pm - 2:20pm Instructor: Office Phone: Email: Daniel J. D'Amico 561-870-5941 danieljdamico@gmail.com Office Hours: This semester I am teaching Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays. My formal office hours will be from 9am – 11am on those days. But in general I tend to be in my office, or on campus, throughout the week with the exception of lunchtime, economics club meetings or administrative meetings. If you find me, and need to ask a question, feel free to grab me when you can, but the best and most reliable means is to come to the office during those morning hours and or schedule an explicit appointment via the email above. I hope that you come by to introduce yourself, ask questions about class, discuss economics and current events, or just plain say hello. My door is always open and I honestly enjoy the company and conversation. Course Prerequisites: Prerequisite course required ECON-B100 Catalog Description: This course is an introduction to alternative theories of inflation and unemployment; economic growth; money, banking, and financial intermediation; interest rates; business cycles; exchange rates, trade balances, and the balance of payments; deficits and the national debt; monetary, fiscal, exchange rate, incomes, and regulatory policies; national income and product; and international payments accounting. Course Goals and Objectives: During the semester the student will develop a working knowledge of macroeconomic models from several schools of thought (Classical, Keynesian, Monetarist, Real Business Cycle, New Keynesian, etc). Unlike most courses in economics where students learn a series of tools and applications under a single heading, this course will cover several contrasting schools of thought. Different approaches will attempt to answer the same fundamental questions with different answers, the key to this course will be for the student to identify those differences and the schools of thought from which they originate. I will present the material simultaneously through a school of thought approach and a history of thought approach. The student will be able to compare different schools of thought and different events in history and answer questions concerning the macro1 economy by using the different models. Books: Buchanan, J. and Wagner, R. (2000). Democracy in Deficit: The Political Legacy of Lord Keynes. Indianapolis: Liberty Fund. Cantillon, R., (1755). An Essay on Economic Theory. Auburn: The Ludwig von Mises Institute Cowen, T. (2010). The Great Stagnation: How America Ate All the Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better. New York: Penguin. Easterly, W. (2001). The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists' Adventures and Misadventures in the Tropics. Cambridge: The MIT Press. Ebeling, R. (ed.) (1996). The Austrian Theory of the Trade Cycle and other Essays. Auburn: The Ludwig von Mises Institute. Friedman, M. and Shwartz, A. (1963). A Monetary History of the United States 1867-1960. New York: Princeton University Press. Froyen, R. (2005). Macroeconomics: Theories and Policies, Eighth Edition. New Jersey: Prentice Hall. Garrison, R. (2001). Time and Money: The Macroeconomics of Capital Structure. New York: Routledge. Horwitz, S. (2000). Microfoundations and Macroeconomics: An Austrian Perspective. New York: Routledge. Polanyi, M. (1958). Personal Knowledge: Towards a Post-Critical Philosophy. London: Routledge. Rosenberg, N. and Birdzell, L. (1986). How the West Grew Rich: The Economic Transformation of the Industrial World. New York: Basic Books. Rothbard, M. (1995). Economic Thought Before Adam Smith: An Austrian Perspective on the History of Economic Thought, Vol. I. Auburn: The Ludwig von Mises Institute. Schelling, T. (1978). Micromotives and Macrobehavior. New York: W. W. Norton and Company Selgin and White (1988). "The Evolution of a Free Banking System: The Theory of Free Banking: Money Supply under Competitive Note Issue," Washington, DC: CATO Institute. Smith, A. (1776). An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nation. Indianapolis: Liberty Fund. Snowdon, B and Vane, H. (2005). Modern Macroeconomics: Its Origins, Development and Current State. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. 2 Tullock, G., Seldon, A., and Brady, G. (eds.) (2002). Government Failure: A Primer in Public Choice. Washington, DC: The Cato Institute. Yaeger, T. (1999). Institutions, Transition Economies, and Economic Development. Oxford: Westview Press. Additional Reading Materials: Akerlof, G.(1970). "The Market for 'Lemons': Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics. 84(3): 488-500. Buchanan, James (1983). “Monetary Research, Monetary Rules, and Monetary Regimes,” Cato Journal. 3(1): 143-146. David, P. (1985). "Clio and the Economics of QWERTY," American Economic Review. 332-7. Gwartney, J., Lawson, R., and Hall, J. (2011). Economic Freedom of the World, 2011 Annual Report. Vancouver: The Fraser Institute. McCloskey, D. (1972) "The Enclosure of Open Fields: Preface to a Study of Its Impact on the Efficiency of English Agriculture in the Eighteenth Century," Journal of Economic History 32 (1): 15-35. McCloskey, D. (1975). "The Persistence of English Common Fields," in E. L. Jones and William Parker (eds.), European Peasants and Their Markets: Essays in Agrarian Economic History (Princeton University Press: pp. 73-119. Rajan, R. (2004). "The View From the IMF: Assume Anarchy?" The Globalist. November 24. Stiglitz, J. (1999). "Towards a General Theory of Wage and Price Rigidities and Economic Fluctuations," American Economic Review. 89(2): 75-80. Williamson, C. (2009). "Informal Institutions Rule: Institutional Arrangements and Economic Performance," Public Choice. 139(3): 371-87. Students should not feel compelled to purchase all of the above books as almost all of them will be made available for free download via PDF on blackboard. Froyen is perhaps the most crucial for physical purchase as it is the only one that is not available in PDF. The 8th edition is preferred, but later or earlier editions should suffice. Simply ignore the page numbers and instead focus upon those section headings that correspond to the titles listed on the reading schedule. A physical copy of the 8th edition will be placed on reserve at the library. The associated reading schedule outlines which portions of the above texts and other supplemental reading assignments should be completed for each day's lecture. Students should come to class with readings completed so as to be prepared to discuss the contents therein and ask clarifying questions. All material from readings and lectures are free game for examination material. Writing Assignment: 3 There are 14 weeks where we will be covering original material during this semester. Each student will be assigned to a group responsible for the following: 1) Helping to motivate class discussion during their assigned week. 2) Meeting with other members of their group, outside of class, to discuss the theories and implications of the readings and material covered. 3) Writing a 5-page analysis of some current economic policy issue in contemporary society drawing upon the material from the readings and lectures that week. An easy way to think of this writing assignment is as follows: Each week focuses upon some distinct economic school of thought through history. Each school subscribes to its own model of how the economy works. Subsequently each perspective diagnoses the causes of certain economic phenomena differently and in turn prescribes different public policy tools for improving economic performance. How would iconic members of your group's respective school of thought assess current economic events and policies? Or how would a modern manifestation of those iconic thinkers respond? What theoretical challenges would applying those conceptual frameworks from past historical periods face if applied today? Would their recommendations work, why or why not? Writing assignments are due the following Monday from the groups' assigned week. So if you are in the group for week 1, your written assignment should be printed and turned in at the beginning of class Monday January 16. So on and so forth. Students should provide a reference sheet for their writing assignment, but are welcome to use any citation style that they are most comfortable with. In other words, do what needs to be done to assure that you are not plagiarizing. I am far more concerned with the content of your analysis than the format of your presentation, though this is not to be abused. Papers should be at least 5 pages, 12 pt. font, double-spaced, not including headers, footers, graphs, tables, or bibliography. In addition to drawing from the reading materials assigned from their respective week, to find a contemporary policy issue or phenomena, students should reference some contemporary source of economic commentary. Such sources can include but are not necessarily limited to nationally syndicated periodicals such as The Economist, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times etc. Blogs are acceptable but should ideally be written by some legitimate entity or intellectual authority. Marginal Revolution, Brad DeLong Dailey, etc. are acceptable, some random guy, without a degree or formal institutional affiliation of any kind, who happens to write a blog about the bailouts is not a good place to start. Students are encouraged to make use of the WAC lab for grammar and style assistance. I am willing to offer feedback to students so motivated as to turn their assignments in before the Monday deadline. To receive such feedback and assure a high mark, students must turn in their draft by the Wednesday of their respective week. No two students in the same week should turn in an assessment of the same contemporary issue. Hence requirement two listed above, states that the group is expected to meet and 4 discuss the issues that they are selecting. Face to face meetings are obviously not required as sufficient coordination can be accomplished through email, but group meetings and personal discussions are encouraged. Examinations: There will be one midterm examination and one cumulative final examination (scheduled by the university). The midterm and final will each be worth 1/4 of your final grade (50% total). That leaves 1/4 for the writing assignment and 1/4 for class participation and work effort. Grading: Grades will be awarded according to the following grading scale: 90 – 100 A 85 – 89 B+ 80 – 84 B 75 – 79 C+ 70 – 74 C 65 – 69 D+ 60 – 64 D 0 – 59 F Academic Integrity Statement: The following passage is reprinted as it appears in the University Bulletin 2008 – 2009: All academic work will be done by the student to whom it is assigned without unauthorized data or help of any kind. A student who supplies another with such data or help is considered deserving of the same sanctions as the recipient. Specifically, cheating, plagiarism, and misrepresentation are prohibited. Plagiarism is defined by Alexander Lindley as “the false assumption of authorship: the wrongful act of taking the product of another person’s mind, and presenting it as one’s own” (Plagiarism and Originality). “Plagiarism may take the form of repeating another’s sentences as your own, adopting a particularly apt phrase as your own, paraphrasing someone else’s argument as your own, or even presenting someone else’s line of thinking in the development of a thesis as though it were your own.” (MLA Handbook, 1985). A student who is found to have cheated on any examination may be given a failing grade in the course. In case of a second violation, the student may be excluded for one or two terms or dismissed from the university. A student who engages in cheating, plagiarism, or misrepresentation on term papers, seminar papers, quizzes, laboratory reports, and such may receive a sanction of a failing grade in the course. A second offense may be cause for exclusion or dismissal from the university. Faculty members are required to report immediately to the dean of the student’s college any case of cheating, plagiarism, or misrepresentation which he or she has encountered and, later, the manner in which it was resolved. The dean of the student’s college should apprise the student of the serious consequences of cheating, plagiarism, and misrepresentation as well as of the appeals procedure open to the student in such cases. Disability Statement: A student with a disability that qualifies for accommodations should contact Sarah Mead Smith, Directory of Disability Services at 865-2990 (Academic Resources Center, Room 405, Monroe Hall). A student wishing to receive test accommodations (e.g. extended test time) 5 should provide the instructor with an official Accommodation Form from Disability Services in advance of the scheduled test date. Course Schedule: *Froyen page numbers refer to 8th edition Week 1: INTRODUCTION Monday Course Introduction and review of syllabus Readings: (1) Course Syllabus (2) Schelling, T. (1978). Micromotives and Macrobehavior. New York: W. W. Norton and Company. Chapter 4: Sorting and Mixing Race and Sex: pp. 134-67 (3) Horwitz, S. (2000). Microfoundations and Macroeconomics: An Austrian Perspective. New York: Routledge. Chapter 1: Is There an Austrian Macroeconomics? pp. 114. Wednesday Micro v. Macroeconomics Readings: (1) Froyen, R. (2005). Macroeconomics: Theories and Policies, Eighth Edition. New Jersey: Prentice Hall. Chapter 1: Introduction pp. 2-13. (2) Froyen, Chapter 2: Measurement of Macroeconomic Variables pp. 14-34. Friday The Stylized Facts of Macroeconomics Readings: (1) Rosenberg, N. and Birdzell, L. (1986). How the West Grew Rich: The Economic Transformation of the Industrial World. New York: Basic Books. Week 2: EARLIEST HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT Monday History of thought meets economic history: A competing schools of thought approach to studying macroeconomics. Readings: (1) Snowdon, B and Vane, H. (2005). Modern Macroeconomics: Its Origins, Development and Current State. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. 6 Chapter 1: Understanding modern macroeconomics. pp. 1-35. Wednesday Ancient Economics for an Ancient Economy Readings: (1) Rothbard, M. (1995). Economic Thought Before Adam Smith: An Austrian Perspective on the History of Economic Thought, Vol. I. Auburn: The Ludwig von Mises Institute. Chapter 1: The first philosopher-economists: the Greeks. pp. 3-30. Friday The Feudal Economy Readings: (1) McCloskey, D. (1972) "The Enclosure of Open Fields: Preface to a Study of Its Impact on the Efficiency of English Agriculture in the Eighteenth Century," Journal of Economic History 32 (1): 15-35. (2) McCloskey, D. (1975). "The Persistence of English Common Fields," in E. L. Jones and William Parker (eds.), European Peasants and Their Markets: Essays in Agrarian Economic History (Princeton University Press: pp. 73-119. Week 3: MERCANTILISM Monday The structure of society in the Mercantilist era Readings: (1) Yaeger, T. (1999). Institutions, Transition Economies, and Economic Development. Oxford: Westview Press. Chapter 2 Section 1: Dependency Theory. pp: 13-17. Wednesday The dawn of international trade Readings: (1) Rothbard, Chapter 7: Mercantilism: Serving the absolute state. pp. 213-34. (2) Rothbard, Chapter 8: French mercantilist thoughts in the seventeenth century. pp. 235-54. Friday Mercantilist Public Policy Readings: (1) Rothbard, Chapter 9: The liberal reaction against mercantilism in seventeenth century France. pp. 25576. 7 (2) Rothbard, Chapter 10: Mercantilism and freedom in England from the Tudors to the Civil War. pp. 277-308. (3) Rothbard, Chapter 11: Mercantilism and freedom in England from the Civil War to 1750. pp. 309-44. Week 4: THE CLASSICAL SCHOOL Monday The Industrial Revolution Readings: (1) Smith, A. (1776). An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nation. Indianapolis: Liberty Fund. Book I: Of the Causes of Improvement. pp. 13- 267. Wednesday Market clearing prices and three equilibrated markets Readings: (1) Froyen, Chapter 3: Equilibrium Output and Employment. pp. 37-58. (2) Froyen, Chapter 4: Money, Prices and Interest. pp. 59-77. Friday Laissez faire political economy and economic growth Readings: (1) Froyen, Chapter 5: Long Run Economic Growth: Origins of the Wealth of Nations. pp. 78-92. (2) Snowdon and Vane, Chapter 2.1 -2.5: pp. 36-50. Week 5: THE KEYNESIAN REVOLUTION Monday The Circular Flow Readings: (1) Froyen, Chapter 6: The Keynesian System: The Role of Aggregate Demand. pp. 93-121. Wednesday The IS-LM Model Readings: (1) Snowdon and Vane, Chapter 2.6-2.17: pp. 54-90. Friday Fiscal and Monetary Policy Readings: (1) Froyen, Chapter 7: Money, Interest, and Income. pp. 122-62. 8 (2) Froyen, Chapter 8: Policy Effects in the IS-LM Model. pp. 163-86. Week 6: THE DECLINE OF KEYNESIANISM Monday Effective v. Ineffective Stimulus Readings: (1) Froyen, Chapter 9: The Keynesian System (IV): Aggregate Supply and Demand. pp. 187-220 . Wednesday Stagflation and the 1970s Readings: (1) Snowden and Vane, Chapter 3: The Orthodox Keynesian School. pp. 101-47. (2) Froyen, Chapter 11: Output, Inflation, and Unemployment: Alternative Views. pp. 242-60. Friday Reading Day, No Class Week 7: REIEW WEEK AND MIDTERM EXAMINATION Monday Review Day Wednesday Review Day Friday Midterm examination Week 8: THE MONETARY SCHOOL Monday - Friedman and empirical macroeconomics Readings: (1) Snowden and Vane, Interview with Milton Friedman: pp. 198-218. (2) Friedman, M. and Shwartz, A. (1963). A Monetary History of the United States 1867-1960. New York: Princeton University Press. Wednesday Monetary policy criticisms of Keynesianism Readings: (1) Snowdon and Vane, Chapter 4: The orthodox monetarist school. pp. 163-97. Friday Stable Monetary Policy Readings: (1) Froyen, Chapter 10: The Monetarist Counterrevolution. pp. 222-41. 9 (2) Froyen, Chapter 18: Monetary Policy. pp. 382-402. Week 9: THE NEW CLASSICAL SCHOOL Monday Historical context Readings: (1) Froyen, Chapter 12: New Classical Economics. pp. 261-80. Wednesday Rational Expectations Readings: (1) Snowdon and Vane, Chapter 5: The New Classical School. pp. 219-71. Friday Washington Consensus and New Growth Readings: (1) Yeager, Chapter 2.2: Neoclassical Growth Theory: pp. 17-22. Week 10 NEW KEYNESIANSIANS AND REAL BUSINESS CYCLE Monday New Keynesianism Readings: (1) Froyen, Chapter 13.2: New Keynesian Economics pp. 291-7. (2) Snowdon and Vane, Chapter 7: The new Keynesian school. pp. 357-432. Wednesday Market Failure Theory Readings: (1) Stiglitz, J. (1999). "Towards a General Theory of Wage and Price Rigidities and Economic Fluctuations," American Economic Review. 89(2): 75-80. (2) Akerlof, G.(1970). "The Market for 'Lemons': Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics. 84(3): 488-500. Friday Real Business Cycle Theory Readings: (1) Froyen, Chapter 13.1: Real Business Cycle Models. pp. 281-90. (2) Snowdon and Vane, Chapter 6: The real business cycle school. pp. 313-43. (3) David, P. (1985). "Clio and the Economics of QWERTY," American Economic Review. 332-7. 10 Week 11: PUBLIC CHOICE Monday Behavioral Symmetry Readings (1) Tullock, G., Seldon, A., and Brady, G. (eds.) (2002). Government Failure: A Primer in Public Choice. Washington, DC: The Cato Institute. Part I: The Theory of Public Choice: pp. 1-71. Wednesday Democratic Challenges to Keynesian Policy Readings: (1) Buchanan, J. and Wagner, R. (2000). Democracy in Deficit: The Political Legacy of Lord Keynes. Indianapolis: Liberty Fund. Friday Rules and Constraint Readings: (1) Buchanan, James (1983). “Monetary Research, Monetary Rules, and Monetary Regimes,” Cato Journal. 3(1): 143-146. SPRING BREAK Week 12: AUSTRIAN BUSINESS CYCLE Wednesday The Model Readings: (1) Ebeling, R. (ed.) (1996). The Austrian Theory of the Trade Cycle and other Essays. Auburn: The Ludwig von Mises Institute. (2) Garrison, R. (2001). Time and Money: The Macroeconomics of Capital Structure. New York: Routledge. Friday Cantillon Effects (1) Snowdon and Vane, Chapter 9: The Austrian School. pp. 474-516. (2) Cantillon, R.. (1755). An Essay on Economic Theory. Auburn: The Ludwig von Mises Institute. Week 13: NEW INSTITUTIONAL ECONOMICS Monday Institutions Matter Readings: (1) Yeager, Chapter 4: Institutions and Economic Growth: The Static Case. pp. 35-45. 11 (2) Yeager, Chapter 5: Institutions and Economic Growth: The Dynamic Case. pp. 47-53. Wednesday Economic Freedom Readings: (1) Gwartney, J., Lawson, R., and Hall, J. (2011). Economic Freedom of the World, 2011 Annual Report. Vancouver: The Fraser Institute. Friday Formal v. Informal Institutions Readings: (1) Williamson, C. (2009). "Informal Institutions Rule: Institutional Arrangements and Economic Performance," Public Choice. 139(3): 371-87. Week 14: DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS Monday Curing Poverty in a Global Market Readings: (1) Yeager, Chapter 9: Institutions and Economic Development. pp. 113-26. Wednesday Exporting Plans for Development Readings: (1) Easterly, W. (2001). The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists' Adventures and Misadventures in the Tropics. Cambridge: The MIT Press. pp. 141-292. Friday How to Grow Informal Institutions? (1) Rajan, R. (2004). "The View From the IMF: Assume Anarchy?" The Globalist. November 24. (2) Polanyi, M. (1958). Personal Knowledge: Towards a Post-Critical Philosophy. London: Routledge. Part II The Tacit Component. pp. 70-260. Week 15: THE CURRENT FINANCIAL CRISES Monday Bubbles and Technological Progress (1) Cowen, T. (2010). The Great Stagnation: How America Ate All the Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better. New York: Penguin. Wednesday Free Banking and Reform (1) Selgin and White (1988). "The Evolution of a Free Banking System: The Theory of Free Banking: Money 12 Supply under Competitive Note Issue," Washington, DC: CATO Institute. Friday Final Examination 13