S1 – Binomial Distribution Summary S1 – Binomial Distribution Summary A Discrete random variable (DRV) is a discrete set of characteristics measured/observed in a trial, which may be subject to random variation. The sum of the probabilities of each value of the DRV can take is 1. The list/table of values of the DRV with their associated probabilities is called the probability distribution. Conditions for a Binomial distribution Fixed number of independent trials, n Only two possible outcomes: success and failure Both outcomes have fixed probabilities: P(success) = p and P(failure) = q, p + q = 1 The outcome of each trial is independent of the previous trials The distribution is denoted B(n, p) where n and p are the parameters of the distribution If the DRV X has a binomial distribution then X B(n, p) The probability or r successes is given by P(X = r) = nCr pr qn-r for 0 r n The probabilities for X = 0, 1, 2, …, n are the terms of the binomial expansion of (p + q)n If X B(n, p), Table 1 “Cumulative binomial distribution function” in the formula book and Table 1 in the Appendix of the textbook on page 173 give probabilities of P(X r) for several values of p and n The values of p only go up to 0.5 in the tables. To find probabilities for higher values of p redefine the distribution by interchanging failure and success. If X B(n, p) then the mean (or expectation) of X is given by μ = np and the variance is σ2 = np(1 – p) = npq A Discrete random variable (DRV) is a discrete set of characteristics measured/observed in a trial, which may be subject to random variation. The sum of the probabilities of each value of the DRV can take is 1. The list/table of values of the DRV with their associated probabilities is called the probability distribution. Conditions for a Binomial distribution Fixed number of independent trials, n Only two possible outcomes: success and failure Both outcomes have fixed probabilities: P(success) = p and P(failure) = q, p + q = 1 The outcome of each trial is independent of the previous trials The distribution is denoted B(n, p) where n and p are the parameters of the distribution If the DRV X has a binomial distribution then X B(n, p) The probability or r successes is given by P(X = r) = nCr pr qn-r for 0 r n The probabilities for X = 0, 1, 2, …, n are the terms of the binomial expansion of (p + q)n If X B(n, p), Table 1 “Cumulative binomial distribution function” in the formula book and Table 1 in the Appendix of the textbook on page 173 give probabilities of P(X r) for several values of p and n The values of p only go up to 0.5 in the tables. To find probabilities for higher values of p redefine the distribution by interchanging failure and success. If X B(n, p) then the mean (or expectation) of X is given by μ = np and the variance is σ2 = np(1 – p) = npq