Digital Convergence 1 Current Issues in the Media Industry: Understanding Digital Convergence* Bum Soo Chon Senior Researcher, Ph.D Munwha Broadcasting Corporation Seoul, KOREA (82) 018-318-2758, ccblade2@yahoo.co.kr * This manuscript is based on Chon et al’s study (2003), entitled by “A Structural Analysis of Media Convergence: Cross-Industry Mergers and Acquisitions in the Information Industries”, that will be published in the Journal of Media Economics in this fall. Digital Convergence 2 Abstract Understanding Digital Convergence Chon et al. (2003) analyzed structural changes in the information industries including publishing, broadcasting, film, cable, telephony, software & data processing, and the Internet in the era of "convergence" before and after 1996. In their study, the crossindustry network structure was mapped using annual data on mergers and acquisitions among information industry firms obtained from the Journal of Mergers and Acquisitions. A comparative network analysis of these ownership transactions indicated that the consolidating structure of information industries after 1996 was affected by both deregulation and digitization, and that telephone corporations played the most central role in the transformation of the information industries. As well, cable and Internet industries noticeably transformed their industrial relationships over this time period. Introduction Although there is as yet not an extensive body of empirical research to support such characterizations, the transition to digitization and deregulation are widely thought to be breaking down barriers between media platforms, services, and industries (Fidler, 1997; Garcia-Murillo & MacInnes, 2001; Waterman, 2000). For example, the merger of CBS and Viacom in 1999 represented the integration between old media (Levi, 2000). By contrast, AOL-Time Warner was a consolidation between old and new media. Nowadays, the packaged service of telephone, cable, and Internet is not uncommon in the U.S. The transformation of the established and new media/telecommunications industries has been arguably caused by the emerging digital technology and deregulation policy (Fidler, 1997; Garcia-Murillo & MacInnes, 2001). Chon et al. (2003) examines how the digital revolution and deregulation policy such as the 1996 Telecommunication Act have affected information industries through cross-industry mergers and acquisitions. Generally, the Telecommunication Act of 1996 and the development of digital technology are seen to have opened vast opportunities. In Digital Convergence 3 other words, new distribution channels and deregulation policy on cross-ownership are considered to have caused the structure of the information industries to change. Chon et al. (2003) aims to improve the understanding of the changing structure of industrial integration with a focus on the information industries where recent mergers and acquisitions have been particularly active: telephony, cable, broadcasting, software & data processing, and the Internet. Empirical data on mergers and acquisitions over a ninteen-year period was analyzed to reveal the structural changes in the relationships among the information industries. The Process of Structural Changes in the Information Industries: Deregulation and Digitization Technological developments made the convergence of media/telecommunications imperative, but a series of entry barriers, which are imposed by legislation, impeded this transition. One important aspect of the Telecommunication Act of 1996, is that it is fully based on economic principles that encourage competition between different industries by reducing entry barriers to market previously imposed by the FCC and prior legislation (Bates, 1998; Krattenmaker, 1997). In short, by eliminating the entry barriers that previously kept telecommunication and media industries apart in separate business lines, the Telecommunications Act of 1996 helped facilitate convergence. As the plausibility of convergence grew, industrial consolidation and concentration followed, driven by economies of scale and scope. Deregulation by the 1996 Act further unleashed these market forces, increasing not only within industry but also cross-industry business transactions through M&A. Corporations might have pursued the trend of convergence by developing a new technology or extending their production line. However, M&A has Digital Convergence 4 provided a better opportunity for companies to grow in a short time because corporations could accelerate the implementation of new technologies while capturing an already developed customer base by another company (Chan-Olmsted, 1998). In addition, crossindustry mergers in the information industries have been driven to obtain resources for new markets. New communication technologies have created new media and communication markets with packaged products and services. Therefore, many media and telecommunications companies viewed M&A an opportunity for rapid growth and planned M&A after the implementation of the Telecommunication Act of 1996. In 1999, cross-industry takeovers reached a highest level in history, “when 22% of companies taken over in the most acquisitive industries were not in the same business as their buyer. That's up from 20.2% in 1998 and 12% in 1993” (Time, Feb 7, 2000). Unlike the past mergers and acquisitions, the current situations show different trends in cross-industry M&As due to the development of digitized communication technologies. During the 1990s, the shift to digital transmission of all forms of data has increased at an accelerated pace. All forms of data and information are being produced and stored in interchangeable digital code. As Negroponte (1995) argues, the transition from physical media to virtual media is transforming the information industries. In this sense, although cross-industry mergers and acquisitions are taking place actively across almost all industries, recent trends have tended to be concentrated in a few major sectors, such as telecommunications, the Internet and computer-related industries. These are the sectors which are experiencing intensified competition and rapid technological change. For example, with the Internet changing the way business is conducted, many companies are increasingly turning to computer service firms to ease the transition to electronic Digital Convergence 5 commerce. Acquisitions are prevalent in the computer service industry as companies scramble to augment their technical skills and enter new market segments (Standard and Poors, 1999). With the development of communication technologies, the media and communication markets are becoming increasingly complex in terms of products and services as well as actors. Thus, firms in the market have to deal with or adapt to new technologies and new model of communication. As such, cross-industry mergers in the information industries are growing due to the drive to obtain technology resources. In sum, “the digital technologies involved in the communication of information and entertainment services are changing how the content of these service is produced, delivered and shared” (OECD, 1998, p.6). Since the emergence of converged networking technology, this trend has shown the expansion of the market in communication technology sectors, such as telecommunications, the Internet and computer-related industries. Mapping Cross-Industry M&As in the Information Industries The purpose of the Chon et al. (2003)’s research is to examine the structural changes in the information industries through cross-industry mergers and acquisitions. That study’s central question is: With whom do information industries integrate? It considers the M&A relation among pairs of corporations as the unit of analysis. As Podolny (2001) argues, M&A networks play a role as the channels of different markets. Simply, this study asked what effects the 1996 U.S. Telecommunications Act and the developments of the digital technology had on the consolidation of the information industries. In the current depressed economy, the collapse of the stock market in Digital Convergence 6 information industries, followed by financial crises of many companies, such as WorldCom and Teleglobe, to name a few, supports the validity and significance of this question. It is because the dynamics of this new market environment can benefit from an explanation of what has happened during the transition of these industrial structures. Let me briefly summarize the Chon et al. (2003)’s study. Contrary to the findings of previous research (Chan-Olmsted, 1998), the results of cluster analysis on the crossindustry M&A revealed that there were structural differences before and after 1996. Before 1996, content production-based industries showed the most prominent pattern in consolidation. After 1996, however, most consolidation occurred in information delivery industries, such as the Internet, cable and telephony. The results of the centrality analysis also revealed structural changes in the information industries. After 1996, content production and computer-related industries became less central. In contrast, information delivery became more central than other information industries. Finally, the results of the Galileo analysis showed that there have been changes in the relations among the various components of the information industries. Simply, information delivery industries became consolidated into the same organizational field, while the remaining industries maintained similar patterns in their positional groupings that they had prior to 1996. __________________________________________ TABLE 1 & 2, AND FIGURE 1 ABOUT HERE __________________________________________ The overall results indicate that the structure of information industries may have been affected by deregulation and digitization. Evidence of a structural change was found before and after 1996, a key time for deregulation and a take-off time for digitization. Digital Convergence 7 Although such evidence is necessary for an interpretation of such a causal effect, it is not sufficient. Other alternative explanations for the observed changes need to be eliminated for a more deterministic conclusion. Nevertheless, absent other plausible explanations, it is reasonable to assume that the observed structural changes may have been caused by deregulation policy. This is particularly plausible given the match between the findings and the policy intent. Also, digital technologies including the Internet appear to have led to digital convergence among cable, telephony, and computer related industries. Without rival explanations and with the widespread perceptions in society that such factors are causally potent, such an interpretation for the observed changes appears reasonable. Thus, it would appear that both deregulation and digitization have facilitated consolidation. Other major findings are that information delivery industries are in the core of these changes. Simply, it was the telephony companies that played the most central role in restructuring of the information industries. For example, information delivery-based corporations were ranked as the main actors after 1996 in the top 15 cross-industry M&A. In contrast, content production-based corporations were important actors only before 1996. At the same time, the cable and Internet have noticeably transformed in relation to the other components of the information industries. These trends suggest that deregulation and digitization may have transformed the boundary integrators among telephony, cable and the Internet. Further Research Topics Future studies should attempt to examine the structure of cross-industry resource flows and tying for more accurately explaining digital convergence in the mediaentertainment industry. Digital Convergence 8 Cross-Industry Resource Flows - The recent development and deployment of the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). - Information as a major sector of the economy and as a commodity. - Inter-industry diversification and intra-group member firm concentration. - Spillovers and the growth of the media industry - Market boundaries around the media industries based on IO data _________________________ FIGURE 2 & 3 ABOUT HERE _________________________ Tying Problems In technologically dynamic markets, the major consequence of the policy change such as the 1996 Act is that telecommunication and entertainment companies can tie the sales of one information service with others. Tying can be defined as a marketing strategy where a firm or a service provider make the sale of one of its services conditional upon the purchaser also buying some other service from it (Shy, 2001, p.155). According to Shy (2001), tying may lead to (1) an increase in dominant positions of dominant firms, and (2) leveraging which refers to the use of monopoly power in one market to gain an advantage or reduce competition in another market. In this respect, tie-in sales may reduce consumer and total economic welfare (Choi & Stefanadis, 2001), because the tying of complementary products can be used to preserve and create monopoly positions. More specifically, Carlton and Waldman (2002) explain how a dominant firm can use Digital Convergence 9 tying to remain dominant in an industry undergoing rapid technological change, focusing on entry costs and network externalities. References Bates, B. J. (1998). Introduction: special issue on the economic impacts of the 1996 Telecommunication Act. Journal of Media Economics, 11 (3), 1-2. Carlton, D.W. & Waldman, M. (2002). The strategic use of tying to preserve and create market power in evolving industries. Rand Journal of Economics, 33 ,2, 194-220 Chan-Olmsted, S. M. (1998). Mergers, acquisitions and convergence: the strategic alliances of broadcasting, cable television and telephone services. Journal of Media Economics, 11 (3), 33-46. Choi, J. P. & Stefanadis, C. (2001). Tying, investment, and the dynamic leverage theory. Rand Journal of Economics, 32, 1, 52-71. Chon, B. S., Choi, J. H., Barnett, G.A., Danowski, J. & Joo, S. H. (2003). A Structural Analysis of Media Convergence: Cross-Industry Mergers and Acquisitions in Information Industries. Journal of Media Economics, 16, 3, 141-157. Fidler, R. (1997). Mediamorphosis: Understanding new media. Thousand Oaks, CA: Pine Forge Press. Garcia-Murillo, M. A. & MacInnes, I. (2001). FCC organizational structure and regulatory convergence. Telecommunications Policy, 25 (6), 431-452. Krattenmaker, T.G. (1997). The Telecommunication Act of 1996. Federal Communications Law Journal, 49 (1), 1-49. Levi, L. (2000). Reflections on the FCC's recent approach to structural regulation of the electronic mass media. Federal Communications Law Journal, 52 (3), 581-617. Negroponte, N. (1995). Being Digital. New York : Knopf. OECD. (1998). Content as a new growth industry. Pavlik, J. V. (1998). New media technology: Cultural and commercial perspectives. Boston: Allyn and Bacon. Podolny, J. M. (2001). Networks as the pipes and prisms of the market. The American Journal of Sociology, 107 (1), 33-61. Standard and Poors (1999). Industry Surveys: Computers-Commercial services, 167, 50. Waterman, D. (2000). CBS-Viacom and the effects of media mergers: An economic perspective. Federal Communications Law Journal, 52 (3). 531-550. Digital Convergence 10 Table 1. Centralities of Before and After 1996 Code Industry 1 Broadcasting + Publishing 2 Broadcasting + Telephony 3 Broadcasting + Film 4 Broadcasting + Publish + Film 5 Telephony + Internet 6 Broadcasting + Telephony + Data Processing + Film 7 Radio-Telephone 8 Non-Radio Telephone Service 9 Broadcasting Combination 10 Radio Broadcasting 11 Television Broadcasting 12 Cable & Pay TV 13 Film 14 Video Rental 15 Programming & Software 16 System Design & Data Processing 17 Internet & Online Service 18 Computer Maintenance 19 Publishing Mean S.D. Before 4.717 4.364 4.234 1.850 0.551 After 0.252 7.241 0.352 0.301 16.324 Whole 1.243 6.232 1.596 0.523 10.065 0.170 101.179 97.677 1.034 0.123 1.166 9.958 1.958 0.072 5.136 3.232 0.297 0.110 4.072 5.497 52.811 124.288 0.343 0.042 0.126 8.154 0.175 0.015 2.314 3.828 36.416 0.369 1.130 3.825 84.404 110.290 0.401 0.051 0.261 7.776 0.430 0.024 3.022 3.049 21.696 0.271 0.908 12.732 29.842 13.863 29.418 13.519 29.493 Digital Convergence 11 Table 2. Differences of the Information Industries’ Locations Before and After 1996 ID Industry Category Distances Moved 1 Broadcasting + Publishing .286 units 2 Broadcasting + Telephony .219 units 3 Broadcasting + Film .177 units 4 Broadcasting + Publish + Film .328 units 5 Telephony + Internet 6 Broadcasting + Telephony + 1.215 units .166 units Data Processing + Film 7 Radio-Telephone 1.234 units 8 Non-Radio Telephone Service 1.182 units 9 Broadcasting Combination .346 units 10 Radio Broadcasting .156 units 11 Television Broadcasting .223 units 12 Cable & Pay TV 13 Film .260 units 14 Video Rental .183 units 15 Programming & Software .257 units 16 System Design & Data .150 units 1.151 units Processing 17 Internet & Online Service 1.029 units 18 Computer Maintenance .186 units 19 Publishing .202 units Mean Distance .471 units Digital Convergence 12 Figure 1. Galileo Analysis of Cross-Industry Mergers Before and After1996 1. Broadcasting + Publishing, 2.Broadcasting + Telephony, 3.Broadcasting + Film, 4.Broadcasting + Publish + Film 5. Telephony + Internet, 6.Broadcasting + Telephony + Data Processing + Film, 7.Radio-Telephone, 8.Non-Radio Telephone Service 9. Broadcasting Combination, 10. Radio Broadcasting, 11.Television Broadcasting, 12.Cable & Pay TV, 13.Film, 14.Video Rental, 15. Programming & Software, 16.System Design & Data Processing, 17.Internet & Online Service, 18.Computer Maintenance, 19. Publishing Digital Convergence 13 Figure 2. Mapping Resource Flows among the Media Industries in 1992 Digital Convergence 14 Figure 2. Mapping Resource Flows among the Media Industries in 1997 Cross-Industry Mergers 15