International Dust module Chapter 6 – Synoptically forced dust storms (outbreaks) Hi Jochen. Thank you for your excellent work! As you’ll see, I’ve done some editing and have moved a few pages around. My questions to you are highlighted in yellow. Let me know you’ve addressed them and the script is in final form and ready to come back to me. Thanks! Marianne Jochen: Should we say Persian Gulf or Arabian Gulf? Marianne: Only present metric measurements or American too? Section Outline Subsection 1: Introduction Page 1: Introduction Subsection 2: Prefrontal Dust Events Page 1: Introduction Page 2: Prefrontal Example: North Africa Page 3: Prefrontal Exercise We need to decide if the following pages on microphysics belong here because they mainly relate to prefrontal dust or if they should be at the end since they relate to all types!] Cloud Microphysics Macro-Physical Structure of Clouds Examples of Cellular Elements Subsection 3: Postfrontal Dust Events Page 1: Postfrontal Dust Storms Page 2: Surface Features Page 3: Middle and Upper Levels Page 4: Dust Squall over Riyadh Page 5: Postfrontal Dust over Saudi Arabia and Kuwait Page 6: Dust Crossing the Gulf of Aden Page 7: Determining Dust Cloud Height Page 8: Example of Frontal Rain and Dust Page 9: Australian Example Page 10: American Southwest Example Page 11: East Asia Example Subsection 4: Dust Events Caused by Large-Scale Trade Winds Page 1: Global Trade Wind Patterns Page 2: Synoptic Pattern: Northern Africa Page 3: Synoptic Pattern: Middle East Page 4: Summer Shamal Exercise Page 5: Winter Dust Storms in Northern Africa Page 6: Major Transport of Dust from West Africa to the Lesser Antilles Page 7: Dust Transport Animation Subsection 1: Introduction Page 1: Introduction Dust storms are typically classified by the broad meteorological conditions that create them. In this section, we’ll examine large-scale dust outbreaks that occur in the arid and semi-arid areas of the world. These are caused by frontal winds that primarily occur in winter and spring, and non-frontal [need say non-frontal?] persistent trade winds that occurs in summer. Synoptically forced dust outbreaks are rare in autumn when the trade winds are weaker and cold air outbreaks from higher latitudes do not reach far enough south. [How far? Are we just talking about the Middle East?]. 1 Terra/MODIS Blue Marble image, True Colour View of the Earth with Arid Areas in Light Brown (NASA, Fig_001.jpg) Since each region has its own weather patterns that lead to dust storms, forecasters should be familiar with the local atmospheric conditions that lead to strong winds under dry conditions in their areas. Subsection 2: Prefrontal Dust Events Page 1: Introduction Prefrontal dust storms occur across Northern Africa and the Middle East [only those areas?] when a band of winds generated by and ahead of low-pressure areas moves across those regions. This chart depicts prefrontal winds as a low-pressure area migrates into Iraq. The southeasterly or Sharqi winds that blow northward up the Tigris/Euphrates River basin are intensified as low-level flow is funneled between the Zagros Mountains to the east and the pressure gradient to the west. Towards the west, southwesterly or Suhaili winds pick up dust from western Arabia and move it northeast in advance of the cold front. This MODIS true color image shows Sharqi prefrontal dust plumes emanating from dry lake beds and fluvial deposits in southeastern Iraq. Fluvial deposits are associated with rivers and streams. 2 The polar jet stream behind the cold front and the subtropical jet stream in front of it often interact dynamically to strengthen the front east of the upper-level trough. The strengthened cold front induces stronger prefrontal winds ahead of the upper-level trough. In addition, the overlapping of these jet cores and the coupling of secondary circulations near the right-hand [is that correct?] rear of the polar jet and the left-hand [is that correct?] front of the subtropical jet enhance mid-level upward vertical velocities and increase the lifting of blowing dust. Under these conditions, westerly winds mobilize dust and sand across Jordan, Syria, and northwestern Saudi Arabia, transporting it east and northeastward across the Arabian Peninsula, Iraq, and the Persian Gulf countries. Page 2: Prefrontal Example: North Africa Here’s an example of a prefrontal dust outbreak that occurred on 22 March 2008 over Algeria, Tunisia, and Libya. The synoptic chart for 0600 UTC shows a deep, long-wave trough over Central Europe with the related 300-hPa polar frontal jet (PFJ) crossing the northern parts of the Mediterranean Sea from the Gulf of Biscay to Croatia. The subtropical jet (STJ) is close to the PFJ over Algeria and Tunisia and ahead of a short-wave trough over Algeria. 3 (Fig_003_annot.png) MSG (Meteosat-9) IR 10.8 image, 0600 UTC 22 March 2008 with geopotential height (cyan) and isotachs (yellow, in m/s) at 300 hPa. From SatRep Online. Next Part [left image] Starting at around 1000 UTC, prefrontal southwesterly winds ahead of the upper-level short-wave trough over Algeria strengthen, lifting large amounts of dust into the air around Illizi in eastern Algeria. (The dust clouds appear in bright magenta in these MSG dust RGBs.) The prefrontal winds responsible for the blowing dust are referred to as Scirocco in Tunisia, Ghibli in Libya, and Khamsin in Egypt. Scirrocco and Ghibli winds [not Khamsin too?] can have speeds of up to 100 km/h and are most common during autumn and spring. Fig_004.png Meteosat-9 dust RGBs. Left: 1000 UTC 22 March 2008, middle: 1200, right: 1400 EUMETSAT [Assuming that we’ve explained how to interpret dust rgbs in a previous section, we might want to have an ‘Interpreting Dust RGBs’ link that pops info] 4 As the images in the middle and on the right show, prefrontal winds continue strengthening during the following hours and dust particles from different source regions in Algeria and Libya are lifted into the air, enlarging the dust cloud. The dust is transported upwards in a type of conveyor belt to higher levels in the troposphere, probably to the level of the subtropical jet. [DO WE NEED THIS? Fig_004_link.jpg [00 UTC] Point out bright magenta colour of the dust cloud during the following night] Next Part This image from the next day shows that as the short-wave trough moves eastward over Libya and the cold front intensifies (frontogenesis due to deformation and shear forcing – NEED TO SAY ANY OF THAT?] the dust cloud gets stretched along the cold front, turning this into a frontal dust event. The cold front is marked by the blue lines, which represent the thermal front parameter (TFP). At this stage, large amounts of dust get entrained into the southern part of the cloud system that stretches from Crete to the Black Sea. Fig_005.png or Fig_005_alternative.png) MSG (Meteosat-9) Dust RGB product 0600 UTC 23 March 2008 with the thermal front parameter (TFP, blue lines). From SatRep Online. Link to larger, full-quality image Fig_005_link.png Next Part [Left image] This natural color product shows that six hours later, at 1200 UTC, the cold front and embedded dust cloud have reached Crete. Since the dust cloud is optically thin, we can just make out some thin (brownish) clouds south of Crete but it’s hard to tell if they are cirrus or dust. 2008_03_23_1200_rgb_natcol.jpg and 2008_03_23_1200_rgb_dust.jpg) MSG (Meteosat-9) Natural Colour RGB, 1200 UTC 23 March 2008. EUMETSAT.(Show Natural Colour RGB and toggle to Dust RGB when 5 Mouse moves over the image, like in Eumetrain RGB CAL: http://www.satreponline.org/rgb/ chapter 7). [Right side] In contrast, the dust cloud is clearly visible in magenta in the dust RGB. Notice the large dust cloud over the Sahara, which was not visible in the natural color RGB. Other things of note: During the dust storm, a research flight to measure aerosols and cloud microphysics was carried out around Istanbul, Turkey. The findings confirmed that the dust was most abundant just below cloud base (3660 m/1,2000 ft) and that the dust particles acted as very efficient ice nuclei. The cloud only contained small amounts of supercooled water—just above cloud base—but lots of ice needle hydrometeors. (Link to PDF, Duncan Axisa et al., 2008). The Bulgarian and Turkish Meteorological Services used satellite information to correctly forecast "coloured rain" for both days of the dust storm. Red rain was reported from Varna on 23 March and other places in Bulgaria received coloured rain or snow. The coloured rain continued the next day but the aerosols were gradually washed out as the precipitation strengthened. Page 3: Prefrontal Exercise This MSG Dust RGB from 16 March 2007 is overlaid with 925-hPa winds and shows both pre and postfrontal dust. Use the white drawing tool to outline the areas with prefrontal dust. (If you want to try outlining the postfrontal areas, use the red tool.) [DO WE NEED ANY OF THE FOLLOWING? CAN THEY IDENTIFY PREFRONTAL DUST W/OUT THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION?] Another case of prefrontal and postfrontal dust can be seen in this MSG dust RGB product from 16 March 2007. The 925-hPa wind field indicates the strong pre- and postfrontal winds and marks the position of the cold front that crosses the Arabian Peninsula from 15 to 18 March in conjunction with a slow-moving trough from the Mediterranean Sea. Low-level pre-frontal winds are pushing moist, maritime air northwards from the Arabian Sea across southern Oman and eastern Yemen towards the approaching cold front. 6 2007_03_16_1200_m8_rgb_wind925.png MSG (Meteosat-8) Dust RGB product on 16 March 2007 at 12:00 UTC, with ECMWF 925 hPa wind field analysis superimposed. Source: EUMETSAT. Feedback: The advection indicated by the prefrontal dust streamers in darkish magenta are well aligned with the 925hPa wind field in the southern parts of Oman. Behind the cold front, in the upper left part of the image, strong Shamal (northwesterly) winds are driving dust clouds (in brighter magenta) southwards toward Yemen and Oman. The preand postfrontal dust clouds are thin enough to offer a faint view of underlying land surface structures. 2007_03_16_1200_m8_rgb_wind925_solution.png Later during the day, the pre- and postfrontal dust clouds actually converge over southern Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. SHOW ANIMATION: 2007_03_16_0300-2400_m8_rgb_dust.mpg [0300 to 2400 UTC] Cloud Microphysics Jochen: Should this be the next page or its own subsection? If the information applies to all types of dust storms, not just pre-frontal, maybe it should go after we’ve discussed all of the types of synoptic systems [e.g., trade winds…] If it pertains mainly to prefrontal dust storms and should go here, let’s make that clear!] We’ve seen how satellites can detect and trace dust clouds in cloud-free situations. They can also detect the presence of dust particles inside (ice) clouds, albeit indirectly. [Need the () around ice?] 7 Dust aerosols have a large impact on cloud microphysics such as cloud phase and cloud particle size. In general, clouds that have ingested dust glaciate more quickly, forming a large number of very small ice particles. These have a higher reflectance than large ice particles in the “microphysical” channels (NIR1.6 and IR3.9) and appear in light green in the day microphysics RGB. The dust cloud isn’t so visible over the highly reflective desert background in the day microphysics product so we rely on the dust RGB for that. [is that ok?] Check against original: … Generally speaking, clouds that have ingested dust glaciate more quickly which leads to the formation of a large number of very small ice particles. On the other hand, small ice particles have a higher reflectance in the so-called microphysical channels (NIR1.6 and IR3.9) than large ice particles, and this can be seen in respective satellite images or derived RGB products. … Since dust and ash aerosols have a high reflectance in the IR 3.9r µm channel, the dust cloud appears in a light greenish colour over the Mediterranean Sea. The dust cloud isn’t so visible over the highly reflective desert background, where the dust RGB product does a much better job of depicting it. Fig_006.jpg MSG (Meteosat-9) Day Microphysics RGB product 1200 UTC, 23 March 2008 EUMETSAT The high-level cirrus shield over the Mediterranean and Black Seas is bright orange due to the high reflectance of the cold ice cloud in the IR 3.9r µm channel. This indicates that the cloud has ingested a lot of dust particles, resulting in the formation of small ice particles. Next page: Macro-Physical Structure of Clouds Dust aerosols also impact the macro-physical structure of clouds, such as their texture. We know that aerosols strongly affect the structure of stratocumulus cloud fields over the ocean through the formation of open and closed Bénard cells [is that clear?]. Likewise, when a synoptic-scale conveyor belt transports dust particles to high levels in the troposphere, the cirrus shield often assumes a fine-scale cellular/granular structure similar to that observed in closed Bénard cells over the oceans. This can best be seen in early morning or late afternoon visible images, when the three-dimensional structure of the cloud tops is clearly visible due to shadows. It can also be seen in infrared images. Notice the high-level cloud shield in the lower part of this HRV image, where many fine-scale cellular elements are aligned in a north-south direction. Further north, the cellular elements are more irregular, similar to closed Bénard cells. Preliminary research suggests that this cellular structure typically develops in cloud shields that have ingested large amounts of dust aerosols. 8 Fig_007.png. MSG (Meteosat-9) High-Res Visible (HRV) image, 0600 UTC 23 March 2008 EUMETSAT Next page: Examples of Cellular Elements [Do we need any or all of these examples?] This early morning HRV/IR 10.8 µm product from 11 February 2011 offers a striking example of cellular elements in a cirrus cloud shield caused by the ingestion of dust. The dust aerosols that caused the granular structure are evident in the MSG dust RGB inset from the day before. The synoptic situation is very similar to the March 2008 case where a pre-frontal dust cloud was lifted upwards in the conveyor belt. The cloud shield in this image developed to the front of [should that say: in front of??] a Mediterranean cyclone and can be analysed as [considered??] a warm-conveyor belt or warm frontal shield. 9 MSG (Meteosat-9) HRV-HRV-IR10.8 RGB product, 0645 UTC 11 February 2010. Inset: dust RGB from the previous day 1200 UTC 10 February 2010. EUMETSAT. Larger, full-quality Dust RGB: Fig_009_link.jpg Next Part This NOAA AVHRR IR image from 11 February shows the cellular structure of the warm frontal cloud shield caused by dust aerosols. Only clouds with cloud top temperatures below -55°C are included. The extreme cold cloud top temperatures (between -75 and -80°C) and the cellular structure of the cloud top may be due to changes in the radiation processes of the clouds. (In other words, increased longwave radiation flux may increase the cooling of the cloud top, enhancing instability in the upper part of the cloud layer). [CLARIFY THE EXPLANATION SO IT’S EASILY UNDERSTOOD. HERE’S THE ORIGINAL: The explanation for this and for the cellular structure of the cloud top could be due to the modification of radiation processes of the clouds, i.e. an increased cooling of the cloud top due to increased longwave radiation flux which enhances the instability in the upper part of the cloud layer. NOAA-17 channel 04 (IR11.0) image, 0753 UTC 11 February 2010 10 [Is this part needed? Do forecasters need to know this?] The cellular structure of the “dusty” cirrus clouds can also be seen in these radar (Cloudsat) and lidar (CALIPSO) data. The track goes from Central Turkey (40 deg latitude) to Southern Finland (60 deg latitude). Fig_011.png A-Train view of the “dusty” cirrus cloud shield on 11 February 2010 with CALIPSO 532 nm attenuated backscatter coefficient & CloudSat radar reflectivity plotted together (Cloudsat plotted over CALIPSO). Also the MODIS IR radiance, scaled between curtain min and max, is shown. Source: Mike Fromm. Notice the following: If we keep this list, clarify what each bullet means – what it suggests or confirms The radar reflectivities are unusually small for such an optically thick cloud Parts of the thick cirrus cloud are completely transparent at the CloudSat frequency, indicating the presence of very small ice particles Unpolluted high clouds have similar tops in both lidar and radar data Most of the dusty cirrus shield has no precipitation below, which confirms the theory that dust aerosols suppress precipitation Next Part [this part may be worth keeping] This image shows an MSG 24-hour microphysics RGB overlaid with a backward trajectory from within the cirrus shield on the Ukraine/Belarus border back to Africa where the dust plume was detected initially. The trajectory was computed from ECMWF wind fields (u, v, w). Note that the air parcel ascended more than 5 km within 48 hours, confirming that Saharan dust aerosols can ascend up to cirrus levels within the pre-frontal conveyor belt of the Mediterranean cyclone. 11 Fig_012.jpg MSG (Meteosat-9) 24-h Microphysics RGB product on 11 February 2010 at 06:00 UTC, Source: Kornel Kollath, Hungarian Meteorological Service. In addition to backward trajectories, we can also follow the route of the dust aerosols with forward dust model forecasts. This image shows the 18-hr SKIRON forecast for aerosol optical thickness at 532 nm for 0600 UTC 11 February 2010. There’s is a very good correspondence between the position of granular-structured cirrus shield and the forecasted dust aerosols. Note that dust forecasting with models will be discussed in more detail in the model section. Fig_013.png and/or Fig_013.avi) Aerosol optical thickness forecast for 11 February 2010, 06:00 UTC, from the SKIRON model. Source: University of Athens (http://forecast.uoa.gr). Show the animation? (Fig_013.avi) NEXT SUBSECTION: POSTFRONTAL DUST EVENTS 12 Page 1: Postfrontal Dust Storms [was 4.3.0, afwa dust] Widespread dust can occur after pre-frontal [or should that say frontal?] events. Especially in winter months, the passage of a cold front leads to strong northwesterly winds on its back side. The resulting dust storm is referred to as a Shamal from the Arabic word for north. Shamals produce the most widespread hazardous weather known to the Middle East [had said region]. Shamal_msg_dust_rgb_feb2090_swf.jpg [mw: get swf] This dust RGB animation shows a cold front-generated sandstorm stretching to the west of the Persian Gulf. The front has passed and lies to the south of the dust front. Strong northwesterly postfrontal flow has picked up dust along the front and appears to be moving to the south and east. Winter Shamals generally last for either 24 to 36 hours or three to five days. The shorter-period [should we add ‘winter’?] Shamal typically begins with passage of the front. When the associated upper-level trough or rapidly moving short waves move eastward, winds diminish after 24 to 36 hours. Such cases are relatively common, occurring two to three times a month. Sustained winds typically reach 30 knots, with stronger gusts to 40 knots. The longer-term (three- to five-day) Shamal occurs one to three times a winter and produces the strongest winds and highest seas in the Persian Gulf. Over the exposed Gulf waters, sustained wind speeds have reached 50 knots and produced 10- to 13-foot seas. This type of Shamal arises either from: The temporary stagnation of a 500-mb shortwave over or just east of the Strait of Hormuz, or The establishment of a mean longwave trough over the same area Persistent dust and sand storms occur throughout the life spans of both types of Shamals. Dry conditions enhance dust during the first few cold frontal passages of the season. In fact, widespread dust often occurs with the first passage, restricting visibility to less than three nautical miles. Subsequent fronts bring precipitation that binds soil particles together. In these circumstances, winds above 25 knots are often needed to raise dust. Page 2: Surface Features [from afwa dust] Here’s a typical synoptic-scale surface chart for a winter frontal event. Strong pressure gradients develop behind a moderate to strong cold front due to upper-level subsidence and rapidly building surface high pressure over 13 northwestern Saudi Arabia and Iraq. The strong northwesterly low-level winds are quickly reinforced by west-tonorthwesterly upper-level winds behind the mid-level trough. Shamal winds and postfrontal blowing dust develop behind the cold front over southern Iraq and northeastern Saudi Arabia. Farther to the west, another area of postfrontal blowing dust forms to the north of the surface trough and shearline over southern Egypt. postfrontal_surface_prog_chart_12utc_26feb10.jpg In this example, a low is centered over Iraq and Kuwait, with a strong pressure gradient to the southwest. As a result, there is strong northwesterly flow to the west of the low, with winds reaching 20 to 25 knots near the Persian Gulf. When this flow is combined with unstable boundary layer stratification in the postfrontal environment, conditions are ripe for a dust storm. The synoptic chart highlights the major frontal features as the dust event unfolds. Notice that in addition to the areas of postfrontal dust, pre-frontal dust also forms over northeastern Saudi Arabia, southern Iraq, and Kuwait. 14 sfc_anal_Shamal_suhaili_26feb2010.jpg Let’s focus on the cold front as it moves southward over the Red Sea. In this MODIS true color image, the dust cloud is readily apparent over the water as dust is advected southward by strong northerly postfrontal winds. modisTC_coldFrontOverRedSea.jpg Page 3: Middle and Upper Levels [from afwa dust] In this example, a mid-level trough centered over Saudi Arabia and extending northward to the eastern Mediterranean Sea is associated with the surface trough over Iraq, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia. Strong northwesterly flow exists on the backside of the trough with 80-kt winds being reported over Egypt (in the cyan area). 15 postfrontal_upperair_prog_12z_26feb10_circle.jpg Deep vertical mixing helps generate dust storms. Strong downward vertical motion, which is likely to be associated with a middle- to upper-level front within the upper-level trough shown, does two things: 1. It helps to prevent cloud formation or evaporate preexisting cloudiness. This increases solar warming in the lower troposphere and enables strong winds to mix into the low levels from above. This requires that middle and lower tropospheric lapse rates be unstable, which is more likely to occur with strong solar heating. Although subsidence itself can stabilize lapse rates, even the wintertime Middle Eastern sun can often offset this stabilizing effect. 2. Strong winds dynamically accompany the downward intrusion of upper tropospheric air into the mid-levels and near the surface. This momentum and dry air then mix to the surface, leading to clearing conditions and little precipitation on the back side of the trough. Page 4: Dust Squall over Riyadh On the morning of 10 March 2009, one of the worst dust storms in a decade engulfed Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, blanketing it in a thick layer of orange dust. The wall of dust was more than 100 metres high. 16 Sandstorm over Riyadh Photo by: Pedronet, Creative Commons 10 March 2009 OK TO USE? http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedronet/3344193989/ This MSG dust RGB clearly shows the dust cloud in magenta. Notice how well it contrasts with the desert features in cyan. The sharp boundary of the dust cloud on its southern edge and its dark magenta colour suggest that the dust cloud is a low-level cloud with a sharp boundary; that is, a dust squall triggered by the cold front over western Iran. The cold front had passed over Israel the day before, producing a wind storm and some rain. Notice the patches of dust over Iraq. 2009_03_10_0900_m9_rgb_dust.png (Meteosat-9) Dust RGB, 10 March 2009 at 09:00 UTC. EUMETSAT Next Part Notice the position of the high-level cirrus clouds over the Arabian Peninsula (in black). Use the white drawing tool to mark the following: The [path and??] position of the subtropical jet (STJ) The [path of the ??] polar frontal jet (PFJ) related to the frontal system over western Iran Feedback: [WRITE THE EXPLANATION!] 17 2009_03_10_0900_m9_rgb_dust_solution.png Page 5: Postfrontal Dust over Saudi Arabia and Kuwait This animation shows another case of postfrontal dust over Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. The dust cloud is only a short distance north of Riyadh. Watch the movement of the dust cloud between 1200 and 1400 UTC. When do you expect it to arrive in Riyadh? Ani!!! (2010_04_23_1200_m9_rgb_dust.png, 2010_04_23_1200-1400_m9_rgb_dust.avi) Hourly sequence of MSG (Meteosat-9) Dust RGB products on 23 April 2010, 12:00 to 14:00 UTC EUMETSAT A: 15 UTC B: 16 UTC ** C: 17 UTC D: 18 UTC Feedback: Moving at a roughly constant speed, the dust cloud arrives in Riyadh around 16:00 UTC. Notice how its colour changes from bright to darker magenta, suggesting that it is a low-level (surface) dust cloud. 2010_04_23_1600_m9_rgb_dust.png Meteosat-9 Dust RGB, 23 April 2010 16:00 UTC. EUMETSAT 18 Page 6: Dust Crossing the Gulf of Aden Postfrontal dust outbreaks caused by Shamal winds typically slow down over the southern part of the Arabian Peninsula where the diffluent northerly flow encounters southerly winds from the Arabian Sea. However, when troughs dig deeply down to the south, the dust clouds get blown far out into the Arabian Sea, crossing the Gulf of Aden and reaching the Yemini island of Socotra and sometimes even Somalia. That’s what we see in this MODIS true colour RGB. Relatively thick dust plumes are bordered by a thick bank of clouds, which mark the southern boundary of the dust outbreak. The boundary represents the advancing cold front, separating dusty continental air from unmodified marine air to the south. 2008_02_02_0925_am_rgb_143.jpg Aqua MODIS True Colour RGB, 2 February 2008 09:25 UTC. NASA Notice how the true colour image made from solar channels does a better job of depicting the low-level dust cloud over the ocean than the IR-based dust RGB. However, if you compare the dust cloud over the heated land surfaces, such as Oman, Iran, and Pakistan, you’ll see that the dust RGB handles it better than the true colour image. 19 2008_02_02_0915_m9_rgb_dust.png MSG (Meteosat-9) Dust RGB 2 February 2008 at 9:15 UTC. EUMETSAT Page 7: Determining Dust Cloud Height Vertical profiles from the Calipso satellite, such as the one in the upper left corner, help us determine the height of dust clouds. The green line is the Calipso track, the dark red line the outline of the dust cloud. The relatively weak magenta colour of the dust cloud indicates that it is low-level dust with a top at around 1 km. The stronger Calipso signal in white shows that the dust in the southern part of the image is embedded in a stratocumulus cloud field. Further north, close to the Oman coastline, the dust cloud reaches higher levels of up to 2 km. The low-level dust cloud over southern Iran has a stronger colour due to the higher temperatures of the underlying land surface in this mid-day image. 2008_02_02_0915_m9_rgb_dust_calipso.png MSG (Meteosat-9) Dust RGB 2 February 2008 9:15 UTC with indication of Calipso track.. Source: EUMETSAT and NASA? Page 8: Example of Frontal Rain and Dust 20 A spectacular case of frontal rain in the eastern Mediterranean combined with a major dust outbreak occurred on 21 to 23 January 2004. The postfrontal dust cloud developed over eastern Libya on 21 January, crossed Egypt on 22 January, and moved into the Middle East on 23 January. This night time IR10.8 µm image shows the cold front over northwest Egypt moving eastward towards Cairo. We cannot see the postfrontal dust cloud since it blends thermally with the cool desert surface. However, the dust cloud is obvious in the area behind the cold front in the dust RGB. 2004_01_22_0200_m8_ch09.png and 2004_01_22_0200_m8_rgb_dust.png MSG (Meteosat-8) IR10.8 image 22 January 2004 02:00 UTC EUMETSAT. Show the IR image and toggle to dust RGB Next Part This image shows the situation on 22 January when the dust storm from the west hit Cairo. The magenta dust streaks over Egypt and Libya indicate diffluent flow behind the cold front. 2004_01_22_1200_m8_rgb_dust.jpg MSG (Meteosat-8) Dust RGB 22 January 2004 at 12:00 UTC EUMETSAT Question: Is the circled feature over central Libya a dust cloud? Yes / No *** 21 Feedback: The correct answer is no. When we compare the satellite image with a topographic map, we see that the feature is Haruj, a large volcanic field spread across 45000 km2 in central Libya. 2004_01_22_1200_m8_rgb_dust_google1.png and 2004_01_22_1200_m8_rgb_dust_google2.png Google Earth (show Google Earth image and toggle to Dust RGB] Page 9: Australian Example Initiation of dust storms by frontal passage is not limited to the Middle East. This MODIS true color image shows a massive dust storm that struck Sydney, Australia on 23 October 2002. The dust extends 1500 km north-northwest from near the southeastern corner of Australia. The source region for the dust was an enormous dry lake bed in south central Australia. Eastern Australia had been in the grip of a drought for six months, which made the soil over that area much easier to lift. The red dots mark active bushfires. The smoke plumes show the low-level wind direction ahead of the advancing dust front. 22 This weather map shows the location of the cold front and surface trough at about the same time as the MODIS image. Notice the close correlation between the frontal location and the dust cloud. Page 10: American Southwest Example Postfrontal dust storms are also common across the American southwest. This MODIS true color image shows one that originated in northern Mexico and western Texas. 23 Surface winds were at maximum strength. A jet maximum had rounded the base of an upper-level trough, transporting momentum to the surface from strong winds at middle and upper levels. Page 11: East Asia Example Dust associated with frontal systems affects large portions of East Asia as dust is lifted by strong winds from the arid regions of northwestern China and Mongolia. The dust is transported across China and the Yellow Sea, impacting Korea and Japan. During the winter and spring, the westerly jet stream sometimes transports the dust over the North Pacific and as far east as North America. 2010_11_11_0315_tm_rgb_dust_z850hPa.png Terra MODIS Dust RGB 11 November 2010 3:15 UTC (local mid-morning) with geopotential height 850 hPa (ECMWF 3-hr model forecast. Source: NASA. Text from: http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=46930 This MODIS dust RGB from the morning of 11 November 2010 shows a wall of postfrontal dust blowing across eastern China. The fast-moving dust was blowing east from the Gobi Desert, where a massive storm had originated the day before. The dust then moved towards the Korean Peninsula, reaching Korea that evening. Such large dust storms are common in China, but usually occur in spring when fronts from Siberia sweep southeast across the Gobi Desert. Late autumn and winter dust storms are rare. 24 NEXT SUBSECTION: DUST EVENTS CAUSED BY LARGE-SCALE TRADE WINDS (non-frontal) Page 1: Global Trade Wind Patterns The trade winds (or “trades”) are the prevailing surface winds in subtropical areas. They blow predominantly from the northeast in the Northern Hemisphere and southeast in the Southern Hemisphere. Their direction can change, though, over the continents due to local thermal lows, such as the summer heat low over Afghanistan and northern Pakistan. In the Middle East, the summer trade wind comes from the north and is called a Shamal, while in northern Africa, it comes from the northeast and is called a Harmattan. When trade winds are strong enough, they can lift large amounts of dust up into the air. The “40-day Shamal” reflects how long these dust storms can last. Trade and monsoon winds are responsible for transporting huge dust clouds from northern Africa and the Middle East westward across the Atlantic Ocean into the Caribbean Sea and southeastward across the Indian Ocean towards India. Global_Wind_Systems.jpg [recreate this image from the Internet) Dust outbreaks caused by strong trade winds can occur throughout the year. However, summer dust outbreaks have a greater capacity to lift sand and dust due to the high temperatures and resulting strong convection currents. Page 2: Synoptic Pattern: Northern Africa March 2010 was a spectacular month for dust storms, with dust blowing across the Sahara Desert and over the Atlantic Ocean for much of the time. The synoptic situation in this 18 March 2010 image shows the typical pattern that causes these large dust outbreaks over northern Africa: a high-pressure area over northern Africa, strengthened by cold air outbreaks from Europe, presses against a low-pressure area over the southern Sahel that’s related to the northward movement of the ITCZ, with strong Harmattan winds in between. This leads to continental-scale dust outbreaks over Sudan, Chad, Niger, Mali, and other countries. In most cases, dust forecast models handle these situations very well. 2010_03_18_1200_m9_rgb_dust.png MSG (Meteosat-9) Dust RGB product on 18 March 2010 at 12:00 UTC, with ECMWF sea-level pressure (in hPa) and surface wind analysis superimposed. Source: 25 EUMETSAT. Page 3: Synoptic Pattern: Middle East The synoptic pattern of large-scale summer dust outbreaks in the Middle East (summer Shamals) [need say summer?] is characterized by: A semi-permanent high-pressure cell extending from the eastern Mediterranean to northern Saudi Arabia (a subtropical high) A thermal low-pressure cell over Afghanistan / Pakistan (part of the northern branch of the ITCZ) Thermal low pressure associated with the monsoon trough extending into southern Saudi Arabia As this surface pressure analysis shows, the cyclonic circulation around the region of low pressure combines with the anti-cyclonic circulation around the high-pressure cell to increase the winds over the northern Persian Gulf region. These winds are normally confined from the surface up to 1500 m (5,000 ft). The Shamal is particularly strong at ground level during daytime but weakens at the surface overnight. DON’T NEED THIS PARAGRAPH: This MSG infrared image overlaid with surface pressure for 7 August 2004 shows the thermal low over southern Afghanistan and western Pakistan. Higher surface pressure is located over the eastern Mediterranean, with lower surface pressure in the northern Persian Gulf. This produces strong northerly winds in Iraq, western Iran, and northern Saudi Arabia. 26 summer_Shamal.png MSG (Meteosat-8) IR10.8 image with COAWPS sea-level pressure (in hPa) 7 August 2004 1200 UTC. Source: EUMETSAT 2004 / NASA GSFC / NRL Page 4: Summer Shamal Exercise This dust RGB shows a typical summer Shamal from June 2008. Use the drawing tools to outline all of the dust clouds and the southern boundary of the dust cloud. [ORIGINAL, DON’T USE IT BECAUSE IT PROVIDES TOO MUCH INFORMATION: This dust RGB from June 2008 shows a typical summer Shamal with massive dust clouds hovering over the Middle East from Iraq to Oman/Pakistan and spreading south past the Arabian Peninsula. Note the absence of any frontal systems. 2008_06_17_0700_m9_rgb_dust.png MSG (Meteosat-9) dust RGB 17 June 2008 07:00 UTC. EUMETSAT Text from NASA Earth Observatory: http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=8844 Feedback: The image is from late morning local time when the land surfaces are already heated. The dust clouds are bright magenta, the desert surfaces bright cyan. The dust clouds had been dark magenta the night before, indicating low-level dust. Add image with items outlined!!!! 27 Page 5: Winter Dust Storms in Northern Africa [TITLE OK? WAS: Continental-scale Sahara Dust Outbreak] Wintertime cold air outbreaks from Europe to Northern Africa frequently lead to large-scale dust storms over northern Africa. The image in the upper left shows the dust outbreak that started over Morocco and Algeria on 5 March 2006 when the cold front of a cyclone over the Balearic Islands reached Northern Africa. During the following days, the cyclone moved from the western to eastern Mediterranean Sea and the cold front crossed northern Africa from west to east, with the dust storm following it. The dust storm reached the Middle East on 8 to 9 March. 2006_03_05-08_m8_rgb_dust.jpg MSG (Meteosat-8) Dust RGB products on 5 (upper left), 6 (upper right), 7 (lower left) and 8 (lower right) March 2006 14:00 UTC. EUMETSAT Comment: pictures from Tel Aviv available (from Danny Rosenfeld) Next Part If we zoom in on the product from 8 March, we can appreciate the huge, continental-scale dimension of the dust outbreaks. Bright magenta dust clouds cover northern Africa from Senegal to Sudan and Saudi Arabia. 2006_03_08_1200_m8_rgb_dust_exercise.png MSG (Meteosat-8) Dust RGB 8 March 2006 12:00 UTC. EUMETSAT Question 1: Looking at the shape of the dust clouds and dust streaks, use the drawing tools to draw surface wind vectors on the image. [Is this a useful and significantly challenging question?] Feedback: [write the text feedback to go with the image!] 28 2006_03_08_1200_m8_rgb_dust_solution.png Question 2: What do you think caused the huge dust outbreak? [Have we given too much away to make this a useful question? I think it’s ok but want to check] A: Strong winds due to a cyclone forming over West Africa B: Strong post-frontal winds related to the cyclone over the Mediterranean C: Strong winds from thunderstorm gust fronts D: Strong Harmattan winds due to a pressure increase from cold air over northern Africa ** Feedback: The correct answer is D. With the build-up of a high-pressure system in the cold air over northwest Africa, strong northeasterly flow over the central and southern Sahara generated more dust storms in the area of the Bodélé depression and Agadez, where huge quantities of dust were picked up and carried towards Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Nigeria. The dust was stopped as it moved towards the Gulf of Guinea by southerly flow around the Ivory Coast, which led to the formation of a convergence line over Northern Ghana. The strong colour difference across this convergence line (from pink to dark blue) is due to the different airmass characteristics: cold, dry, dusty air to the north and warm, moist air to the south of the boundary. On the following day, the dust was blown far out over the Atlantic Ocean where it was "sucked" into a cyclone between the Canary and the Cape Verde Islands. 2006_03_08_1200_m8_rgb_dust.jpg MSG (Meteosat-8) Dust RGB 8 March 2006 12:00 UTC, with ECMWF sea-level pressure (in hPa) and surface wind analysis superimposed Source: EUMETSAT [ADDRESS COMMENT: The wind vectors are hard to see especially over dust. Maybe show less or make them larger or use another color like dark green, dark yellow, or pure red] 29 IF WE HAVE THIS ANI, SHOW IT: 2006_03_052000-092000_m8_rgb_dust_loop.mov Page 6: Major Transport of Dust from West Africa to the Lesser Antilles Jochen: What should we do about this note? [This case was the one for which I proposed in last on-line meeting to use this long loop with dust RGB alone and ALSO create a new one with the MIX of dust RGB and MODIS true colors RGB when available (until the antilles) – See my current 5.8.2. You can copy from there the MODIS images (and explaining text) and I simply take it out from chapter 5. Then keep your exercise and not use the exercise (I had) that is in the Comet RGB CAL, as the solution to the exercise is already in the title!!] Westward transport of desert dust from Africa to the Caribbean and Amazon region is a frequent feature of the subtropical circulation. Over West Africa, the dust is either lifted through thunderstorm gust fronts or strong Harmattan winds. This image shows a plume of Saharan dust that blew off the west coast of Africa on 22 June 2007. Over the next few days, the dust cloud remained relatively intact as it traveled across the Atlantic Ocean to the Lesser Antilles and South America. 2007_06_22_0245_m9_rgb_dust.png MSG (Meteosat-9) Dust RGB 22 June 2007 02:45 UTC EUMETSAT See also http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=7811 Image needs colour bar!!! Question (point on the magenta dust cloud): Given the colour of the dust cloud in this night-time dust RGB over West Africa, what’s the height of the top of the dust cloud? 30 A: 0 to 1 km (low level) B: 2 to 3 km (mid level) C: 5 to 6 km (high level) ** Feedback: The correct answer is C. The bright magenta colour of the dust indicates that it’s high level, with a top at around 5 km. The Calipso vertical profile verifies this. [Mark the following on the image so we don’t need to say it here: The green line is the Calipso track and the dark red line is the western dust front.] 2007_06_22_0245_m9_rgb_dust_calipso.png WHAT SHOULD WE DO ABOUT THIS?? The first color table is the one introduced in chapter 5 (the same as in RGB Eumetrain CAL). The night upper-level is not really a bright magenta, but more a red. Should we change to a new one in chapter 5 (see proposal above) and inform Jarno, so this should also be changed in RGB Eumetrain CAL? OLD NEW ?? Page 7: Dust Transport Animation This spectacular 6-day, 15-minute sequence of MSG Dust RGB images was the first to show the journey of dust crossing the Atlantic Ocean. The dust front left the African coast at 1600 UTC 20 June 2007 and reached the Lesser Antilles five days later, at 1900 UTC 25 June. This translates to a distance of 4600 km in 123 hours or an average speed of 10 m/s or 20 knots. The dust cloud traveled at a level close to 5 km. 31 2007_06_200800-261200_m9_rgb_dust_loop.mpg 6-day sequence of MSG (Meteosat-9) Dust RGB products 20 June 00:00 UTC to 26 June 2007 12:00 UTC. EUMETSAT WHAT DO WE DO WITH THIS? [So here is the place where a second loop (a mix with MODIS dust RGB could fit!!] Many other features are apparent in the animation. For example, towards the end, when the dust front coming from the east pushes against the moist and unstable air of the Caribbean Sea, convective clouds develop along the dust front. Saharan dust brings mixed blessings as it crosses the Atlantic. It can bring pathogens that harm Caribbean corals and aggravate human health. But it also supplies the Caribbean islands with valuable nutrients, without which they might be little more than hulks of barren rock. 32